JUDUL...............................................................................................................................i
RINGKASAN...................................................................................................................ii
DAFTAR ISI...................................................................................................................iii
BAB 1. PENDAHULUAN................................................................................................1
1.1
Latar Belakang....................................................................................................1
1.2
Perumusan Masalah............................................................................................2
1.3
Tujuan.................................................................................................................2
1.4
1.5
Manfaat Program................................................................................................2
Temperatur Udara...............................................................................................3
2.2
Curah Hujan........................................................................................................3
2.3
2.4
2.5
Return Level........................................................................................................4
3.2
Langkah Analisis.................................................................................................4
4.1.1
Identifikasi Pola Data Heavy Tail Data Curah Hujan dan Nilai Ekstrim.............6
4.1.2
4.1.3
4.2
4.2.1
4.2.2
DAFTAR GAMBA
DAFTAR TABE
Tabel 4.1 Statistika Deskriptif Curah Hujan Harian (mm)
6Y
8Y
Tabel 4.4 Estimasi Parameter.............................................................................................9
Tabel 4.5 Prediksi Return Level.......................................................................................10