NOMOR 1

Diketahui data berdistribusi normal dengan nilai rata-rata 2 MPa dan standar deviasi 0.5 MPa.
Gambarkan histogram distribusi dari data tersebut.

JAWAB
Variabel random berdistribusi normal X,
𝑋 = 𝜇𝑥 + 𝑍𝜎𝑥

Dimana diketahui,
𝜇𝑥 = 2 𝑀𝑃𝑎
𝜎𝑥 = 0.5 𝑀𝑃𝑎
𝑍 = 𝑣𝑎𝑟𝑖𝑎𝑏𝑒𝑙 𝑛𝑜𝑟𝑚𝑎𝑙 𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑎𝑟

Variabel normal standar Z dibangkitkan dengan metode Box dan Muller,

𝑍1 = (−2 ln 𝑈1 )0.5 cos(2𝜋 𝑈2 )
𝑍2 = (−2 ln 𝑈1 )0.5 sin(2𝜋 𝑈2 )

Sehingga didapat,
𝑋𝑖 = 2 + 0.5 𝑍𝑖

Perhitungan X menggunakan 400 data, namun untuk efisiensi pada tabel perhitungan hanya
dicantumkan 120 data.

Contoh tabel perhitungan (untuk 120 data):

No U1 U2 (-2 ln u1)^0.5 cos (2p U2) sin (2p U2) Z1 Z2 X1 X2
1 0.95352 0.98378 0.30854 0.99481 -0.10173 0.30694 -0.03139 2.15347 1.98431
2 0.05673 0.79245 2.39563 0.26356 -0.96464 0.63139 -2.31092 2.31570 0.84454
3 0.26723 0.91730 1.62459 0.86801 -0.49655 1.41016 -0.80668 2.70508 1.59666
4 0.57982 0.32697 1.04407 -0.46498 0.88532 -0.48547 0.92433 1.75727 2.46217
5 0.86953 0.82257 0.52877 0.44031 -0.89784 0.23283 -0.47476 2.11641 1.76262
6 0.54242 0.23732 1.10609 0.07959 0.99683 0.08803 1.10258 2.04402 2.55129
7 0.31364 0.81187 1.52283 0.37902 -0.92539 0.57718 -1.40921 2.28859 1.29539
8 0.35965 0.81227 1.43012 0.38132 -0.92444 0.54534 -1.32207 2.27267 1.33897
9 0.16891 0.81652 1.88594 0.40588 -0.91393 0.76547 -1.72361 2.38274 1.13820
10 0.91470 0.90949 0.42229 0.84259 -0.53855 0.35581 -0.22742 2.17791 1.88629
11 0.10018 0.66901 2.14511 -0.48720 -0.87329 -1.04511 -1.87330 1.47745 1.06335
12 0.75128 0.81333 0.75627 0.38750 -0.92187 0.29306 -0.69718 2.14653 1.65141
13 0.80405 0.16794 0.66045 0.49303 0.87001 0.32562 0.57460 2.16281 2.28730
14 0.70388 0.18427 0.83802 0.40135 0.91593 0.33634 0.76757 2.16817 2.38378
15 0.28932 0.72730 1.57494 -0.14212 -0.98985 -0.22383 -1.55895 1.88808 1.22052
No U1 U2 (-2 ln u1)^0.5 cos (2pU2) sin (2pU2) Z1 Z2 X1 X2
16 0.20948 0.95339 1.76811 0.95742 -0.28869 1.69283 -0.51044 2.84641 1.74478
17 0.43863 0.42681 1.28382 -0.89610 0.44385 -1.15043 0.56982 1.42479 2.28491
18 0.02093 0.02804 2.78086 0.98452 0.17526 2.73782 0.48738 3.36891 2.24369
19 0.32993 0.31234 1.48921 -0.38176 0.92426 -0.56852 1.37642 1.71574 2.68821
20 0.19045 0.66289 1.82120 -0.52043 -0.85391 -0.94780 -1.55513 1.52610 1.22243
21 0.28411 0.49132 1.58644 -0.99851 0.05451 -1.58408 0.08647 1.20796 2.04324
22 0.85982 0.84773 0.54959 0.57618 -0.81732 0.31667 -0.44919 2.15833 1.77540
23 0.90346 0.01915 0.45062 0.99277 0.12006 0.44736 0.05410 2.22368 2.02705
24 0.51242 0.00595 1.15638 0.99930 0.03736 1.15558 0.04320 2.57779 2.02160
25 0.74328 0.08540 0.77031 0.85946 0.51121 0.66205 0.39379 2.33102 2.19689
26 0.26977 0.52646 1.61876 -0.98621 -0.16548 -1.59644 -0.26787 1.20178 1.86606
27 0.14044 0.96394 1.98142 0.97445 -0.22461 1.93079 -0.44504 2.96540 1.77748
28 0.88538 0.67348 0.49342 -0.46247 -0.88664 -0.22819 -0.43749 1.88590 1.78126
29 0.63730 0.84602 0.94923 0.56738 -0.82346 0.53857 -0.78165 2.26929 1.60918
30 0.78305 0.18131 0.69936 0.41829 0.90831 0.29254 0.63524 2.14627 2.31762
31 0.62205 0.21245 0.97440 0.23374 0.97230 0.22775 0.94741 2.11388 2.47370
32 0.36683 0.65634 1.41623 -0.55509 -0.83179 -0.78614 -1.17800 1.60693 1.41100
33 0.02870 0.77849 2.66487 0.17807 -0.98402 0.47452 -2.62228 2.23726 0.68886
34 0.57749 0.81401 1.04792 0.39146 -0.92020 0.41021 -0.96429 2.20511 1.51785
35 0.03081 0.01561 2.63813 0.99520 0.09790 2.62546 0.25826 3.31273 2.12913
36 0.81890 0.25069 0.63212 -0.00436 0.99999 -0.00276 0.63212 1.99862 2.31606
37 0.22329 0.23672 1.73165 0.08337 0.99652 0.14438 1.72562 2.07219 2.86281
38 0.06514 0.28584 2.33720 -0.22328 0.97475 -0.52186 2.27820 1.73907 3.13910
39 0.09138 0.50537 2.18757 -0.99943 -0.03374 -2.18632 -0.07381 0.90684 1.96309
40 0.96284 0.44671 0.27521 -0.94446 0.32863 -0.25992 0.09044 1.87004 2.04522
41 0.82582 0.63425 0.61867 -0.66484 -0.74699 -0.41132 -0.46214 1.79434 1.76893
42 0.38501 0.17769 1.38166 0.43888 0.89854 0.60639 1.24149 2.30319 2.62074
43 0.09476 0.56836 2.17092 -0.90916 -0.41645 -1.97371 -0.90409 1.01315 1.54796
44 0.67596 0.81661 0.88501 0.40639 -0.91370 0.35966 -0.80863 2.17983 1.59568
45 0.92743 0.59480 0.38816 -0.82778 -0.56105 -0.32131 -0.21778 1.83934 1.89111
46 0.30246 0.05749 1.54647 0.93546 0.35342 1.44667 0.54656 2.72334 2.27328
47 0.41518 0.93673 1.32594 0.92202 -0.38715 1.22254 -0.51333 2.61127 1.74333
48 0.51081 0.48665 1.15911 -0.99648 0.08378 -1.15503 0.09711 1.42248 2.04855
49 0.37068 0.23670 1.40884 0.08344 0.99651 0.11756 1.40393 2.05878 2.70196
50 0.11575 0.59556 2.07670 -0.82509 -0.56500 -1.71346 -1.17334 1.14327 1.41333
51 0.18453 0.55213 1.83845 -0.94684 -0.32170 -1.74072 -0.59143 1.12964 1.70429
52 0.96732 0.48658 0.25777 -0.99645 0.08425 -0.25686 0.02172 1.87157 2.01086
53 0.45934 0.06222 1.24737 0.92456 0.38104 1.15327 0.47530 2.57663 2.23765
54 0.82482 0.81458 0.62062 0.39470 -0.91881 0.24496 -0.57023 2.12248 1.71488
55 0.39319 0.65040 1.36635 -0.58574 -0.81050 -0.80033 -1.10742 1.59983 1.44629
56 0.44223 0.78737 1.27744 0.23262 -0.97257 0.29716 -1.24240 2.14858 1.37880
57 0.46616 0.84890 1.23550 0.58220 -0.81305 0.71930 -1.00452 2.35965 1.49774
58 0.99589 0.78620 0.09081 0.22552 -0.97424 0.02048 -0.08847 2.01024 1.95576
59 0.40728 0.95419 1.34034 0.95886 -0.28387 1.28520 -0.38048 2.64260 1.80976
60 0.55250 0.37565 1.08931 -0.71000 0.70421 -0.77341 0.76710 1.61330 2.38355
Interval yang dibutuhkan untuk memplot histogram,
𝑎 = 1 + 3.3 log 𝑛
Jumlah data n=400 sehingga,
𝑎 = 1 + 3.3 log 400 = 9.59 ≈ 10 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑣𝑎𝑙

Tabel perhitungan:

No Range Frequency
1 0.4 - 0.7 4
2 0.7 - 1.0 9
3 1.0 - 1.3 26
4 1.3 - 1.6 50
5 1.6 - 1.9 94
6 1.9 - 2.2 100
7 2.2 - 2.5 65
8 2.5 - 2.8 31
9 2.8 - 3.1 15
10 3.1 - 3.4 6
S 400

Histogram distribusi:

Histogram of X
120

100
100
Number of Observations

94
80

60 65

40 50

31
20 26
4 9 15 6
0
0.7 1 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.4
X
NOMOR 2
𝑌 =4+𝑋
 X berdistribusi normal dengan nilai tengah 10 dan standar deviasi 2
 Buat Y dengan metode Monte Carlo untuk 50 data dan gambar histogram distribusi.

JAWAB
Variabel random berdistribusi normal X,
𝑋 = 𝜇𝑥 + 𝑍𝜎𝑥
𝜇𝑥 = 10 𝑀𝑃𝑎
𝜎𝑥 = 2 𝑀𝑃𝑎

Variabel normal standar Z dibangkitkan dengan metode Box dan Muller,

𝑍1 = (−2 ln 𝑈1 )0.5 cos(2𝜋 𝑈2 )
𝑍2 = (−2 ln 𝑈1 )0.5 sin(2𝜋 𝑈2 )

Sehingga didapat,
𝑋𝑖 = 10 + 2 𝑍𝑖

Tabel perhitungan:
No U1 U2 (-2 ln u1)^0.5 cos (2p U2) sin (2p U2) Z1 Z2 X1 X2 Y1 Y2
1 0.95352 0.98378 0.30854 0.99481 -0.10173 0.30694 -0.03139 10.61388 9.93723 14.61388 13.93723
2 0.05673 0.79245 2.39563 0.26356 -0.96464 0.63139 -2.31092 11.26278 5.37815 15.26278 9.37815
3 0.26723 0.91730 1.62459 0.86801 -0.49655 1.41016 -0.80668 12.82031 8.38664 16.82031 12.38664
4 0.57982 0.32697 1.04407 -0.46498 0.88532 -0.48547 0.92433 9.02906 11.84867 13.02906 15.84867
5 0.86953 0.82257 0.52877 0.44031 -0.89784 0.23283 -0.47476 10.46565 9.05049 14.46565 13.05049
6 0.54242 0.23732 1.10609 0.07959 0.99683 0.08803 1.10258 10.17606 12.20516 14.17606 16.20516
7 0.31364 0.81187 1.52283 0.37902 -0.92539 0.57718 -1.40921 11.15437 7.18157 15.15437 11.18157
8 0.35965 0.81227 1.43012 0.38132 -0.92444 0.54534 -1.32207 11.09067 7.35587 15.09067 11.35587
9 0.16891 0.81652 1.88594 0.40588 -0.91393 0.76547 -1.72361 11.53094 6.55278 15.53094 10.55278
10 0.91470 0.90949 0.42229 0.84259 -0.53855 0.35581 -0.22742 10.71163 9.54515 14.71163 13.54515
11 0.10018 0.66901 2.14511 -0.48720 -0.87329 -1.04511 -1.87330 7.90979 6.25340 11.90979 10.25340
12 0.75128 0.81333 0.75627 0.38750 -0.92187 0.29306 -0.69718 10.58611 8.60564 14.58611 12.60564
13 0.80405 0.16794 0.66045 0.49303 0.87001 0.32562 0.57460 10.65124 11.14920 14.65124 15.14920
14 0.70388 0.18427 0.83802 0.40135 0.91593 0.33634 0.76757 10.67267 11.53514 14.67267 15.53514
15 0.28932 0.72730 1.57494 -0.14212 -0.98985 -0.22383 -1.55895 9.55234 6.88210 13.55234 10.88210
16 0.20948 0.95339 1.76811 0.95742 -0.28869 1.69283 -0.51044 13.38565 8.97912 17.38565 12.97912
17 0.43863 0.42681 1.28382 -0.89610 0.44385 -1.15043 0.56982 7.69914 11.13964 11.69914 15.13964
18 0.02093 0.02804 2.78086 0.98452 0.17526 2.73782 0.48738 15.47564 10.97477 19.47564 14.97477
19 0.32993 0.31234 1.48921 -0.38176 0.92426 -0.56852 1.37642 8.86296 12.75283 12.86296 16.75283
20 0.19045 0.66289 1.82120 -0.52043 -0.85391 -0.94780 -1.55513 8.10440 6.88974 12.10440 10.88974
No U1 U2 (-2 ln u1)^0.5 cos (2pU2) sin (2p U2) Z1 Z2 X1 X2 Y1 Y2
21 0.28411 0.49132 1.58644 -0.99851 0.05451 -1.58408 0.08647 6.83184 10.17294 10.83184 14.17294
22 0.85982 0.84773 0.54959 0.57618 -0.81732 0.31667 -0.44919 10.63333 9.10161 14.63333 13.10161
23 0.90346 0.01915 0.45062 0.99277 0.12006 0.44736 0.05410 10.89471 10.10820 14.89471 14.10820
24 0.51242 0.00595 1.15638 0.99930 0.03736 1.15558 0.04320 12.31115 10.08641 16.31115 14.08641
25 0.74328 0.08540 0.77031 0.85946 0.51121 0.66205 0.39379 11.32409 10.78757 15.32409 14.78757

Interval yang dibutuhkan untuk memplot histogram,

𝑎 = 1 + 3.3 log 𝑛
Jumlah data n=50 sehingga,
𝑎 = 1 + 3.3 log 50 = 6.61 ≈ 7 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑣𝑎𝑙

Tabel perhitungan:

No Range Frequency
1 9 - 10.5 2
2 10.5 - 12.0 8
3 12.0 - 13.5 8
4 13.5 - 15.0 17
5 15.0 - 16.5 11
6 16.5 - 18.0 3
7 18.0 - 19.5 1
S 50

Histogram distribusi:
Histogram yang didapat tidak begitu halus karena data yang digunakan hanya 50 data. Dicoba
untuk menggunakan 400 data pada perhitungan sehingga bisa didapat histogram yang lebih
halus.

Perhitungan interval dengan 400 data,

𝑎 = 1 + 3.3 log 400 = 9.59 ≈ 10 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑣𝑎𝑙

Tabel perhitungan:

No Range Frequency
1 7.5 - 8.7 3
2 8.7 - 9.9 8
3 9.9 - 11.1 26
4 11.1 - 12.3 48
5 12.3 - 13.5 84
6 13.5 - 14.7 107
7 14.7 - 15.9 70
8 15.9 - 17.1 32
9 17.1 - 18.3 16
10 18.3 - 19.5 6
S 400

Histogram distribusi:

Histogram of Y
120

100 107
Number of Observations

80
84
60 70

40 48

20 32
26
3 8 16 6
0
8.7 9.9 11.1 12.3 13.5 14.7 15.9 17.1 18.3 19.5
Y
NOMOR 3
𝑌 = 𝑋1 + 𝑋2
 X1 berdistribusi merata dengan nilai antara 10 - 14
 X2 berdistribusi eksponen dengan  = 2
Bangkitkan nilai Y untuk 50 data dan gambar distribusinya.

JAWAB
Variabel random berdistribusi seragam X dengan nilai 𝑎 ≤ 𝑥 ≤ 𝑏,
𝑋 = 𝑎 + (𝑏 − 𝑎)𝑈

Dimana diketahui,
𝑎 = 10
𝑏 = 14
𝑈 = 𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑎𝑛 𝑟𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑜𝑚

Sehingga,
𝑋1 𝑖 = 10 + (14 − 10)𝑈𝑖

Variabel random berdistribusi eksponen X2 dengan  = 2

𝑋 = −𝛽 ln 𝑈
𝑋2 = −2 ln 𝑈

Tabel perhitungan:

No U X1 X2 Y
1 0.57299 12.29196 1.11378 13.40573
2 0.23579 10.94316 2.88963 13.83279
3 0.38273 11.53093 1.92084 13.45177
4 0.84801 13.39206 0.32972 13.72177
5 0.33928 11.35710 2.16189 13.51899
6 0.56569 12.26276 1.13941 13.40218
7 0.12304 10.49215 4.19054 14.68269
8 0.42996 11.71982 1.68815 13.40797
9 0.53681 12.14723 1.24423 13.39146
10 0.09202 10.36808 4.77148 15.13956
11 0.60650 12.42599 1.00011 13.42610
12 0.88408 13.53634 0.24641 13.78274
No U X1 X2 Y
13 0.15937 10.63750 3.67300 14.31050
14 0.10389 10.41558 4.52876 14.94434
15 0.68371 12.73483 0.76045 13.49528
16 0.82705 13.30819 0.37979 13.68798
17 0.94137 13.76550 0.12083 13.88633
18 0.81808 13.27232 0.40159 13.67391
19 0.55156 12.20624 1.19001 13.39625
20 0.05555 10.22220 5.78096 16.00316
21 0.55699 12.22794 1.17043 13.39837
22 0.60533 12.42131 1.00397 13.42528
23 0.92651 13.70605 0.15266 13.85871
24 0.18749 10.74998 3.34801 14.09799
25 0.57799 12.31195 1.09641 13.40836
26 0.89877 13.59507 0.21346 13.80853
27 0.43917 11.75669 1.64573 13.40242
28 0.52359 12.09436 1.29409 13.38845
29 0.82069 13.28274 0.39523 13.67797
30 0.63156 12.52625 0.91912 13.44537
31 0.73702 12.94807 0.61029 13.55836
32 0.70683 12.82730 0.69394 13.52125
33 0.36204 11.44817 2.03199 13.48016
34 0.31061 11.24243 2.33846 13.58088
35 0.80037 13.20146 0.44537 13.64684
36 0.13430 10.53720 4.01534 14.55255
37 0.89670 13.58679 0.21808 13.80486
38 0.34513 11.38053 2.12766 13.50818
39 0.63038 12.52152 0.92286 13.44439
40 0.08741 10.34965 4.87421 15.22386
41 0.10307 10.41230 4.54462 14.95691
42 0.67447 12.69787 0.78766 13.48553
43 0.80957 13.23829 0.42250 13.66079
44 0.28046 11.12184 2.54265 13.66449
45 0.80743 13.22971 0.42781 13.65751
46 0.02615 10.10459 7.28801 17.39260
47 0.69702 12.78807 0.72189 13.50996
48 0.94935 13.79739 0.10396 13.90135
49 0.26438 11.05754 2.66070 13.71824
50 0.11173 10.44693 4.38330 14.83023
Interval yang dibutuhkan untuk memplot histogram dengan jumlah data n=50,
𝑎 = 1 + 3.3 log 50 = 6.61 ≈ 7 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑣𝑎𝑙

Tabel perhitungan:

No Range Frequency
1 13.2 - 13.8 33
2 13.8 - 14.4 8
3 14.4 - 15.0 5
4 15.0 - 15.6 2
5 15.6 - 16.2 1
6 16.2 - 16.8 0
7 16.8 - 17.4 1
S 50

Histogram distribusi,

Histogram of Y
35

30 33
Number of Observations

25

20

15

10

5 8
5 2 1 0 1
0
13.8 14.4 15 15.6 16.2 16.8 17.4
Y
NOMOR 4
Diketahui balok kayu tumpuan sederhana dengan panjang 4m. Dimensi penampang kayu 10/20
cm. Beban pada balok berupa beban mati (berat sendiri balok) dan beban hidup merata dengan
nilai rata-rata 4 kN/m dan standar deviasi 0.8 kN/m. Hitung peluang runtuh apabila diketahui
kekuatan kayu berdistribusi normal dengan nilai rata-rata 13000 kN/m2 dan standar deviasi 2000
kN/m2.

JAWAB
Kayu diasumsikan kayu jati. Beban mati balok DL,
𝐵𝐽 𝑘𝑎𝑦𝑢 𝑗𝑎𝑡𝑖 = 700 𝑘𝑔⁄𝑚3 = 7 𝑘𝑁⁄𝑚3
𝐷𝐿 = 0.1 𝑥 0.2 𝑥 7 = 0.14 𝑘𝑁/𝑚

Beban hidup LL berdistribusi normal dengan,

𝜇𝐿𝐿 = 4 𝑘𝑁/𝑚
𝜎𝐿𝐿 = 0.8 𝑘𝑁/𝑚

Sehingga nilai rata-rata dan standar deviasi momen M,

𝐷𝐿 𝑥 𝐿2 𝜇𝐿𝐿 𝑥 𝐿2 0.14 𝑥 42 4 𝑥 42
𝜇𝑀 = + = +
8 8 8 8
𝜇𝑀 = 8.28 𝑘𝑁𝑚
𝜎𝐿𝐿 𝑥 𝐿2 0.8 𝑥 42
𝜎𝑀 = = = 1.6 𝑘𝑁𝑚
8 8
Maka didapat,
𝑀𝑖 = 8.28 + 1.6 𝑍𝑖

Tegangan akibat beban 𝑓𝑆 ,

𝑀 6𝑀 6 𝑀𝑖
𝑓𝑆 𝑖 = = =
𝑊 𝑏 ℎ2 0.1 𝑥 0.22

Kekuatan kayu 𝑓𝑘 berdistribusi normal dengan,

𝜇𝑓𝐾 = 13000 𝑘𝑁⁄𝑚2
𝜎𝑓𝐾 = 2000 𝑘𝑁⁄𝑚2
Sehingga,
𝑓𝐾 𝑖 = 13000 + 2000 𝑍𝑖

Struktur akan aman (TRUE) apabila 𝑓𝐾 𝑖 > 𝑓𝑆 𝑖

Struktur akan runtuh (FALSE) apabila 𝑓𝐾 𝑖 < 𝑓𝑆 𝑖
Tabel perhitungan:
No
No U1
U1 U2
U2 (-2
(-2 ln
ln U1)^0.5 cos (2p
u1)^0.5 cos (2p U2)
U2) ZZ M
M sS =fS
M/W sK
fK Ket.
Ket.
1 0.95352 0.98378 0.30854 0.99481 0.30694 8.77110 13156.653 13613.877 TRUE
2 0.05673 0.79245 2.39563 0.26356 0.63139 9.29022 13935.337 14262.780 TRUE
3 0.26723 0.91730 1.62459 0.86801 1.41016 10.53625 15804.378 15820.315 TRUE
4 0.57982 0.32697 1.04407 -0.46498 -0.48547 7.50325 11254.876 12029.064 TRUE
5 0.86953 0.82257 0.52877 0.44031 0.23283 8.65252 12978.782 13465.652 TRUE
6 0.54242 0.23732 1.10609 0.07959 0.08803 8.42085 12631.278 13176.065 TRUE
7 0.31364 0.81187 1.52283 0.37902 0.57718 9.20349 13805.240 14154.366 TRUE
8 0.35965 0.81227 1.43012 0.38132 0.54534 9.15254 13728.805 14090.671 TRUE
9 0.16891 0.81652 1.88594 0.40588 0.76547 9.50475 14257.128 14530.940 TRUE
10 0.91470 0.90949 0.42229 0.84259 0.35581 8.84930 13273.956 13711.630 TRUE
11 0.10018 0.66901 2.14511 -0.48720 -1.04511 6.60783 9911.746 10909.788 TRUE
12 0.75128 0.81333 0.75627 0.38750 0.29306 8.74889 13123.336 13586.113 TRUE
13 0.80405 0.16794 0.66045 0.49303 0.32562 8.80099 13201.492 13651.243 TRUE
14 0.70388 0.18427 0.83802 0.40135 0.33634 8.81814 13227.209 13672.675 TRUE
15 0.28932 0.72730 1.57494 -0.14212 -0.22383 7.92187 11882.807 12552.339 TRUE
16 0.20948 0.95339 1.76811 0.95742 1.69283 10.98852 16482.783 16385.653 FALSE
17 0.43863 0.42681 1.28382 -0.89610 -1.15043 6.43931 9658.970 10699.142 TRUE
18 0.02093 0.02804 2.78086 0.98452 2.73782 12.66051 18990.767 18475.639 FALSE
19 0.32993 0.31234 1.48921 -0.38176 -0.56852 7.37037 11055.548 11862.957 TRUE
20 0.19045 0.66289 1.82120 -0.52043 -0.94780 6.76352 10145.281 11104.401 TRUE
21 0.28411 0.49132 1.58644 -0.99851 -1.58408 5.74547 8618.203 9831.836 TRUE
22 0.85982 0.84773 0.54959 0.57618 0.31667 8.78667 13180.000 13633.333 TRUE
23 0.90346 0.01915 0.45062 0.99277 0.44736 8.99577 13493.654 13894.712 TRUE
24 0.51242 0.00595 1.15638 0.99930 1.15558 10.12892 15193.381 15311.151 TRUE
25 0.74328 0.08540 0.77031 0.85946 0.66205 9.33927 14008.912 14324.093 TRUE
26 0.26977 0.52646 1.61876 -0.98621 -1.59644 5.72570 8588.548 9807.123 TRUE
27 0.14044 0.96394 1.98142 0.97445 1.93079 11.36926 17053.897 16861.581 FALSE
28 0.88538 0.67348 0.49342 -0.46247 -0.22819 7.91489 11872.341 12543.618 TRUE
29 0.63730 0.84602 0.94923 0.56738 0.53857 9.14171 13712.571 14077.142 TRUE
30 0.78305 0.18131 0.69936 0.41829 0.29254 8.74806 13122.091 13585.076 TRUE
31 0.62205 0.21245 0.97440 0.23374 0.22775 8.64441 12966.611 13455.509 TRUE
32 0.36683 0.65634 1.41623 -0.55509 -0.78614 7.02218 10533.270 11427.725 TRUE
33 0.02870 0.77849 2.66487 0.17807 0.47452 9.03924 13558.854 13949.045 TRUE
34 0.57749 0.81401 1.04792 0.39146 0.41021 8.93634 13404.514 13820.429 TRUE
35 0.03081 0.01561 2.63813 0.99520 2.62546 12.48073 18721.101 18250.918 FALSE
36 0.81890 0.25069 0.63212 -0.00436 -0.00276 8.27559 12413.382 12994.485 TRUE
37 0.22329 0.23672 1.73165 0.08337 0.14438 8.51100 12766.500 13288.750 TRUE
38 0.06514 0.28584 2.33720 -0.22328 -0.52186 7.44503 11167.545 11956.288 TRUE
39 0.09138 0.50537 2.18757 -0.99943 -2.18632 4.78188 7172.823 8627.353 TRUE
40 0.96284 0.44671 0.27521 -0.94446 -0.25992 7.86412 11796.184 12480.153 TRUE
41 0.82582 0.63425 0.61867 -0.66484 -0.41132 7.62189 11432.837 12177.364 TRUE
42 0.38501 0.17769 1.38166 0.43888 0.60639 9.25022 13875.336 14212.780 TRUE
43 0.09476 0.56836 2.17092 -0.90916 -1.97371 5.12207 7683.102 9052.585 TRUE
44 0.67596 0.81661 0.88501 0.40639 0.35966 8.85545 13283.177 13719.314 TRUE
45 0.92743 0.59480 0.38816 -0.82778 -0.32131 7.76590 11648.848 12357.374 TRUE
No U1 U2 (-2 ln U1)^0.5 cos (2p U2) Z M fS fK Ket.
46 0.30246 0.05749 1.54647 0.93546 1.44667 10.59467 15892.009 15893.341 TRUE
47 0.41518 0.93673 1.32594 0.92202 1.22254 10.23606 15354.086 15445.071 TRUE
48 0.51081 0.48665 1.15911 -0.99648 -1.15503 6.43195 9647.919 10689.932 TRUE
49 0.37068 0.23670 1.40884 0.08344 0.11756 8.46809 12702.133 13235.111 TRUE
50 0.11575 0.59556 2.07670 -0.82509 -1.71346 5.53846 8307.685 9573.070 TRUE
51 0.18453 0.55213 1.83845 -0.94684 -1.74072 5.49485 8242.274 9518.562 TRUE
52 0.96732 0.48658 0.25777 -0.99645 -0.25686 7.86903 11803.544 12486.286 TRUE
53 0.45934 0.06222 1.24737 0.92456 1.15327 10.12523 15187.843 15306.536 TRUE
54 0.82482 0.81458 0.62062 0.39470 0.24496 8.67194 13007.909 13489.924 TRUE
55 0.39319 0.65040 1.36635 -0.58574 -0.80033 6.99947 10499.202 11399.335 TRUE
56 0.44223 0.78737 1.27744 0.23262 0.29716 8.75546 13133.194 13594.329 TRUE
57 0.46616 0.84890 1.23550 0.58220 0.71930 9.43089 14146.331 14438.609 TRUE
58 0.99589 0.78620 0.09081 0.22552 0.02048 8.31277 12469.153 13040.961 TRUE
59 0.40728 0.95419 1.34034 0.95886 1.28520 10.33632 15504.485 15570.404 TRUE
60 0.55250 0.37565 1.08931 -0.71000 -0.77341 7.04255 10563.827 11453.189 TRUE
61 0.71646 0.59754 0.81663 -0.81800 -0.66800 7.21120 10816.804 11664.003 TRUE
62 0.46392 0.55757 1.23939 -0.93529 -1.15919 6.42530 9637.943 10681.619 TRUE
63 0.68572 0.06394 0.86866 0.92038 0.79950 9.55919 14338.791 14598.992 TRUE
64 0.54336 0.14916 1.10453 0.59206 0.65395 9.32632 13989.477 14307.897 TRUE
65 0.00824 0.89516 3.09798 0.79078 2.44982 12.19971 18299.561 17899.634 FALSE
66 0.78165 0.03234 0.70193 0.97942 0.68748 9.37997 14069.954 14374.962 TRUE
67 0.24320 0.12151 1.68159 0.72242 1.21482 10.22371 15335.568 15429.640 TRUE
68 0.63355 0.09904 0.95543 0.81253 0.77632 9.52211 14283.166 14552.639 TRUE
69 0.26819 0.89773 1.62239 0.80055 1.29881 10.35810 15537.145 15597.621 TRUE
70 0.09173 0.10364 2.18584 0.79536 1.73853 11.06166 16592.484 16477.070 FALSE
71 0.05170 0.27427 2.43403 -0.15189 -0.36970 7.68848 11532.727 12260.606 TRUE
72 0.97538 0.35951 0.22329 -0.63506 -0.14180 8.05312 12079.675 12716.396 TRUE
73 0.75790 0.51991 0.74459 -0.99219 -0.73877 7.09796 10646.940 11522.450 TRUE
74 0.65632 0.38367 0.91773 -0.74455 -0.68330 7.18672 10780.085 11633.405 TRUE
75 0.92272 0.70161 0.40106 -0.29936 -0.12006 8.08791 12131.858 12759.881 TRUE
76 0.85811 0.78612 0.55321 0.22503 0.12449 8.47919 12718.781 13248.984 TRUE
77 0.94809 0.93171 0.32652 0.90934 0.29692 8.75506 13132.597 13593.831 TRUE
78 0.98710 0.68211 0.16112 -0.41376 -0.06667 8.17333 12260.002 12866.668 TRUE
79 0.17961 0.99900 1.85310 0.99998 1.85306 11.24490 16867.348 16706.124 FALSE
80 0.46468 0.55706 1.23807 -0.93642 -1.15935 6.42504 9637.558 10681.299 TRUE
81 0.82250 0.93192 0.62515 0.90991 0.56883 9.19012 13785.187 14137.656 TRUE
82 0.01500 0.45243 2.89806 -0.95567 -2.76959 3.84866 5772.986 7460.822 TRUE
83 0.28784 0.72900 1.57820 -0.13156 -0.20763 7.94780 11921.695 12584.746 TRUE
84 0.07573 0.68780 2.27185 -0.38092 -0.86540 6.89536 10343.037 11269.197 TRUE
85 0.53804 0.71897 1.11339 -0.19376 -0.21573 7.93484 11902.255 12568.546 TRUE
86 0.94748 0.39012 0.32848 -0.77101 -0.25326 7.87478 11812.175 12493.479 TRUE
87 0.10880 0.40609 2.10631 -0.83090 -1.75013 5.47979 8219.692 9499.744 TRUE
88 0.59949 0.11124 1.01160 0.76552 0.77440 9.51904 14278.566 14548.805 TRUE
89 0.71874 0.70004 0.81271 -0.30877 -0.25094 7.87849 11817.733 12498.111 TRUE
90 0.18855 0.37749 1.82669 -0.71808 -1.31171 6.18126 9271.897 10376.581 TRUE
No U1 U2 (-2 ln U1)^0.5 cos (2p U2) Z M fS fK Ket.
91 0.54655 0.12172 1.09921 0.72151 0.79309 9.54895 14323.420 14586.184 TRUE
92 0.73808 0.43497 0.77936 -0.91767 -0.71520 7.13568 10703.525 11569.604 TRUE
93 0.72358 0.02616 0.80442 0.98652 0.79358 9.54972 14324.585 14587.154 TRUE
94 0.71203 0.35589 0.82417 -0.61731 -0.50877 7.46597 11198.957 11982.464 TRUE
95 0.27555 0.71454 1.60560 -0.22093 -0.35473 7.71243 11568.638 12290.532 TRUE
96 0.86322 0.96537 0.54237 0.97642 0.52958 9.12733 13690.989 14059.158 TRUE
97 0.70533 0.59178 0.83557 -0.83827 -0.70044 7.15929 10738.941 11599.118 TRUE
98 0.84999 0.49028 0.57014 -0.99814 -0.56908 7.36947 11054.202 11861.835 TRUE
99 0.08850 0.57866 2.20216 -0.88033 -1.93862 5.17821 7767.318 9122.765 TRUE
100 0.02306 0.87926 2.74574 0.72578 1.99281 11.46849 17202.739 16985.616 FALSE
101 0.94463 0.35161 0.33752 -0.59593 -0.20114 7.95817 11937.258 12597.715 TRUE
102 0.03514 0.85791 2.58783 0.62725 1.62322 10.87715 16315.724 16246.437 FALSE
103 0.00720 0.46172 3.14125 -0.97121 -3.05081 3.39870 5098.049 6898.374 TRUE
104 0.87212 0.14101 0.52313 0.63253 0.33089 8.80943 13214.143 13661.786 TRUE
105 0.55594 0.43784 1.08360 -0.92469 -1.00200 6.67681 10015.209 10996.008 TRUE
106 0.65843 0.59432 0.91422 -0.82948 -0.75833 7.06668 10600.015 11483.346 TRUE
107 0.19366 0.83495 1.81199 0.50876 0.92187 9.75499 14632.479 14843.732 TRUE
108 0.44956 0.85559 1.26451 0.61581 0.77869 9.52591 14288.865 14557.387 TRUE
109 0.72948 0.27177 0.79425 -0.13637 -0.10831 8.10671 12160.060 12783.383 TRUE
110 0.21783 0.98122 1.74589 0.99304 1.73374 11.05399 16580.984 16467.486 FALSE
111 0.46692 0.03788 1.23418 0.97181 1.19939 10.19903 15298.538 15398.782 TRUE
112 0.53810 0.19999 1.11330 0.30906 0.34408 8.83053 13245.795 13688.162 TRUE
113 0.41392 0.41409 1.32822 -0.85781 -1.13936 6.45703 9685.541 10721.284 TRUE
114 0.74955 0.59722 0.75931 -0.81917 -0.62201 7.28479 10927.183 11755.986 TRUE
115 0.05117 0.34831 2.43829 -0.57918 -1.41221 6.02046 9030.691 10175.576 TRUE
116 0.69958 0.77702 0.84532 0.16899 0.14285 8.50855 12762.830 13285.692 TRUE
117 0.57724 0.61237 1.04833 -0.76093 -0.79771 7.00366 10505.497 11404.581 TRUE
118 0.59723 0.41925 1.01534 -0.87403 -0.88743 6.86011 10290.164 11225.136 TRUE
119 0.23670 0.23100 1.69761 0.11911 0.20220 8.60352 12905.281 13404.400 TRUE
120 0.99640 0.52809 0.08499 -0.98447 -0.08367 8.14613 12219.201 12832.668 TRUE
121 0.80098 0.83065 0.66621 0.48532 0.32333 8.79732 13195.980 13646.650 TRUE
122 0.65673 0.98797 0.91705 0.99714 0.91443 9.74308 14614.625 14828.854 TRUE
123 0.35514 0.28362 1.43892 -0.20966 -0.30168 7.79731 11695.959 12396.632 TRUE
124 0.19114 0.03247 1.81919 0.97927 1.78147 11.13036 16695.540 16562.950 FALSE
125 0.70173 0.17141 0.84167 0.47399 0.39895 8.91832 13377.477 13797.898 TRUE
126 0.90191 0.70205 0.45439 -0.29677 -0.13485 8.06424 12096.360 12730.300 TRUE
127 0.73439 0.62218 0.78576 -0.71951 -0.56537 7.37542 11063.123 11869.269 TRUE
128 0.09166 0.71086 2.18619 -0.24343 -0.53218 7.42850 11142.756 11935.630 TRUE
129 0.82151 0.49718 0.62708 -0.99984 -0.62698 7.27683 10915.244 11746.037 TRUE
130 0.00770 0.77578 3.11987 0.16125 0.50307 9.08492 13627.378 14006.149 TRUE
131 0.56402 0.69986 1.07021 -0.30983 -0.33158 7.74947 11624.207 12336.839 TRUE
132 0.54924 0.49489 1.09473 -0.99949 -1.09416 6.52934 9794.009 10811.674 TRUE
133 0.80526 0.75617 0.65817 0.03874 0.02550 8.32079 12481.191 13050.993 TRUE
134 0.91120 0.20249 0.43125 0.29409 0.12683 8.48292 12724.384 13253.653 TRUE
135 0.61996 0.63997 0.97786 -0.63759 -0.62347 7.28245 10923.673 11753.061 TRUE
No U1 U2 (-2 ln U1)^0.5 cos (2p U2) Z M fS fK Ket.
136 0.44698 0.47236 1.26905 -0.98496 -1.24996 6.28006 9420.088 10500.074 TRUE
137 0.66686 0.77235 0.90019 0.13999 0.12602 8.48162 12722.437 13252.030 TRUE
138 0.51978 0.57481 1.14399 -0.89154 -1.01992 6.64813 9972.200 10960.167 TRUE
139 0.44232 0.17554 1.27728 0.45094 0.57598 9.20157 13802.352 14151.960 TRUE
140 0.74460 0.45330 0.76799 -0.95726 -0.73517 7.10374 10655.603 11529.669 TRUE
141 0.95309 0.17704 0.30997 0.44252 0.13717 8.49947 12749.205 13274.337 TRUE
142 0.11345 0.53728 2.08634 -0.97269 -2.02936 5.03302 7549.531 8941.276 TRUE
143 0.90444 0.75663 0.44820 0.04165 0.01867 8.30987 12464.807 13037.339 TRUE
144 0.09280 0.65130 2.18051 -0.58114 -1.26718 6.25252 9378.779 10465.650 TRUE
145 0.03380 0.76470 2.60278 0.09224 0.24007 8.66412 12996.175 13480.146 TRUE
146 0.37224 0.52061 1.40585 -0.99162 -1.39408 6.04947 9074.212 10211.843 TRUE
147 0.44359 0.74214 1.27503 -0.04935 -0.06292 8.17933 12268.990 12874.158 TRUE
148 0.49897 0.94734 1.17916 0.94576 1.11520 10.06433 15096.489 15230.408 TRUE
149 0.49359 0.59204 1.18832 -0.83741 -0.99510 6.68784 10031.753 11009.794 TRUE
150 0.47967 0.47602 1.21216 -0.98867 -1.19843 6.36251 9543.766 10603.138 TRUE
151 0.62270 0.65060 0.97334 -0.58474 -0.56915 7.36936 11054.040 11861.700 TRUE
152 0.92756 0.05505 0.38780 0.94078 0.36484 8.86374 13295.605 13729.671 TRUE
153 0.24438 0.16186 1.67870 0.52593 0.88289 9.69262 14538.925 14765.771 TRUE
154 0.16898 0.74755 1.88571 -0.01542 -0.02907 8.23348 12350.221 12941.851 TRUE
155 0.17685 0.79873 1.86142 0.30140 0.56102 9.17764 13766.456 14122.047 TRUE
156 0.01366 0.60546 2.93020 -0.78838 -2.31012 4.58380 6875.701 8379.751 TRUE
157 0.40721 0.86261 1.34046 0.64997 0.87125 9.67401 14511.012 14742.510 TRUE
158 0.35645 0.22167 1.43636 0.17708 0.25434 8.68695 13030.428 13508.690 TRUE
159 0.40273 0.18531 1.34869 0.39534 0.53319 9.13311 13699.665 14066.387 TRUE
160 0.51385 0.56696 1.15397 -0.91280 -1.05335 6.59464 9891.965 10893.304 TRUE
161 0.22316 0.97690 1.73198 0.98948 1.71377 11.02202 16533.037 16427.531 FALSE
162 0.03800 0.73682 2.55739 -0.08272 -0.21154 7.94154 11912.316 12576.930 TRUE
163 0.26042 0.20555 1.64041 0.27569 0.45224 9.00359 13505.384 13904.486 TRUE
164 0.78841 0.76839 0.68955 0.11531 0.07951 8.40722 12610.834 13159.028 TRUE
165 0.81230 0.73470 0.64480 -0.09600 -0.06190 8.18096 12271.433 12876.194 TRUE
166 0.78397 0.69190 0.69769 -0.35700 -0.24907 7.88148 11822.221 12501.851 TRUE
167 0.29567 0.82736 1.56110 0.46714 0.72925 9.44680 14170.207 14458.506 TRUE
168 0.17813 0.64508 1.85754 -0.61253 -1.13781 6.45951 9689.266 10724.388 TRUE
169 0.23200 0.01811 1.70941 0.99353 1.69835 10.99736 16496.042 16396.702 FALSE
170 0.02766 0.26882 2.67873 -0.11797 -0.31601 7.77438 11661.572 12367.977 TRUE
171 0.40290 0.58027 1.34838 -0.87548 -1.18048 6.39123 9586.850 10639.042 TRUE
172 0.99454 0.87997 0.10468 0.72885 0.07629 8.40207 12603.102 13152.585 TRUE
173 0.80752 0.11629 0.65389 0.74472 0.48697 9.05915 13588.720 13973.934 TRUE
174 0.78842 0.41368 0.68953 -0.85649 -0.59058 7.33508 11002.619 11818.849 TRUE
175 0.07339 0.15654 2.28559 0.55403 1.26628 10.30605 15459.078 15532.565 TRUE
176 0.39612 0.49720 1.36091 -0.99985 -1.36070 6.10288 9154.316 10278.597 TRUE
177 0.39020 0.75406 1.37192 0.02551 0.03499 8.33599 12503.980 13069.984 TRUE
178 0.20672 0.51728 1.77560 -0.99411 -1.76514 5.45578 8183.664 9469.720 TRUE
179 0.51143 0.58718 1.15805 -0.85368 -0.98861 6.69823 10047.341 11022.784 TRUE
180 0.56302 0.31327 1.07186 -0.38718 -0.41500 7.61600 11423.999 12169.999 TRUE
 No U1 U2 (-2 ln U1)^0.5 cos (2p U2) Z M fS fK Ket.
181 0.34505 0.33940 1.45882 -0.53263 -0.77702 7.03677 10555.162 11445.968 TRUE
182 0.22052 0.91851 1.73882 0.87177 1.51586 10.70537 16058.062 16031.718 FALSE
183 0.61916 0.76372 0.97917 0.08609 0.08430 8.41488 12622.323 13168.603 TRUE
184 0.75230 0.24858 0.75448 0.00894 0.00674 8.29079 12436.184 13013.487 TRUE
185 0.99022 0.29366 0.14023 -0.27092 -0.03799 8.21921 12328.819 12924.016 TRUE
186 0.85089 0.40395 0.56828 -0.82336 -0.46790 7.53136 11297.041 12064.201 TRUE
187 0.21544 0.81377 1.75219 0.39002 0.68339 9.37343 14060.148 14366.790 TRUE
188 0.33854 0.86881 1.47181 0.67908 0.99948 9.87917 14818.756 14998.963 TRUE
189 0.42313 0.33923 1.31155 -0.53175 -0.69742 7.16412 10746.183 11605.153 TRUE
190 0.90186 0.66407 0.45453 -0.51404 -0.23365 7.90616 11859.247 12532.706 TRUE
191 0.52522 0.24042 1.13485 0.06019 0.06830 8.38928 12583.923 13136.602 TRUE
192 0.67395 0.25241 0.88837 -0.01516 -0.01346 8.25846 12387.688 12973.073 TRUE
193 0.33309 0.26262 1.48280 -0.07920 -0.11744 8.09210 12138.145 12765.121 TRUE
194 0.32310 0.81468 1.50319 0.39529 0.59420 9.23071 13846.069 14188.391 TRUE
195 0.95079 0.99159 0.31769 0.99860 0.31724 8.78759 13181.385 13634.487 TRUE
196 0.18802 0.49383 1.82823 -0.99925 -1.82686 5.35703 8035.542 9346.285 TRUE
197 0.09296 0.91633 2.17973 0.86495 1.88536 11.29658 16944.876 16770.730 FALSE
198 0.97008 0.54536 0.24648 -0.95967 -0.23654 7.90154 11852.315 12526.929 TRUE
199 0.97008 0.54536 0.24648 -0.95967 -0.23654 7.90154 11852.315 12526.929 TRUE
200 0.97008 0.54536 0.24648 -0.95967 -0.23654 7.90154 11852.315 12526.929 TRUE

Peluang runtuh struktur balok adalah,

𝐽𝑢𝑚𝑙𝑎ℎ 𝐹𝐴𝐿𝑆𝐸 15
𝑃𝑓 = = = 0.075
𝐽𝑢𝑚𝑙𝑎ℎ 𝑠𝑖𝑚𝑢𝑙𝑎𝑠𝑖 200

Maka peluang runtuh struktur adalah 7.5%.