SIDQI YASIR
1805903030059
Data hasil penjualan air aqua di sebuah agen dalam jangka
semingu
No Hari Jumlah
1 Senin 24
2 Selasa 40
3 Rabu 35
4 Kamis 23
5 Jumat 44
6 Sabtu 32
7 Minggu 39
METODE REGRESI LINIER
t dt dt*t t^2 a b dt'=a+bt e e^2
e^2 = 1025,87
1025,87
2 5
SEE = 205.174
Metode Single Moving Average
t dt Forecast Mov. Ave. e e^2
N/A N/A
1 24 N/A
N/A N/A
2 40 N/A
19 16 256
3 35
20,5 2,5 6,25
4 23
20 24 576
5 44
20 12 144
6 32
20 19 361
7 39
∑ 237 99,5 73,5 1343,25
24+ 40
Yt + Yt-1 + ..... Yt + n - 1 Forecast = = 32
^ = 2
Yt-1
m e = dt-dt’ = 237-20,9166 = 14, 50
e^2 = 46692.03576
^
Yt-1 = Nilai Ramalan pada periode (t-1) n
t dt e e^2
Forecast Mov. Ave.
130 N/A N/A
1 N/A
161 N/A N/A
2 N/A
128 19 109 11881
3
124 20,5 103,5 10712,25
4
185 20 165 27225
5
210 20 190 36100
6
224 20 204 41616
7
127534,25
Ft=F(t-1)+ w(A(t-1)-F(t-1)
Ft = 24(24-1) + 0,24(24)-24(24-1)
Ft = 24
127534,25
5
SEE = 25506.85
KESIMPULAN