NIM : 023001805004
Manajemen Investasi
PEMAHAMAN TEORI
LATIHAN 1
1. Rudi memiliki tiga saham dan telah mengestimasi return distribusi joint probab
Return Saham
Hasil Saham A
1 -10
2 0
3 10
4 20
Jawab :
• Ekspetasi Return
(probabilitas x return masing2 saham )
• Variance
(probabilitas x (return saham - eksp return)^2
• Standar Deviasi
(akar dari variance)
• Covariance
(standar deviasi / eksp return)
Jawab :
• Ekspetasi Return
(probabilitas x return saham)
• Variance
(probabilitas x (return saham - eksp return)^2
• Standar Deviasi
(akar dari variance)
• Covariance
(standar deviasi / eksp return)
LATIHAN 2
a. Bank A membeli SBI dengan syarat2 sbb:
Penyelesaian pembayaran pada hari yang sama (same day settlement)
Jumlah nilai nominal SBI Rp 1.000.000.000
Tingkat diskonto sebesar 14% dan Jumlah hari jatuh tempo adalah 60 hari
Jawab :
Harga Beli SBI P=
• Keuntungan Bank A
Saham B
E(R) = (0.30 x 10) + (0.20 x 10) + (0.30 x 5) + (0.20 x -10)
>> 4.5
Saham C
E(R) = (0.30 x 0) + (0.20 x 10) + (0.30 x 15) + (0.20 x 5)
>> 7.5
Saham A
(probabilitas x (return saham - eksp return)^2 𝜎^2 [(0.30 x (-10 - 4)^2 + 0.20 x (0 - 4)^2 + 0.30 x (10 - 4)^2 + 0.20 x (20 - 4
= >> 124
Saham B
𝜎^2 [(0.30 x (10 - 4.5)^2 + 0.20 x (10 - 4.5)^2 + 0.30 x (5 - 4.5)^2 + 0.20 x (-
= >> 57.25
Saham C
𝜎^2 [(0.30 x (0 - 7.5)^2 + 0.20 x (10 - 7.5)^2 + 0.30 x (15 - 7.5)^2 + 0.20 x (5
= >> 36.25
Saham B
σ = √57.25
>> 7.57
Saham C
σ = √36.25
>> 6.02
• Covariance Saham A
(standar deviasi / eksp return) σ / E(R) = 11.14 / 4
>> 2.85
Saham B
σ / E(R) = 7.57 / 4.5
>> 1.68
Saham C
σ / E(R) = 6.02 / 7.5
>> 0.803
Saham B
E(R) = (0.2x 12%) + (0.4 x 15%) + (0.4 x 22%)
>> 17.2%
Saham A
(probabilitas x (return saham - eksp return)^2 𝜎^2 [(0.2 x (10% - 24%)^2 + 0.4 x (20% - 24%)^2 + 0.4 x (35% - 24%)^2 )]
= >> 9.4%
Saham B
𝜎^2 [(0.2 x (12% - 17.2%)^2 + 0.4 x (15% - 17.2%)^2 + 0.4 x (22% - 17.2%)^
=
𝜎^2
= >> 17%
Saham B
σ = √17%
>> 41.23%
• Covariance Saham A
(standar deviasi / eksp return) σ / E(R) = 30.66% / 9.4%
>> 3.26
Saham B
σ / E(R) = 41.23% / 17%
>> 2.43
Rp 1.000.000.000 x 365
365 + (60 x 14%)
>> Rp 977.504.017
gan Bank A?
ve Yield , EY) yang diperoleh Bank A?
Rp 1.000.000.000 x 365
365 + (60 x 12%)
>> Rp 980.655.561
>> 0.0196
+ (0.20 x 20)
(0.20 x -10)