SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.467743509692
R Square 0.218783990859
Adjusted R Squar 0.162982847349
Standard Error 59.25584837994
Observations 16

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 13766.8595588 13766.8595588235 3.92077970266 0.0676965313
Residual 14 49157.5779412 3511.25556722689
Total 15 62924.4375

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%

Intercept 340.1 31.0740290434 10.9448311168618 3.01961446E-08 273.45283617
X Variable 1 6.363235294118 3.21359957937 1.9800958821877 0.06769653126 -0.529250304
 Upper 95% Lower 95,0% Upper 95,0%
406.747163832163 273.4528361678 406.747163832163
13.2557208922562 -0.52925030402 13.2557208922562
 Year Actual=Y Time=X Forcasting A/F A Rumus=340+6,36(p)
2001:01:00 226 1 346.36 0.6525 5.37844814109 1.3446120352724
2001:02:00 397 2 346.37 1.146173
2001:03:00 417 3 346.38 1.20388
2001:04:00 342 4 346.39 0.987326
2002:01:00 481 5 346.4 1.388568 4.581215111323 1.14530377783076
2002:02:00 287 6 346.41 0.828498
2002:03:00 420 7 346.42 1.212401
2002:04:00 399 8 346.43 1.151748
2003:01:00 376 9 346.44 1.085325 4.675927778364 1.16898194459107
2003:02:00 415 10 346.45 1.197864
2003:03:00 422 11 346.46 1.218034
2003:04:00 407 12 346.47 1.174705
2004:01:00 480 13 346.48 1.385361 4.958232506745 1.23955812668637
2004:02:00 394 14 346.49 1.137118
2004:03:00 445 15 346.5 1.284271
2004:04:00 399 16 346.51 1.151482
Rumus C= 381+4,05(p)
Rumus D=B/C