Kelompok 1-Ekonomi Transportasi (Alternatif 1)

EKONOMI TRANSPORTASI
ANALISIS KELAYAKAN FINANSIAL

Dan
ANALISIS KELAYAKAN EKONOMI
Pembangunan Monorel Pada Jalur Barat – Timur Surabaya

Dosen Pembimbing :
Ir. Hera Widyastuti , MT., Ph.D
Nama Mahasiswa :
Dea Adlina Tiara W. (6012201018)
Rizki Gusti (6012201019)
Lilla Anjani B. (6012201030)
M. Alfian Nasril (6012201041)
Departemen Teknik Sipil

Fakultas Teknik Sipil, Perencanaan, dan Kebumian
Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember
OVERVIEW
Perencanaan Transportasi
Dalam rencana tata ruang wilayah kota
Surabaya 2014-2034, bahwa akan melakukan
pengembangan angkutan massal kota
berbasis rel
Perencanaan Jalur
1. Koridor Timur-Barat
2. Koridor Utara- Selatan
T RAF F I C ANALY S I S
Traffic Analysis
1.Derajat kejenuhan
sebelum ada
Monorel
2.Derajat kejenuhan
setelah ada monorel
Traffic Analysis
Lalu Lintas Haran Rata-rata ( Tahun 2018)
Jenis Kendaraan Jenis Kendaraan Jenis Kendaraan

Jumlah LV HV MC Jumlah LV HV MC Jumlah
Ruas LV HV MC
1 1,2 0,25 0,11 0,11 0,11
(kend/jam) (smp/jam) (kend/hari)
HR Muhammad 2.534 25 1.322 3.881 2.534 30 331 2.895 23.036 227 12.018 35.282
Dharmahusada 1.232 4 2.502 3.738 1.232 5 626 1.862 11.198 35 22.749 33.982
Merr 1.714 41 3.744 5.499 1.714 49 936 2.699 15.582 373 34.036 49.991
Kapasitas Jalan
Ruas n Co FCw FCSP FCSF FCCS C (smp/jam)

HR Muhammad 3 1650 0,92 1 0,98 1,04 4641
Dharmahusada 3 1650 1,04 1 0,95 1,04 5086
Merr 3 1650 0,97 1 1,02 1,04 5109
Traffic Analysis
PDRB (dalam Laju

Tahun milliar rupiah) PDRB
2015 324.215,17
2016 Faktor pertumbuhan kendaraan diasumsikan sebanding dengan laju
343.652,60 6,00%
PDRB ADHK 2010 Kota Surabaya (berdasarkan Kota Surabaya dalam
2017 364.714,82 6,13% Angka 2020 surabayakota.bps.go.id)
2018 387.340,04 6,20%
2019 410.969,89 6,10%
Laju PDRB rata-rata 6,11%
Traffic Analysis
LHR pada tahun 2024 (Tahun Rencana Monorail Mulai Beroperasi)

Faktor Pertumbuhan : 6,11%
Volume (kend/tahun)
Tahun HR Muhammad Dharmahusada Merr
LV HV MC LV HV MC LV HV MC
2018 8.408.273 82.955 4.386.636 5.687.364 136.045 12.423.273
2019 8.921.771 88.021 4.654.531 4.087.270 12.775 8.303.385 6.034.694 144.354 13.181.969
2020 9.466.629 93.396 4.938.786 4.336.882 13.555 8.810.478 6.403.237 153.170 13.987.000
2021 10.044.761 99.100 5.240.400 4.601.738 14.383 9.348.539 6.794.286 162.524 14.841.194
2022 10.658.201 105.152 5.560.435 4.882.769 15.261 9.919.459 7.209.217 172.449 15.747.555
2023 11.309.103 111.574 5.900.014 5.180.962 16.193 10.525.247 7.649.488 182.981 16.709.267
2024 11.999.757 118.387 6.260.331 5.497.367 17.182 11.168.030 8.116.647 194.155 17.729.712
Traffic Analysis

Faktor Pertumbuhan : 6,11%
Volume (smp/jam)
LV HV MC TOTAL LV HV MC TOTAL LV HV MC TOTAL
2018 2.534 30 331 2.895 1.714 49 936 2.699
2019 2.689 32 351 3.071 1.232 5 626 1862 1.819 52 993 2.864
2020 2.853 34 372 3.259 1.307 5 664 1976 1.930 55 1.054 3.039
2021 3.027 36 395 3.458 1.387 5 704 2096 2.048 59 1.118 3.225
2022 3.212 38 419 3.669 1.472 6 747 2224 2.173 62 1.186 3.421
2023 3.408 40 445 3.893 1.561 6 793 2360 2.305 66 1.259 3.630
2024 3.616 43 472 4.131 1.657 6 841 2504 2.446 70 1.336 3.852
Traffic Analysis
Ruas: HR. Muhammad Ruas: Dharmahusada Ruas: MERR
Volume (kend/tahun) Volume (kend/tahun) Volume (kend/tahun)
Tahun TOTAL Tahun TOTAL Tahun TOTAL
2024 11.999.757 118.387 6.260.331 18.378.475 2024 5.497.367 17.182 11.168.030 16.682.579 2024 8.116.647 194.155 17.729.712 26.040.514
2025 12.732.589 125.617 6.642.653 19.500.859 2025 5.833.094 18.232 11.850.068 17.701.393 2025 8.612.335 206.013 18.812.476 27.630.824
2026 13.510.176 133.289 7.048.324 20.691.788 2026 6.189.325 19.345 12.573.758 18.782.428 2026 9.138.296 218.594 19.961.365 29.318.254
2027 14.335.250 141.429 7.478.769 21.955.448 2027 6.567.310 20.527 13.341.645 19.929.482 2027 9.696.377 231.944 21.180.417 31.108.737
2028 15.210.712 150.066 7.935.502 23.296.280 2028 6.968.380 21.780 14.156.427 21.146.587 2028 10.288.540 246.109 22.473.917 33.008.566
2029 16.139.639 159.231 8.420.128 24.718.998 2029 7.393.943 23.110 15.020.968 22.438.021 2029 10.916.867 261.139 23.846.413 35.024.418
2030 17.125.297 168.955 8.934.350 26.228.601 2030 7.845.495 24.522 15.938.308 23.808.325 2030 11.583.567 277.086 25.302.727 37.163.380
2031 18.171.148 179.273 9.479.976 27.830.397 2031 8.324.624 26.019 16.911.670 25.262.313 2031 12.290.982 294.008 26.847.979 39.432.970
2032 19.280.871 190.222 10.058.923 29.530.016 2032 8.833.014 27.608 17.944.475 26.805.097 2032 13.041.599 311.964 28.487.601 41.841.164
2033 20.458.365 201.839 10.673.228 31.333.432 2033 9.372.451 29.294 19.040.355 28.442.100 2033 13.838.058 331.015 30.227.356 44.396.429
2034 21.707.770 214.165 11.325.048 33.246.983 2034 9.944.832 31.083 20.203.160 30.179.076 2034 14.683.156 351.231 32.073.358 47.107.745
2035 23.033.476 227.244 12.016.675 35.277.395 2035 10.552.169 32.981 21.436.979 32.022.130 2035 15.579.865 372.681 34.032.097 49.984.642
2036 24.440.144 241.122 12.750.541 37.431.807 2036 11.196.596 34.996 22.746.148 33.977.740 2036 16.531.336 395.440 36.110.457 53.037.234
2037 25.932.718 255.848 13.529.224 39.717.789 2037 11.880.379 37.133 24.135.269 36.052.781 2037 17.540.915 419.590 38.315.744 56.276.249
2038 27.516.444 271.472 14.355.461 42.143.378 2038 12.605.921 39.401 25.609.224 38.254.545 2038 18.612.149 445.215 40.655.709 59.713.072
2039 29.196.889 288.051 15.232.158 44.717.098 2039 13.375.772 41.807 27.173.194 40.590.773 2039 19.748.804 472.404 43.138.577 63.359.785
Forecast Without
2040 30.979.960 305.643 16.162.395 47.447.998 2040 14.192.638 44.360 28.832.677 43.069.675 2040 20.954.875 501.254 45.773.075 67.229.204
2041 32.871.925 324.309 17.149.441 50.345.675 2041 15.059.391 47.069 30.593.506 45.699.965 2041 22.234.601 531.866 48.568.463 71.334.931
2042 34.879.433 344.114 18.196.768 53.420.315 2042 15.979.076 49.944 32.461.869 48.490.889 2042 23.592.481 564.348 51.534.568 75.691.397
2043 37.009.540 365.130 19.308.055 56.682.725 2043 16.954.928 52.994 34.444.334 51.452.256 2043 25.033.288 598.813 54.681.814 80.313.915
Project (Kend/tahun) 2044

2045
2046
39.269.734
41.667.960
44.212.647
387.428
411.089
436.194
20.487.209
21.738.375
23.065.951
60.144.372
63.817.424
67.714.792
2044
2045
2046
17.990.375
19.089.058
20.254.838
56.230
59.664
63.308
36.547.870
38.779.870
41.148.179
54.594.475
57.928.592
61.466.325
2044
2045
2046
26.562.085
28.184.248
29.905.476
635.382
674.186
715.359
58.021.265
61.564.657
65.324.447
85.218.733
90.423.091
95.945.282
( 2024-2073)
2047 46.912.739 462.833 24.474.602 71.850.174 2047 21.491.813 67.174 43.661.123 65.220.110 2047 31.731.821 759.046 69.313.850 101.804.716
2048 49.777.727 491.098 25.969.280 76.238.106 2048 22.804.331 71.276 46.327.533 69.203.140 2048 33.669.702 805.401 73.546.887 108.021.990
2049 52.817.682 521.090 27.555.239 80.894.012 2049 24.197.004 75.629 49.156.783 73.429.416 2049 35.725.930 854.588 78.038.438 114.618.957
2050 56.043.289 552.913 29.238.054 85.834.256 2050 25.674.730 80.248 52.158.816 77.913.794 2050 37.907.734 906.778 82.804.292 121.618.803
2051 59.465.886 586.680 31.023.639 91.076.205 2051 27.242.700 85.149 55.344.186 82.672.035 2051 40.222.782 962.155 87.861.198 129.046.135
2052 63.097.502 622.509 32.918.271 96.638.282 2052 28.906.428 90.349 58.724.088 87.720.865 2052 42.679.210 1.020.915 93.226.933 136.927.058
2053 66.950.904 660.526 34.928.609 102.540.039 2053 30.671.761 95.866 62.310.402 93.078.029 2053 45.285.655 1.083.262 98.920.357 145.289.274
2054 71.039.635 700.865 37.061.720 108.802.219 2054 32.544.903 101.721 66.115.735 98.762.359 2054 48.051.276 1.149.418 104.961.481 154.162.175
2055 75.378.067 743.667 39.325.100 115.446.834 2055 34.532.439 107.933 70.153.462 104.793.834 2055 50.985.796 1.219.614 111.371.540 163.576.950
2056 79.981.450 789.083 41.726.707 122.497.240 2056 36.641.356 114.525 74.437.775 111.193.655 2056 54.099.528 1.294.096 118.173.066 173.566.690
2057 84.865.964 837.273 44.274.982 129.978.219 2057 38.879.065 121.519 78.983.733 117.984.317 2057 57.403.418 1.373.127 125.389.964 184.166.510
2058 90.048.778 888.405 46.978.881 137.916.065 2058 41.253.432 128.940 83.807.316 125.189.688 2058 60.909.079 1.456.985 133.047.603 195.413.666
2059 95.548.110 942.661 49.847.909 146.338.680 2059 43.772.803 136.814 88.925.478 132.835.096 2059 64.628.832 1.545.964 141.172.898 207.347.694
2060 101.383.289 1.000.230 52.892.150 155.275.669 2060 46.446.034 145.170 94.356.209 140.947.413 2060 68.575.753 1.640.377 149.794.409 220.010.539
2061 107.574.826 1.061.314 56.122.305 164.758.445 2061 49.282.521 154.035 100.118.598 149.555.154 2061 72.763.714 1.740.556 158.942.442 233.446.712
2062 114.144.484 1.126.129 59.549.727 174.820.340 2062 52.292.233 163.442 106.232.900 158.688.575 2062 77.207.437 1.846.852 168.649.150 247.703.439
2063 121.115.354 1.194.903 63.186.463 185.496.720 2063 55.485.751 173.424 112.720.605 168.379.780 2063 81.922.540 1.959.641 178.948.653 262.830.833
2064 128.511.940 1.267.876 67.045.298 196.825.114 2064 58.874.298 184.015 119.604.519 178.662.832 2064 86.925.598 2.079.317 189.877.152 278.882.067
2065 136.360.239 1.345.306 71.139.793 208.845.339 2065 62.469.786 195.253 126.908.837 189.573.876 2065 92.234.195 2.206.302 201.473.061 295.913.558
2066 144.687.839 1.427.465 75.484.342 221.599.646 2066 66.284.852 207.177 134.659.234 201.151.264 2066 97.866.991 2.341.042 213.777.139 313.985.173
2067 153.524.010 1.514.641 80.094.215 235.132.867 2067 70.332.907 219.830 142.882.953 213.435.689 2067 103.843.786 2.484.011 226.832.634 333.160.431
2068 162.899.812 1.607.141 84.985.616 249.492.569 2068 74.628.179 233.255 151.608.898 226.470.332 2068 110.185.587 2.635.711 240.685.436 353.506.734
2069 172.848.199 1.705.290 90.175.737 264.729.226 2069 79.185.766 247.500 160.867.743 240.301.008 2069 116.914.685 2.796.676 255.384.237 375.095.598
2070 183.404.140 1.809.433 95.682.823 280.896.395 2070 84.021.687 262.615 170.692.030 254.976.332 2070 124.054.734 2.967.470 270.980.702 398.002.906
2071 194.604.738 1.919.936 101.526.229 298.050.903 2071 89.152.940 278.653 181.116.292 270.547.886 2071 131.630.829 3.148.695 287.529.653 422.309.177
2072 206.489.364 2.037.188 107.726.495 316.253.047 2072 94.597.563 295.670 192.177.171 287.070.404 2072 139.669.601 3.340.988 305.089.257 448.099.846
2073 219.099.790 2.161.600 114.305.415 335.566.806 2073 100.374.692 313.727 203.913.543 304.601.962 2073 148.199.306 3.545.024 323.721.237 475.465.567
Traffic Analysis
Volume (smp/jam) Volume (smp/jam) Volume (smp/jam)
2024 3.616 43 472 4.131 2024 1.657 6 841 2.504 2024 2.446 70 1.336 3.852
2025 3.837 45 500 4.383 2025 1.758 7 893 2.657 2025 2.595 75 1.417 4.087
2026 4.072 48 531 4.651 2026 1.865 7 947 2.820 2026 2.754 79 1.504 4.337
2027 4.320 51 563 4.935 2027 1.979 7 1.005 2.992 2027 2.922 84 1.596 4.602
2028 4.584 54 598 5.236 2028 2.100 8 1.067 3.175 2028 3.101 89 1.693 4.883
2029 4.864 58 634 5.556 2029 2.228 8 1.132 3.368 2029 3.290 94 1.797 5.181
2030 5.161 61 673 5.895 2030 2.364 9 1.201 3.574 2030 3.491 100 1.906 5.498
2031 5.476 65 714 6.255 2031 2.509 9 1.274 3.792 2031 3.704 106 2.023 5.833
2032 5.811 69 758 6.637 2032 2.662 10 1.352 4.024 2032 3.930 113 2.146 6.189
2033 6.166 73 804 7.043 2033 2.825 11 1.435 4.270 2033 4.170 120 2.277 6.567
2034 6.542 77 853 7.473 2034 2.997 11 1.522 4.530 2034 4.425 127 2.416 6.969
2035 6.942 82 905 7.929 2035 3.180 12 1.615 4.807 2035 4.695 135 2.564 7.394
2036 7.366 87 961 8.413 2036 3.374 13 1.714 5.101 2036 4.982 143 2.721 7.846
2037 7.815 93 1.019 8.927 2037 3.580 13 1.818 5.412 2037 5.286 152 2.887 8.325
2038 8.293 98 1.082 9.472 2038 3.799 14 1.929 5.743 2038 5.609 161 3.063 8.833
2039 8.799 104 1.148 10.051 2039 4.031 15 2.047 6.093 2039 5.952 171 3.250 9.373
2040 6.315 181 3.449 9.945
Forecast Without
2040 9.336 111 1.218 10.665 2040 4.277 16 2.172 6.466
2041 9.907 117 1.292 11.316 2041 4.538 17 2.305 6.860 2041 6.701 192 3.659 10.552
2042 10.512 124 1.371 12.007 2042 4.816 18 2.446 7.279 2042 7.110 204 3.883 11.197
2043 11.154 132 1.455 12.740 2043 5.110 19 2.595 7.724 2043 7.544 217 4.120 11.881
Project (smp/jam)
2044 11.835 140 1.544 13.518 2044 5.422 20 2.754 8.196 2044 8.005 230 4.371 12.606
2045 12.557 149 1.638 14.344 2045 5.753 22 2.922 8.696 2045 8.494 244 4.638 13.376
2046 13.324 158 1.738 15.220 2046 6.104 23 3.100 9.227 2046 9.013 259 4.922 14.193
2047 14.138 167 1.844 16.149 2047 6.477 24 3.290 9.791 2047 9.563 275 5.222 15.060
( 2024-2073) 2048
2049
2050
15.002
15.918
16.890
178
188
200
1.957
2.076
2.203
17.136
18.182
19.293
2048
2049
2050
6.873
7.292
7.738
26
27
29
3.490
3.704
3.930
10.389
11.023
11.696
2048
2049
2050
10.147
10.767
11.424
291
309
328
5.541
5.880
6.239
15.980
16.955
17.991
2051 17.921 212 2.337 20.471 2051 8.210 31 4.170 12.411 2051 12.122 348 6.620 19.090
2052 19.016 225 2.480 21.721 2052 8.712 33 4.424 13.169 2052 12.862 369 7.024 20.255
2053 20.177 239 2.632 23.047 2053 9.244 35 4.695 13.973 2053 13.648 392 7.453 21.492
2054 21.409 253 2.792 24.455 2054 9.808 37 4.981 14.826 2054 14.481 416 7.908 22.805
2055 22.717 269 2.963 25.948 2055 10.407 39 5.286 15.732 2055 15.366 441 8.391 24.198
2056 24.104 285 3.144 27.533 2056 11.043 41 5.608 16.692 2056 16.304 468 8.903 25.675
2057 25.576 303 3.336 29.215 2057 11.717 44 5.951 17.712 2057 17.300 497 9.447 27.243
2058 27.138 321 3.540 30.999 2058 12.433 47 6.314 18.793 2058 18.356 527 10.024 28.907
2059 28.795 341 3.756 32.892 2059 13.192 49 6.700 19.941 2059 19.477 559 10.636 30.673
2060 30.554 362 3.985 34.901 2060 13.997 52 7.109 21.159 2060 20.667 593 11.286 32.546
2061 32.420 384 4.228 37.032 2061 14.852 56 7.543 22.451 2061 21.929 629 11.975 34.533
2062 34.400 407 4.487 39.294 2062 15.759 59 8.004 23.822 2062 23.268 668 12.706 36.642
2063 36.501 432 4.761 41.693 2063 16.722 63 8.493 25.277 2063 24.689 709 13.482 38.880
2064 38.730 459 5.051 44.240 2064 17.743 67 9.011 26.821 2064 26.197 752 14.306 41.255
2065 41.095 487 5.360 46.941 2065 18.827 71 9.562 28.459 2065 27.797 798 15.179 43.774
2066 43.605 516 5.687 49.808 2066 19.976 75 10.146 30.197 2066 29.494 847 16.106 46.447
2067 46.268 548 6.034 52.850 2067 21.196 80 10.765 32.041 2067 31.295 898 17.090 49.284
2068 49.093 581 6.403 56.077 2068 22.491 84 11.423 33.998 2068 33.207 953 18.134 52.294
2069 52.091 617 6.794 59.502 2069 23.864 90 12.120 36.074 2069 35.235 1.011 19.241 55.487
2070 55.272 654 7.209 63.136 2070 25.322 95 12.860 38.277 2070 37.386 1.073 20.416 58.876
2071 58.648 694 7.649 66.992 2071 26.868 101 13.646 40.615 2071 39.670 1.139 21.663 62.471
2072 62.230 737 8.116 71.083 2072 28.509 107 14.479 43.095 2072 42.092 1.208 22.986 66.287
2073 66.030 782 8.612 75.424 2073 30.250 113 15.363 45.727 2073 44.663 1.282 24.390 70.335
Traffic Analysis
DS Without Project
( 2024-2073)
HR Muhammad
Arus Total (Q) Kapasitas (C)
Tahun DS
(smp/jam) (smp/jam)
2024 4.131 4641 0,89 Merr
2073 75.424 4641 16,25 Tahun DS
(smp/jam) (smp/jam)
2024 3.852 5109 0,75
2073 70.335 5109 13,77
Dharmahusada
Tahun DS
(smp/jam) (smp/jam)
2024 2.504 5086 0,49
2073 45.727 5086 8,99
Traffic Analysis
Kecepatan Tempuh Kendaraan dalam Kondisi Without Project Jalan Eksisting

(2024-2073)
HR Muhammad Merr
Kecepatan (km/jam) Kecepatan (km/jam)
Tahun DS LV (FV = Tahun DS LV (FV =
HV (VB = 39,87) MC (VB = 33,66) HV (VB = 39,87) MC (VB = 33,66)
55,77) 55,77)
2024 0,89 40,0 28,0 23,0 2024 0,75 49,0 35,0 31,0
2073 16,25 31,5 21,9 18,2 2073 13,77 34,9 24,8 20,9
Dharmahusada
Kecepatan (km/jam)
Tahun DS LV (FV = HV (VB = 39,87) MC (VB = 33,66)
55,77)
2024 0,49 56,0 41,0 35,0
2073 8,99 36,54 26,25 22,19
Traffic Analysis
Kecepatan Arus Bebas

HR Muhammad Dharmahusada Merr
Kendaraan Ringan (LV) Kendaraan Ringan (LV) Kendaraan Ringan (LV)
FVw FVLV FVw FVLV FVw FVLV
FVLV,o (km/jam) FFVSF FFVCS FVLV,o (km/jam) FFVSF FFVCS FVLV,o (km/jam) FFVSF FFVCS
(km/jam) (km/jam) (km/jam) (km/jam) (km/jam) (km/jam)
61 -4 0,95 1,03 55,77 61 2 0,99 1,03 64,24 61 -1,36 1,00 1,03 61,43
Kendaraan Berat (HV) Kendaraan Berat (HV) Kendaraan Berat (HV)

FVLV FFV FVHV,o FVHV FVLV FFV FVHV,o FVHV FVLV FFV FVHV,o FVHV
FVLV,o (km/jam) FVLV,o (km/jam) FVLV,o (km/jam)
(km/jam) (km/jam) (km/jam) (km/jam) (km/jam) (km/jam) (km/jam) (km/jam) (km/jam) (km/jam) (km/jam) (km/jam)
61 55,77 5,23 52 39,87 61 64,24 -3,24 52 47,09 61 61,43 -0,43 52 44,69
Sepeda Motor (MC) Sepeda Motor (MC) Sepeda Motor (MC)

FVLV FFV FVMC,o FVMC FVLV FFV FVMC,o FVMC FVLV FFV FVMC,o FVMC
FVLV,o (km/jam) FVLV,o (km/jam) FVLV,o (km/jam)
(km/jam) (km/jam) (km/jam) (km/jam) (km/jam) (km/jam) (km/jam) (km/jam) (km/jam) (km/jam) (km/jam) (km/jam)
61 55,77 5,23 48 33,66 61 64,24 -3,24 48 40,32 61 61,43 -0,43 48 38,11
Traffic Analysis
Kecepatan Arus Bebas

Rekapitulasi Kecepatan Arus Bebas Kendaraan:
Kecepatan Arus Bebas (km/jam)
Ruas
LV HV MC
HR Muhammad 55,77 39,87 33,66
Dharmahusada 64,24 47,09 40,32
Merr 61,43 44,69 38,11
Traffic Analysis
Analisis Perpindahan Moda Penumpang
Diambil dai “Tugas Akhir Analisis Demand Monorel Jalur Barat Timur – Bandara Juanda Surabaya” 2019
Kuisioner diisi oleh 112 Penumpang pesawat Bandara Juanda dengan pembagian sebagai berikut
Koridor Barat 31 Karena mengambil ruas HR. Muhammad, Dharmahusada dan MERR,
Koridor Tengah 48 • Koridor barat mewakili HR. Muhammad
• Koridor Tengah mewakili Dharmahusada
Kroidor Timur 33
• Koridor Timur mewakili MERR
Total responden 112
Keinginan Berpindah Kendaraan Pribadi ke Monorel

HR. Muhammad Dharmahusada Merr
Ya 16 27 21
Tidak 15 21 12
Total 31 48 33
Traffic Analysis
Sehingga, komposisi kendaraan dari responden menjadi :
Volume kendaraan
Volume Kendaraan (kend/jam) Komposisi Kendaraan Responden
HR. Muhammad Dharmahusada Merr HR. Muhammad Dharmahusada Merr
LV 2534 1232 1714 LV 20 15 10
HV 25 4 41 HV
MC 1322 2502 3744 MC 11 33 23
TOTAL 3881 3738 5499 TOTAL 31 48 33
Komposisi kendaraan digunakan untuk mengetahui persentase jenis

komposisi kendaraan dari responden yang berpindah menjadi :
kendaraan yang ada di ruas jalan tersebut
Bersedia Berpindah
Komposisi Kendaraan HR. Muhammad Dharmahusada Merr
HR. Muhammad Dharmahusada Merr LV 10 9 7
LV 65% 33% 31%
MC 5 18 14
HV 1% 0% 1%
MC 34% 67% 68% Dengan persentase perpindahan sebagai berikut :
TOTAL 100% 100% 100%
Persentase
52,2% 59,3% 65,5%
49,5% 54,8% 62,2%
Traffic Analysis
Dengan angka perpindahan tersebut, didapatkan volume penumpang
yang berpindah
Volume Kendaraan yg pindah (kend/jam) Volume Kendaraan yg pindah (kend/hari)

LV 1324 731 1122 12033 6642 10199
MC 655 1371 2327 5955 12460 21159
Total 1979 2101 3449 17987 19102 31358
Sehingga Volume Kendaraan With Project ( 2018) sebagai berikut :
Volume Kendaraan di jalan eksisting (kend/jam) Volume Kendaraan (kend/hari)

LV 1210 501 592 11004 4556 5383
MC 667 1132 1417 6064 10289 12878
HV 25 4 41 25 3,85 41
Total 1902 1637 2050 17067 14845 18260
Traffic Analysis
Dengan Kapasitas Jalan sebagai berikut,
Kapasitas Jalan
HR.Muhammad 4641
Dharmahusada 5086
Merr 5109
Sehingga DS pada saat ada Monorel sebagai berikut:
DS Monorel
HR.Muhammad 0,41
Dharmahusada 0,32
Merr 0,40
Traffic Analysis
Jumlah Penumpang Monorel dengan asumsi 1 LV = 4 Orang, 1 MC = 2 Orang
Jumlah Penumpang monorel: (Per Hari)

LV MC
Ruas
Kend Orang Kend Orang
HR.Muhammad 12.033 48.131 5.955 11.909
Dharmahusada 6.642 26.568 12.460 24.920
Merr 10.199 40.797 21.159 42.317
115.496 79.147
TOTAL 194.643
Jumlah Penumpang monorel: (Per Jam)

LV MC
Ruas
Kend Orang Kend Orang
HR.Muhammad 1.324 5.294 655 1.310
Dharmahusada 731 2.923 1.371 2.741
Merr 1.122 4.488 2.327 4.655
12.705 8.706
TOTAL 21.411
Traffic Analysis
Sehingga, komposisi kendaraan dari responden menjadi :
Volume kendaraan
Volume Kendaraan (kend/jam) Komposisi Kendaraan Responden
LV 2534 1232 1714 LV 20 15 10
HV 25 4 41 HV
MC 1322 2502 3744 MC 11 33 23
TOTAL 3881 3738 5499 TOTAL 31 48 33
Komposisi kendaraan digunakan untuk mengetahui persentase jenis

komposisi kendaraan dari responden yang berpindah menjadi :
kendaraan yang ada di ruas jalan tersebut
Bersedia Berpindah
Komposisi Kendaraan HR. Muhammad Dharmahusada Merr
HR. Muhammad Dharmahusada Merr LV 10 9 7
LV 65% 33% 31%
MC 5 18 14
HV 1% 0% 1%
MC 34% 67% 68% Dengan persentase perpindahan sebagai berikut :
TOTAL 100% 100% 100%
Persentase
52,2% 59,3% 65,5%
49,5% 54,8% 62,2%
Traffic Analysis

With Project
Volume (smp/jam)
LV HV MC TOTAL LV HV MC TOTAL LV HV MC TOTAL
2018 1.210 30 167 1.407 592 49 354 995
2019 1.284 32 177 1.493 501 5 283 789 628 52 376 1.056
2020 1.363 34 188 1.584 532 5 300 837 667 55 399 1.121
2021 1.446 36 199 1.681 564 5 319 888 707 59 423 1.189
2022 1.534 38 211 1.784 599 6 338 942 751 62 449 1.262
2023 1.628 40 224 1.893 635 6 359 1.000 796 66 476 1.339
2024 1.727 43 238 2.008 674 6 381 1.061 845 70 505 1.421
Traffic Analysis
Ruas: HR. Muhammad Ruas: Dharmahusada Ruas: MERR Penumpang Monorel
Volume (kend/tahun) Volume (kend/tahun) Volume (kend/tahun) Penumpang Penumpang
Tahun TOTAL Tahun TOTAL Tahun
Tahun TOTAL LV HV MC LV HV MC (orang/hari) (orang/tahun)
LV HV MC
2024 2.236.607 17.182 5.051.012 7.304.801 2024 2.803.852 194.155 6.708.096 9.706.104 2024 277.782 84.445.821
2024 5.731.809 118.387 3.158.541 9.008.737
2025 2025 2.373.198 18.232 5.359.480 7.750.910 2025 2.975.085 206.013 7.117.764 10.298.861 2025 294.747 89.602.977
6.081.854 125.617 3.351.435 9.558.906
2026 2.518.131 19.345 5.686.786 8.224.262 2026 3.156.775 218.594 7.552.450 10.927.819 2026 312.747 95.075.083
2026 6.453.276 133.289 3.556.109 10.142.674
2027 2.671.915 20.527 6.034.082 8.726.523 2027 3.349.561 231.944 8.013.682 11.595.187 2027 331.847 100.881.374
2027 6.847.381 141.429 3.773.283 10.762.093
2028 2.835.090 21.780 6.402.587 9.259.457 2028 3.554.121 246.109 8.503.082 12.303.312 2028 352.113 107.042.259
2028 7.265.555 150.066 4.003.719 11.419.340
2029 3.008.231 23.110 6.793.596 9.824.937 2029 3.771.173 261.139 9.022.371 13.054.682 2029 373.616 113.579.393
2029 7.709.267 159.231 4.248.229 12.116.726
2030 2030 3.191.945 24.522 7.208.485 10.424.952 2030 4.001.481 277.086 9.573.372 13.851.940 2030 396.433 120.515.753
8.180.076 168.955 4.507.670 12.856.702
2031 2031 3.386.879 26.019 7.648.712 11.061.610 2031 4.245.854 294.008 10.158.024 14.697.886 2031 420.644 127.875.721
8.679.638 179.273 4.782.956 13.641.868
2032 3.593.718 27.608 8.115.823 11.737.149 2032 4.505.150 311.964 10.778.380 15.595.494 2032 446.333 135.685.166
2032 9.209.709 190.222 5.075.054 14.474.985
2033 3.813.188 29.294 8.611.461 12.453.944 2033 4.780.283 331.015 11.436.622 16.547.920 2033 473.591 143.971.539
2033 9.772.151 201.839 5.384.991 15.358.980
2034 2034 4.046.062 31.083 9.137.368 13.214.513 2034 5.072.217 351.231 12.135.063 17.558.511 2034 502.513 152.763.965
10.368.942 214.165 5.713.856 16.296.962
2035 2035 4.293.157 32.981 9.695.393 14.021.531 2035 5.381.981 372.681 12.876.159 18.630.820 2035 533.202 162.093.350
11.002.179 227.244 6.062.804 17.292.227
2036 4.555.343 34.996 10.287.496 14.877.834 2036 5.710.661 395.440 13.662.513 19.768.615 2036 565.765 171.992.486
2036 11.674.089 241.122 6.433.063 18.348.274
2037 2037 4.833.540 37.133 10.915.759 15.786.432 2037 6.059.415 419.590 14.496.891 20.975.896 2037 600.316 182.496.168
12.387.032 255.848 6.825.934 19.468.814
2038 5.128.727 39.401 11.582.391 16.750.519 2038 6.429.467 445.215 15.382.225 22.256.906 2038 636.978 193.641.316
2038 13.143.516 271.472 7.242.798 20.657.786
2039 5.441.942 41.807 12.289.735 17.773.483 2039 6.822.118 472.404 16.321.626 23.616.149 2039 675.879 205.467.105
2039 13.946.198 288.051 7.685.120 21.919.369
Forecast With 2040 2040 5.774.284 44.360 13.040.276 18.858.920 2040 7.238.749 501.254 17.318.397 25.058.401 2040 717.155 218.015.101
14.797.900 305.643 8.154.454 23.257.998
2041 2041 6.126.923 47.069 13.836.653 20.010.646 2041 7.680.823 531.866 18.376.042 26.588.732 2041 760.952 231.329.411
15.701.617 324.309 8.652.452 24.678.377
2042 6.501.098 49.944 14.681.666 21.232.707 2042 8.149.896 564.348 19.498.278 28.212.521 2042 807.424 245.456.834
2042 16.660.524 344.114 9.180.862 26.185.500
2043 8.647.615 598.813 20.689.049 29.935.476 2043 856.734 260.447.027
Project
2043 17.677.992 365.130 9.741.543 27.784.664 2043 6.898.124 52.994 15.578.284 22.529.401
2044 2044 7.319.397 56.230 16.529.659 23.905.285 2044 9.175.730 635.382 21.952.541 31.763.654 2044 909.055 276.352.680
18.757.597 387.428 10.336.464 29.481.490
2045 7.766.396 59.664 17.539.135 25.365.195 2045 9.736.097 674.186 23.293.196 33.703.479 2045 964.571 293.229.700
2045 19.903.134 411.089 10.967.718 31.281.941
2046 2046 8.240.695 63.308 18.610.260 26.914.262 2046 10.330.686 715.359 24.715.725 35.761.770 2046 1.023.478 311.137.410
21.118.630 436.194 11.637.523 33.192.348
(Kend/tahun) 2047 2047 8.743.959 67.174 19.746.799 28.557.932 2047 10.961.587 759.046 26.225.129 37.945.762 2047 1.085.983 330.138.754
22.408.358 462.833 12.348.234 35.219.424
2048 9.277.958 71.276 20.952.748 30.301.982 2048 11.631.018 805.401 27.826.713 40.263.132 2048 1.152.304 350.300.521
2048 23.776.849 491.098 13.102.348 37.370.295
2049 9.844.568 75.629 22.232.345 32.152.541 2049 12.341.331 854.588 29.526.107 42.722.025 2049 1.222.676 371.693.580
2049 25.228.915 521.090 13.902.516 39.652.521
2050 13.095.023 906.778 31.329.283 45.331.084 2050 1.297.346 394.393.125
2024-2073)
2050 26.769.660 552.913 14.751.550 42.074.124 2050 10.445.781 80.248 23.590.087 34.116.116
2051 11.083.711 85.149 25.030.747 36.199.607 2051 13.894.744 962.155 33.242.581 48.099.480 2051 1.376.575 418.478.944
2051 28.404.499 586.680 15.652.436 44.643.615
2052 11.760.600 90.349 26.559.390 38.410.339 2052 14.743.304 1.020.915 35.272.725 51.036.943 2052 1.460.644 444.035.699
2052 30.139.178 622.509 16.608.340 47.370.027
2053 2053 12.478.827 95.866 28.181.387 40.756.080 2053 15.643.686 1.083.262 37.426.851 54.153.800 2053 1.549.846 471.153.219
31.979.795 660.526 17.622.621 50.262.942
2054 13.240.916 101.721 29.902.441 43.245.078 2054 16.599.055 1.149.418 39.712.531 57.461.004 2054 1.644.496 499.926.823
2054 33.932.820 700.865 18.698.845 53.332.529
2055 14.049.547 107.933 31.728.601 45.886.080 2055 17.612.769 1.219.614 42.137.798 60.970.181 2055 1.744.926 530.457.647
2055 36.005.117 743.667 19.840.794 56.589.578
2056 2056 14.907.561 114.525 33.666.285 48.688.370 2056 18.688.391 1.294.096 44.711.178 64.693.666 2056 1.851.490 562.853.007
38.203.971 789.083 21.052.483 60.045.537
2057 15.817.974 121.519 35.722.305 51.661.798 2057 19.829.702 1.373.127 47.441.716 68.644.546 2057 1.964.562 597.226.770
2057 40.537.110 837.273 22.338.170 63.712.553
2058 16.783.987 128.940 37.903.887 54.816.814 2058 21.040.714 1.456.985 50.339.010 72.836.709 2058 2.084.539 633.699.759
2058 43.012.735 888.405 23.702.376 67.603.516
2059 2059 17.808.995 136.814 40.218.699 58.164.509 2059 22.325.683 1.545.964 53.413.243 77.284.889 2059 2.211.843 672.400.175
45.639.548 942.661 25.149.894 71.732.103
2060 2060 18.896.601 145.170 42.674.879 61.716.650 2060 23.689.125 1.640.377 56.675.221 82.004.723 2060 2.346.921 713.464.048
48.426.782 1.000.230 26.685.812 76.112.824
2061 20.050.627 154.035 45.281.059 65.485.722 2061 25.135.834 1.740.556 60.136.410 87.012.799 2061 2.490.249 757.035.716
2061 51.384.234 1.061.314 28.315.531 80.761.079
2062 21.275.131 163.442 48.046.400 69.484.973 2062 26.670.894 1.846.852 63.808.975 92.326.722 2062 2.642.330 803.268.332
2062 54.522.299 1.126.129 30.044.777 85.693.205
2063 2063 22.574.416 173.424 50.980.621 73.728.461 2063 28.299.701 1.959.641 67.705.827 97.965.169 2063 2.803.699 852.324.400
57.852.008 1.194.903 31.879.629 90.926.540
2064 23.953.048 184.015 54.094.038 78.231.101 2064 30.027.981 2.079.317 71.840.661 103.947.959 2064 2.974.922 904.376.351
2064 61.385.064 1.267.876 33.826.536 96.479.477
2065 2065 25.415.875 195.253 57.397.593 83.008.721 2065 31.861.807 2.206.302 76.228.013 110.296.122 2065 3.156.602 959.607.145
65.133.886 1.345.306 35.892.343 102.371.535
2066 2066 26.968.038 207.177 60.902.897 88.078.112 2066 33.807.626 2.341.042 80.883.302 117.031.971 2066 3.349.378 1.018.210.917
69.111.651 1.427.465 38.084.309 108.623.425
2067 28.614.991 219.830 64.622.273 93.457.094 2067 35.872.278 2.484.011 85.822.893 124.179.182 2067 3.553.926 1.080.393.655
2067 73.332.340 1.514.641 40.410.140 115.257.121
2068 30.362.526 233.255 68.568.793 99.164.573 2068 38.063.019 2.635.711 91.064.147 131.762.878 2068 3.770.967 1.146.373.929
2068 77.810.789 1.607.141 42.878.011 122.295.941
2069 2069 32.216.783 247.500 72.756.329 105.220.612 2069 40.387.550 2.796.676 96.625.488 139.809.714 2069 4.001.262 1.216.383.657
82.562.739 1.705.290 45.496.597 129.764.626
2070 34.184.281 262.615 77.199.601 111.646.497 2070 42.854.041 2.967.470 102.526.464 148.347.975 2070 4.245.621 1.290.668.921
2070 87.604.894 1.809.433 48.275.101 137.689.428
2071 36.271.935 278.653 81.914.226 118.464.814 2071 45.471.163 3.148.695 108.787.815 157.407.673 2071 4.504.904 1.369.490.829
2071 92.954.976 1.919.936 51.223.289 146.098.202
2072 2072 38.487.083 295.670 86.916.776 125.699.529 2072 48.248.113 3.340.988 115.431.551 167.020.652 2072 4.780.021 1.453.126.437
98.631.791 2.037.188 54.351.526 155.020.505
2073 40.837.512 313.727 92.224.834 133.376.073 2073 51.194.654 3.545.024 122.481.023 177.220.701 2073 5.071.940 1.541.869.721
2073 104.655.293 2.161.600 57.670.805 164.487.698
Traffic Analysis
Volume (smp/jam) Volume (smp/jam) Volume (smp/jam)
2024 1.727 43 238 2.008 2024 674 6 381 1.061 2024 845 70 505 1.421
2025 1.833 45 253 2.131 2025 715 7 404 1.126 2025 897 75 536 1.507
2026 1.945 48 268 2.261 2026 759 7 428 1.194 2026 951 79 569 1.599
2027 2.064 51 284 2.399 2027 805 7 455 1.267 2027 1.009 84 604 1.697
2028 2.190 54 302 2.546 2028 854 8 482 1.345 2028 1.071 89 641 1.801
2029 2.323 58 320 2.701 2029 907 8 512 1.427 2029 1.137 94 680 1.911
2030 2.465 61 340 2.866 2030 962 9 543 1.514 2030 1.206 100 721 2.027
2031 2.616 65 360 3.041 2031 1.021 9 576 1.606 2031 1.280 106 765 2.151
2032 2.776 69 382 3.227 2032 1.083 10 611 1.704 2032 1.358 113 812 2.283
2033 2.945 73 406 3.424 2033 1.149 11 649 1.809 2033 1.441 120 862 2.422
2034 3.125 77 430 3.633 2034 1.219 11 688 1.919 2034 1.529 127 914 2.570
2035 3.316 82 457 3.855 2035 1.294 12 730 2.036 2035 1.622 135 970 2.727
2036 3.518 87 485 4.090 2036 1.373 13 775 2.161 2036 1.721 143 1.029 2.893
2037 3.733 93 514 4.340 2037 1.457 13 822 2.293 2037 1.826 152 1.092 3.070
2038 3.961 98 546 4.605 2038 1.546 14 873 2.433 2038 1.938 161 1.159 3.258
2039 4.203 104 579 4.886 2039 1.640 15 926 2.581 2039 2.056 171 1.230 3.457
Forecast With 2040

2041
2042
4.460
4.732
5.021
111
117
124
614
652
692
5.185
5.501
5.837
2040
2041
2042
1.740
1.846
1.959
16
17
18
982
1.042
1.106
2.739
2.906
3.083
2040
2041
2042
2.182
2.315
2.456
181
192
204
1.305
1.384
1.469
3.668
3.892
4.129
Project (smp/jam)
2043 5.328 132 734 6.194 2043 2.079 19 1.174 3.272 2043 2.606 217 1.559 4.381
2044 5.653 140 779 6.572 2044 2.206 20 1.245 3.472 2044 2.765 230 1.654 4.649
2045 5.998 149 826 6.973 2045 2.341 22 1.321 3.684 2045 2.934 244 1.755 4.933
2046 6.365 158 877 7.399 2046 2.483 23 1.402 3.909 2046 3.113 259 1.862 5.234
( 2024-2073) 2047
2048
2049
6.753
7.166
7.603
167
178
188
930
987
1.047
7.851
8.330
8.839
2047
2048
2049
2.635
2.796
2.967
24
26
27
1.488
1.579
1.675
4.147
4.401
4.669
2047
2048
2049
3.303
3.505
3.719
275
291
309
1.976
2.097
2.225
5.554
5.893
6.253
2050 8.068 200 1.111 9.379 2050 3.148 29 1.777 4.954 2050 3.946 328 2.360 6.635
2051 8.560 212 1.179 9.952 2051 3.340 31 1.886 5.257 2051 4.187 348 2.505 7.040
2052 9.083 225 1.251 10.559 2052 3.544 33 2.001 5.578 2052 4.443 369 2.658 7.470
2053 9.638 239 1.328 11.204 2053 3.761 35 2.123 5.919 2053 4.715 392 2.820 7.926
2054 10.226 253 1.409 11.889 2054 3.990 37 2.253 6.280 2054 5.002 416 2.992 8.410
2055 10.851 269 1.495 12.615 2055 4.234 39 2.391 6.664 2055 5.308 441 3.175 8.924
2056 11.514 285 1.586 13.385 2056 4.493 41 2.537 7.071 2056 5.632 468 3.369 9.469
2057 12.217 303 1.683 14.202 2057 4.767 44 2.691 7.502 2057 5.976 497 3.574 10.047
2058 12.963 321 1.786 15.070 2058 5.058 47 2.856 7.961 2058 6.341 527 3.793 10.661
2059 13.754 341 1.895 15.990 2059 5.367 49 3.030 8.447 2059 6.728 559 4.024 11.312
2060 14.594 362 2.011 16.967 2060 5.695 52 3.215 8.963 2060 7.139 593 4.270 12.002
2061 15.486 384 2.133 18.003 2061 6.043 56 3.412 9.510 2061 7.575 629 4.531 12.735
2062 16.431 407 2.264 19.102 2062 6.412 59 3.620 10.091 2062 8.038 668 4.808 13.513
2063 17.435 432 2.402 20.269 2063 6.803 63 3.841 10.707 2063 8.529 709 5.101 14.338
2064 18.500 459 2.549 21.507 2064 7.219 67 4.076 11.361 2064 9.050 752 5.413 15.214
2065 19.629 487 2.704 22.820 2065 7.660 71 4.324 12.055 2065 9.602 798 5.743 16.143
2066 20.828 516 2.869 24.214 2066 8.127 75 4.589 12.791 2066 10.189 847 6.094 17.129
2067 22.100 548 3.045 25.693 2067 8.624 80 4.869 13.572 2067 10.811 898 6.466 18.175
2068 23.450 581 3.231 27.262 2068 9.150 84 5.166 14.401 2068 11.471 953 6.861 19.285
2069 24.882 617 3.428 28.926 2069 9.709 90 5.482 15.280 2069 12.172 1.011 7.280 20.463
2070 26.401 654 3.637 30.693 2070 10.302 95 5.816 16.213 2070 12.915 1.073 7.725 21.713
2071 28.014 694 3.859 32.567 2071 10.931 101 6.172 17.204 2071 13.704 1.139 8.196 23.039
2072 29.725 737 4.095 34.556 2072 11.599 107 6.549 18.254 2072 14.541 1.208 8.697 24.446
2073 31.540 782 4.345 36.667 2073 12.307 113 6.948 19.369 2073 15.429 1.282 9.228 25.939
Traffic Analysis
DS With Project
( 2024-2073)
HR Muhammad
Tahun DS
(smp/jam) (smp/jam)
2024 2.008 4641 0,43 Merr
2073 36.667 4641 7,90 Arus Total (Q) Kapasitas (C)
Tahun DS
(smp/jam) (smp/jam)
Dharmahusada 2024 1.421 5109 0,28

Arus Total (Q) Kapasitas (C) 2073 25.939 5109 5,08
Tahun DS
(smp/jam) (smp/jam)
2024 1.061 5086 0,21
2073 19.369 5086 3,81
Traffic Analysis
Kecepatan Tempuh Kendaraan dalam Kondisi With Project Jalan Eksisting

(2024-2073)
HR Muhammad Merr
Kecepatan (km/jam) Kecepatan (km/jam)
Tahun DS LV (FV = Tahun DS LV (FV =
HV (VB = 39,87) MC (VB = 33,66) HV (VB = 39,87) MC (VB = 33,66)
55,77) 55,77)
2024 0,43 49,0 35,0 29,0 2024 0,75 49,0 35,0 31,0
2073 16,25 31,5 21,9 18,2 2073 13,77 34,9 24,8 20,9
Dharmahusada
Kecepatan (km/jam)
Tahun DS LV (FV = HV (VB = 39,87) MC (VB = 33,66)
55,77)
2024 0,49 56,0 41,0 35,0
2073 8,99 36,54 26,25 22,19
F EAS I B I LI TY ANALY S I S
Cost and Benefit Analysis
1.Biaya pembuatan 1.Penghematan BOK.

jalur monorel dan 2.Penghematan nilai
stasiun. waktu.
2.Pengadaan 3.Penghematan biaya
monorel. kecelakaan.
3.Biaya 4.Pendapatan dari tiket
pemeliharaan jalur monorel.
dan stasiun. Cost Benefit
BIAYA KONSTRUKSI.
• Biaya konstruksi jalur

monorel
• Biaya konstruksi stasiun
monorel
Didaptkan dari perbandingan

biaya konstruksi pada proyek
serupa.
PENGADAAN MONOREL.
BIAYA PEMELIHARAAN.
Cost
Biaya operasional & maintenance monorel,

jalur monorel dan stasiun monorel.
Cost
Data Monorail
Jenis Monorail = Bombardier Innovia 300
Kecepatan = 80 km/jam
Panjang Jalur Monorail = 24 km
Cost Jumlah Stasiun = 25 unit
Jarak Antar Stasiun = 0,96 km
Waktu Tempuh Antar Stasiun = 43 detik
Waktu Tunggu = 55 detik
Kapasitas Penumpang Per Gerbong = 125 orang
Jumlah Rangkaian Per Kereta = 6 unit
Waktu Tempuh Total = 39,48 menit
Total Waktu Operasional Monorel = 17 jam/hari
Tabel Analisis Kebutuhan Headway
Cost Total Penumpang (tahun 2024) = 277.782 Penumpang/hari
Total Penumpang (tahun 2024) = 16.340 Penumpang/jam
Kapasitas Kereta = 22 Kereta/jam
Total Perjalanan Stasiun 1-25-1 = 78,95 Menit
Headway Minimum = 3,62 Menit
Cost Sumber : Jurnal UGM
Estimasi Investasi Jalur Monorel

Detail Pekerjaan Jumlah Satuan Harga Satuan (2014) Inflasi Harga Satuan (2024) Total Harga
Desain Teknis Dan Supervisi 24 km Rp 1.574.367.742,00 4,46% Rp 2.435.258.438,05 Rp 58.446.202.513,23
Pekerjaan Prekonstruksi 24 km Rp 9.942.479.169,00 4,46% Rp 15.379.193.593,42 Rp 369.100.646.242,13
Konstruksi Jalur Monorel 24 km Rp 99.424.791.693,00 4,46% Rp 153.791.935.938,86 Rp 3.691.006.462.532,65
Stasiun Ujung 2 unit Rp 44.691.297.939,00 4,46% Rp 69.129.249.482,18 Rp 138.258.498.964,36
Stasiun Antara 16 unit Rp 10.083.243.254,00 4,46% Rp 15.596.929.841,84 Rp 249.550.877.469,41
Stasiun Besar 6 unit Rp 156.419.542.787,00 4,46% Rp 241.952.373.188,41 Rp 1.451.714.239.130,43
Depo 1 unit Rp 550.000.000.000,00 4,46% Rp 850.749.227.894,32 Rp 850.749.227.894,32
Sinyal dan Komunikasi 24 km Rp 8.205.710.859,00 4,46% Rp 12.692.731.232,03 Rp 304.625.549.568,80
Total Rp 7.113.451.704.315,34
Cost
Estimasi Biaya Kereta
Detail Jumlah Satuan
Kereta 22 Unit
Gerbong 6 Unit
Total Gerbong 131 Unit
Harga Per Gerbong Rp 12.380.952.381,00 /Unit
Total Rp 1.618.451.533.341,75
Sumber : Jurnal UGM

Estimasi Biaya Operasional Monorail
Keterangan Jumlah
Volt DC 750
Kilo Watt/rangkaian 160
Kilo Watt/kapasitas jalur 3.486
Kilo Watt/Hour 59.260
Kwh x rupiah Rp 88.890.338,06
Kwh x rupiah/tahun Rp 32.444.973.392,51
Cost
Estimasi Biaya Perawatan

Detail Pekerjaan Investasi Persen Biaya Perawatan
Konstruksi Jalur Monorel Rp 3.691.006.462.532,65 1% Rp 36.910.064.625,33
Stasiun Ujung Rp 138.258.498.964,36 1% Rp 1.382.584.989,64
Stasiun Antara Rp 249.550.877.469,41 1% Rp 2.495.508.774,69
Stasiun Besar Rp 1.451.714.239.130,43 1% Rp 14.517.142.391,30 Sumber : Jurnal UGM
Depo Rp 850.749.227.894,32 5% Rp 42.537.461.394,72
Sinyal dan Komunikasi Rp 304.625.549.568,80 3% Rp 9.138.766.487,06
Kereta Rp 1.618.451.533.341,75 3% Rp 48.553.546.000,25
Total Rp 155.535.074.663,00
Cost
Tahun Biaya Investasi & OM Inflasi Total Investasi &OM
0 Rp 8.731.903.237.657,09 Rp 8.731.903.237.657,09
26 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 584.322.795.168,50
1 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 187.980.048.055,51
2 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 205.115.996.429,06 27 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 610.374.970.677,02
3 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 214.261.143.568,21 28 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 637.588.688.836,86
4 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 223.814.029.341,37 29 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 666.015.737.312,75
5 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 233.792.832.875,79 30 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 695.710.212.735,20
6 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 244.216.543.819,60 31 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 726.728.623.646,28
7 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 255.104.998.479,04 32 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 759.129.998.035,31
8 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 266.478.917.566,97 33 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 792.975.995.669,03
9 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 278.359.945.634,29 34 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 828.331.025.430,03
10 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 290.770.692.259,56 35 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 865.262.367.886,79
11 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 303.734.775.074,95 36 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 903.840.303.328,45
12 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 317.276.864.710,54 37 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 944.138.245.508,16
13 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 331.422.731.742,56 38 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 986.232.881.349,29
14 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 346.199.295.734,70 39 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 1.030.204.316.880,53
15 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 361.634.676.466,00 40 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 1.076.136.229.677,58
41 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 1.124.116.028.101,41
Cost 16 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 377.758.247.442,80
42 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 1.174.235.017.636,29
17 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 394.600.691.796,41
18 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 412.194.060.673,11 43 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 1.226.588.574.643,92
19 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 430.571.834.227,41 44 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 1.281.276.327.864,56
20 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 449.768.985.334,76 45 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 1.338.402.348.010,35
21 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 469.822.046.144,85 46 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 1.398.075.345.811,72
22 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 490.769.177.602,22 47 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 1.460.408.878.893,76
23 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 512.650.242.066,56 48 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 1.525.521.567.876,18
24 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 535.506.879.170,64 49 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 1.593.537.322.108,19
25 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 559.382.585.060,48 50 Rp 187.980.048.055,51 4,46% Rp 1.664.585.575.467,82
PENGHEMATAN BIAYA OPERASIONAL KENADARAAN (BOK).
Formula Jasa Marga:

• Konsumsi bahan bakar
• Konsumsi minyak pelumas
• Konsumsi pemakaian ban
• Konsumsi pemeliharaan
• Depresiasi
• Bunga modal
• Asuransi
PENGHEMATAN NILAI PENGHEMATAN ACCIDENT

WAKTU. COST.
PENDAPATAN. Analisis Willingness to Pay (WTP):

Benefit Analisis tingkat kemauan berpindah
membayar tarif monorel pada jalur Surabaya
Barat-Timur.
Analisis Ability to Pay (ATP):
Analisis kemampuan seseorang untuk
Tiket Monorel membayar tarif untuk menggunakan monorel
berdasarkan penghasilan yang dianggap
ideal.
Biaya Operasional
Kendaraan
Metode Jasa Marga
KOMPONEN BOK
Konsumsi Bahan Konsumsi Minyak Konsumsi Konsumsi

Bakar Pelumas Pemakaian Ban Pemeliharaan
Depresiasi Bunga Modal Asuransi

Biaya Operasional
Kendaraan
Metode Jasa Marga
Rekap BOK LV
V BOK BOK
(km/jam) (1000 km/kend) (km/kend)
Rp8,000,000 Grafik Hubungan Antara Kecepatan dengan BOK
10 Rp 4.289.533 Rp 4.290
20 Rp 3.209.480 Rp 3.209 Rp7,500,000
30 Rp 2.725.843 Rp 2.726 Rp7,000,000 LV

40 Rp 2.456.452 Rp 2.456 Rp6,500,000
Poly
no-
50 Rp 2.320.330 Rp 2.320 Rp6,000,000
mial
(LV)
60 Rp 2.295.837 Rp 2.296 HV
Rp5,500,000
BOK (Rp/1000 km/kend)

70 Rp 2.356.461 Rp 2.356
Rp5,000,000
80 Rp 2.495.358 Rp 2.495
90 Rp 2.708.502 Rp 2.709 Rp4,500,000
100 Rp 3.000.144 Rp 3.000 Rp4,000,000
Rekap BOK HV Rp3,500,000

V BOK BOK Rp3,000,000
(km/jam) (1000 km/kend) (km/kend) Rp2,500,000
10 Rp 6.302.690 Rp 6.303 Rp2,000,000
20 Rp 5.407.662 Rp 5.408
Rp1,500,000
30 Rp 4.927.385 Rp 4.927
Rp1,000,000
40 Rp 4.698.768 Rp 4.699
50 Rp 4.687.981 Rp 4.688 Rp500,000
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
60 Rp 4.883.200 Rp 4.883
70 Rp 5.279.082 Rp 5.279 Kecepatan (km/jam)
80 Rp 5.872.805 Rp 5.873
90 Rp 6.662.720 Rp 6.663
100 Rp 7.652.785 Rp 7.653
Biaya Operasional Monorel
Biaya operasional Monorel didapat dari Penyiapan Dokumen Proyek Investasi Outline Business Case and Project
Readiness Monorail Batam tahun 2015. Didapat nilai BOK untuk Monorel adalah sebesar Rp. 88.784 /km. BOK ini
termasuk biaya antara lain :
• Tenaga listrik
• Biaya awak, masinis, asisten masinis, PLKA, dan kondektur
• Perawatan dan depresiasi
• Biaya umum
• Biaya manajemen
Parameter biaya tersebut didapat dari Peraturan Menteri Perhubungan No. 34 Tahun 2011 tentang Tata Cara
Perhitungan dan Penetapan Tarif Angkutan Orang dan Barang Dengan Kereta Api.
Data Monorel
Jenis Monorail = Bombardier Innovia 300
Kecepatan = 80 km/jam
Panjang Jalur Monorail = 24 km
Jumlah Stasiun = 25 unit
Jarak Antar Stasiun = 0,96 km
Waktu Tempuh Antar Stasiun = 43 detik
Waktu Tunggu = 55 detik
Kapasitas Penumpang Per Gerbong = 125 orang
Jumlah Rangkaian Per Kereta = 6 unit
Waktu Tempuh Total = 39,48 menit
Total Waktu Operasional Monorel = 17 jam/hari
BOK untuk Monorel adalah sebesar Rp. 88.784 /km ini diproyeksikan menggunakan UMR Kota Surabaya dan
didapat nilai sebesar Rp. 90.307 /km pada tahun yang sama. Lalu nilai ini di forecast menggunakan UMR Kota
Surabaya dari tahun 2015 menuju tahun 2020 dengan hitungan sebagai berikut :
Tahun Surabaya Rasio

2015 Rp2.710.000 0,1236
2016 Rp3.045.000 0,0825
2017 Rp3.296.212 0,0871
2018 Rp3.583.312 0,0803
2019 Rp3.871.000 0,0850
2020 Rp4.200.000
Rata-rata rasio pertumbuhan adalah sebesar 9,17 % pertahun.
Didapat nilai BOK pada tahun 2020 di Kota Surabaya adalah sebesar Rp. 128.271 /km. Dengan jarak tempuh 24
km didapat BOK sepanjang trek sebesar Rp 3.078.524,73
Total BOK seluruh trek Rp 3.078.524,73 dibagai dengan kapasitas penuh seluruh gerbong, yaitu
kapasitas=jumlah gerbong x jumlah penumpang pergerbong = 125x6 = 750 penumpang. Didapat Rp. 4.104
Tahun BOK Monorel Inflasi Total BOK Monorel BOK/Orang
0 Rp 3.078.524,73 Rp 3.078.524,73 Rp 4.104,70 26 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 9.572.893,04 Rp 12.763,86
1 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 3.078.524,73 Rp 4.104,70
27 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 9.999.844,07 Rp 13.333,13
2 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 3.359.252,82 Rp 4.479,00
28 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 10.445.837,11 Rp 13.927,78
3 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 3.509.075,50 Rp 4.678,77
29 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 10.911.721,45 Rp 14.548,96
4 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 3.665.580,26 Rp 4.887,44
30 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 11.398.384,22 Rp 15.197,85
5 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 3.829.065,14 Rp 5.105,42
31 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 11.906.752,16 Rp 15.875,67
6 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 3.999.841,45 Rp 5.333,12
7 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 4.178.234,38 Rp 5.570,98 32 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 12.437.793,31 Rp 16.583,72
8 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 4.364.583,63 Rp 5.819,44 33 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 12.992.518,89 Rp 17.323,36
9 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 4.559.244,06 Rp 6.078,99 34 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 13.571.985,23 Rp 18.095,98
10 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 4.762.586,34 Rp 6.350,12 35 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 14.177.295,77 Rp 18.903,06
11 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 4.974.997,70 Rp 6.633,33 36 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 14.809.603,16 Rp 19.746,14
12 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 5.196.882,59 Rp 6.929,18 37 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 15.470.111,47 Rp 20.626,82
13 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 5.428.663,56 Rp 7.238,22 38 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 16.160.078,44 Rp 21.546,77
14 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 5.670.781,95 Rp 7.561,04 39 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 16.880.817,94 Rp 22.507,76
15 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 5.923.698,83 Rp 7.898,27 40 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 17.633.702,42 Rp 23.511,60
16 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 6.187.895,79 Rp 8.250,53 41 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 18.420.165,54 Rp 24.560,22
17 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 6.463.875,95 Rp 8.618,50 42 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 19.241.704,93 Rp 25.655,61
18 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 6.752.164,81 Rp 9.002,89 43 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 20.099.884,97 Rp 26.799,85
19 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 7.053.311,36 Rp 9.404,42 44 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 20.996.339,84 Rp 27.995,12
20 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 7.367.889,05 Rp 9.823,85 45 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 21.932.776,59 Rp 29.243,70
21 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 7.696.496,90 Rp 10.262,00 46 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 22.910.978,43 Rp 30.547,97
22 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 8.039.760,66 Rp 10.719,68 47 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 23.932.808,07 Rp 31.910,41
23 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 8.398.333,99 Rp 11.197,78 48 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 25.000.211,31 Rp 33.333,62
24 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 8.772.899,69 Rp 11.697,20 49 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 26.115.220,73 Rp 34.820,29
25 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 9.164.171,01 Rp 12.218,89 50 Rp 3.078.524,73 4,46% Rp 27.279.959,57 Rp 36.373,28
Diatas merupakan tabel BOK per orang hingga tahun ke 50 pasca operasi.
Biaya Operasional
Kendaraan
Without Project
Total BOK (Rp./Tahun) = BOK (Rp/km/kend.) x Jarak (km) x Jumlah Kendaraan (Kend./tahun)
TOTAL BOK WITHOUT PROJECT
Ruas
Tahun TOTAL
HR. Muh Dharmahusada MERR
2024 Rp 458.234.615.108 Rp 62.275.611.285 Rp 163.356.399.730 Rp 683.866.626.124
2025 Rp 510.915.115.492 Rp 66.356.679.063 Rp 174.675.043.561 Rp 751.946.838.116
2026 Rp 576.942.613.299 Rp 70.409.120.380 Rp 186.904.718.323 Rp 834.256.452.002
2027 Rp 612.176.837.138 Rp 75.065.914.133 Rp 203.952.936.105 Rp 891.195.687.376
2028 Rp 649.562.835.696 Rp 80.074.058.965 Rp 228.578.603.583 Rp 958.215.498.244
2029 Rp 689.232.019.117 Rp 84.965.882.593 Rp 255.597.442.904 Rp 1.029.795.344.614
2030 Rp 731.323.822.841 Rp 90.684.376.745 Rp 271.206.928.680 Rp 1.093.215.128.266
2031 Rp 775.986.197.709 Rp 96.842.122.432 Rp 287.769.694.910 Rp 1.160.598.015.051
2032 Rp 823.376.130.011 Rp 102.756.327.659 Rp 305.343.958.989 Rp 1.231.476.416.658
2033 Rp 873.660.193.278 Rp 109.792.145.384 Rp 323.991.493.684 Rp 1.307.443.832.346
2034 Rp 927.015.133.786 Rp 119.314.416.330 Rp 343.777.844.263 Rp 1.390.107.394.379
2035 Rp 983.628.491.810 Rp 132.998.192.224 Rp 364.772.558.878 Rp 1.481.399.242.912
2036 Rp1.043.699.260.819 Rp 150.660.795.311 Rp 387.049.433.031 Rp 1.581.409.489.161
2037 Rp1.107.438.586.930 Rp 159.861.738.461 Rp 410.686.768.957 Rp 1.677.987.094.347
2038 Rp1.175.070.511.077 Rp 169.624.588.606 Rp 435.767.650.853 Rp 1.780.462.750.536
2039 Rp1.246.832.756.506 Rp 179.983.661.737 Rp 462.380.236.920 Rp 1.889.196.655.163
2040 Rp1.322.977.564.360 Rp 190.975.369.541 Rp 490.618.069.229 Rp 2.004.571.003.130
2041 Rp1.403.772.580.298 Rp 202.638.347.389 Rp 520.580.402.522 Rp 2.126.991.330.209
2042 Rp1.489.501.795.255 Rp 215.013.590.135 Rp 552.372.553.086 Rp 2.256.887.938.476
2043 Rp1.580.466.543.659 Rp 228.144.596.216 Rp 586.106.268.934 Rp 2.394.717.408.809
2044 Rp1.676.986.562.611 Rp 242.077.520.540 Rp 621.900.122.599 Rp 2.540.964.205.750
2045 Rp1.779.401.115.740 Rp 256.861.336.727 Rp 659.879.927.904 Rp 2.696.142.380.370
... ... ... ... ...
... ... ... ... ...
2073 Rp9.356.503.456.966 Rp1.350.636.438.172 Rp 3.469.801.593.356 Rp 14.176.941.488.494
Biaya Operasional
Kendaraan
With Project
Total BOK (Rp./Tahun) = BOK (Rp/km/kend.) x Jarak (km) x Jumlah Kendaraan (Kend./tahun)
TOTAL BOK WITH PROJECT
Ruas
Tahun BOK Monorel TOTAL
2024 Rp 205.451.723.724 Rp 25.950.634.464 Rp 58.997.128.319 Rp 346.624.732.269 Rp 637.024.218.776
2025 Rp 217.998.781.014 Rp 27.569.828.513 Rp 62.600.117.554 Rp 401.320.733.938 Rp 709.489.461.019
2026 Rp 233.148.209.535 Rp 29.253.534.113 Rp 66.641.843.296 Rp 444.815.345.195 Rp 773.858.932.139
2027 Rp 247.386.707.460 Rp 31.040.064.602 Rp 70.732.532.675 Rp 493.023.844.991 Rp 842.183.149.729
2028 Rp 264.647.609.790 Rp 32.935.699.556 Rp 75.052.209.939 Rp 546.457.118.343 Rp 919.092.637.628
2029 Rp 280.874.867.350 Rp 35.012.087.401 Rp 79.939.749.598 Rp 605.681.419.310 Rp 1.001.508.123.658
2030 Rp 300.612.353.118 Rp 37.150.296.117 Rp 84.821.717.000 Rp 671.324.371.818 Rp 1.093.908.738.053
2031 Rp 319.049.479.949 Rp 39.419.086.494 Rp 90.422.600.224 Rp 744.081.620.846 Rp 1.192.972.787.513
2032 Rp 341.624.256.830 Rp 41.927.929.718 Rp 95.944.761.463 Rp 824.724.204.459 Rp 1.304.221.152.469
2033 Rp 366.052.500.473 Rp 44.489.641.660 Rp 101.804.164.328 Rp 914.106.724.807 Rp 1.426.453.031.268
2034 Rp 388.407.541.410 Rp 47.206.650.175 Rp 108.586.231.635 Rp 1.013.176.404.692 Rp 1.557.376.827.912
2035 Rp 416.364.128.882 Rp 50.240.372.667 Rp 115.217.656.500 Rp 1.122.983.125.677 Rp 1.704.805.283.725
2036 Rp 451.356.008.532 Rp 53.310.236.994 Rp 122.959.975.327 Rp 1.244.690.554.097 Rp 1.872.316.774.950
2037 Rp 502.313.209.689 Rp 56.768.940.068 Rp 131.232.792.437 Rp 1.379.588.472.912 Rp 2.069.903.415.107
2038 Rp 569.969.255.696 Rp 60.235.852.540 Rp 139.247.256.055 Rp 1.529.106.450.054 Rp 2.298.558.814.346
2039 Rp 609.315.119.882 Rp 64.182.813.332 Rp 148.755.486.035 Rp 1.694.828.988.142 Rp 2.517.082.407.391
2040 Rp 646.526.351.688 Rp 68.102.495.393 Rp 157.840.070.830 Rp 1.878.512.316.095 Rp 2.750.981.234.005
2041 Rp 686.010.095.250 Rp 72.603.192.692 Rp 168.704.320.813 Rp 2.082.103.000.603 Rp 3.009.420.609.358
2042 Rp 727.905.134.192 Rp 77.040.282.500 Rp 180.406.740.317 Rp 2.307.758.574.686 Rp 3.293.110.731.695
2043 Rp 772.358.727.740 Rp 82.177.272.484 Rp 192.906.521.757 Rp 2.557.870.401.941 Rp 3.605.312.923.922
2044 Rp 819.527.128.322 Rp 87.708.746.439 Rp 212.390.865.884 Rp 2.835.089.018.797 Rp 3.954.715.759.442
2045 Rp 869.576.130.798 Rp 93.069.923.443 Rp 238.221.409.893 Rp 3.142.352.223.320 Rp 4.343.219.687.453
... ... ... ... ... ...
... ... ... ... ... ...
2073 Rp4.572.432.826.943 Rp 569.413.316.624 Rp 1.302.586.172.021 Rp 56.043.265.743.541 Rp 62.487.698.059.129
Biaya Operasional
Kendaraan
Saving BOK
Penghematan BOK = Total BOK Without Project - Total BOK With Project
Tahun Total BOK without project Total BOK with Project Saving BOK Tahun Total BOK without project Total BOK with Project Saving BOK
2024 Rp 683.866.626.124 Rp 637.024.218.776 Rp 46.842.407.347 2049 Rp 3.417.589.734.375 Rp 6.284.700.349.081 -Rp 2.867.110.614.706
2025 Rp 751.946.838.116 Rp 709.489.461.019 Rp 42.457.377.097 2050 Rp 3.626.303.944.273 Rp 6.900.497.643.649 -Rp 3.274.193.699.376
2026 Rp 834.256.452.002 Rp 773.858.932.139 Rp 60.397.519.863 2051 Rp 3.847.764.453.404 Rp 7.575.262.979.381 -Rp 3.727.498.525.977
2027 Rp 891.195.687.376 Rp 842.183.149.729 Rp 49.012.537.647 2052 Rp 4.082.749.685.741 Rp 8.313.514.163.593 -Rp 4.230.764.477.851
2028 Rp 958.215.498.244 Rp 919.092.637.628 Rp 39.122.860.616 2053 Rp 4.332.085.604.064 Rp 9.126.722.700.904 -Rp 4.794.637.096.840
2029 Rp 1.029.795.344.614 Rp 1.001.508.123.658 Rp 28.287.220.956
2054 Rp 4.596.648.613.183 Rp -Rp 5.426.055.146.928
2030 Rp 1.093.215.128.266 Rp 1.093.908.738.053 -Rp 693.609.786 10.022.703.760.111
2031 Rp 1.160.598.015.051 Rp 1.192.972.787.513 -Rp 32.374.772.462 Rp
2055 Rp 4.877.368.640.467 11.010.100.660.681 -Rp 6.132.732.020.215
2032 Rp 1.231.476.416.658 Rp 1.304.221.152.469 -Rp 72.744.735.811
2033 Rp 1.307.443.832.346 Rp 1.426.453.031.268 -Rp 119.009.198.922 Rp
2056 Rp 5.175.232.404.492 12.098.473.475.632 -Rp 6.923.241.071.140
2034 Rp 1.390.107.394.379 Rp 1.557.376.827.912 -Rp 167.269.433.534
2035 Rp 1.481.399.242.912 Rp 1.704.805.283.725 -Rp 223.406.040.813 Rp
2057 Rp 5.491.286.883.318 13.298.397.166.781 -Rp 7.807.110.283.463
2036 Rp 1.581.409.489.161 Rp 1.872.316.774.950 -Rp 290.907.285.789
2037 Rp 1.677.987.094.347 Rp 2.069.903.415.107 -Rp 391.916.320.760 2058 Rp 5.826.642.994.570 Rp -Rp 8.794.927.286.611
2038 Rp 1.780.462.750.536 Rp 2.298.558.814.346 -Rp 518.096.063.810 14.621.570.281.180
2039 Rp 1.889.196.655.163 Rp 2.517.082.407.391 -Rp 627.885.752.228 2059 Rp 6.182.479.500.261 Rp -Rp 9.898.455.848.522
2040 Rp 2.004.571.003.130 Rp 2.750.981.234.005 -Rp 746.410.230.875 16.080.935.348.783
2041 Rp 2.126.991.330.209 Rp 3.009.420.609.358 -Rp 882.429.279.149 2060 Rp 6.560.047.150.096 Rp -Rp 11.130.765.094.590
2042 Rp 2.256.887.938.476 Rp 3.293.110.731.695 -Rp 1.036.222.793.219 17.690.812.244.686
2043 Rp 2.394.717.408.809 Rp 3.605.312.923.922 -Rp 1.210.595.515.113 2061 Rp 6.960.673.077.793 Rp -Rp 12.506.372.838.090
2044 Rp 2.540.964.205.750 Rp 3.954.715.759.442 -Rp 1.413.751.553.693 19.467.045.915.883
2045 Rp 2.696.142.380.370 Rp 4.343.219.687.453 -Rp 1.647.077.307.084 Rp
2062 Rp 7.385.765.465.909 21.427.170.023.917 -Rp 14.041.404.558.007
2046 Rp 2.860.797.377.144 Rp 4.767.833.031.829 -Rp 1.907.035.654.684
2047 Rp 3.035.507.951.162 Rp 5.224.511.584.694 -Rp 2.189.003.633.532 Rp
2063 Rp 7.836.818.495.535 23.590.588.222.583 -Rp 15.753.769.727.048
2048 Rp 3.220.888.202.422 Rp 5.727.046.565.892 -Rp 2.506.158.363.470
Rp
2064 Rp 8.315.417.598.275 -Rp 17.663.357.377.556
Biaya Operasional
Kendaraan
Saving BOK
Penghematan BOK = Total BOK Without Project - Total BOK With Project
Tahun Total BOK without project Total BOK with Project Saving BOK Tahun Total BOK without project Total BOK with Project Saving BOK
2024 Rp 683.866.626.124 Rp 637.024.218.776 Rp 46.842.407.347 2049 Rp 3.417.589.734.375 Rp 6.284.700.349.081 -Rp 2.867.110.614.706
2025 Rp 751.946.838.116 Rp 709.489.461.019 Rp 42.457.377.097 2050 Rp 3.626.303.944.273 Rp 6.900.497.643.649 -Rp 3.274.193.699.376
2026 Rp 834.256.452.002 Rp 773.858.932.139 Rp 60.397.519.863 2051 Rp 3.847.764.453.404 Rp 7.575.262.979.381 -Rp 3.727.498.525.977
2027 Rp 891.195.687.376 Rp 842.183.149.729 Rp 49.012.537.647 2052 Rp 4.082.749.685.741 Rp 8.313.514.163.593 -Rp 4.230.764.477.851
2028 Rp 958.215.498.244 Rp 919.092.637.628 Rp 39.122.860.616 2053 Rp 4.332.085.604.064 Rp 9.126.722.700.904 -Rp 4.794.637.096.840
2029 Rp 1.029.795.344.614 Rp 1.001.508.123.658 Rp 28.287.220.956
2054 Rp 4.596.648.613.183 Rp -Rp 5.426.055.146.928
2030 Rp 1.093.215.128.266 Rp 1.093.908.738.053 -Rp 693.609.786 10.022.703.760.111
2031 Rp 1.160.598.015.051 Rp 1.192.972.787.513 -Rp 32.374.772.462 Rp
2055 Rp 4.877.368.640.467 11.010.100.660.681 -Rp 6.132.732.020.215
2032 Rp 1.231.476.416.658 Rp 1.304.221.152.469 -Rp 72.744.735.811
2033 Rp 1.307.443.832.346 Rp 1.426.453.031.268 -Rp 119.009.198.922 Rp
2056 Rp 5.175.232.404.492 12.098.473.475.632 -Rp 6.923.241.071.140
2034 Rp 1.390.107.394.379 Rp 1.557.376.827.912 -Rp 167.269.433.534
2035 Rp 1.481.399.242.912 Rp 1.704.805.283.725 -Rp 223.406.040.813 Rp
2057 Rp 5.491.286.883.318 13.298.397.166.781 -Rp 7.807.110.283.463
2036 Rp 1.581.409.489.161 Rp 1.872.316.774.950 -Rp 290.907.285.789
2037 Rp 1.677.987.094.347 Rp 2.069.903.415.107 -Rp 391.916.320.760 2058 Rp 5.826.642.994.570 Rp -Rp 8.794.927.286.611
2038 Rp 1.780.462.750.536 Rp 2.298.558.814.346 -Rp 518.096.063.810 14.621.570.281.180
2039 Rp 1.889.196.655.163 Rp 2.517.082.407.391 -Rp 627.885.752.228 2059 Rp 6.182.479.500.261 Rp -Rp 9.898.455.848.522
2040 Rp 2.004.571.003.130 Rp 2.750.981.234.005 -Rp 746.410.230.875 16.080.935.348.783
2041 Rp 2.126.991.330.209 Rp 3.009.420.609.358 -Rp 882.429.279.149 2060 Rp 6.560.047.150.096 Rp -Rp 11.130.765.094.590
2042 Rp 2.256.887.938.476 Rp 3.293.110.731.695 -Rp 1.036.222.793.219 17.690.812.244.686
2043 Rp 2.394.717.408.809 Rp 3.605.312.923.922 -Rp 1.210.595.515.113 2061 Rp 6.960.673.077.793 Rp -Rp 12.506.372.838.090
2044 Rp 2.540.964.205.750 Rp 3.954.715.759.442 -Rp 1.413.751.553.693 19.467.045.915.883
2045 Rp 2.696.142.380.370 Rp 4.343.219.687.453 -Rp 1.647.077.307.084 Rp
2062 Rp 7.385.765.465.909 21.427.170.023.917 -Rp 14.041.404.558.007
2046 Rp 2.860.797.377.144 Rp 4.767.833.031.829 -Rp 1.907.035.654.684
2047 Rp 3.035.507.951.162 Rp 5.224.511.584.694 -Rp 2.189.003.633.532 Rp
2063 Rp 7.836.818.495.535 23.590.588.222.583 -Rp 15.753.769.727.048
2048 Rp 3.220.888.202.422 Rp 5.727.046.565.892 -Rp 2.506.158.363.470
Rp
2064 Rp 8.315.417.598.275 -Rp 17.663.357.377.556
Nilai Waktu
Nilai waktu untuk masing-masing golongan kendaraan
Nilai Waktu (Rp/jam/kend)
Tahun
LV HV
2024 Rp30.839 Rp34.557
2025 Rp32.214 Rp36.097 NOTE:
2026 Rp33.651 Rp37.707
2027 Rp35.151 Rp39.388
2028 Rp36.718 Rp41.144
2029 Rp38.355 Rp42.978
2030 Rp40.065 Rp44.895
2031 Rp41.852 Rp46.896  Nilai waktu diasumsikan mengalami kenaikan
2032 Rp43.718 Rp48.987 harga setiap tahunnya sesuai dengan kenaikan
2033 Rp45.667 Rp51.171 laju inflasi yaitu 4,46%.
2034 Rp47.703 Rp53.453
2035 Rp49.830 Rp55.836  Menghitung keuntungan berdasarkan total
2036 Rp52.051 Rp58.325 nilai waktu pertahun:
2037 Rp54.372 Rp60.926 Nilai waktu = TT x Nilai waktu x volume
2038 Rp56.796 Rp63.642 kend.
2039 Rp59.329 Rp66.480
2040 Rp61.974 Rp69.444  Nilai waktu dihitung selama 50 tahun sejak
2041 Rp64.737 Rp72.540 monorel beroperasi pada tahun 2024 hingga
2042 Rp67.623 Rp75.774 tahun 2073.
2043 Rp70.638 Rp79.153
2044 Rp73.788 Rp82.682
2045 Rp77.078 Rp86.368
... ... ...
... ... ...
2073 Rp261.431 Rp292.942
Nilai Waktu
Without Project
Total Nilai Waktu Kendaraan (Rp./Tahun) = Nilai Waktu (Rp/jam/kend.) x Travel Time (jam) x Jumlah Kendaraan (Kend./tahun)
TOTAL NILAI WAKTU WITHOUT PROJECT
Ruas
Tahun TOTAL
2024 Rp 126.869.666.098 Rp 11.255.048.646 Rp 31.800.724.354 Rp 169.925.439.098
2025 Rp 156.263.470.056 Rp 12.702.076.458 Rp 35.955.003.502 Rp 204.920.550.016
2026 Rp 198.153.483.406 Rp 14.078.710.734 Rp 40.711.164.034 Rp 252.943.358.174
2027 Rp 219.629.096.304 Rp 15.894.048.493 Rp 48.246.077.278 Rp 283.769.222.075
2028 Rp 243.432.207.772 Rp 17.947.409.538 Rp 60.289.403.907 Rp 321.669.021.217
2029 Rp 269.815.069.033 Rp 19.895.005.837 Rp 74.787.550.945 Rp 364.497.625.815
2030 Rp 299.057.269.962 Rp 22.473.200.468 Rp 82.892.926.970 Rp 404.423.397.400
2031 Rp 331.468.702.018 Rp 25.398.105.889 Rp 91.876.752.947 Rp 448.743.560.854
2032 Rp 367.392.842.285 Rp 28.150.719.071 Rp 101.834.234.121 Rp 497.377.795.477
2033 Rp 407.210.393.441 Rp 31.826.855.875 Rp 112.870.893.957 Rp 551.908.143.274
2034 Rp 451.343.318.218 Rp 37.527.026.490 Rp 125.103.692.415 Rp 613.974.037.123
2035 Rp 500.259.311.112 Rp 46.548.704.232 Rp 138.662.265.417 Rp 685.470.280.760
2036 Rp 554.476.754.728 Rp 59.293.751.027 Rp 153.690.298.659 Rp 767.460.804.414
2037 Rp 614.570.213.298 Rp 65.719.929.475 Rp 170.347.050.301 Rp 850.637.193.073
2038 Rp 681.176.521.562 Rp 72.842.568.657 Rp 188.809.038.693 Rp 942.828.128.912
2039 Rp 755.001.533.571 Rp 80.737.150.070 Rp 209.271.913.011 Rp 1.045.010.596.652
2040 Rp 836.827.602.907 Rp 89.487.335.793 Rp 231.952.526.629 Rp 1.158.267.465.329
2041 Rp 927.521.873.597 Rp 99.185.855.090 Rp 257.091.235.205 Rp 1.283.798.963.892
2042 Rp1.028.045.469.596 Rp 109.935.487.104 Rp 284.954.443.824 Rp 1.422.935.400.524
2043 Rp1.139.463.680.202 Rp 121.850.150.042 Rp 315.837.430.203 Rp 1.577.151.260.447
2044 Rp1.262.957.249.361 Rp 135.056.108.418 Rp 350.067.473.870 Rp 1.748.080.831.649
2045 Rp1.399.834.888.491 Rp 149.693.311.126 Rp 388.007.324.473 Rp 1.937.535.524.090
... ... ... ... ...
... ... ... ... ...
2073 Rp 24.965.794.117.721 Rp2.669.752.280.852 Rp 6.920.038.254.952 Rp 34.555.584.653.524
Nilai Waktu
Without Project
Total Nilai Waktu Kendaraan (Rp./Tahun) = Nilai Waktu (Rp/jam/kend.) x Travel Time (jam) x Jumlah Kendaraan (Kend./tahun)
TOTAL NILAI WAKTU WITH PROJECT
Ruas
Tahun Nilai Waktu dengan Monorel TOTAL
2024 Rp 50.278.751.654 Rp 4.233.702.760 Rp 10.083.880.291 Rp 143.041.221.419 Rp 207.637.556.124
2025 Rp 55.727.896.372 Rp 4.769.832.615 Rp 11.176.757.922 Rp 158.543.840.130 Rp 230.218.327.040
2026 Rp 63.071.067.261 Rp 5.286.780.776 Rp 12.587.756.347 Rp 175.726.612.189 Rp 256.672.216.573
2027 Rp 69.906.626.254 Rp 5.859.755.096 Rp 13.985.424.343 Rp 194.771.630.396 Rp 284.523.436.089
2028 Rp 79.079.427.753 Rp 6.494.827.616 Rp 15.501.146.168 Rp 215.880.722.530 Rp 316.956.124.067
2029 Rp 87.732.293.262 Rp 7.321.267.553 Rp 17.462.915.189 Rp 239.277.590.198 Rp 351.794.066.201
2030 Rp 99.287.072.338 Rp 8.114.736.863 Rp 19.355.522.879 Rp 265.210.179.491 Rp 391.967.511.571
2031 Rp 110.155.153.303 Rp 8.994.201.330 Rp 21.865.261.947 Rp 293.953.308.572 Rp 434.967.925.151
2032 Rp 124.719.454.757 Rp 10.138.853.546 Rp 24.234.990.167 Rp 325.811.580.031 Rp 484.904.878.501
2033 Rp 141.419.648.841 Rp 11.240.760.187 Rp 26.861.546.402 Rp 361.122.608.886 Rp 540.644.564.316
2034 Rp 156.746.523.658 Rp 12.459.018.934 Rp 30.356.027.643 Rp 400.260.600.426 Rp 599.822.170.661
2035 Rp 177.830.526.557 Rp 14.048.733.397 Rp 33.645.973.838 Rp 443.640.315.813 Rp 669.165.549.604
2036 Rp 206.627.887.607 Rp 15.575.702.287 Rp 38.038.034.935 Rp 491.721.467.476 Rp 751.963.092.305
2037 Rp 253.833.875.456 Rp 17.568.412.282 Rp 42.905.940.044 Rp 545.013.590.872 Rp 859.321.818.655
2038 Rp 325.533.431.901 Rp 19.472.453.609 Rp 47.556.029.175 Rp 604.081.444.238 Rp 996.643.358.922
2039 Rp 366.793.563.457 Rp 21.976.978.023 Rp 53.803.900.947 Rp 669.550.993.560 Rp 1.112.125.435.987
2040 Rp 406.546.165.565 Rp 24.358.813.884 Rp 59.635.096.691 Rp 742.116.046.194 Rp 1.232.656.122.334
2041 Rp 450.607.102.202 Rp 27.492.918.847 Rp 67.499.705.943 Rp 822.545.603.422 Rp 1.368.145.330.413
2042 Rp 499.443.304.976 Rp 30.481.540.986 Rp 76.436.772.426 Rp 911.692.009.865 Rp 1.518.053.628.253
2043 Rp 553.572.310.925 Rp 34.415.036.237 Rp 86.345.497.602 Rp 1.010.499.986.134 Rp 1.684.832.830.897
2044 Rp 613.567.747.069 Rp 38.881.573.085 Rp 104.640.934.744 Rp 1.120.016.640.409 Rp 1.877.106.895.306
2045 Rp 680.065.409.367 Rp 43.109.067.321 Rp 131.429.275.869 Rp 1.241.402.565.072 Rp 2.096.006.317.629
... ... ... ... ... ...
... ... ... ... ... ...
2073 Rp12.128.839.719.902 Rp1.093.872.935.259 Rp 2.554.837.362.887 Rp 22.140.183.182.763 Rp 37.917.733.200.810
Nilai Waktu
Saving Value of Time
Penghematan Nilai Waktu = Total Nilai Waktu Without Project - Total Nilai Waktu With Project
Tahun Total VOT without project Total VOT with Project Saving VOT Tahun Total VOT without project Total VOT with Project Saving VOT
2024 Rp 169.925.439.098 Rp 207.637.556.124 -Rp 37.712.117.025 2049 Rp 2.924.168.045.539 Rp 3.192.984.900.991 -Rp 268.816.855.452
2025 Rp 204.920.550.016 Rp 230.218.327.040 -Rp 25.297.777.024 2050 Rp 3.241.085.517.363 Rp 3.549.974.274.975 -Rp 308.888.757.612
2026 Rp 252.943.358.174 Rp 256.672.216.573 -Rp 3.728.858.399 2051 Rp 3.592.350.086.340 Rp 3.941.874.330.980 -Rp 349.524.244.640
2027 Rp 283.769.222.075 Rp 284.523.436.089 -Rp 754.214.014 2052 Rp 3.981.684.245.506 Rp 4.369.089.466.283 -Rp 387.405.220.777
2028 Rp 321.669.021.217 Rp 316.956.124.067 Rp 4.712.897.151 2053 Rp 4.413.213.926.783 Rp 4.842.605.613.874 -Rp 429.391.687.091
2029 Rp 364.497.625.815 Rp 351.794.066.201 Rp 12.703.559.615 2054 Rp 4.891.512.225.142 Rp 5.367.440.816.329 -Rp 475.928.591.187
2030 Rp 404.423.397.400 Rp 391.967.511.571 Rp 12.455.885.829 2055 Rp 5.421.647.861.552 Rp 5.949.156.965.055 -Rp 527.509.103.503
2031 Rp 448.743.560.854 Rp 434.967.925.151 Rp 13.775.635.703 2056 Rp 6.009.238.898.267 Rp 6.593.918.741.907 -Rp 584.679.843.640
2032 Rp 497.377.795.477 Rp 484.904.878.501 Rp 12.472.916.976 2057 Rp 6.660.512.275.710 Rp 7.308.558.948.817 -Rp 648.046.673.106
2033 Rp 551.908.143.274 Rp 540.644.564.316 Rp 11.263.578.958 2058 Rp 7.382.369.801.887 Rp 8.100.650.917.770 -Rp 718.281.115.883
2034 Rp 613.974.037.123 Rp 599.822.170.661 Rp 14.151.866.462 2059 Rp 8.182.461.293.639 Rp 8.978.588.768.473 -Rp 796.127.474.834
2035 Rp 685.470.280.760 Rp 669.165.549.604 Rp 16.304.731.156 2060 Rp 9.069.265.644.859 Rp 9.951.676.364.242 -Rp 882.410.719.383
2036 Rp 767.460.804.414 Rp 751.963.092.305 Rp 15.497.712.109 2061 Rp 10.052.180.680.765 Rp 11.030.225.908.816 -Rp 978.045.228.051
2037 Rp 850.637.193.073 Rp 859.321.818.655 -Rp 8.684.625.582 2062 Rp 11.141.622.750.462 Rp 12.225.667.228.958 -Rp 1.084.044.478.496
2038 Rp 942.828.128.912 Rp 996.643.358.922 -Rp 53.815.230.010 2063 Rp 12.349.137.113.218 Rp 13.550.668.900.966 -Rp 1.201.531.787.748
2039 Rp 1.045.010.596.652 Rp 1.112.125.435.987 -Rp 67.114.839.334 2064 Rp 13.687.520.288.258 Rp 15.019.272.504.709 -Rp 1.331.752.216.451
2040 Rp 1.158.267.465.329 Rp 1.232.656.122.334 -Rp 74.388.657.006 2065 Rp 15.170.955.664.662 Rp 16.647.041.427.942 -Rp 1.476.085.763.280
2041 Rp 1.283.798.963.892 Rp 1.368.145.330.413 -Rp 84.346.366.521 2066 Rp 16.815.163.808.495 Rp 18.451.225.797.836 -Rp 1.636.061.989.341
2042 Rp 1.422.935.400.524 Rp 1.518.053.628.253 -Rp 95.118.227.729 2067 Rp 18.637.569.060.011 Rp 20.450.945.287.569 -Rp 1.813.376.227.557
2043 Rp 1.577.151.260.447 Rp 1.684.832.830.897 -Rp 107.681.570.450 2068 Rp 20.657.484.186.459 Rp 22.667.391.735.252 -Rp 2.009.907.548.793
2044 Rp 1.748.080.831.649 Rp 1.877.106.895.306 -Rp 129.026.063.656 2069 Rp 22.896.315.047.298 Rp 25.124.053.722.430 -Rp 2.227.738.675.132
2045 Rp 1.937.535.524.090 Rp 2.096.006.317.629 -Rp 158.470.793.539 2070 Rp 25.377.787.440.775 Rp 27.846.965.492.103 -Rp 2.469.178.051.329
2046 Rp 2.147.523.065.949 Rp 2.337.196.260.826 -Rp 189.673.194.877 2071 Rp 28.128.198.535.823 Rp 30.864.982.844.154 -Rp 2.736.784.308.331
2047 Rp 2.380.268.780.335 Rp 2.591.583.142.251 -Rp 211.314.361.916 2072 Rp 31.176.695.553.823 Rp 34.210.088.931.954 -Rp 3.033.393.378.131
2048 Rp 2.638.239.167.939 Rp 2.873.707.076.605 -Rp 235.467.908.666 2073 Rp 34.555.584.653.524 Rp 37.917.733.200.810 -Rp 3.362.148.547.285
Biaya Kecelakaan
Accident Cost
Sumber : Oglesby’s Book

Accident Cost
Fatal $ 287.200,00 Rp 4.308.000.000,00 /miles Rp 2.676.867.096,16 /km
Injury $ 3.185,00 Rp 47.775.000,00 /miles Rp 29.686.008,71 /km
PDO $ 520,00 Rp 7.800.000,00 /miles Rp 4.846.695,30 /km
Biaya Kecelakaan Perhitungan :
WITHOUT PROJECT Fatal : (0,07/1000000)*L*Jml.Kend*Biaya Fatal
Injury : (0,94/1000000) )*L*Jml.Kend*Biaya Injury
PDO : (1,39/1000000)* L*Jml.Kend*Biaya PDO
Without Project
Tahun Ruas HR Muhammad Ruas Dharmahusada Ruas Merr Total AC
2024 Rp 41.620.428.042 Rp 25.927.348.947 Rp 34.689.472.665 Rp 102.237.249.654 2049 Rp 183.194.925.124 Rp 114.120.852.967 Rp 152.687.890.213 Rp 450.003.668.303
2038 Rp 95.439.115.172 Rp 59.453.575.051 Rp 79.545.856.030 Rp 234.438.546.254 2063 Rp 420.081.252.895 Rp 261.688.640.465 Rp 350.126.075.704 Rp 1.031.895.969.065
Biaya Kecelakaan Perhitungan :
Fatal : (0,07/1000000)*L*Jml.Kend*Biaya Fatal
WITH PROJECT Injury : (0,94/1000000) )*L*Jml.Kend*Biaya Injury
PDO : (1,39/1000000)* L*Jml.Kend*Biaya PDO
With Project
Tahun Ruas HR Muhammad Ruas Dharmahusada Ruas Merr Total AC
2024 Rp 20.401.446.989 Rp 11.352.809.338 Rp 12.929.837.812 Rp 44.684.094.140 2050 Rp 95.282.280.562 Rp 53.021.806.008 Rp 60.387.110.514 Rp208.691.197.0
2025 Rp 21.647.375.325 Rp 12.046.132.064 Rp 13.719.470.592 Rp 47.412.977.981
2051 Rp 101.101.225.330 Rp 56.259.878.804 Rp 64.074.986.778 Rp221.436.090.9
2026 Rp 22.969.393.235 Rp 12.781.796.416 Rp 14.557.326.709 Rp 50.308.516.360
2052 Rp 107.275.536.469 Rp 59.695.702.606 Rp 67.988.083.808 Rp234.959.322.8
2027 Rp 24.372.147.554 Rp 13.562.388.221 Rp 15.446.351.191 Rp 53.380.886.966
2053 Rp 113.826.916.411 Rp 63.341.354.182 Rp 72.140.155.969 Rp249.308.426.5
2028 Rp 25.860.568.902 Rp 14.390.651.226 Rp 16.389.668.919 Rp 56.640.889.047
2038 Rp 46.782.220.667 Rp 26.032.939.327 Rp 29.649.197.237 Rp102.464.357.231 2063 Rp 205.914.879.194 Rp 114.585.615.650 Rp 130.502.801.708 Rp451.003.296.5
2041 Rp 55.887.368.459 Rp 31.099.688.119 Rp 35.419.772.444 Rp122.406.829.022
2066 Rp 245.991.758.420 Rp 136.887.228.323 Rp 155.902.350.508 Rp538.781.337.2
2042 Rp 59.300.442.835 Rp 32.998.964.316 Rp 37.582.878.725 Rp129.882.285.876
2067 Rp 261.014.619.410 Rp 145.247.011.657 Rp 165.423.398.508 Rp571.685.029.5
2043 Rp 62.921.955.666 Rp 35.014.230.424 Rp 39.878.087.176 Rp137.814.273.266
2068 Rp 276.954.935.333 Rp 154.117.331.864 Rp 175.525.902.495 Rp606.598.169.6
2044 Rp 66.764.636.410 Rp 37.152.570.016 Rp 42.313.465.353 Rp146.230.671.779
2045 Rp 70.841.991.920 Rp 39.421.499.261 Rp 44.897.573.504 Rp155.161.064.686
2069 Rp 293.868.735.701 Rp 163.529.367.728 Rp 186.245.372.327 Rp643.643.475.7
Biaya Kecelakaan
Saving Accident Cost
Penghematan Biaya Kecelakaan = Total Accident Cost Without Project - Total Accident Cost With Project
SAVING AC
Tahun Total AC without project Total AC with Project Saving AC
2024 Rp 102.237.249.654 Rp 44.684.094.140 Rp 57.553.155.514
2025 Rp 108.480.938.464 Rp 47.412.977.981 Rp 61.067.960.483
2026 Rp 115.105.933.013 Rp 50.308.516.360 Rp 64.797.416.653 2050 Rp 477.485.656.307 Rp 208.691.197.084 Rp 268.794.459.223
2027 Rp 122.135.519.865 Rp 53.380.886.966 Rp 68.754.632.900 2051 Rp 506.645.985.439 Rp 221.436.090.912 Rp 285.209.894.527
2028 Rp 129.594.407.711 Rp 56.640.889.047 Rp 72.953.518.663 2052 Rp 537.587.152.978 Rp 234.959.322.882 Rp 302.627.830.095
2029 Rp 137.508.814.212 Rp 60.099.981.368 Rp 77.408.832.844 2053 Rp 570.417.915.768 Rp 249.308.426.562 Rp 321.109.489.206
2030 Rp 145.906.558.161 Rp 63.770.322.486 Rp 82.136.235.675 2054 Rp 605.253.672.501 Rp 264.533.838.421 Rp 340.719.834.081
2031 Rp 154.817.157.259 Rp 67.664.813.489 Rp 87.152.343.770 2055 Rp 642.216.869.334 Rp 280.689.075.113 Rp 361.527.794.220
2032 Rp 164.271.931.871 Rp 71.797.143.342 Rp 92.474.788.530 2056 Rp 681.437.430.280 Rp 297.830.921.588 Rp 383.606.508.692
2033 Rp 174.304.115.116 Rp 76.181.837.003 Rp 98.122.278.113 2057 Rp 723.053.213.891 Rp 316.019.630.682 Rp 407.033.583.208
2034 Rp 184.948.969.676 Rp 80.834.306.479 Rp 104.114.663.197 2058 Rp 767.210.497.819 Rp 335.319.134.911 Rp 431.891.362.908
2035 Rp 196.243.911.748 Rp 85.770.904.994 Rp 110.473.006.754 2059 Rp 814.064.492.980 Rp 355.797.271.184 Rp 458.267.221.796
2036 Rp 208.228.642.559 Rp 91.008.984.477 Rp 117.219.658.082 2060 Rp 863.779.889.111 Rp 377.526.019.252 Rp 486.253.869.859
2037 Rp 220.945.287.911 Rp 96.566.956.546 Rp 124.378.331.364 2061 Rp 916.531.433.648 Rp 400.581.754.711 Rp 515.949.678.937
2038 Rp 234.438.546.254 Rp 102.464.357.231 Rp 131.974.189.023 2062 Rp 972.504.545.955 Rp 425.045.517.460 Rp 547.459.028.495
2039 Rp 248.755.845.799 Rp 108.721.915.634 Rp 140.033.930.165 2063 Rp 1.031.895.969.065 Rp 451.003.296.551 Rp 580.892.672.514
2040 Rp 263.947.511.227 Rp 115.361.626.800 Rp 148.585.884.427 2064 Rp 1.094.914.461.224 Rp 478.546.332.438 Rp 616.368.128.786
2041 Rp 280.066.940.574 Rp 122.406.829.022 Rp 157.660.111.552 2065 Rp 1.161.781.529.668 Rp 507.771.437.683 Rp 654.010.091.984
2042 Rp 297.170.792.927 Rp 129.882.285.876 Rp 167.288.507.051 2066 Rp 1.232.732.209.206 Rp 538.781.337.251 Rp 693.950.871.956
2043 Rp 315.319.187.577 Rp 137.814.273.266 Rp 177.504.914.311 2067 Rp 1.308.015.888.365 Rp 571.685.029.575 Rp 736.330.858.790
2044 Rp 334.575.915.334 Rp 146.230.671.779 Rp 188.345.243.555 2068 Rp 1.387.897.185.973 Rp 606.598.169.692 Rp 781.299.016.281
2045 Rp 355.008.662.752 Rp 155.161.064.686 Rp 199.847.598.066 2069 Rp 1.472.656.881.286 Rp 643.643.475.757 Rp 829.013.405.529
2046 Rp 376.689.250.040 Rp 164.636.841.926 Rp 212.052.408.114 2070 Rp 1.562.592.900.913 Rp 682.951.160.394 Rp 879.641.740.519
2047 Rp 399.693.883.513 Rp 174.691.310.442 Rp 225.002.573.071 2071 Rp 1.658.021.366.017 Rp 724.659.388.390 Rp 933.361.977.626
2048 Rp 424.103.423.447 Rp 185.359.811.248 Rp 238.743.612.199 2072 Rp 1.759.277.703.464 Rp 768.914.762.338 Rp 990.362.941.127
2049 Rp 450.003.668.303 Rp 196.679.843.656 Rp 253.323.824.648 2073 Rp 1.866.717.824.839 Rp 815.872.837.933 Rp 1.050.844.986.906
BENEFIT EKONOMI
Benefit Tahun Saving BOK Saving VOT Saving Accident Cost Total Benefit
2024 Rp 46.842.407.347 -Rp 37.712.117.025 Rp 57.553.155.514 Rp 66.683.445.836
2025 Rp 42.457.377.097 -Rp 25.297.777.024 Rp 61.067.960.483 Rp 78.227.560.556
2026 Rp 60.397.519.863 -Rp 3.728.858.399 Rp 64.797.416.653 Rp 121.466.078.117
2027 Rp 49.012.537.647 -Rp 754.214.014 Rp 68.754.632.900 Rp 117.012.956.532
2028 Rp 39.122.860.616 Rp 4.712.897.151 Rp 72.953.518.663 Rp 116.789.276.430
2029 Rp 28.287.220.956 Rp 12.703.559.615 Rp 77.408.832.844 Rp 118.399.613.415
2030 -Rp 693.609.786 Rp 12.455.885.829 Rp 82.136.235.675 Rp 93.898.511.718
2031 -Rp 32.374.772.462 Rp 13.775.635.703 Rp 87.152.343.770 Rp 68.553.207.012
2032 -Rp 72.744.735.811 Rp 12.472.916.976 Rp 92.474.788.530 Rp 32.202.969.695
2033 -Rp 119.009.198.922 Rp 11.263.578.958 Rp 98.122.278.113 -Rp 9.623.341.852
2034 -Rp 167.269.433.534 Rp 14.151.866.462 Rp 104.114.663.197 -Rp 49.002.903.875
2035 -Rp 223.406.040.813 Rp 16.304.731.156 Rp 110.473.006.754 -Rp 96.628.302.903
2036 -Rp 290.907.285.789 Rp 15.497.712.109 Rp 117.219.658.082 -Rp 158.189.915.598
Benefi 2037 -Rp 391.916.320.760 -Rp 8.684.625.582 Rp 124.378.331.364 -Rp 276.222.614.977
2038 -Rp 518.096.063.810 -Rp 53.815.230.010 Rp 131.974.189.023 -Rp 439.937.104.797
t 2039 -Rp 627.885.752.228 -Rp 67.114.839.334 Rp 140.033.930.165 -Rp 554.966.661.397
2040 -Rp 746.410.230.875 -Rp 74.388.657.006 Rp 148.585.884.427 -Rp 672.213.003.454
2041 -Rp 882.429.279.149 -Rp 84.346.366.521 Rp 157.660.111.552 -Rp 809.115.534.118
2042 -Rp 1.036.222.793.219 -Rp 95.118.227.729 Rp 167.288.507.051 -Rp 964.052.513.897
2043 -Rp 1.210.595.515.113 -Rp 107.681.570.450 Rp 177.504.914.311 -Rp 1.140.772.171.252
2044 -Rp 1.413.751.553.693 -Rp 129.026.063.656 Rp 188.345.243.555 -Rp 1.354.432.373.794
2045 -Rp 1.647.077.307.084 -Rp 158.470.793.539 Rp 199.847.598.066 -Rp 1.605.700.502.557
... ... ... ... ...
... ... ... ... ...
2073 -Rp 48.310.756.570.635 -Rp 3.362.148.547.285 Rp 1.050.844.986.906 -Rp 50.622.060.131.014
Willingness to Pay & Ability to Pay
Analysis
Probabilitas
perpindahan moda.
Rata-rata tarif yang

bersedia dibayarkan.
Perencanaan kuisioner Survey Pengolahan data Hasi

l
Willingness to Pay & Ability to Pay
Analysis
ATP -WTP
50.0%
45.0%
40.0%
35.0%
30.0%
25.0%
20.0%
15.0%
10.0%
5.0%
0.0%
0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 40000 45000 50000 55000
ATP Logarithmic (ATP) WTP Logarithmic (WTP)
Jadi, tarif yang digunakan adalah Rp. 8.000.

Benefit Tahun Total Penumpang per Tahun
BENEFIT FINANSIAL
Harga Tiket Total Pendapatan Tiket Monorel
2024 84.445.821 Rp 8.000 Rp 675.566.569.269
2025 89.602.977 Rp 8.357 Rp 748.783.582.056
2026 95.075.083 Rp 8.729 Rp 829.935.758.016
2027 100.881.374 Rp 9.118 Rp 919.883.099.657
2028 107.042.259 Rp 9.525 Rp 1.019.578.815.422
2029 113.579.393 Rp 9.950 Rp 1.130.079.421.228
2030 120.515.753 Rp 10.393 Rp 1.252.555.936.790
2031 127.875.721 Rp 10.857 Rp 1.388.306.295.396
2032 135.685.166 Rp 11.341 Rp 1.538.769.098.629
2033 143.971.539 Rp 11.846 Rp 1.705.538.861.811
2034 152.763.965 Rp 12.375 Rp 1.890.382.911.731
2035 162.093.350 Rp 12.926 Rp 2.095.260.115.721
2036 171.992.486 Rp 13.503 Rp 2.322.341.640.568
2037 182.496.168 Rp 14.105 Rp 2.574.033.961.249
2038 193.641.316 Rp 14.733 Rp 2.853.004.363.321
2039 205.467.105 Rp 15.390 Rp 3.162.209.209.228
2040 218.015.101 Rp 16.077 Rp 3.504.925.268.074
Benefi 2041 231.329.411 Rp 16.793 Rp 3.884.784.440.869
2042 245.456.834 Rp 17.542 Rp 4.305.812.249.261
t 2043 260.447.027 Rp 18.324 Rp 4.772.470.495.619
2044 276.352.680 Rp 19.141 Rp 5.289.704.546.562
2045 293.229.700 Rp 19.995 Rp 5.862.995.741.010
... ... ... ...
... ... ... ...
2073 1.541.869.721 Rp 67.817 Rp 104.565.435.385.717
Analisis Kelayakan Finansial
CASHFLOW FINANSIAL
Rp90,000
Rp70,000
COST DAN BENEFIT (DALAM MILLIAR RUPIAH)
Rp50,000
Rp30,000
Rp10,000
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
Rp(10,000)
Rp(30,000)
Rp(50,000)
TAHUN KE-
BENEFIT COST
Benefit Cost Ratio & Net Present Value
Dari hasil perhitungan, didapatkan:

 Present Worth Cost = Rp 16.959.677.862.576
 Present Worth Benefit = Rp 160.833.002.136.741
Sehingga didapatkan nilai BCR dan NPV sebagai berikut:
9,48 > 1 (Layak)
Rp. 160.833.002.136.741 – Rp. 16.959.677.862.576

Rp. 143.873.324.274.166 > 0 (Layak)
Financial Internal Rate of Return
Financial Internal Rate of Return
3.500
Berdasarkan hasil perhitungan IRR, didapatkan: 3.000
• i = 15%  NPV = Rp 3.089.502.646.081 2.500
• i = 20%  NPV = - Rp 2.752.691.257.585 2.000
1.500
NPV (Trilliun Rupiah)

1.000
Dari kedua nilai NPV tersebut kemudian dilakukan interpolasi untuk
0.500
mencari tingkat suku bunga yang menghasilkan NPV = 0 dengan cara -
10% 11% 12% 13% 14% 15% 16% 17% 18% 19% 20% 21% 22% 23% 24% 25%
sebagai berikut: -0.500
-1.000
-1.500
17,64 % > 5,01 % (Layak) -2.000

-2.500
-3.000
-3.500
FIRR
Payback Period
Dari hasil perhitungan didapatkan waktu pengembalian investasi (payback period) adalah
diantara tahun ke 12 dan tahun ke 13. Untuk menghitung waktu yang diperlukan pada
saat total arus kas masuk sama dengan arus kas keluar (NPV = 0) dilakukan dengan
interpolasi sebagai berikut.
• n = 12  NPV = - Rp. 333.975.149.086
• n = 13  NPV = Rp. 720.133.144.907
•
= 12,32 tahun < 50 tahun (Layak)

Maka, untuk mencapai kondisi BEP, membutuhkan waktu selama 12 tahun 4 bulan.
Analisis Kelayakan Ekonomi
Benefit Cost Ratio & Net Present Value
Dari hasil perhitungan, didapatkan:

 Present Worth Cost = Rp 16.959.677.862.576
 Present Worth Benefit = -Rp 60.311.654.751.273
Sehingga didapatkan nilai BCR dan NPV sebagai berikut:
-3,56
-Rp 60.311.654.751.273 – Rp. 16.959.677.862.576

-Rp 77.271.332.613.849
Thank You
A developed country isn’t a place where the poor have cars, It’s where the
rich use Public Trasnportation – Gustavo Petro

Kelompok 1-Ekonomi Transportasi (Alternatif 1)

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Kelompok 1-Ekonomi Transportasi (Alternatif 1)

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EKONOMI TRANSPORTASI

ANALISIS KELAYAKAN FINANSIAL

Pembangunan Monorel Pada Jalur Barat – Timur Surabaya

Departemen Teknik Sipil

Lalu Lintas Haran Rata-rata ( Tahun 2018)

Jenis Kendaraan Jenis Kendaraan Jenis Kendaraan

Ruas n Co FCw FCSP FCSF FCCS C (smp/jam)

PDRB (dalam Laju

LHR pada tahun 2024 (Tahun Rencana Monorail Mulai Beroperasi)

LHR pada tahun 2024 (Tahun Rencana Monorail Mulai Beroperasi)

Project (Kend/tahun) 2044

Kecepatan Tempuh Kendaraan dalam Kondisi Without Project Jalan Eksisting

Kecepatan Arus Bebas

Kendaraan Berat (HV) Kendaraan Berat (HV) Kendaraan Berat (HV)

Sepeda Motor (MC) Sepeda Motor (MC) Sepeda Motor (MC)

Kecepatan Arus Bebas

Keinginan Berpindah Kendaraan Pribadi ke Monorel

Komposisi kendaraan digunakan untuk mengetahui persentase jenis

Volume Kendaraan yg pindah (kend/jam) Volume Kendaraan yg pindah (kend/hari)

Sehingga Volume Kendaraan With Project ( 2018) sebagai berikut :

Volume Kendaraan di jalan eksisting (kend/jam) Volume Kendaraan (kend/hari)

Sehingga DS pada saat ada Monorel sebagai berikut:

Jumlah Penumpang monorel: (Per Hari)

Jumlah Penumpang monorel: (Per Jam)

Komposisi kendaraan digunakan untuk mengetahui persentase jenis

LHR pada tahun 2024 (Tahun Rencana Monorail Mulai Beroperasi)

Forecast With 2040

Dharmahusada 2024 1.421 5109 0,28

Kecepatan Tempuh Kendaraan dalam Kondisi With Project Jalan Eksisting

1.Biaya pembuatan 1.Penghematan BOK.

• Biaya konstruksi jalur

Didaptkan dari perbandingan

Biaya operasional & maintenance monorel,

Cost Sumber : Jurnal UGM

Estimasi Investasi Jalur Monorel

Sumber : Jurnal UGM

Estimasi Biaya Perawatan

Formula Jasa Marga:

PENGHEMATAN NILAI PENGHEMATAN ACCIDENT

PENDAPATAN. Analisis Willingness to Pay (WTP):

Konsumsi Bahan Konsumsi Minyak Konsumsi Konsumsi

Depresiasi Bunga Modal Asuransi

30 Rp 2.725.843 Rp 2.726 Rp7,000,000 LV

BOK (Rp/1000 km/kend)

100 Rp 3.000.144 Rp 3.000 Rp4,000,000

Rekap BOK HV Rp3,500,000

Tahun Surabaya Rasio

Rata-rata rasio pertumbuhan adalah sebesar 9,17 % pertahun.

Sumber : Oglesby’s Book

Rata-rata tarif yang

Perencanaan kuisioner Survey Pengolahan data Hasi

Jadi, tarif yang digunakan adalah Rp. 8.000.

Dari hasil perhitungan, didapatkan:

Sehingga didapatkan nilai BCR dan NPV sebagai berikut:

9,48 > 1 (Layak)

Rp. 160.833.002.136.741 – Rp. 16.959.677.862.576

Financial Internal Rate of Return

NPV (Trilliun Rupiah)

17,64 % > 5,01 % (Layak) -2.000

= 12,32 tahun < 50 tahun (Layak)

Dari hasil perhitungan, didapatkan:

-Rp 60.311.654.751.273 – Rp. 16.959.677.862.576

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