4.3.2.1.

Perhitungan Hujan Rancangan Metode Distribusi Normal

Tabel 4.12. Hasil Perhitungan Hujan Rancangan Metode Distribusi Normal
No.

Tahun

Xi

Xi - Xrata-rata

(Xi - Xrata-rata)2

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
Jumlah

2005
2002
1996
1994
2007
1997
2001
2006
1999
2000
2009
1993
1998
2004
1995
2003
2010
2008

66.3
70.2
75.0
78.0
86.5
87.0
88.7
90.9
91.2
95.5
98.6
116.5
124.5
135.9
158.5
159.5
165.0
182.1
1969.9

-43.139
-39.239
-34.439
-31.439
-22.939
-22.439
-20.739
-18.539
-18.239
-13.939
-10.839
7.061
15.061
26.461
49.061
50.061
55.561
72.661
-1.7053E-13

1860.96
1539.69
1186.04
988.40
526.19
503.50
430.10
343.69
332.66
194.29
117.48
49.86
226.84
700.19
2406.99
2506.11
3087.04
5279.64
22279.68278

Xrata-rata =

109.4

Sx

36.202

4.3.2.2. Perhitungan Hujan Rancangan Metode Distribusi Log Normal

Tabel 4.14. Hasil Perhitungan Hujan Rancangan Metode Distribusi Log Normal
No.

Tahun

Xi

log Xi

log Xi - log Xrata-rata

(log Xi - log Xrata-rata)2

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
Jumlah

2005
2002
1996
1994
2007
1997
2001
2006
1999
2000
2009
1993
1998
2004
1995
2003
2010
2008

66.3
70.2
75.0
78.0
86.5
87.0
88.7
90.9
91.2
95.5
98.6
116.5
124.5
135.9
158.5
159.5
165.0
182.1
1969.9

1.822
1.846
1.875
1.892
1.937
1.940
1.948
1.959
1.960
1.980
1.994
2.066
2.095
2.133
2.200
2.203
2.217
2.260
36.3272031

-0.197
-0.172
-0.143
-0.126
-0.081
-0.079
-0.070
-0.060
-0.058
-0.038
-0.024
0.048
0.077
0.115
0.182
0.185
0.199
0.242
6.88338E-15

0.039
0.030
0.020
0.016
0.007
0.006
0.005
0.004
0.003
0.001
0.001
0.002
0.006
0.013
0.033
0.034
0.040
0.059
0.318254544

log Xrata-rata =
Slog x

2.018
0.1368

4.3.2.3. Perhitungan Hujan Rancangan Metode Distribusi Gumbel

Tabel 4.16. Hasil Perhitungan Hujan Rancangan Metode Distribusi Gumbel
No.

Tahun

Xi

Xi - Xrata-rata

(Xi - Xrata-rata)2

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14

2005
2002
1996
1994
2007
1997
2001
2006
1999
2000
2009
1993
1998
2004

66.30
70.20
75.00
78.00
86.50
87.00
88.70
90.90
91.20
95.50
98.60
116.50
124.50
135.90

-43.1
-39.2
-34.4
-31.4
-22.9
-22.4
-20.7
-18.5
-18.2
-13.9
-10.8
7.1
15.1
26.5

1860.964
1539.690
1186.037
988.404
526.193
503.504
430.102
343.690
332.657
194.293
117.482
49.859
226.837
700.190

158.50
159.50
165.00
182.10
1969.9

49.1
50.1
55.6
72.7
-1.7053E-13

2406.993
2506.115
3087.037
5279.637
22279.68278

15
16
17
18
Jumlah

1995
2003
2010
2008
=

Xrata-rata =

109.439

Yn =

0.5202

Sx
=
Sx/Sn =

36.202

Sn =

1.0493
34.500896

4.3.2.4. Perhitungan Hujan Rancangan Metode Distribusi Log Pearson Type III
Tabel 4.18. Hasil Perhitungan Hujan Rancangan Metode Distribusi Log Pearson Type III
No.

Tahun

Xi

log Xi

log Xi - log Xrata-rata

(log Xi - log Xrata-rata)2

(log Xi - log Xrata-rata)3

1
2

2005
2002
1996
1994
2007
1997
2001
2006
1999
2000
2009
1993
1998
2004
1995
2003
2010
2008

66.3
70.2

1.822
1.846

-0.197
-0.172

0.039
0.030

-0.007606
-0.005074

75.0
78.0
86.5
87.0
88.7
90.9
91.2
95.5
98.6
116.5
124.5
135.9
158.5
159.5
165.0
182.1
1969.9

1.875
1.892
1.937
1.940
1.948
1.959
1.960
1.980
1.994
2.066
2.095
2.133
2.200
2.203
2.217
2.260
36.3272

-0.143
-0.126
-0.081
-0.079
-0.070
-0.060
-0.058
-0.038
-0.024
0.048
0.077
0.115
0.182
0.185
0.199
0.242
6.88338E-15

0.020
0.016
0.007
0.006
0.005
0.004
0.003
0.001
0.001
0.002
0.006
0.013
0.033
0.034
0.040
0.059
0.318254544

-0.002931
-0.002004
-0.000535
-0.000487
-0.000347
-0.000212
-0.000197
-0.000056
-0.000014
0.000112
0.000456
0.001523
0.006014
0.006289
0.007917
0.014196
0.017042613

3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
Jumlah

log Xrata-rata =

2.0182

Slog x
Cs

0.1368
0.440

=
=

4.3.3.1.1. Uji Chi Kuadrat Terhadap Distribusi Normal

Distribusi Normal Curah Hujan Harian Maksimum Tahunan

Jumlah Kelas / Sub - Group ( G ) :

K
= 1 + 3,322 * Log N
K
= 5.170
=
N
= 18 Tahun
Xm =
Ei
= 3.529
Sx =
Persamaan Normal :
XT =

5.10
Sub Group
109.439 Mm
36.202
Mm

Xm + k.S

Nilai peluang ( P ) masing-masing kelompok =

T60% = 2.429
T20% = 1.244
T80% = 4.636
T40% = 1.650
K20% = -1.280
K40% = -0.520

K60% =
K80% =

20 %

0.000
0.670

Tabel 4.20. Uji Chi Kuadrat Terhadap Distribusi Normal

No
.
1
2
3
4
5

Nilai Batas Kelompok

<
>

63.1006
90.6140
109.4389
133.6941

63.1006
90.6140
109.4389
133.6941
Total =

Oi
0
7
4
2
5
18

Jumlah Data
Ei
3.53
3.53
3.53
3.53
3.53
17.64705882

(Oi - Ei)

(Oi - Ei)2/Ei

-3.53
3.47
0.47
-1.53
1.47

3.5294
3.4127
0.0627
0.6627
0.6127
8.2804

DK
R
G

= Derajat kebebasan, DK = G - R -1
= 2
, untuk distribusi Normal dan binomial
= Sub kelompok data.

Cteoritis
Ctabel 5%
Ctabel1%
DK

=
=
=
=

Cteoritis
Cteoritis

>
<

8.280
5.991 (peluang 5 %)
9.210 (peluang 1 %)
2.10
Ctabel 5% Distribusi teoritistidak dapat diterima/digunakan.
Ctabel1% , Distribusi teoritis dapat diterima/digunakan.

4.3.3.1.2. Uji Chi Kuadrat Terhadap Distribusi Log Normal

Distribusi Log Normal Curah Hujan Harian Maksimum Tahunan
Jumlah Kelas / Sub - Group ( G ) :
K = 1 + 3,322 * Log N
K = 5.170
=
5.10
Sub Group
N = 18
Tahun
log Xm =
2.0182 mm
Ei = 3.529
S log x =
0.1368 mm
Persamaan Log Normal :

Log XT = Log Xm + k.S Log x

Nilai peluang ( P ) masing-masing kelompok =
T20% = 1.244
T60% = 2.429
T40% = 1.650
T80% = 4.636
K20% = -1.280
K40% = -0.520

20 %

K60% = 0.000
K80% = 0.670

Tabel 4.21. Uji Chi Kuadrat Terhadap Distribusi Log Normal

No.

Nilai Batas Kelompok

1
2
3
4
5

<
>

1.8430
1.9470
2.0182
2.1099

1.8430
1.9470
2.0182
2.1099
Total =

Jumlah Data
Oi
Ei
1
3.53
3
3.53
6
3.53
2
3.53
5
3.53
17
17.64706

(Oi - Ei)

(Oi - Ei)2/Ei

-2.53
-0.53
2.47
-1.53
1.47

1.8127
0.0794
1.7294
0.6627
0.6127
4.8971

DK
R
G

= Derajat kebebasan, DK = G - R -1
= 2
, untuk distribusi Normal dan binomial
= Sub kelompok data.

Cteoritis
Ctabel 5%
Ctabel1%
DK

=
=
=
=

Cteoritis
Cteoritis

<
<

4.897
5.991
9.210
2.10

Ctabel 5%
Ctabel1%

(peluang 5 %)
(peluang 1 %)
, Distribusi teoritis dapat diterima/digunakan.
, Distribusi teoritis dapat diterima/digunakan.

4.3.3.1.3. Uji Chi Kuadrat Terhadap Distribusi Gumbel

4.3.3.1.4. Uji Chi Kuadrat Terhadap Distribusi Log Pearson Type III
Distribusi Log Pearson III Curah Hujan Harian Maksimum
Tahunan
Jumlah Kelas / Sub - Group ( G ) :
K = 1 + 3,322 * Log N
5.
K = 5.170
=
10 Sub Group
2.0
Log 18
N = 18 Tahun
Xn =
2 Mm
0.4
40
CS =
3
0.1
Slog 36
Ei = 3.529
Xn =
8 Mm

Distribusi
Gumbel
Curah Hujan
Harian
Maksimum
Tahunan
Jumlah
Kelas / Sub Group
(G) :
K 1 + 3,322
* Log N
5
.
1
Sub
K 7
Grou
0 =5 p
1
8

T
a
h
N u
Rumus Distribusi Log
n X1 mm
Y0
Pearson III :
LogX tr LogXm K tr ,CS log .S log Xn
3
Nilai peluang ( P ) masingT
.
masing kelompok =
20 %
= 1/(1-(n*P/100))
5
1.2
E
2
T20% =
T60% = 2.429
44
i 9 S 3 mm
1.6
Pe
T40% =
T80% = 4.636
50
rs
a
m
K20% = 1.5 K60% =
aa
45
0.052
n
G
K40% = 0.7
u
54
K80% = 0.698
m
be
Tabel 4.23. Uji Chi Kuadrat Terhadap Distribusi Log Pearson Type III
l
Jumlah Data
Nilai Batas
(Oi 2
:
No.
(Oi - Ei) /Ei
Kelompok
Ei)
Oi
Ei
Xn + (Yt 1.8
XT
=
Yn)*Sx/Sn
1
<
068
0
3.53 -3.53
3.5294
Nilai
1.8
1.9
pelua
2
068
149
4
3.53
0.47
0.0627
1.9
2.0
ng
3
149
253
7
3.53
3.47
3.4127
(P)
2.0
2.11
masi
4
253
37
2
3.53 -1.53
0.6627
ng2.1
masi
5
137
>
5
3.53
1.47
0.6127
Tota
17.64
ng
18
7.6676
l=
706
kelo
mpok
=
20 %
T
2
0
2.429
% 1T

DK
R
G

= Derajat kebebasan, DK = G - R -1
= 2
, untuk distribusi Normal dan binomial
= Sub kelompok data.

Cteoritis
Ctabel 5%
Ctabel1%
DK

=
=
=
=

Cteoritis
Cteoritis

>
<

7.6
5.991 (peluang 5 %)
9.210 (peluang 1 %)

2
Ctabel 5%
Ctabel1%

, Distribusi teoritis tidak dapat diterima/digunakan.

, Distribusi teoritis dapat diterima/digunakan.

4.3.3.2.1. Uji Chi Kuadrat Terhadap Distribusi Normal

Tabel 4.24. Hasil Perhitungan Uji Chi Kuadrat Terhadap Distribusi Normal
Xn

P(x) = m/(n+1) %

P(x<)

P'(x)

P'(x<)

D (%)

8 = [4 - 7]

66.30

18

0.947

0.0526

-1.20

0.8925

0.1075

0.055

70.20

17

0.895

0.1053

-1.08

0.8685

0.1315

0.026

75.00

16

0.842

0.1579

-0.93

0.8337

0.1663

0.008

78.00

15

0.789

0.2105

-0.84

0.8103

0.1897

0.021

86.50

14

0.737

0.2632

-0.58

0.7322

0.2678

0.005

87.00

13

0.684

0.3158

-0.56

0.7255

0.2745

0.041

88.70

12

0.632

0.3684

-0.51

0.7088

0.2913

0.077

90.90

11

0.579

0.4211

-0.44

0.6842

0.3158

0.105

91.20

10

0.526

0.4737

-0.43

0.6806

0.3194

0.154

10

95.50

0.474

0.5263

-0.30

0.6331

0.3669

0.159

No.

11

98.60

0.421

0.5789

-0.20

0.5948

0.4052

0.174

12

116.50

0.368

0.6316

0.35

0.3485

0.6516

0.020

13

124.50

0.316

0.6842

0.60

0.2611

0.7389

0.055

14

135.90

0.263

0.7368

0.95

0.1602

0.8399

0.103

15

158.50

0.211

0.7895

1.65

0.0449

0.9552

0.166

16

159.50

0.158

0.8421

1.68

0.0415

0.9585

0.116

17

165.00

0.105

0.8947

1.85

0.0226

0.9774

0.083

18

182.10

0.053

0.9474

2.38

0.0078

0.9922

0.045

Rerata =

1787.80
105.16

mm
mm

N =
CS =

18
0.8229

Std Dev =

32.30

mm

CK =

-0.6257

Total =

tahun

Sumber : hasil perhitungan

P'(x) =
k=

D
D

Didapat dari tabel tabel lampiran 8

(Xn-Xm)/S
(Persamaan distribusi dapat diterima)
<
Do (5%)
(Persamaan distribusi tidak dapat diterima)
>
Do (5%)

Dmax =
Do (1%) =

0.174
0.376

Do (5%) =

0.310

4.3.3.2.2. Uji Smirnov Kolmogorov Terhadap Distribusi Log Normal

Tabel 4.25. Hasil Perhitungan Uji Chi Kuadrat Terhadap Distribusi Normal
Log Xi

P(x) = m/(n+1)
%
3

1.822

18

1.846

17

1.875

P(x<)

k=

P'(x)

P'(x<)

D (%)

8 = [4 - 7]

0.947

0.0526

-1.44

0.9303

0.070

0.017

0.895

0.1053

-1.25

0.9012

0.099

0.006

16

0.842

0.1579

-1.02

0.8552

0.145

0.013

1.892

15

0.789

0.2105

-0.88

0.8210

0.179

0.032

1.937

14

0.737

0.2632

-0.53

0.7155

0.285

0.021

1.940

13

0.684

0.3158

-0.51

0.7088

0.291

0.025

1.948

12

0.632

0.3684

-0.44

0.6842

0.316

0.053

1.959

11

0.579

0.4211

-0.36

0.6552

0.345

0.076

1.960

10

0.526

0.4737

-0.35

0.6516

0.348

0.125

10

1.980

0.474

0.5263

-0.19

0.6016

0.398

0.128

No.

11

1.994

0.421

0.5789

-0.08

0.5479

0.452

0.127

12

2.066

0.368

0.6316

0.49

0.2981

0.702

0.070

13

2.095

0.316

0.6842

0.72

0.2233

0.777

0.092

14

2.133

0.263

0.7368

1.02

0.1443

0.856

0.119

15

2.200

0.211

0.7895

1.55

0.0552

0.945

0.155

16

2.203

0.158

0.8421

1.57

0.0526

0.947

0.105

17

2.217

0.105

0.8947

1.69

0.0377

0.962

0.068

18

2.260

0.053

0.9474

2.03

0.0194

0.981

0.033

Total =

34.07

Mm

N =

Rerata =

2.00

Mm

CS =

Std Dev =

0.13

Mm

CK =

18

tahun

4.5531
20.8187

Sumber : hasil perhitungan

P'(x) =
k=

D
D

Didapat dari tabel lampiran 8

(log Xn-log Xm)/Slog Xn
<
Do (5%) (Persamaan distribusi dapat diterima)
>
Do (5%) (Persamaan distribusi tidak dapat diterima)

Dmax =
Do (1%)
=

Do (5%)
=

0.155
0.376
0.310

4.3.3.2.3. Uji Smirnov Kolmogorov Terhadap Distribusi Gumbel

Tabel 4.26. Hasil Perhitungan Uji Smirnov Kolmogorov Terhadap Distribusi Gumbel

P(x) = m/(n+1)
%
3

8 = [4 - 6]

66.30

18

0.947

0.0526

-1.2034

0.1075

0.055

70.20

17

0.895

0.1053

-1.0826

0.1315

0.026

75.00

16

0.842

0.1579

-0.9340

0.1663

0.008

78.00

15

0.789

0.2105

-0.8411

0.1897

0.021

86.50

14

0.737

0.2632

-0.5779

0.2678

0.005

87.00

13

0.684

0.3158

-0.5624

0.2745

0.041

88.70

12

0.632

0.3684

-0.5098

0.2913

0.077

90.90

11

0.579

0.4211

-0.4417

0.3158

0.105

91.20

10

0.526

0.4737

-0.4324

0.3194

0.154

10

95.50

0.474

0.5263

-0.2992

0.3669

0.159

11

98.60

0.421

0.5789

-0.2033

0.4052

0.174

12

116.50

0.368

0.6316

0.3510

0.6516

0.020

13

124.50

0.316

0.6842

0.5987

0.7389

0.055

14

135.90

0.263

0.7368

0.9516

0.8399

0.103

15

158.50

0.211

0.7895

1.6514

0.9552

0.166

16

159.50

0.158

0.8421

1.6824

0.9585

0.116

17

165.00

0.105

0.8947

1.8527

0.9774

0.083

0.053

2.3821

0.9922

0.045

Xn

No.

18

182.10

P(x<)

0.9474

Total =

1787.80

mm

N =

Rerata =
Std Dev
=

105.16

mm

CS =

32.30

mm

CK =

18

tahun

P'(x<)

D (%)

Dmax =

0.174

0.8229

Do (1%) =

0.376

-0.6257

Do (5%) =

0.310

Sumber : hasil perhitungan

k=

D
D

(Xn-X)/S
<
Do (5%)
>
Do (5%)

P'(x) = e^-e^-y
(Persamaan distribusi dapat diterima)
(Persamaan distribusi tidak dapat diterima)

4.3.3.2.3. Uji Smirnov Kolmogorov Terhadap Distribusi Log Pearson Type III

Tabel 4.27. Hasil Perhitungan Uji Smirnov Kolmogorov Terhadap Distribusi Log Pearson
Type III

P(x) = m/(n+1)
%
3

8 = [4 - 7]

1.82

18

0.947

0.0526

-1.4417

0.9303

0.070

0.017

1.85

17

0.895

0.1053

-1.2455

0.9012

0.099

0.006

1.88

16

0.842

0.1579

-1.0185

0.8552

0.145

0.013

1.89

15

0.789

0.2105

-0.8839

0.8210

0.179

0.032

1.94

14

0.737

0.2632

-0.5289

0.7155

0.285

0.021

1.94

13

0.684

0.3158

-0.5091

0.7088

0.291

0.025

1.95

12

0.632

0.3684

-0.4427

0.6842

0.316

0.053

1.96

11

0.579

0.4211

-0.3586

0.6552

0.345

0.076

LogXn

No.

P(x<)

P'(x)

P'(x<)

D (%)

1.96

10

0.526

0.4737

-0.3473

0.6516

0.348

0.125

10

1.98

0.474

0.5263

-0.1891

0.6016

0.398

0.128

11

1.99

0.421

0.5789

-0.0795

0.5479

0.452

0.127

12

2.07

0.368

0.6316

0.4931

0.2981

0.702

0.070

13

2.10

0.316

0.6842

0.7210

0.2233

0.777

0.092

14

2.13

0.263

0.7368

1.0217

0.1443

0.856

0.119

15

2.20

0.211

0.7895

1.5497

0.0552

0.945

0.155

16

2.20

0.158

0.8421

1.5713

0.0526

0.947

0.105

17

2.22

0.105

0.8947

1.6877

0.0377

0.962

0.068

18

2.26

0.053

0.9474

2.0261

0.0194

0.981

0.033

Total =

34.07

mm

N =

Rerata =
Std Dev
=

2.00

mm

CS =

0.127

mm

CK =

18

tahun

Dmax =

0.155

0.4840

Do (1%) =

0.376

-0.9228

Do (5%) =

0.310

Sumber : hasil perhitungan

k=

D
D

(log Xn-log Xm)/Slog Xn

(Persamaan distribusi dapat diterima)
<
Do (5%)
(Persamaan distribusi tidak dapat diterima)
>
Do (5%)