Basic and Intermediate

Technical Analysis
Bagian Kedua
Sunar Susanto, MSc.
Updated : 7 September 2018
Untuk Kalangan Sendiri, tidak untuk di
sebar luaskan tanpa izin tertulis
 Daftar Referensi Buku
1. Technical Analysis of Stock Trends
Edwards, Magee, Bassetti
2. Technical Analysis of The Financial Markets
John J. Murphy
3. Getting Started in Chart Patterns 2nd Edition
Thomas Bulkowski
4. How to Make Money in Stocks
William J O’Neil
5. Fibonacci for the Active Trader
Derrik S. Hobb
6. Candlesticks, Fibonacci, and Chart Pattern Trading Tools
Robert and Jen Fischer

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 Chart Patterns
• Chart Patterns adalah formasi berulang yang muncul
pada grafik harga
• Mereka mencerminkan perilaku perdagangan
pedagang profesional, perusahaan/Institusi dan
individu
• Gunakan pergerakan (harga) sebelumnya untuk
membantu mengidentifikasi pergerakan harga di masa
depan
• Jangan berharap untuk menjadi kaya semalam di
Saham
• Foot-Prints / Jejak Perdagangan dari yang Mahir
sampai ke yang Bodoh
Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski
http:www.sahamprofit.co.id
 Basic Chart Patterns
• Harga saham terbentuk bukan secara acak /
Random, tetapi bergerak dengan pola /
pattern tertentu
• Ada dua Kelompok / Kategori dari Chart
Patterns:
1. Continuation (Kelanjutan dari arah Trend)
2. Reversal (Pembalikan arah Trend)

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Continuation Chart Patterns

http://www.chartpatterns.com/flagsandpennants.htm

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 Continuation Chart Patterns

Ascending Triangles Descending Triangles

(Bullish Continuation) (Bearish Continuation)

http://www.investopedia.com/university/charts/charts5.asp

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 Cup and Handle Patterns

http://www.investors.com/ibd-university/how-to-buy/common-patterns-1/
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Reversal Chart Patterns

Head aNd Shoulder (HNS)

Inverted Head aNd Shoulder

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 Reversal Chart Patterns
• Double Tops and Double Bottoms

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 Identifying Chart Patterns
Teknik Identifikasi Pola Grafik Teknikal
• The blank Chart / Chart Kosong
• Connecting Peaks / Menghubungkan Puncak
• Connecting Valleys / Menghubungkan Lembah
• Patterns with Curves / Pola Kurfa
• Patterns with Diagonals / Garis Diagonal

Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski

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 Blank Chart
Chart yang kosong, tanpa tambahan gambaran
Indikator Teknikal menunjukkan Pergerakan
harga ke atas (Uptrend), ke bawah
(Downtrend) atau ke samping (Sideways)

Figure 3: Blank Chart, chart kosong tanpa gambaran analisa teknikal

Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:www.sahamprofit.co.id

 Menggambar Garis:
Drawing the Lines

Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski

Menggambar garis pada Chart http:www.sahamprofit.co.id

 A Stair Step Movement

Figure 4: Pergerakan menyerupai Anak Tangga

Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski

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 Connecting Peaks:
Menghubungkan Puncak
• Mulailah membangun pola bagan (Chart
Pattern) dengan secara visual menemukan
puncak yang memiliki harga yang hampir sama
• Dua puncak (B dan D) yang berada di dekat
harga yang hampir sama bisa membentuk
Chart Pattern: Double Top

Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski

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 Menghubungkan Puncak

Mengubungkan dua puncak pada pola Double Top http:www.sahamprofit.co.id

 Menghubungkan Puncak
• Jika beberapa puncak berhenti di dekat harga
yang sama, lihatlah lembah di antara puncak
untuk petunjuk yang lebih baik mengenai
jenisnya. Mereka bisa Triple Tops, Ascending
Triangle, atau pola Broadening
• Cari pola Chart dengan mencari lembah-
lembah di bawah dengan harga yang hampir
sama

Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski

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Triple Tops, Ascending Triangle, Or Broadening

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 Menghubungkan Lembah
• Cari pola Chart dengan mencari lembah-
lembah di bawah dengan harga yang hampir
sama
• Beberapa lembah dengan harga yang hampir
sama bisa membentuk Triple Bottoms,
Descending Triangle, atau pola Broadening

Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski

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 Triple Bottoms, Descending Triangle, Or Broadening

Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski

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 Patterns with Curves / Pola Kurva
• Cari kurva (garis melengkung) pada grafik
harga dan hubungkan kurva tersebut dengan
garis imajiner untuk membentuk pola bagan
• Beberapa pola dengan Kurva : Scallops
(Kerang), Cup with Handles, and Rounding
tops and bottoms

Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski

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 Pola Garis Melengkung (Kurfa)

Patterns with Curves http:www.sahamprofit.co.id

Pola Garis Melengkung (Kurfa): Scallops

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 Pola Diagonal
• Cari garis yang membentuk garis Kemiringan
atas atau ke bawah
• Pola Diagonal terdapat di Broadening
patterns, Diamonds, and Wedges

Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski

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 Patterns with Diagonals

Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski

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 Ten Buy Signals
1. High and Tight Flag
2. Pipe Bottoms
3. Inverted and Ascending Scallops
4. Three Rising Valleys
5. Rounding Bottoms
6. Descending Triangles
7. Ascending Broadening Wedges
8. Eve and Eve Double Bottoms
9. Triple Bottoms
10. Head and Shoulders Bottoms

Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski

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 High and Tight Flag

Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:www.sahamprofit.co.id

Case Study : INDY Daily Chart

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 Pipe Bottoms

Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:www.sahamprofit.co.id

 Inverted and Ascending Scallops

Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:www.sahamprofit.co.id

 Three Rising Valleys

Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:www.sahamprofit.co.id

 Rounding Bottoms

Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:www.sahamprofit.co.id

Rounding Bottoms

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 Descending Triangles

Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:www.sahamprofit.co.id

 Ascending Broadening Wedges

Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:www.sahamprofit.co.id

 Eve and Eve Double Bottoms

Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:www.sahamprofit.co.id

 Triple Bottoms

Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:www.sahamprofit.co.id

 Head and Shoulders Bottoms
Reversed Head and Shoulders

Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:www.sahamprofit.co.id

 Ten Sell Signals
1. Head and Shoulders Tops
2. Diamond Tops and Bottoms
3. Double Tops
4. Ascending and Symmetrical Triangles
5. Flags and Pennants
6. Pipe Tops
7. Measured Moves
8. Simple ABC Correction
9. Broadening Tops and Bottoms
10. Triple Tops

Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:www.sahamprofit.co.id

 Head and Shoulders Tops

Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:www.sahamprofit.co.id

 Diamond Tops and Bottoms

Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:www.sahamprofit.co.id

 Double Tops

Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:www.sahamprofit.co.id

 Ascending and Symmetrical Triangles

Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:www.sahamprofit.co.id

 Flags and Pennants

Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:www.sahamprofit.co.id

 Pipe Tops

Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:www.sahamprofit.co.id

CPIN : Pipe Tops

Pipe Tops – Reversal Signal

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 Measured Moves

Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:www.sahamprofit.co.id

 Simple ABC Correction

Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:www.sahamprofit.co.id

 Broadening Tops and Bottoms

Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:www.sahamprofit.co.id

 Triple Tops

Getting Started in Chart Patterns : Second Edition Thomas Bulkowski http:www.sahamprofit.co.id

 Candlestick Patterns
• Reversal (Pembalikan Arah)
– Bullish Reversal
• Pembalikan Arah dari Bearsih ke Bullish
– Bearish Reversal
• Pembalikan Arah dari Bullish ke Bearsih
• Continuation (Berkelanjutan)
– Bullish Continuation
• Tren Bullish berlanjut
– Bearish Continuation
• Tren Bearish berlanjut

Sumber : Dari buku Technical Analysis of the Financial Markets by John J. Murphy http:www.sahamprofit.co.id
 Candlestick Patterns
Bullish Reversal
• Long White Body
• Hammer
• Inverted Hammer
• Bullish Engulfing
• Bullish Harami, Bullish Harami Cross
• Piercing Line
• Doji Star
• Three White Soldiers
• Morning Star, Morning Doji Star
• Bullish Abandoned Baby
• Ladder Bottom

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 Candlestick Patterns
Bearish Reversal
• Long Black Body
• Hanging Man
• Shooting Star
• Bearish Engulfing
• Doji Star
• Bearish Harami, Bearish Harami Cross
• Bearish Abandoned Baby
• Three Black Crows
• Tri Star
• Evening Star, Evening Doji Star
• Ladder Bottom

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 Candlestick Patterns : Doji
• Doji – Open Price = Close Price

https://www.babypips.com/learn/forex/basic-candlestick-patterns
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 Candlestick Patterns : Marubozu
• Marubozu – No Shadows, Body Only

https://www.investing.com/education/webinars/learning-to-use-japanese-candlesticks-12251
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 Candle Stick Patterns
• Three White Soldiers : Kemungkinan akhir dari fase
Downtrend, Reversal
• Three Black Crows : Kemungkinan akhir dari fase Uptrend,
Reversal
• Candle kedua haris lebih tinggi dari Candle pertama, dan
mempunyai Kepala dan ekor yang pendek

https://www.babypips.com/learn/forex/triple-candlestick-patterns
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 Hammer and Inverted Hammer

http://www.onlinetradingconcepts.com/TechnicalAnalysis/Candlesticks/Hammer.html
http://www.onlinetradingconcepts.com/TechnicalAnalysis/Candlesticks/InvertedHammer.html
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Ladder Bottom dan Ladder Top

Bullish Reversal Bearish Reversal

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 Harami Patterns
Harami = Hamil

http://www.onlinetradingconcepts.com/TechnicalAnalysis/Candlesticks/Harami.html
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 Engulfing Patterns

http://www.onlinetradingconcepts.com/TechnicalAnalysis/Candlesticks/BearishEngulfing.html
http://www.onlinetradingconcepts.com/TechnicalAnalysis/Candlesticks/BullishEngulfing.html
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Morning and Evening Star

Bullish Reversal Bearish Reversal

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 Patternz Software
• Dikembangkan oleh Thomas Bulkowski
• Download di
http://thepatternsite.com/PatternzNew.html#
PZTourPF
• Untuk mencari Chart Patterns dan Candlestick
Patterns

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Patternz Software

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Patternz Software

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