Capaian Pembelajaran:
Setelah mempelajari bab ini, mahasiswa mampu menggunakan rumus nilai baku untuk
menyelesaikan terapan distribusi normal, membaca tabel distribusi normal, dan menghitung
luas daerah di bawah kurva untuk menentukan nilai probabilitas dari suatu peristiwa yang
berdistribusi normal.
𝑋̅
Grafik fungsi distribusi normal tersebut di atas membentang dari minus tak hingga
sampai tak hingga. Hanya saja, semakin jauh dengan rata-rata (𝑋̅), nilai probabilitas akan
semakin mendekati nol (Furqon, 2004).
1 x
2
1
f ( x) e 2
2 (4.1)
untuk x
Keterangan: 𝜋 = 3,14159…; = rata-rata; e = 2,7183
= simpangan baku atau standar deviasi
Jika nilai dan diketahui, maka kurva normal dapat digambarkan dengan pasti.
Kurva normal sangat bergantung pada dua variabel ini dan mempunyai bentuk yang simetris
terhadap rata-rata . Bentuk kurva normal dipengaruhi oleh besar kecilnya rata-rata dan
simpangan baku. Makin kecil simpangan baku maka bentuk kurva semakin runcing dan
sebagian nilai x berkelompok mendekati nilai rata-rata. Sebaliknya, jika simpangan baku
semakin besar maka bentuk kurva tumpul dan nilai x makin jauh dari rata-rata. Beberapa
karakteristik distribusi normal diuraikan sebagai berikut:
1. Mempunyai dua parameter dan yang masing-masing menentukan lokasi dan bentuk
distribusi.
2. Titik tertinggi pada rata-rata atau mempunyai satu modus (unimodal, nilai modus = median
= rata-rata
3. Kurva setangkup seperti lonceng dan simetri terhadap garis tegak (simetris)
4. Kurva selalu berada di atas sumbu x dan luas daerahnya adalah satu (100%).
5. Kurvanya mendekati sumbu x tetapi tidak akan memotong sumbu x (asimtotik)
Dalam distribusi normal yang berbeda dapat memiliki nilai rata-rata atau varian yang
berbeda.
P (a x b ) =
b
1 -
2
e dx
a 2 (4.2)
Untuk mengatasi kesulitan menghitung integral pada fungsi normal (rumus 5.2), maka dibuat
tabel F (kurva normal) seperti pada tabel 4.1. Tabel ini dapat digunakan setelah nilai data (X)
ditransformasikan menjadi nilai baku atau nilai standar (Z). Nilai Z dapat dihitung
menggunakan rumus 4.3.
𝑋− µ
𝑍= 𝜎
(4.3)
Distribusi normal Z mempunyai = 0 dan standar deviasi 1 , ditulis N(0,1),
disebut distribusi normal standar atau distribusi normal baku. Distribusi normal baku sangat
bermanfaat sebagai model distribusi peluang dalam analisis statistik inferensial.
Setelah diperoleh nilai Z, pembacaan tabel 4.1 dilakukan dengan cara menentukan nilai
Z dalam dua desimal, selanjutnya membaca kolom pertama dengan menemptakan nilai Z
sampai satu desimal, sedangkan desimal kedua dibaca pada kolom-kolom sebelah kanan.
Contoh Soal:
Dengan menggunakan tabel kurva normal, perhatikan contoh berikut:
1. Diketahui distribusi normal baku, carilah luas di bawah kurva yang terletak pada:
a. sebelah kanan z = 1,84
b. antara z = -1,97 dan z = - 0,86
c. antara z = -1,97 dan z = 0,86
Penyelesaian:
a. luas sebelah kanan z = 1,84 adalah 0,0329 = 3,29%, atau
P(z > 1,84) = 3,29%
LUAS =
0,4671
LUAS ?
=0,5-0,4671
=0,0329
Z
Z=0 Z=1,84
b. Luas antara z = -1,97 dan z = -0,86 adalah 0,1705 = 17,05%, atau
P(-1,97<z<0,86) = 17,05%
LUAS =
0,3051
LUAS SISA
=0,4756-0,3051
=0,1705
LUAS
=0,4756
LUAS LUAS =
=0,3051+0,4756 0,3051
=0,7807
LUAS =0,4756
1.3 Nilai Peubah Acak Berdasarkan Luas Daerah di bawah Kurva Normal
Diketahui luas daerah di bawah kurva distribusi normal yang diinginkan terkait dengan
besarnya peluang, ingin dicari nilai peubah acak X yang terkait.
Contoh :
Misalkan sebaran normal mempunyai parameter 𝜇 = 40 dan 𝜎 = 6. Carilah nilai x0
sehingga :
a. P ( X < X0) = 45 %
b. P ( X > X0) = 14%
Jawab :
a. P ( X < X0) = 45 %
Didapatkan Z = 1,08
𝑋0 − 𝜇
𝑍=
𝜎
𝑋0 − 40
1,08 =
6
𝑋0 = (6 ∗ 1,03) + 40
𝑋0 = 46,48
b) 𝑃(𝑋 ≥ 1,24)
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................
c) 𝑃(0,43 ≤ 𝑋 ≤ 2,12)
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................
d) 𝑃(𝑧 ≤ −0,77)
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................
e) 𝑃(−1,5 ≤ 𝑧 ≤ −0,5)
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................
f) 𝑃(0,5 ≤ 𝑧 ≤ 1,75)
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................
g) 𝑃(𝑋 ≥ 2,50)
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................
h) 𝑃(𝑋 ≤ 1,24)
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................
2. Diketahui suatu data berdistribusi normal dengan rata-rata 50 dan simpangan baku 5,
selesaikan soal-soal berikut:
a) P(x ≤ 65)
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................
b) P(x ≥ 42)
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................
c) P(42 ≤ x ≤ 65)
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................
d) P(35≤ x ≤ 40)
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................
1000 – 1099 19
1100 – 1199 29
1200 – 1299 28
1300 – 1399 13
1400 – 1499 7
1500 – 1599 4
Total 100
a. ≥ 1450 kN/m2
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................
b. ≤ 1250 kN/m2
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................
c. Diantara 1200 sd 1399 kN/m2
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
..........................................................................................................................................
........................................................................................................................