Faizal Ramanda Sutansyah

Reguler 41

1. Membuat persamaan regresi:

a. Fungsi regresi
Model Summary
Model

R Square

,993

Adjusted R

Std. Error of the

Square

Estimate

,986

,982

62,475

a. Predictors: (Constant), Media, Rilex, Omegah, TV

ANOVAa
Model

Sum of Squares
Regression

Residual
Total

df

Mean Square

4037412,053

1009353,013

58546,947

15

3903,130

4095959,000

19

Sig.

258,601

,000b

a. Dependent Variable: Unit

b. Predictors: (Constant), Media, Rilex, Omegah, TV

Coefficientsa
Model

Unstandardized Coefficients

Standardized

Sig.

Coefficients
B
(Constant)

3170,785

322,539

-,284

,070

,186

,000

-,240

-4,086

,001

,057

,330

3,257

,005

19,711

8,323

6,020

2,368

,032

-33,917

16,658

-5,153

-2,036

,060

Omegah
TV
Media

Beta
9,831

Rilex
1

Std. Error

a. Dependent Variable: Unit

Y=f(X1,X2,X3,X4)
Y=

3170,785-0,284X1+0,186X2+19,711X3-33,917X4

t=(9,831)( -4,086)( 3,257)( 2,368)( -2,036)

R2= 98,6%

F=258,601

Correlations
Control Variables

Rilex
Correlation

Rilex

Omegah

TV

Media

,496

,730

,720

Significance (2-tailed)

,031

,000

,001

df

17

17

17

Correlation

,496

1,000

,225

,228

Significance (2-tailed)

,031

,355

,348

17

17

17

Correlation

,730

,225

1,000

,999

Significance (2-tailed)

,000

,355

,000

17

17

17

Correlation

,720

,228

,999

1,000

Significance (2-tailed)

,001

,348

,000

17

17

17

df

Media

TV

1,000

df

Unit

Omegah

df

Matriks korelasi di atas menunjukan bahwa variabel X3 dan X4 memiliki

multicollinearity, karena memiliki hasil matriks korelasi tertinggi pada angka
0,999.
F test sejumlah 258,601 juga menunjukan adanya multicollinearity.
b. Y=f(X1,X2,X3)
Model Summary
Model

,991

R Square

Adjusted R

Std. Error of the

Square

Estimate

,982

,978

68,341

a. Predictors: (Constant), TV, Rilex, Omegah

ANOVAa
Model

Sum of Squares
Regression

Residual
Total

Df

Mean Square

4021230,956

1340410,319

74728,044

16

4670,503

4095959,000

19

a. Dependent Variable: Unit

b. Predictors: (Constant), TV, Rilex, Omegah

F
286,995

Sig.
,000b

Coefficientsa
Model

Unstandardized Coefficients

Standardized

Sig.

Coefficients
B
(Constant)
1

Std. Error

Beta

3055,427

347,337

-,291

,076

,199
2,781

Rilex
Omegah
TV

8,797

,000

-,246

-3,826

,001

,062

,354

3,212

,005

,384

,849

7,235

,000

a. Dependent Variable: Unit

Y=3055,427-0,291X1+0,199X2+2,781X3
t=(8,797) (-3,826) (3,212) (7,235)
R2= 98,2%

F=286,995
Correlations

Control Variables

Rilex
Correlation

Rilex

Unit

Omegah

TV

1,000

,496

,730

Significance (2-tailed)

,031

,000

df

17

17

Correlation

,496

1,000

,225

Significance (2-tailed)

,031

,355

17

17

Correlation

,730

,225

1,000

Significance (2-tailed)

,000

,355

17

17

df

TV

Omegah

df

c. Y=f(X1,X2,X4)
Model Summary
Model

R Square

,990a

Adjusted R

Std. Error of the

Square

Estimate

,980

,977

70,905

a. Predictors: (Constant), Media, Rilex, Omegah

ANOVAa
Model

Sum of Squares
Regression

Residual
Total

a. Dependent Variable: Unit

df

Mean Square

4015517,776

1338505,925

80441,224

16

5027,577

4095959,000

19

F
266,233

Sig.
,000b

b. Predictors: (Constant), Media, Rilex, Omegah

Coefficientsa
Model

Unstandardized Coefficients

Standardized

Sig.

Coefficients
B
(Constant)
1

Std. Error

Beta

3065,090

362,541

-,289

,079

,206
5,501

Rilex
Omegah
Media

8,454

,000

-,244

-3,667

,002

,064

,366

3,218

,005

,798

,836

6,891

,000

a. Dependent Variable: Unit

Y=3065,090-0,289X1+0,206X2+5,501X4
t= (8,454) (-3,667) (3,218) (6,891)
R2= 98%

F=266,233
Correlations

Control Variables

Rilex
Correlation

Rilex

Unit

Omegah

Media

1,000

,496

,720

Significance (2-tailed)

,031

,001

df

17

17

Correlation

,496

1,000

,228

Significance (2-tailed)

,031

,348

17

17

Correlation

,720

,228

1,000

Significance (2-tailed)

,001

,348

17

17

df

Media

Omegah

df

d. Y=f(X1,X2,X5)
Model Summary
Model

R Square

,991a

Adjusted R

Std. Error of the

Square

Estimate

,981

,978

69,166

a. Predictors: (Constant), X5, Rilex, Omegah

ANOVAa
Model

Sum of Squares
Regression

Residual
Total

a. Dependent Variable: Unit

Df

Mean Square

4019416,169

1339805,390

76542,831

16

4783,927

4095959,000

19

F
280,064

Sig.
,000b

b. Predictors: (Constant), X5, Rilex, Omegah

Coefficientsa
Model

Unstandardized Coefficients

Standardized

Sig.

Coefficients
B
(Constant)
1

Std. Error

Beta

3057,713

352,290

-,290

,077

,201
1,848

Rilex
Omegah
X5

8,680

,000

-,245

-3,774

,002

,063

,358

3,213

,005

,259

,845

7,122

,000

a. Dependent Variable: Unit

Y=3057,713-0,290X1+0,201X2+1,848X5
t=(8,680) (-3,774) (3,213) (7,122)
R2=98,1%

F=280,064
Correlations

Control Variables

Rilex
Correlation

Rilex

Unit

Omegah

X5

1,000

,496

,727

Significance (2-tailed)

,031

,000

df

17

17

Correlation

,496

1,000

,226

Significance (2-tailed)

,031

,353

17

17

Correlation

,727

,226

1,000

Significance (2-tailed)

,000

,353

17

17

df

X5

Omegah

df

e. Fungsi regresi Y=a1+b1X3

Model Summary
Model

R Square

,978a

Adjusted R

Std. Error of the

Square

Estimate

,956

,954

99,831

a. Predictors: (Constant), TV

ANOVAa
Model

Sum of Squares
Regression

Mean Square

3916567,902

3916567,902

179391,098

18

9966,172

4095959,000

19

Residual
Total

df

a. Dependent Variable: Unit

b. Predictors: (Constant), TV

F
392,986

Sig.
,000b

Coefficientsa
Model

Unstandardized Coefficients

Standardized

Sig.

Coefficients
B
1

(Constant)

Std. Error

Beta

2098,918

227,671

3,202

,162

TV

,978

9,219

,000

19,824

,000

a. Dependent Variable: Unit

Y=a1+b1X3
Y=2098,918+3,202X3
t=(9,219) (19,824)
R2=95,6%

F=392,986
Model Summary

Model

R Square

,977a

Adjusted R

Std. Error of the

Square

Estimate

,954

,952

102,123

a. Predictors: (Constant), Media

ANOVAa
Model

Sum of Squares
Regression

Residual
Total

df

Mean Square

3908235,594

3908235,594

187723,406

18

10429,078

4095959,000

19

Sig.

374,744

,000b

a. Dependent Variable: Unit

b. Predictors: (Constant), Media

Coefficientsa
Model

Unstandardized Coefficients

Standardized

Sig.

Coefficients
B
1

(Constant)
Media

Std. Error

2069,698

234,647

6,429

,332

a. Dependent Variable: Unit

Y=a2+b2X4
Y=2069,698+6,429X4
t=(8,820) (19,358)
R2=95,4%

F=374,744

Beta

,977

8,820

,000

19,358

,000

X6=X3+(b1/b2)X4
X6=X3+(3,202/6,429)X4
X6=X3+0,5X4
Persamaan baru Y=f(X1,X2,X6)
Model Summary
Model

,991

R Square

Adjusted R

Std. Error of the

Square

Estimate

,981

,978

68,832

a. Predictors: (Constant), X6, Rilex, Omegah

ANOVAa
Model

Sum of Squares
Regression

Residual
Total

df

Mean Square

4020153,034

1340051,011

75805,966

16

4737,873

4095959,000

19

Sig.

282,838

,000b

a. Dependent Variable: Unit

b. Predictors: (Constant), X6, Rilex, Omegah

Coefficientsa
Model

Unstandardized Coefficients

Standardized

Sig.

Coefficients
B
(Constant)
1

Rilex
Omegah
X6

Std. Error

3056,686

350,294

-,290

,077

,200
2,220

Beta
8,726

,000

-,245

-3,795

,002

,062

,356

3,212

,005

,310

,847

7,167

,000

a. Dependent Variable: Unit

Y=3056,686-0,290X1+0,200X2+2,220X6
t=(8,726) (-3,795) (3,212) (7,167)
R2=98,1%

F=282,838

Persamaan baru Y=f(X1,X2,X3,X4)

Y=3056,686-0,290X1+0,200X2+b6X6
Y=3056,686-0,290X1+0,200X2+2,220(X3+0,5X4)
Y=3056,686-0,290X1+0,200X2+2,220X3+1,110X4

f. Model yang terbaik dari ke 4 cara di atas adalah model pada butir b:
Y=f(X1,X2,X3) karena nilai dari R2 dan F test dari model ini memiliki
nilai yang terbesar, mengartikan bahwa model b adalah model yang
paling signifikan dibandingkan dengan yang lain. Variable yang ada
juga sesuai dengan hipotesis dari fungsi permintaan.
2. Model B
Y=f(X1,X2,X3)
Y=3055,427-0,291X1+0,199X2+2,781X3
Y=3055,427-0,291(4000)+0,199(3500)+2,781(1500)
Y=34.524,29
a. Jumlah tertinggi dan terendah dari jam Rilex yang akan terjual:
Tertinggi:
=34.524,29+(1,729)(68,3411)=34.642,4518
Terendah
=34.524,29-(1,729)(68,3411)=34.405,8382
34.405,8382Y34.642,4518
b.
Model Summary
Model

,990

R Square

Adjusted R

Std. Error of the

Square

Estimate

,980

,976

,01109

a. Predictors: (Constant), lnTV, lnrilex, lnomegah

ANOVAa
Model

Sum of Squares

df

Mean Square

Regression

,097

,032

Residual

,002

16

,000

Total

,099

19

a. Dependent Variable: lnunit

b. Predictors: (Constant), lnTV, lnrilex, lnomegah

F
262,336

Sig.
,000b

Coefficientsa
Model

Unstandardized Coefficients

Standardized

Sig.

Coefficients
B

Std. Error

(Constant)

5,242

,423

lnrilex

-,098

,038

lnomegah

,088

lnTV

,503

Beta
12,386

,000

-,169

-2,549

,021

,028

,402

3,166

,006

,099

,734

5,086

,000

a. Dependent Variable: lnunit

Berdasarkan hasil dari regresi dari fungsi LnY=f(LnX1,LnX2,LnX3),

mengindikasikan bahwa jika harga rilex naik 1% maka penjualan akan turun
0,098%. Jika harga omegah naik 1% maka penjualan akan naik 0,088%. Jika
harga pasang iklan di TV naik 1% maka penjualan rilex akan naik 0,503%.
c. Y1=f(X1,X2,X3)
Y1=3055,427-0,291X1+0,199X2+2,781X3
Y1=3055,427-0,291(4000)+0,199(3500)+2,781(1500)
Y1=34.524,29
Y2=f(X1,X2,X3)
Y2=3055,427-0,291X1+0,199X2+2,781X3
Y2=3055,427-0,291(4000)+0,199(2800)+2,781(1500)
Y2=32.122,085
Y1=Harga omegah masih stabil
Y2=Ketika harga Omegah turun 20%
=(Y1-Y2)/Y1
(34.524,29-32.122,085) = 6,95%
34.524,29
Penurunan harga jam Omegah turun 20% akan mempengaruhi
penurunan penjualan jam Rilex sebesar 6,95%.