Stasiun : PCH Tarempa

Kecamatan
Kota
Koordinat
LS
BT

No Curah Hujan Harian

Tahun
Maksimum (mm)
1 2000 38
2 1999 45
3 1998 85
4 1997 200
5 1996 83
6 1995 91
7 1994 225
8 1993 125
9 1992 180
10 1991 185
125.7
CURAH HUJAN HARIAN MAKSIMUM TAHUNAN

Analisa Curah Hujan Rencana

Distribusi Normal

No. Tahun No. Urut Rmax (mm/hr) Rmax-urut (mm/hr)

1 2000 8 60 95.00
2 1999 1 95 78.00
3 1998 3 76 76.00
4 1997 7 66 74.00
5 1996 6 67 72.00
6 1995 9 51 67.00
7 1994 4 74 66.00
8 1993 10 44 60.00
9 1992 2 78 51.00
10 1991 5 72 44.00

Jumlah Data N 10
Nilai Rata-rata µ 68.300
Standar Deviasi σ 14.446

Tr (thn) KTr RTr (mm/hr)

2 0.00 68.30
5 0.84 80.43
10 1.28 86.79
25 1.64 91.99
50 2.05 97.91
100 2.33 101.96
200 2.58 105.57
1000 3.09 112.94
Hujan Rencana Uji Kecocokan - Rata-rata Prosentase E
Normal Distribusi Normal

(X-Xbar)^3 (X-Xbar)^4 m Weibull Tr KTr

-571.79 4745.83 1 0.09 11.00 1.30

19034.16 508212.15 2 0.18 5.50 0.88
456.53 3515.30 3 0.27 3.67 0.61
-12.17 27.98 4 0.36 2.75 0.33
-2.20 2.86 5 0.45 2.20 0.10
-5177.72 89574.50 6 0.55 1.83 -0.08
185.19 1055.60 7 0.64 1.57 -0.32
-14348.91 348678.44 8 0.73 1.38 -0.58
912.67 8852.93 9 0.82 1.22 -0.83
50.65 187.42 10 0.91 1.10 -1.31
526.44 964853.02
Total Prosentase Error (%)
Jumlah Data
Rata-rata Prosentase Error (%)

1000 75.8
200 70.1
100 67.4
50 64.3
25 59.7
10 55.8
5 50.9
2 41.6

interpolasi Tr
1 25.000 1.640
11.000 1.304
10.000 1.280

2 10.000 1.280
5.500 0.884
5.000 0.840

3 5.000 0.840
3.667 0.613
4.000 0.670

4 3.330 0.520
2.750 0.331
 2.500 0.250

5 2.500 0.250
2.200 0.100
2.000 0.000

6 2.500 0.250
1.833 -0.083
2.000 0.000

7 2.000 0.000
1.571 -0.325
1.670 -0.250

8 1.670 -0.250
1.375 -0.582
1.430 -0.520

9 1.430 -0.520 1.430

1.222 -0.832 #REF!
1.330 -0.670 1.330

### 1.250 -0.840 1.250

1.100 -1.311 #REF!
1.110 -1.280 1.110

### 1.110 -1.280

#REF! #REF!
1.050 -1.640

1.110 -1.280
#REF! #REF!
1.050 -1.640
okan - Rata-rata Prosentase Error Uji Kecocokan - Deviasi
Distribusi Normal Distribusi Normal

Rmax-aktualRmax-prediksi % Error m Weibull Tr KTr Rmax-aktual

95.00 87.14 8.28 1 0.09 11.00 1.30 95.00

78.00 81.07 3.94 2 0.18 5.50 0.88 78.00
76.00 77.16 1.53 3 0.27 3.67 0.61 76.00
74.00 73.09 1.23 4 0.36 2.75 0.33 74.00
72.00 69.74 3.13 5 0.45 2.20 0.10 72.00
67.00 67.10 0.14 6 0.55 1.83 -0.08 67.00
66.00 63.61 3.62 7 0.64 1.57 -0.32 66.00
60.00 59.89 0.18 8 0.73 1.38 -0.58 60.00
51.00 56.29 10.36 9 0.82 1.22 -0.83 51.00
44.00 49.36 12.17 10 0.91 1.10 -1.31 44.00

Prosentase Error (%) 44.58 Total Selisih Pangkat Dua

10.00 Jumlah Data
ata Prosentase Error (%) 4.46 Deviasi (δ)
-0.520
#REF!
-0.670

-0.840
#REF!
-1.280
kan - Deviasi
si Normal

Rmax-prediksi(Selisih)2

87.14 61.82
81.07 9.42
77.16 1.35
73.09 0.83
69.74 5.09
67.10 0.01
63.61 5.71
59.89 0.01
56.29 27.94
49.36 28.68

140.87
10.00
3.96
 Harga KTr Distribusi Normal Harga d Distribusi Normal

No. Tr (thn) KTr Peluang No. Tr (thn)

1 1.001 -3.05 0.999 1 2
2 1.005 -2.58 0.995 2 5
3 1.010 -2.33 0.990 3 10
4 1.050 -1.64 0.950 4 20
5 1.110 -1.28 0.900 5 25
6 1.250 -0.84 0.800 6 50
7 1.330 -0.67 0.750 7 100
8 1.430 -0.52 0.700
9 1.670 -0.25 0.600
10 2.000 0.00 0.500
11 2.500 0.25 0.400
12 3.330 0.52 0.300
13 4.000 0.67 0.250
14 5.000 0.84 0.200
15 10.000 1.28 0.100
16 25.000 1.64 0.040
17 50.000 2.05 0.020
18 100.000 2.33 0.010
19 200.000 2.58 0.005
20 500.000 2.88 0.002
21 1000.000 3.09 0.001
arga d Distribusi Normal

d Peluang
1.0000 0.999
1.1638 0.995
1.3497 0.990
1.5340 0.950
1.5853 0.940
1.7634 0.800
1.9249 0.750
CURAH HUJAN HARIAN MAKSIMUM TAHUNAN

Analisa Curah Hujan Rencana

Distribusi Log Normal

No. Tahun No. Urut Rmax (mm/hr) Rmax-urut (mm/hr)

1 2000 8 60 95.00
2 1999 1 95 78.00
3 1998 3 76 76.00
4 1997 7 66 74.00
5 1996 6 67 72.00
6 1995 9 51 67.00
7 1994 4 74 66.00
8 1993 10 44 60.00
9 1992 2 78 51.00
10 1991 5 72 44.00

Jumlah Data N 10
Nilai Rata-rata µ 1.825
Standar Deviasi σ 0.091
Koefisien Kepencengan Cs 0.000

Tr (thn) KTr KTr . S log (Rmax) Log (RTr)

2 0.00 0.00 1.83
5 0.84 0.08 1.90
10 1.28 0.12 1.94
25 1.64 0.15 1.97
50 2.05 0.19 2.01
100 2.33 0.21 2.04
200 2.58 0.23 2.06
1000 3.09 0.28 2.11
a Curah Hujan Rencana Uji Kecocokan - Rat
stribusi Log Normal Distribus

Log (Rmax) (X-Xbar)^3 (X-Xbar)^4 m Weibull

1.98 0.00 0.00 1 0.09

1.89 0.00 0.00 2 0.18
1.88 0.00 0.00 3 0.27
1.87 0.00 0.00 4 0.36
1.86 0.00 0.00 5 0.45
1.83 0.00 0.00 6 0.55
1.82 0.00 0.00 7 0.64
1.78 0.00 0.00 8 0.73
1.71 0.00 0.00 9 0.82
1.64 -0.01 0.00 10 0.91
0.00 0.00

14.446 #NAME?

RTr (mm/hr)
66.87
79.74
87.45
94.31
102.77
108.98
114.85
127.81

1 25.000
11.000
10.000

2 10.000
5.500
5.000

3 5.000
3.667
4.000

4 3.330
 2.750
2.500

5 2.500
2.200
2.000

6 2.500
1.833
2.000

7 2.000
1.571
1.670

8 1.670
1.375
1.430

9 1.430
1.222
1.330

### 1.250
1.100
1.110

### 1.110
#REF!
1.050

1.110
#REF!
1.050
Uji Kecocokan - Rata-rata Prosentase Error Uji Kecocokan - D
Distribusi Log Normal Distribusi Log N

Tr KTr Rmax-aktualRmax-prediksi % Error m Weibull Tr

11.00 1.30 95.00 87.89 7.48 1 0.09 11.00

5.50 0.88 78.00 80.48 3.18 2 0.18 5.50
3.67 0.61 76.00 76.04 0.05 3 0.27 3.67
2.75 0.33 74.00 71.68 3.14 4 0.36 2.75
2.20 0.10 72.00 68.28 5.16 5 0.45 2.20
1.83 -0.08 67.00 65.71 1.93 6 0.55 1.83
1.57 -0.32 66.00 62.46 5.36 7 0.64 1.57
1.38 -0.58 60.00 59.19 1.36 8 0.73 1.38
1.22 -0.83 51.00 56.17 10.13 9 0.82 1.22
1.10 -1.31 44.00 50.79 15.43 10 0.91 1.10

Total Prosentase Error (%) 53.23 Total Selisih Pangkat Du

Jumlah Data 10.00 Jumlah Data
Rata-rata Prosentase Error (%) 5.32 Deviasi (δ)

1.640
1.304
1.280

1.280
0.884
0.840

0.840
0.613
0.670

0.520
0.331
0.250

0.250
0.100
0.000

0.250
-0.083
0.000

0.000
-0.325
-0.250

-0.250
-0.582
-0.520

-0.520 1.430 -0.520

-0.832 #REF! #REF!
-0.670 1.330 -0.670

-0.840 1.250 -0.840

-1.311 #REF! #REF!
-1.280 1.110 -1.280

-1.280
#REF!
-1.640

-1.280
#REF!
-1.640
 Uji Kecocokan - Deviasi
Distribusi Log Normal

KTr Rmax-aktualRmax-prediksi(Selisih)2

1.30 95.00 87.89 50.55

0.88 78.00 80.48 6.16
0.61 76.00 76.04 0.00
0.33 74.00 71.68 5.40
0.10 72.00 68.28 13.83
-0.08 67.00 65.71 1.67
-0.32 66.00 62.46 12.50
-0.58 60.00 59.19 0.66
-0.83 51.00 56.17 26.68
-1.31 44.00 50.79 46.11

Total Selisih Pangkat Dua 163.56

Jumlah Data 10.00
Deviasi (δ) 4.26
 Harga Yn & Sn Distribusi G

Sampel Yn Sn Sampel Yn Sn
10 0.4952 0.9496 10 0.4952 0.9496
11 0.4996 0.9676 11 0.4996 0.9676
12 0.5035 0.9833 12 0.5035 0.9833
13 0.5070 0.9971 13 0.5070 0.9971
14 0.5100 1.0095 14 0.5100 1.0095
15 0.5128 1.0206 15 0.5128 1.0206
16 0.5157 1.0316 16 0.5157 1.0316
17 0.5181 1.0411 17 0.5181 1.0411
18 0.5202 1.0493 18 0.5202 1.0493
19 0.5220 1.0565 19 0.5220 1.0565
20 0.5236 1.0628 20 0.5236 1.0628
21 0.5252 1.0696 21 0.5252 1.0696
22 0.5268 1.0754 22 0.5268 1.0754
23 0.5283 1.0811 23 0.5283 1.0811
24 0.5296 1.0864 24 0.5296 1.0864
25 0.5309 1.0915 25 0.5309 1.0915
26 0.5320 1.0861 26 0.5320 1.0861
27 0.5332 1.1004 27 0.5332 1.1004
28 0.5343 1.1047 28 0.5343 1.1047
29 0.5353 1.1086 29 0.5353 1.1086
30 0.5362 1.1124 30 0.5362 1.1124
31 0.5371 1.1159 31 0.5371 1.1159
32 0.5380 1.1193 32 0.5380 1.1193
33 0.5388 1.1226 33 0.5388 1.1226
34 0.5396 1.1255 34 0.5396 1.1255
35 0.5402 1.1287 35 0.5402 1.1287
36 0.5410 1.1313 36 0.5410 1.1313
37 0.5418 1.1339 37 0.5418 1.1339
38 0.5424 1.1363 38 0.5424 1.1363
39 0.5430 1.1388 39 0.5430 1.1388
40 0.5436 1.1413 40 0.5436 1.1413
41 0.5442 1.1436 41 0.5442 1.1436
42 0.5448 1.1458 42 0.5448 1.1458
43 0.5453 1.1480 43 0.5453 1.1480
44 0.5458 1.1499 44 0.5458 1.1499
45 0.5463 1.1519 45 0.5463 1.1519
46 0.5468 1.1538 46 0.5468 1.1538
47 0.5473 1.1557 47 0.5473 1.1557
48 0.5477 1.1574 48 0.5477 1.1574
49 0.5481 1.1590 49 0.5481 1.1590
50 0.5485 1.1607 50 0.5485 1.1607
51 0.5489 1.1623 51 0.5489 1.1623
52 0.5493 1.1638 52 0.5493 1.1638
53 0.5497 1.1658 53 0.5497 1.1658
54 0.5501 1.1667 54 0.5501 1.1667
55 0.5504 1.1681 55 0.5504 1.1681
56 0.5508 1.1696
57 0.5511 1.1708
58 0.5515 1.1721
59 0.5519 1.1734
 60 0.5521 1.1747
61 0.5524 1.1759
62 0.5527 1.1770
63 0.5530 1.1782
64 0.5533 1.1793
65 0.5535 1.1803
66 0.5538 1.1814
67 0.5540 1.1824
68 0.5543 1.1834
69 0.5545 1.1844
70 0.5548 1.1854
71 0.5550 1.1854
72 0.5552 1.1873
73 0.5555 1.1881
74 0.5557 1.1890
75 0.5559 1.1898
76 0.5561 1.1906
77 0.5563 1.1915
78 0.5565 1.1923
79 0.5567 1.1930
80 0.5569 1.1938
81 0.5570 1.1945
82 0.5572 1.1953
83 0.5574 1.1959
84 0.5576 1.1967
85 0.5578 1.1973
86 0.5580 1.1987
87 0.5581 1.1987
88 0.5583 1.1994
89 0.5583 1.2001
90 0.5586 1.2007
91 0.5587 1.2013
92 0.5589 1.2020
93 0.5591 1.2026
94 0.5592 1.2032
95 0.5593 1.2038
96 0.5595 1.2044
97 0.5596 1.2049
98 0.5598 1.2055
99 0.5599 1.2060
100 0.5600 1.2065
Yn & Sn Distribusi Gumbel

Sampel Yn Sn
56 0.5508 1.1696
57 0.5511 1.1708
58 0.5515 1.1721
59 0.5519 1.1734
60 0.5521 1.1747
61 0.5524 1.1759
62 0.5527 1.1770
63 0.5530 1.1782
64 0.5533 1.1793
65 0.5535 1.1803
66 0.5538 1.1814
67 0.5540 1.1824
68 0.5543 1.1834
69 0.5545 1.1844
70 0.5548 1.1854
71 0.5550 1.1854
72 0.5552 1.1873
73 0.5555 1.1881
74 0.5557 1.1890
75 0.5559 1.1898
76 0.5561 1.1906
77 0.5563 1.1915
78 0.5565 1.1923
79 0.5567 1.1930
80 0.5569 1.1938
81 0.5570 1.1945
82 0.5572 1.1953
83 0.5574 1.1959
84 0.5576 1.1967
85 0.5578 1.1973
86 0.5580 1.1987
87 0.5581 1.1987
88 0.5583 1.1994
89 0.5583 1.2001
90 0.5586 1.2007
91 0.5587 1.2013
92 0.5589 1.2020
93 0.5591 1.2026
94 0.5592 1.2032
95 0.5593 1.2038
96 0.5595 1.2044
97 0.5596 1.2049
98 0.5598 1.2055
99 0.5599 1.2060
100 0.5600 1.2065
CURAH HUJAN HARIAN MAKSIMUM TAHUNAN

Analisa Curah Hujan Rencana

Distribusi Gumbel

No. Tahun No. Urut R max (mm/hr) R max-urut (mm/hr) (R max - µ) 2

1 2000 8 60 95.00 712.890

2 1999 1 95 78.00 94.090
3 1998 3 76 76.00 59.290
4 1997 7 66 74.00 32.490
5 1996 6 67 72.00 13.690
6 1995 9 51 67.00 1.690
7 1994 4 74 66.00 5.290
8 1993 10 44 60.00 68.890
9 1992 2 78 51.00 299.290
10 1991 5 72 44.00 590.490
1878.10
Jumlah Data N 10
Jumlah Nilai Data ∑R max 683.000
Nilai Rata-rata µ 68.300
Jumlah Selisih Dengan Mean Pangkat Dua ∑(R max - µ) 2 1878.100
.
Standar Deviasi S 14.446
Koefisien Yn (Reduced Mean) Yn 0.4952
Koefisien Sn (Seduced Standar Deviasi) Sn 0.9496

Tr (thn) Y Tr R Tr (mm)

2 0.37 66.34
5 1.50 83.58
10 2.25 95.00
25 3.20 109.42
50 3.90 120.12
100 4.60 130.75
200 5.30 141.33
1000 6.91 165.84
a Uji Kecocokan - Rata-rata Prosentase Error
Distribusi Gumbel

(X-Xbar)^3 (X-Xbar)^4 m Weibull Tr YTr Rmax-aktual

19034.16 508212.15 1 0.09 11.00 2.35 95.00

912.67 8852.93 2 0.18 5.50 1.61 78.00
456.53 3515.30 3 0.27 3.67 1.14 76.00
185.19 1055.60 4 0.36 2.75 0.79 74.00
50.65 187.42 5 0.45 2.20 0.50 72.00
-2.20 2.86 6 0.55 1.83 0.24 67.00
-12.17 27.98 7 0.64 1.57 -0.01 66.00
-571.79 4745.83 8 0.73 1.38 -0.26 60.00
-5177.72 89574.50 9 0.82 1.22 -0.53 51.00
-14348.91 348678.44 10 0.91 1.10 -0.87 44.00
526.44 964853.02
Total Prosentase Error (%)
Jumlah Data
Rata-rata Prosentase Error (%)

14.446

xa #REF!
Sx
 rata Prosentase Error Uji Kecocokan - Deviasi
si Gumbel Distribusi Gumbel

Rmax-prediksi% Error m Weibull Tr YTr Rmax-aktual Rmax-prediksi (Selisih)2

96.53 1.61 1 0.09 11.00 2.35 95.00 96.53 2.33

85.20 9.23 2 0.18 5.50 1.61 78.00 85.20 51.83
78.17 2.86 3 0.27 3.67 1.14 76.00 78.17 4.73
72.85 1.56 4 0.36 2.75 0.79 74.00 72.85 1.33
68.38 5.02 5 0.45 2.20 0.50 72.00 68.38 13.08
64.38 3.91 6 0.55 1.83 0.24 67.00 64.38 6.85
60.59 8.19 7 0.64 1.57 -0.01 66.00 60.59 29.25
56.78 5.36 8 0.73 1.38 -0.26 60.00 56.78 10.34
52.65 3.24 9 0.82 1.22 -0.53 51.00 52.65 2.73
47.46 7.87 10 0.91 1.10 -0.87 44.00 47.46 11.99

tase Error (%) 48.85 Total Selisih Pangkat Dua 134.46

10.00 Jumlah Data 10.00
osentase Error (%) 4.88 Deviasi (δ) 3.87
 Harga KTr Metode Pearson III dan Log Pearson III

Skew Return Periode (Year)

Coef. 2 5 10 25 50 100

C Probability
Cs 50 20 10 4 2 1

-3.0 0.396 0.636 0.666 0.666 0.666 0.667

-2.9 0.390 0.651 0.681 0.683 0.689 0.690
-2.8 0.384 0.666 0.702 0.712 0.714 0.714
-2.7 0.376 0.681 0.747 0.738 0.740 0.740
-2.6 0.368 0.696 0.771 0.764 0.768 0.769
-2.5 0.360 0.711 0.795 0.793 0.798 0.799
-2.4 0.351 0.725 0.819 0.823 0.830 0.832
-2.3 0.341 0.739 0.844 0.855 0.864 0.867
-2.2 0.330 0.752 0.869 0.888 0.900 0.905
-2.1 0.319 0.765 0.895 0.923 0.939 0.946
-2.0 0.307 0.777 0.920 0.959 0.980 0.990
-1.9 0.294 0.788 0.945 0.996 1.023 1.038
-1.8 0.282 0.799 0.970 1.035 1.069 1.087
-1.7 0.268 0.808 0.884 1.075 1.116 1.140
-1.6 0.254 0.817 0.994 1.116 1.166 1.197
-1.5 0.240 0.825 1.018 1.157 1.217 1.256
-1.4 0.225 0.832 1.041 1.198 1.270 1.318
-1.3 0.210 0.838 1.064 1.240 1.324 1.383
-1.2 0.195 0.844 1.086 1.282 1.379 1.449
-1.1 0.180 0.848 1.107 1.324 1.435 1.518
-1.0 0.164 0.852 1.128 1.366 1.492 1.588
-0.9 0.148 0.854 1.147 1.407 1.549 1.660
-0.8 0.132 0.856 1.166 1.448 1.606 1.733
-0.7 0.116 0.857 1.183 1.488 1.663 1.806
-0.6 0.099 0.857 1.200 1.528 1.720 1.880
-0.5 0.083 0.856 1.216 1.567 1.770 1.955
-0.4 0.066 0.855 1.231 1.606 1.834 2.029
-0.3 0.500 0.853 1.245 1.643 1.890 2.104
-0.2 0.033 0.850 1.258 1.680 1.945 2.178
-0.1 0.017 0.846 1.270 1.716 2.000 2.252
0.0 0.000 0.842 1.282 1.751 2.054 2.326
0.1 -0.017 0.836 1.292 1.785 2.107 2.400
0.2 -0.033 0.830 1.301 1.818 2.159 2.472
0.3 -0.050 0.824 1.309 1.849 2.211 2.544
0.4 -0.066 0.816 1.317 1.880 2.261 2.615
0.5 -0.083 0.808 1.323 1.910 2.311 2.686
0.6 -0.099 0.800 1.328 1.939 2.359 2.755
0.7 -0.116 0.790 1.333 1.967 2.407 2.824
0.8 -0.132 0.780 1.336 1.998 2.453 2.891
0.9 -0.148 0.769 1.339 2.018 2.498 2.957
1.0 -0.164 0.758 1.340 2.043 2.542 3.022
1.1 -0.180 0.745 1.341 2.066 2.585 3.087
1.2 -0.195 0.732 1.340 2.087 2.626 3.149
1.3 -0.210 0.719 1.339 2.108 2.666 3.211
1.4 -0.225 0.705 1.337 2.128 2.706 3.271
1.5 -0.240 0.690 1.333 2.146 2.743 3.330
1.6 -0.254 0.675 1.329 2.163 2.780 3.388
1.7 -0.268 0.660 1.324 2.179 2.815 3.444
1.8 -0.282 0.643 1.318 2.193 2.828 3.499
1.9 -0.282 0.627 1.310 2.207 2.881 3.553
2.0 -0.307 0.609 1.302 2.219 2.912 3.605
2.1 -0.319 0.592 1.294 2.230 2.942 3.656
2.2 -0.330 0.574 1.284 2.240 2.970 3.705
2.3 -0.341 0.555 1.274 2.248 3.997 3.753
2.4 -0.351 0.537 1.262 2.256 3.023 3.800
2.5 -0.360 0.518 1.250 2.262 3.048 3.845
2.6 -0.368 0.799 1.238 2.267 3.017 3.899
2.7 -0.384 0.460 1.210 2.275 3.114 3.937
2.8 -0.376 0.479 1.224 2.272 3.093 3.932
2.9 -0.390 0.440 1.195 2.277 3.134 4.013
3.0 -0.396 0.420 1.180 2.278 3.152 4.051
Pearson III

200 1000

0.5 0.1

0.667 0.668
0.690 0.695
0.714 0.722
0.741 0.748
0.769 0.775
0.800 0.802
0.833 0.838
1.869 0.874
0.907 0.910
0.949 0.955
0.995 1.000
1.044 1.065
1.097 1.130
1.155 1.205
1.216 1.280
1.282 1.373
1.351 1.465
1.424 1.545
1.501 1.625
1.581 1.713
1.664 1.800
1.749 1.910
1.837 2.035
1.926 2.150
2.016 2.275
2.108 2.400
2.201 2.540
2.294 2.675
2.388 2.810
2.482 2.950
2.576 3.090
2.670 3.235
2.763 3.380
2.856 3.525
2.949 3.670
3.041 3.815
3.132 3.960
3.223 4.105
3.312 4.250
3.401 4.395
3.489 4.540
3.575 4.680
3.661 4.820
3.745 4.965
3.828 5.110
3.910 5.250
3.990 5.390
4.069 5.525
4.147 5.660
4.223 5.785
4.298 5.910
4.372 6.055
4.444 6.200
4.515 6.333
4.584 6.467
4.652 6.600
4.718 6.730
4.847 6.860
4.783 6.990
4.909 7.120
4.970 7.250
CURAH HUJAN HARIAN MAKSIMUM TAHUNAN

Analisa Curah Hujan Rencana

Distribusi Pearson Type III

No. Tahun No. Urut Rmax (mm/hr) Rmax-urut (mm/hr) (Rmax - µ)3

1 2000 10 38.00 225.00 979146.66

2 1999 9 45.00 200.00 410172.41
3 1998 7 85.00 185.00 208527.86
4 1997 2 200.00 180.00 160103.01
5 1996 8 83.00 125.00 -0.34
6 1995 6 91.00 91.00 -41781.92
7 1994 1 225.00 85.00 -67419.14
8 1993 5 125.00 83.00 -77854.48
9 1992 4 180.00 45.00 -525557.94
10 1991 3 185.00 38.00 -674526.13

Jumlah Data N 10
Jumlah Nilai Data ∑Rmax 1257.000
Nilai Rata-rata µ 125.700
Standar Deviasi S 67.276
Koefisien Kemencengan CS 0.169

Tr (thn) KTr RTr (mm)

2 -0.028 123.81
5 0.832 181.66
10 1.298 213.04
25 1.808 247.32
50 2.143 269.87
100 2.450 290.51
200 2.734 309.65
1000 3.335 350.08
 Uji Ke

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10

Interpolasi
5.0
Cs 2 5 10 25 50 100 200 1000 4.5
0.100 -0.017 0.836 1.292 1.785 2.107 2.400 2.670 3.235 4.0
3.5
0.169 -0.028 0.832 1.298 1.808 2.143 2.450 2.734 3.335 f(x) = 0.5

KTr
3.0
0.200 -0.033 0.830 1.301 1.818 2.159 2.472 2.763 3.380 R² = 0.9
2.5
2.0
4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5 0 100
 Uji Kecocokan - Rata-rata Prosentase Error Uji Kec
Distribusi Pearson Type III Distribus

Weibull Tr KTr Rmax-aktual Rmax-prediksi % Error m Weibull

0.09 11.00 1.23 225.00 208.17 7.48 1 0.09

0.18 5.50 0.84 200.00 182.21 8.89 2 0.18
0.27 3.67 0.61 185.00 167.03 9.72 3 0.27
0.36 2.75 0.45 180.00 156.25 13.19 4 0.36
0.45 2.20 0.33 125.00 147.89 18.31 5 0.45
0.55 1.83 0.23 91.00 141.06 55.02 6 0.55
0.64 1.57 0.14 85.00 135.29 59.17 7 0.64
0.73 1.38 0.07 83.00 130.29 56.98 8 0.73
0.82 1.22 0.00 45.00 125.88 179.73 9 0.82
0.91 1.10 -0.06 38.00 121.93 220.87 10 0.91

Total Prosentase Error (%) 629.36

Jumlah Data 10.00
Rata-rata Prosentase Error (%) 62.94

Hubungan KTr Dengan Tr

Distribusi Pearson Type III
5.0
4.5
4.0
3.5
f(x) = 0.5252586995 ln(x) - 0.0528262962
KTr

3.0
R² = 0.9698418475
2.5
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000
Tr

Hubungan KTr Dengan Tr

Distribusi PearsonType I
 Uji Kecocokan - Deviasi
Distribusi Pearson Type III

Tr KTr Rmax-aktual Rmax-prediksi (Selisih)2

11.00 1.23 225.00 208.17 283.17

5.50 0.84 200.00 182.21 316.43
3.67 0.61 185.00 167.03 323.08
2.75 0.45 180.00 156.25 564.03
2.20 0.33 125.00 147.89 524.10
1.83 0.23 91.00 141.06 2506.47
1.57 0.14 85.00 135.29 2529.20
1.38 0.07 83.00 130.29 2236.34
1.22 0.00 45.00 125.88 6541.34
1.10 -0.06 38.00 121.93 7044.65

Total Selisih Pangkat Dua 22868.82

Jumlah Data 10.00
Deviasi (δ) 50.41
CURAH HUJAN HARIAN MAKSIMUM TAHUNAN

Analisa Curah Hujan Rencana

Distribusi Log Pearson Type III

No. Tahun No. Urut Rmax (mm/hr) Rmax-urut (mm/hr) logRmax

1 2000 8 60 95.00 1.978

2 1999 1 95 78.00 1.892
3 1998 3 76 76.00 1.881
4 1997 7 66 74.00 1.869
5 1996 6 67 72.00 1.857
6 1995 9 51 67.00 1.826
7 1994 4 74 66.00 1.820
8 1993 10 44 60.00 1.778
9 1992 2 78 51.00 1.708
10 1991 5 72 44.00 1.643

Jumlah Data
Jumlah Nilai 'logRmax'
Nilai Rata-rata 'logRmax' (mean)

Jumlah Selisih Dengan Mean Pangkat Dua

Standar Deviasi 'logRmax'

Jumlah Selisih Dengan Mean Pangkat Tiga

Koefisien Kemencengan

Tr (thn) KTr logRTr

2 0.093 1.8342
5 0.857 1.9074
10 1.206 1.9409
25 1.542 1.9732
50 1.738 1.9920
100 1.906 2.0082
200 2.048 2.0218
1000 2.319 2.0478
isa Curah Hujan Rencana
ibusi Log Pearson Type III

(logRmax - logRmax)2 (logRmax - logRmax)3 (X-Xbar)^4

0.02326379 0.00354830 0.00

0.00447504 0.00029936 0.00
0.00309300 0.00017202 0.00
0.00193889 0.00008537 0.00
0.00103257 0.00003318 0.00
0.00000077 0.00000000 0.00
0.00003198 -0.00000018 0.00
0.00221348 -0.00010414 0.00
0.01383651 -0.00162757 0.00
0.03303168 -0.00600338 0.00
-0.00359704 0.00
N 10
∑logRmax 18.252
logRmax 1.825
∑(logRmax - logRmax)2 0.083
Slog 0.096 14.446
∑(logRmax - logRmax)3
-0.004
CS -0.565
Interpolasi
RTr (mm) Cs
-0.500
68.26 -0.565
80.80 -0.600
87.28
94.01
98.17
101.90
105.15
111.63
 Uji Kecocokan - Rata-rata P
Distribusi Log Pearso

m Weibull Tr

1 0.09 11.00
2 0.18 5.50
3 0.27 3.67
4 0.36 2.75
5 0.45 2.20
6 0.55 1.83
7 0.64 1.57
8 0.73 1.38
9 0.82 1.22
10 0.91 1.10

Total Prosentase Error (

Jumlah Data
Rata-rata Prosentase Er

Hubungan KTr De
Distribusi Log Pears
5.0
4.5
4.0
2 5 10 25 50 100 200 1000 3.5
0.083 0.856 1.216 1.567 1.770 1.955 2.108 2.400
KTr

3.0
0.093 0.857 1.206 1.542 1.738 1.906 2.048 2.319 2.5
0.099 0.857 1.200 1.528 1.720 1.880 2.016 2.275 f(x) = 0.3376661124 ln(x) + 0.2585940679
2.0 R² = 0.9079126226

4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5 0 100 200 300 400 500
Tr
Uji Kecocokan - Rata-rata Prosentase Error Uji Kecocokan - Deviasi
Distribusi Log Pearson Type III Distribusi Log Pearson Type

KTr Rmax-aktual Rmax-prediksi % Error m Weibull Tr KTr

0.78 95.00 79.47 16.35 1 0.09 11.00 0.78

0.51 78.00 74.80 4.10 2 0.18 5.50 0.51
0.35 76.00 72.19 5.01 3 0.27 3.67 0.35
0.23 74.00 70.40 4.86 4 0.36 2.75 0.23
0.14 72.00 69.04 4.11 5 0.45 2.20 0.14
0.07 67.00 67.95 1.42 6 0.55 1.83 0.07
0.01 66.00 67.04 1.58 7 0.64 1.57 0.01
-0.04 60.00 66.26 10.44 8 0.73 1.38 -0.04
-0.09 51.00 65.58 28.59 9 0.82 1.22 -0.09
-0.13 44.00 64.98 47.69 10 0.91 1.10 -0.13

Total Prosentase Error (%) 124.14 Total Selisih Pangkat Dua

Jumlah Data 10.00 Jumlah Data
Rata-rata Prosentase Error (%) 12.41 Deviasi (δ)

Hubungan KTr Dengan Tr

Distribusi Log Pearson Type III

= 0.3376661124 ln(x) + 0.2585940679

0.9079126226

100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1000
Tr

Hubungan KTrDengan Tr
Distribusi Log Pearson Type I I
 Uji Kecocokan - Deviasi
tribusi Log Pearson Type III

Rmax-aktual Rmax-prediksi (Selisih)2

95.00 79.47 241.14

78.00 74.80 10.25
76.00 72.19 14.49
74.00 70.40 12.95
72.00 69.04 8.76
67.00 67.95 0.90
66.00 67.04 1.08
60.00 66.26 39.21
51.00 65.58 212.66
44.00 64.98 440.23

Selisih Pangkat Dua 981.67

10.00
10.44
 CURAH HUJAN HARIAN MAKSIMUM TAHUNAN

Resume Analisa Curah Hujan Rencana

Analisa Frekuensi Curah Hujan Rencana (mm/hr)

Periode Log
Ulang Log Pearson
Normal Gumbel Pearson
Normal III
III

Tr2 68.30 66.87 66.34 123.81 68.26

Tr5 80.43 79.74 83.58 181.66 80.80
Tr10 86.79 87.45 95.00 213.04 87.28
Tr25 91.99 94.31 109.42 247.32 94.01
Tr50 97.91 102.77 120.12 269.87 98.17
Tr100 101.96 108.98 130.75 290.51 101.90
Tr200 105.57 114.85 141.33 309.65 105.15
Tr1000 112.94 127.81 165.84 350.08 111.63
C u ra h H u ja n R e n ca n a ( m m /h r)

PERBANDINGAN CURAH HUJAN RENCANA

250

225

200

175

150

125

Gumbel
100 Log Pearson III
Log Normal

75
0.00 100.00

Periode Ulang

Tr2 Tr5 Tr10 Tr25 Tr50 Tr100 Tr200 Tr1000

400

350

300

250

200
 Tr2 Tr5 Tr10 Tr25 Tr50 Tr100 Tr200 Tr1000
400

350

300

250

200

150

100

50

0
Normal Log Normal Gumbel Pearson III Log Pearson III
C u ra h H u ja n R e n c a n a ( m m / h r )

Perbandingan Curah Hujan Rencana

350

300

250

200

150

100

50

0
Tr2 Tr5 Tr10 Tr25 Tr50 Tr100 Tr200 Tr1000
Periode Ulang
Normal Gumbel Pearson Type III Log Pearson Type III Log Normal
 Analisa Smada

Analisa Frekuensi Curah Hujan Rencana (mm/hr)

Periode
Ulang Log
Normal Log Normal Gumbel Pearson III
Pearson III

Tr2 41.64 40.10 40.06 41.70 43.88

Tr5 50.91 50.69 53.95 51.45 51.55
Tr10 55.77 57.32 63.15 56.51 57.73
Tr25 59.74 63.38 74.77 61.88 64.71
Tr50 64.27 71.06 83.39 65.34 69.41
Tr100 67.36 76.84 91.95 68.43 73.74
Tr200 70.12 82.39 100.47 71.27 77.80
Tr1000 75.75 95.00 120.23 77.08 86.55

88.31
2 0.5 0.5 136.3 79.81 87.41
5 0.2 0.8 168.0 111.42 119.59
10 0.1 0.9 208.1 138.8 140.96
25 0.04 0.96 237.9 178.11 168.03
50 0.02 0.98 267.4 209.79 188.25
100 0.01 0.99 296.8 242.92 208.53
200 0.005 0.995 365.0 277.37 229.03
1000 0.001 0.999 361.9 277.94
Tabel 2.8. Harga X2 kritis untuk Uji Chi - Square

Probability of deviation greather then x2

x2
Derajat Kepercayaan (α)
Dk
0.995 0.990 0.975 0.950 0.050 0.025 0.010 0.005
1 0.000039 0.000157 0.000982 0.00393 3.841 5.024 6.635 7.879
2 0.010 0.020 0.051 0.103 5.991 7.378 9.210 10.597
3 0.072 0.115 0.216 0.352 7.815 9.248 11.345 12.838
4 0.201 0.297 0.484 0.711 9.488 11.143 13.277 14.860
5 0.412 0.540 0.831 1.145 11.010 12.832 15.086 16.750
6 0.676 0.872 1.237 1.635 12.592 14.449 16.812 18.548
7 0.989 1.239 1.690 2.167 14.067 16.013 18.475 20.278
8 1.344 1.646 2.180 2.733 15.507 17.535 20.090 21.955
9 1.735 2.088 2.700 3.325 16.919 19.023 21.666 23.589
10 2.156 2.558 3.247 3.940 18.307 20.483 23.209 25.188
11 2.603 3.053 3.816 4.575 19.675 21.920 24.725 26.757
12 3.074 3.571 4.404 5.226 21.026 23.337 26.217 28.300
13 3.565 4.107 5.009 5.892 22.362 24.736 27.688 29.819
14 4.075 4.660 5.629 6.571 23.685 26.119 29.141 31.319
15 4.601 5.229 6.262 7.261 24.996 27.488 30.758 32.801
16 5.124 5.812 6.908 7.962 26.296 28.845 32.000 34.267
17 5.697 6.408 7.564 8.672 27.587 30.191 33.409 35.718
18 6.265 7.015 8.231 9.360 28.869 31.526 34.805 37.756
19 6.844 7.633 8.907 10.117 30.144 32.852 36.191 38.582
20 7.434 8.260 9.591 10.851 31.410 34.170 37.566 39.997
21 8.034 8.897 10.283 11.591 32.671 35.479 38.932 40.401
22 8.643 9.542 10.982 12.338 33.924 36.781 40.289 42.796
23 9.260 10.196 11.689 13.091 36.172 38.076 41.683 44.181
24 9.886 18.856 12.401 13.949 36.415 39.364 42.980 45.558
25 10.520 11.524 13.120 14.611 37.652 40.646 44.314 46.928
26 11.160 12.198 13.844 15.379 38.885 41.923 45.642 48.290
27 11.808 12.879 14.573 16.151 40.113 43.194 46.963 49.645
28 12.461 13.565 15.308 16.928 41.337 44.461 48.278 50.993
29 13.121 14.256 16.047 17.708 42.557 45.722 49.588 52.336
30 13.787 14.953 16.791 18.493 43.773 46.979 50.892 53.672

Tabel 2.9. Harga Do kritis untuk Uji Smirnov-Kolmogorof

a
0.200 0.100 0.050 0.010
n
 5 0.45 0.51 0.56 0.67
10 0.32 0.37 0.41 0.49
15 0.27 0.30 0.34 0.40
20 0.23 0.26 0.29 0.36
25 0.21 0.24 0.27 0.32
30 0.19 0.22 0.24 0.29
35 0.18 0.20 0.23 0.27
40 0.17 0.19 0.21 0.25
45 0.16 0.18 0.20 0.24
50 0.15 0.17 0.19 0.23

n > 50 1.07 1.22 1.36 1.63

n0,5 n0,5 n0,5 n0,5
UJI CHI-SQUARE ( x2)

Jumlah Data , n = 14.00

Jumlah Kelas : G = 1 + 3,322 Log n

G = 5
Derajat Bebas ( Dk ) : G - (R + 1) ; R = 2
Derajat Bebas ( Dk ) 2.00
Signifikan (a, %) 5.00
D kritis 5.991
Expected Frequency (Ef) 2.80  y  yn 
X t  Xa   t  Sx
Batas kelompok  S n 
1 20% 5.00
2 40% 2.50   T 1
3 60% 1.67 yt   ln   ln  
  T 
4 80% 1.25

Perhitungan Nilai Batas Dari Masing-Masing Sub-Kelompok untuk Distribusi Gumbel

Periode Ulang
yt yn Sn Sx
T (tahun)
5.00 1.4999 0.4952 0.9496 14.45
2.50 0.6717 0.4952 0.9496 14.45
1.67 0.0874 0.4952 0.9496 14.45
1.25 -0.4759 0.4952 0.9496 14.45
∞ - - - -
UJI CHI-SQUARE ( x2)

Jumlah Data , n = 14.00

Jumlah Kelas : G = 1 + 3,322 Log n

G = 5
Derajat Bebas ( Dk ) : G - (R + 1) ; R = 2
Derajat Bebas ( Dk ) 2.00
Signifikan (a, %) 5.00
D kritis 5.991
Expected Frequency (Ef) 2.80
Batas kelompok X t  Xa  k * S x
1 20% 5.00
2 40% 2.50
3 60% 1.67
4 80% 1.25
5 100% 1.00

Tabel 4.14. Perhitungan Nilai Batas Dari Masing-Masing Sub-Kelompok untuk Distribusi

Periode Ulang
Variabel Gauss k Sx Xa Xt
T (tahun)
5.00 0.84 14.45 68.30 80.43
2.50 0.25 14.45 68.30 71.91
1.67 -0.25 14.45 68.30 64.69
1.25 -0.84 14.45 68.30 56.17
1 -3.05 14.45 68.30 24.24
 TABEL REDUKSI GAUSS

Periode Peluang
k
Ulang, T P=1/T
Return Variabel Gauss,
Period k 1.001 0.999 -3.05
1.005 0.995 -2.58
2 0.00 1.01 0.990 -2.33
5 0.84 1.05 0.952 -1.64
10 1.28 1.11 0.901 -1.28
20 1.64 1.25 0.800 -0.84
25 1.71 1.33 0.752 -0.67
50 2.05 1.43 0.699 -0.52
100 2.33 1.67 0.599 -0.25
200 2.58 2 0.500 0
500 2.88 2.5 0.400 0.25
1000 3.09 3.33 0.300 0.52
4 0.250 0.67
5 0.200 0.84
10 0.100 1.28
20 0.050 1.64
50 0.020 2.05
100 0.010 2.33
200 0.005 2.58
500 0.002 2.88
1000 0.001 3.09
 T k

1.00 1.01 -3.05 -2.58 TR K

1.01 1.01 -2.58 -2.33 5.00 0.84
1.01 1.05 -2.33 -1.64 2.50 0.25
1.05 1.11 -1.64 -1.28 1.67 -0.25
1.11 1.25 -1.28 -0.84 1.25 -0.84
1.25 1.33 -0.84 -0.67 1 -3.05
1.33 1.43 -0.67 -0.52
1.43 1.67 -0.52 -0.25
1.67 2.00 -0.25 0
2.00 2.50 0 0.25
2.50 3.33 0.25 0.52
3.33 4.00 0.52 0.67
4.00 5.00 0.67 0.84
5.00 10.00 0.84 1.28
10.00 20.00 1.28 1.64
20.00 50.00 1.64 2.05
50.00 100.00 2.05 2.33
100.00 200.00 2.33 2.58
200.00 500.00 2.58 2.88
500.00 1000.00 2.88 3.09
1000.00 3.09
UJI CHI-SQUARE ( x2)

Jumlah Data , n = 14.00

Cs = -0.622
Jumlah Kelas : G = 1 + 3,322 Log n
G = 5
Derajat Bebas ( Dk ) : G - (R + 1) ; R = 2
Derajat Bebas ( Dk ) 2.00
Signifikan (a, %) 5.00
D kritis 5.991
Expected Frequency (Ef) 2.80
Batas kelompok
1 20% 5.00
2 40% 2.50
3 60% 1.67 Log Xt = Log Xa + G*Sx
4 80% 1.25
5 100% 1.00

Perhitungan Nilai Batas Dari Masing-Masing Sub-Kelompok untuk Distribusi Log Pearson

Periode Ulang Variabel Reduksi

Sx Log Xa Log Xt
T (tahun) G
5.00 0.84 0.096 1.825 1.906
2.50 0.25 0.096 1.825 1.849
1.67 -0.25 0.096 1.825 1.801
1.25 -0.84 0.096 1.825 1.745
1 -3.05 0.096 1.825 1.532
 Rekapitulasi Hasil Perhitungan Curah Hujan Rancangan

Periode Ulang Hujan Rancangan ( mm )

No. (Tahun) Metode Metode
Gumbel Normal
1 2 66.34 68.30
2 5 83.58 80.43
3 10 95.00 86.79
4 25 109.42 91.99
5 50 120.12 97.91
6 100 130.75 101.96
7 200 141.33 105.57
8 1000 165.84 112.94
UJI CHI SQUARE
Chi - Square hitung 5.34 3.14
Chi - Square kritis 5.99 5.99
Derajat Bebas 2.00 2.00
Derajat Signifikansi 5.00 5.00
HIPOTESA DITERIMA DITERIMA
Sumber : Perhitungan
180
160
140
Hujan Rancangan (mm)

120
100
80
60
40
20
0
2 5 10 25 50 100 200 1000
Kala Ulang
asi Hasil Perhitungan Curah Hujan Rancangan

Hujan Rancangan ( mm )
Metode
Log Pearson Type III
68.26
80.80
87.28
94.01
98.17
101.90
105.15
111.63
UJI CHI SQUARE
3.14
5.99
2.00
5.00
DITERIMA

10 25 50 100 200 1000

Kala Ulang
 CURAH HUJAN HARIAN MAKSIMUM TAHUNAN

Resume Uji Kecocokan

Jenis Uji Kecocokan
No. Jenis Distribusi
Rata-rata % Error Deviasi
1 Normal 4.46 3.96
2 Log Normal 5.32 4.26
3 Gumbel 4.88 3.87
4 Pearson III 62.94 50.41
5 Log Pearson III 12.41 10.44
Maksimum 62.94 50.41
Minimum 4.46 3.87
Ketid akco co kan

Perbandingan Hasil Uji Kecocokan

25
Rata-rata % Error Deviasi
20

15

10

0
Normal Log Normal Gumbel Pearson III Log Pearson III

Jenis Distribusi
UJI SMIRNOV-KOLMOGOROV

Jumlah Data , n14.00

Xa = 68.30
Sx = 14.45
Yn = 0.4952
Sn = 0.9496
e = 2.71828

Tabel 4.19. Perhitungan Uji Smirnov-Kolmogorov untuk Distribusi Gumbel

m X P(x)=m/(n+1) P(x<) f(t) = (X-Xa)/Sx y

(1) (2) (3) (4) = 1 - (3) (5) (6)

1 324.00 0.067 0.933 17.701 17.304
2 337.00 0.133 0.867 18.601 18.158
3 540.00 0.200 0.800 32.653 31.503
4 521.00 0.267 0.733 31.338 30.254
5 287.00 0.333 0.667 15.139 14.872
6 216.00 0.400 0.600 10.225 10.204
7 277.00 0.467 0.533 14.447 14.214
8 254.00 0.533 0.467 12.855 12.702
9 241.00 0.600 0.400 11.955 11.848
10 224.00 0.667 0.333 10.778 10.730
11 342.00 0.733 0.267 18.947 18.487
12 608.00 0.800 0.200 37.361 35.973
13 468.00 0.867 0.133 27.669 26.770
14 388.00 0.933 0.067 22.131 21.511
Dmax =

HIPOTESA GUMBEL DITERIM

UJI SMIRNOV-KOLMOGOROV

Jumlah Data , n14.00

Xa = 68.30
Sx = 14.45

Tabel 4.21. Perhitungan Uji Smirnov-Kolmogorov untuk Distribusi Normal

m X P(x)=m/(n+1) P(x<) f(t) = (X-Xa)/Sx P'(x)

(1) (2) (3) (4) = 1 - (3) (5) (6)

1 324.00 0.067 0.933 17.70 0.663

2 337.00 0.133 0.867 18.60 0.832
3 540.00 0.200 0.800 32.65 0.655
4 521.00 0.267 0.733 31.34 0.729
5 287.00 0.333 0.667 15.14 0.811
6 216.00 0.400 0.600 10.22 0.824
7 277.00 0.467 0.533 14.45 0.681
8 254.00 0.533 0.467 12.86 0.695
9 241.00 0.600 0.400 11.96 0.834
10 224.00 0.667 0.333 10.78 0.603
11 342.00 0.733 0.267 18.95 0.568
12 608.00 0.800 0.200 37.36 0.591
13 468.00 0.867 0.133 27.67 0.659
14 388.00 0.933 0.067 22.13 0.532
Dmax =

HIPOTESA NORMAL DITERIMA

UJI SMIRNOV-KOLMOGOROV

Jumlah Data , n = 14.00

Xa = 68.300
Sx = 14.446

Tabel 4.22. Perhitungan Uji Smirnov-Kolmogorov untuk Distribusi Log Pearson Type III

m X Log X P(x)=m/(n+1) P(x<) f(t) = (Log X-Log Xa)/Sx P'(x)

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) = 1 - (4) (6) (7)

1 324.00 1.98 0.067 0.933 -4.591 0.0015

2 337.00 1.89 0.133 0.867 -4.597 0.0015
3 540.00 1.88 0.200 0.800 -4.598 0.0015
4 521.00 1.87 0.267 0.733 -4.599 0.0014
5 287.00 1.86 0.333 0.667 -4.599 0.0014
6 216.00 1.83 0.400 0.600 -4.602 0.0014
7 277.00 1.82 0.467 0.533 -4.602 0.0014
8 254.00 1.78 0.533 0.467 -4.605 0.0014
9 241.00 1.71 0.600 0.400 -4.610 0.0014
10 224.00 1.64 0.667 0.333 -4.614 0.0014
11 342.00 Err:509 0.733 0.267 Err:509 0.0014
12 608.00 Err:509 0.800 0.200 Err:509 0.0014
13 468 Err:509 0.867 0.133 Err:509 0.0014
14 388 Err:509 0.933 0.067 Err:509 0.0014
Dmax =

HIPOTESA LOG PEARSON TYPE III DITERIMA

 Tabel Luas Wilayah di bawah Kurva Normal

t 0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05

-3.4 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003
-3.3 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004
-3.2 0.0007 0.0007 0.0006 0.0006 0.0006 0.0006
-3.1 0.0010 0.0009 0.0009 0.0009 0.0008 0.0008
-3.0 0.0013 0.0013 0.0013 0.0012 0.0012 0.0011
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05
-2.9 0.0019 0.0018 0.0017 0.0017 0.0016 0.0016
-2.8 0.0026 0.0025 0.0024 0.0023 0.0022 0.0022
-2.7 0.0036 0.0034 0.0033 0.0032 0.0030 0.0030
-2.6 0.0047 0.0045 0.0044 0.0043 0.0040 0.0040
-2.5 0.0062 0.0060 0.0059 0.0057 0.0055 0.0054
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05
-2.4 0.0082 0.008 0.0078 0.0075 0.0073 0.0071
2.3 0.0107 0.0104 0.0102 0.0099 0.0096 0.0094
-2.2 0.0139 0.0136 0.0132 0.0129 0.0125 0.0122
-2.1 0.0179 0.0174 0.0170 0.0166 0.0162 0.0158
-2.0 0.0228 0.0222 0.0217 0.0212 0.0207 0.0202
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05
-1.9 0.0287 0.0281 0.0274 0.0268 0.0262 0.0256
-1.8 0.0359 0.0352 0.0344 0.0336 0.0929 0.0322
-1.7 0.0446 0.0436 0.0427 0.0481 0.0409 0.0401
-1.6 0.0548 0.0537 0.0526 0.0516 0.0505 0.0495
-1.5 0.0668 0.0655 0.0643 0.063 0.0618 0.0606
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05
-1.4 0.0808 0.0793 0.0778 0.0764 0.0749 0.0735
-1.3 0.0968 0.0951 0.0934 0.0918 0.0901 0.0885
-1.2 0.1151 0.1131 0.1112 0.1093 0.1075 0.1056
-1.1 0.1357 0.1335 0.1314 0.1292 0.1271 0.1251
-1.0 0.1587 0.1562 0.1539 0.1515 0.1492 0.1469
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05
-0.9 0.1841 0.1814 0.1788 0.1762 0.1736 0.1711
-0.8 0.2119 0.2090 0.2061 0.2033 0.2005 0.1977
-0.7 0.242 0.2389 0.2358 0.2327 0.2296 0.2266
-0.6 0.2743 0.2709 0.2676 0.2643 0.2611 0.2578
-0.5 0.3085 0.305 0.3015 0.2981 0.2946 0.2912
. 0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05
-0.4 0.3446 0.3409 0.3372 0.3336 0.3300 0.3264
-0.3 0.3821 0.3783 0.3745 0.3707 0.3669 0.3632
-0.2 0.4207 0.4168 0.4129 0.4090 0.4052 0.4013
-0.1 0.4602 0.4562 0.4522 0.4483 0.4443 0.4404
0.0 0.5000 0.496 0.4920 0.4880 0.4840 0.4801
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05
0.0 0.5000 0.5040 0.5080 0.5120 0.5160 0.5199
0.1 0.5398 0.5438 0.5478 0.5517 0.5557 0.5596
0.2 0.5793 0.5832 0.5871 0.5910 0.5948 0.5987
0.3 0.6179 0.6217 0.6255 0.6293 0.6331 0.6368
0.4 0.6554 0.6591 0.6628 0.6664 0.6700 0.6736
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05
0.5 0.6915 0.6950 0.6985 0.7019 0.7054 0.7086
0.6 0.7257 0.7291 0.7324 0.7357 0.7389 0.7422
0.7 0.7580 0.7611 0.7642 0.7673 0.7704 0.7734
0.8 0.7881 0.7910 0.7939 0.7967 0.7995 0.8023
0.9 0.8159 0.8186 0.8212 0.8238 0.8264 0.8289
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05
1.0 0.8413 0.8438 0.8461 0.8485 0.8508 0.8531
1.1 0.8643 0.8665 0.8686 0.8708 0.8729 0.8749
1.2 0.8849 0.8869 0.8888 0.8907 0.8925 0.8944
1.3 0.9032 0.9049 0.9066 0.9082 0.9099 0.9115
1.4 0.9192 0.9207 0.9222 0.9236 0.9251 0.9625
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05
1.5 0.9332 0.9345 0.9357 0.937 0.9382 0.9394
1.6 0.9452 0.9463 0.9474 0.9484 0.9495 0.9505
1.7 0.9554 0.9564 0.9573 0.9582 0.9591 0.9599
1.8 0.9641 0.9649 0.9656 0.9664 0.9671 0.9678
1.9 0.9713 0.9719 0.9726 0.9732 0.9738 0.9744
2.0 0.9772 0.9778 0.9783 0.9788 0.9793 0.9798
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05
2.1 0.9821 0.9826 0.9830 0.9834 0.9838 0.9842
2.2 0.9861 0.9864 0.9868 0.9871 0.9875 0.9878
2.3 0.9893 0.9896 0.9696 0.9901 0.9904 0.9906
2.4 0.9918 0.992 0.9922 0.9925 0.9927 0.9929
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05
2.5 0.9938 0.994 0.9941 0.9943 0.9945 0.9946
2.6 0.9953 0.9955 0.9956 0.9957 0.9959 0.9960
2.7 0.9965 0.9966 0.9967 0.9968 0.9969 0.9970
2.8 0.9974 0.9975 0.9976 0.9977 0.9977 0.9976
2.9 0.9981 0.9982 0.9982 0.9983 0.9984 0.9984
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05
3.0 0.9987 0.9987 0.9987 0.9988 0.9988 0.9989
3.1 0.9990 0.9991 0.9991 0.9991 0.9992 0.9992
3.2 0.9993 0.9993 0.9994 0.9994 0.9994 0.9994
3.3 0.9995 0.9995 0.9995 0.9996 0.9996 0.9996
3.4 0.9997 0.9997 0.9997 0.9997 0.9997 0.9997
ah Kurva Normal

0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09

0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.0002
0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0003
0.0006 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005
0.0008 0.0008 0.0007 0.0007
0.0011 0.0011 0.0010 0.0010
0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
0.0015 0.0015 0.0014 0.0014
0.0021 0.0021 0.0020 0.0019
0.0029 0.0028 0.0027 0.0026
0.0039 0.0038 0.0037 0.0036
0.0052 0.0051 0.0049 0.0048
0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
0.0069 0.0068 0.0066 0.0064
0.0091 0.0089 0.0087 0.0084
0.0119 0.0116 0.0113 0.0110
0.0154 0.015 0.0146 0.0143
0.0197 0.0192 0.0188 0.0183
0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
0.0250 0.0244 0.0239 0.0233
0.0314 0.0307 0.0301 0.0294
0.0392 0.0384 0.0375 0.0367
0.0485 0.0475 0.0465 0.0455
0.0594 0.0582 0.0571 0.0559
0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
0.0722 0.0708 0.0694 0.0681
0.0869 0.0853 0.0838 0.0823
0.1038 0.102 0.1003 0.0985
0.1230 0.1210 0.1190 0.1170
0.1446 0.1423 0.1401 0.1379
0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
0.1685 0.1660 0.1635 0.1611
0.1949 0.1922 0.1894 0.1867
0.2236 0.2206 0.2177 0.2148
0.2546 0.2514 0.2483 0.2451
0.2877 0.2843 0.2810 0.2776
0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
0.3228 0.3192 0.3156 0.3121
0.3594 0.3557 0.3520 0.3483
0.3974 0.3936 0.3897 0.3859
0.4364 0.4325 0.7286 0.4247
0.4761 0.4721 0.4681 0.4641
0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
0.5239 0.5239 0.5319 0.5159
0.5636 0.5675 0.5714 0.5753
0.6026 0.6064 0.6103 0.6141
0.6406 0.6443 0.648 0.6517
0.6772 0.6808 0.6844 0.6879
0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
0.7123 0.7157 0.7190 0.7224
0.7454 0.7486 0.7517 0.7549
0.7764 0.7794 0.7823 0.7852
0.8051 0.8078 0.8106 0.8133
0.8315 0.834 0.8365 0.8389
0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
0.8554 0.8577 0.8599 0.8621
0.8770 0.8790 0.8810 0.8830
0.8962 0.8980 0.8997 0.9015
0.9131 0.9147 0.9162 0.9177
0.9278 0.9292 0.9306 0.9319
0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
0.9406 0.9418 0.9129 0.9441
0.9515 0.9525 0.9535 0.9545
0.9608 0.9616 0.9625 0.9633
0.9686 0.9693 0.9699 0.9706
0.9750 0.9756 0.9761 0.9767
0.9803 0.9808 0.9812 0.9817
0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
0.9846 0.9850 0.9854 0.9857
0.9881 0.9884 0.9887 0.9890
0.9909 0.9911 0.9913 0.9916
0.9931 0.9932 0.9934 0.9936
0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
0.9948 0.9949 0.9951 0.9952
0.9971 0.9972 0.9973 0.9974
0.9971 0.9972 0.9973 0.9974
0.9979 0.9979 0.9980 0.9981
0.9985 0.9985 0.9986 0.9986
0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
0.9989 0.9989 0.9990 0.9990
0.9992 0.9992 0.9993 0.9993
0.9994 0.9995 0.9995 0.9995
0.9996 0.9996 0.9996 0.9997
0.9997 0.9997 0.9997 0.9998
 Tabel 4.23. Resume Hasil Uji Smirnov-Kolmogorov

Metode Distribusi Dmax Kondisi Do(5%) Keterangan

Gumbel -0.067 < 5.991 Diterima

Normal 0.698 < 5.991 Diterima
Log Pearson Type III -0.065 < 5.991 Diterima
Dmax diterima adalah Metode Gumbel

Sumber : Perhitungan
 Rekapitulasi Hasil Perhitungan Curah Hujan

Periode Ulang Hujan Rancangan ( mm )

No. (Tahun) Metode Metode Metode
Gumbel Normal Log Pearson Type III
1 2 66.34 68.30 68.26
2 5 83.58 80.43 80.80
3 10 95.00 86.79 87.28
4 25 109.42 91.99 94.01
5 50 120.12 97.91 98.17
6 100 130.75 101.96 101.90
7 200 141.33 105.57 105.15
8 1000 165.84 112.94 111.63
UJI SMIRNOV KOLMOGOROF
D Maximum, D Max -0.067 0.698 -0.065
Derajat Signifikansi 5.000 5.000 5.000
D Kritis 5.991 5.991 5.991
HIPOTESA DITERIMA DITERIMA DITERIMA
UJI CHI SQUARE
Chi - Square hitung 5.34 3.14 3.14
Chi - Square kritis 5.99 5.99 5.99
Derajat Bebas 2.00 2.00 2.00
Derajat Signifikansi 5.00 5.00 5.00
HIPOTESA DITERIMA DITERIMA DITERIMA
Sumber : Perhitungan
180
160
140
Hujan Rancangan (mm)

120
100
80
60
40
20
0
2 5 10 25 50 100 200 1000
Kala Ulang
 Normal Gumbel Log Pearson III
No Urut data
Hasil Simpangan² Hasil Simpangan² Hasil Simpangan²
1 95.00 87.14 61.82 96.53 2.33 79.47 241.14
2 78.00 81.07 9.42 85.20 51.83 74.80 10.25
3 76.00 77.16 1.35 78.17 4.73 72.19 14.49
4 74.00 73.09 0.83 72.85 1.33 70.40 12.95
5 72.00 69.74 5.09 68.38 13.08 69.04 8.76
6 67.00 67.10 0.01 64.38 6.85 67.95 0.90
7 66.00 63.61 5.71 60.59 29.25 67.04 1.08
8 60.00 59.89 0.01 56.78 10.34 66.26 39.21
9 51.00 56.29 27.94 52.65 2.73 65.58 212.66
10 44.00 49.36 28.68 47.46 11.99 64.98 440.23
11 Err:509 Err:509 Err:509 Err:509 Err:509 Err:509 Err:509
12 Err:509 Err:509 Err:509 Err:509 Err:509 Err:509 Err:509
Rata2 Err:509
JUMLAH Err:509 Err:509 Err:509 Err:509 Err:509 Err:509
NILAI R Err:509 Err:509 Err:509

Hujan Rencana Terpilih

Tr (thn) YTr RTr (mm)

2.00 0.37 66.34

5.00 1.50 83.58
10.00 2.25 95.00
25.00 3.20 109.42
50.00 3.90 120.12
100.00 4.60 130.75
200.00 5.30 141.33
1000.00 6.91 165.84
(Qi-Qrata)^2
Err:509 159.29
Err:509 141.94
Err:509 132.68
Err:509 126.47
Err:509 121.86
Err:509 118.22
Err:509 115.23
Err:509 112.69
Err:509 110.51
Err:509 108.59
Err:509 106.88
Err:509

Err:509
 Standar Syarat Hasil Hitungan
Jenis Sebaran
Deviasi Cs Ck Cs Ck
Normal 0 3
Log Normal 0.763 3
14.445684 0.02 2.53
Log Pearson III 0 3.873
Gumbel < 1.1396 < 5.4002

t I
5 9.91
10 6.24 Tc
15 4.76 11.2378829484 menit Lengkung Inten
20 3.93 0.1872980491 jam
25 3.39 I 15.00
30 3.00 5.8768451348 mm/jam
35 2.71 0.0058768451 m/jam

Intensitas Hujan (mm/jam)

40 2.48
10.00
45 2.29
50 2.14
55 2.00
60 1.89 5.00
65 1.79
70 1.71
75 1.63
80 1.56 0.00
85 1.50 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40
90 1.44 Durasi Hujan (menit)
95 1.39
100 1.34
105 1.30
110 1.26
115 1.23
120 1.19
125 1.16
130 1.13
135 1.10
140 1.07
145 1.05
150 1.03
155 1.00
160 0.98
165 0.96
170 0.94
175 0.93
180 0.91
185 0.89
190 0.88
195 0.86
200 0.85
205 0.83
210 0.82
215 0.81
220 0.80
225 0.78
230 0.77
235 0.76
240 0.75
245 0.74
250 0.73
255 0.72
260 0.71
265 0.70
270 0.69
275 0.69
280 0.68
285 0.67
290 0.66
295 0.65
300 0.65
305 0.64
310 0.63
315 0.63
320 0.62
325 0.61
330 0.61
335 0.60
340 0.59
345 0.59
350 0.58
355 0.58
360 0.57
 Kesimpulan
TIDAK OK
TIDAK OK
TIDAK OK
OK DIGUNAKAN

Lengkung Intensitas Hujan

Lengkung Intensitas Hujan

5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55
Durasi Hujan (menit)