DAFTAR ISI

Halaman
HALAMAN JUDUL............................................................................. i
PERNYATAAN ORIGINALITAS DAN PUBLIKASI..................... ii
LEMBAR PENGESAHAN ................................................................. iii
ABSTRAKSI.......................................................................................... iv
ABSTRACT........................................................................................... v
KATA PENGANTAR ......................................................................... vi
DAFTAR ISI ........................................................................................ viii
DAFTAR GAMBAR............................................................................. xii
DAFTAR TABEL.................................................................................. xiv

1. PENDAHULUAN........................................................................... 1
1.1. Latar Belakang ......................................................................... 1
1.2. Rumusan Masalah..................................................................... 3
1.3. Batasan Masalah........................................................................ 3
1.4. Tujuan Penelitian ..................................................................... 4
1.5. Metode Penelitian...................................................................... 5
1.6. Sistematika Penulisan................................................................ 6

2. TINJAUAN PUSTAKA................................................................. 7
2.1. Kajian Penelitian........................................................................ 7
2.2. Industri Pengolahan.................................................................... 13
2.2.1. Klasifikasi Industri ........................................................... 13
2.2.2 Kegiatan Ekspor dan Impor ............................................... 15
2.3 Peramalan ................................................................................... 16
2.3.1 Metode Monte Carlo ......................................................... 16
2.3.2 Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) ....................... 18

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 2.4 HTML ....................................................................................... 19
2.5 CSS ............................................................................................. 19
2.6 Javascript ................................................................................... 20
2.6.1 JQuery ............................................................................... 21
2.6.2 JSON ................................................................................. 21
2.7 Python ......................................................................................... 22
2.7.1 Tipe Data ........................................................................ 22
2.7.2 Operator .......................................................................... 22
2.7.3 Percabangan ................................................................... 24
2.7.4 Perulangan ...................................................................... 25
2.8 Framework Django .................................................................... 25
2.9 XAMPP ...................................................................................... 26
2.10 MySQL ..................................................................................... 27
2.11 Flowchart ................................................................................. 27
2.12 Struktur Navigasi ...................................................................... 28

3. METODE PENELITIAN.............................................................. 31
3.1. Data Input................................................................................... 31
3.2. Metode Monte Carlo.................................................................. 32
3.3. Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE)................................ 36
3.5 Persentase Kenaikan ................................................................... 37
3.5 Perancangan Sistem .................................................................... 38
3.5.1 Perancangan Database ................................................... 38
3.5.2 Struktur Navigasi ............................................................ 45
3.5.3. Perancangan Tampilan .................................................. 46
3.5.3.1 Rancangan Halaman Register ........................... 46
3.5.3.2 Rancangan Halaman Login ............................... 47
3.5.3.3 Rancangan Halaman Dashboard ...................... 47
3.5.3.4 Rancangan Halaman Data Ekspor dan Data
Impor ................................................................. 48
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 3.5.3.5 Rancangan Halaman Simulasi Peramalan
Ekspor dan Impor .............................................. 49
3.5.3.6 Rancangan Halaman Perbandingan Simulasi
Peramalan .......................................................... 50
3.5.3.7 Rancangan Halaman Rincian Simulasi
Peramalan .......................................................... 51
3.5.3.8 Rancangan Halaman Master Data .................... 51
3.5.3.9 Rancangan Halaman Tambah Data ................... 53
3.6 Pengkodean Web........................................................................ 54
3.6.1 Membuat Koneksi Database ........................................... 54
3.6.2 Membuat Script Peramalan .............................................. 54
3.6.3 Membuat Script Tambah Data ......................................... 59
3.7 Hosting Website Peramalan ...................................................... 60

4. IMPLEMENTASI DAN UJI COBA............................................ 63

4.1. Tampilan Hasil ......................................................................... 63
4.1.1 Halaman Login ................................................................. 63
4.1.2 Halaman Register ............................................................. 63
4.1.3 Halaman Dashboard ........................................................ 64
4.1.4 Halaman Data Ekspor dan Data Impor ............................ 65
4.1.5 Halaman Simulasi Peramalan Ekspor dan Impor ............ 66
4.1.6 Halaman Perbandingan Simulasi Peramalan ................... 67
4.1.7 Halaman Rincian Simulasi Peramalan ............................. 68
4.1.8 Halaman Master Data ...................................................... 69
4.1.9 Halaman Tambah Data .................................................... 70
4.2 Uji Coba .................................................................................... 71
4.2.1 Kebutuhan Website Peramalan ........................................ 71
4.2.2 Pengujian Sistem .............................................................. 72

5. KESIMPULAN DAN SARAN...................................................... 80

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 5.1. Kesimpulan............................................................................... 80
5.2. Saran.......................................................................................... 81

DAFTAR PUSTAKA............................................................................ 83
LAMPIRAN........................................................................................... L-1

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