TP (12) - Special Prob. Dist (DISCRETE 4 - Poisson, Multinomial, Hipergeometrik Multivariat)
TP (12) - Special Prob. Dist (DISCRETE 4 - Poisson, Multinomial, Hipergeometrik Multivariat)
nurul.fitriyani@unram.ac.id
(cont.)
PROBABILITY THEORY NF - 2022 1
1. Distribusi Seragam (Uniform) Diskrit
2. Distribusi Bernoulli
3. Distribusi Binomial
6. Distribusi Hipergeometrik
7. Distribusi Poisson
8. Distribusi Multinomial
𝑛→∞
𝜃→0
𝑛𝜃 = 𝜆 konstan
𝒑 𝒙; 𝝀 = lim 𝑏 𝑥; 𝑛, 𝜃
𝑛→∞
−𝜆
−𝑛/𝜆 −𝑥
𝜆𝑥 1 2 𝑥−1 𝜆 𝜆
= lim 1− ∙ 1− ∙ ⋯ ∙ 1− ∙ 1− ∙ 1−
𝑥! 𝑛→∞ 𝑛 𝑛 𝑛 𝑛 𝑛
−𝜆
−𝑛/𝜆 −𝑥
𝜆𝑥 1 2 𝑥−1 𝜆 𝜆
= lim 1− ∙ 1− ∙ ⋯ ∙ 1− ∙ lim 1− ∙ lim 1 −
𝑥! 𝑛→∞ 𝑛 𝑛 𝑛 𝑛→∞ 𝑛 𝑛→∞ 𝑛
−𝑛/𝜆 −𝜆 −𝑥
𝜆𝑥 1 2 𝑥−1 𝜆 𝜆
= lim 1− ∙ 1− ∙ ⋯ ∙ 1− ∙ lim 1 − ∙ lim 1 −
𝑥! 𝑛→∞ 𝑛 𝑛 𝑛 𝑛→∞ 𝑛 𝑛→∞ 𝑛
𝜆𝑥
= ∙ 1 ∙ 𝑒 −𝜆 ∙ 1
𝑥!
𝝀𝒙 ∙ 𝒆−𝝀
=
𝒙!
PROBABILITY THEORY NF - 2022 8
✓ Distribusi ini dinamai berdasarkan nama penemunya, yaitu seorang
𝝀𝒙 ∙ 𝒆−𝝀
𝒑 𝒙; 𝝀 = 𝑢𝑛𝑡𝑢𝑘 𝑥 = 0,1,2, …
𝒙!
Jadi,
𝑷 𝑿 ≤ 𝟏 = 𝑝 0; 0.8 + 𝑝 1; 0.8
𝝁=𝜆
𝝈𝟐 = 𝜆
𝝁 = 𝐸 𝑋 = 𝑥 ∙ 𝑓 𝑥
𝑥
=⋯
=⋯
=𝝀 ∎
= 𝑥2 ∙ 𝑓 𝑥 − 𝝀 2
=⋯
=𝝀 ∎
𝝀 𝒆𝒕 −𝟏
𝑴𝑿 𝒕 = 𝒆
𝑴𝑿 𝒕 = 𝐸 𝑒 𝑡𝑋 = 𝑒 𝑡𝑥 ∙ 𝑓 𝑥
𝑥
=⋯
=⋯
𝝀 𝒆𝒕 −𝟏
=𝒆 ∎
PROBABILITY THEORY NF - 2022 18
Jangan lupa coba-coba latihan gengs!! ☺
(cont.)
PROBABILITY THEORY NF - 2022 20
1. Distribusi Seragam (Uniform) Diskrit
2. Distribusi Bernoulli
3. Distribusi Binomial
6. Distribusi Hipergeometrik
7. Distribusi Poisson
8. Distribusi Multinomial
distribusi MULTINOMIAL.
𝒏 𝒙 𝒙 𝒙
𝒇 𝒙𝟏 , 𝒙𝟐 , … , 𝒙𝒌 ; 𝒏, 𝜽𝟏 , 𝜽𝟐 , … , 𝜽𝒌 = 𝒙 , 𝒙 , … , 𝒙 ∙ 𝜽𝟏𝟏 ∙ 𝜽𝟐𝟐 ∙ ⋯ ∙ 𝜽𝒌𝒌
𝟏 𝟐 𝒌
untuk 𝑥𝑖 = 0,1,2, … , 𝑛
𝑛 𝑛!
𝑥1 , 𝑥2 , … , 𝑥𝑘 = 𝑥1 ! ∙ 𝑥2 ! ∙ ⋯ ∙ 𝑥𝑘 !
Jadi,
8! 5 2 1
𝒇 𝟓, 𝟐, 𝟏; 𝟖, 𝟎. 𝟓, 𝟎. 𝟑, 𝟎. 𝟐 = 0.5 ∙ 0.3 ∙ 0.2
5! ∙ 2! ∙ 1!
= 𝟎. 𝟎𝟗𝟒𝟓
𝝁𝑿𝒊 = 𝑛𝜃𝑖
𝝁 𝑿𝒊 = 𝐸 𝑋 = 𝑥 ∙ 𝑓 𝑥
𝑥
=⋯
=⋯
= 𝒏𝜽𝒊 ∎
= 𝑥2 ∙ 𝑓 𝑥 − 𝒏𝜽𝒊 2
=⋯
= 𝒏𝜽𝒊 𝟏 − 𝒏𝜽𝒊 ∎
𝑴 𝒕𝟏 , 𝒕𝟐 , … , 𝒕𝒌−𝟏 = 𝐸 𝑒 𝑡𝑋 = 𝑒 𝑡𝑥 ∙ 𝑓 𝑥
𝑥
=⋯
=⋯
2. Distribusi Bernoulli
3. Distribusi Binomial
6. Distribusi Hipergeometrik
7. Distribusi Poisson
8. Distribusi Multinomial
o 𝑎1 elemen kategori 1
o 𝑎𝑘 elemen kategori 𝑘.
𝒙𝟏 𝒙𝟐 … 𝒙𝒌
𝒂𝟏 𝒂𝟐 … 𝒂𝒌
𝒂𝟏 𝒂𝟐 𝒂𝒌
𝒙𝟏 𝒙𝟐 ∙ ⋯ ∙ 𝒙𝒌
𝒇 𝒙𝟏 , 𝒙𝟐 , … , 𝒙𝒌 ; 𝒏, 𝒂𝟏 , 𝒂𝟐 , … , 𝒂𝒌 =
𝑵
𝒏
untuk 𝑥𝑖 = 0,1,2, … , 𝑛 dan 𝑥𝑖 ≤ 𝑎𝑖
𝑁 = 20, 𝑛 = 12
Jadi,
6 3 7 4
𝒇 𝟒, 𝟏, 𝟓, 𝟐; 𝟏𝟐, 𝟔, 𝟑, 𝟕, 𝟒 = 4 1 5 2 = 𝟎. 𝟎𝟒𝟓
20
12
PROBABILITY THEORY NF - 2022 41
Jangan lupa coba-coba latihan gengs!! ☺