Analisis Potensi Kebangkrutan Altman Z-Score
Analisis Potensi Kebangkrutan Altman Z-Score
Disusun Oleh :
Batasan Masalah
• Potensi kebangkrutan perusahaan manufaktur yang bergerak di
sektor otomotif periode 2006-2008.
Tujuan Penelitian
Retained Earning to
Total Assets
Potensi
Earning Before Interest Kebangkrutan
and Tax to Total Assets Altman Z-Score
• Objek Penelitian
Enam Perusahaan Manufaktur Sektor Otomotif
2006 2007
Koefisien (Nilai Rasio) * Koefisien (Nilai Rasio) *
Variabel Nilai Rasio Variabel Nilai Rasio
Z-Score (Koefisien) Z-Score (Koefisien)
X1 0.182 1.2 0.218 X1 0.263 1.2 0.315
X2 0.458 1.4 0.641 X2 0.513 1.4 0.718
X3 0.140 3.3 0.463 X3 0.176 3.3 0.581
X4 2.114 0.6 1.268 X4 2.342 0.6 1.405
X5 1.114 1 1.114 X5 1.211 1 1.211
Overall Indeks Z-Score 3.704 Overall Indeks Z-Score 4.231
2008
Koefisien (Nilai Rasio) *
Variabel Nilai Rasio
Z-Score (Koefisien)
X1 0.249 1.2 0.298
X2 0.558 1.4 0.781
X3 0.200 3.3 0.659
X4 2.266 0.6 1.360
X5 1.341 1 1.341
Overall Indeks Z-Score 4.439
P.T. GOODYEAR INDONESIA Tbk.
2006 2007
Koefisien (Nilai Rasio) * Koefisien (Nilai Rasio) *
Variabel Nilai Rasio Variabel Nilai Rasio
Z-Score (Koefisien) Z-Score (Koefisien)
X1 0.375 1.2 0.450 X1 0.148 1.2 0.177
X2 0.528 1.4 0.739 X2 0.446 1.4 0.624
X3 0.081 3.3 0.269 X3 0.106 3.3 0.350
X4 1.559 0.6 0.935 X4 1.903 0.6 1.142
X5 2.160 1 2.160 X5 1.878 1 1.878
Overall Indeks Z-Score 4.553 Overall Indeks Z-Score 4.171
2008
Koefisien (Nilai Rasio) *
Variabel Nilai Rasio
Z-Score (Koefisien)
X1 0.143 1.2 0.171
X2 0.250 1.4 0.350
X3 0.011 3.3 0.037
X4 0.283 0.6 0.170
X5 1.217 1 1.217
Overall Indeks Z-Score 1.946
P.T. INDOMOBIL SUKSES INTERNASIONAL Tbk.
2006 2007
Koefisien (Nilai Rasio) * Koefisien (Nilai Rasio) *
Variabel Nilai Rasio Variabel Nilai Rasio
Z-Score (Koefisien) Z-Score (Koefisien)
X1 -0.026 1.2 -0.031 X1 -0.107 1.2 -0.129
X2 -0.090 1.4 -0.126 X2 -0.081 1.4 -0.113
X3 0.004 3.3 0.014 X3 0.029 3.3 0.095
X4 0.186 0.6 0.112 X4 0.310 0.6 0.186
X5 0.658 1 0.658 X5 1.036 1 1.036
Overall Indeks Z-Score 0.627 Overall Indeks Z-Score 1.075
2008
Koefisien (Nilai Rasio) *
Variabel Nilai Rasio
Z-Score (Koefisien)
X1 -0.056 1.2 -0.067
X2 -0.067 1.4 -0.094
X3 0.055 3.3 0.182
X4 0.233 0.6 0.140
X5 1.469 1 1.469
Overall Indeks Z-Score 1.631
P.T. MULTI PRIMA SEJAHTERA Tbk.
2006 2007
Koefisien (Nilai Rasio) * Koefisien (Nilai Rasio) *
Variabel Nilai Rasio Variabel Nilai Rasio
Z-Score (Koefisien) Z-Score (Koefisien)
X1 -0.084 1.2 -0.101 X1 0.297 1.2 0.356
X2 -0.523 1.4 -0.732 X2 -0.279 1.4 -0.391
X3 0.004 3.3 0.012 X3 0.164 3.3 0.541
X4 0.270 0.6 0.162 X4 0.554 0.6 0.332
X5 0.269 1 0.269 X5 0.353 1 0.353
Overall Indeks Z-Score -0.391 Overall Indeks Z-Score 1.191
2008
Koefisien (Nilai Rasio) *
Variabel Nilai Rasio
Z-Score (Koefisien)
X1 0.160 1.2 0.192
X2 -0.186 1.4 -0.261
X3 0.061 3.3 0.201
X4 0.280 0.6 0.168
X5 0.324 1 0.324
Overall Indeks Z-Score 0.624
P.T. NIPRESS Tbk.
2006 2007
Koefisien (Nilai Rasio) * Koefisien (Nilai Rasio) *
Variabel Nilai Rasio Variabel Nilai Rasio
Z-Score (Koefisien) Z-Score (Koefisien)
X1 0.034 1.2 0.040 X1 0.030 1.2 0.035
X2 -0.060 1.4 -0.084 X2 -0.046 1.4 -0.065
X3 0.117 3.3 0.385 X3 0.073 3.3 0.242
X4 0.196 0.6 0.117 X4 0.151 0.6 0.090
X5 1.181 1 1.181 X5 1.398 1 1.398
Overall Indeks Z-Score 1.639 Overall Indeks Z-Score 1.701
2008
Koefisien (Nilai Rasio) *
Variabel Nilai Rasio
Z-Score (Koefisien)
X1 0.019 1.2 0.023
X2 -0.036 1.4 -0.051
X3 0.058 3.3 0.192
X4 0.174 0.6 0.104
X5 1.478 1 1.478
Overall Indeks Z-Score 1.746
P.T. PRIMA ALLOY STEEL Tbk.
2006 2007
Koefisien (Nilai Rasio) * Koefisien (Nilai Rasio) *
Variabel Nilai Rasio Variabel Nilai Rasio
Z-Score (Koefisien) Z-Score (Koefisien)
X1 0.053 1.2 0.064 X1 0.033 1.2 0.040
X2 0.049 1.4 0.069 X2 0.059 1.4 0.082
X3 0.013 3.3 0.044 X3 0.024 3.3 0.078
X4 0.113 0.6 0.068 X4 0.181 0.6 0.108
X5 1.258 1 1.258 X5 1.212 1 1.212
Overall Indeks Z-Score 1.502 Overall Indeks Z-Score 1.521
2008
Koefisien (Nilai Rasio) *
Variabel Nilai Rasio
Z-Score (Koefisien)
X1 0.006 1.2 0.007
X2 0.031 1.4 0.043
X3 -0.010 3.3 -0.032
X4 0.169 0.6 0.102
X5 0.740 1 0.740
Overall Indeks Z-Score 0.859
Kesimpulan