d =
d1 + d2 + d3 + ... + dn
n
No.
Tahun
Pos 1
Pos 2
Pos 3
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
97.62
87.9
48.24
23.23
36.75
26.37
79.23
95.98
57.84
9.28
45.48
71.71
54.19
20.79
34.77
56.36
48.3
83.06
55.35
53.92
80.2
33.49
22.67
53.19
51.5
43.25
34.69
42.63
82.18
6.53
30.69
32.64
51.84
12.61
5.27
24.15
30.92
88.03
55.86
73.82
43.16
86.25
70.16
71.83
21.45
0.31
65.01
47.23
25.42
63.02
24.28
8.59
75.11
11.29
75.83
80.55
30.36
73.94
2.07
48.37
56.23
1.15
63.86
9.83
39.59
79.59
47.247
47.133
54.917
37.903
32.287
44.007
61.897
37.033
54.547
17.737
57.717
54.957
29.940
39.627
22.587
64.253
53.463
52.677
54.123
50.000
63.317
61.637
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
1
36
25
12
11
10.5
9.5
8.5
7.5
6.5
5.5
4.6
4.2
3.85
3.4
5.6
12
Jumlah
2.55
2
1.5
0.9
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.9
1.5
2
2.5
3.1
5.6
2.55
24
16.5
9.45
5.7
4.25
3
5.85
8.25
9.2
10.5
11.935
19.04
14.28
0
141.955
28.05
21
14.25
7.65
4.5
3.25
2.2
4.14
6.3
7.7
8.5
17.36
67.2
0
192.10
A1 =
A - B
2
141,955
192,10
2
25,072
5
25,0725
cm
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
5.1
6
7
8
9
10
10.8
11.5
12.1
12.8
12.8
12.9
12.8
9.15
9.3
9.4
9.5
9.25
8.4
7.5
6.7
6
5
4.5
4
3.5
47.43
56.4
66.5
74
75.6
75
72.36
69
60.5
57.6
51.2
45.15
38.4
54.9
65.1
75.2
85.5
92.5
90.72
86.25
81.07
76.8
64
58.05
51.2
43.75
24
25
36
11
A2 =
12.5
12
5.6
5.1
Jumlah
A - B
2
3
2.55
5.6
9.15
939,455
1003,88
2
31.875
67.2
51.24
0
939.455
36
14.28
28.56
0
1003.88
32,212
5
32,2125
cm
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
36
1
3.4
2.7
2
1
0.55
0.4
1
2
3
4
5.1
5.6
3.4
Jumlah
3.1
4
4.75
5
5.5
6.5
7.2
7.9
8.5
8.75
9.15
5.6
3.1
13.6
12.825
10
5.5
3.575
2.88
7.9
17
26.25
36.6
28.56
17.36
0
182.05
8.37
8
4.75
2.75
2.2
6.5
14.4
23.7
34
44.625
51.24
19.04
0
219.58
A3 =
A - B
2
182,05
219,58
2
18,762
5
18,7625
cm
A1 . d1 + A2 . d2 + A3 . d3 + ... + An . dn
A1 + A2 + A3 + ... + An
A1
= 250.725.000 mm
A2
= 322.125.000 mm
A3
= 187.625.000 mm
Atotal = 760.475.000 mm
No
.
Tah
un
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
10
1989
11
1990
12
1991
13
1992
14
1993
15
1994
16
1995
17
1996
18
1997
Pos
1
97.6
2
87.9
48.2
4
23.2
3
36.7
5
26.3
7
79.2
3
95.9
8
57.8
4
9.28
45.4
8
71.7
1
54.1
9
20.7
9
34.7
7
56.3
6
48.3
83.0
6
Pos
2
22.6
7
53.1
9
51.5
43.2
5
34.6
9
42.6
3
82.1
8
6.53
30.6
9
32.6
4
51.8
4
12.6
1
5.27
24.1
5
30.9
2
88.0
3
55.8
6
73.8
2
Pos
3
21.4
5
0.31
65.0
1
47.2
3
25.4
2
63.0
2
24.2
8
8.59
75.1
1
11.2
9
75.8
3
80.5
5
30.3
6
73.9
4
2.07
48.3
7
56.2
3
1.15
A1.d1
A2.d2
A3.d3
24,475,774,
500
22,038,727,
500
12,094,974,
000
5,824,341,7
50
9,214,143,7
50
6,611,618,2
50
19,864,941,
750
24,064,585,
500
14,501,934,
000
2,326,728,0
00
11,402,973,
000
17,979,489,
750
13,586,787,
750
5,212,572,7
50
8,717,708,2
50
14,130,861,
000
12,110,017,
500
20,825,218,
500
7,302,573,7
50
17,133,828,
750
16,589,437,
500
13,931,906,
250
11,174,516,
250
13,732,188,
750
26,472,232,
500
2,103,476,2
50
9,886,016,2
50
10,514,160,
000
16,698,960,
000
4,061,996,2
50
1,697,598,7
50
7,779,318,7
50
9,960,105,0
00
28,356,663,
750
17,993,902,
500
23,779,267,
500
4,024,556,2
50
47.08
0
51.58
7
53.75
8
37.63
1
33.08
2
42.30
0
66.92
2
36.52
9
50.60
1
19.67
1
55.66
2
48.85
7
27.58
9
35.32
6
25.07
1
67.80
4
53.45
9
58.93
7
58,163,750
12,197,501,
250
8,861,528,7
50
4,769,427,5
00
11,824,127,
500
4,555,535,0
00
1,611,698,7
50
14,092,513,
750
2,118,286,2
50
14,227,603,
750
15,113,193,
750
5,696,295,0
00
13,872,992,
500
388,383,750
9,075,421,2
50
10,550,153,
750
215,768,750
19
1998
20
1999
21
2000
22
2001
55.3
5
53.9
2
80.2
33.4
9
43.1
6
86.2
5
70.1
6
71.8
3
63.8
6
9.83
39.5
9
79.5
9
13,877,628,
750
13,519,092,
000
20,108,145,
000
8,396,780,2
50
13,902,915,
000
27,783,281,
250
22,600,290,
000
23,138,238,
750
Tahun
Aritmat
ik
Thiesse
n
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
47.247
47.133
54.917
37.903
32.287
44.007
61.897
37.033
54.547
17.737
57.717
54.957
29.940
39.627
22.587
64.253
53.463
52.677
54.123
50.000
63.317
61.637
47.080
51.587
53.758
37.631
33.082
42.300
66.922
36.529
50.601
19.671
55.662
48.857
27.589
35.326
25.071
67.804
53.459
58.937
52.286
56.737
65.928
61.104
47.163
49.360
54.338
37.767
32.684
43.153
64.409
36.781
52.574
18.704
56.689
51.907
28.764
37.477
23.829
66.028
53.461
55.807
53.205
53.368
64.622
61.370
11,981,732,
500
1,844,353,7
50
7,428,073,7
50
14,933,073,
750
52.28
6
56.73
7
65.92
8
61.10
4
1. Metode Gumbel
No.
Tahu
n
xi
( mm )
(xxi )
( x - xi )
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
47.163
49.360
54.338
37.767
32.684
43.153
64.409
36.781
52.574
18.704
56.689
51.907
28.764
37.477
23.829
66.028
53.461
55.807
53.205
53.368
0.267
-1.930
-6.907
9.663
14.746
4.277
-16.979
10.649
-5.143
28.726
-9.259
-4.477
18.666
9.954
23.601
-18.598
-6.031
-8.377
-5.775
-5.938
0.071
3.725
47.712
93.368
217.437
18.292
288.298
113.395
26.456
825.204
85.733
20.042
348.407
99.073
557.010
345.899
36.372
70.171
33.346
35.262
21
22
1990
1991
Jumlah
T
5
25
100
64.622
61.370
1043.46
3
-17.192
-13.940
295.570
194.330
3755.17
5
YT
Yn
Sn
(xi / n)
(table 1)
47.430
1.4999
3.1985
(table 2)
Sx
(table 3)
0.5268
SX =
1.0754
KT
(X X )
( n 1)
13.372
4.6001
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0,4952
0,5236
0,5362
0,5436
0,5485
0,5521
0,5548
0,5569
0,5586
0,5600
Reduced Variate
0,5100 0,5128 0,5157
(Yt)
0,5296 0,5309 0,5320
0,5396 0,3665
0,5402 0,5410
0,5458 1,4999
0,5463 0,5468
0,5501 2,2502
0,5504 0,5508
0,5533 2,9702
0,5535 0,5538
0,5557 3,1985
0,5559 0,5561
0,5576 3,9019
0,5578 0,5580
0,5592 4,6001
0,5593 0,5595
5,2958
XT
Yt Yn
KT =
Sn
X T = X + K T .Sx
0.905
2.484
3.788
59.530
80.652
98.080
0,5181
0,5332
0,5418
0,5473
0,5511
0,5540
0,5563
0,5581
0,5596
0,5202
0,5343
0,5424
0,5477
0,5515
0,5543
0,5565
0,5583
0,5598
0,5520
0,5353
0,5430
0,5481
0,5518
0,5545
0,5567
0,5585
0,5579
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
0,9971
1,0811
1,1226
1,1480
1,1658
1,1782
1,1881
1,1959
1,2026
1,0095
1,0864
1,1255
1,1499
1,1667
1,1793
1,1890
1,1967
1,2032
1,0206
1,0915
1,1285
1,1519
1,1681
1,1803
1,1898
1,1973
1,2038
1,0316
1,0961
1,1313
1,1538
1,1696
1,1814
1,1903
1,1980
1,2044
1,0411
1,1044
1,1339
1,1557
1,1708
1,1824
1,1915
1,1987
1,2049
1,0493
1,1047
1,1363
1,1574
1,1721
1,1834
1,1923
1,1994
1,2055
1,0565
1,1056
1,1388
1,1590
1,1734
1,1844
1,1930
1,2001
1,2060
Tahun
1
1970
2
1971
3
1972
4
1973
5
1974
6
1975
7
1976
8
1977
9
1978
10
1979
11
1980
12
1981
13
1982
14
1983
15
1984
16
1985
17
1986
18
1987
19
1988
20
1989
21
1990
22
1991
Jumlah
xi
log xi
47.163
49.360
54.338
37.767
32.684
43.153
64.409
36.781
52.574
18.704
56.689
51.907
28.764
37.477
23.829
66.028
53.461
55.807
53.205
53.368
64.622
61.370
1.674
1.693
1.735
1.577
1.514
1.635
1.809
1.566
1.721
1.272
1.754
1.715
1.459
1.574
1.377
1.820
1.728
1.747
1.726
1.727
1.810
1.788
36.420
(log xi log x)
(log xi Log x)
(log xi - log
x)
0.018
0.038
0.080
-0.078
-0.141
-0.020
0.153
-0.090
0.065
-0.384
0.098
0.060
-0.197
-0.082
-0.278
0.164
0.073
0.091
0.070
0.072
0.155
0.132
0.0003
0.0014
0.0063
0.0061
0.0199
0.0004
0.0236
0.0081
0.0043
0.1471
0.0096
0.0036
0.0387
0.0067
0.0775
0.0270
0.0053
0.0083
0.0050
0.0052
0.0240
0.0176
0.4458
0.00001
0.00005
0.00050
-0.00048
-0.00281
-0.00001
0.00362
-0.00073
0.00028
-0.05642
0.00094
0.00021
-0.00760
-0.00055
-0.02157
0.00443
0.00038
0.00076
0.00035
0.00037
0.00372
0.00233
-0.07221
Cs
-1.2
-1.223
-1.4
G5
0.844
0.843
0.832
Cs
-1.2
-1.223
-1.4
Log x
T
Log X =
5
25
i =1
Cs
-1.2
-1.223
-1.4
Cs
Sx
Log X
G25
1.282
1.272
1.198
SX =
1.655
( Lo gX Lo gX )
( n 1)
0.146
CS =
n Log X i Log X
i =1
( n 1) ( n 2) ( Sx) 3
-1.223
100
G100
3.149
3.163
3.271
Log XT
XT
(table
interpola
si)
Lo g XT = Lo gX + G Sx
0.843
1.272
1.778
1.841
3.163
2.116
60.013
69.321
130.71
2
Skewness
Cs
3,0
2,5
2,2
2,0
1,8
1,6
1,4
1,2
1,0
0,9
0,8
0,7
0,6
0,5
0,4
0,3
0,2
0,1
0,0
Skewness
Cs
2
50
-0,396
-0,360
-0,330
-0,307
-0,282
-0,254
-0,225
-0,195
-0,164
-0,148
-0,132
-0,116
-0,099
-0,083
-0,066
-0,050
-0,033
-0,017
0,000
10
20
0,420
0,518
0,574
0,609
0,643
0,675
0,705
0,732
0,758
0,769
0,780
0,790
0,800
0,808
0,816
0,824
0,830
0,836
0,842
10
1,180
1,250
1,284
1,302
1,318
1,329
1,337
1,340
1,340
1,339
1,336
1,333
1,328
1,323
1,317
1,309
1,301
1,292
1,282
10
50
20
10
100
200
1000
1
4,051
3,845
3,705
3,605
3,499
3,388
3,271
3,149
3,022
2,957
2,891
2,824
2,755
2,686
2,615
2,544
2,472
2,400
2.326
0,5
4,970
4,652
4,444
4,298
4,147
3,990
3,828
3,661
3,489
3,401
3,312
3,223
3,132
3,041
2,949
2,856
2,763
2,670
2,576
0,1
7,250
6,600
6,200
5,910
5,660
5,390
5,110
4,820
4,540
4,395
4,250
4,105
3,960
3,815
3,670
3,525
3,380
3,235
3,090
200
1000
0,5
0,1
- 0,1
0,017
- 0,2
0,033
- 0,3
0,050
- 0,4
0,066
- 0,5
0,083
- 0,6
0,099
- 0,7
0,116
- 0,8
0,132
- 0,9
0,148
- 1,0
0,164
- 1,2
0,195
- 1,4
0,225
- 1,6
0,254
- 1,8
0,282
- 2,0
0,307
- 2,2
0,330
- 2,5
0,360
- 3,0
0,396
3. Metode Iwaii
0,836
0,850
0,853
0,855
0,856
0,857
0,857
0,856
0,854
0,852
0,844
0,832
0,817
0,799
0,777
0,752
0,711
0,636
1,270
1,258
1,245
1,231
1,216
1,200
1,183
1,166
1,147
1,128
1,086
1,041
0,994
0,945
0,895
0,844
0,771
0,660
1,761
1,680
1,643
1,606
1,567
1,528
1,488
1,448
1,407
1,366
1,282
1,198
1,116
1,035
0,959
0,888
0,793
0,666
No.
Tahun
xi
Log xi
xi + b
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
66.028
64.622
1.820
1.810
1.809
1.788
1.753
1.747
1.735
1.728
1.727
1.726
1.721
1.715
1.693
1.674
1.635
1.577
1.574
1.566
1.514
1.459
1.368
1.272
66.028
64.622
64.409
61.370
56.689
55.807
54.338
53.461
53.368
53.205
52.574
51.907
49.360
47.163
43.153
37.767
37.477
36.781
32.684
28.764
23.329
18.704
Jumlah
64.409
61.370
56.689
55.807
54.338
53.461
53.368
53.205
52.574
51.907
49.360
47.163
43.153
37.767
37.477
36.781
32.684
28.764
23.329
18.704
36.411
2,000
1,945
1,890
1,834
1,777
1,720
1,663
1,606
1,549
1,492
1,379
1,270
1,166
1,069
0,980
0,900
0,798
0,666
2,252
2,178
2,104
2,029
1,995
1,880
1,809
1,733
1,660
1,588
1,449
1,318
1,197
1,087
0,990
0,905
0,799
0,667
2,482
2,388
2,294
2,201
2,108
2,016
1,926
1,837
1,749
1,664
1,501
1,351
1,216
1,097
1,995
0,907
0,800
0,667
Log (xi +
b)
1.820
1.810
1.809
1.788
1.753
1.747
1.735
1.728
1.727
1.726
1.721
1.715
1.693
1.674
1.635
1.577
1.574
1.566
1.514
1.459
1.368
1.272
{Log (xi +
b)}
3.311
3.277
3.272
3.197
3.075
3.051
3.011
2.986
2.983
2.979
2.961
2.942
2.868
2.801
2.673
2.487
2.477
2.451
2.293
2.128
1.871
1.618
36.411
60.713
3,950
2,810
2,675
2,540
2,400
2,275
2,150
2,035
1,910
1,800
1,625
1,465
1,280
1,130
1,000
0,910
0,802
0,668
1 n
Log x 0 = Log x i =
n i =1
1.6550
x0
= 45.1907
xs
xt
xs . xt
xs +
xt
18.7
04
66.0
28
1234.987
712
84.73
2
23.3
29
64.6
22
1507.566
638
x0
(xs . xt) x0
2 x0
1 n
Log (x 0 + b)
n i =1
1.6550
1/T
1/5
1/25
1/10
0
(table
5)
0.595
1
1.237
9
1.645
0
bi
142.88
6
2042.1
90.3
97
81
87.95
-534.630
2.430
219.98
1
2
Jumlah
362.86
7
Jadi, b = bi/m = -362.867/2 = -181.4335 0
-807.209
X0 =
2 x0 - (xs
+ xt)
2
X =
1 n
{ Log (x i + b)} 2 = 2.7597
n i =1
1/c
Log ( x +
b)
= X0 +
(1/c)
x+b
0.123
1.778
60.033
60.033
0.257
1.912
81.585
81.585
0.341
1.996
99.080
99.080
W(x) = 1/T
W(x) = 1/T
500
400
300
250
0.00200
0.00250
0.00333
0.00400
2.0352
1.9840
1.9227
1.8753
30
25
20
15
0.03333
0.04000
0.05000
0.06667
1.2971
1.2379
1.1631
1.0614
5.649
200
150
100
80
60
50
40
0.00500
0.00667
0.01000
0.01250
0.01667
0.02000
0.02500
1.8214
1.7499
1.6450
1.5851
1.5049
1.4522
1.3859
10
8
5
4
3
2
0.10000
0.12500
0.20000
0.25000
0.33333
0.50000
0.9062
0.8134
0.5951
0.4769
0.3045
-