United Tractors
Bloomberg: UNTR.IJ | Reuters: UNTR.JK
Akhmad Nurcahyadi
+62 21 2854 8144
akhmad.nurcahyadi@samuel.co.id
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DISCLAIMERS: Analyst Certification: The views expressed in this research accurately reflect the personal views of the analyst(s) about the subject securities or issuers and no part of the compensation
of the analyst(s) was, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to the inclusion of specific recommendations or views in this research. The analyst(s) principally responsible for the preparation of this
research has taken reasonable care to achieve and maintain independence and objectivity in making any recommendations. This d ocument is for information only and for the use of the recipient. It is not
to be reproduced or copied or made available to others. Under no circumstances is it to be considered as an offer to sell or solicitation to buy any security. Any recommendation contained in this report
may not be suitable for all investors. Moreover, although the information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, its accuracy, completeness and reliability cannot be
guaranteed. All rights reserved by PT Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia.
Figure 1. UNTR CM segment volume sales (unit) Figure 5. UNTR MC segment volume sales
Construction Machinery Segment Komatsu sales volume (unit) Mining Contracting Segment OB (mn bcm) Coal getting (mn ton)
9,000 900 140
8,000 800
120
7,000 700
100
6,000 600
5,000 500 80
4,000 400 60
3,000 300
40
2,000 200
20
1,000 100
- 0 0
07A 08A 09A 10A 11A 12A 13A 14A 15A 16E 17E 07A 08A 09A 10A 11A 12A 13A 14A 15A 16E 17E
Figure 2. UNTR coal mining segment (000 ton) Figure 6. Komatsu Dec sales MoM and YoY (%)
Coal Mining Segment Coal mining (000 ton) Komatsu sales Komatsu Sales MoM (%) Komatsu Sales YoY (%)
6,000 120
100
5,000
80
4,000 60
40
3,000
20
2,000 0
Dec10 Dec11 Dec12 Dec13 Dec14 Dec15
-20
1,000
-40
- -60
07A 08A 09A 10A 11A 12A 13A 14A 15A 16E 17E
-80
Figure 3. Komatsu segment volume sales 4Q (units) Figure 7. UNTR machinery sales portion 7M (%)
Komatsu segment volume sales Komatsu Quarterly - QoQ Growth (%)
2,100 80
Mining (units) 1Q (%) 2Q (%)
1,800
60
Forestry (units)
3Q (%) 4Q (%)
1,500
40
Construction (units)
1,200
20
Agro (units)
900
0
600 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
300
-40
-
4Q09 4Q10 4Q11 4Q12 4Q13 4Q14 4Q15
-60
Figure 4. Komatsu quarterly - YoY (%) Figure 8. UNTR segment revenue portion (%)
Komatsu Quarterly - YoY Growth (%) Revenue portion (%) Cons Indust (%) Mining (%) MC (%) CM (%)
120 100%
1Q 2Q
100 90%
3Q 4Q
80 80%
70%
60
60%
40
50%
20
40%
0
30%
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
-20
20%
-40 10%
-60 0%
07A 08A 09A 10A 11A 12A 13A 14A 15A 16E 17E
-80
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Table 1. UNTR FY15 Result
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Key Financials
Profit and Loss Cash Flow
Rpbn 14A 15E 16E 17E Yr-end Dec (Rp bn) 14A 15E 16E 17E
Revenue 53,142 49,348 42,915 43,656 Net income 5,362 3,853 5,224 5,504
COGS (41,071) (37,645) (33,569) (33,962) Depreciation & amort. 2,963 3,580 4,472 5,213
Gross profit 12,070 11,703 9,346 9,695 Others (275) 1 (995) (156)
Gross margin (%) 22.7 23.7 21.8 22.2 Working capital (1,303) 2,121 112 (421)
Operating profit 8,855 8,587 6,364 6,855 Operating cash flow 6,747 9,555 8,813 10,140
Operating margin (%) 16.7 17.4 14.8 15.7 Net - Capital expenditure 865 1,675 (1,234) (4,108)
EBITDA 11,819 12,166 10,836 12,068 Investing cash flow (142) 692 (584) (4,988)
EBITDA margin (%) 22.2 24.7 25.2 27.6 Net - Borrowings (1,507) (810) (677) (17)
Other income (expenses) (2,404) (4,481) 537 505 Other financing (2,974) (4,083) (2,081) (2,586)
Pre-tax profit 6,507 4,193 6,989 7,448 Financing cash flow (4,481) (4,893) (2,757) (2,603)
Income tax - net (1,675) (1,400) (2,194) (2,487) Net - Cash flow 2,124 5,353 5,472 2,549
Net profit 5,362 3,853 5,224 5,504 Cash at beginning 7,936 10,060 15,413 20,885
Net profit margin (%) 10.1 7.8 12.2 12.6 Cash at ending 10,060 15,413 20,885 23,435
35.6% 5.4%
Yr-end Dec (Rp bn) 14A 15E 16E 17E Yr-end Dec (Rp bn) 14A 15E 16E 17E
Cash & ST Investment 10,060 15,413 20,885 23,435 ROE (%) 14.64 10.16 12.67 12.46
Receivables 13,587 12,170 10,993 11,199 ROA (%) 8.89 6.24 8.74 8.78
Inventories 7,770 8,328 7,013 7,151 Revenue growth (%) 10.9 -28.1 35.6 5.4
Others 2,163 3,036 2,336 2,539 EPS growth (%) 10.9 -28.1 35.6 5.4
Total current assets 33,580 38,947 41,227 44,325 Interest coverage (x) 42.6 37.6 33.4 36.2
Net fixed assets 22,774 17,519 14,280 13,176 Debt to equity (%) 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Other assets 3,953 4,937 4,287 5,166 Net gearing (%) net cash net cash net cash net cash
ST. debt and curr. maturity 1,323 1,169 921 936 14A 15E 16E 17E
Other current liabilities 2,350 3,224 1,530 1,576 Komatsu sales volume (units) 3513 2124 1985 2054
LT. debt 2,109 1,453 1,024 992 Coal production (mn tons) 119.4 109.0 97.7 102.2
Other long term liabilities 3,370 2,678 2,655 2,917 Overburden removal (mn bcm) 806 767 659 665
Total liabilities 21,777 22,411 17,637 17,852 Coal sales volume (mn tons) 5,672 4,626 4,877 5,023
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Research Team
Andy Ferdinand, CFA M. Makky Dandytra, CSA, CFTe Rangga Cipta
Head Of Equity Research Technical Analyst Economist
Strategy, Banking, Consumer Indices, Equities, Commodities, +6221 2854 8396
+6221 2854 8148 Currencies, Fixed Income rangga.cipta@samuel.co.id
andy.ferdinand@samuel.co.id +6221 2854 8382
makky.dandytra@samuel.co.id
James Wihardja
Equity Sales
+6221 2854 8397
james.wihardja@samuel.co.id
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