PRODUK: MOBIL MAINAN TAMIYA MINI 4WD

Tabel 1. Data Permintaan Tahun 2018/2019

BULAN DEMAND
1 3998 3998
2 4192 4192
3 4444 4444
4 3671 3671
5 3958 3958
6 3609 3609
7 4073 4073
8 3243 3243
9 4101 4101
10 3215 3215
11 3007 3007
12 4253 4253
13 3038 3038
14 4457 4457
15 3871 3871
16 4144 4144
17 4069 4069
18 3566 3566
19 3585 3585
20 4313 4313
21 4062 4062
22 4305 4305
23 3948 3948
24 4138 4138
3886

Tabel 4. Jumlah Hari Kerja Setiap Bulan 2019

No Bulan Jumlah Hari Kerja
1 Januari 22
2 Februari 20
3 Maret 22
4 April 21
5 Mei 23
6 Juni 21
7 Juli 22
8 Agustus 23
9 September 20
10 Oktober 23
11 Nopember 22
12 Desember 21
Tabel 4. Status Persediaan, Schedule Receipt dan lain-lain
Status Persediaan

No Nama Komponen Deskripsi Qty

1 Assembly Assy 1
2 Bottom Bottom 1
3 Cover Cover 1
4 Assembly VI Assy 1
5 Stiker Stiker 1
6 Assembly II Assy II 1
7 Guide Wheel GW 1
8 Baut M1 Baut 4
9 Assembly III Assy III 4
10 Spie Spie 1
11 Switch Belakang SW.B 1
12 Baterai Baterai 2
13 Penutup Baterai P. Baterai 2
14 Assembly IV Assy IV 1
15 Switch depan Sw.D 1
16 Ass Depan As.D 2
17 Assembly V Assy V 1
18 Penutup As depan P.As.D 1
19 Fitting Fitting 1
20 Ass Belakang As.B 1
21 Gear Belakang Gear.Blk 1
22 Spool Belakang Sp.Blk 1
23 Tire Belakang Tire Blk 2
24 Assembly I Assy I 2
25 Motor Motor 1
26 Gear Motor G.Motor 1
27 Tire Depan Tire.D 1
28 Spool Depan Sp.d 2
29 Box Box 2

Tabel 5. data perencanaan produk

No Uraian Nilai
1 Cost Reguler Time Rp.8900,-/jam per orang
2 Cost Over Time Rp.10900,-/jam per orang
 3 Hiring Cost (HC) Rp.185.000,-/jam perorang
4 Lay of Cost (LC) Rp.279.000,-/jam per orang
5 Waktu Baku (WB) 7,2 menit/unit
6 Jam Kerja rata-rata (JK) 8 jam/hari
7 Tenaga Kerja Awal (TK) 5 orang
8 Inventory Awal (lo) 100 unit
9 Shorted Cost/Back Order (BO) Rp.150,-/unit
10 Inventory Cost (IC) Rp.100,-/unit
11 Ongkos Sub Contract Rp.1000,-/unit
12 Production Cost per unit reguler time Rp.8900*(7,69/60)

Tabel 6. daftar harga komponen Tamiya

No Nma Komponen Kode Qty
1 Bottom Bottom 1
2 Cover Cover 1
3 Stiker Stiker 1
4 Guide Wheel GW 1
5 Baut M1 Baut 4
6 Spie Spie 1
7 Switch Belakang SW.B 1
8 Baterai Baterai 2
9 Penutup Baterai P. Baterai 2
10 Switch depan Sw.D 1
11 Ass Depan As.D 2
12 Penutup As depan P.As.D 1
13 Fitting Fitting 1
14 Ass Belakang As.B 1
15 Gear Belakang Gear.Blk 1
16 Spool Belakang Sp.Blk 1
17 Tire Belakang Tire Blk 2
18 Motor Motor 1
19 Gear Motor G.Motor 1
20 Tire Depan Tire.D 1
21 Spool Depan Sp.d 2
22 Box Box 2

Tabel 7. data Bill of Material (BOM) Tamiya

No Level Nama Komponen Deskripsi
Demon
1 0 Demon Scorpion
Scorpion
2 1 Assembly Assy
3 .2 Bottom Bottom

4 .2 Cover Cover
5 .2 Assembly VI Assy
6 ..3 Stiker Stiker
7 ..3 Assembly II Assy II
8 ..3 Guide Wheel GW
9 ..3 Baut M1 Baut
10 ..3 Assembly III Assy III
11 ..3 Spie Spie
12 ..3 Switch Belakang SW.B
13 ..3 Baterai Baterai
14 ..3 Penutup Baterai P. Baterai
15 ..3 Assembly IV Assy IV
16 ..3 Switch depan Sw.D

17 ..3 Ass Depan As.D

18 ..3 Assembly V Assy V

19 …4 Penutup As depan P.As.D
20 …4 Fitting Fitting

21 …4 Ass Belakang As.B

22 …4 Gear Belakang Gear.Blk

23 …4 Spool Belakang Sp.Blk

24 …4 Tire Belakang Tire Blk

25 …4 Assembly I Assy I

26 …4 Motor Motor

27 …4 Gear Motor G.Motor

28 ….5 Tire Depan Tire.D

29 ….5 Spool Depan Sp.d

30 ….5 Box Box

Tabel 2. Data Permintaan/Penjualan Tahun 2016
K1 K2 K3 ... K10 ... K23
4076 4065 4057 4054 4069
4270 4259 4251 4248 4263
4522 4511 4503 4500 4515
3749 3738 3730 3727 3742
4036 4025 4017 4014 4029
3687 3676 3668 3665 3680
4151 4140 4132 4129 4144
3321 3310 3302 3299 3314
4179 4168 4160 4157 4172
3293 3282 3274 3271 3286
3085 3074 3066 3063 3078
4331 4320 4312 .... 4309 .... 4324
3116 3105 3097 3094 3109
4535 4524 4516 4513 4528
3949 3938 3930 3927 3942
4222 4211 4203 4200 4215
4147 4136 4128 4125 4140
3644 3633 3625 3622 3637
3663 3652 3644 3641 3656
4391 4380 4372 4369 4384
4140 4129 4121 4118 4133
4383 4372 4364 4361 4376
4026 4015 4007 4004 4019
4216 4205 4197 .... 4194 .... 4209

TABEL 3. Bilangan Acak

Kelompok R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6
Number 78 67 59 98 54 80

Kelompok R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14

Number 73 56 64 52 61 83

Kelompok R17 R18 R19 R20 R21 R22

Number 99 91 93 85 88 79

Kelompok R25 R26 R27 R28 R29 R30

Number 86 69 63 66 68 84
Catatan:
K1 = Kelompok 1 ..... K32 = Kelompok 32
R1 = Bilangan Acak untuk Kelompok 1 ….. K27 = Bilangan Acak untuk Kelompok 24
Rumus Data Permintaan: D = Ki + Ri
Dimana: D = Demand
Ki = Kelompok ke…
Ri = Bilangan Acak ke…
 Contoh data permintaan:
KELOMPOK 1 : BULAN 1 --> DEMAND = K1 + R1 = 3998 + 78 = 4076
KELOMPOK 32 : BULAN 1 --> DEMAND = K32 + R1 = 3998 + 81 = 4079

n Shedule Receipt
Order Lot
LT SS On Hand Qty Bulan
policy size
1 100 100 LFL 50 400 1
2 100 100 LFL 50 400 2
2 100 100 LFL 50 400 2
2 100 100 LFL 50 400 2
3 100 100 LFL 50 400 3
3 100 100 LFL 50 400 2
3 100 100 LFL 50 400 2
3 400 400 LFL 50 1600 3
3 400 400 LFL 50 1600 5
3 100 100 LFL 50 400 4
3 100 100 LFL 50 400 3
3 200 200 LFL 50 800 3
3 200 200 LFL 50 800 2
3 100 100 LFL 50 400 4
3 100 100 LFL 50 400 5
3 200 200 LFL 50 800 2
3 100 100 LFL 50 400 2
4 100 100 LFL 50 400 3
4 100 100 LFL 50 400 2
4 100 100 LFL 50 400 1
4 100 100 LFL 50 400 1
4 100 100 LFL 50 400 1
4 200 200 LFL 50 500 2
4 200 200 LFL 50 700 2
4 100 100 LFL 50 600 1
4 100 100 LFL 50 760 1
4 100 100 LFL 50 550 2
5 150 150 LFL 50 900 2
5 150 150 LFL 50 350 2
 Inv
Harga Rp
Status
LFL 1,000
LFL 1,000
LFL 750
LFL 1,500
LFL 1,000
LFL 1,500
LFL 500
LFL 3,000
LFL 500
LFL 500
LFL 1,500
LFL 500
LFL 150
LFL 750
LFL 500
LFL 500
LFL 500
LFL 2,500
LFL 750
LFL 500
LFL 1,000
LFL 1,500
21,900

Satuan Spesifikasi
1
1
 (140 x 84 x
1
10) mm
(125 x 70 x
1
20) mm
1
1
1 M1
4
4
1
1
2
2
1
1
2

1 (n 2.0 x 60) mm

1
1
1

1 (n2.0 x 60) mm

1 (n10 x 3.0) mm

2 (n24 x 10) mm

2
1

1 (n20 x 24) mm

1 (n1 x 5) mm
2

2 (n23 x 15) mm

(230 x 140 x
1
40) mm
 K24 ... K32
4079 4058
4273 4252
4525 4504
3752 3731
4039 4018
3690 3669
4154 4133
3324 3303
4182 4161
3296 3275
3088 3067
4334 .... 4313
3119 3098
4538 4517
3952 3931
4225 4204
4150 4129
3647 3626
3666 3645
4394 4373
4143 4122
4386 4365
4029 4008
4219 .... 4198

R7 R8
90 59

R15 R16
77 89

R23 R24
71 81

R31 R32
82 60

untuk Kelompok 24
DIKA 0,7 - 0,9
Periode Demand S't S''t S't - S''t a b Ft Ft+M e
(t) (x)
1 4057 4057 4057 0 4183
2 4251 4193 4152 41 4234 95 4329 8358 -78
3 4503 4410 4333 77 4487 181 4668 12533 -165
4 3676 3896 4027 -131 3765 -305 3460 16707 216
5 4017 3981 3995 -14 3967 -32 3934 20882 83
6 3668 3762 3832 -70 3692 -163 3529 25057 139
7 4132 4021 3964 57 4078 132 4210 29231 -78
8 3302 3518 3652 -134 3384 -313 3071 33406 231
9 4160 3967 3873 95 4062 221 4283 37580 -123
10 3274 3482 3599 -117 3365 -273 3091 41755 183
11 3066 3191 3313 -123 3068 -286 2782 45930 284
12 4312 3976 3777 199 4174 464 4638 50104 -326
13 3097 3361 3485 -125 3236 -291 2944 54279 153
14 4516 4169 3964 205 4375 479 4853 58454 -337
15 3930 4002 3991 11 4013 26 4039 62628 -109
16 4203 4143 4097 46 4188 106 4295 66803 -92
17 4128 4132 4122 11 4143 25 4168 70978 -40
18 3625 3777 3881 -103 3674 -241 3433 75152 192
19 3644 3684 3743 -59 3625 -138 3487 79327 157
20 4372 4166 4039 127 4292 296 4588 83502 -216
21 4121 4134 4106 29 4163 67 4230 87676 -109
22 4364 4295 4238 57 4352 133 4485 91851 -121
23 4007 4093 4137 -43 4050 -101 3949 96025 58
24 4197 4166 4157 9 4175 20 4195 100200 2
94622

Periode Demand S't S''t S't - S''t a b Ft Ft+M e

(t) (x)
1 4057 4057 4057 0 4195
2 4251 4212 4181 31 4243 124 4367 8379 -116
3 4503 4445 4392 53 4498 211 4709 12562 -206
4 3676 3830 3942 -112 3717 -450 3267 16745 409
5 4017 3980 3972 7 3987 30 4017 20929 0
6 3668 3730 3779 -48 3682 -193 3489 25112 179
7 4132 4052 3997 55 4106 218 4325 29295 -193
8 3302 3452 3561 -109 3343 -436 2907 33479 395
9 4160 4018 3927 91 4110 366 4476 37662 -316
10 3274 3423 3524 -101 3322 -403 2919 41845 355
11 3066 3137 3215 -77 3060 -309 2751 46029 315
12 4312 4077 3905 172 4250 690 4940 50212 -628
13 3097 3293 3415 -122 3171 -489 2681 54395 416
 14 4516 4271 4100 171 4443 685 5127 58579 -611
15 3930 3998 4019 -20 3978 -82 3896 62762 34
16 4203 4162 4133 29 4191 115 4305 66945 -102
17 4128 4135 4135 0 4135 1 4136 71129 -8
18 3625 3727 3808 -82 3645 -326 3319 75312 306
19 3644 3661 3690 -30 3631 -118 3513 79495 131
20 4372 4230 4122 108 4338 432 4769 83679 -397
21 4121 4143 4139 4 4147 17 4164 87862 -43
22 4364 4320 4284 36 4356 145 4501 92045 -137
23 4007 4070 4112 -43 4027 -171 3856 96229 151
24 4197 4172 4160 12 4183 47 4231 100412 -34
94622

Periode Demand S't S''t S't - S''t a b Ft Ft+M e

(t) (x)
1 4057 4057 4057 0 4204
2 4251 4232 4214 17 4249 157 4406 8397 -155
3 4503 4476 4450 26 4502 236 4738 12589 -235
4 3676 3756 3825 -69 3687 -624 3062 16782 614
5 4017 3991 3974 17 4007 149 4156 20974 -139
6 3668 3700 3728 -27 3673 -247 3426 25167 242
7 4132 4089 4053 36 4125 325 4450 29360 -318
8 3302 3381 3448 -67 3313 -605 2709 33552 593
9 4160 4082 4019 63 4145 571 4716 37745 -556
10 3274 3355 3421 -66 3288 -597 2691 41937 583
11 3066 3095 3128 -33 3062 -294 2769 46130 297
12 4312 4190 4084 106 4297 956 5253 50323 -941
13 3097 3206 3294 -88 3119 -790 2329 54515 768
14 4516 4385 4276 109 4494 982 5476 58708 -960
15 3930 3976 4006 -30 3945 -270 3675 62901 255
16 4203 4180 4163 17 4198 157 4355 67093 -152
17 4128 4133 4136 -3 4130 -27 4104 71286 24
18 3625 3676 3722 -46 3630 -414 3215 75478 410
19 3644 3647 3655 -7 3640 -67 3573 79671 71
20 4372 4300 4235 64 4364 580 4944 83864 -572
21 4121 4139 4148 -10 4129 -87 4043 88056 78
22 4364 4341 4322 19 4361 174 4535 92249 -171
23 4007 4040 4069 -28 4012 -254 3759 96441 248
24 4197 4181 4170 11 4193 101 4294 100634 -97
94622
 e^2

6022
27166
46748
6821
19323
6118
53268
15124
33350
80418
106255
23335
113743
11971
8419
1582
36996
24541
46754
11871
14526
3413
4
697767

e^2

13549
42238
166928
0
32209
37117
156182
99739
126129
99182
393773
172688
 373904
1131
10496
68
93391
17237
157822
1821
18753
22925
1134
2038415

e^2

24087
55028
376647
19444
58450
101100
352064
309415
339931
88464
885602
590366
921540
64991
23090
592
167719
5111
327626
6135
29070
61646
9422
4817543
3 Metode Regresi Linear Sederhana

METODE REGRESI LINEAR SEDERHANA

x y xy x2 y' y-y' (y-y')^2
1 4057 4057 1 3860 197 38985
2 4251 8502 4 3867 384 147630
3 4503 13509 9 3874 629 395649
4 3676 14704 16 3881 -205 42113
5 4017 20085 25 3888 129 16529
6 3668 22008 36 3896 -228 51826
7 4132 28924 49 3903 229 52499
8 3302 26416 64 3910 -608 369778
9 4160 37440 81 3917 243 58897
10 3274 32740 100 3925 -651 423194
11 3066 33726 121 3932 -866 749529
12 4312 51744 144 3939 373 139149
13 3097 40261 169 3946 -849 721129
14 4516 63224 196 3953 563 316504
15 3930 58950 225 3961 -31 938
16 4203 67248 256 3968 235 55294
17 4128 70176 289 3975 153 23387
18 3625 65250 324 3982 -357 127659
19 3644 69236 361 3990 -346 119379
20 4372 87440 400 3997 375 140825
21 4121 86541 441 4004 117 13700
22 4364 96008 484 4011 353 124487
23 4007 92161 529 4018 -11 130
24 4197 100728 576 4026 171 29373
Total 300 94622 1191078 4900 94622 0 4158582
a 3852
Diketahui Rumus y'=a+b(x) MSE 173274
b 7

25 4033
26 4040
27 4047
28 4054
29 4062
30 4069
31 4076
32 4083
33 4091
34 4098
35 4105
36 4112
 Grafik Permintaan dan Hasil Peramalan
5000
4500
4000
3500
3000
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
demand forecasting
Tra
 T D Cum D RTD OTD RTP OTP MPS Cum Prod
2990 1 2990 2990 22 4 2332 424 2756 2756
2044 2 2044 5034 20 3 2120 318 2438 5194
2845 3 2845 7879 22 3 2332 318 2650 7844
2952 4 2952 10831 21 4 2226 424 2650 10494
2847 5 2847 13678 23 3 2438 318 2756 13250
2780 6 2780 16458 21 4 2226 424 2650 15900
2410 7 2410 18868 22 4 2332 424 2756 18656
2914 8 2914 21782 23 3 2438 318 2756 21412
2306 9 2306 24088 20 5 2120 530 2650 24062
2677 10 2677 26765 23 2 2438 212 2650 26712
2377 11 2377 29142 22 2 2332 212 2544 29256
2990 12 2990 32132 21 3 2226 318 2544 31800

kapasitas produksi 106

reguler time cost 920
holding cost 120
over time 1040
back order 33
Inv Back Order RTPC OTPC Inv Cost BOC TOT Cost
0 234 Rp 2,145,440 Rp 440,960 Rp - Rp 7,722 Rp 2,594,122
160 0 Rp 1,950,400 Rp 330,720 Rp 19,200 Rp - Rp 2,281,120
0 35 Rp 2,145,440 Rp 330,720 Rp - Rp 1,155 Rp 2,477,315
0 337 Rp 2,047,920 Rp 440,960 Rp - Rp 11,121 Rp 2,500,001
0 428 Rp 2,242,960 Rp 330,720 Rp - Rp 14,124 Rp 2,587,804
0 558 Rp 2,047,920 Rp 440,960 Rp - Rp 18,414 Rp 2,507,294
0 212 Rp 2,145,440 Rp 440,960 Rp - Rp 6,996 Rp 2,593,396
0 370 Rp 2,242,960 Rp 330,720 Rp - Rp 12,210 Rp 2,585,890
0 26 Rp 1,950,400 Rp 551,200 Rp - Rp 858 Rp 2,502,458
0 53 Rp 2,242,960 Rp 220,480 Rp - Rp 1,749 Rp 2,465,189
114 0 Rp 2,145,440 Rp 220,480 Rp 13,680 Rp - Rp 2,365,920
0 332 Rp 2,047,920 Rp 330,720 Rp - Rp 10,956 Rp 2,389,596
JAWABAN SOAL TP NOMOR 2

Part No. C FOQ=ss=500 UNIT

Part Name Housing LEAD TIME : 3 MINGGU
Stock on Hand 425
PERIODA Past Due 1 2 3 4 5 6
GR 0 190 0 290 0 210
SR 0 0 0 0 0 0
PAB I 425 425 235 235 -55 -55 -265
NR 75 265 265 555 555 765
PORc 80 270 270 560 560 770
PORI 560 560 770 1010 1160 1160
PAB II 505 505 505 505 505 505

Part No. D FOQ=ss=200 UNIT

Part Name Housing LEAD TIME : 2 MINGGU
Stock on Hand 0
PERIODA Past Due 1 2 3 4 5 6
GR 0 190 0 290 0 210
SR 0 0 0 0 0 0
PAB I 0 800 -190 -190 -480 -480 -690
NR 75 265 265 555 555 765
PORc 80 270 270 560 560 770
PORI 560 560 770 1010 1160 1160
PAB II 880 80 80 80 80 80
 7 8 9 10 11 12
270 150 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
-535 -685 -685 -685 -685 -685
1015 1165 1165 1165 1165 1165
1010 1160 1160 1160 1160 1160
1160 1160 1160 0 0 0
475 475 475 475 495 495

7 8 9 10 11 12
250 150 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
-940 -1090 -1090 -1090 -1090 -1090
1015 1165 1165 1165 1165 1165
1010 1160 1160 1160 1160 1160
1160 1160 1160 0 0 0
70 70 70 70 495 495
Item C Order Quantity
Lead Time Safety Stock

Period Post-due 1 2 3 4 5 6
Gross
Requirement 0 190 0 290 0 210
Scheduled
Receipts 0 0 0 500 0 500
On-Hand
Inventory 425 425 235 235 445 445 735
Net Requirement -425 -235 -235 -445 -445 -735
Planned Order
Receipt 450 250 250 450 450 750
Planned Order
Release 450 450 750 500 350 350
PAB II 25 15 15 5 5 15

Item D Order Quantity

Lead Time Safety Stock

Period Post-due 1 2 3 4 5 6
Gross
Requirement 0 190 0 290 0 210
Scheduled
Receipts 200 0 0 0 0 0
On-Hand
Inventory 0 200 10 10 -280 -280 -490
Net Requirement 200 10 10 280 280 490
Planned Order
Receipt 200 50 50 300 300 500
Planned Order
Release 300 300 500 800 950 950
PAB II 400 60 60 580 580 990
 7 8 9 10 11 12

270 150 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0

465 315 315 315 315 315

-465 -315 -315 -315 -315 -315

500 350 350 350 350 350

350 350 350 0 0 0

35 35 35 35 35 35

7 8 9 10 11 12

270 150 0 0 0 0

0 0 0 0 0 0

-760 -910 -910 -910 -910 -910

760 910 910 910 910 910

800 950 950 950 950 950

950 950 950 0 0 0

1560 1860 1860 1860 1860 1860