JCI Index VS MSCI Emerging Markets Segmen makanan olahan mendorong penguatan dengan penjualan yang
(pt) JCI MSCI EM (pt) tumbuh sebesar 9.5% QoQ, yang kami kaitkan dengan permintaan yang lebih
tinggi. Margin usaha juga meningkat menjadi 12.4% meskipun harga broiler
8,000 1,550 sebagai bahan baku lebih tinggi. Segmen ayam pedaging dan DOC juga
6,500 1,300 meningkat dengan penjualan yang tumbuh satu digit dan sedikit pertumbuhan
pada marjin usaha, berkat membaiknya harga ayam pedaging dan DOC.
1,050
5,000 Kami mempertahankan estimasi laba bersih 22F kami untuk CPIN karena kami
800
percaya bahwa harga bahan baku yang tinggi untuk pakan kemungkinan akan
3,500 550 bertahan dan harga jagung yang lebih rendah diperkirakan hanya akan
01/18 01/19 01/20 01/21 01/22
bertahan hingga 2Q22 setelah musim panen. Kami menurunkan peringkat
kami untuk CPIN menjadi Tahan dengan tetap mempertahankan TP
IDR5,700/saham yang diturunkan menggunakan metode penilaian P/E. Kami
menetapkan kelipatan P/E untuk 22F dari 25.0x. CPIN saat ini diperdagangkan
pada 22F P/E 23.6x, sedikit di atas rata-rata P/E forward historis 5 tahun.
Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Embun Pagi 3 Juni 2022
Local flash
ADHI: Adhi Karya Menghadapi Obligasi Jatuh Tempo Total Rp 3,55 Triliun. PT
Adhi Karya (Persero) Tbk (ADHI) memiliki dua obligasi yang akan jatuh tempo
pada bulan ini. Total obligasi jatuh tempo ADHI mencapai Rp 3,55 triliun. Pertama,
Obligasi Berkelanjutan II Adhi Tahap I senilai Rp 2,99 triliun yang akan jatuh
tempo pada 22 Juni 2022. Kedua, Obligasi Berkelanjutan II Adhi Tahap II 2019 Seri
A sebesar Rp 556 miliar yang akan jatuh tempo pada 25 Juni 2022. Sekretaris
Perusahaan ADHI, Farid Budiyanto menuturkan, pihaknya telah menyiapkan dana
untuk melunasi obligasi tersebut. (Kontan)
Technical analysis
Tasrul +62-21-5088-7000 tasrul@miraeasset.co.id
IHSG coba bertahan diatas center line pada uptrend jangka menengah.
IHSG akan coba bertahan diatas center line jangka menengah dengan pergerakan
yang relatif kuat (r-squared = 0.8906) sejak 262 hari perdagangan terakhir
perdagangan dimana bergerak normal dalam rentang +/- 1.61 std.deviasi dari
centerline. IHSG bergerak di luar pergerakan normal sekitar +1.94% atau sekitar 29
bar chart. Rata-rata volatilitas IHSG secara harian saat ini antara +0.78%/-0.80%
atau +55.84/ -57.77 point (rata-rata pergerakan normal positif / negatif selama
periode analisis). Sementara itu rata-rata volume sisi demand di bawah rata-rata
volume sisi supply dan asing net buy sebagaimana terlihat pada Figure 1.
Summary
Item Data Item Data
Close (June 2, 2022) 7,148.72(-0.00%) Trading range 7,101 – 7,215
Average index performance (%) +9.67Target
Period 262 - Daily 7,215
r-squared 0.8906 - Weekly 7,241
Volatility (+/-, %) +0.78/-0.80 - Monthly 7,273
Volatility (+/-, point) +55.84/-57.77 Stop loss 7,050
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
D_VWAP 6,927
6,894.94
660.217
0.00000
22,663,086,080
21,229,510,656
Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010 20,331,696,128
Nov Dec 2022 Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
Aliran dana masuk dan volatilitas pergerakan naik pada pergerakan daily
masih terlihat namun sementara relatif terbatas.
Pada Figure 2, terlihat dari hasil optimalisasi terakhir pada periode daily, indikator
MFI optimized,, indikator RSI optimized dan indikator W%R optimized masih
cenderung bergerak naik namun sementara relatif terbatas. Pada periode weekly
indikator MFI optimized, RSI optimized dan indikator W%R optimized masih
cenderung menguat lebih lanjut. Daily support di 7,101 dan daily resistance di
7,215.Cut loss level di 7,050.
IHSG [ ^JKSE ] - Daily - 6/2/2022 Open: 7,131 High: 7,209 Low: 7,118 Close: 7,149 Vol. 22,663,086,080 Chg.: -0.00%
Demand Supply
_____ 7,241.7_____ 7,214.6
_____ 7,104.6_____ 7,100.8 7,148.72
S_VWAP
7,058.86
D_VWAP 6,894.94
NBSA 2.0 - ^JKSE - IHSG - 6/2/2022 : Rp. 660.22 Milyar ; NBSA/Value : 0.4%
660.217
0.00000
Figure 3. Weekly Trend – Uptrend, MFI optimized, RSI optimized & W%R optimized
^JKSE - MFI Smoothed = 83.03
83.0262
66.2039
-31.1633
IHSG [ ^JKSE ] - Weekly - 6/2/2022 Open: 7,052 High: 7,209 Low: 6,975 Close: 7,149 Vol. 70,635,388,928 Chg.: 1.74%
7,397.3
Demand Supply 7,176.16
_____ 7,209.2 _____ 7,240.5
D_VWAP S_VWAP _____ 7,007.4 _____ 6,954.0 7,148.72
7,056.02
6,955.01
6,951.11
IHSG saat ini berada di bawah rata-rata pergerakan daily namu diatas rata-
rata pergerakan weekly dan monthly. IHSG diperkirakan masih cenderung
menguat dalam kisaran terbatas.
Pada pergerakan daily, rata-rata koreksi normal sekitar -0.81% saat ini di level -0.00%
dan berada di bawah rata-rata. Pada pergerakan weekly kenaikan normal rata-rata
sekitar +1.82% saat ini +1.74% dan berada di atas rata-rata. Pada pergerakan
monthly,koreksi normal rata-rata sekitar -3.31%, saat ini di 0.00% dan berada di
bawah rata-rata. IHSG diperkirakan masih cenderung naik dalam kisaran terbatas.
Pada Figure 4,5 dan 6 terlihat perkiraan normal trading range untuk masing-
masing periode.
Figure 4. Daily : 7,101 – 7,215 Figure 5. Weekly : 7,004 – 7,241 Figure 6. Monthly : 6,921 – 7,273
IHSG [ ^JKSE ] - Daily - 6/2/2022 Open: 7,131 High: 7,209 Low: 7,118 Close: 7,149 Vol. 22,663,086,080 Chg.: -0.00%
x
IHSG [ ^JKSE ] - Weekly - 6/2/2022 Open: 7,052 High: 7,209 Low: 6,975 Close: 7,149 Vol. 70,635,388,928 Chg.: 1.74%
x
IHSG [ ^JKSE ] - Monthly - 6/2/2022 Open: 7,131 High: 7,209 Low: 7,118 Close: 7,149 Vol. 22,663,086,080 Chg.: -0.00%
Supply Supply
Demand Demand Demand
Supply
_____ 7,240.5 _____ 7,273.4
_____ 7,241.7 _____ 7,209.2 _____ 7,198.8
_____ 7,214.6 7,148.72
7,148.72 _____ 6,921.3
7,148.72 _____ 6,829.6
_____ 7,104.6 _____ 7,100.8
_____ 7,007.4
_____ 6,954.0
NBSA 2.0 - ^JKSE - IHSG - 6/2/2022 : Rp. 660.22 Milyar ; NBSA/Value : 0.4% NBSA 2.0 - ^JKSE - IHSG - 6/2/2022 : Rp. 4,962.65 Milyar ; NBSA/Value : 1.0% NBSA 2.0 - ^JKSE - IHSG - 6/2/2022 : Rp. 660.22 Milyar ; NBSA/Value : 0.4%
4,962.65
660.217 660.217
0.00000 0.00000
0.00000
22,663,086,080
70,635,388,928 22,663,086,080
May Jun 2022 Apr 2021 2022
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Harga akan coba bertahan diatas normal lower band pada uptrend jangka
pendek pergerakan daily.
Harga akan coba bertahan diatas normal upper band pada uptrend channel
jangka pendek dimana trend yang masih relatif kurang kuat (r-squared = 0.8048)
selama 30 hari perdangangan terakhir dan bergerak normal dalam rentang +/-
1.29 std.deviasi dari center line. Harga keluar dari pergerakan normal sekitar
19.51 % (sekitar 6 bar chart ). Rata-rata volatilitas normal pergerakan harga harian
saat ini antara +3.04%/-2.20% atau +145.52 rupiah /-105.53 rupiah rata-rata
pergerakan normal positif / negatif, selama periode analisis. Volume rata-rata
transaksi sisi demand di atas rata-rata volume sisi supply dan asing net buy
sebagaimana terlihat pada Figure 7.
Summary
Item Data Item Data
Close (June 2, 2022) 4,790(+1.27) Trading range 4,690 – 4,940
Average index performance (%) +7.69 Target
β (beta) +0.79 - Daily 4,940
Corelation -0.64 - Weekly 4,980
Period 30 - Monthly 5,300
r-squared 0.8048Stop loss 4,610
Volatility (+/-, %) +3.04/-2.20
Volatility (+/-, Rp.) +145.52/-105.53
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Demand 5,139.38
Supply SR : 4,999
_____ 4,942.4 4,809.97
_____ 4,878.9
S_VWAP RR : 4,734 4,790
_____ 4,690.9 _____ 4,687.3
D_VWAP support area 4,765.29
4,620.53
SS : 4,620
56.0663
0.00000
74,262,896
56,089,200
55,048,500
Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010
2022 Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
Pada Figure 8, terlihat dari hasil optimalisasi. Kenaikan indikator MFI , indikator
RSI optimized dan indikator W%R optimized masih terlihat. Daily support di 4,690
dan daily resistance di 4,940. Cut loss level di 4,610.
58.8976
61.9471
-44.7425
Unilever Indonesia Tbk. [ UNVR ] - Daily - 6/2/2022 Open: 4,760 High: 4,890 Low: 4,710 Close: 4,790 Vol. 56,089,200 Chg.: 1.27%
Demand Supply
_____ 4,942.4_____ 4,891.7 4,845.93
S_VWAP
_____ 4,690.9_____ 4,697.5 4,790
D_VWAP
4,620.53
74,262,896
56,089,200
Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010 55,048,500
Dec 2022 Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
Harga saat ini di bawah rata-rata pergerakan daily dan monthly namun
diatas harga rata-rata pergerakan weekly. Harga diperkirakan konsolidasi
cenderung menguat.
Pada pergerakkan daily, rata-rata kenaikan harga normal sekitar +3.03% saat ini di
level +1.27% dan di bawah rata-rata. Pada pergerakan weekly, kenaikan harga
normal rata-rata sekitar +4.48% saat ini +0.63% dan di atas rata-rata. Pada
pergerakan monthly, kenaikan harga normal rata-rata sekitar +10.37% saat ini di
+1.27% dan berada di bawah rata-rata saat ini. Harga diperkirakan konsilidasi
cenderung menguat. Pada Figure 9,10 dan 11 terlihat perkiraan nomal trading
range untuk masing-masing periode.
,
Figure 9. Daily 4,690 – 4,940 Figure 10. Weekly : 4,620 – 4,980 Figure 11. Monthly : 4,520 – 5,300
X x`
Unilever Indonesia Tbk. [ UNVR ] - Daily - 6/2/2022 Open: 4,760 High: 4,890 Low: 4,710 Close: 4,790 Vol. 56,089,200 Chg.: 1.27%
x ` x`,,
Unilever Indonesia Tbk. [ UNVR ] - Weekly - 6/2/2022 Open: 4,760 High: 4,890 Low: 4,620 Close: 4,790 Vol. 199,642,000 Chg.: 0.63%
,
Unilever Indonesia Tbk. [ UNVR ] - Monthly - 6/2/2022 Open: 4,760 High: 4,890 Low: 4,710 Close: 4,790 Vol. 56,089,200 Chg.: 1.27%
Demand
Supply
Demand _____ 4,980.4
Supply _____ 4,919.2
Demand
_____ 4,942.4 4,790 _____ 5,294.1 Supply
_____ 4,878.9 _____ 5,089.6
_____ 4,624.3 _____ 4,603.9
4,790 4,790
_____ 4,690.9 _____ 4,687.3 _____ 4,516.3 _____ 4,486.7
NBSA 2.0 - UNVR - Unilever Indonesia Tbk. - 6/2/2022 : Rp. 56.07 Milyar ; NBSA/Value : 20.9% NBSA 2.0 - UNVR - Unilever Indonesia Tbk. - 6/2/2022 : Rp. 134.67 Milyar ; NBSA/Value : 14.2% NBSA 2.0 - UNVR - Unilever Indonesia Tbk. - 6/2/2022 : Rp. 56.07 Milyar ; NBSA/Value : 20.9%
56.0663 134.667
56.0663
0.00000 0.00000 0.00000
199,642,000
56,089,200
56,089,200
May Jun 2022 Apr 2021 2022
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Harga akan coba bertahan diatas normal lower band pada uptrend channel
jangka menengah pergerakan daily.
Harga akan coba bertahan diatas normal lower band pada uptrend channel jangka
menengah dimana trend yang terbentuk saat ini masih relatif kuat (r-squared = 0.8346)
selama 215 hari perdagangan terakhir dan bergerak normal dalam rentang +/-1.39
std.deviasi dari center line. Harga keluar dari pergerakan normal sekitar +16.54%
(sekitar 36 bar chart). Rata-rata volatilitas normal pergerakan harga saat ini antara
+1.80/-2.21% atau +21.61 rupiah / -26.59 rupiah rata-rata pergerakan normal positif /
negatif, selama periode analisis. Saat ini rata-rata volume sisi demand di bawah rata-
rata volume sisi supply, asing net buy seperti terlihat pada Figure 12.
Summary
Item Data Item Data
Close (June 2, 2022) 1,200(0.00%) Trading range 1,180 – 1,220
Average index performance (%) +24.29Target
β (beta) +1.07 - Daily 1,220
Corelation +0.82 - Weekly 1,290
Period 215 - Monthly 1,330
r-squared 0.8346Stop loss 1,160
Volatility (+/-, %) +1.80/-2.21
Volatility (+/-, Rp.) +21.61/ -26.59
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
1,395.26
SR : 1,297
S_VWAP 1,297.01
Demand Supply 1,276.7
_____ 1,235.0 _____ 1,224.9 RR : 1,217
NBSA 2.0 - MPMX - Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Tbk. - 6/2/2022 : Rp. 3.52 Milyar ; NBSA/Value : 11.9%
3.51924
0.00000
27,617,924
24,549,200
Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010 19,146,910
Dec 2022 Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
Pada Figure 13, terlihat dari hasil optimalisasi, indikator MFI optimized , indikator
RSI optimized dan indikator W%R optimized sudah berada di oversold area
dengan kecenderungan naik lebih lanjut. Daily support di 1,180 dan daily
resistance di 1,220. Cut loss level di 1,160.
17.1885
16.2154
MPMX - Will%R Smoothed = -50.38
-50.3822
Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Tbk. [ MPMX ] - Daily - 6/2/2022 Open: 1,210 High: 1,220 Low: 1,190 Close: 1,200 Vol. 24,549,200 Chg.: 0.00%
27,617,924
24,549,200
Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010 19,146,910
Nov Dec 2022 Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
Harga saat ini berada di atas rata-rata pergerakan daily namun di bawah
rata-rata pergerakan weekly dan monthly. Harga diperkirakan konsolidasi
cenderung menguat.
Pada pergerakan daily, rata-rata koreksi harga normal sekitar -1.16% saat ini di
level +0.00% dan di bawah rata-rata. Pada pergerakan weekly, koreksi harga
normal rata-rata sekitar -4.22% saat ini -10.78% dan di bawah rata-rata. Pada
pergerakan monthly, koreksi harga rata-rata sekitar -8.07% saat ini di +0.00% dan
di bawah rata-rata. Harga diperkirakan konsolidasi cenderung menguat.
,
Figure 14. Daily : 1,180 – 1,220 Figure 15. Weekly : 1,160 – 1,290 Figure 16. Monthly : 1,100 – 1,330
X` X`, x`
Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Tbk. [ MPMX ] - Daily - 6/2/2022 Open: 1,210 High: 1,220 Low: 1,190 Close: 1,200 Vol. 24,549,200 Chg.: 0.00%
x` x` x ,
Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Tbk. [ MPMX ] - Weekly - 6/2/2022 Open: 1,255 High: 1,255 Low: 1,170 Close: 1,200 Vol. 79,219,696 Chg.: -10.78%
, ,,,
Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Tbk. [ MPMX ] - Monthly - 6/2/2022 Open: 1,210 High: 1,220 Low: 1,190 Close: 1,200 Vol. 24,549,200 Chg.: 0.00%
Demand
Supply
_____ 1,362.1
_____ 1,333.0
Demand Supply
NBSA 2.0 - MPMX - Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Tbk. - 6/2/2022 : Rp. 3.52 Milyar ; NBSA/Value : 11.9% NBSA 2.0 - MPMX - Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Tbk. - 6/2/2022 : Rp. -2.10 Milyar ; NBSA/Value : 2.2% NBSA 2.0 - MPMX - Mitra Pinasthika Mustika Tbk. - 6/2/2022 : Rp. 3.52 Milyar ; NBSA/Value : 11.9%
3.51924
0.00000 0.00000
3.51924
-2.09887
0.00000
24,549,200 79,219,696
24,549,200
May Jun 2022 Apr 2021 2022
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com Created with AmiBroker - advanced charting and technical analysis software. http://www.amibroker.com Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis software. http://www.amibroker.com
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Harga akan coba bertahan diatas normal lower band pada uptrend channel
jangka menengah pergerakan daily.
Harga akan coba bertahan diatas normal lower band pada uptrend channel jangka
menengah dimana trend yang terbentuk saat ini masih relatif kuat (r-squared = 0.8466)
selama 115 hari perdagangan terakhir dan bergerak normal dalam rentang +/-1.43
std.deviasi dari centerline. Harga keluar dari pergerakan normalnya sekitar +15.34%
(sekitar 18 bar chart ). Rata-rata volatilitas normal pergerakan harga saat ini antara
+5.59%/ -4.43% atau +10.90 rupiah /-8.64 rupiah (rata-rata pergerakan normal positif /
negatif, selama periode analisis). Volume rata-rata transaksi sisi demand di bawah sisi
supply dan asing net sell sebagaimana terlihat pada Figure 17.
Summary
Item Data Item Data
Close (June 2, 2022) 191(-1.55%) Trading range 186 – 206
Average index performance (%) +30.21Target
β (beta) 0.49 - Daily 206
Corelation 0.78 - Weekly 238
Period 115 - Monthly 296
r-squared 0.8466 Stop loss 184
Volatility (+/-, %) +5.59/-4.43
Volatility (+/-, Rp.) +10.90/-8.64
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
,,
Gozco Plantations Tbk. [ GZCO ] - Daily - 6/2/2022 Open: 195 High: 204 Low: 190 Close: 191 Vol. 167,869,296 Chg.: -1.55%
249.288
217.522
S_VWAP SR : 215
Demand Supply 215.061
_____ 206.0 _____ 205.9
RR : 196
D_VWAP _____ 186.4 _____ 185.7 support area 191
SS : 188 187.895
185.756
NBSA 2.0 - GZCO - Gozco Plantations Tbk. - 6/2/2022 : Rp. -0.03 Milyar ; NBSA/Value : 0.1%
0.00000
-0.0288258
319,952,800
318,295,904
Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010 167,869,296
2022 Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
Pada Figure 18, terlihat dari hasil optimalisasi, indikator MFI Optimized, indikator
RSI Optimized dan W%R Optmized sudah berada di oversold area. Perkiraan daily
support di 186 dan daily resistance terdekat di 206. Cut loss level di 184.
Figure 18. Daily, MFI optimized, RSI optimized & W%R optimized
9.53775
15.7885
-95.0172
Gozco Plantations Tbk. [ GZCO ] - Daily - 6/2/2022 Open: 195 High: 204 Low: 190 Close: 191 Vol. 167,869,296 Chg.: -1.55%
319,952,800
318,295,904
Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010 167,869,296
Nov Dec 2022 Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
Harga saat ini berada di bawah rata-rata pegerakan daily, weekly dan
monthly. Harga diperkirakan konsolidasi cenderung menguat.
Pada pergerakkan daily, rata-rata koreksi harga normal sekitar -4.76% saat ini di
level -1.55% dan di bawah rata-rata. Pada pergerakan weekly,koreksi harga
normal sekitar -7.23% saat ini -6.37% dan di bawah rata-rata. Pada pergerakan
monthly, koreksi harga normal rata-rata sekitar -9.44% saat ini -1.55% dan di
bawah rata-rata. Harga diperkirakan konsolidasi cenderung menguat Pada Figure
19,20 dan 21 terlihat perkiraan normal trading range untuk masing-masing
periode.
Figure 19. Daily : 186 – 206 Figure 20. Weekly : 184 – 238 Figure 21. Monthly : 176 – 296
x `
Gozco Plantations Tbk. [ GZCO ] - Daily - 6/2/2022 Open: 195 High: 204 Low: 190 Close: 191 Vol. 167,869,296 Chg.: -1.55% Gozco Plantations Tbk. [ GZCO ] - Weekly - 6/2/2022 Open: 204 High: 214 Low: 190 Close: 191 Vol. 501,415,488 Chg.: -6.37%
Demand
x `, ,x, ,
Gozco Plantations Tbk. [ GZCO ] - Monthly - 6/2/2022 Open: 195 High: 204 Low: 190 Close: 191 Vol. 167,869,296 Chg.: -1.55%
Demand
_____ 238.1 _____ 296.5
Supply
_____ 219.0
NBSA 2.0 - GZCO - Gozco Plantations Tbk. - 6/2/2022 : Rp. -0.03 Milyar ; NBSA/Value : 0.1% NBSA 2.0 - GZCO - Gozco Plantations Tbk. - 6/2/2022 : Rp. -0.43 Milyar ; NBSA/Value : 0.4% NBSA 2.0 - GZCO - Gozco Plantations Tbk. - 6/2/2022 : Rp. -0.03 Milyar ; NBSA/Value : 0.1%
0.00000 0.00000
-0.0288258 -0.426239 0.00000
-0.0288258
167,869,296 501,415,488
167,869,296
May Jun 2022 Apr 2020 2022
Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com Created with AmiBroker - adv anced charting and technical analy sis sof tware. http://www.amibroker.com
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Relative Avg.Price Performance to JCI (%) : Persentase kenaikan harga saham dari rata-rata sejak IHSG memulai uptrend-nya
β (beta) : Indikator sensitivitas harga saham terhadap IHSG, beta diatas 1 berarti harga makin
sensitif terhadap pergerakan IHSG dan sebaliknya
Correlation : Ukuran kuat hubungan (korelasi) pergerakan harga saham dibanding dengan
pergerakan IHSG selama periode analisis.
Period : Periode uptrend / downtrend yang valid dari pergerakan harga saham.
r-squared : Koefisien determinasi, menunjukkan persentase gerakan yang dapat dijelaskan dengan
regresi linier.Nilai R2 terletak antara 0 – 1, dan kecocokan model dikatakan lebih baik
kalau R2 semakin mendekati 1 (validitas uptrend atau downtrend makin valid)
Volatility (+/-%) : Besaran volatilitas normal positif/negatif dari pergerakan harga harian selama
harga saham bergerak normal pada trend channel dalam persentase.
Volatility (+/- point or Rp) : Besaran volatilitas normal positifl/negatif dari pergerakan harga harian selama
harga saham bergerak dalam periode analisis.
Chart 22. JCI Vs. USD/IDR Chart 23. JCI performance (absolute vs. relative)
(pt) JCI (L) USD/IDR (R) (IDR) (%, %p) Absolute Relative
7,400 14,750 44 40.6
7,300 40
14,650 36
7,200
32
7,100 28
14,550
7,000 24
6,900 14,450 20 17.4
6,800 16
14,350 12
6,700
8 3.4
6,600 1.6
14,250 4 0.6
6,500 0
6,400 14,150 -4 0.0 -1.1 -0.4
3/3 3/31 4/28 5/26 1D 1W 1M 1Y
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Note: Relative to MSCI EM Index
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Chart 24. Foreigner’s net purchase (EM) Chart 25. Energy price
1,500
1,254 110
1,000
500 408 90
211
24
0
-57 -6 -17 70
-115 -93
-500 -312 -404
-1,000 50
Korea Taiwan Indonesia ThailandPhilippines India 3/3 3/31 4/28 5/26
Note: The latest figure for India is June 2nd, 2022 Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas lIndonesia
Chart 26. Non-ferrous metal price Chart 27. Precious metal price
170
150 100
130
110 90
90
70 80
03/22 03/22 04/22 05/22 03/22 03/22 04/22 05/22
Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Source: Bloomberg, Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia
Economic Calendar
Time Currency Detail Forecast Previous
12:00am USD FOMC Member Mester Speaks
5:30am AUD AIG Construction Index 55.9
1:00pm EUR German Trade Balance 5.6B 3.2B
1:45pm EUR French Industrial Production m/m 0.2% -0.5%
All Day GBP Bank Holiday
2:15pm EUR Spanish Services PMI 56.0 57.1
2:45pm EUR Italian Services PMI 54.6 55.7
2:50pm EUR French Final Services PMI 58.4 58.4
2:55pm EUR German Final Services PMI 56.3 56.3
3:00pm EUR Final Services PMI 56.3 56.3
4:00pm EUR Retail Sales m/m 0.3% -0.4%
7:30pm CAD Labor Productivity q/q -0.5% -0.5%
7:30pm USD Average Hourly Earnings m/m 0.4% 0.3%
7:30pm USD Non-Farm Employment Change 325K 428K
7:30pm USD Unemployment Rate 3.5% 3.6%
8:45pm USD Final Services PMI 53.5 53.5
9:00pm USD ISM Services PMI 56.5 57.1
9:30pm USD FOMC Member Brainard Speaks
Note: Time is based on Indonesian local time
Source: Forex Factory
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