Local flash
WSKT: Waskita Karya (WSKT) Targetkan 6 Proyek di IKN Rampung Tahun 2024.
Emiten konstruksi plat merah, PT Waskita Karya (Persero) Tbk (WSKT)
menargetkan proyek-proyek Ibu Kota Nusantara (IKN) yang dikerjakan perseroan
bakal rampung pada tahun 2024 mendatang. Di mana, progres pembangunan
keseluruhan proyek tersebut rata-rata sudah mencapai 20%. SVP Corporate
Secretary Waskita Karya Ermy Puspa Yunita menyatakan bahwa sampai saat ini
WSKT telah mengantongi enam proyek IKN dengan nilai Rp 5,89 triliun. (Kontan)
OKAS: Ancora Indonesia Resources (OKAS) Melihat Prospek Bisnis Tahun Ini
Masih Positif. Sepanjang tahun ini, PT Ancora Indonesia Resources Tbk (OKAS)
melihat prospek bisnis yang positif. Di sepanjang tahun ini OKAS membidik
pertumbuhan pendapatan menjadi US$ 180 juta dan EBITDA diperkirakan naik
menjadi US$ 39 juta. Pada kuartal I 2023, OKAS mencatatkan kinerja yang baik di
mana penjualan neto tumbuh 23,58% menjadi US$ 42,76 juta dari sebelumnya
US$ 34,6 juta di akhir Maret 2022. Sejalan dengan kenaikan penjualan tersebut
laba periode berjalan Ancora ikut terdongkrak 6,2% yoy menjadi US$ 2,9 juta.
(Kontan)
DCII: DCI dan Salim Group Resmikan Data Center Bertenaga Surya Pertama
di Indonesia. PT DCI Indonesia Tbk (DCII) bersama PT Datacenter Indonesia
Sukses Makmur (DISM) meresmikan pusat data kedua, H2-02, sekaligus fasilitas
kantor di Kampus Pusat Data H2, di Karawang. Langkah ini juga menjadi
milestone terbaru dari akselerasi ekspansi DCI Platform, dengan menggandeng
DISM selaku entitas bisnis di bawah kendali Salim Group. Di kampus H2, DCI
sebelumnya sudah mengoperasikan pusat data pertama, H2-01, dengan
kapasitas utama 15 MW IT load di November 2021. Dengan penambahan
kapasitas dan fasilitas ini, kampus H2 saat ini memiliki dua pusat data dengan
total kapasitas 27 MW IT load dan satu gedung kantor untuk mendukung aktivitas
kerja dan business continuity pelanggan.(Kontan)
Technical analysis
Tasrul +62-21-5088-7000 tasrul@miraeasset.co.id
Summary
Item Data Item Data
Close (June 22, 2023) 6,652.26 (-0.75%) Daily trading range 6,640– 6,700
Average index performance (%) -4.00Target
Period 216 - Daily 6,700
r-squared 0.6969 - Weekly 6,730
Volatility (+/-, %) +0.43/-0.49 - Monthly 6,744
Volatility (+/-, point) +28.70/-32.70 Critical level 6,560
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
SR : 6,754 6,748.13
Demand Supply
S_VWAP _____ 6,703.0 6,711.75
_____ 6,698.3 RR : 6,671
6,661.76
D_VWAP
_____ 6,641.6 support area 6,652.26
_____ 6,634.6
SS : 6,635 6,648.48
6,548.82
0.00000
19,041,878,016
16,905,847,808
16,074,829,824
Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010
Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2023 Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Created w ith AmiBroker - advanced charting and technical analysis softw are. http://w w w .amibroker.com
Aliran dana keluar mulai terbatas dan volatilitas pergerakan turun masih
terlihat namun terbatas. Pada pergerakan mingguan masih terlihat potensi
koreksi lebih lanjut.
Pada Figure 2, terlihat dari hasil optimalisasi terakhir pada pergerakan harian.
Indikator MFI optimized akan uji support trendline, indikator RSI optimized dan
indikator W%R optimized masih cenderung bergerak turun dalam pola terbatas.
Indeks ini berada di bawah centerline pada Bollinger Bands Optimized. Pada
periode weekly, indikator MFI optimized indikator RSI optimized dan W%R
optimized masih berada di overbought area. Support di 6,640 dan daily resistance
di 6,700. Critical level di 6,560.
Figure 2. Daily, MFI optimized,RSI optimized, W%R optimized & Bollinger Bands Optimized
^JKSE - MFI Smoothed = 31.00 X` x`x`
30.9997
34.8825
-59.674
IHSG [ ^JKSE ] - Daily - 6/22/2023 Open: 6,700 High: 6,718 Low: 6,652 Close: 6,652 Vol. 16,074,829,824 Chg.: -0.75%
6,802.53
6,723.99
Demand Supply 6,754
6,711.75
S_VWAP _____ 6,703.0
_____ 6,698.3 trading range 6,661.76
D_VWAP 6,652.26
_____ 6,641.6
_____ 6,634.6
6,635 6,645.45
19,041,878,016
16,905,847,808
16,074,829,824
Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010
Dec 2023 Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Created w ith AmiBroker - advanced charting and technical analysis softw are. http://w w w .amibroker.com
Figure 3. Weekly – MFI optimized,RSI optimized, W%R optimized & Bollinger Bands Optimized
^JKSE - MFI Smoothed = 67.44
67.4429
35.0502
-61.4487
7,878.24
IHSG [ ^JKSE ] - Weekly - 6/22/2023 Open: 6,685 High: 6,718 Low: 6,626 Close: 6,652 Vol. 55,243,067,392 Chg.: -0.69%
7,425.82
6,973.39
Demand Supply 6,896.47
S_VWAP
_____ 6,752.0_____ 6,730.8
D_VWAP _____ 6,571.0_____ 6,579.3 6,652.26
6,561.19
0.00000
IHSG saat ini berada di bawah rata-rata pergerakan harian, mingguan dan
bulanan. Diperkirakan sementara indeks ini konsolidasi cenderung menguat.
Pada pergerakan harian, rata-rata koreksi normal -0.49% saat ini di level -0.75%
dan di bawah rata-rata. Pada pergerakan mingguan koreksi normal rata-rata
sekitar -1.29%, saat ini -.69% dan di bawah rata-rata. Pada pergerakan bulanan,
kenaikan normal rata-rata sekitar +1.28%, saat ini di +0.29% dan di bawah rata-rata.
Pada Figure 4,5 dan 6 terlihat perkiraan normal trading range untuk masing-
masing periode.
Figure 4. Daily : 6,640 – 6,700 Figure 5. Weekly : 6,579 – 6,730 Figure 6. Monthly : 6,471 – 6,744
x x
IHSG [ ^JKSE ] - Daily - 6/22/2023 Open: 6,700 High: 6,718 Low: 6,652 Close: 6,652 Vol. 16,074,829,824 Chg.: -0.75% IHSG [ ^JKSE ] - Weekly - 6/22/2023 Open: 6,685 High: 6,718 Low: 6,626 Close: 6,652 Vol. 55,243,067,392 Chg.: -0.69% IHSG [ ^JKSE ] - Monthly - 6/22/2023 Open: 6,622 High: 6,745 Low: 6,579 Close: 6,652 Vol. 224,442,171,392 Chg.: 0.29%
Demand
Supply Demand
Demand
Supply _____ 6,752.0
_____ 6,730.8 _____ 6,862.3 Supply
_____ 6,703.0
_____ 6,698.3
_____ 6,744.0
6,652.26
6,652.26
_____ 6,471.2 _____ 6,445.1
6,652.26
_____ 6,641.6
_____ 6,634.6 _____ 6,579.3
_____ 6,571.0
NBSA - ^JKSE 6/22/2023 : Rp. -202.26 Milyar ; NBSA/Value : 0.2% NBSA - ^JKSE 6/22/2023 : Rp. -889.36 Milyar ; NBSA/Value : 0.2% NBSA - ^JKSE 6/22/2023 : Rp. -3,497.42 Milyar ; NBSA/Value : 0.2%
0.00000 0.00000
0.00000
55,243,067,392
16,074,829,824 224,442,171,392
22 29 Jun 19 2023 Apr 2022 2023
Created w ith AmiBroker - advanced charting and technical analysis sof tw are. http://w w w .amibroker.com Created w ith AmiBroker - advanced charting and technical analysis sof tw are. http://w w w .amibroker.com Created w ith AmiBroker - advanced charting and technical analysis sof tw are. http://w w w .amibroker.com
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Harga masih cenderung menguat pada pola uptrend jangka pendek yang relatif
kuat (r-squared = 0.7882) selama 48 hari perdagangan terakhir dan bergerak
normal dalam rentang +/-1.24 std.deviasi dari center line. Harga keluar dari
pergerakan normal sekitar 21.18 % (sekitar 10 bar chart). Rata-rata volatilitas
normal pergerakan harga harian saat ini +2.54%/-1.95% atau +43.48 rupiah /-
33.38 rupiah rata-rata pergerakan normal positif / negatif, selama periode analisis.
Volume rata-rata transaksi sisi demand di atas rata-rata volume sisi supply dan
asing net sell dengan sebaran volume terbanyak dari sisi demand berada di
bawah dan sisi supply berada diatas level harga saat ini sebagaimana terlihat
pada Figure 7.
Summary
Item Data Item Data
Close (June 22, 2023) 1,685 (-3.16%) Daily trading range 1,680 – 1,775
Average index performance (%) 25.74Target
β (beta) +0.63 - Daily 1,775
Corelation -0.79 - Weekly 1,810
Period 48 - Monthly 2,000
r-squared 0.7882Stop loss 1,645
Volatility (+/-, %) +2.54/-1.95
Volatility (+/-, Rp.) +43.48/-33.38
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
SR : 1,900
1,905.6
Demand 1,798.88
S_VWAP Supply
_____ 1,755.1 RR : 1,730 1,771.72
_____ 1,729.2
_____ 1,678.3 support area 1,685
D_VWAP _____ 1,665.4
1,666.46
SS : 1,665
0.00000
28,869,700
27,098,742
22,338,010
Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010
13 20 27 Mar 13 20 27 Apr 10 17 May 8 15 22 29 Jun 12 19
Created w ith AmiBroker - advanced charting and technical analysis softw are. http://w w w .amibroker.com
Aliran dana masuk masih terlihat dan volatilitas harga turun relatif terbatas.
Pada Figure 8, terlihat dari hasil optimalisasi. Indikator MFI optimized masih
cenderung menguat, sementara indikator RSI optimized dan indikator W%R
optimized koreksi terbatas. Harga saat ini di masih berada di bawah Bollinger
Bands optimized. Daily support di 1,680 dan daily resistance di 1,1775. Cut loss
level di 1,645.
Figure 8. Daily, MFI optimized,RSI optimized, W%R optimized & Bollinger Bands Optimized
MAPI - MFI Smoothed = 45.76
45.7607
27.124
-73.8041
Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk. [ MAPI ] - Daily - 6/22/2023 Open: 1,750 High: 1,765 Low: 1,685 Close: 1,685 Vol. 28,869,700 Chg.: -3.16%
1,900
1,864.45
Demand 1,771.72
S_VWAP Supply
_____ 1,755.1 trading range 1,766.21
_____ 1,729.2
D_VWAP _____ 1,678.3 _____ 1,665.4 1,685
1,667.96
1,665 1,666.46
28,869,700
27,098,742
Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010 22,338,010
2023 Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Created w ith AmiBroker - advanced charting and technical analysis softw are. http://w w w .amibroker.com
Harga saat ini berada di bawah rata-rata pergerakan harian, mingguan dan
bulanan. Harga diperkirakan konsolidasi cenderung menguat.
Pada pergerakan harian, rata-rata koreksi harga normal sekitar -1.95% saat ini di
level -3.16% dan berada dibawah rata-rata. Pada pergerakan mingguan, koreksi
normal rata-rata sekitar -4.32% saat ini -6.39% dan di bawah rata-rata. Pada
pergerakan bulanan koreksi normal rata-rata sekitar -7.16 saat ini di +5.07% dan di
bawah rata-rata saat ini. Pada Figure 9,10 dan 11 terlihat perkiraan nomal trading
range untuk masing-masing periode.
Figure 9. Daily : 1,680 – 1,755 Figure 10. Weekly : 1,640 – 1,810 Figure 11. Monthly : 1,630 – 2,000
Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk. [ MAPI ] - Daily - 6/22/2023 Open: 1,750 High: 1,765 Low: 1,685 Close: 1,685 Vol. 28,869,700 Chg.: -3.16% Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk. [ MAPI ] - Weekly - 6/22/2023 Open: 1,800 High: 1,805 Low: 1,655 Close: 1,685 Vol. 121,975,392 Chg.: -6.39%
,
Mitra Adiperkasa Tbk. [ MAPI ] - Monthly - 6/22/2023 Open: 1,775 High: 1,940 Low: 1,655 Close: 1,685 Vol. 304,840,512 Chg.: -5.07%
Demand Supply
_____ 2,022.7 _____ 2,005.0
Supply
Demand
_____ 1,828.4
_____ 1,811.9
Demand
_____ 1,755.1
1,685
Supply 1,685 _____ 1,626.8 _____ 1,634.0
_____ 1,729.2 _____ 1,639.9 _____ 1,640.8
NBSA - MAPI 6/22/2023 : Rp. -7.25 Milyar ; NBSA/Value : 14.6% NBSA - MAPI 6/22/2023 : Rp. -44.03 Milyar ; NBSA/Value : 20.8% NBSA - MAPI 6/22/2023 : Rp. -26.54 Milyar ; NBSA/Value : 4.9%
0.00000 0.00000
0.00000
28,869,700
121,975,392
304,840,512
Jun 12 19 2023 Apr 2022 2023
Created w ith AmiBroker - advanced charting and technical analysis softw are. http://w w w .amibroker.com Created w ith AmiBroker - advanced charting and technical analysis softw are. http://w w w .amibroker.com Created w ith AmiBroker - advanced charting and technical analysis softw are. http://w w w .amibroker.com
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Summary
Item Data Item Data
Close (June 22, 2023) 1,690 (+3.05%) Daily trading range 1,660 – 1,715
Average index performance (%) +9.40Target
β (beta) 1.08 - Daily 1,715
Corelation -0.20 - Weekly 1,740
Period 133 - Monthly 1,870
r-squared 0.7849Stop loss 1,630
Volatility (+/-, %) +1.99/-1.65
Volatility (+/-, Rp.) +33.47/-27.75
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
1,817.78
SR : 1,775
Demand Supply 1,718.26
S_VWAP _____ 1,715.2 _____ 1,707.9 1,707.7
RR : 1,690
1,690
D_VWAP _____ 1,654.0 _____ 1,658.7 support area
1,648.11
SS : 1,650
0.00000
48,199,228
36,486,400
Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010 33,991,968
Dec 2023 Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Created w ith AmiBroker - advanced charting and technical analysis softw are. http://w w w .amibroker.com
Pada Figure 13, terlihat dari hasil optimalisasi, indikator MFI optimized , indikator RSI
optimized dan indikator W%R optimized masih cenderung naik. Harga berada di bawah
center line pada Bollinger Bands optimized. Daily support di 1,660 dan daily resistance di
1,715 Cut loss level di 1,630.
Figure 13.Daily, MFI optimized,RSI optimized, W%R optimized & Bollinger Bands Optimized
55.5491
61.547
-50.6497
Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk. [ BRIS ] - Daily - 6/22/2023 Open: 1,645 High: 1,710 Low: 1,645 Close: 1,690 Vol. 36,486,400 Chg.: 3.05%
1,776.31
1,775 1,718.26
Demand Supply
S_VWAP 1,713.8
_____ 1,715.2 _____ 1,707.9 trading range
_____ 1,654.0 _____ 1,658.7 1,690
D_VWAP
1,651.29
1,650 1,648.11
48,199,228
36,486,400
Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010 33,991,968
Dec 2023 Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Created w ith AmiBroker - advanced charting and technical analysis softw are. http://w w w .amibroker.com
Harga saat ini berada di atas rata-rata pergerakan harian dan mingguan
namun di bawah rata-rata bulanan. Harga diperkirakan masih cenderung
menguat.
Pada pergerakan harian, rata-rata kenaikan normal sekitar +1.99% , saat ini
berada di level +3.05% dan di atas rata-rata. Pada pergerakan mingguan kenaikan
harga normal rata-rata sekitar +1.56% saat ini +1.610% dan di atas rata-rata. Pada
pergerakan bulanan, koreksi rata-rata sekitar -6.39% saat ini di -2.31% dan di
bawah rata-rata.
Figure 14. Daily : 1,660 – 1,715 Figure 15. Weekly : 1,610 – 1,740 Figure 16. Monthly : 1,590 – 1,870
X`
Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk. [ BRIS ] - Daily - 6/22/2023 Open: 1,645 High: 1,710 Low: 1,645 Close: 1,690 Vol. 36,486,400 Chg.: 3.05%
x` x` x ,
Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk. [ BRIS ] - Weekly - 6/22/2023 Open: 1,675 High: 1,710 Low: 1,640 Close: 1,690 Vol. 60,545,000 Chg.: 1.20%
, ,,,
Bank Syariah Indonesia Tbk. [ BRIS ] - Monthly - 6/22/2023 Open: 1,730 High: 1,765 Low: 1,635 Close: 1,690 Vol. 216,531,600 Chg.: -2.31%
Demand
Demand
_____ 1,777.8 Supply
Supply
_____ 1,715.2 _____ 1,739.8
_____ 1,707.9
1,690
1,690
_____ 1,588.2
_____ 1,658.7 _____ 1,534.5
_____ 1,654.0
NBSA - BRIS 6/22/2023 : Rp. 13.22 Milyar ; NBSA/Value : 21.7% NBSA - BRIS 6/22/2023 : Rp. 15.61 Milyar ; NBSA/Value : 15.4% NBSA - BRIS 6/22/2023 : Rp. 23.67 Milyar ; NBSA/Value : 6.4%
0.00000 0.00000
0.00000
60,545,000 216,531,600
Jun 12 19 2023 Apr 2022 2023
Created w ith AmiBroker - advanced charting and technical analysis softw are. http://w w w .amibroker.com Created w ith AmiBroker - advanced charting and technical analysis softw are. http://w w w .amibroker.com Created w ith AmiBroker - advanced charting and technical analysis softw are. http://w w w .amibroker.com
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Summary
Item Data Item Data
Close (June 22, 2023) 3,680 (-0.27%)Daily trading range 3,610 – 3,740
Average index performance (%) +9.60Target
β (beta) +0.39 - Daily 3,740
Corelation +0.19 - Weekly 3,860
Period 61 - Monthly 3,950
r-squared 0.7559Stop loss 3,550
Volatility (+/-, %) +1.50/-1.85
Volatility (+/-, Rp.) +55.22/-68.27
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
0.00000
6,695,358
6,044,180
3,721,400
Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010
2023 Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Created w ith AmiBroker - advanced charting and technical analysis softw are. http://w w w .amibroker.com
Aliran dana keluar dan volatilitas harga turun masih terlihat namun mulai
terbatas.
Pada Figure 18, terlihat dari hasil optimalisasi, koreksi indikator MFI optimized ,
indikator RSI optimized dan indikator W%R optimized masih terlihat namun
terbatas. Harga masih dibawah center line pada Bollinger Bands optimized.
Perkiraan daily support di 3,610 dan daily resistance terdekat di 3,740. Cut loss
level di 3,550.
Figure 18. Daily, MFI optimized,RSI optimized, W%R optimized & Bollinger Bands Optimized
JSMR - MFI Smoothed = 20.80
20.795
8.29159
JSMR - Will%R Smoothed = -54.61
-54.6128
Jasa Marga (Persero) Tbk. [ JSMR ] - Daily - 6/22/2023 Open: 3,690 High: 3,720 Low: 3,650 Close: 3,680 Vol. 3,721,400 Chg.: -0.27%
3,890 3,889.31
Demand 3,768
S_VWAP Supply 3,759.95
_____ 3,738.6 trading range
_____ 3,701.0
D_VWAP 3,680
_____ 3,615.1
_____ 3,563.6 3,646.69
3,610 3,630.98
6,695,358
6,044,180
3,721,400
Tasrul Optimization Trading System - ©2010
2023 Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Created w ith AmiBroker - advanced charting and technical analysis softw are. http://w w w .amibroker.com
Harga saat ini berada di bawah rata-rata pergerakan harian dan mingguan
namun di atas rata-rata bulanan. Harga diperkirakan konsolidasi cenderung
menguat.
Pada pergerakan harian, rata-rata koreksi normal sekitar -1.85% saat ini di level -
0.27% dan berada di bawah rata-rata. Pada pergerakan mingguan koreksi normal
sekitar -3.24% saat ini -6.60% dan di bawah rata-rata. Pada pergerakan bulanan,
kenaikan normal rata-rata sekitar +8.05% saat ini +10.51% dan di atas rata-rata.
Pada Figure 19,20 dan 21 terlihat perkiraan normal trading range untuk masing-
masing periode.
Figure 19. Daily : 3,610 – 3,740 Figure 20. Weekly : 3,630 – 3,860 Figure 21. Monthly : 3,530 – 3,950
x `
Jasa Marga (Persero) Tbk. [ JSMR ] - Daily - 6/22/2023 Open: 3,690 High: 3,720 Low: 3,650 Close: 3,680 Vol. 3,721,400 Chg.: -0.27% Jasa Marga (Persero) Tbk. [ JSMR ] - Weekly - 6/22/2023 Open: 3,940 High: 3,940 Low: 3,630 Close: 3,680 Vol. 24,232,500 Chg.: -6.60% Jasa Marga (Persero) Tbk. [ JSMR ] - Monthly - 6/22/2023 Open: 3,380 High: 3,960 Low: 3,330 Close: 3,680 Vol. 111,976,904 Chg.: 10.51%
Demand
Supply
_____ 3,859.7 _____ 3,843.7
3,680
_____ 3,615.1
_____ 3,525.2
_____ 3,563.6
_____ 3,391.4
NBSA - JSMR 6/22/2023 : Rp. 2.65 Milyar ; NBSA/Value : 19.3% NBSA - JSMR 6/22/2023 : Rp. 0.69 Milyar ; NBSA/Value : 0.7% NBSA - JSMR 6/22/2023 : Rp. 38.37 Milyar ; NBSA/Value : 9.6%
0.00000
0.00000 0.00000
24,232,500 111,976,904
3,721,400
Jun 12 19 2023 Apr 2022 2023
Created w ith AmiBroker - advanced charting and technical analysis softw are. http://w w w .amibroker.com Created w ith AmiBroker - advanced charting and technical analysis softw are. http://w w w .amibroker.com Created w ith AmiBroker - advanced charting and technical analysis softw are. http://w w w .amibroker.com
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Relative Avg.Price Performance to JCI (%) : Persentase kenaikan harga saham dari rata-rata sejak IHSG memulai uptrend-nya
β (beta) : Indikator sensitivitas harga saham terhadap IHSG, beta diatas 1 berarti harga makin
sensitif terhadap pergerakan IHSG dan sebaliknya
Correlation : Ukuran kuat hubungan (korelasi) pergerakan harga saham dibanding dengan
pergerakan IHSG selama periode analisis. Period
: Periode uptrend / downtrend yang valid dari pergerakan harga saham.
r-squared : Koefisien determinasi, menunjukkan persentase gerakan yang dapat dijelaskan dengan
regresi linier.Nilai R2 terletak antara 0 – 1, dan kecocokan model dikatakan lebih baik
kalau R2 semakin mendekati 1 (validitas uptrend atau downtrend makin valid)
Volatility (+/-%) : Besaran volatilitas normal positif/negatif dari pergerakan harga harian selama
harga saham bergerak normal pada trend channel dalam persentase.
Volatility (+/- point or Rp) : Besaran volatilitas normal positifl/negatif dari pergerakan harga harian selama
harga saham bergerak dalam periode analisis.
Figure 22. JCI vs. USD/IDR Figure 23. JCI performance (absolute vs. relative)
(pt) JCI (L) USD/IDR (R) (IDR) (%, %p) Absolute Relative
7,000 15,200 4
1.9
15,100
6,900
15,000
6,800 0
14,900
-0.8 -0.4 -0.9
6,700 14,800 -1.3
14,700
6,600 -4
-3.6
14,600
6,500 -4.9
14,500 -5.5
6,400 14,400 -8
3/24 4/7 4/21 5/5 5/19 6/2 6/16 1D 1W 1M 1Y
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research Note: Relative to MSCI EM Index
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Figure 24. Foreigner’s net purchase (EM) Figure 25. Energy price
1,500 120
1,000 671
447 100
500
33 99
0
-2 80
-44 -11-129 -26 -160
-500
-611
-1,000 60
Korea Taiwan IndonesiaThailandPhilippines India 3/23 4/20 5/18 6/15
Note: The latest figure for India and Taiwan are June 21st, 2023 Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Figure 26. Non-ferrous metal price Figure 27. Precious metal price
115
110
110
105
100
100
95
90
85 90
3/23 4/23 5/23 6/23 3/23 4/23 5/23 6/23
Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research Source: Mirae Asset Sekuritas Indonesia Research
Economic Calendar
Time Currency Detail Forecast Previous
6:00am AUD Flash Manufacturing PMI 48.4
6:00am AUD Flash Services PMI 52.1
6:01am GBP GfK Consumer Confidence -26 -27
6:30am JPY National Core CPI y/y 3.1% 3.4%
All Day CNY Bank Holiday
7:30am JPY Flash Manufacturing PMI 50.2 50.6
1:00pm GBP Retail Sales m/m -0.2% 0.5%
1:45pm EUR ECB President Lagarde Speaks
2:15pm EUR French Flash Manufacturing PMI 45.4 45.7
2:15pm EUR French Flash Services PMI 52.2 52.5
2:30pm EUR German Flash Manufacturing PMI 43.6 43.2
2:30pm EUR German Flash Services PMI 56.3 57.2
3:00pm EUR Flash Manufacturing PMI 44.8 44.8
3:00pm EUR Flash Services PMI 54.4 55.1
3:30pm GBP Flash Manufacturing PMI 46.9 47.1
3:30pm GBP Flash Services PMI 54.8 55.2
8:00pm EUR Belgian NBB Business Climate -10.3 -9.2
8:45pm USD Flash Manufacturing PMI 48.6 48.4
8:45pm USD Flash Services PMI 53.9 54.9
Note: Time is based on Indonesian local time
Source: Forex Factory
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