Probability Distributions
Discrete
Contionous
Joint Probability Distributions
Joint Probability Distributions
Marginal Probability
Conditional Probability
Limit Theorems
Sample Probability Distributions
BAYES THEOREM
PELUANG BERSYARAT (CONDITIONAL
PROBABILITY)
P(X) = A+B
P(Y )= B+C
P(Y∩X) = B
A C P(Y|X) =
B
P(X|Y) =
P(X) P(Y)
LAW OF TOTAL PROBABILITY
Kejadian: MMMMMMMGGG
P(x)=
=0.002
BINOMIAL DISTRIBUTIONS
Kejadian: MMMMMMMGGG
)+
MGMGMGMMMM
GGMMMMMMMG )+
............................
P(X)=
120
120*0.002=0.24
E[X] & VAR(X)
E[x] = nx
Var[x] = nx(1-x)(for binomial), x(1-x) for
bernoulli
POISSON DISTRIBUSION
Pois(x) = 0.15629345185
POISSON(CONT’D)
Pois(0)+Pois(1)+Pois(2)+Pois(3)+Pois(4)+......+Pois(~)=1
Pois(4)+......+Pois(~)=1-Pois(0)-Pois(1)-Pois(2)-Pois(3)
1 -
1- 0.018 - 0.073 - 0.146 - 0.196 = 0.567
E[X] & VAR(X)
0 10
Pdf = a<x<b,
NORMAL DISTRIBUTION
Normal Assumptions:
Mean = Median = Mode
Var = 1
NORMAL DISTRIBUTION
Cov(x,v)=0.33- 0.6*0.433=0.075
LIMIT THEOREMS
MARKOV INEQUALITY
a = constant
X= random Variable
[1,2,3,4,5,6] -> E(x) = 3.5
Misalkan p(X> 2) = 0.666
CHEBYSHEV INEQUALITY
LAW OF LARGE NUMBERS & CLT
P()-P() ~ 0.075
T DISTRIBUTION