Leonardo Loestefan
(penghitungan dengan excel)
Cara Hitung:
2018 = jumlah 2015 s/d 2017 dibagi 3
2019 = jumlah 2016 s/d 2018 dibagi 3
2020 = jumlah 2017 s/d 2019 dibagi 3
2021 = jumlah 2018 s/d 2020 dibagi 3
2022 = jumlah 2019 s/d 2021 dibagi 3
2023 = jumlah 2020 s/d 2022 dibagi 3
2024 = jumlah 2021 s/d 2023 dibagi 3
SOAL WEIGHTED MOVING AVERAGE
Berikut merupakan data penjualan PT ACUMALAKA per-tahun:
TAHUN UNIT
2015 3,000
2016 3,500
2017 4,000
2018 5,000
2019 3,500
2020 4,000
2021 6,000
2022 4,500
2023 5,000
Berapakah Forecast untuk tahun 2024? (dengan bobot 2:3:4:5)
Y’
1 = 100 7 = (0.2 x 125) + (0.8 x 112)
2 = 100 8 = (0.2 x 130) + (0.8 x 115)
3 = (0.2 x 120) + (0.8 x 100) 9 = (0.2 x 100) + (0.8 x 118)
4 = (0.2 x 110) + (0.8 x 104) 10 = (0.2 x 105) + (0.8 x 114)
5 = (0.2 x 135) + (0.8 x 105) 11 = (0.2 x 130) + (0.8 x 112)
6 = (0.2 x 115) + (0.8 x 111) 12 = (0.2 x 120) + (0.8 x 116)
MAD
1 = 100 – 100 7 = 130 - 115
2 = 120 - 100 8 = 100 - 118
3 = 110 - 104 9 = 105 - 114
4 = 135 - 105 10 = 130 - 112
5 = 115 - 111 11 = 120 - 116
6 = 125 - 112
MSE
Hasil MAD dipangkatkan 2
MAPE
1 = (100 – 100)/100 7 = (130 – 115)/130
2 = (120 – 100)/120 8 = (100 – 118)/100
3 = (110 – 104)/110 9 = (105 – 114)/105
4 = (135 – 105)/135 10 = (130 – 112)/130
5 = (115 – 111)/115 11 = (120 – 116)/120
6 = (125 – 112)/125