Nama: Nia Kartika Putri

Kelas: 1 JJ 1
Nim: 972022001

1. Dari data hujan maksimum, urutkan hujan (Xi) dari yang terbesar ke terkecil, atau sebaliknya
No Tahun Hujan (mm) No Tahun Hujan (mm)
1 2009 132.0 1 2017 198.0
2 2010 119.7 2 2018 161.4
3 2011 119.6 3 2012 148.0
4 2012 148 4 2009 132.0
5 2013 94.0 5 2010 119.7
6 2014 102.5 6 2011 119.6
7 2015 108.1 7 2015 108.1
8 2016 75.6 8 2014 102.5
9 2017 198.0 9 2013 94.0
10 2018 161.4 10 2016 75.6

No Tahun Xi Xrt (Xi-Xrt) (Xi-Xrt)² (Xi-Xrt)³ (Xi-Xrt)⁴

1 2017 198.0 125.9 72.1 5199.8521 374961.3349 27038461.8619
2 2018 161.4 125.9 35.5 1260.9601 44776.6932 1590020.3738
3 2012 148.0 125.9 22.1 488.8521 10808.5199 238976.3757
4 2009 132.0 125.9 6.1 37.3321 228.0991 1393.6857
5 2010 119.7 125.9 -6.2 38.3161 -237.1767 1468.1235
6 2011 119.6 125.9 -6.3 39.5641 -248.8582 1565.3180
7 2015 108.1 125.9 -17.8 316.4841 -5630.2521 100162.1856
8 2014 102.5 125.9 -23.4 547.0921 -12796.4842 299309.7659
9 2013 94.0 125.9 -31.9 1016.9721 -32431.2403 1034232.2522
10 2016 75.6 125.9 -50.3 2529.0841 -127187.6394 6396266.3849
Jumlah -1.71E-13 1.15E+04 2.52E+05 3.67E+07

n 10
s 35.7064
Hasil Analisis Statistik Cv 0.2836
Ck 4.4800
Cs 0.7696

1. Distribusi Gumbel
Buat tabel perhitungan gumbel dengan periode ulang 2, 5, 10, 50 dan 100 tahun
Tabel Metode Gumbel - Reduce Mean (Yn)
N 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
10 0.4952 0.4996 0.5035 0.5070 0.5100 0.5128 0.5157
20 0.5236 0.5252 0.5268 0.5283 0.5296 0.5309 0.5320
30 0.5362 0.5372 0.5380 0.5388 0.8396 0.5403 0.5410
40 0.5436 0.5442 0.5448 0.5453 0.5458 0.5463 0.5468
 50 0.5485 0.5489 0.5493 0.5497 0.5501 0.5504 0.5508
60 0.5521 0.5524 0.5527 0.5530 0.5533 0.5535 0.5538
70 0.5548 0.5550 0.5552 0.5555 0.5557 0.5559 0.5561
80 0.5570 0.5570 0.5572 0.5574 0.5576 0.5578 0.5580
90 0.5586 0.5587 0.5589 0.5591 0.5592 0.5593 0.5595
100 0.5600 0.5602 0.5603 0.5604 0.5606 0.5607 0.5608

Tabel Metode Gumbel - Reduced Deviation (Sn)

N 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
10 0.9496 0.9676 0.9833 0.9971 1.0095 1.0206 1.0316
20 1.0628 1.0696 1.0754 1.0811 1.0864 1.0915 1.0961
30 1.1124 1.1159 1.1193 1.1226 1.1255 1.1285 1.1313
40 1.1413 1.1436 1.1458 1.1480 1.1499 1.1519 1.1538
50 1.1607 1.1623 1.1638 1.1658 1.1667 1.1681 1.1696
60 1.1741 1.1759 1.1770 1.1782 1.1793 1.1808 1.1814
70 1.1854 1.1863 1.1873 1.1881 1.1890 1.1898 1.1906
80 1.1938 1.1945 1.1953 1.1959 1.1967 1.1973 1.1980
90 1.2007 1.2013 1.2020 1.2026 1.2032 1.2038 1.2044
100 1.2065 1.2069 1.2073 1.2077 1.2081 1.2084 1.2087

Tabel Metode Gumbel - Reduced Variate (YƬƴ)

Periode Ulang (Tr) Tahun Reduce Variate (YƬƴ) Periode Ulang (Tr) Tahun Reduce Variate (YƬƴ)
2 0.3668 25 3.1993
5 1.5004 50 3.9028
10 2.2510 100 4.6012

Buat tabel perhitungan parameter statistic

No Tahun Xi Xrt (Xi-Xrt) (Xi-Xrt)² (Xi-Xrt)³ (Xi-Xrt)⁴
1 2017 198.0000 125.9 72.1100 5199.8521 374961.3349 27038461.8619
2 2018 161.4000 125.9 35.5100 1260.9601 44776.6932 1590020.3738
3 2012 148.0000 125.9 22.1100 488.8521 10808.5199 238976.3757
4 2009 132.0000 125.9 6.1100 37.3321 228.0991 1393.6857
5 2010 119.7000 125.9 -6.1900 38.3161 -237.1767 1468.1235
6 2011 119.6000 125.9 -6.2900 39.5641 -248.8582 1565.3180
7 2015 108.1000 125.9 -17.7900 316.4841 -5630.2521 100162.1856
8 2014 102.5000 125.9 -23.3900 547.0921 -12796.4842 299309.7659
9 2013 94.0000 125.9 -31.8900 1016.9721 -32431.2403 1034232.2522
10 2016 75.6000 125.9 -50.2900 2529.0841 -127187.6394 6396266.3849
Jumlah 0.0000 11474.5090 252242.9963 36701856.3270

Buat tabel perhitungan gumbel dengan periode ulang 2, 5, 10, 50 dan 100 tahun
Tahun YN SN YT S Xrt XT (mm)
2 0.4952 0.9496 0.3668 35.7064 125.89 121.0620
5 0.4952 0.9496 1.5004 35.7064 125.89 163.6870
10 0.4952 0.9496 2.2510 35.7064 125.89 191.9107
50 0.4952 0.9496 3.9028 35.7064 125.89 254.0209
 100 0.4952 0.9496 4.6012 35.7064 125.89 280.2818

Tahun YN SN YT S Xrt XT (mm)

2 0.4952 0.9496 0.366 35.7064 125.89 121.0319
5 0.4952 0.9496 1.51 35.7064 125.89 164.0480
10 0.4952 0.9496 2.25 35.7064 125.89 191.9107
50 0.4952 0.9496 3.90 35.7064 125.89 254.0209
100 0.4952 0.9496 4.60 35.7064 125.89 280.2818

Tahun YN SN YT S Xrt XT (mm)

2 0.4952 0.9496 0.3668 35.7064 125.9 121.0620
5 0.4952 0.9496 1.5004 35.7064 125.9 163.6870
10 0.4952 0.9496 2.2510 35.7064 125.9 191.9107
50 0.4952 0.9496 3.9028 35.7064 125.9 254.0209
100 0.4952 0.9496 4.6012 35.7064 125.9 280.2818

2. Distribusi Normal
Metode Distribusi Normal - Nilai Variabel Reduksi Gauss
No. Periode Ulang (T) Tahun Peluang Kт
1 1.001 0.999 -3.05
2 1.250 0.800 -0.84
3 1.670 0.600 -0.25
4 2.500 0.400 0.25
5 2.000 0.500 0.00
6 5.000 0.200 0.84
7 10.000 0.100 1.28
8 20.000 0.050 1.64
9 50.000 0.020 2.05
10 100.000 0.010 2.33

Buat tabel perhitungan parameter statistic

No Tahun Xi Xrt (Xi-Xrt) (Xi-Xrt)² (Xi-Xrt)³ (Xi-Xrt)⁴
1 2017 198.0 125.9 72.1 5199.8521 374961.3349 27038461.8619
2 2018 161.4 125.9 35.5 1260.9601 44776.6932 1590020.3738
3 2012 148.0 125.9 22.1 488.8521 10808.5199 238976.3757
4 2009 132.0 125.9 6.1 37.3321 228.0991 1393.6857
5 2010 119.7 125.9 -6.2 38.3161 -237.1767 1468.1235
6 2011 119.6 125.9 -6.3 39.5641 -248.8582 1565.3180
7 2015 108.1 125.9 -17.8 316.4841 -5630.2521 100162.1856
8 2014 102.5 125.9 -23.4 547.0921 -12796.4842 299309.7659
9 2013 94.0 125.9 -31.9 1016.9721 -32431.2403 1034232.2522
10 2016 75.6 125.9 -50.3 2529.0841 -127187.6394 6396266.3849
Jumlah -1.71E-13 1.15E+04 2.52E+05 3.67E+07

Buat tabel perhitungan hujan rencana metode Normal dengan periode ulang 2, 5, 10, 50 dan 100 tahun
 Tahun K S Xrt XT (mm)
2 0 35.7064 125.89 125.8900
5 0.84 35.7064 125.89 155.8834
10 1.28 35.7064 125.89 171.5942
50 2.05 35.7064 125.89 199.0881
100 2.33 35.7064 125.89 209.0859

3. Distribusi Log Pearson III

Periode Ulang
Cs
2 5 10 50 100
0.2 -0.033 0.83 1.301 2.159 2.472
0.1064 -0.0176 0.8356 1.2921 2.1085 2.4037
0 0 0.842 1.282 2.051 2.326

Buat tabel perhitungan parameter statistic

No Tahun Xi Log Xi Log Xrt (Log Xi-Log Xrt) (Log Xi-Log Xrt)² (Log Xi-Log Xrt)³
1 2017 198.0 2.3 2.100 0.2 0.0387 0.0076
2 2018 161.4 2.2 2.100 0.1 0.0116 0.0013
3 2012 148.0 2.2 2.100 0.1 0.0049 0.0003
4 2009 132.0 2.1 2.100 0.0 0.0004 0.0000
5 2010 119.7 2.1 2.100 0.0 0.0005 0.0000
6 2011 119.6 2.1 2.100 0.0 0.0005 0.0000
7 2015 108.1 2.0 2.100 -0.1 0.0044 -0.0003
8 2014 102.5 2.0 2.100 -0.1 0.0080 -0.0007
9 2013 94.0 2.0 2.100 -0.1 0.0161 -0.0020
10 2016 75.6 1.9 2.100 -0.2 0.0490 -0.0109
Jumlah 20.8 2.10E+01 -1.52E-01 1.34E-01 -4.71E-03

n 10
S 0.0407
Parameter Statistik Cv 0.0194
Ck 0.0002
Cs -2.820229E-06

Hitung nilai KT untuk masing-masing periode ulang hujan (PUH)  Tabel & Interpolasi
Periode Ulang
Cs
2 5 10 50 100
0.2 -0.033 0.83 1.301 2.159 2.472
0.1064 -0.0176 0.8356 1.2921 2.1085 2.4037
0 0 0.842 1.282 2.051 2.326

Hitung hujan rencana Log Pearson III dengan periode ulang 2, 5, 10, 50 dan 100 tahun
 No Tahun Hujan (mm)
1 2016 75.6
2 2013 94.0
3 2014 102.5
4 2015 108.1
5 2011 119.6
6 2010 119.7
7 2009 132.0
8 2012 148.0
9 2018 161.4
10 2017 198.0

7 8 9
0.5181 0.5202 0.5220
0.5332 0.5343 0.5353
0.5418 0.5424 0.5436
0.5473 0.5477 0.5481
 0.5511 0.5515 0.5518
0.5540 0.5543 0.5545
0.5563 0.5565 0.5567
0.5581 0.5583 0.5585
0.5596 0.5598 0.5599
0.5609 0.5610 0.5611

7 8 9
1.0411 1.0493 1.0565
1.1004 1.1047 1.1080
1.1339 1.1363 1.1388
1.1557 1.1557 1.1590
1.1708 1.1708 1.1734
1.1824 1.1824 1.1844
1.1915 1.1915 1.1930
1.1987 1.1987 1.2001
1.2049 1.2049 1.2066
1.2090 1.2090 1.2096

Reduce Variate (YƬƴ)

3.1993
3.9028
4.6012

n 10
s 35.7064
Parameter Statistik Cv 0.2836
Ck 4.4800
Cs 0.7696
 n 10
s 35.7064
Parameter Statistik Cv 0.2836
Ck 4.4800
Cs 0.7696
 Nilai K Untuk Distribus
Interval Kejadian (Recurrence Inter
1.0101 1.2500 2
Cs (Skewnness) Presentase Peluang Terlam
99 80 50
(Log Xi-Log Xrt)⁴ 3.0 -0.667 -0.636 -0.396
0.0015 2.8 -0.714 -0.666 -0.384
0.0001 2.6 -0.769 -0.696 -0.368
0.0000 2.4 -0.832 -0.725 -0.351
0.0000 2.2 -0.905 -0.752 -0.330
0.0000 2.0 -0.990 -0.777 -0.307
0.0000 1.8 -0.109 -0.799 -0.282
0.0000 1.6 -1.197 -0.817 -0.254
0.0001 1.4 -1.318 -0.832 -0.225
0.0003 1.2 -1.449 -0.844 -0.195
0.0024 1.0 -1.588 -0.852 -0.164
4.40E-03 0.8 -1.733 -0.856 -0.132
0.6 -1.880 0.857 -0.099
0.4 -2.029 -0.855 -0.066
0.2 -2.178 -0.850 -0.033
0.0 -2.326 -0.842 0.000
-0.2 -2.472 -0.830 0.033
-0.4 -2.615 -0.816 0.066
-0.6 -2.775 -0.800 0.099
-0.8 -2.891 -0.780 0.132
-1.0 -3.022 -0.758 0.164
-1.2 -2.149 -0.732 0.195
-1.4 -2.271 -0.705 0.225
-1.6 -2.388 -0.675 0.254
-1.8 -3.499 -0.643 0.282
-2.0 -3.605 -0.609 0.307
-2.2 -3.705 -0.574 0.330
-2.4 -3.800 -0.537 0.351
-2.6 -3.889 -0.490 0.368
-2.8 -3.973 -0.469 0.384
-3.0 -7.051 -0.420 0.396
 Nilai K Untuk Distribusi Log - Person III
al Kejadian (Recurrence Interval), Tahun (Periode Ulang)
2 5 10 25 50 100
Presentase Peluang Terlampaui (Percent Chance Of Being Exceeded)
50 20 10 4 2 1
-0.396 0.420 1.180 2.278 3.125 4.051
-0.384 0.460 1.210 2.275 3.114 3.973
-0.368 0.499 1.238 2.267 3.071 2.889
-0.351 0.537 1.262 2.256 3.023 3.800
-0.330 0.574 1.284 2.240 2.970 3.705
-0.307 0.609 1.302 2.219 2.192 3.605
-0.282 0.643 1.318 2.193 2.848 3.499
-0.254 0.675 1.329 2.163 2.780 3.388
-0.225 0.705 1.337 2.128 2.706 3.271
-0.195 0.732 1.340 2.087 2.626 3.149
-0.164 0.758 1.340 2.043 2.542 3.022
-0.132 0.780 1.336 1.993 2.453 2.891
-0.099 0.800 1.328 1.939 2.359 2.755
-0.066 0.816 1.317 1.880 2.261 2.615
-0.033 0.830 1.301 1.818 2.159 2.472
0.000 0.842 1.282 1.751 2.051 2.326
0.033 0.850 1.258 1.680 1.945 2.178
0.066 0.855 1.231 1.606 1.834 2.029
0.099 0.857 1.200 1.528 1.720 1.880
0.132 0.856 1.660 1.448 1.606 1.733
0.164 0.852 1.128 1.366 1.492 1.588
0.195 0.844 1.086 1.282 1.379 1.449
0.225 0.832 1.041 1.198 1.270 1.318
0.254 0.817 0.994 1.116 1.166 1.197
0.282 0.799 0.945 1.035 1.069 1.087
0.307 0.777 0.895 0.959 0.980 0.990
0.330 0.752 0.844 0.888 0.900 0.905
0.351 0.725 0.795 0.823 0.830 0.832
0.368 0.696 0.747 0.764 0.768 0.769
0.384 0.666 0.702 0.712 0.714 0.714
0.396 0.636 0.660 0.666 0.666 0.667
100

1
4.051
3.973
2.889
3.800
3.705
3.605
3.499
3.388
3.271
3.149
3.022
2.891
2.755
2.615
2.472
2.326
2.178
2.029
1.880
1.733
1.588
1.449
1.318
1.197
1.087
0.990
0.905
0.832
0.769
0.714
0.667

Nilai K Untuk Distribusi Lo

Interval Kejadian (Recurrence Interval)
1.0101 1.2500 2
Cs (Skewnness) Presentase Peluang Terlampau
99 80 50
3 -0.667 -0.636 -0.396
2.8 -0.714 -0.666 -0.384
2.6 -0.769 -0.696 -0.368
2.4 -0.832 -0.725 -0.351
2.2 -0.905 -0.752 -0.33
2 -0.99 -0.777 -0.307
1.8 -0.1087 -0.799 -0.282
1.6 -1.197 -0.817 -0.254
1.4 -1.318 -0.832 -0.225
1.2 -1.449 -0.844 -0.195
1 -1.588 -0.852 -0.164
0.8 -1.733 -0.856 -0.132
0.6 -1.88 0.857 -0.099
0.4 -2.029 -0.855 -0.066
0.2 -2.178 -0.85 -0.033
0 -2.326 -0.842 0
-0.2 -2.472 -0.83 0.033
-0.4 -2.615 -0.816 0.066
-0.6 -2.775 -0.8 0.099
-0.8 -2.891 -0.78 0.132
-1 -3.022 -0.758 0.164
-1.2 -2.149 -0.732 0.195
-1.4 -2.271 -0.705 0.225
-1.6 -2.388 -0.675 0.254
-1.8 -3.499 -0.643 0.282
-2 -3.605 -0.609 0.307
-2.2 -3.705 -0.574 0.33
-2.4 -3.8 -0.537 0.351
-2.6 -3.889 -0.49 0.368
-2.8 -3.973 -0.469 0.384
-3 -7.051 -0.42 0.396
Nilai K Untuk Distribusi Log - Person III
Kejadian (Recurrence Interval), Tahun (Periode Ulang)
5 10 25 50 100
resentase Peluang Terlampaui (Percent Chance Of Being Exceeded)
20 10 4 2 1
0.42 1.18 2.278 3.125 4.051
0.46 1.21 2.275 3.114 3.973
0.499 1.238 2.267 3.071 2.889
0.537 1.262 2.256 3.023 3.8
0.574 1.284 2.24 2.97 3.705
0.609 1.302 2.219 2.192 3.605
0.643 1.318 2.193 2.848 3.499
0.675 1.329 2.163 2.78 3.388
0.705 1.337 2.128 2.706 3.271
0.732 1.34 2.087 2.626 3.149
0.758 1.34 2.043 2.542 3.022
0.78 1.336 1.993 2.453 2.891
0.8 1.328 1.939 2.359 2.755
0.816 1.317 1.88 2.261 2.615
0.83 1.301 1.818 2.159 2.472
0.842 1.282 1.751 2.051 2.326
0.85 1.258 1.68 1.945 2.178
0.855 1.231 1.606 1.834 2.029
0.857 1.2 1.528 1.72 1.88
0.856 1.66 1.448 1.606 1.733
0.852 1.128 1.366 1.492 1.588
0.844 1.086 1.282 1.379 1.449
0.832 1.041 1.198 1.27 1.318
0.817 0.994 1.116 1.166 1.197
0.799 0.945 1.035 1.069 1.087
0.777 0.895 0.959 0.98 0.99
0.752 0.844 0.888 0.9 0.905
0.725 0.795 0.823 0.83 0.832
0.696 0.747 0.764 0.768 0.769
0.666 0.702 0.712 0.714 0.714
0.636 0.66 0.666 0.666 0.667
 n 10
S 35.7064
Parameter Statistik Cv 0.2836
Ck 4.4800
Cs 0.769572

1. Tabel perhitungan parameter statistic

Tahun YN SN YT S Xrt XT(mm)
2 0.4952 0.9496 0.3668 35.7064 125.89 121.0619682378
5 0.4952 0.9496 1.5004 35.7064 125.89 163.68702124118
10 0.4952 0.9496 2.251 35.7064 125.89 191.9107022436
25 0.4952 0.9496 3.1993 35.7064 125.89 227.56819850604
50 0.4952 0.9496 3.9028 35.7064 125.89 254.02084916578
100 0.4952 0.9496 4.6012 35.7064 125.89 280.2817322088