Metode Aritmatika Tahun Jumlah Penduduk (Po) n Ka Pn

2010 1056701 0 1056701

2011 1137894 1 81193 1062351
2012 1235651 2 97757 1068001
2013 1135412 3 -100239 1073651
2014 1030520 4 -104892 1079301
2015 1188985 5 158465 1084951
2016 1236399 6 47414 1090601
2017 1283196 7 46797 1096251
2018 1329773 8 46577 1101901
2019 1107551 9 -222222 1107551
Total 50850
Rata-rata 5650.0
Standar Deviasi
 Pn-Po (Pn-Po)2
0 0
-75543 5706744849
-167650 28106522500
-61761 3814421121
48781 2379585961
-104034 10823073156
-145798 21257056804
-186945 34948433025
-227872 51925648384
0 0
158961485800

132899.91
Metode Geometrik Tahun Jumlah Penduduk (Po) n ln Po Kg
2010 1056701 0 13.87066
2011 1137894 1 13.94469 0.074
2012 1235651 2 14.02711 0.082
2013 1135412 3 13.94251 -0.085
2014 1030520 4 13.84557 -0.097
2015 1188985 5 13.98861 0.143
2016 1236399 6 14.02771 0.039
2017 1283196 7 14.06486 0.037
2018 1329773 8 14.10052 0.036
2019 1107551 9 13.91766 -0.183
Total 0.047
Rata-rata 0.005
Standar Deviasi
 ln Pn Pn Pn-Po (Pn-Po)2
13.871 1056701 0 0
13.876 1062234 -75660 5724480960
13.881 1067795 -167856 28175512952
13.886 1073386 -62026 3847205185
13.892 1079006 48486 2350913326
13.897 1084656 -104329 10884601935
13.902 1090335 -146064 21334759147
13.907 1096044 -187152 35026031603
13.912 1101782 -227991 51979776515
13.918 1107551 0 0
159323281624

133051.07
Metode Bunga-berbunga Tahun Jumlah Penduduk (Po) n r Pn
2010 1056701 0 1056701
2011 1137894 1 7.68% 1067259
2012 1235651 2 8.59% 1077923
2013 1135412 3 -8.11% 1088693
2014 1030520 4 -9.24% 1099571
2015 1188985 5 15.38% 1110558
2016 1236399 6 3.99% 1121655
2017 1283196 7 3.78% 1132862
2018 1329773 8 3.63% 1144181
2019 1107551 9 -16.71% 1155614
Total 8.99%
Rata-rata 0.010
Standar Deviasi
 Pn-Po (Pn-Po)2
0 0
-70635 4989258376
-157728 24878080579
-46719 2182618666
69051 4768106160
-78427 6150771700
-114744 13166279593
-150334 22600338858
-185592 34444312794
48063 2310014402
115489781128

113279.29
Tahun Jumlah Penduduk (jiwa) Metode Terpilih adalah Metode Bunga-berbunga
2010 1,056,701 r = 0.009992
2011 1,137,894
2012 1,235,651
2013 1,135,412 Jumlah
2014 1,030,520
2015 1,188,985 1,400,000
2016 1,236,399
2017 1,283,196 1,200,000
2018 1,329,773
2019 1,107,551 1,000,000
2020 1,118,617
2021 1,129,794 800,000
2022 1,141,083
2023 1,152,484
600,000
2024 1,164,000
2025 1,175,630
400,000
2026 1,187,377
2027 1,199,241
2028 1,211,223 200,000
2029 1,223,326
2030 1,235,549 -
2031 1,247,894 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
2032 1,260,363
2033 1,272,956
2034 1,285,675
2035 1,298,521 Proyeksi Jum
1,350,000

1,300,000

1,250,000

1,200,000

1,150,000

1,100,000

1,050,000

1,000,000
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 20
1,050,000

1,000,000
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 20
 Jumlah Penduduk (jiwa)

Jumlah Penduduk (jiwa)

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Proyeksi Jumlah Penduduk (Jiwa)

Proyeksi Jumlah Penduduk

2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035
2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035
h Penduduk (jiwa)

Jumlah Penduduk
 Jumlah Penduduk Tahun (jiwa
No Kecamatan
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
1 Belakang Padang 20,469 20,674 20880 21089 21299 21512
2 Bulang 11,310 11,423 11537 11652 11769 11886
3 Galang 17,183 17,355 17528 17703 17880 18059
4 Sungai Beduk 86,220 87,081 87952 88830 89718 90614
5 Sagulung 188,333 190,215 192115 194035 195974 197932
6 Nongsa 71,847 72,565 73290 74022 74762 75509
7 Batam Kota 176,287 178,048 179827 181624 183439 185272
8 Sekupang 141,314 142,726 144152 145592 147047 148516
9 Batu Aji 130,012 131,311 132623 133948 135287 136638
10 Lubuk Baja 90,560 91,465 92379 93302 94234 95176
11 Batu Ampar 62,093 62,713 63340 63973 64612 65258
12 Bengkong 111,923 113,041 114171 115312 116464 117627
Jumlah 1,107,551 1,118,617 1,129,794 1,141,083 1,152,484 1,164,000
h Penduduk Tahun (jiwa)

2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2020 2021 2022

21727 21944 22164 22385 22609 22835 70% 70% 70%
12005 12125 12246 12369 12492 12617 70% 70% 70%
18239 18421 18606 18791 18979 19169 70% 70% 70%
91520 92434 93358 94291 95233 96184 70% 70% 70%
199910 201907 203924 205962 208020 210098 70% 70% 70%
76263 77025 77795 78572 79357 80150 70% 70% 70%
187123 188993 190881 192788 194715 196660 70% 70% 70%
150000 151499 153013 154542 156086 157645 70% 70% 70%
138004 139383 140775 142182 143602 145037 70% 70% 70%
96127 97087 98057 99037 100026 101026 70% 70% 70%
65910 66568 67233 67905 68584 69269 70% 70% 70%
118803 119990 121189 122400 123623 124858 70% 70% 70%
1,175,630 1,187,377 1,199,241 1,211,223 1,223,326 1,235,549
 % Pelayanan Tahun

2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2020 2021
70% 70% 70% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 14,471 14,616
70% 70% 70% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 7,996 8,076
70% 70% 70% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 12,148 12,270
70% 70% 70% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 60,957 61,566
70% 70% 70% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 133,150 134,481
70% 70% 70% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 50,795 51,303
70% 70% 70% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 124,634 125,879
70% 70% 70% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 99,908 100,906
70% 70% 70% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 91,918 92,836
70% 70% 70% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 64,025 64,665
70% 70% 70% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 43,899 44,338
70% 70% 70% 80% 80% 80% 80% 80% 79,129 79,920
783,032 790,856
 Penduduk Terlayani Tahun (jiwa)

2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

14,762 14,910 15,059 15,209 17,555 17,731 17,908 18,087 18,268
8,157 8,238 8,321 8,404 9,700 9,797 9,895 9,994 10,094
12,392 12,516 12,641 12,767 14,737 14,884 15,033 15,183 15,335
62,181 62,803 63,430 64,064 73,947 74,686 75,433 76,186 76,947
135,824 137,182 138,552 139,937 161,526 163,139 164,770 166,416 168,079
51,816 52,333 52,856 53,384 61,620 62,236 62,858 63,486 64,120
127,137 128,407 129,690 130,986 151,194 152,705 154,231 155,772 157,328
101,915 102,933 103,961 105,000 121,199 122,410 123,633 124,869 126,116
93,764 94,701 95,647 96,603 111,506 112,620 113,745 114,882 116,030
65,311 65,964 66,623 67,289 77,670 78,446 79,230 80,021 80,821
44,781 45,228 45,680 46,137 53,255 53,787 54,324 54,867 55,415
80,718 81,525 82,339 83,162 95,992 96,951 97,920 98,898 99,886
798,758 806,739 814,800 822,941 949,902 959,393 968,979 978,661 988,439
Konsumsi Air Kebutuhan Air Tahun (L/det)
(L/org/hari)
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
130 21.77 21.99 22.21 22.43 22.66 22.88 26.41 26.68 26.94 27.21
130 12.03 12.15 12.27 12.40 12.52 12.64 14.60 14.74 14.89 15.04
130 18.28 18.46 18.65 18.83 19.02 19.21 22.17 22.40 22.62 22.85
130 91.72 92.63 93.56 94.49 95.44 96.39 111.26 112.38 113.50 114.63
130 200.34 202.34 204.37 206.41 208.47 210.55 243.04 245.46 247.92 250.39
130 76.43 77.19 77.96 78.74 79.53 80.32 92.72 93.64 94.58 95.52
130 187.53 189.40 191.29 193.21 195.14 197.09 227.49 229.76 232.06 234.38
130 150.32 151.83 153.34 154.88 156.42 157.99 182.36 184.18 186.02 187.88
130 138.30 139.68 141.08 142.49 143.91 145.35 167.78 169.45 171.14 172.85
130 96.33 97.30 98.27 99.25 100.24 101.24 116.86 118.03 119.21 120.40
130 66.05 66.71 67.38 68.05 68.73 69.42 80.13 80.93 81.74 82.55
130 119.06 120.25 121.45 122.66 123.89 125.13 144.43 145.88 147.33 148.80
1178.17 1189.95 1201.84 1213.84 1225.97 1238.22 1429.25 1443.53 1457.95 1472.52
 2030 r= 0.009992
27.49
15.19
23.07
115.78
252.90
96.48
236.72
189.76
174.58
121.61
83.38
150.29
1487.23
 % Kebutuhan Kebutuhan Air Non Domestik Tahun (L/det)
No Kecamatan Air Non
Domestik 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
1 Belakang Padang 20% 4.02 4.06 4.10 4.14 4.18 4.22 4.88 4.93
2 Bulang 20% 2.22 2.24 2.27 2.29 2.31 2.33 2.69 2.72
3 Galang 20% 3.37 3.41 3.44 3.48 3.51 3.55 4.09 4.13
4 Sungai Beduk 20% 16.93 17.10 17.27 17.45 17.62 17.80 20.54 20.75
5 Sagulung 20% 36.99 37.36 37.73 38.11 38.49 38.87 44.87 45.32
6 Nongsa 20% 14.11 14.25 14.39 14.54 14.68 14.83 17.12 17.29
7 Batam Kota 20% 34.62 34.97 35.32 35.67 36.03 36.39 42.00 42.42
8 Sekupang 20% 27.75 28.03 28.31 28.59 28.88 29.17 33.67 34.00
9 Batu Aji 20% 25.53 25.79 26.05 26.31 26.57 26.83 30.97 31.28
10 Lubuk Baja 20% 17.78 17.96 18.14 18.32 18.51 18.69 21.57 21.79
11 Batu Ampar 20% 12.19 12.32 12.44 12.56 12.69 12.82 14.79 14.94
12 Bengkong 20% 21.98 22.20 22.42 22.65 22.87 23.10 26.66 26.93
Jumlah 217.51 219.68 221.88 224.09 226.33 228.59 263.86 266.50

Ket: Asumsi kebutuhan air non domestik adalah 20% dari kebutuhan air domestik
Tahun (L/det)

2028 2029 2030 r= 0.009992

4.97 5.02 5.07
2.75 2.78 2.80
4.18 4.22 4.26
20.95 21.16 21.37
45.77 46.23 46.69
17.46 17.63 17.81
42.84 43.27 43.70
34.34 34.69 35.03
31.60 31.91 32.23
22.01 22.23 22.45
15.09 15.24 15.39
27.20 27.47 27.75
269.16 271.85 274.57
No. Deskripsi Satuan 2020 2021 2022
1 Jumlah Penduduk Jiwa 1,118,617 1,129,794 1,141,083
2 % Pelayanan % 70% 70% 70%
3 Penduduk Terlayani jiwa 783,032 790,856 798,758
4 Kebutuhan Domestik L/dtk 1,178.17 1,189.95 1,201.84
5 Kebutuhan Non Domestik L/dtk 217.51 219.68 221.88
6 Keb. Domestik + Non Domestik L/dtk 1,395.68 1,409.63 1,423.71
% 20% 20% 20%
7 Kehilangan Air
L/dtk 372.18 375.90 379.66
8 Kebutuhan harian rata-rata L/dtk 1767.86 1785.53 1803.37
9 Fmd 1.5 1.5 1.5
10 Qmd L/dtk 2651.80 2678.29 2705.05
11 Fph 1.5 1.5 1.5
12 Qph L/dtk 3977.69 4017.44 4057.58

Ket:
Fmd = Faktor Hari Maksimum
Qmd = Debit Hari Maksimum
Fph = Faktor Jam Puncak
Qph = Debit Jam Puncak
 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
1,152,484 1,164,000 1,175,630 1,187,377 1,199,241 1,211,223 1,223,326
70% 70% 70% 80% 80% 80% 80%
806,739 814,800 822,941 949,902 959,393 968,979 978,661
1,213.84 1,225.97 1,238.22 1,429.25 1,443.53 1,457.95 1,472.52
224.09 226.33 228.59 263.86 266.50 269.16 271.85
1,437.94 1,452.31 1,466.82 1,693.11 1,710.03 1,727.11 1,744.37
20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20%
383.45 387.28 391.15 451.50 456.01 460.56 465.17
1821.39 1839.59 1857.97 2144.61 2166.04 2187.68 2209.54
1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5
2732.08 2759.38 2786.95 3216.91 3249.05 3281.52 3314.31
1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5
4098.12 4139.07 4180.43 4825.37 4873.58 4922.28 4971.46
 2030
1,235,549
80%
988,439
1,487.23
274.57
1,761.80
20%
469.81
2231.61
1.5
3347.42
1.5
5021.13