(OK) Analisis Frekuensi (Weibull) Pangandaran

Dari Analisis Hujan Wilayah dengan menggunakan Polygon Thiessen
DAS Cikidang hanya masuk 1 pos hujan yaitu Cikembulan
Stasiun (mm)
No TAHUN
CIKEMBULAN CIMERAK PARIGI
1 2004 47 71 92
2 2005 71 88 98.5
3 2006 91 96 92
4 2007 118 141 154
5 2008 104.8 90 95
6 2009 148 96 185
7 2010 211 120 122
8 2011 72 85 139
9 2012 91 114 90
10 2013 123 92 200
11 2014 202 137 120
12 2015 122 93 175
13 2016 208 125 286
14 2017 154 497 274
Rata2 125.914285714286 144.9 151.607142857143
Stasiun (mm)
No TAHUN
Cikembulan (mm)
1 2004 47
2 2005 71
3 2006 91
4 2007 118
5 2008 105
6 2009 148
7 2010 211
8 2011 72
9 2012 91
10 2013 123
11 2014 202
12 2015 122
13 2016 208
14 2017 154
Uji Outlier Data Hujan Harian Maksimum STA : POS Cikembulan
No Tahun X Log X LogX-logXr (LogX-logXr)2
1 2004 47.00 1.672 -0.390 0.1523

2 2005 71.00 1.851 -0.211 0.0446
3 2006 91.00 1.959 -0.103 0.0107
4 2007 118.00 2.072 0.010 0.0001
5 2008 104.80 2.020 -0.042 0.0018
6 2009 148.00 2.170 0.108 0.0116
7 2010 211.00 2.324 0.262 0.0686
8 2011 72.00 1.857 -0.205 0.0420
9 2012 91.00 1.959 -0.103 0.0107
10 2013 123.00 2.090 0.028 0.0008
11 2014 202.00 2.305 0.243 0.0591
12 2015 122.00 2.086 0.024 0.0006
13 2016 208.00 2.318 0.256 0.0654
14 2017 154.00 2.188 0.125 0.0157
Rerata = 2.06
Standar Deviasi (Stdev) = 0.19
Skewness (Cs) = -0.34
n = 14
Kn = 2.213 (tabel)
STA :POS Cikembulan
Batas atas (XH) = 308.50 Batas Atas Diterima
Batas bawah (XL) = 43.19 Batas Bawah Diterima
Tabel Uji Outlier
(LogX-logXr)3 Jumlah Jumlah Jumlah

Kn Kn Kn
Data (n) Data (n) Data (n)
-0.0594 10 2.036 24 2.467 38 2.661
-0.0094 11 2.088 25 2.486 39 2.671
-0.0011 12 2.135 26 2.502 40 2.682
0.0000 13 2.175 27 2.519 41 2.692
-0.0001 14 2.213 28 2.534 42 2.700
0.0013 15 2.247 29 2.549 43 2.710
0.0180 16 2.279 30 2.563 44 2.719
-0.0086 17 2.309 31 2.577 45 2.727
-0.0011 18 2.335 32 2.591 46 2.736
0.0000 19 2.361 33 2.604 47 2.744
0.0144 20 2.385 34 2.616 48 2.753
0.0000 21 2.408 35 2.628 49 2.760
0.0167 22 2.429 36 2.390 50 2.768
0.0020 23 2.448 37 2.650 55 2.804
as Diterima
wah Diterima
Jumlah
Kn
Data (n)
60 2.837
65 2.866
70 2.893
75 2.917
80 2.940
85 2.961
90 2.981
95 3.000
100 3.017
110 3.049
120 3.078
130 3.104
140 3.129
.
Sub DAS 0
No NM_LAHAN Luas_HA Koef Run off
0 Perkebunan/Kebun 67.077721401 0.50
1 Sawah 17.2753197647 0.80
2 Wilayah Administrasi Keluruhan/Desa 111.74994509 0.40
Jumlah 196.103 1.70
Cs Komposit
CN Komposit
Sub DAS 1
0 Padang Rumput 0.296352843679 0.45
2 Sawah 26.2647671539 0.80
Jumlah 150.993 2.15
Cs Komposit
CN Komposit
Sub DAS 2
0 Empang 2.09466105348 0.50
1 Gedung/Bangunan 0.008422336087 0.80
3 Sawah 18.5635347248 0.80
4 Sungai 8.77671275299 0.75
5 Tegalan/Ladang 4.18385966461 0.60
Jumlah 257.174 4.35
Cs Komposit
CN Komposit
Sub DAS 3
1 Sawah 20.2546740183 0.80
Jumlah 83.746 72.20
Cs Komposit
CN Komposit
Sub DAS 4
1 Sawah 179.817719036 0.80
2 Tegalan/Ladang 7.67445699727 0.60
Jumlah 503.618 2.30
Cs Komposit
CN Komposit
Sub DAS 5
1 Sawah 131.915733801 0.80
Jumlah 458.515 1.70
Cs Komposit
CN Komposit
Sub DAS 6
0 Padang Rumput 0.026308597447 0.45
2 Sawah 30.8752962809 0.80
Jumlah 93.715 2.15
Cs Komposit
CN Komposit
Koef Curve Number

Perkebunan/Kebun = 71
Sawah = 71
Wilayah Administrasi Keluruhan/Desa = 85
Padang Rumput = 58
Empang = 55
Gedung/Bangunan = 98
Sungai = 71
Tegalan/Ladang = 48
Semak Belukar = 48
Koef Run off

Perkebunan/Kebun = 0.5
Sawah = 0.8
Wilayah Administrasi Keluruhan/Desa = 0.4
Padang Rumput = 0.45
Empang = 0.5
Gedung/Bangunan = 0.8
Sungai = 0.75
Tegalan/Ladang = 0.6
Semak Belukar = 0.25
No
0
1
2
3
No
0
1
2
3
Koef Curve Number Koef x Luas Cn x Luas No

71 33.539 4762.518 0
71 13.820 1226.548 1
85 44.700 9498.745 2
227.000 92.059 15487.811
0.469
78.978
Koef Curve Number Koef x Luas Cn x Luas No

58 0.133 17.188 0
71 14.184 2014.070 1
71 21.012 1864.798 2
98 38.426 9414.314 3
298.000 73.755 13310.371 4
0.488
88.152
Koef Curve Number Koef x Luas Cn x Luas

55 1.047 115.206 No
98 0.007 0.825 0
71 23.124 3283.654 1
71 14.851 1318.011 2
71 6.583 623.147
48 2.510 200.825
85 70.919 15070.329
499.000 119.041 20611.998
0.463
80.148 No
0
1
Koef Curve Number Koef x Luas Cn x Luas 2
71 1371.741 1371.741
71 16.204 1438.082
85 17.669 3754.576
227.000 1405.613 6564.399
16.784
78.384 No
0
1
71 25.566 3630.424 3
71 143.854 12767.058 4
48 4.605 368.374
85 105.997 22524.438
275.000 280.023 39290.294
0.556
78.016
No
0
71 43.482 6174.457 2
71 105.533 9366.017 3
85 95.854 20368.955 4
227.000 244.869 35909.429 5
6
0.534
78.317

58 0.012 1.526
71 4.945 702.237
71 24.700 2192.146
85 21.169 4498.466
285.000 50.827 7394.375
0.542
78.902
1(b)
1(b)
7(a)
2(3)
gaada ditabel
8
gaada ditabel
2(4)
Sub DAS 7
NM_LAHAN Luas_HA Koef Run off
Perkebunan/Kebun 67.9615082158 0.50
Sawah 182.358873041 0.80
Tegalan/Ladang 4.26485107417 0.60
Wilayah Administrasi Keluruhan/Desa 310.958161664 0.40
Jumlah 565.543 2.30
Cs Komposit
CN Komposit
Sub DAS 8
Sawah 62.6775697698 0.80
Semak Belukar 10.5354854518 0.25
Jumlah 233.196 1.95
Cs Komposit
CN Komposit
Sub DAS 9
Sawah 52.5446383788 0.80
Jumlah 184.749 1.70
Cs Komposit
CN Komposit
Sub DAS 10
Sawah 31.2093895303 0.80
Semak Belukar 1.47270820283 0.25
Tegalan/Ladang 7.1523910644 0.60
Jumlah 187.845 2.55
Cs Komposit
CN Komposit
Sub DAS 11
Sawah 23.4794745332 0.80
Jumlah 86.184 1.70
Cs Komposit
CN Komposit
Sub DAS 12
Sawah 20.6391483944 0.80
Jumlah 102.032 1.70
Cs Komposit
CN Komposit
Sub DAS 13
Sawah 78.5669009905 0.80
Semak Belukar 1.20893517937 0.25
Tegalan/Ladang 24.4411982192 0.60
Jumlah 764.390 73.05
Cs Komposit
CN Komposit
Sub DAS 14
Gedung/Bangunan 0.316562663266 0.80
Padang Rumput 6.38262612791 0.45
Sawah 86.4851518999 0.80
Sungai 0.352151840689 0.75
Tegalan/Ladang 0.084208795282 0.60
Jumlah 635.558 4.30
Cs Komposit
CN Komposit
71 33.981 4825.267
71 145.887 12947.480
48 2.559 204.713
85 124.383 26431.444
275.000 306.810 44408.904
0.543
78.524

71 18.067 2565.464
71 50.142 4450.107
48 2.634 505.703
85 49.540 10527.183
275.000 120.382 18048.457
0.516
77.396

71 10.784 1531.355
71 42.036 3730.669
85 44.254 9404.046
227.000 97.074 14666.071
0.525
79.384
0
71 26.718 3793.904
71 24.968 2215.867
48 0.368 70.690
48 4.291 343.315
85 37.830 8038.887
323.000 94.175 14462.662
0.501
76.993
1
71 5.917 840.227
71 18.784 1667.043
85 20.348 4324.011
227.000 45.049 6831.280
0.523
79.264
2
71 6.615 939.274
71 16.511 1465.380
85 27.265 5793.908
227.000 50.391 8198.562
0.494
80.353
3
71 19373.850 19373.850
71 62.854 5578.250
48 0.302 58.029
48 14.665 1173.178
48 154.921 18590.505
286.000 19606.592 44773.812
25.650
58.575
4
98 0.253 31.023
58 2.872 370.192
71 79.528 11292.998
71 69.188 6140.446
71 0.264 25.003
48 0.051 4.042
85 153.152 32544.879
502.000 305.309 50408.583
0.480
79.314
Parameter Basin DAS Cikembulan
Time g
Luas Panjang Sungai Lc Lag Coefici
No Sub DAS CN C1 Ct
Ha Km2 m Km Km (jam) ent
0 382.88 3.83 70.2 0.75 1.80 4059.98 4.1 1.4 2.3 0.75
1 111.75 1.12 70.2 0.75 1.80 979.2229 1.0 0.3 1.0 0.75
2 96.06 0.96 70.2 0.75 1.80 522.94 0.5 0.2 0.7 0.75
3 177.42 1.77 70.2 0.75 1.80 281.31 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.75
4 44.17 0.44 70.2 0.75 1.80 539.12 0.5 0.2 0.7 0.75
5 265.01 2.65 70.2 0.75 1.80 1235.17 1.2 0.4 1.1 0.75
6 239.66 2.40 70.2 0.75 1.80 2492.63 2.5 0.8 1.7 0.75
7 52.92 0.53 70.2 0.75 1.80 500.03 0.5 0.2 0.6 0.75
8 310.96 3.11 70.2 0.75 1.80 3,743.23 3.7 1.2 2.1 0.75
9 123.85 1.24 70.2 0.75 1.80 890.6413 0.9 0.3 0.9 0.75
10 110.64 1.11 70.2 0.75 1.80 866.6582 0.9 0.3 0.9 0.75
11 94.58 0.95 70.2 0.75 1.80 1,468.25 1.5 0.5 1.2 0.75
12 50.87 0.51 70.2 0.75 1.80 604.7742 0.6 0.2 0.7 0.75
13 68.17 0.68 70.2 0.75 1.80 870.0624 0.9 0.3 0.9 0.75
14 387.32 3.87 70.2 0.75 1.80 3,305.13 3.3 1.1 2.0 0.75
Equation parameters
Pe = Excess Precipitation
P = Accumulated rainfall
S = Potential maximum retention
S = (25,400 – 254 * CN) / CN
Ia = Initial abstraction = 0.2 * S
CN = Curve Number
CNcomposite = sum (Ai * CNi) / sum Ai
CN = 30 (very permeable)
CN = 100 (impervious cover)
Potential Initial
Impervious 1. Lag time (tL): time from the center of rainfall – excess to the UH peak
maximu Abstraction
(%) tL = C1Ct (LLc)0.3
m (mm)
107.8 21.6 20.0 where
107.8 21.6 20.0 tL = Time [hrs];
107.8 21.6 20.0 C1 = 0.75 for SI unit; 1.0 for English unit;
107.8 21.6 20.0 Ct = Coefficient which is a function of watershed slope and shape, 1.8~2.2 (fo
107.8 21.6 20.0 is smaller);
L = length of the main channel [mi, km]; L c = length along the main channel t
107.8 21.6 20.0
nearest to the watershed centroid
107.8 21.6 20.0
107.8 21.6 20.0
107.8 21.6 20.0
107.8 21.6 20.0
107.8 21.6 20.0
107.8 21.6 20.0
107.8 21.6 20.0
107.8 21.6 20.0
107.8 21.6 20.0
excess to the UH peak
ope and shape, 1.8~2.2 (for steeper slope, C t
h along the main channel to the point

CURAH HUJAN HARIAN MAKSIMUM TAHUNAN
Analisa Curah Hujan Rencana

Distribusi Normal
No. Tahun No. Urut Rmax (mm/hr) Rmax-urut (mm/hr)

1 2004 14 47.00 211.00
2 2005 13 71.00 208.00
3 2006 10 91.00 202.00
4 2007 8 118.00 154.00
5 2008 9 104.80 148.00
6 2009 5 148.00 123.00
7 2010 1 211.00 122.00
8 2011 12 72.00 118.00
9 2012 11 91.00 104.80
10 2013 6 123.00 91.00
11 2014 3 202.00 91.00
12 2015 7 122.00 72.00
13 2016 2 208.00 71.00
14 2017 4 154.00 47.00
Jumlah Data N 14
Nilai Rata-rata µ 125.914
Standar Deviasi σ 50.824
Tr (thn) KTr RTr (mm/hr)

2 0.00 125.91
5 0.84 168.61
10 1.28 190.97
25 1.64 209.27
50 2.05 230.10
100 2.33 244.33
200 2.58 257.04
1000 3.09 282.96
2
3
4
Uji Kecocokan - Rata-rata Prosentase Error
Distribusi Normal
m Weibull Tr KTr Rmax-aktualRmax-prediksi % Error m

1 0.07 15.00 1.28 211.00 190.97 9.49 1
2 0.13 7.50 1.06 208.00 179.79 13.56 2
3 0.20 5.00 0.84 202.00 168.61 16.53 3
4 0.27 3.75 0.60 154.00 156.43 1.58 4
5 0.33 3.00 0.39 148.00 145.74 1.53 5
6 0.40 2.50 0.25 123.00 138.62 12.70 6
7 0.47 2.14 0.07 122.00 129.54 6.18 7
8 0.53 1.88 -0.09 118.00 121.10 2.63 8
9 0.60 1.67 -0.25 104.80 113.21 8.02 9
10 0.67 1.50 -0.44 91.00 103.49 13.72 10
11 0.73 1.36 -0.62 91.00 94.43 3.77 11
12 0.80 1.25 -0.84 72.00 83.22 15.59 12
13 0.87 1.15 -1.14 71.00 67.86 4.42 13
14 0.93 1.07 -1.51 47.00 49.10 4.46 14
Total Prosentase Error (%) 114.19

Jumlah Data 14.00
Rata-rata Prosentase Error (%) 8.16
1000 75.8
200 70.1
100 67.4
50 64.3
25 59.7
10 55.8
5 50.9
2 41.6
interpolasi Tr
20.000 1.280 5 4.000 0.670 9
15.000 1.280 3.000 0.390
10.000 1.280 2.500 0.250
10.000 1.280 6 4.000 0.670 10

7.500 1.060 2.500 0.250
5.000 0.840 2.500 0.250
10.000 1.280 7 2.500 0.250 11

5.000 0.840 2.143 0.071
5.000 0.840 2.000 0.000
5.000 0.840 8 2.000 0.000 12

3.750 0.600 1.875 -0.095
3.330 0.520 1.670 -0.250
Harga KTr Distribu
Uji Kecocokan - Deviasi
Distribusi Normal No.
1
2
3
Weibull Tr KTr Rmax-aktualRmax-prediksi (Selisih)2 4
5
0.07 15.00 1.28 211.00 190.97 401.23 6
0.13 7.50 1.06 208.00 179.79 795.92 7
0.20 5.00 0.84 202.00 168.61 1115.12 8
0.27 3.75 0.60 154.00 156.43 5.92 9
0.33 3.00 0.39 148.00 145.74 5.13 10
0.40 2.50 0.25 123.00 138.62 243.99 11
0.47 2.14 0.07 122.00 129.54 56.92 12
0.53 1.88 -0.09 118.00 121.10 9.62 13
0.60 1.67 -0.25 104.80 113.21 70.70 14
0.67 1.50 -0.44 91.00 103.49 155.95 15
0.73 1.36 -0.62 91.00 94.43 11.74 16
0.80 1.25 -0.84 72.00 83.22 125.93 17
0.87 1.15 -1.14 71.00 67.86 9.84 18
0.93 1.07 -1.51 47.00 49.10 4.40 19
20
21
Total Selisih Pangkat Dua 3012.42
Jumlah Data 14.00 Harga d Distribus
Deviasi (δ) 15.22 No.
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
1.800 -0.250 13 1.250 -0.840

1.500 -0.469 1.154 -1.142
1.430 -0.520 1.110 -1.280
1.670 -0.250 14 1.110 -1.280

1.500 -0.441 1.071 -1.511
1.430 -0.520 ` 1.050 -1.640
1.430 -0.520
1.364 -0.620
1.330 -0.670
1.800 -0.250
0.000 -1.564
1.430 -0.520
Harga KTr Distribusi Normal
Tr (thn) KTr Peluang

1.001 -3.05 0.999
1.005 -2.58 0.995
1.010 -2.33 0.990
1.050 -1.64 0.950
1.110 -1.28 0.900
1.250 -0.84 0.800
1.330 -0.67 0.750
1.430 -0.52 0.700
1.670 -0.25 0.600
2.000 0.00 0.500
2.500 0.25 0.400
3.330 0.52 0.300
4.000 0.67 0.250
5.000 0.84 0.200
10.000 1.28 0.100
25.000 1.64 0.040
50.000 2.05 0.020
100.000 2.33 0.010
200.000 2.58 0.005
500.000 2.88 0.002
1000.000 3.09 0.001
Harga d Distribusi Normal

Tr (thn) d Peluang
2 1.0000 0.999
5 1.1638 0.995
10 1.3497 0.990
20 1.5340 0.950
25 1.5853 0.940
50 1.7634 0.800
100 1.9249 0.750
Harga KTr Distribusi Normal Harga d Distribusi Normal
No. Tr (thn) KTr Peluang No. Tr (thn)

1 1.001 -3.05 0.999 1 2
2 1.005 -2.58 0.995 2 5
3 1.010 -2.33 0.990 3 10
4 1.050 -1.64 0.950 4 20
5 1.110 -1.28 0.900 5 25
6 1.250 -0.84 0.800 6 50
7 1.330 -0.67 0.750 7 100
8 1.430 -0.52 0.700
9 1.670 -0.25 0.600
10 2.000 0.00 0.500
11 2.500 0.25 0.400
12 3.330 0.52 0.300
13 4.000 0.67 0.250
14 5.000 0.84 0.200
15 10.000 1.28 0.100
16 25.000 1.64 0.040
17 50.000 2.05 0.020
18 100.000 2.33 0.010
19 200.000 2.58 0.005
20 500.000 2.88 0.002
21 1000.000 3.09 0.001
Harga d Distribusi Normal
d Peluang
1.0000 0.999
1.1638 0.995
1.3497 0.990
1.5340 0.950
1.5853 0.940
1.7634 0.800
1.9249 0.750

Distribusi Log Normal
1 2004 14 47.00 211.00

2 2005 13 71.00 208.00
3 2006 10 91.00 202.00
4 2007 8 118.00 154.00
5 2008 9 104.80 148.00
6 2009 5 148.00 123.00
7 2010 1 211.00 122.00
8 2011 12 72.00 118.00
9 2012 11 91.00 104.80
10 2013 6 123.00 91.00
11 2014 3 202.00 91.00
12 2015 7 122.00 72.00
13 2016 2 208.00 71.00
14 2017 4 154.00 47.00
Jumlah Data N 14
Standar Deviasi σ 0.186
Koefisien Kepencengan Cs 0.000
Tr (thn) KTr KTr . S log (Rmax) Log (RTr)

2 0.00 0.00 2.06
5 0.84 0.16 2.22
10 1.28 0.24 2.30
25 1.64 0.30 2.37
50 2.05 0.38 2.44
100 2.33 0.43 2.50
200 2.58 0.48 2.54
1000 3.09 0.57 2.64
Log (Rmax) m Weibull Tr KTr Rmax-aktual Rmax-prediksi % Error
2.32 1 0.07 15.00 1.28 211.00 199.66 5.38

2.32 2 0.13 7.50 1.06 208.00 181.71 12.64
2.31 3 0.20 5.00 0.84 202.00 165.38 18.13
2.19 4 0.27 3.75 0.60 154.00 149.27 3.07
2.17 5 0.33 3.00 0.39 148.00 136.41 7.83
2.09 6 0.40 2.50 0.25 123.00 128.47 4.45
2.09 7 0.47 2.14 0.07 122.00 119.02 2.44
2.07 8 0.53 1.88 -0.09 118.00 110.85 6.06
2.02 9 0.60 1.67 -0.25 104.80 103.72 1.03
1.96 10 0.67 1.50 -0.44 91.00 95.57 5.02
1.96 11 0.73 1.36 -0.62 91.00 88.55 2.70
1.86 12 0.80 1.25 -0.84 72.00 80.57 11.91
1.85 13 0.87 1.15 -1.14 71.00 70.80 0.29
1.67 14 0.93 1.07 -1.51 47.00 60.45 28.61

Jumlah Data 14.00
RTr (mm/hr)
115.44
165.38
199.66
232.92
277.60
312.95
348.29
433.26
1 20.000 1.280
15.000 1.280
10.000 1.280
2 10.000 1.280
7.500 1.060
5.000 0.840
3 6.000 0.840
5.000 0.840
5.000 0.840
4 4.500 0.670
3.750 0.574
3.330 0.520
5 3.330 0.520
3.000 0.413
2.500 0.250
6 3.330 0.520
2.500 0.250
2.500 0.250
7 2.500 0.250
2.143 0.071
2.000 0.000
8 3.000 0.250
1.875 -0.869
1.100 -1.640
9 1.800 -0.250
1.667 -0.347
1.430 -0.520
10 1.700 -0.250
1.500 -0.450
1.430 -0.520
11 1.500 -0.520
#REF! #REF!
1.330 -0.670
12 1.400 -0.670
#REF! #REF!
1.250 -0.840
13 1.250 -0.840
#REF! #REF!
1.110 -1.280
14 1.200 -1.280
#REF! #REF!
1.050 -1.640
15 1.110 -1.280
#REF! #REF!
1.050 -1.640
m Weibull Tr KTr Rmax-aktual Rmax-prediksi (Selisih)2
1 0.07 15.00 1.28 211.00 199.66 128.69

2 0.13 7.50 1.06 208.00 181.71 691.01
3 0.20 5.00 0.84 202.00 165.38 1340.84
4 0.27 3.75 0.60 154.00 149.27 22.40
5 0.33 3.00 0.39 148.00 136.41 134.39
6 0.40 2.50 0.25 123.00 128.47 29.96
7 0.47 2.14 0.07 122.00 119.02 8.88
8 0.53 1.88 -0.09 118.00 110.85 51.12
9 0.60 1.67 -0.25 104.80 103.72 1.16
10 0.67 1.50 -0.44 91.00 95.57 20.87
11 0.73 1.36 -0.62 91.00 88.55 6.02
12 0.80 1.25 -0.84 72.00 80.57 73.50
13 0.87 1.15 -1.14 71.00 70.80 0.04
14 0.93 1.07 -1.51 47.00 60.45 180.83

Jumlah Data 14.00
Deviasi (δ) 14.38
Harga Yn & Sn Distribusi Gu
Sampel Yn Sn Sampel Yn
10 0.4952 0.9496 10 0.4952
11 0.4996 0.9676 11 0.4996
12 0.5035 0.9833 12 0.5035
13 0.5070 0.9971 13 0.5070
14 0.5100 1.0095 14 0.5100
15 0.5128 1.0206 15 0.5128
16 0.5157 1.0316 16 0.5157
17 0.5181 1.0411 17 0.5181
18 0.5202 1.0493 18 0.5202
19 0.5220 1.0565 19 0.5220
20 0.5236 1.0628 20 0.5236
21 0.5252 1.0696 21 0.5252
22 0.5268 1.0754 22 0.5268
23 0.5283 1.0811 23 0.5283
24 0.5296 1.0864 24 0.5296
25 0.5309 1.0915 25 0.5309
26 0.5320 1.0861 26 0.5320
27 0.5332 1.1004 27 0.5332
28 0.5343 1.1047 28 0.5343
29 0.5353 1.1086 29 0.5353
30 0.5362 1.1124 30 0.5362
31 0.5371 1.1159 31 0.5371
32 0.5380 1.1193 32 0.5380
33 0.5388 1.1226 33 0.5388
34 0.5396 1.1255 34 0.5396
35 0.5402 1.1287 35 0.5402
36 0.5410 1.1313 36 0.5410
37 0.5418 1.1339 37 0.5418
38 0.5424 1.1363 38 0.5424
39 0.5430 1.1388 39 0.5430
40 0.5436 1.1413 40 0.5436
41 0.5442 1.1436 41 0.5442
42 0.5448 1.1458 42 0.5448
43 0.5453 1.1480 43 0.5453
44 0.5458 1.1499 44 0.5458
45 0.5463 1.1519 45 0.5463
46 0.5468 1.1538 46 0.5468
47 0.5473 1.1557 47 0.5473
48 0.5477 1.1574 48 0.5477
49 0.5481 1.1590 49 0.5481
50 0.5485 1.1607 50 0.5485
51 0.5489 1.1623 51 0.5489
52 0.5493 1.1638 52 0.5493
53 0.5497 1.1658 53 0.5497
54 0.5501 1.1667 54 0.5501
55 0.5504 1.1681 55 0.5504
56 0.5508 1.1696
57 0.5511 1.1708
58 0.5515 1.1721
59 0.5519 1.1734
60 0.5521 1.1747
61 0.5524 1.1759
62 0.5527 1.1770
63 0.5530 1.1782
64 0.5533 1.1793
65 0.5535 1.1803
66 0.5538 1.1814
67 0.5540 1.1824
68 0.5543 1.1834
69 0.5545 1.1844
70 0.5548 1.1854
71 0.5550 1.1854
72 0.5552 1.1873
73 0.5555 1.1881
74 0.5557 1.1890
75 0.5559 1.1898
76 0.5561 1.1906
77 0.5563 1.1915
78 0.5565 1.1923
79 0.5567 1.1930
80 0.5569 1.1938
81 0.5570 1.1945
82 0.5572 1.1953
83 0.5574 1.1959
84 0.5576 1.1967
85 0.5578 1.1973
86 0.5580 1.1987
87 0.5581 1.1987
88 0.5583 1.1994
89 0.5583 1.2001
90 0.5586 1.2007
91 0.5587 1.2013
92 0.5589 1.2020
93 0.5591 1.2026
94 0.5592 1.2032
95 0.5593 1.2038
96 0.5595 1.2044
97 0.5596 1.2049
98 0.5598 1.2055
99 0.5599 1.2060
100 0.5600 1.2065
Harga Yn & Sn Distribusi Gumbel
Sn Sampel Yn Sn
0.9496 56 0.5508 1.1696
0.9676 57 0.5511 1.1708
0.9833 58 0.5515 1.1721
0.9971 59 0.5519 1.1734
1.0095 60 0.5521 1.1747
1.0206 61 0.5524 1.1759
1.0316 62 0.5527 1.1770
1.0411 63 0.5530 1.1782
1.0493 64 0.5533 1.1793
1.0565 65 0.5535 1.1803
1.0628 66 0.5538 1.1814
1.0696 67 0.5540 1.1824
1.0754 68 0.5543 1.1834
1.0811 69 0.5545 1.1844
1.0864 70 0.5548 1.1854
1.0915 71 0.5550 1.1854
1.0861 72 0.5552 1.1873
1.1004 73 0.5555 1.1881
1.1047 74 0.5557 1.1890
1.1086 75 0.5559 1.1898
1.1124 76 0.5561 1.1906
1.1159 77 0.5563 1.1915
1.1193 78 0.5565 1.1923
1.1226 79 0.5567 1.1930
1.1255 80 0.5569 1.1938
1.1287 81 0.5570 1.1945
1.1313 82 0.5572 1.1953
1.1339 83 0.5574 1.1959
1.1363 84 0.5576 1.1967
1.1388 85 0.5578 1.1973
1.1413 86 0.5580 1.1987
1.1436 87 0.5581 1.1987
1.1458 88 0.5583 1.1994
1.1480 89 0.5583 1.2001
1.1499 90 0.5586 1.2007
1.1519 91 0.5587 1.2013
1.1538 92 0.5589 1.2020
1.1557 93 0.5591 1.2026
1.1574 94 0.5592 1.2032
1.1590 95 0.5593 1.2038
1.1607 96 0.5595 1.2044
1.1623 97 0.5596 1.2049
1.1638 98 0.5598 1.2055
1.1658 99 0.5599 1.2060
1.1667 100 0.5600 1.2065
1.1681

Distribusi Gumbel
1 2004 14 47.00 211.00

2 2005 13 71.00 208.00
3 2006 10 91.00 202.00
4 2007 8 118.00 154.00
5 2008 9 104.80 148.00
6 2009 5 148.00 123.00
7 2010 1 211.00 122.00
8 2011 12 72.00 118.00
9 2012 11 91.00 104.80
10 2013 6 123.00 91.00
11 2014 3 202.00 91.00
12 2015 7 122.00 72.00
13 2016 2 208.00 71.00
14 2017 4 154.00 47.00
Jumlah Data N
Jumlah Nilai Data ∑Rmax
Nilai Rata-rata µ
Jumlah Selisih Dengan Mean Pangkat Dua ∑(Rmax - µ)2
Standar Deviasi S
Koefisien Yn (Reduced Mean) Yn
Koefisien Sn (Seduced Standar Deviasi) Sn
Tr (thn) YTr RTr (mm)

2 0.37 118.42
5 1.50 177.64
10 2.25 216.84
25 3.20 266.38
50 3.90 303.13
100 4.60 339.61
200 5.30 375.96
1000 6.91 460.15
Distribusi Gumbel
(Rmax - µ)2 m Weibull Tr YTr Rmax-aktual
7239.579 1 0.07 15.00 2.67 211.00

6738.064 2 0.13 7.50 1.94 208.00
5789.036 3 0.20 5.00 1.50 202.00
788.807 4 0.27 3.75 1.17 154.00
487.779 5 0.33 3.00 0.90 148.00
8.493 6 0.40 2.50 0.67 123.00
15.322 7 0.47 2.14 0.46 122.00
62.636 8 0.53 1.88 0.27 118.00
445.813 9 0.60 1.67 0.09 104.80
1219.007 10 0.67 1.50 -0.09 91.00
1219.007 11 0.73 1.36 -0.28 91.00
2906.750 12 0.80 1.25 -0.48 72.00
3015.579 13 0.87 1.15 -0.70 71.00
6227.464 14 0.93 1.07 -1.00 47.00
14 Total Prosentase Error (%)

1762.800 Jumlah Data
125.914 Rata-rata Prosentase Error (%)
36163.337
.
52.743
0.5100
1.0095
0.7
0.95
0.825
rata Prosentase Error Uji Kecocokan - Deviasi
i Gumbel Distribusi Gumbel
Rmax-prediksi % Error m Weibull Tr YTr Rmax-aktual
238.96 13.25 1 0.07 15.00 2.67 211.00

200.85 3.44 2 0.13 7.50 1.94 208.00
177.64 12.06 3 0.20 5.00 1.50 202.00
160.43 4.18 4 0.27 3.75 1.17 154.00
146.43 1.06 5 0.33 3.00 0.90 148.00
134.36 9.24 6 0.40 2.50 0.67 123.00
123.52 1.25 7 0.47 2.14 0.46 122.00
113.46 3.85 8 0.53 1.88 0.27 118.00
103.84 0.92 9 0.60 1.67 0.09 104.80
94.35 3.69 10 0.67 1.50 -0.09 91.00
84.69 6.93 11 0.73 1.36 -0.28 91.00
74.41 3.34 12 0.80 1.25 -0.48 72.00
62.67 11.74 13 0.87 1.15 -0.70 71.00
47.22 0.47 14 0.93 1.07 -1.00 47.00
75.41 Total Selisih Pangkat Dua

14.00 Jumlah Data
5.39 Deviasi (δ)
kan - Deviasi
i Gumbel
Rmax-prediksi (Selisih)2
238.96 781.90
200.85 51.17
177.64 593.65
160.43 41.38
146.43 2.46
134.36 129.14
123.52 2.32
113.46 20.61
103.84 0.93
94.35 11.26
84.69 39.77
74.41 5.79
62.67 69.45
47.22 0.05
1749.87
14.00
11.60
Skew
Coef. 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.7
C
Cs
-3.0 0.218 0.238 0.257 0.277 0.297 0.337

-2.9 0.215 0.234 0.254 0.273 0.293 0.332
-2.8 0.211 0.230 0.250 0.269 0.288 0.326
-2.7 0.207 0.226 0.244 0.263 0.282 0.320
-2.6 0.202 0.221 0.239 0.258 0.276 0.313
-2.5 0.198 0.216 0.234 0.252 0.270 0.306
-2.4 0.193 0.211 0.228 0.246 0.263 0.298
-2.3 0.188 0.205 0.222 0.239 0.256 0.290
-2.2 0.182 0.198 0.215 0.231 0.248 0.281
-2.1 0.175 0.191 0.207 0.223 0.239 0.271
-2.0 0.169 0.184 0.200 0.215 0.230 0.261
-1.9 0.162 0.176 0.191 0.206 0.221 0.250
-1.8 0.155 0.169 0.183 0.197 0.212 0.240
-1.7 0.147 0.161 0.174 0.188 0.201 0.228
-1.6 0.140 0.152 0.165 0.178 0.191 0.216
-1.5 0.132 0.144 0.156 0.168 0.180 0.204
-1.4 0.124 0.135 0.146 0.158 0.169 0.191
-1.3 0.116 0.126 0.137 0.147 0.158 0.179
-1.2 0.107 0.117 0.127 0.137 0.146 0.166
-1.1 0.099 0.108 0.117 0.126 0.135 0.153
-1.0 0.090 0.098 0.107 0.115 0.123 0.139
-0.9 0.081 0.089 0.096 0.104 0.111 0.126
-0.8 0.073 0.079 0.086 0.092 0.099 0.112
-0.7 0.064 0.070 0.075 0.081 0.087 0.099
-0.6 0.054 0.059 0.064 0.069 0.074 0.084
-0.5 0.046 0.050 0.054 0.058 0.062 0.071
-0.4 0.036 0.040 0.043 0.046 0.050 0.056
-0.3 0.028 0.030 0.033 0.035 0.038 0.043
-0.2 0.018 0.020 0.021 0.023 0.025 0.028
-0.1 0.009 0.010 0.011 0.012 0.013 0.014
0.0 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
0.1 -0.009 -0.010 -0.011 -0.012 -0.013 -0.014
0.2 -0.018 -0.020 -0.021 -0.023 -0.025 -0.028
0.3 -0.028 -0.030 -0.033 -0.035 -0.038 -0.043
0.4 -0.036 -0.040 -0.043 -0.046 -0.050 -0.056
0.44872512 -0.046 -0.050 -0.054 -0.058 -0.062 -0.071
0.5 -0.046 -0.050 -0.054 -0.058 -0.062 -0.071
0.6 -0.054 -0.059 -0.064 -0.069 -0.074 -0.084
0.7 -0.064 -0.070 -0.075 -0.081 -0.087 -0.099
0.8 -0.073 -0.079 -0.086 -0.092 -0.099 -0.112
0.9 -0.081 -0.089 -0.096 -0.104 -0.111 -0.126
1.0 -0.090 -0.098 -0.107 -0.115 -0.123 -0.139
1.1 -0.099 -0.108 -0.117 -0.126 -0.135 -0.153
1.2 -0.107 -0.117 -0.127 -0.137 -0.146 -0.166
1.3 -0.116 -0.126 -0.137 -0.147 -0.158 -0.179
1.4 -0.124 -0.135 -0.146 -0.158 -0.169 -0.191
1.5 -0.132 -0.144 -0.156 -0.168 -0.180 -0.204
1.6 -0.140 -0.152 -0.165 -0.178 -0.191 -0.216
1.7 -0.147 -0.161 -0.174 -0.188 -0.201 -0.228
1.8 -0.155 -0.169 -0.183 -0.197 -0.212 -0.240
1.9 -0.155 -0.169 -0.183 -0.197 -0.212 -0.240
2.0 -0.169 -0.184 -0.200 -0.215 -0.230 -0.261
2.1 -0.175 -0.191 -0.207 -0.223 -0.239 -0.271
2.2 -0.182 -0.198 -0.215 -0.231 -0.248 -0.281
2.3 -0.188 -0.205 -0.222 -0.239 -0.256 -0.290
2.4 -0.193 -0.211 -0.228 -0.246 -0.263 -0.298
2.5 -0.198 -0.216 -0.234 -0.252 -0.270 -0.306
2.6 -0.202 -0.221 -0.239 -0.258 -0.276 -0.313
2.7 -0.211 -0.230 -0.250 -0.269 -0.288 -0.326
2.8 -0.207 -0.226 -0.244 -0.263 -0.282 -0.320
2.9 -0.215 -0.234 -0.254 -0.273 -0.293 -0.332
3.0 -0.218 -0.238 -0.257 -0.277 -0.297 -0.337
Harga KTr Metode Pearson III dan Log Pearson III
Return Periode (Year)

1.9 2 2.1 2.5 3 3.8 5 7.5
Probability
50 20
0.376 0.396 0.404 0.436 0.476 0.540 0.636 0.651

0.371 0.390 0.399 0.434 0.477 0.547 0.651 0.666
0.365 0.384 0.393 0.431 0.478 0.553 0.666 0.684
0.357 0.376 0.386 0.427 0.478 0.559 0.681 0.714
0.350 0.368 0.379 0.423 0.477 0.565 0.696 0.734
0.342 0.360 0.372 0.419 0.477 0.571 0.711 0.753
0.333 0.351 0.363 0.413 0.476 0.575 0.725 0.772
0.324 0.341 0.354 0.407 0.474 0.580 0.739 0.792
0.314 0.330 0.344 0.400 0.471 0.583 0.752 0.811
0.303 0.319 0.334 0.393 0.468 0.587 0.765 0.830
0.292 0.307 0.323 0.385 0.464 0.589 0.777 0.849
0.279 0.294 0.310 0.376 0.459 0.590 0.788 0.867
0.268 0.282 0.299 0.368 0.454 0.592 0.799 0.885
0.255 0.268 0.286 0.358 0.448 0.592 0.808 0.846
0.241 0.254 0.273 0.348 0.442 0.592 0.817 0.906
0.228 0.240 0.260 0.338 0.435 0.591 0.825 0.922
0.214 0.225 0.245 0.326 0.427 0.589 0.832 0.937
0.200 0.210 0.231 0.315 0.419 0.587 0.838 0.951
0.185 0.195 0.217 0.303 0.411 0.584 0.844 0.965
0.171 0.180 0.202 0.291 0.403 0.581 0.848 0.978
0.156 0.164 0.187 0.279 0.393 0.577 0.852 0.990
0.141 0.148 0.172 0.266 0.383 0.572 0.854 1.001
0.125 0.132 0.156 0.253 0.373 0.566 0.856 1.011
0.110 0.116 0.141 0.240 0.363 0.561 0.857 1.020
0.094 0.099 0.124 0.225 0.352 0.554 0.857 1.029
0.079 0.083 0.109 0.212 0.341 0.547 0.856 1.036
0.063 0.066 0.092 0.198 0.329 0.539 0.855 1.043
0.048 0.050 0.077 0.184 0.318 0.532 0.853 1.049
0.031 0.033 0.060 0.169 0.305 0.523 0.850 1.054
0.016 0.017 0.045 0.155 0.293 0.514 0.846 1.058
0.000 0.000 0.028 0.140 0.281 0.505 0.842 1.062
-0.016 -0.017 0.011 0.125 0.267 0.495 0.836 1.064
-0.031 -0.033 -0.004 0.111 0.255 0.485 0.830 1.066
-0.048 -0.050 -0.021 0.096 0.241 0.474 0.824 1.067
-0.063 -0.066 -0.037 0.081 0.228 0.463 0.816 1.067
-0.079 -0.083 -0.053 0.066 0.214 0.452 0.808 1.066
-0.079 -0.083 -0.053 0.066 0.214 0.452 0.808 1.066
-0.094 -0.099 -0.069 0.051 0.201 0.440 0.800 1.064
-0.110 -0.116 -0.086 0.035 0.186 0.428 0.790 1.062
-0.125 -0.132 -0.102 0.020 0.172 0.415 0.780 1.058
-0.141 -0.148 -0.117 0.005 0.158 0.402 0.769 1.054
-0.156 -0.164 -0.133 -0.010 0.143 0.389 0.758 1.049
-0.171 -0.180 -0.149 -0.026 0.128 0.375 0.745 1.043
-0.185 -0.195 -0.164 -0.041 0.114 0.361 0.732 1.036
-0.200 -0.210 -0.179 -0.055 0.100 0.347 0.719 1.029
-0.214 -0.225 -0.194 -0.070 0.085 0.333 0.705 1.021
-0.228 -0.240 -0.209 -0.085 0.070 0.318 0.690 1.012
-0.241 -0.254 -0.223 -0.099 0.056 0.303 0.675 1.002
-0.255 -0.268 -0.237 -0.113 0.041 0.289 0.660 0.992
-0.268 -0.282 -0.251 -0.128 0.026 0.273 0.643 0.981
-0.268 -0.282 -0.252 -0.131 0.021 0.263 0.627 0.969
-0.292 -0.307 -0.276 -0.154 -0.002 0.243 0.609 0.956
-0.303 -0.319 -0.289 -0.167 -0.015 0.228 0.592 0.943
-0.314 -0.330 -0.300 -0.179 -0.029 0.212 0.574 0.929
-0.324 -0.341 -0.311 -0.192 -0.042 0.197 0.555 0.915
-0.333 -0.351 -0.321 -0.203 -0.055 0.182 0.537 0.900
-0.342 -0.360 -0.331 -0.214 -0.067 0.167 0.518 0.884
-0.350 -0.368 -0.329 -0.174 0.021 0.332 0.799 1.019
-0.365 -0.384 -0.356 -0.243 -0.103 0.122 0.460 0.835
-0.357 -0.376 -0.348 -0.234 -0.091 0.137 0.479 0.852
-0.371 -0.390 -0.362 -0.252 -0.113 0.108 0.440 0.818
-0.376 -0.396 -0.369 -0.260 -0.124 0.094 0.420 0.800
10 15.0 25 50 100 200 1000
Probability
10 4 2 1 0.5 0.1
0.666 0.666 0.666 0.666 0.667 0.667 0.668

0.681 0.682 0.683 0.689 0.690 0.690 0.695
0.702 0.705 0.712 0.714 0.714 0.714 0.722
0.747 0.744 0.738 0.740 0.740 0.741 0.748
0.771 0.769 0.764 0.768 0.769 0.769 0.775 2.000
0.795 0.794 0.793 0.798 0.799 0.800 0.802 -0.083
0.819 0.820 0.823 0.830 0.832 0.833 0.838
0.844 0.848 0.855 0.864 0.867 1.869 0.874
0.869 0.875 0.888 0.900 0.905 0.907 0.910
0.895 0.904 0.923 0.939 0.946 0.949 0.955
0.920 0.933 0.959 0.980 0.990 0.995 1.000
0.945 0.962 0.996 1.023 1.038 1.044 1.065
0.970 0.992 1.035 1.069 1.087 1.097 1.130
0.884 0.948 1.075 1.116 1.140 1.155 1.205
0.994 1.035 1.116 1.166 1.197 1.216 1.280
1.018 1.064 1.157 1.217 1.256 1.282 1.373
1.041 1.093 1.198 1.270 1.318 1.351 1.465
1.064 1.123 1.240 1.324 1.383 1.424 1.545
1.086 1.151 1.282 1.379 1.449 1.501 1.625
1.107 1.179 1.324 1.435 1.518 1.581 1.713
1.128 1.207 1.366 1.492 1.588 1.664 1.800
1.147 1.234 1.407 1.549 1.660 1.749 1.910
1.166 1.260 1.448 1.606 1.733 1.837 2.035
1.183 1.285 1.488 1.663 1.806 1.926 2.150
1.200 1.309 1.528 1.720 1.880 2.016 2.275
1.216 1.333 1.567 1.770 1.955 2.108 2.400
1.231 1.356 1.606 1.834 2.029 2.201 2.540
1.245 1.378 1.643 1.890 2.104 2.294 2.675
1.258 1.399 1.680 1.945 2.178 2.388 2.810
1.270 1.419 1.716 2.000 2.252 2.482 2.950
1.282 1.438 1.751 2.054 2.326 2.576 3.090
1.292 1.456 1.785 2.107 2.400 2.670 3.235
1.301 1.473 1.818 2.159 2.472 2.763 3.380
1.309 1.489 1.849 2.211 2.544 2.856 3.525
1.317 1.505 1.880 2.261 2.615 2.949 3.670
1.323 1.519 1.910 2.311 2.686 3.041 3.815
1.323 1.519 1.910 2.311 2.686 3.041 3.815
1.328 1.532 1.939 2.359 2.755 3.132 3.960
1.333 1.544 1.967 2.407 2.824 3.223 4.105
1.336 1.557 1.998 2.453 2.891 3.312 4.250
1.339 1.565 2.018 2.498 2.957 3.401 4.395
1.340 1.574 2.043 2.542 3.022 3.489 4.540
1.341 1.583 2.066 2.585 3.087 3.575 4.680
1.340 1.589 2.087 2.626 3.149 3.661 4.820
1.339 1.595 2.108 2.666 3.211 3.745 4.965
1.337 1.601 2.128 2.706 3.271 3.828 5.110
1.333 1.604 2.146 2.743 3.330 3.910 5.250
1.329 1.607 2.163 2.780 3.388 3.990 5.390
1.324 1.609 2.179 2.815 3.444 4.069 5.525
1.318 1.610 2.193 2.828 3.499 4.147 5.660
1.310 1.609 2.207 2.881 3.553 4.223 5.785
1.302 1.608 2.219 2.912 3.605 4.298 5.910
1.294 1.606 2.230 2.942 3.656 4.372 6.055
1.284 1.603 2.240 2.970 3.705 4.444 6.200
1.274 1.599 2.248 3.997 3.753 4.515 6.333
1.262 1.593 2.256 3.023 3.800 4.584 6.467
1.250 1.587 2.262 3.048 3.845 4.652 6.600
1.238 1.581 2.267 3.017 3.899 4.718 6.730
1.210 1.565 2.275 3.114 3.937 4.847 6.860
1.224 1.573 2.272 3.093 3.932 4.783 6.990
1.195 1.556 2.277 3.134 4.013 4.909 7.120
1.180 1.546 2.278 3.152 4.051 4.970 7.250
1 15.0
2 7.5
3 5.0
4 3.8
2.140 5.000 5 3.0
-0.041 0.808 6 2.5
7 2.1
8 1.9
9 1.7
10 1.5
11 1.4
12 1.3
13 1.2
14 1.1
2.000 2.5
-0.083 0.066

Distribusi Pearson Type III
No. Tahun No. Urut Rmax (mm/hr) Rmax-urut (mm/hr) (Rmax - µ)3
1 2004 14 47.00 211.00 615984.73

2 2005 13 71.00 208.00 553098.84
3 2006 10 91.00 202.00 440462.93
4 2007 8 118.00 154.00 22154.22
5 2008 9 104.80 148.00 10772.94
6 2009 5 148.00 123.00 -24.75
7 2010 1 211.00 122.00 -59.97
8 2011 12 72.00 118.00 -495.72
9 2012 11 91.00 104.80 -9413.02
10 2013 6 123.00 91.00 -42560.77
11 2014 3 202.00 91.00 -42560.77
12 2015 7 122.00 72.00 -156715.36
13 2016 2 208.00 71.00 -165598.35
14 2017 4 154.00 47.00 -491435.91
Jumlah Data N 14
Jumlah Nilai Data ∑Rmax 1762.800
Standar Deviasi S 52.743
Koefisien Kemencengan CS 0.449
Tr (thn) KTr RTr (mm)
2 -0.045 123.56
5 -0.048 123.37
10 -0.052 123.17
25 -0.056 122.98
50 -0.063 122.58
100 -0.071 122.19
200 -0.074 122.00
1000 -0.045 123.55
m Weibull Tr KTr Rmax-aktual Rmax-prediksi % Error
1 0.07 15.00 1.519 211.00 206.01 2.36

2 0.13 7.50 1.066 208.00 182.11 12.45
3 0.20 5.00 0.808 202.00 168.53 16.57
4 0.27 3.75 0.452 154.00 149.73 2.77
5 0.33 3.00 0.214 148.00 137.20 7.30
6 0.40 2.50 0.066 123.00 129.37 5.18
7 0.47 2.14 -0.053 122.00 123.10 0.90
8 0.53 1.88 -0.079 118.00 121.76 3.18
9 0.60 1.67 -0.071 104.80 122.19 16.60
10 0.67 1.50 -0.062 91.00 122.63 34.76
11 0.73 1.36 -0.058 91.00 122.85 35.00
12 0.80 1.25 -0.054 72.00 123.07 70.93
13 0.87 1.15 -0.050 71.00 123.29 73.64
14 0.93 1.07 -0.046 47.00 123.51 162.78

Jumlah Data 14.00
m Weibull Tr KTr Rmax-aktual Rmax-prediksi (Selisih)2
1 0.07 15.00 1.519 211.00 206.01 24.87

2 0.13 7.50 1.066 208.00 182.11 670.21
3 0.20 5.00 0.808 202.00 168.53 1120.21
4 0.27 3.75 0.452 154.00 149.73 18.21
5 0.33 3.00 0.214 148.00 137.20 116.61
6 0.40 2.50 0.066 123.00 129.37 40.56
7 0.47 2.14 -0.053 122.00 123.10 1.22
8 0.53 1.88 -0.079 118.00 121.76 14.10
9 0.60 1.67 -0.071 104.80 122.19 302.53
10 0.67 1.50 -0.062 91.00 122.63 1000.52
11 0.73 1.36 -0.058 91.00 122.85 1014.42
12 0.80 1.25 -0.054 72.00 123.07 2608.02
13 0.87 1.15 -0.050 71.00 123.29 2734.00
14 0.93 1.07 -0.046 47.00 123.51 5853.26

Jumlah Data 14.00
Deviasi (δ) 34.55
Interpolasi
Cs 2 5 10 25 50 100 200 1000
0.400 -0.040 -0.043 -0.046 -0.050 -0.056 -0.063 -0.066 -0.037

0.449 -0.045 -0.048 -0.052 -0.056 -0.063 -0.071 -0.074 -0.045
0.500 -0.050 -0.054 -0.058 -0.062 -0.071 -0.079 -0.083 -0.053
4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Distribusi Log Pearson Type III
No. Tahun No. Urut Rmax (mm/hr) Rmax-urut (mm/hr) logRmax
1 2004 14 47.00 211.00 2.324

2 2005 13 71.00 208.00 2.318
3 2006 10 91.00 202.00 2.305
4 2007 8 118.00 154.00 2.188
5 2008 9 104.80 148.00 2.170
6 2009 5 148.00 123.00 2.090
7 2010 1 211.00 122.00 2.086
8 2011 12 72.00 118.00 2.072
9 2012 11 91.00 104.80 2.020
10 2013 6 123.00 91.00 1.959
11 2014 3 202.00 91.00 1.959
12 2015 7 122.00 72.00 1.857
13 2016 2 208.00 71.00 1.851
14 2017 4 154.00 47.00 1.672
Jumlah Data
Jumlah Nilai 'logRmax'
Nilai Rata-rata 'logRmax' (mean)
Jumlah Selisih Dengan Mean Pangkat Dua
Standar Deviasi 'logRmax'
Jumlah Selisih Dengan Mean Pangkat Tiga
Koefisien Kemencengan
Tr (thn) KTr logRTr
2 0.057 2.0733
5 0.854 2.2271
10 1.239 2.3014
25 1.627 2.3762
50 1.866 2.4223
100 2.072 2.4620
200 2.254 2.4972
1000 2.617 2.5672
Hujan Rencana
earson Type III
(logRmax - logRmax)2 (logRmax - logRmax)3
0.06861388 0.01797289
0.06539445 0.01672289
0.05905455 0.01435093
0.01567023 0.00196161
0.01164711 0.00125698
0.00075984 0.00002095
0.00057695 0.00001386
0.00009105 0.00000087
0.00176221 -0.00007398
0.01067059 -0.00110226
0.01067059 -0.00110226
0.04202806 -0.00861606
0.04455544 -0.00940483
0.15228889 -0.05942954
N 14
∑logRmax 28.873 k 1.606
logRmax 2.062 Rata-rata 2.062
∑(logRmax - logRmax)2 0.484
Slog 0.193
∑(logRmax - logRmax)3 -0.027
CS -0.343
RTr (mm)
118.39
168.68
200.15
237.81
264.43
289.75
314.18
369.15
Distribusi Log Pearson Type III
m Weibull Tr KTr Rmax-aktual
1 0.07 15.00 1.519 211.00

2 0.13 7.50 1.046 208.00
3 0.20 5.00 0.854 202.00
4 0.27 3.75 0.522 154.00
5 0.33 3.00 0.323 148.00
6 0.40 2.50 0.190 123.00
7 0.47 2.14 0.094 122.00
8 0.53 1.88 -0.084 118.00
9 0.60 1.67 -0.329 104.80
10 0.67 1.50 -0.528 91.00
11 0.73 1.36 -0.692 91.00
12 0.80 1.25 -0.821 72.00
13 0.87 1.15 -1.175 71.00
14 0.93 1.07 -1.610 47.00
Total Prosentase Error (%)

Jumlah Data
Rata-rata Prosentase Error (%)
rata Prosentase Error Uji Kecocokan - Deviasi
Pearson Type III Distribusi Log Pearson Type III
Rmax-prediksi % Error m Weibull Tr KTr Rmax-aktual
226.62 7.40 1 0.07 15.00 1.519 211.00

183.74 11.66 2 0.13 7.50 1.046 208.00
168.68 16.50 3 0.20 5.00 0.854 202.00
145.54 5.49 4 0.27 3.75 0.522 154.00
133.22 9.99 5 0.33 3.00 0.323 148.00
125.58 2.10 6 0.40 2.50 0.190 123.00
120.36 1.34 7 0.47 2.14 0.094 122.00
111.23 5.74 8 0.53 1.88 -0.084 118.00
99.73 4.84 9 0.60 1.67 -0.329 104.80
91.30 0.33 10 0.67 1.50 -0.528 91.00
84.89 6.71 11 0.73 1.36 -0.692 91.00
80.18 11.36 12 0.80 1.25 -0.821 72.00
68.51 3.51 13 0.87 1.15 -1.175 71.00
56.46 20.12 14 0.93 1.07 -1.610 47.00
107.09 Total Selisih Pangkat Dua

14.00 Jumlah Data
7.65 Deviasi (δ)
-0.04565 0 0 0 -0.06 -0.071 -0.07885

kan - Deviasi
Pearson Type III
Rmax-prediksi (Selisih)2
226.62 244.10
183.74 588.50
168.68 1110.38
145.54 71.50
133.22 218.55
125.58 6.68
120.36 2.69
111.23 45.82
99.73 25.69
91.30 0.09
84.89 37.30
80.18 66.85
68.51 6.22
56.46 89.42
2513.78
14.00
13.91
Resume Analisa Curah Hujan Rencana
Analisa Frekuensi Curah Hujan Rencana (mm/hr)

Periode Ulang
Normal Gumbel Log Pearson III
TR02 125.91 118.42 118.39

TR05 168.61 177.64 168.68
TR10 190.97 216.84 200.15
TR25 209.27 266.38 237.81
TR50 230.10 303.13 264.43
TR100 244.33 339.61 289.75
400
PERBANDINGAN CURAH HUJAN RENCANA
350 339.61
Curah Hujan Rencana (mm/hr)
300 303.13
289.75
266.38 264.43
250 244.33
237.81 230.10
216.84 209.27
200 200.15
190.97
177.64
168.61
168.68
150
125.91
118.42
118.39
100
50
0
TR02 TR05 TR10 TR25 TR50 TR100
Normal Gumbel
PeriodePearson
Ulang III Log Pearson III
Tr2 Tr5 Tr10 Tr25 Tr50 Tr100

400
350
300
250
200
150
Tr2 Tr5 Tr10 Tr25 Tr50 Tr100
400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
Perbandingan Curah Hujan Rencana

350
Curah Hujan Rencana (mm/hr)
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
TR02 TR05 TR10 TR25 TR50 TR100
Periode Ulang
Normal Gumbel Pearson Type III Log Pearson Type III
Tabel 2.8. Harga X2 kritis untuk Uji Chi - Square
Probability of deviation greather then x2
x2
Derajat Kepercayaan (α)
Dk
0.995 0.990 0.975 0.950 0.050 0.025 0.010 0.005
1 0.000039 0.000157 0.000982 0.00393 3.841 5.024 6.635 7.879
2 0.010 0.020 0.051 0.103 5.991 7.378 9.210 10.597
3 0.072 0.115 0.216 0.352 7.815 9.248 11.345 12.838
4 0.201 0.297 0.484 0.711 9.488 11.143 13.277 14.860
5 0.412 0.540 0.831 1.145 11.010 12.832 15.086 16.750
6 0.676 0.872 1.237 1.635 12.592 14.449 16.812 18.548
7 0.989 1.239 1.690 2.167 14.067 16.013 18.475 20.278
8 1.344 1.646 2.180 2.733 15.507 17.535 20.090 21.955
9 1.735 2.088 2.700 3.325 16.919 19.023 21.666 23.589
10 2.156 2.558 3.247 3.940 18.307 20.483 23.209 25.188
11 2.603 3.053 3.816 4.575 19.675 21.920 24.725 26.757
12 3.074 3.571 4.404 5.226 21.026 23.337 26.217 28.300
13 3.565 4.107 5.009 5.892 22.362 24.736 27.688 29.819
14 4.075 4.660 5.629 6.571 23.685 26.119 29.141 31.319
15 4.601 5.229 6.262 7.261 24.996 27.488 30.758 32.801
16 5.124 5.812 6.908 7.962 26.296 28.845 32.000 34.267
17 5.697 6.408 7.564 8.672 27.587 30.191 33.409 35.718
18 6.265 7.015 8.231 9.360 28.869 31.526 34.805 37.756
19 6.844 7.633 8.907 10.117 30.144 32.852 36.191 38.582
20 7.434 8.260 9.591 10.851 31.410 34.170 37.566 39.997
21 8.034 8.897 10.283 11.591 32.671 35.479 38.932 40.401
22 8.643 9.542 10.982 12.338 33.924 36.781 40.289 42.796
23 9.260 10.196 11.689 13.091 36.172 38.076 41.683 44.181
24 9.886 18.856 12.401 13.949 36.415 39.364 42.980 45.558
25 10.520 11.524 13.120 14.611 37.652 40.646 44.314 46.928
26 11.160 12.198 13.844 15.379 38.885 41.923 45.642 48.290
27 11.808 12.879 14.573 16.151 40.113 43.194 46.963 49.645
28 12.461 13.565 15.308 16.928 41.337 44.461 48.278 50.993
29 13.121 14.256 16.047 17.708 42.557 45.722 49.588 52.336
30 13.787 14.953 16.791 18.493 43.773 46.979 50.892 53.672
Tabel 2.9. Harga Do kritis untuk Uji Smirnov-Kolmogorof
a
0.200 0.100 0.050 0.010
n
5 0.45 0.51 0.56 0.67
10 0.32 0.37 0.41 0.49
15 0.27 0.30 0.34 0.40
20 0.23 0.26 0.29 0.36
25 0.21 0.24 0.27 0.32
30 0.19 0.22 0.24 0.29
35 0.18 0.20 0.23 0.27
40 0.17 0.19 0.21 0.25
45 0.16 0.18 0.20 0.24
50 0.15 0.17 0.19 0.23
n > 50 1.07 1.22 1.36 1.63

n0,5 n0,5 n0,5 n0,5
UJI CHI-SQUARE ( x2) - NORMAL
Jumlah Data , n = 14.00
Jumlah Kelas : G = 1 + 3,322 Log n

G = 5
Derajat Bebas ( Dk ) : G - (R + 1) ; R = 2
Derajat Bebas ( Dk ) 2.00
Signifikan (a, %) 5.00
D kritis 5.991
Expected Frequency (Ef) 2.80
Batas kelompok X t  Xa  k * S x
1 17% 6.00
2 33% 3.00
3 50% 2.00
4 67% 1.50
5 83% 1.20
Tabel 4.14. Perhitungan Nilai Batas Dari Masing-Masing Sub-Kelompok untuk Distribusi Normal
Variabel Gauss k Sx Xa Xt
T (tahun)
6.00 0.93 50.82 125.91 173.08
3.00 0.41 50.82 125.91 146.89
2.00 0.00 50.82 125.91 125.91
1.50 -0.38 50.82 125.91 106.66
1.20 -1.00 50.82 125.91 75.24
∞ - - - -
TABEL REDUKSI GAUSS
Periode Peluang
k
Ulang, T P=1/T
Return Variabel Gauss,
Period k 1.001 0.999 -3.05
1.005 0.995 -2.58
2 0.00 1.01 0.990 -2.33
5 0.84 1.05 0.952 -1.64
10 1.28 1.11 0.901 -1.28
20 1.64 1.25 0.800 -0.84
25 1.71 1.33 0.752 -0.67
50 2.05 1.43 0.699 -0.52
100 2.33 1.67 0.599 -0.25
200 2.58 2 0.500 0
500 2.88 2.5 0.400 0.25
1000 3.09 3.33 0.300 0.52
4 0.250 0.67
5 0.200 0.84
10 0.100 1.28
20 0.050 1.64
50 0.020 2.05
100 0.010 2.33
200 0.005 2.58
500 0.002 2.88
1000 0.001 3.09
T k
1.00 1.01 -3.05 -2.58 0

1.01 1.01 -2.58 -2.33 T (tahun)
1.01 1.05 -2.33 -1.64 5.000 6.000 10.000
1.05 1.11 -1.64 -1.28 0.840 0.928 1.280
1.11 1.25 -1.28 -0.84 3
1.25 1.33 -0.84 -0.67 3.330 3.000 2.500 2
1.33 1.43 -0.67 -0.52 0.520 0.413 0.250 1.5
1.43 1.67 -0.52 -0.25 1.2
1.67 2.00 -0.25 0 2.000
2.00 2.50 0 0.25 0.000
2.50 3.33 0.25 0.52
3.33 4.00 0.52 0.67 2.000 1.500 1.670
4.00 5.00 0.67 0.84 0.000 -0.379 -0.250
5.00 10.00 0.84 1.28
10.00 20.00 1.28 1.64 1.250 1.200 1.110
20.00 50.00 1.64 2.05 -0.840 -0.997 -1.280
50.00 100.00 2.05 2.33
100.00 200.00 2.33 2.58
200.00 500.00 2.58 2.88
500.00 1000.00 2.88 3.09
1000.00 3.09
UJI CHI-SQUARE ( x2) - LOG PEARSON III

Cs = -0.343
G = 5
D kritis 5.991
Expected Frequency (Ef) 2.80
Batas kelompok
1 17% 6.00
2 33% 3.00
3 50% 2.00 Log Xt = Log Xa + G*Sx
4 67% 1.50
5 83% 1.20
Perhitungan Nilai Batas Dari Masing-Masing Sub-Kelompok untuk Distribusi Log Pearson Type
Periode Ulang Variabel Reduksi

Sx Log Xa Log Xt
T (tahun) G
6.00 1.12 0.193 2.062 2.278
3.00 0.32 0.193 2.062 2.125
2.00 0.06 0.193 2.062 2.073
1.50 -0.53 0.193 2.062 1.960
1.20 -0.88 0.193 2.062 1.893
∞ - - - -
UJI CHI-SQUARE ( x2) - GUMBLE

G = 5
D kritis 5.991
Expected Frequency (Ef) 2.80  y  yn 
X t  Xa   t  Sx
Batas kelompok  Sn 
1 17% 6.00
2 33% 3.00   T 1
3 50% 2.00 yt   ln   ln  
  T 
4 67% 1.50
5 83% 1.20
weibull periode ulang
Perhitungan Nilai Batas Dari Masing-Masing Sub-Kelompok untuk Distribusi Gumbel
Periode Ulang
yt yn Sn Sx
T (tahun)
6.00 1.7020 0.51 1.0095 52.74
3.00 0.9027 0.51 1.0095 52.74
2.00 0.3665 0.51 1.0095 52.74
1.50 -0.0940 0.51 1.0095 52.74
1.20 -0.5832 0.51 1.0095 52.74
∞ - - - -
Rekapitulasi Hasil Perhitungan Curah Hujan Rancangan
Periode Ulang Hujan Rancangan ( mm )

No. (Tahun) Metode Metode Metode
Gumbel Normal Log Pearson Type III
1 2 118.42 115.44 118.39
2 5 177.64 165.38 168.68
3 10 216.84 199.66 200.15
4 25 266.38 232.92 237.81
5 50 303.13 277.60 264.43
6 100 339.61 312.95 289.75
7 200 375.96 348.29 314.18
8 1000 460.15 433.26 369.15
UJI CHI SQUARE
Chi - Square hitung 1.00 6.71 3.14
Chi - Square kritis 5.99 5.99 5.99
Derajat Bebas 2.00 2.00 2.00
Derajat Signifikansi 5.00 5.00 5.00
HIPOTESA DITERIMA TIDAK DITERIMA DITERIMA
Sumber : Perhitungan
500
450
400
Hujan Rancangan (mm)
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
2 5 10 25 50 100 200 1000
Kala Ulang
UJI SMIRNOV-KOLMOGOROV

Xa = 125.91
Sx = 52.74
Yn = 0.51
Sn = 1.0095
e = 2.718281828 nilai e rumus kalkulator
Tabel 4.19. Perhitungan Uji Smirnov-Kolmogorov untuk Distribusi Gumbel

weibull (peluangidak terjadi u menentukan faktor pengali
m X P(x)=m/(n+1) P(x<) f(t) = (X-Xa)/Sx y
(1) (2) (3) (4) = 1 - (3) (5) (6)
1 211 0.07 0.93 1.61 2.14
2 208 0.13 0.87 1.56 2.08
3 202 0.20 0.80 1.44 1.97
4 154 0.27 0.73 0.53 1.05
5 148 0.33 0.67 0.42 0.93
6 123 0.40 0.60 -0.06 0.45
7 122 0.47 0.53 -0.07 0.44
8 118 0.53 0.47 -0.15 0.36
9 105 0.60 0.40 -0.40 0.11
10 91 0.67 0.33 -0.66 -0.16
11 91 0.73 0.27 -0.66 -0.16
12 72 0.80 0.20 -1.02 -0.52
13 71 0.87 0.13 -1.04 -0.54
14 47 0.93 0.07 -1.50 -1.00
Dmax =

Xa = 125.91
Sx = 50.82
Tabel 4.21. Perhitungan Uji Smirnov-Kolmogorov untuk Distribusi Normal
m Curah Hujan P(x)=m/(n+1) P(x<) f(t) = (X-Xa)/Sx P'(x)
(1) (2) (3) (4) = 1 - (3) (5) (6)

1 211.00 0.067 0.933 1.67 0.957
2 208.00 0.133 0.867 1.62 0.947
3 202.00 0.200 0.800 1.50 0.936
4 154.00 0.267 0.733 0.55 0.699
5 148.00 0.333 0.667 0.43 0.663
6 123.00 0.400 0.600 -0.06 0.452
7 122.00 0.467 0.533 -0.08 0.452
8 118.00 0.533 0.467 -0.16 0.413
9 104.80 0.600 0.400 -0.42 0.337
10 91.00 0.667 0.333 -0.69 0.236
11 91.00 0.733 0.267 -0.69 0.236
12 72.00 0.800 0.200 -1.06 0.154
13 71.00 0.867 0.133 -1.08 0.131
14 47.00 0.933 0.067 -1.55 0.053
Tabel Luas Wilayah di bawah Kurva Normal
t 0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05

-3.4 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003
-3.3 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004
-3.2 0.0007 0.0007 0.0006 0.0006 0.0006 0.0006
-3.1 0.0010 0.0009 0.0009 0.0009 0.0008 0.0008
-3.0 0.0013 0.0013 0.0013 0.0012 0.0012 0.0011
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05
-2.9 0.0019 0.0018 0.0017 0.0017 0.0016 0.0016
-2.8 0.0026 0.0025 0.0024 0.0023 0.0022 0.0022
-2.7 0.0036 0.0034 0.0033 0.0032 0.0030 0.0030
-2.6 0.0047 0.0045 0.0044 0.0043 0.0040 0.0040
-2.5 0.0062 0.0060 0.0059 0.0057 0.0055 0.0054
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05
-2.4 0.0082 0.008 0.0078 0.0075 0.0073 0.0071
2.3 0.0107 0.0104 0.0102 0.0099 0.0096 0.0094
-2.2 0.0139 0.0136 0.0132 0.0129 0.0125 0.0122
-2.1 0.0179 0.0174 0.0170 0.0166 0.0162 0.0158
-2.0 0.0228 0.0222 0.0217 0.0212 0.0207 0.0202
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05
-1.9 0.0287 0.0281 0.0274 0.0268 0.0262 0.0256
-1.8 0.0359 0.0352 0.0344 0.0336 0.0929 0.0322
-1.7 0.0446 0.0436 0.0427 0.0481 0.0409 0.0401
-1.6 0.0548 0.0537 0.0526 0.0516 0.0505 0.0495
-1.5 0.0668 0.0655 0.0643 0.063 0.0618 0.0606
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05
-1.4 0.0808 0.0793 0.0778 0.0764 0.0749 0.0735
-1.3 0.0968 0.0951 0.0934 0.0918 0.0901 0.0885
-1.2 0.1151 0.1131 0.1112 0.1093 0.1075 0.1056
-1.1 0.1357 0.1335 0.1314 0.1292 0.1271 0.1251
-1.0 0.1587 0.1562 0.1539 0.1515 0.1492 0.1469
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05
-0.9 0.1841 0.1814 0.1788 0.1762 0.1736 0.1711
-0.8 0.2119 0.2090 0.2061 0.2033 0.2005 0.1977
-0.7 0.242 0.2389 0.2358 0.2327 0.2296 0.2266
-0.6 0.2743 0.2709 0.2676 0.2643 0.2611 0.2578
-0.5 0.3085 0.305 0.3015 0.2981 0.2946 0.2912
. 0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05
-0.4 0.3446 0.3409 0.3372 0.3336 0.3300 0.3264
-0.3 0.3821 0.3783 0.3745 0.3707 0.3669 0.3632
-0.2 0.4207 0.4168 0.4129 0.4090 0.4052 0.4013
-0.1 0.4602 0.4562 0.4522 0.4483 0.4443 0.4404
0.0 0.5000 0.496 0.4920 0.4880 0.4840 0.4801
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05
0.0 0.5000 0.5040 0.5080 0.5120 0.5160 0.5199
0.1 0.5398 0.5438 0.5478 0.5517 0.5557 0.5596
0.2 0.5793 0.5832 0.5871 0.5910 0.5948 0.5987
0.3 0.6179 0.6217 0.6255 0.6293 0.6331 0.6368
0.4 0.6554 0.6591 0.6628 0.6664 0.6700 0.6736
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05
0.5 0.6915 0.6950 0.6985 0.7019 0.7054 0.7086
0.6 0.7257 0.7291 0.7324 0.7357 0.7389 0.7422
0.7 0.7580 0.7611 0.7642 0.7673 0.7704 0.7734
0.8 0.7881 0.7910 0.7939 0.7967 0.7995 0.8023
0.9 0.8159 0.8186 0.8212 0.8238 0.8264 0.8289
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05
1.0 0.8413 0.8438 0.8461 0.8485 0.8508 0.8531
1.1 0.8643 0.8665 0.8686 0.8708 0.8729 0.8749
1.2 0.8849 0.8869 0.8888 0.8907 0.8925 0.8944
1.3 0.9032 0.9049 0.9066 0.9082 0.9099 0.9115
1.4 0.9192 0.9207 0.9222 0.9236 0.9251 0.9625
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05
1.5 0.9332 0.9345 0.9357 0.937 0.9382 0.9394
1.6 0.9452 0.9463 0.9474 0.9484 0.9495 0.9505
1.7 0.9554 0.9564 0.9573 0.9582 0.9591 0.9599
1.8 0.9641 0.9649 0.9656 0.9664 0.9671 0.9678
1.9 0.9713 0.9719 0.9726 0.9732 0.9738 0.9744
2.0 0.9772 0.9778 0.9783 0.9788 0.9793 0.9798
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05
2.1 0.9821 0.9826 0.9830 0.9834 0.9838 0.9842
2.2 0.9861 0.9864 0.9868 0.9871 0.9875 0.9878
2.3 0.9893 0.9896 0.9696 0.9901 0.9904 0.9906
2.4 0.9918 0.992 0.9922 0.9925 0.9927 0.9929
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05
2.5 0.9938 0.994 0.9941 0.9943 0.9945 0.9946
2.6 0.9953 0.9955 0.9956 0.9957 0.9959 0.9960
2.7 0.9965 0.9966 0.9967 0.9968 0.9969 0.9970
2.8 0.9974 0.9975 0.9976 0.9977 0.9977 0.9976
2.9 0.9981 0.9982 0.9982 0.9983 0.9984 0.9984
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05
3.0 0.9987 0.9987 0.9987 0.9988 0.9988 0.9989
3.1 0.9990 0.9991 0.9991 0.9991 0.9992 0.9992
3.2 0.9993 0.9993 0.9994 0.9994 0.9994 0.9994
3.3 0.9995 0.9995 0.9995 0.9996 0.9996 0.9996
3.4 0.9997 0.9997 0.9997 0.9997 0.9997 0.9997
ah Kurva Normal
0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09

0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.0002
0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0003
0.0006 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005
0.0008 0.0008 0.0007 0.0007
0.0011 0.0011 0.0010 0.0010 0.9573 0.8944 0.7642
0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09 FX 1.67 1.62 1.50
0.0015 0.0015 0.0014 0.0014
0.0021 0.0021 0.0020 0.0019
0.0029 0.0028 0.0027 0.0026 0.0009 0.0009 0.0009
0.0039 0.0038 0.0037 0.0036 FX -2.43 -2.43 -2.43
0.0052 0.0051 0.0049 0.0048
0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
0.0069 0.0068 0.0066 0.0064
0.0091 0.0089 0.0087 0.0084
0.0119 0.0116 0.0113 0.0110
0.0154 0.015 0.0146 0.0143
0.0197 0.0192 0.0188 0.0183
0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
0.0250 0.0244 0.0239 0.0233
0.0314 0.0307 0.0301 0.0294
0.0392 0.0384 0.0375 0.0367
0.0485 0.0475 0.0465 0.0455
0.0594 0.0582 0.0571 0.0559
0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
0.0722 0.0708 0.0694 0.0681
0.0869 0.0853 0.0838 0.0823
0.1038 0.102 0.1003 0.0985
0.1230 0.1210 0.1190 0.1170
0.1446 0.1423 0.1401 0.1379
0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
0.1685 0.1660 0.1635 0.1611
0.1949 0.1922 0.1894 0.1867
0.2236 0.2206 0.2177 0.2148
0.2546 0.2514 0.2483 0.2451
0.2877 0.2843 0.2810 0.2776
0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
0.3228 0.3192 0.3156 0.3121
0.3594 0.3557 0.3520 0.3483
0.3974 0.3936 0.3897 0.3859
0.4364 0.4325 0.7286 0.4247
0.4761 0.4721 0.4681 0.4641
0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
0.5239 0.5239 0.5319 0.5159
0.5636 0.5675 0.5714 0.5753
0.6026 0.6064 0.6103 0.6141
0.6406 0.6443 0.648 0.6517
0.6772 0.6808 0.6844 0.6879
0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
0.7123 0.7157 0.7190 0.7224
0.7454 0.7486 0.7517 0.7549
0.7764 0.7794 0.7823 0.7852
0.8051 0.8078 0.8106 0.8133
0.8315 0.834 0.8365 0.8389
0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
0.8554 0.8577 0.8599 0.8621
0.8770 0.8790 0.8810 0.8830
0.8962 0.8980 0.8997 0.9015
0.9131 0.9147 0.9162 0.9177
0.9278 0.9292 0.9306 0.9319
0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
0.9406 0.9418 0.9129 0.9441
0.9515 0.9525 0.9535 0.9545
0.9608 0.9616 0.9625 0.9633
0.9686 0.9693 0.9699 0.9706
0.9750 0.9756 0.9761 0.9767
0.9803 0.9808 0.9812 0.9817
0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
0.9846 0.9850 0.9854 0.9857
0.9881 0.9884 0.9887 0.9890
0.9909 0.9911 0.9913 0.9916
0.9931 0.9932 0.9934 0.9936
0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
0.9948 0.9949 0.9951 0.9952
0.9971 0.9972 0.9973 0.9974
0.9971 0.9972 0.9973 0.9974
0.9979 0.9979 0.9980 0.9981
0.9985 0.9985 0.9986 0.9986
0.06 0.07 0.08 0.09
0.9989 0.9989 0.9990 0.9990
0.9992 0.9992 0.9993 0.9993
0.9994 0.9995 0.9995 0.9995
0.9996 0.9996 0.9996 0.9997
0.9997 0.9997 0.9997 0.9998
0.4920 0.5000 0.4840 0.3192 0.2981 0.1271 0.0655
0.55 0.43 -0.06 -0.08 -0.16 -0.42 -0.69 Normal
0.0009 0.0009 0.0009 0.0009 0.0009 0.0009 0.0009

-2.43 -2.43 -2.44 -2.44 -2.44 -2.44 -2.44 Log Pearson
Log Pearson

Xa = 125.914
Sx = 50.824
Tabel 4.22. Perhitungan Uji Smirnov-Kolmogorov untuk Distribusi Log Pearson Type III
m X Log X P(x)=m/(n+1) P(x<) f(t) = (Log X-Log Xa)/Sx P'(x)

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) = 1 - (4) (6) (7)
1 211.00 2.32 0.067 0.933 -2.432 0.0078
2 208.00 2.32 0.133 0.867 -2.432 0.0078
3 202.00 2.31 0.200 0.800 -2.432 0.0078
4 154.00 2.19 0.267 0.733 -2.434 0.0078
5 148.00 2.17 0.333 0.667 -2.435 0.0078
6 123.00 2.09 0.400 0.600 -2.436 0.0078
7 122.00 2.09 0.467 0.533 -2.436 0.0078
8 118.00 2.07 0.533 0.467 -2.437 0.0078
9 104.80 2.02 0.600 0.400 -2.438 0.0078
10 91.00 1.96 0.667 0.333 -2.439 0.0078
11 91.00 1.96 0.733 0.267 -2.439 0.0078
12 72.00 1.86 0.800 0.200 -2.441 0.0078
13 71.00 1.85 0.867 0.133 -2.441 0.0078
14 47.00 1.67 0.933 0.067 -2.445 0.0078
Dmax =
Tabel 4.23. Resume Hasil Uji Smirnov-Kolmogorov
Metode Distribusi Dmax Kondisi Do(5%) Keterangan
Gumbel -0.317 < 0.354 Diterima

Normal 0.891 > 0.354 Tidak Diterima
Log Pearson Type III -0.059 < 0.354 Diterima
Dmax diterima adalah Metode Gumbel dan Log Pearson Type III
Tahun Hujan Wilayah R24 (mm) Xi - Xrata-rata
2002 211.000 85.086

2003 208.000 82.086
2004 202.000 76.086
2005 154.000 28.086
2006 148.000 22.086
2007 123.000 -2.914
2008 122.000 -3.914
2009 118.000 -7.914
2010 104.800 -21.114
2011 91.000 -34.914
2012 91.000 -34.914
2013 72.000 -53.914
2014 71.000 -54.914
2015 47.000 -78.914
Jumlah Data 14
Rata Rata 125.914 0.000
Total 1762.800 0.000
standar deviasi 52.743
cs 0.449 0.449
ck 0.202 -0.810
jenis sebaran syarat

Normal Cs = 0 ck=3
Log Normal cs= 0,763 ck = 3
cs = 0 ck = 1,5*cs+3
Log Pearson III
ck = 3,873
Gumbel cs <1,1396 ck<5,4002
(Xi - Xrata- (Xi - Xrata-
(Xi - Xrata-rata)^4
rata)^2 rata)^3
7239.579 615984.731 52411500.847
6738.064 553098.837 45401513.069
5789.036 440462.933 33512936.864
788.807 22154.218 622217.031
487.779 10772.943 237928.134
8.493 -24.751 72.132
15.322 -59.973 234.752
62.636 -495.719 3923.258
445.813 -9413.024 198749.286
1219.007 -42560.771 1485978.912
1219.007 -42560.771 1485978.912
2906.750 -156715.361 8449196.749
3015.579 -165598.354 9093715.351
6227.464 -491435.912 38781313.972
14
2583.096 52400.645 13691804.233
36163.337 733609.025 191685259.268
2749.432 295964.116 19552369.811
qq
hasil hitungan kesimpulan

cs = 0.449 tidak memenuhi
ck = 0.202 tidak memenuhi n2
tidak memenuhi
tidak memenuhi
memenuhi
Rekapitulasi Hasil Perhitungan Curah Hujan Rancangan

No. (Tahun) Metode Metode Metode
Gumbel Normal Log Pearson Type III
1 2 118.42 115.44 118.39
2 5 177.64 165.38 168.68
3 10 216.84 199.66 200.15
4 25 266.38 232.92 237.81
5 50 303.13 277.60 264.43
6 100 339.61 312.95 289.75
7 200 375.96 348.29 314.18
8 1000 460.15 433.26 369.15
UJI SMIRNOV KOLMOGOROF
D Maximum, D Max -0.317 0.891 -0.059
D Kritis 0.354 0.354 0.354
UJI CHI SQUARE
Chi - Square hitung 1.00 6.71 3.14
Chi - Square kritis 5.99 5.99 5.99
Derajat Bebas 2.00 2.00 2.00
UJI PROBABILITAS CS & CK
CS DITERIMA TIDAK DITERIMA TIDAK DITERIMA
CK DITERIMA TIDAK DITERIMA TIDAK DITERIMA
500
450
400
Hujan Rancangan (mm)
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
2 5 10 25 50 100 200 1000
Kala Ulang
Resume Uji Kecocokan

Jenis Uji Kecocokan
No. Jenis Distribusi
Rata-rata % Error Deviasi
1 Normal 8.16 15.22
2 Gumbel 5.39 11.60
3 Log Pearson III 7.65 13.91
Maksimum 31.74 34.55
Minimum 5.39 11.60
Perbandingan Hasil Uji Kecocokan
16
Rata-rata % Error Deviasi
14
Ketidakcocokan
12
10
8
6
4
2
0
Jenis Distribusi
Distribusi Hujan Untu
No. Hujan R2 =
(Tahun) Metode Gumbel Intensitas Hujan (%) =
1 2 118.42 Durasi Hujan (Jam)
2 5 177.64 Durasi Hujan (%)
3 10 216.84 Curah Hujan (%)
4 25 266.38 Distribusi (%)
5 50 303.13 Distribusi (mm)
6 100 339.61
7 200 375.96 Distribusi Hujan Untu
8 1000 460.15 Hujan R5 =
Intensitas Hujan (%) =
Durasi Hujan (Jam)
Durasi Hujan (%)
Curah Hujan (%)
Distribusi (%)
Distribusi (mm)

Hujan R10 =
Durasi Hujan (Jam)
Durasi Hujan (%)
Curah Hujan (%)
Distribusi (%)
Distribusi (mm)

Hujan R25 =
Durasi Hujan (Jam)
Durasi Hujan (%)
Curah Hujan (%)
Distribusi (%)
Distribusi (mm)
Distribusi Hujan Untuk Durasi 6 Jam Distribusi H
118.42 Hujan R50
64 Intensitas Hujan (%)
1 2 3 4 5 6 Durasi Hujan (Jam)
17 33 50 67 83 100 Durasi Hujan (%)
69 81 88 93 97 100 Curah Hujan (%)
5 12 69 7 4 3 Distribusi (%)
5.92088022 14.21011 81.70815 8.289232 4.736704 3.552528 Distribusi (mm)

177.64 Hujan R100
17 33 50 67 83 100 Durasi Hujan (%)
69 81 88 93 97 100 Curah Hujan (%)
5 12 69 7 4 3 Distribusi (%)
8.8817536 21.31621 122.5682 12.43446 7.105403 5.329052 Distribusi (mm)

216.84 Hujan R200
17 33 50 67 83 100 Durasi Hujan (%)
69 81 88 93 97 100 Curah Hujan (%)
5 12 69 7 4 3 Distribusi (%)
10.8421094 26.02106 149.6211 15.17895 8.673688 6.505266 Distribusi (mm)

266.38 Hujan R1000
17 33 50 67 83 100 Durasi Hujan (%)
69 81 88 93 97 100 Curah Hujan (%)
5 12 69 7 4 3 Distribusi (%)
13.3190242 31.96566 183.8025 18.64663 10.65522 7.991414 Distribusi (mm)
Distribusi Hujan Untuk Durasi 6 Jam
= 303.13
= 64
am) 1 2 3 4 5 6
%) 17 33 50 67 83 100
%) 69 81 88 93 97 100
5 12 69 7 4 3
15.15654 36.3757 209.1603 21.21916 12.12523 9.093925

= 339.61
= 64
am) 1 2 3 4 5 6
%) 17 33 50 67 83 100
%) 69 81 88 93 97 100
5 12 69 7 4 3
16.98049 40.75318 234.3308 23.77269 13.58439 10.18829

= 375.96
= 64
am) 1 2 3 4 5 6
%) 17 33 50 67 83 100
%) 69 81 88 93 97 100
5 12 69 7 4 3
18.79778 45.11468 259.4094 26.3169 15.03823 11.27867

= 460.15
= 64
am) 1 2 3 4 5 6
%) 17 33 50 67 83 100
%) 69 81 88 93 97 100
5 12 69 7 4 3
23.00739 55.21773 317.5019 32.21034 18.40591 13.80443
DISTRIBUSI HUJAN JAM JAMAN METODE G
Hujan Jam-Jaman Curah Hujan Netto Jam-Jaman
T RT Rt
Parameter
(Jam) (R24) Rasio Hujan (%)
1 0.55 32% Curah Hujan Rancangan (R)
2 0.35 20% Koefisien Pengaliran
3 0.26 15% Hujan Netto (mm/hari)
4 0.22 12% Sumber : Hasil Perhitungan
5 0.19 11%
6 0.17 10% Distribusi
Jam
Total 100% %
Sumber : Hasil Perhitungan 1 32%
2 20%
3 15%
pakai metode genta (6jam) 4 12%
5 11%
6 10%
Curah Hujan Rancangan (R)
Koefisien Pengaliran
Hujan Netto (mm/hari)
Sumber : Hasil Perhitungan
Return
Period
2
5
10
25
50
100
Banjir 2016
RT = R24/T x (T/t)^(2/3)
RT = intensitas curah hujan rerata dalam T jam
R24 = curah hujan dalam 1 hari (mm)
T = waktu konsentrasi hujan (jam)
t = Jam Ke (jam)
Distribusi hujan selama 6 Jam

RT = R24/6 x (6/t)^(2/3)
Curah Hujan Jam ke T
Jam Ke Distribusi Hujan
(t) RT
1 0.55
2 0.35
3 0.26
4 0.22
5 0.19
6 0.17
N JAM JAMAN METODE GUMBLE
Jam-Jaman
Hujan Jam-Jaman (mm/jam)

R2TH R5TH R10TH R25TH R50TH R100TH R Banjir 2016
118.42 177.64 216.84 266.38 303.13 339.61 217.00
0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85
100.65 150.99 184.32 226.42 257.66 288.67 184.45

37.89 56.84 69.39 85.24 97.00 108.68 69.44
23.68 35.53 43.37 53.28 60.63 67.92 43.40
17.76 26.65 32.53 39.96 45.47 50.94 32.55
14.21 21.32 26.02 31.97 36.38 40.75 26.04
13.03 19.54 23.85 29.30 33.34 37.36 23.87
11.84 17.76 21.68 26.64 30.31 33.96 21.70
118.42 177.64 216.84 266.38 303.13 339.61 217.00
0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85
100.65 150.99 184.32 226.42 257.66 288.67 184.45
Distribusi Hujan Jam-Jaman setiap Periode Ulang

Hujan 100
Rencana 90
(mm) 80
118.42 70
Hujan Rencna (mm)
177.64 60
216.84 50
266.38
40
303.13
339.61
30
217.00 20
10
0
R2TH R5TH R10TH R25TH R50TH R100TH R Banji
2016
a dalam T jam
Ulang
R100TH R Banjir
2016
DISTRIBUSI HUJAN JAM JAMAN METODE LOG PEARSO
Hujan Jam-Jaman Curah Hujan Netto Jam-Jaman
T RT Rt
Parameter
(Jam) (R24) Rasio Hujan (%)
1 0.55 32% Curah Hujan Rancangan (R)
2 0.35 20% Koefisien Pengaliran
3 0.26 15% Hujan Netto (mm/hari)
4 0.22 12% Sumber : Hasil Perhitungan
5 0.19 11%
6 0.17 10% Distribusi
Jam
Total 100% %
Sumber : Hasil Perhitungan 1 32%
2 20%
3 15%
4 12%
5 11%
6 10%
Curah Hujan Rancangan (R)
Koefisien Pengaliran
Hujan Netto (mm/hari)
Sumber : Hasil Perhitungan
Return
Period
2
5
10
25
50
100
Banjir 2016
AMAN METODE LOG PEARSON TYPE III
Jam-Jaman

118.39 168.68 200.15 237.81 264.43 289.75 217.00
0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85
100.63 143.38 170.13 202.14 224.76 246.28 184.45

37.88 53.98 64.05 76.10 84.62 92.72 69.44
23.68 33.74 40.03 47.56 52.89 57.95 43.40
17.76 25.30 30.02 35.67 39.66 43.46 32.55
14.21 20.24 24.02 28.54 31.73 34.77 26.04
13.02 18.55 22.02 26.16 29.09 31.87 23.87
11.84 16.87 20.01 23.78 26.44 28.97 21.70
118.39 168.68 200.15 237.81 264.43 289.75 217.00
0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85 0.85
100.63 143.38 170.13 202.14 224.76 246.28 184.45
Distribusi Hujan Jam-Jaman setiap Periode Ulang

Hujan 100
Rencana 90
(mm) 80
118.39 70
Hujan Rencna (mm)
168.68 60
200.15 50
237.81
40
264.43
289.75
30
217.00 20
10
0
R2TH R5TH R10TH R25TH R50TH R100TH R Banjir
2016
Ulang
R100TH R Banjir
2016

(OK) Analisis Frekuensi (Weibull) Pangandaran

Diunggah oleh

Informasi Dokumen

Hak Cipta

Format Tersedia

Bagikan dokumen Ini

Bagikan atau Tanam Dokumen

Opsi Berbagi

Apakah menurut Anda dokumen ini bermanfaat?

Apakah konten ini tidak pantas?

Hak Cipta:

Format Tersedia

(OK) Analisis Frekuensi (Weibull) Pangandaran

Diunggah oleh

Hak Cipta:

Format Tersedia

Dari Analisis Hujan Wilayah dengan menggunakan Polygon Thiessen

DAS Cikidang hanya masuk 1 pos hujan yaitu Cikembulan

No Tahun X Log X LogX-logXr (LogX-logXr)2

1 2004 47.00 1.672 -0.390 0.1523

(LogX-logXr)3 Jumlah Jumlah Jumlah

Koef Curve Number

Koef Run off

Koef Curve Number Koef x Luas Cn x Luas No

Koef Curve Number Koef x Luas Cn x Luas No

Koef Curve Number Koef x Luas Cn x Luas

Koef Curve Number Koef x Luas Cn x Luas

Koef Curve Number Koef x Luas Cn x Luas

Koef Curve Number Koef x Luas Cn x Luas

ope and shape, 1.8~2.2 (for steeper slope, C t

h along the main channel to the point

Analisa Curah Hujan Rencana

No. Tahun No. Urut Rmax (mm/hr) Rmax-urut (mm/hr)

Tr (thn) KTr RTr (mm/hr)

m Weibull Tr KTr Rmax-aktualRmax-prediksi % Error m

Total Prosentase Error (%) 114.19

10.000 1.280 6 4.000 0.670 10

10.000 1.280 7 2.500 0.250 11

5.000 0.840 8 2.000 0.000 12

1.800 -0.250 13 1.250 -0.840

1.670 -0.250 14 1.110 -1.280

Tr (thn) KTr Peluang

Harga d Distribusi Normal

No. Tr (thn) KTr Peluang No. Tr (thn)

Analisa Curah Hujan Rencana

No. Tahun No. Urut Rmax (mm/hr) Rmax-urut (mm/hr)

1 2004 14 47.00 211.00

Tr (thn) KTr KTr . S log (Rmax) Log (RTr)

Log (Rmax) m Weibull Tr KTr Rmax-aktual Rmax-prediksi % Error

2.32 1 0.07 15.00 1.28 211.00 199.66 5.38

Total Prosentase Error (%) 109.55

m Weibull Tr KTr Rmax-aktual Rmax-prediksi (Selisih)2

1 0.07 15.00 1.28 211.00 199.66 128.69

Total Selisih Pangkat Dua 2689.71

Analisa Curah Hujan Rencana

No. Tahun No. Urut Rmax (mm/hr) Rmax-urut (mm/hr)

1 2004 14 47.00 211.00

Tr (thn) YTr RTr (mm)

(Rmax - µ)2 m Weibull Tr YTr Rmax-aktual

7239.579 1 0.07 15.00 2.67 211.00

14 Total Prosentase Error (%)

Rmax-prediksi % Error m Weibull Tr YTr Rmax-aktual

238.96 13.25 1 0.07 15.00 2.67 211.00

75.41 Total Selisih Pangkat Dua

-3.0 0.218 0.238 0.257 0.277 0.297 0.337

Return Periode (Year)

0.376 0.396 0.404 0.436 0.476 0.540 0.636 0.651

0.666 0.666 0.666 0.666 0.667 0.667 0.668

Analisa Curah Hujan Rencana

1 2004 14 47.00 211.00 615984.73

Tr (thn) KTr RTr (mm)

m Weibull Tr KTr Rmax-aktual Rmax-prediksi % Error

1 0.07 15.00 1.519 211.00 206.01 2.36

Total Prosentase Error (%) 444.42

m Weibull Tr KTr Rmax-aktual Rmax-prediksi (Selisih)2

1 0.07 15.00 1.519 211.00 206.01 24.87

Total Selisih Pangkat Dua 15518.75

Cs 2 5 10 25 50 100 200 1000

0.400 -0.040 -0.043 -0.046 -0.050 -0.056 -0.063 -0.066 -0.037

Analisa Curah Hujan Rencana