DATA POS HUJAN

Dari GIS
No Nama Pos Hujan Luas (km) Luas (Ha) Persen (%)
1 STA. Paku Ambon 0.0338 3.383300 49.968
2 STA. Lembang Meteo 0.0339 3.387700 50.032
3 STA. Dago Pakar 0.1683 16.831300 248.579
Total 0.068 6.771 100.000
 Curah Hujan Harian Maksimum (mm)
No. Tahun
Paku Ambon Lembang Meteo
Faktor 1 2009 85.2 78.1
0.4997 2 2010 70.1 69.7
0.5003 3 2011 61 140
2.4858 4 2012 115 75.4
1.000 5 2013 95 94
6 2014 43.5 56
7 2015 98 39
8 2016 53 82
9 2017 95 79.5
10 2018 67 70
782.8 783.7
an Maksimum (mm)
Dago Pakar
73
104
45
70
95
79
85
86
187
58
882
DATA HUJAN SEBELUM DIUJI
Uji Outlier Data Hujan Maksimum STA : Kayu Ambon

No Tahun X Log X LogX-logXr (LogX-logXr)2 (LogX-logXr)3

1 2009 85 1.930 0.055 0.0030 0.0002

2 2010 70 1.846 -0.030 0.0009 0.0000
3 2011 61 1.785 -0.090 0.0082 -0.0007
4 2012 115 2.061 0.185 0.0342 0.0063
5 2013 95 1.978 0.102 0.0104 0.0011
6 2014 44 1.638 -0.237 0.0563 -0.0134
7 2015 98 1.991 0.115 0.0133 0.0015
8 2016 53 1.724 -0.151 0.0230 -0.0035
9 2017 95 1.978 0.102 0.0104 0.0011
10 2018 67 1.826 -0.050 0.0025 -0.0001

Rerata = 1.876
Standar Deviasi (Stdev) = 0.134
Skewness (Cs) = -0.435

n = 10
Kn = 2.036 (tabel)
STA :Kayu Ambon
Batas atas (XH) = 140.936 Batas Atas Diterima
Batas bawah (XL) = 40.042 Batas Bawah Diterima

Uji Outlier Data Hujan Maksimum STA : Lembang Meteo

No Tahun X Log X LogX-logXr (LogX-logXr)2 (LogX-logXr)3

1 2009 78 1.893 0.017 0.0003 0.0000

2 2010 70 1.843 -0.033 0.0011 0.0000
3 2011 140 2.146 0.270 0.0731 0.0198
4 2012 75 1.877 0.002 0.0000 0.0000
5 2013 94 1.973 0.097 0.0095 0.0009
6 2014 56 1.748 -0.128 0.0163 -0.0021
7 2015 39 1.591 -0.285 0.0811 -0.0231
8 2016 82 1.914 0.038 0.0014 0.0001
9 2017 80 1.900 0.025 0.0006 0.0000
10 2018 70 1.845 -0.031 0.0009 0.0000

Rerata = 1.873
Standar Deviasi (Stdev) = 0.143
Skewness (Cs) = -0.142

n = 10
Kn = 2.036 (tabel)
STA :Lembang Meteo
Batas atas (XH) = 146.002 Batas Atas Diterima
Batas bawah (XL) = 38.181 Batas Bawah Diterima

Uji Outlier Data Hujan Maksimum STA : Dago Pakar

 No Tahun X Log X LogX-logXr (LogX-logXr)2 (LogX-logXr)3

1 2009 73 1.863 -0.012 0.0002 0.0000

2 2010 104 2.017 0.141 0.0200 0.0028
3 2011 45 1.653 -0.223 0.0495 -0.0110
4 2012 70 1.845 -0.031 0.0009 0.0000
5 2013 95 1.978 0.102 0.0104 0.0011
6 2014 79 1.898 0.022 0.0005 0.0000
7 2015 85 1.929 0.054 0.0029 0.0002
8 2016 86 1.934 0.059 0.0034 0.0002
9 2017 187 2.272 0.396 0.1569 0.0621
10 2018 58 1.763 -0.112 0.0126 -0.0014

Rerata = 1.915
Standar Deviasi (Stdev) = 0.164
Skewness (Cs) = 0.777

n = 10
Kn = 2.036 (tabel)
STA :Dago Pakar
Batas atas (XH) = 177.389 Batas Atas tidak Diterima
Batas bawah (XL) = 38.169 Batas Bawah Diterima
EDIT DATA HUJAN SETELAH DIUJI
Uji Outlier Data Hujan Maksimum STA :

No Tahun X Log X LogX-logXr

1 2009 85 1.930 0.055

2 2010 70 1.846 -0.030
3 2011 61 1.785 -0.090
4 2012 115 2.061 0.185
5 2013 95 1.978 0.102
6 2014 44 1.638 -0.237
7 2015 98 1.991 0.115
8 2016 53 1.724 -0.151
9 2017 95 1.978 0.102
10 2018 67 1.826 -0.050

Rerata = 1.876
Standar Deviasi (Stdev) = 0.134
Skewness (Cs) = -0.435

n = 10
Kn = 2.036
STA :Kayu Ambon
Batas atas (XH) = 140.936
Batas bawah (XL) = 40.042

Uji Outlier Data Hujan Maksimum STA :

No Tahun X Log X LogX-logXr

1 2009 78.10 1.893 0.017

2 2010 69.70 1.843 -0.033
3 2011 140.00 2.146 0.270
4 2012 75.40 1.877 0.002
5 2013 94.00 1.973 0.097
6 2014 56.00 1.748 -0.128
7 2015 39.00 1.591 -0.285
8 2016 82.00 1.914 0.038
9 2017 79.50 1.900 0.025
10 2018 70.00 1.845 -0.031

Rerata = 1.87
Standar Deviasi (Stdev) = 0.14
Skewness (Cs) = -0.14

n = 10
Kn = 2.036
STA :Lembang Meteo
Batas atas (XH) = 146.00
Batas bawah (XL) = 38.18

Uji Outlier Data Hujan Maksimum STA :

 No Tahun X Log X LogX-logXr

1 2009 73.00 1.863 -0.012

2 2010 104.00 2.017 0.141
3 2011 45.00 1.653 -0.223
4 2012 70.00 1.845 -0.031
5 2013 95.00 1.978 0.102
6 2014 79.00 1.898 0.022
7 2015 85.00 1.929 0.054
8 2016 86.00 1.934 0.059
9 2017 165.00 2.217 0.342
10 2018 58.00 1.763 -0.112

Rerata = 1.91
Standar Deviasi (Stdev) = 0.15
Skewness (Cs) = 0.41

n = 10
Kn = 2.036
STA :Dago Pakar
Batas atas (XH) = 165.03
Batas bawah (XL) = 40.01
Kayu Ambon Tabel Uji Outlier

(LogX-logXr)2 (LogX-logXr)3 Jumlah Jumlah

Kn Kn
Data (n) Data (n)
0.0030 0.0002 10 2.036 24 2.467
0.0009 0.0000 11 2.088 25 2.486
0.0082 -0.0007 12 2.135 26 2.502
0.0342 0.0063 13 2.175 27 2.519
0.0104 0.0011 14 2.213 28 2.534
0.0563 -0.0134 15 2.247 29 2.549
0.0133 0.0015 16 2.279 30 2.563
0.0230 -0.0035 17 2.309 31 2.577
0.0104 0.0011 18 2.335 32 2.591
0.0025 -0.0001 19 2.361 33 2.604
22 2.429 36 2.390
23 2.448 37 2.650

(tabel)

Batas Atas Diterima

Batas Bawah Diterima

Lembang Meteo

(LogX-logXr)2 (LogX-logXr)3

0.0003 0.0000
0.0011 0.0000
0.0731 0.0198
0.0000 0.0000
0.0095 0.0009
0.0163 -0.0021
0.0811 -0.0231
0.0014 0.0001
0.0006 0.0000
0.0009 0.0000

(tabel)

Batas Atas Diterima

Batas Bawah Diterima

Dago Pakar
 (LogX-logXr)2 (LogX-logXr)3

0.0002 0.0000
0.0200 0.0028
0.0495 -0.0110
0.0009 0.0000
0.0104 0.0011
0.0005 0.0000
0.0029 0.0002
0.0034 0.0002
0.1168 0.0399
0.0126 -0.0014

(tabel)

Batas Atas Diterima

Batas Bawah Diterima
Jumlah Jumlah
Kn Kn
Data (n) Data (n)
38 2.661 60 2.837
39 2.671 65 2.866
40 2.682 70 2.893
41 2.692 75 2.917
42 2.700 80 2.940
43 2.710 85 2.961
44 2.719 90 2.981
45 2.727 95 3.000
46 2.736 100 3.017
47 2.744 110 3.049
50 2.768 140 3.129
55 2.804
 Curah Hujan Harian Maksimum (mm)
No Tahun Kayu Ambon Lembang Meteo
0.4997 0.5003
1 2009 85 78
2 2010 70 70
3 2011 61 140
4 2012 115 75
5 2013 95 94
6 2014 44 56
7 2015 98 39
8 2016 53 82
9 2017 95 80
10 2018 67 70
Maksimum (mm)
Dago Pakar R24 Wilayah
2.4858
73 263.111
104 328.422
45 212.386
70 269.193
95 330.650
79 246.132
85 279.773
86 281.288
165 497.401
70 242.506
 Analisa Curah Hujan Rencana
Distribusi Normal

No. Tahun No. Urut Rmax (mm/hr)

1 2009 7 263.11
2 2010 3 328.42
3 2011 10 212.39
4 2012 6 269.19
5 2013 2 330.65
6 2014 8 246.13
7 2015 5 279.77
8 2016 4 281.29
9 2017 1 497.40
10 2018 9 242.51
Jumlah data N
Nilai Rata-rata µ
Standar Deviasi σ

Tr (thn) KTr RTr (mm/hr)

2 0.00 295.086
5 0.84 362.184
10 1.28 397.331
25 1.64 426.087
50 2.05 458.838
100 2.33 481.204
200 2.58 501.173
1000 3.09 541.911

Harga KTr Distribusi Normal

No. Tr (thn) KTr Peluang

1 1.001 -3.05 0.999
2 1.005 -2.58 0.995
3 1.010 -2.33 0.990
4 1.050 -1.64 0.950
5 1.110 -1.28 0.900
6 1.250 -0.84 0.800
7 1.330 -0.67 0.750
8 1.430 -0.52 0.700
9 1.670 -0.25 0.600
10 2.000 0.00 0.500
11 2.500 0.25 0.400
12 3.330 0.52 0.300
13 4.000 0.67 0.250
14 5.000 0.84 0.200
15 10.000 1.28 0.100
16 25.000 1.64 0.040
17 50.000 2.05 0.020
18 100.000 2.33 0.010
19 200.000 2.58 0.005
20 500.000 2.88 0.002
21 1000.000 3.09 0.001
cana Uji Kecocokan - Rata-rata Prosentase Error
Distribusi Normal

Rmax-urut (mm/hr) m Weibull Tr KTr Rmax-aktual

497.401 1 0.09 11.00 1.28 497.40
330.650 2 0.18 5.50 0.88 330.65
328.422 3 0.27 3.67 0.67 328.42
281.288 4 0.36 2.75 0.25 281.29
279.773 5 0.45 2.20 0.10 279.77
269.193 6 0.55 1.83 0.00 269.19
263.111 7 0.64 1.57 -0.32 263.11
246.132 8 0.73 1.38 -0.58 246.13
242.506 9 0.82 1.22 -0.83 242.51
212.386 10 0.91 1.10 -1.31 212.39
10 Total Prosentase Error (%)
295.086 Jumlah Data
79.8787221807755 Rata-rata Prosentase Error (%)

interpolasi
1 20.000 1.280 5 2.500 0.250
11.000 1.280 2.200 0.100
10.000 1.280 2.000 0.000

2 10.000 1.280 7 2.000 0.000

5.500 0.884 1.571 -0.325
5.000 0.840 1.670 -0.250

4 3.300 0.250 8 1.670 -0.250

2.750 0.250 1.375 -0.582
2.500 0.250 1.430 -0.520

Harga d Distribusi Normal 9 1.430 -0.520

1.222 -0.832
No. Tr (thn) d Peluang 1.330 -0.670
1 2 1.0000 0.999
2 5 1.1638 0.995 10 1.250 -0.840
3 10 1.3497 0.990 1.100 -1.311
4 20 1.5340 0.950 1.110 -1.280
5 25 1.5853 0.940
6 50 1.7634 0.800 11 1.110 -1.280
7 100 1.9249 0.750 #REF! #REF!
1.050 -1.640
a Prosentase Error Uji Kecocokan - Deviasi
ormal Distribusi Normal

Rmax-prediksi % Error m Weibull Tr KTr Rmax-aktual

397.33 20.12 1 0.09 11.00 1.28 497.40
365.70 10.60 2 0.18 5.50 0.88 330.65
348.60 6.15 3 0.27 3.67 0.67 328.42
315.06 12.00 4 0.36 2.75 0.25 281.29
303.07 8.33 5 0.45 2.20 0.10 279.77
295.09 9.62 6 0.55 1.83 0.00 269.19
269.15 2.30 7 0.64 1.57 -0.32 263.11
248.61 1.01 8 0.73 1.38 -0.58 246.13
228.65 5.71 9 0.82 1.22 -0.83 242.51
190.33 10.38 10 0.91 1.10 -1.31 212.39
86.21 Total Selisih Pangkat Dua
10.00 Jumlah Data
8.62 Deviasi (δ)
an - Deviasi
Normal

Rmax-prediksi (Selisih)2
397.33 10013.97
365.70 1228.43
348.60 407.34
315.06 1140.29
303.07 542.93
295.09 670.47
269.15 36.49
248.61 6.13
228.65 191.90
190.33 486.44
14724.39
10.00
40.45
 Analisa Curah Hujan Rencana
Distribusi Gumbel

No. Tahun No. Urut Rmax (mm/hr) Rmax-urut (mm/hr)

1 2009 7 263.11 497.40
2 2010 3 328.42 330.65
3 2011 10 212.39 328.42
4 2012 6 269.19 281.29
5 2013 2 330.65 279.77
6 2014 8 246.13 269.19
7 2015 5 279.77 263.11
8 2016 4 281.29 246.13
9 2017 1 497.40 242.51
10 2018 9 242.51 212.39

Jumlah Data N
Jumlah Nilai Data ∑Rmax
Nilai Rata-rata µ
Jumlah Selisih Dengan Mean Pangkat Dua ∑(Rmax - µ)2
Standar Deviasi S
Koefisien Yn (Reduced Mean) Yn
Koefisien Sn (Seduced Standar Deviasi) Sn

Tr (thn) YTr RTr (mm)

2 0.37 284.261
5 1.50 379.603
10 2.25 442.728
25 3.20 522.486
50 3.90 581.655
100 4.60 640.387
200 5.30 698.905
1000 6.91 834.457

Harga Yn & Sn Distribusi Gumbel

Sampel Yn Sn Sampel

10 0.4952 0.9496 56
11 0.4996 0.9676 57
12 0.5035 0.9833 58
13 0.5070 0.9971 59
14 0.5100 1.0095 60
15 0.5128 1.0206 61
16 0.5157 1.0316 62
17 0.5181 1.0411 63
18 0.5202 1.0493 64
19 0.5220 1.0565 65
20 0.5236 1.0628 66
21 0.5252 1.0696 67
22 0.5268 1.0754 68
23 0.5283 1.0811 69
24 0.5296 1.0864 70
25 0.5309 1.0915 71
26 0.5320 1.0861 72
27 0.5332 1.1004 73
28 0.5343 1.1047 74
29 0.5353 1.1086 75
30 0.5362 1.1124 76
31 0.5371 1.1159 77
32 0.5380 1.1193 78
33 0.5388 1.1226 79
34 0.5396 1.1255 80
35 0.5402 1.1287 81
36 0.5410 1.1313 82
37 0.5418 1.1339 83
38 0.5424 1.1363 84
39 0.5430 1.1388 85
40 0.5436 1.1413 86
41 0.5442 1.1436 87
42 0.5448 1.1458 88
43 0.5453 1.1480 89
44 0.5458 1.1499 90
45 0.5463 1.1519 91
46 0.5468 1.1538 92
47 0.5473 1.1557 93
48 0.5477 1.1574 94
49 0.5481 1.1590 95
50 0.5485 1.1607 96
51 0.5489 1.1623 97
52 0.5493 1.1638 98
53 0.5497 1.1658 99
54 0.5501 1.1667 100
55 0.5504 1.1681
 Uji Kecocokan - Rata-rata Prosentase Error
Distribusi Gumbel

(Rmax - µ)2 m Weibull Tr YTr Rmax-aktual Rmax-prediksi % Error

40931.189 1 0.09 11.00 2.35 497.40 451.16 9.30
1264.786 2 0.18 5.50 1.61 330.65 388.53 17.51
1111.299 3 0.27 3.67 1.14 328.42 349.69 6.47
190.400 4 0.36 2.75 0.79 281.29 320.23 13.84
234.486 5 0.45 2.20 0.50 279.77 295.54 5.64
670.475 6 0.55 1.83 0.24 269.19 273.42 1.57
1022.438 7 0.64 1.57 -0.01 263.11 252.46 4.05
2396.540 8 0.73 1.38 -0.26 246.13 231.41 5.98
2764.623 9 0.82 1.22 -0.53 242.51 208.56 14.00
6839.257 10 0.91 1.10 -0.87 212.39 179.86 15.31

10 Total Prosentase Error (%) 93.67

2950.861 Jumlah Data 10.00
295.086 Rata-rata Prosentase Error (%) 9.37
57425.492
79.879
0.4952
0.9496

Yn Sn

0.5508 1.1696
0.5511 1.1708
0.5515 1.1721
0.5519 1.1734
0.5521 1.1747
0.5524 1.1759
0.5527 1.1770
0.5530 1.1782
0.5533 1.1793
0.5535 1.1803
0.5538 1.1814
0.5540 1.1824
0.5543 1.1834
0.5545 1.1844
0.5548 1.1854
0.5550 1.1854
0.5552 1.1873
0.5555 1.1881
0.5557 1.1890
0.5559 1.1898
0.5561 1.1906
0.5563 1.1915
0.5565 1.1923
0.5567 1.1930
0.5569 1.1938
0.5570 1.1945
0.5572 1.1953
0.5574 1.1959
0.5576 1.1967
0.5578 1.1973
0.5580 1.1987
0.5581 1.1987
0.5583 1.1994
0.5583 1.2001
0.5586 1.2007
0.5587 1.2013
0.5589 1.2020
0.5591 1.2026
0.5592 1.2032
0.5593 1.2038
0.5595 1.2044
0.5596 1.2049
0.5598 1.2055
0.5599 1.2060
0.5600 1.2065
 Uji Kecocokan - Deviasi
Distribusi Gumbel

m Weibull Tr YTr Rmax-aktual Rmax-prediksi (Selisih)2

1 0.09 11.00 2.35 497.40 451.16 2138.13
2 0.18 5.50 1.61 330.65 388.53 3350.37
3 0.27 3.67 1.14 328.42 349.69 452.12
4 0.36 2.75 0.79 281.29 320.23 1516.48
5 0.45 2.20 0.50 279.77 295.54 248.74
6 0.55 1.83 0.24 269.19 273.42 17.90
7 0.64 1.57 -0.01 263.11 252.46 113.42
8 0.73 1.38 -0.26 246.13 231.41 216.80
9 0.82 1.22 -0.53 242.51 208.56 1152.32
10 0.91 1.10 -0.87 212.39 179.86 1057.86

Total Selisih Pangkat Dua 10264.14

Jumlah Data 10.00
Deviasi (δ) 33.77
 Analisa Curah Hujan Rencana
Distribusi Log Pearson Type III

No. Tahun No. Urut Rmax (mm/hr) Rmax-urut (mm/hr) logRmax

1 2009 7 263.11 497.40 2.697
2 2010 3 328.42 330.65 2.519
3 2011 10 212.39 328.42 2.516
4 2012 6 269.19 281.29 2.449
5 2013 2 330.65 279.77 2.447
6 2014 8 246.13 269.19 2.430
7 2015 5 279.77 263.11 2.420
8 2016 4 281.29 246.13 2.391
9 2017 1 497.40 242.51 2.385
10 2018 9 242.51 212.39 2.327

Jumlah Data
Jumlah Nilai 'logRmax'
Nilai Rata-rata 'logRmax' (mean)
Jumlah Selisih Dengan Mean Pangkat Dua
Standar Deviasi 'logRmax'
Jumlah Selisih Dengan Mean Pangkat Tiga
Koefisien Kemencengan

Tr (thn) KTr logRTr RTr (mm)

2 -0.225 2.435 272.414
5 0.705 2.530 338.877
10 1.337 2.594 393.074
25 2.128 2.675 473.277
50 2.706 2.734 542.054
100 3.271 2.792 618.933
200 3.828 2.848 705.390
1000 5.110 2.979 953.077

Interpolasi

Cs 2 5 10 25 50
1.400 -0.225 0.705 1.337 2.128 2.706
1.500 -0.240 0.690 1.333 2.146 2.743
1.438 -0.231 0.699 1.335 2.135 2.720
2 3 4 5 6

Harga KTr Metode Pearson III dan Log Pearson III

Skew Return Periode (Year)
Coef. 2 5 10 25 50
C Probability
Cs 50 20 10 4 2
-3.0 0.396 0.636 0.666 0.666 0.666
-2.9 0.390 0.651 0.681 0.683 0.689
-2.8 0.384 0.666 0.702 0.712 0.714
-2.7 0.376 0.681 0.747 0.738 0.740
-2.6 0.368 0.696 0.771 0.764 0.768
-2.5 0.360 0.711 0.795 0.793 0.798
-2.4 0.351 0.725 0.819 0.823 0.830
-2.3 0.341 0.739 0.844 0.855 0.864
-2.2 0.330 0.752 0.869 0.888 0.900
-2.1 0.319 0.765 0.895 0.923 0.939
-2.0 0.307 0.777 0.920 0.959 0.980
-1.9 0.294 0.788 0.945 0.996 1.023
-1.8 0.282 0.799 0.970 1.035 1.069
-1.7 0.268 0.808 0.884 1.075 1.116
-1.6 0.254 0.817 0.994 1.116 1.166
-1.5 0.240 0.825 1.018 1.157 1.217
-1.4 0.225 0.832 1.041 1.198 1.270
-1.3 0.210 0.838 1.064 1.240 1.324
-1.2 0.195 0.844 1.086 1.282 1.379
-1.1 0.180 0.848 1.107 1.324 1.435
-1.0 0.164 0.852 1.128 1.366 1.492
-0.9 0.148 0.854 1.147 1.407 1.549
-0.8 0.132 0.856 1.166 1.448 1.606
-0.7 0.116 0.857 1.183 1.488 1.663
-0.6 0.099 0.857 1.200 1.528 1.720
-0.5 0.083 0.856 1.216 1.567 1.770
-0.4 0.066 0.855 1.231 1.606 1.834
-0.3 0.500 0.853 1.245 1.643 1.890
-0.2 0.033 0.850 1.258 1.680 1.945
-0.1 0.017 0.846 1.270 1.716 2.000
0.0 0.000 0.842 1.282 1.751 2.054
0.1 -0.017 0.836 1.292 1.785 2.107
0.2 -0.033 0.830 1.301 1.818 2.159
0.3 -0.050 0.824 1.309 1.849 2.211
0.4 -0.066 0.816 1.317 1.880 2.261
0.5 -0.083 0.808 1.323 1.910 2.311
0.6 -0.099 0.800 1.328 1.939 2.359
0.7 -0.116 0.790 1.333 1.967 2.407
0.8 -0.132 0.780 1.336 1.998 2.453
0.9 -0.148 0.769 1.339 2.018 2.498
1.0 -0.164 0.758 1.340 2.043 2.542
1.1 -0.180 0.745 1.341 2.066 2.585
1.2 -0.195 0.732 1.340 2.087 2.626
1.3 -0.210 0.719 1.339 2.108 2.666
1.4 -0.225 0.705 1.337 2.128 2.706
1.5 -0.240 0.690 1.333 2.146 2.743
1.6 -0.254 0.675 1.329 2.163 2.780
1.7 -0.268 0.660 1.324 2.179 2.815
1.8 -0.282 0.643 1.318 2.193 2.828
1.9 -0.282 0.627 1.310 2.207 2.881
2.0 -0.307 0.609 1.302 2.219 2.912
2.1 -0.319 0.592 1.294 2.230 2.942
2.2 -0.330 0.574 1.284 2.240 2.970
2.3 -0.341 0.555 1.274 2.248 3.997
2.4 -0.351 0.537 1.262 2.256 3.023
2.5 -0.360 0.518 1.250 2.262 3.048
2.6 -0.368 0.799 1.238 2.267 3.017
2.7 -0.384 0.460 1.210 2.275 3.114
2.8 -0.376 0.479 1.224 2.272 3.093
2.9 -0.390 0.440 1.195 2.277 3.134
3.0 -0.396 0.420 1.180 2.278 3.152
ujan Rencana Uji Kecocokan - Rata-rata Prosentase Error
arson Type III Distribusi Log Pearson Type III

(logRmax - logRmax)2 (logRmax - logRmax)3 m Weibull Tr KTr

0.05690044 0.01357292 1 0.09 11.00 1.44
0.00374546 0.00022922 2 0.18 5.50 0.83
0.00339473 0.00019779 3 0.27 3.67 0.39
0.00008132 -0.00000073 4 0.36 2.75 0.08
0.00012910 -0.00000147 5 0.45 2.20 -0.11
0.00078990 -0.00002220 6 0.55 1.83 -0.23
0.00144628 -0.00005500 7 0.64 1.57 -0.32
0.00448911 -0.00030077 8 0.73 1.38 -0.39
0.00539417 -0.00039617 9 0.82 1.22 -0.44
0.01717193 -0.00225024 10 0.91 1.10 -0.48

N 10 Total Prosentase Error (%)

∑logRmax 24.582 Jumlah Data
logRmax 2.458 Rata-rata Prosentase Error (%)
∑(logRmax - logRmax)2 0.094
Slog 0.102
∑(logRmax - logRmax)3 0.011
CS 1.438

100 200 1000 Cs 10 12 25

3.271 3.828 5.110 0.484 1.335 1.4420579 2.135
3.330 3.910 5.250
3.294 3.859 5.164 Cs 5 6 10
7 8 9 0.484 0.699 0.8264943 1.335

arson III dan Log Pearson III Cs 2 4 5

turn Periode (Year) 0.484 -0.231 0.3892511 0.699
100 200 1000
Probability Cs 2 3 5
1 0.5 0.1 0.484 -0.231 0.0792511 0.699
0.667 0.667 0.668
0.690 0.690 0.695 Cs 2 2.4 5
0.714 0.714 0.722 0.484 -0.231 -0.106749 0.699
0.740 0.741 0.748
0.769 0.769 0.775
0.799 0.800 0.802
0.832 0.833 0.838 ekstrapolasi
0.867 1.869 0.874 1000 5.164
0.905 0.907 0.910 200 3.859
0.946 0.949 0.955 100 3.294
0.990 0.995 1.000 50 2.720
1.038 1.044 1.065 25 2.135
1.087 1.097 1.130 10 1.335
1.140 1.155 1.205 d 5 0.699
1.197 1.216 1.280 c 2 -0.231
1.256 1.282 1.373 e 1.7142857 -0.31932
1.318 1.351 1.465 1.5 -0.385749
1.383 1.424 1.545 1.3333333 -0.437416
1.449 1.501 1.625 1.2 -0.478749
1.518 1.581 1.713 1.0909091 -0.512567
1.588 1.664 1.800
1.660 1.749 1.910
1.733 1.837 2.035
1.806 1.926 2.150
1.880 2.016 2.275
1.955 2.108 2.400
2.029 2.201 2.540
2.104 2.294 2.675
2.178 2.388 2.810
2.252 2.482 2.950
2.326 2.576 3.090
2.400 2.670 3.235
2.472 2.763 3.380
2.544 2.856 3.525
2.615 2.949 3.670
2.686 3.041 3.815
2.755 3.132 3.960
2.824 3.223 4.105
2.891 3.312 4.250
2.957 3.401 4.395
3.022 3.489 4.540
3.087 3.575 4.680
3.149 3.661 4.820
3.211 3.745 4.965
3.271 3.828 5.110
3.330 3.910 5.250
3.388 3.990 5.390
3.444 4.069 5.525
3.499 4.147 5.660
3.553 4.223 5.785
3.605 4.298 5.910
3.656 4.372 6.055
3.705 4.444 6.200
3.753 4.515 6.333
3.800 4.584 6.467
3.845 4.652 6.600
3.899 4.718 6.730
3.937 4.847 6.860
3.932 4.783 6.990
4.013 4.909 7.120
4.051 4.970 7.250
 - Rata-rata Prosentase Error Uji Kecocokan - Deviasi
si Log Pearson Type III Distribusi Log Pearson Type III

Rmax-aktual Rmax-prediksi % Error m Weibull Tr KTr Rmax-aktual

497.40 402.89 19.00 1 0.09 11.00 1.44 497.40
330.65 348.68 5.45 2 0.18 5.50 0.83 330.65
328.42 314.67 4.19 3 0.27 3.67 0.39 328.42
281.29 292.58 4.02 4 0.36 2.75 0.08 281.29
279.77 280.08 0.11 5 0.45 2.20 -0.11 279.77
269.19 272.05 1.06 6 0.55 1.83 -0.23 269.19
263.11 266.45 1.27 7 0.64 1.57 -0.32 263.11
246.13 262.33 6.58 8 0.73 1.38 -0.39 246.13
242.51 259.16 6.87 9 0.82 1.22 -0.44 242.51
212.39 256.66 20.85 10 0.91 1.10 -0.48 212.39

69.39 Total Selisih Pangkat Dua

10.00 Jumlah Data
6.94 Deviasi (δ)

Hubungan KTr Dengan Tr

Distribusi Log Pearson Type III
5.0
f(x) = 0.851567407777385 ln(x) − 0.681245043655748
4.5 R² = 0.998181420834974
4.0
3.5
3.0
2.5
KTr

2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
-0.5 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 80
Tr
b
a
 - Deviasi
rson Type III

Rmax-prediksi (Selisih)2
402.89 8932.59
348.68 325.13
314.67 189.19
292.58 127.57
280.08 0.10
272.05 8.15
266.45 11.14
262.33 262.26
259.16 277.46
256.66 1960.27

12093.86
10.00
36.66

n KTr Dengan Tr
og Pearson Type III

.681245043655748

00 500 600 700 800 900 1000

Tr
 Resume Analisa Curah Hujan Rencana

Periode Analisa Frekuensi Curah Hujan Rencana (mm/hr)

Ulang Normal Gumbel Log Pearson III
Tr2 295.09 284.26 272.41
Tr5 362.18 379.60 338.88
Tr10 397.33 442.73 393.07
Tr25 426.09 522.49 473.28
Tr50 458.84 581.66 542.05
Tr100 481.20 640.39 618.93
Tr200 501.17 698.91 705.39
Tr1000 541.91 834.46 953.08
 TABEL REDUKSI GAUSS

Return
Variabel Gauss, k Periode Ulang, T Peluang P=1/T k
Period
1.001 0.999 -3.05
2 0.00 1.005 0.995 -2.58
5 0.84 1.01 0.990 -2.33
10 1.28 1.05 0.952 -1.64
20 1.64 1.11 0.901 -1.28
25 1.71 1.25 0.800 -0.84
50 2.05 1.33 0.752 -0.67
100 2.33 1.43 0.699 -0.52
200 2.58 1.67 0.599 -0.25
500 2.88 2 0.500 0
1000 3.09 2.5 0.400 0.25
3.33 0.300 0.52
4 0.250 0.67
5 0.200 0.84
10 0.100 1.28
20 0.050 1.64
50 0.020 2.05
100 0.010 2.33
200 0.005 2.58
500 0.002 2.88
1000 0.001 3.09
 T k
1.00 1.01 -3.05 -2.58 TR K
1.01 1.01 -2.58 -2.33 5.00 0.84
1.01 1.05 -2.33 -1.64 2.50 0.25
1.05 1.11 -1.64 -1.28 1.67 -0.25
1.11 1.25 -1.28 -0.84 1.25 -0.84
1.25 1.33 -0.84 -0.67
1.33 1.43 -0.67 -0.52
1.43 1.67 -0.52 -0.25
1.67 2.00 -0.25 0
2.00 2.50 0 0.25
2.50 3.33 0.25 0.52
3.33 4.00 0.52 0.67
4.00 5.00 0.67 0.84
5.00 10.00 0.84 1.28
10.00 20.00 1.28 1.64
20.00 50.00 1.64 2.05
50.00 100.00 2.05 2.33
100.00 200.00 2.33 2.58
200.00 500.00 2.58 2.88
500.00 1000.00 2.88 3.09
1000.00 3.09
Tabel 2.8. Harga X2 kritis untuk Uji Chi - Square

Probability of deviation greather then x2

x2
Derajat Kepercayaan (α)
Dk
0.995 0.990 0.975 0.950 0.050 0.025 0.010
1 0.000 0.000 0.001 0.004 3.841 5.024 6.635
2 0.010 0.020 0.051 0.103 5.991 7.378 9.210
3 0.072 0.115 0.216 0.352 7.815 9.248 11.345
4 0.201 0.297 0.484 0.711 9.488 11.143 13.277
5 0.412 0.540 0.831 1.145 11.010 12.832 15.086
6 0.676 0.872 1.237 1.635 12.592 14.449 16.812
7 0.989 1.239 1.690 2.167 14.067 16.013 18.475
8 1.344 1.646 2.180 2.733 15.507 17.535 20.090
9 1.735 2.088 2.700 3.325 16.919 19.023 21.666
10 2.156 2.558 3.247 3.940 18.307 20.483 23.209
11 2.603 3.053 3.816 4.575 19.675 21.920 24.725
12 3.074 3.571 4.404 5.226 21.026 23.337 26.217
13 3.565 4.107 5.009 5.892 22.362 24.736 27.688
14 4.075 4.660 5.629 6.571 23.685 26.119 29.141
15 4.601 5.229 6.262 7.261 24.996 27.488 30.758
16 5.124 5.812 6.908 7.962 26.296 28.845 32.000
17 5.697 6.408 7.564 8.672 27.587 30.191 33.409
18 6.265 7.015 8.231 9.360 28.869 31.526 34.805
19 6.844 7.633 8.907 10.117 30.144 32.852 36.191
20 7.434 8.260 9.591 10.851 31.410 34.170 37.566
21 8.034 8.897 10.283 11.591 32.671 35.479 38.932
22 8.643 9.542 10.982 12.338 33.924 36.781 40.289
23 9.260 10.196 11.689 13.091 36.172 38.076 41.683
24 9.886 18.856 12.401 13.949 36.415 39.364 42.980
25 10.520 11.524 13.120 14.611 37.652 40.646 44.314
26 11.160 12.198 13.844 15.379 38.885 41.923 45.642
27 11.808 12.879 14.573 16.151 40.113 43.194 46.963
28 12.461 13.565 15.308 16.928 41.337 44.461 48.278
29 13.121 14.256 16.047 17.708 42.557 45.722 49.588
30 13.787 14.953 16.791 18.493 43.773 46.979 50.892

Tabel 2.9. Harga Do kritis untuk Uji Smirnov-Kolmogorof

a
0.200 0.100 0.050 0.010
n
5 0.45 0.51 0.56 0.67
10 0.32 0.37 0.41 0.49
15 0.27 0.30 0.34 0.40
 20 0.23 0.26 0.29 0.36
25 0.21 0.24 0.27 0.32
30 0.19 0.22 0.24 0.29
35 0.18 0.20 0.23 0.27
40 0.17 0.19 0.21 0.25
45 0.16 0.18 0.20 0.24
50 0.15 0.17 0.19 0.23

n > 50 1.07 1.22 1.36 1.63

n0,5
n 0,5
n0,5
n0,5

Data 10.00
D Kritis 0.410

1
0.005
7.879
10.597
12.838
14.860
16.750
18.548
20.278
21.955
23.589
25.188
26.757
28.300
29.819
31.319
32.801
34.267
35.718
37.756
38.582
39.997
40.401
42.796
44.181
45.558
46.928
48.290
49.645
50.993
52.336
53.672
UJI CHI-SQUARE ( x2)

Jumlah Data , n = 10.00

Jumlah Kelas : G = 1 + 3,322 Log n
G =4
Derajat Bebas ( Dk ) : G - (R + 1) ; R = 2
Derajat Bebas ( Dk ) 1.00
Signifikan (a, %) 5.00 memang 5%
D kritis 3.841
Expected Frequency (Ef) 2.50
Batas kelompok P= (m/(n+1))
1 20% 5.00
2 40% 2.50
3 60% 1.67
4 80% 1.25

Perhitungan Nilai Batas Dari Masing-Masing Sub-Kelompok untuk Distribusi Normal

Periode Ulang
Variabel Gauss k Sx Xa Xt t X  Xa  k * S
x
T (tahun) kaitannya dengan ch renca
5.00 0.84 79.879 295.086 362.184
2.50 0.25 79.879 295.086 315.056
1.67 -0.52 79.879 295.086 253.549
1.25 -0.84 79.879 295.086 227.988

tabel curah hujan Perhitu

Curah Hujan
No X Sub
Probabilitas (P)
( mm ) Kelompok
1 497.40 1 0
2 330.65 2 20
3 328.42 3 40
4 281.29 4 60
5 279.77 Jum
6 269.19
7 263.11
8 246.13 X2
9 242.51 X2Cr
10 212.39 X2hitung< X2cr
X  Xa  k * S
t x
kaitannya dengan ch rencana

Perhitungan Parameter Uji Chi Square X2 untuk Distribusi Normal

Jumlah Data
Probabilitas (P) Nilai Batas Sub Kelompok Ef-Of (Ef-Of)2/Ef
Ef Of
<P< 20 X> 362.18 2.5 1 1.5 0.90
<P< 40 315.06 <X≤ 362.18 2.5 2 0.5 0.10
<P< 60 253.55 <X≤ 315.06 2.5 4 -1.5 0.90
<P< 80 <X≤ 253.55 2.5 3 -0.5 0.10
Jumlah (n) 10 10 X2 2.00

2.00
3.841
HIPOTESA NORMAL DITERIMA
UJI CHI-SQUARE ( x2)

Jumlah Data , n = 10.00

Jumlah Kelas : G = 1 + 3,322 Log n

G =4
Derajat Bebas ( Dk ) : G - (R + 1) ; R = 2
Derajat Bebas ( Dk ) 1.00
Signifikan (a, %) 5.00
D kritis 3.841
Expected Frequency (Ef) 2.50  yt  y n 
Batas kelompok X t  Xa    Sx
 Sn 
1 20% 5.00
2 40% 2.50   T 1
3 60% 1.67 yt   ln   ln  
  T 
4 80% 1.25

Perhitungan Nilai Batas Dari Masing-Masing Sub-Kelompok untuk Distribusi Gumbel

Periode Ulang
yt yn Sn Sx Xa Xt
T (tahun)
5.00 1.4999 0.4952 0.9496 79.879 295.086 379.603
2.50 0.6717 0.4952 0.9496 79.879 295.086 309.935
1.67 0.0874 0.4952 0.9496 79.879 295.086 260.785
1.25 -0.4759 0.4952 0.9496 79.879 295.086 213.400
∞ - - - - - -

Tabel Curah Hujan Perhitungan Parameter Uji Chi Squar

Curah Hujan
No X Sub
Probabilitas (P)
( mm ) Kelompok
1 497.40 1 0 <P< 20
2 330.65 2 20 <P< 40
3 328.42 3 40 <P< 60
4 281.29 4 60 <P< 80
5 279.77 Jumlah (n)
6 269.19
7 263.11
8 246.13 X2 1.200
9 242.51 X Cr
2
3.841
10 212.39 X2hitung< X2cr HIPOTESA E.J GUMBEL DITERIMA
busi Gumbel

rhitungan Parameter Uji Chi Square X2 untuk Distribusi Gumbel

Jumlah Data
Nilai Batas Sub Kelompok Ef-Of (Ef-Of)2/Ef
Ef Of
X> 379.60 2.5 1 1.50 0.90
309.94 <X≤ 379.60 2.5 3 -0.50 0.10
260.78 <X≤ 309.94 2.5 3 -0.50 0.10
0.00 <X≤ 260.78 2.5 3 -0.50 0.10
Jumlah (n) 10 10 X2 1.200

SA E.J GUMBEL DITERIMA

UJI CHI-SQUARE ( x2)

Jumlah Data , n = 10.00

Cs = 1.438
Jumlah Kelas : G = 1 + 3,322 Log n
G = 4
Derajat Bebas ( Dk ) : G - (R + 1) ; R = 2
Derajat Bebas ( Dk ) 1.00
Signifikan (a, %) 5.00
D kritis 3.841
Expected Frequency (Ef) 2.50
Batas kelompok
1 20% 5.00
2 40% 2.50
3 60% 1.67 Log Xt = Log Xa + G*Sx
4 80% 1.25

Perhitungan Nilai Batas Dari Masing-Masing Sub-Kelompok untuk Distribusi Log Pearson Type III

Periode Ulang Variabel

Sx Log Xa Log Xt Xt
T (tahun) Reduksi G
5.00 0.84 0.102 2.458 2.544 349.788
2.50 0.25 0.102 2.458 2.484 304.548
1.67 -0.52 0.102 2.458 2.405 254.188
1.25 -0.84 0.102 2.458 2.373 235.793
∞ - - - - -

tabel curah hujan

Curah Hujan Perhitungan Parameter Uji Chi Square X2 u
No X
( mm )
Sub Kelompok Probabilitas (P)
1 497.40
2 330.65 1 0 <P< 20
3 328.42 2 20 <P< 40
4 281.29 3 40 <P< 60
5 279.77 4 60 <P< 80
6 269.19 Jumlah (n)
7 263.11
8 246.13 X2 0.4
9 242.51 X2Cr 3.841
10 212.39 X2hitung< X2cr HIPOTESA LOG PEARSON TYPE III
Pearson Type III

ameter Uji Chi Square X2 untuk Distribusi Log Pearson Type III

Jumlah Data
Nilai Batas Sub Kelompok Ef-Of (Ef-Of)2/Ef
Ef Of
X> 349.79 2.5 2 1 0.1
304.55 <X≤ 349.79 2.5 3 -1 0.1
254.19 <X≤ 304.55 2.5 2 1 0.1
0.00 <X≤ 254.19 2.5 3 -1 0.1
ah (n) 10 10 X2 0.40

LOG PEARSON TYPE III DITERIMA

 Rekapitulasi Hasil Perhitungan Curah Hujan Rancangan

No. Periode Ulang Hujan Rancangan ( mm )

(Tahun) Metode Metode
Normal Gumbel
1 2 295 284
2 5 362 380
3 10 397 443
4 25 426 522
5 50 459 582
6 100 481 640
7 200 501 699
8 1000 542 834
UJI CHI SQUARE
Chi - Square hitung 2.00 1.20
Chi - Square kritis 3.84 3.84
Derajat Bebas 1.00 1.00
Derajat Signifikansi 5.00 5.00
HIPOTESA DITERIMA DITERIMA
Sumber : Perhitungan

1200

1000
Hujan Rancangan (mm)

800

600

400

200

0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
Kala Ulang
Rancangan

Metode
Log Pearson Type III
272
339
393
473
542
619
705
953

0.40
3.84
1.00
5.00
DITERIMA

7 8
 Tabel Luas Wilayah di bawah Kurva Normal

t 0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07

-3.4 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003 0.0003
-3.3 0.0005 0.0005 0.0005 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004 0.0004
-3.2 0.0007 0.0007 0.0006 0.0006 0.0006 0.0006 0.0006 0.0005
-3.1 0.0010 0.0009 0.0009 0.0009 0.0008 0.0008 0.0008 0.0008
-3.0 0.0013 0.0013 0.0013 0.0012 0.0012 0.0011 0.0011 0.0011
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07
-2.9 0.0019 0.0018 0.0017 0.0017 0.0016 0.0016 0.0015 0.0015
-2.8 0.0026 0.0025 0.0024 0.0023 0.0022 0.0022 0.0021 0.0021
-2.7 0.0036 0.0034 0.0033 0.0032 0.0030 0.0030 0.0029 0.0028
-2.6 0.0047 0.0045 0.0044 0.0043 0.0040 0.0040 0.0039 0.0038
-2.5 0.0062 0.0060 0.0059 0.0057 0.0055 0.0054 0.0052 0.0051
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07
-2.4 0.0082 0.008 0.0078 0.0075 0.0073 0.0071 0.0069 0.0068
2.3 0.0107 0.0104 0.0102 0.0099 0.0096 0.0094 0.0091 0.0089
-2.2 0.0139 0.0136 0.0132 0.0129 0.0125 0.0122 0.0119 0.0116
-2.1 0.0179 0.0174 0.0170 0.0166 0.0162 0.0158 0.0154 0.015
-2.0 0.0228 0.0222 0.0217 0.0212 0.0207 0.0202 0.0197 0.0192
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07
-1.9 0.0287 0.0281 0.0274 0.0268 0.0262 0.0256 0.0250 0.0244
-1.8 0.0359 0.0352 0.0344 0.0336 0.0929 0.0322 0.0314 0.0307
-1.7 0.0446 0.0436 0.0427 0.0481 0.0409 0.0401 0.0392 0.0384
-1.6 0.0548 0.0537 0.0526 0.0516 0.0505 0.0495 0.0485 0.0475
-1.5 0.0668 0.0655 0.0643 0.063 0.0618 0.0606 0.0594 0.0582
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07
-1.4 0.0808 0.0793 0.0778 0.0764 0.0749 0.0735 0.0722 0.0708
-1.3 0.0968 0.0951 0.0934 0.0918 0.0901 0.0885 0.0869 0.0853
-1.2 0.1151 0.1131 0.1112 0.1093 0.1075 0.1056 0.1038 0.102
-1.1 0.1357 0.1335 0.1314 0.1292 0.1271 0.1251 0.1230 0.1210
-1.0 0.1587 0.1562 0.1539 0.1515 0.1492 0.1469 0.1446 0.1423
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07
-0.9 0.1841 0.1814 0.1788 0.1762 0.1736 0.1711 0.1685 0.1660
-0.8 0.2119 0.2090 0.2061 0.2033 0.2005 0.1977 0.1949 0.1922
-0.7 0.242 0.2389 0.2358 0.2327 0.2296 0.2266 0.2236 0.2206
-0.6 0.2743 0.2709 0.2676 0.2643 0.2611 0.2578 0.2546 0.2514
-0.5 0.3085 0.305 0.3015 0.2981 0.2946 0.2912 0.2877 0.2843
. 0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07
-0.4 0.3446 0.3409 0.3372 0.3336 0.3300 0.3264 0.3228 0.3192
-0.3 0.3821 0.3783 0.3745 0.3707 0.3669 0.3632 0.3594 0.3557
-0.2 0.4207 0.4168 0.4129 0.4090 0.4052 0.4013 0.3974 0.3936
-0.1 0.4602 0.4562 0.4522 0.4483 0.4443 0.4404 0.4364 0.4325
0.0 0.5000 0.496 0.4920 0.4880 0.4840 0.4801 0.4761 0.4721
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07
0.0 0.5000 0.5040 0.5080 0.5120 0.5160 0.5199 0.5239 0.5239
0.1 0.5398 0.5438 0.5478 0.5517 0.5557 0.5596 0.5636 0.5675
0.2 0.5793 0.5832 0.5871 0.5910 0.5948 0.5987 0.6026 0.6064
0.3 0.6179 0.6217 0.6255 0.6293 0.6331 0.6368 0.6406 0.6443
0.4 0.6554 0.6591 0.6628 0.6664 0.6700 0.6736 0.6772 0.6808
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07
0.5 0.6915 0.6950 0.6985 0.7019 0.7054 0.7086 0.7123 0.7157
0.6 0.7257 0.7291 0.7324 0.7357 0.7389 0.7422 0.7454 0.7486
0.7 0.7580 0.7611 0.7642 0.7673 0.7704 0.7734 0.7764 0.7794
0.8 0.7881 0.7910 0.7939 0.7967 0.7995 0.8023 0.8051 0.8078
0.9 0.8159 0.8186 0.8212 0.8238 0.8264 0.8289 0.8315 0.834
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07
1.0 0.8413 0.8438 0.8461 0.8485 0.8508 0.8531 0.8554 0.8577
1.1 0.8643 0.8665 0.8686 0.8708 0.8729 0.8749 0.8770 0.8790
1.2 0.8849 0.8869 0.8888 0.8907 0.8925 0.8944 0.8962 0.8980
1.3 0.9032 0.9049 0.9066 0.9082 0.9099 0.9115 0.9131 0.9147
1.4 0.9192 0.9207 0.9222 0.9236 0.9251 0.9625 0.9278 0.9292
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07
1.5 0.9332 0.9345 0.9357 0.937 0.9382 0.9394 0.9406 0.9418
1.6 0.9452 0.9463 0.9474 0.9484 0.9495 0.9505 0.9515 0.9525
1.7 0.9554 0.9564 0.9573 0.9582 0.9591 0.9599 0.9608 0.9616
1.8 0.9641 0.9649 0.9656 0.9664 0.9671 0.9678 0.9686 0.9693
1.9 0.9713 0.9719 0.9726 0.9732 0.9738 0.9744 0.9750 0.9756
2.0 0.9772 0.9778 0.9783 0.9788 0.9793 0.9798 0.9803 0.9808
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07
2.1 0.9821 0.9826 0.9830 0.9834 0.9838 0.9842 0.9846 0.9850
2.2 0.9861 0.9864 0.9868 0.9871 0.9875 0.9878 0.9881 0.9884
2.3 0.9893 0.9896 0.9696 0.9901 0.9904 0.9906 0.9909 0.9911
2.4 0.9918 0.992 0.9922 0.9925 0.9927 0.9929 0.9931 0.9932
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07
2.5 0.9938 0.994 0.9941 0.9943 0.9945 0.9946 0.9948 0.9949
2.6 0.9953 0.9955 0.9956 0.9957 0.9959 0.9960 0.9971 0.9972
2.7 0.9965 0.9966 0.9967 0.9968 0.9969 0.9970 0.9971 0.9972
2.8 0.9974 0.9975 0.9976 0.9977 0.9977 0.9976 0.9979 0.9979
2.9 0.9981 0.9982 0.9982 0.9983 0.9984 0.9984 0.9985 0.9985
0 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.04 0.05 0.06 0.07
3.0 0.9987 0.9987 0.9987 0.9988 0.9988 0.9989 0.9989 0.9989
3.1 0.9990 0.9991 0.9991 0.9991 0.9992 0.9992 0.9992 0.9992
3.2 0.9993 0.9993 0.9994 0.9994 0.9994 0.9994 0.9994 0.9995
3.3 0.9995 0.9995 0.9995 0.9996 0.9996 0.9996 0.9996 0.9996
3.4 0.9997 0.9997 0.9997 0.9997 0.9997 0.9997 0.9997 0.9997
 0.08 0.09
0.0003 0.0002
0.0004 0.0003
0.0005 0.0005
0.0007 0.0007
0.0010 0.0010
0.08 0.09
0.0014 0.0014
0.0020 0.0019
0.0027 0.0026
0.0037 0.0036
0.0049 0.0048
0.08 0.09
0.0066 0.0064
0.0087 0.0084
0.0113 0.0110
0.0146 0.0143
0.0188 0.0183
0.08 0.09
0.0239 0.0233
0.0301 0.0294
0.0375 0.0367
0.0465 0.0455
0.0571 0.0559
0.08 0.09
0.0694 0.0681
0.0838 0.0823
0.1003 0.0985
0.1190 0.1170
0.1401 0.1379
0.08 0.09
0.1635 0.1611
0.1894 0.1867
0.2177 0.2148
0.2483 0.2451
0.2810 0.2776
0.08 0.09
0.3156 0.3121
0.3520 0.3483
0.3897 0.3859
0.7286 0.4247
0.4681 0.4641
0.08 0.09
0.5319 0.5159
0.5714 0.5753
0.6103 0.6141
0.648 0.6517
0.6844 0.6879
0.08 0.09
0.7190 0.7224
0.7517 0.7549
0.7823 0.7852
0.8106 0.8133
0.8365 0.8389
0.08 0.09
0.8599 0.8621
0.8810 0.8830
0.8997 0.9015
0.9162 0.9177
0.9306 0.9319
0.08 0.09
0.9129 0.9441
0.9535 0.9545
0.9625 0.9633
0.9699 0.9706
0.9761 0.9767
0.9812 0.9817
0.08 0.09
0.9854 0.9857
0.9887 0.9890
0.9913 0.9916
0.9934 0.9936
0.08 0.09
0.9951 0.9952
0.9973 0.9974
0.9973 0.9974
0.9980 0.9981
0.9986 0.9986
0.08 0.09
0.9990 0.9990
0.9993 0.9993
0.9995 0.9995
0.9996 0.9997
0.9997 0.9998
UJI SMIRNOV-KOLMOGOROV

Jumlah Data , n = 10.00

Xa = 295.09
Sx = 79.88

Perhitungan Uji Smirnov-Kolmogorov untuk Distribusi Normal

m X P(x)=m/(n+1) P(x<)
(1) (2) (3) (4) = 1 - (3)
1 497.40 0.091 0.909
2 330.65 0.182 0.818
3 328.42 0.273 0.727
4 281.29 0.364 0.636
5 279.77 0.455 0.545
6 269.19 0.545 0.455
7 263.11 0.636 0.364
8 246.13 0.727 0.273
9 242.51 0.818 0.182
10 212.39 0.909 0.091

Dmax =

tabel curah hujan

No Curah Hujan
X
( mm )
1 497.40
2 330.65
3 328.42
4 281.29
5 279.77
6 269.19
7 263.11
8 246.13
9 242.51
10 212.39
0.75

4
Smirnov-Kolmogorov untuk Distribusi Normal

f(t) = (X-Xa)/Sx P'(x) P'(x<) D

(5) (6) (7) = 1 - (6) (8) = (4) - (7)
2.53 1.00 0.004 0.905
0.45 0.74 0.258 0.560
0.42 0.63 0.371 0.357
-0.17 0.58 0.421 0.216
-0.19 0.55 0.448 0.097
-0.32 0.51 0.488 -0.033
-0.40 0.40 0.603 -0.239
-0.61 0.25 0.749 -0.476
-0.66 0.24 0.758 -0.576
-1.04 0.15 0.849 -0.758

0.905

D kritis 0.410

HIPOTESA NORMAL TIDAK DITERIMA

UJI SMIRNOV-KOLMOGOROV

Jumlah Data , n = 10.00

Xa = 295.09
Sx = 79.88
Yn = 0.4952
Sn = 0.9496
e = 2.71828

Perhitungan Uji Smirnov-Kolmogorov untuk Distribusi Gumbel

m X P(x)=m/(n+1) P(x<) f(t) = (X-Xa)/Sx y

(1) (2) (3) (4) = 1 - (3) (5) (6)
1 497 0.091 0.909 2.533 2.900
2 331 0.182 0.818 0.445 0.918
3 328 0.273 0.727 0.417 0.892
4 281 0.364 0.636 -0.173 0.331
5 280 0.455 0.545 -0.192 0.313
6 269 0.545 0.455 -0.324 0.187
7 263 0.636 0.364 -0.400 0.115
8 246 0.727 0.273 -0.613 -0.087
9 243 0.818 0.182 -0.658 -0.130
10 212 0.909 0.091 -1.035 -0.488

tabel curah hujan

No Curah Hujan
X
( mm )
1 497.40
2 330.65
3 328.42
4 281.29
5 279.77
6 269.19
7 263.11
8 246.13
9 242.51
10 212.39
stribusi Gumbel

P'(x<) = e^(-e)^(-y) D
(7) (8) = (4) - (7)
2654.143 -2653.234
12.126 -11.308
11.284 -10.556
2.460 -1.824
2.343 -1.797
1.664 -1.210
1.367 -1.004
0.790 -0.517
0.703 -0.521
0.265 -0.175

Dmax = -0.175

D kritis 0.410

HIPOTESA GUMBEL DITERIMA

UJI SMIRNOV-KOLMOGOROV

Jumlah Data , n = 10.00

Xa = 295.086
Sx = 79.879

Perhitungan Uji Smirnov-Kolmogorov untuk Distribusi Log Pearson Type III

m X Log X P(x)=m/(n+1) P(x<)

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) = 1 - (4)
1 497.40 2.70 0.091 0.909
2 330.65 2.52 0.182 0.818
3 328.42 2.52 0.273 0.727
4 281.29 2.45 0.364 0.636
5 279.77 2.45 0.455 0.545
6 269.19 2.43 0.545 0.455
7 263.11 2.42 0.636 0.364
8 246.13 2.39 0.727 0.273
9 242.51 2.38 0.818 0.182
10 212.39 2.33 0.909 0.091

tabel curah hujan

No Curah Hujan
X
( mm )
1 497.40
2 330.65
3 328.42
4 281.29
5 279.77
6 269.19
7 263.11
8 246.13
9 242.51
10 212.39
Kolmogorov untuk Distribusi Log Pearson Type III

f(t) = (Log X-Log Xa)/Sx P'(x) P'(x<) D

(6) (7) (8) = 1 - (7) (9) = (5) - (8)
-3.66 0.0037 0.996 -0.087
-3.66 0.0037 0.996 -0.178
-3.66 0.0037 0.996 -0.269
-3.66 0.0037 0.996 -0.360
-3.66 0.0037 0.996 -0.451
-3.66 0.0037 0.996 -0.542
-3.66 0.0036 0.996 -0.633
-3.66 0.0036 0.996 -0.724
-3.66 0.0036 0.996 -0.815
-3.67 0.0036 0.996 -0.905

Dmax = -0.087

D kritis 0.410

HIPOTESA LOG PEARSON TYPE III DITERIMA

 Tabel 4.23. Resume Hasil Uji Smirnov-Kolmogorov

Metode Distribusi Dmax Kondisi Do(5%) Keterangan

Gumbel -0.175 < 0.410 Diterima
Normal 0.905 > 0.410 Tidak Diterima
Log Pearson Type III -0.087 < 0.410 Diterima
Dmax diterima adalah Metode Gumbel dan Log Pearson III
Sumber : Perhitungan
 Rekapitulasi Hasil Perhitungan Curah Hujan Rancangan

Periode Ulang Hujan Rancangan ( mm )

No. (Tahun) Metode Metode
Gumbel Normal
1 2 284 295
2 5 380 362
3 10 443 397
4 25 522 426
5 50 582 459
6 100 640 481
7 200 699 501
8 1000 834 542
UJI SMIRNOV KOLMOGOROF
D Maximum, D Max -0.175 0.905
Derajat Signifikansi 5.000 5.000
D Kritis 0.410 0.410
HIPOTESA DITERIMA TIDAK DITERIMA
UJI CHI SQUARE
Chi - Square hitung 1.20 2.00
Chi - Square kritis 3.84 3.84
Derajat Bebas 1.00 1.00
Derajat Signifikansi 5.00 5.00
HIPOTESA DITERIMA DITERIMA
Sumber : Perhitungan
Rancangan

gan ( mm )
Metode
Log Pearson Type III
272
339
393
473
542
619
705
953
OROF
-0.087
5.000
0.410
DITERIMA

0.40
3.84
1.00
5.00
DITERIMA
 Curah Hujan Harian Maksimum (mm)
No Tahun Kayu Ambon Lembang Meteo Dago Pakar
0.4997 0.5003 2.4858
1 2009 85.2 78.1 73
2 2010 70.1 69.7 104
3 2011 61 140 45
4 2012 115 75.4 70
5 2013 95 94 95
6 2014 43.5 56 79
7 2015 98 39 85
8 2016 53 82 86
9 2017 95 79.5 165
10 2018 67 70 70
Jumlah, Σ
Jumlah Data, n
Rata-Rata,
Stanndar Deviasi, S

Cs 2.038 Jenis Sebaran Syarat

Ck 0.848 Normal Cs = 0
Log Normal Cs = 0.763
2.0379114
Log Pearson III Cs = 0
Gumbel Cs < 1.1396
 R24 Wilayah 〖 (𝑿 〗 _𝒊−𝑿_(𝒓𝒂𝒕𝒂−𝒓𝒂𝒕𝒂) 〖 (𝑿 〗 _𝒊−𝑿_(𝒓𝒂𝒕𝒂−𝒓𝒂𝒕 〖 (𝑿 〗 _𝒊−𝑿_(𝒓𝒂𝒕𝒂−𝒓𝒂𝒕𝒂
) 𝒂))² ))³
263 -31.98 1022.44 -32693.06
328 33.34 1111.30 37046.43
212 -82.70 6839.26 -565605.14
269 -25.89 670.47 -17360.95
331 35.56 1264.79 44980.62
246 -48.95 2396.54 -117321.32
280 -15.31 234.49 -3590.67
281 -13.80 190.40 -2627.25
497 202.31 40931.19 8280976.29
243 -52.58 2764.62 -145363.00
2950.86 0.00 57425.49 7478441.95
10
295.09
79.88

Syarat Hasil Hitungan Kesimpulan

Ck = 3 Tidak Memenuhi
Ck = 3 Cs = 2.038 Tidak Memenuhi
Ck = 1.5Cs + 3 Ck = 0.848 Tidak Memenuhi
Ck = 3.873
Ck < 5.4002 Tidak Memenuhi
〖 (𝑿 〗 _𝒊−𝑿_(𝒓𝒂𝒕𝒂−𝒓𝒂𝒕𝒂)
)⁴
1045379.87
1234985.57
46775430.94
449536.19
1599682.95
5743402.30
54983.78
36252.23
1675362235.47
7643140.64
1739945029.94

Kesimpulan
Tidak Memenuhi
Tidak Memenuhi
Tidak Memenuhi

Memenuhi
 CURAH HUJAN HARIAN MAKSIMUM TAHUNAN

Resume Uji Kecocokan

Jenis Uji Kecocokan

No. Jenis Distribusi
Rata-rata % Error Deviasi
1 Normal 8.62 40.45
2 Gumbel 9.37 33.77
3 Log Pearson III 6.94 36.66
Maksimum 9.37 40.45
Minimum 6.94 33.77

Perbandingan Hasil Uji Kecocokan

Rata-rata % Error Deviasi
40.45
36.66
33.77

8.62 9.37 6.94

Normal Gumbel Log Pearson III

 Normal Gumbel Log Pearson III
No Urut data
Hasil Simpangan² Hasil Simpangan² Hasil Simpangan²
1 497.40 397.33 10013.97 451.16 2138.13 402.89 8932.59
2 330.65 365.70 1228.43 388.53 3350.37 348.68 325.13
3 328.42 348.60 407.34 349.69 452.12 314.67 189.19
4 281.29 315.06 1140.29 320.23 1516.48 292.58 127.57
5 279.77 303.07 542.93 295.54 248.74 280.08 0.10
6 269.19 295.09 670.47 273.42 17.90 272.05 8.15
7 263.11 269.15 36.49 252.46 113.42 266.45 11.14
8 246.13 248.61 6.13 231.41 216.80 262.33 262.26
9 242.51 228.65 191.90 208.56 1152.32 259.16 277.46
10 212.39 190.33 486.44 179.86 1057.86 256.66 1960.27

Rata2 295.09
JUMLAH 2961.59 14724.39 2950.87 10264.14 2955.55 12093.86
NILAI R 0.99 0.99 0.99
(Qi-Qrata)^2
247407.46
109329.39
107861.19
79122.69
78273.03
72464.65
69227.15
60580.79
58809.37
45107.95

928183.69
 Rekapitulasi Hasil Perhitungan Curah Hujan Rancangan

Periode Ulang Hujan Rancangan ( mm )

No. (Tahun) Metode Metode
Gumbel Normal
1 2 284.261 295.086
2 5 379.603 362.184
3 10 442.728 397.331
4 25 522.486 426.087
5 50 581.655 458.838
6 100 640.387 481.204
7 200 698.905 501.173
8 1000 834.457 541.911
UJI SMIRNOV KOLMOGOROF
D Maximum, D Max -0.175 0.905
Derajat Signifikansi 5.000 5.000
D Kritis 0.410 0.410
HIPOTESA DITERIMA TIDAK DITERIMA
UJI CHI SQUARE
Chi - Square hitung 1.20 2.00
Chi - Square kritis 3.84 3.84
Derajat Bebas 1.00 1.00
Derajat Signifikansi 5.00 5.00
HIPOTESA DITERIMA DITERIMA
UJI CS DAN CK
Cs 2.03791142461775 Tidak Memenuhi Tidak Memenuhi
Ck 0.847970133168758 Memenuhi Tidak Memenuhi
Rancangan

gan ( mm )
Metode
Log Pearson Type III
272.414
338.877
393.074
473.277
542.054
618.933
705.390
953.077
OROF
-0.087
5.000
0.410
DITERIMA

0.40
3.84
1.00
5.00
DITERIMA

Tidak Memenuhi
Tidak Memenuhi