METODE DISTRIBUSI PROBABILITAS GUMBEL

1. Hitung Parameter Statistik Data

No Curah Hujan; Xi (mm) (Xi - X̅) (Xi - X̅)²

1 83.00 -22.97 527.62
2 125.00 19.03 362.14
3 100.30 -5.67 32.15
4 141.40 35.43 1255.28
5 80.00 -25.97 674.44
6 101.60 -4.37 19.10
7 131.20 25.23 636.55
8 80.00 -25.97 674.44
9 96.20 -9.77 95.45
10 121.00 15.03 225.90
∑ 1059.70 0.00 4503.08

a. Harga rata-rata (X̅)

X̅ = ∑ Xi
n
= 1059.70
10
= 105.97 mm

b. Standar Deviasi (S)

√(((𝑋𝑖
S = - 𝑋̅)²)/(𝑛−1))

√(4503,08/(10
= −1))

= 22.37

2. Hitung Faktor Frekuensi Gumbel (K)

Jumlah data (n) = 10

Yn = 0.4952
(Berdasarkan Lampiran 3.3)
Sn = 0.9497
(𝑇 −1)/𝑇
Yt = - Ln - Ln (Berdasarkan Lampiran 3.4)
K = −𝑌𝑛)/𝑆𝑛
(𝑌𝑡
 Periode Ulang; T (tahun) Yt Yn Sn K
5 1.4999 0.4952 0.9497 1.057913
10 2.2504 0.4952 0.9497 1.848163
25 3.1255 0.4952 0.9497 2.769611

3. Hitung Nilai Hujan Rencana (X)

X = X̅ + S * K

Periode Ulang; T (tahun) X (mm)

5 129.63
10 147.31
25 167.92

Koefisien Kepencengan (Cs)

= −𝑋 ̅) 〗 ^3/((𝑛−1)(𝑛−2)(𝑆)³)
Cs ∗ ∑ (𝑋𝑖
〖𝑛

Koefisien Kurtosis (Ck)

("("Ck〖𝑛 ∗ ∑=(𝑋𝑖 −𝑋 ̅) 〗 ^4)/((𝑛−1)(𝑛−2)(𝑛−3)(𝑆)⁴)
METODE DISTRIBUSI PROBABILITAS NORMAL

1. Hitung Parameter Statistik Data

No Curah Hujan; Xi (mm) (Xi - X̅) (Xi - X̅)²

1 83.00 -22.97 527.62
2 125.00 19.03 362.14
3 100.30 -5.67 32.15
4 141.40 35.43 1255.28
5 80.00 -25.97 674.44
6 101.60 -4.37 19.10
7 131.20 25.23 636.55
8 80.00 -25.97 674.44
9 96.20 -9.77 95.45
10 121.00 15.03 225.90
∑ 1059.70 4503.08

a. Harga rata-rata (X̅)

X̅ = ∑ Xi
n
= 1059.70
10
= 105.97 mm

b. Standar Deviasi (S)

√(((𝑋𝑖
S = - 𝑋̅)²)/(𝑛−1))

√(4503,08/(10
= −1))

= 22.37

2. Hitung Nilai Faktor Frekuensi (KT)

(Berdasarkan Lampiran 3.5)

Periode Ulang; T (tahun) KT
5 0.84
10 1.28
25 1.71

3. Hitung Nilai Hujan Rencana (XT)

XT = X̅ + KT * S
Periode Ulang; T (tahun) XT (mm)
5 124.76
10 134.6
25 144.18
METODE DISTRIBUSI PROBABILITAS LOG NORMAL

1. Hitung Parameter Statistik Data

No Curah Hujan; Xi (mm) Log Xi (Log Xi (𝐿𝑜𝑔

- 𝑋) ̅)²
1 83.00 1.9191 0.0095
2 125.00 2.0969 0.0065
3 100.30 2.0013 0.0002
4 141.40 2.1504 0.0180
5 80.00 1.9031 0.0129
6 101.60 2.0069 0.0001
7 131.20 2.1179 0.0103
8 80.00 1.9031 0.0129
9 96.20 1.9832 0.0011
10 121.00 2.0828 0.0044
∑ 1059.70 20.1647 0.0757

a. Nilai(𝐿𝑜𝑔 𝑋) ̅

(∑▒ 〖𝐿𝑜𝑔 𝑋𝑖〗 Log

)/𝑛
(𝐿𝑜𝑔 𝑋) ̅=
20.1647
=
10
= 2.01647

b. Nilai S Log X

= 𝑋𝑖 −
((∑▒X〖𝐿𝑜𝑔
S Log 〗 )/(𝑛 −1))^0,5
(𝐿𝑜𝑔)²𝑋) ̅

(0,0757/(10−1))^0,5
=

= 0.0917

2. Hitung Nilai Faktor Frekuensi (KT)

(Berdasarkan Lampiran 3.5)

Periode Ulang; T (tahun) KT
5 0.84
10 1.28
25 1.71

3. Hitung Nilai Hujan Rencana (XT)

Log X = (𝐿𝑜𝑔 𝑋) ̅+ KT * S Log X

Periode Ulang; T (tahun) Log X XT (mm)

5 2.09 124.02
10 2.13 136.10
25 2.17 148.98
 METODE DISTRIBUSI PROBABILITAS LOG PEARSON TYPE III

1. Hitung Parameter Statistik Data

No Curah Hujan; Xi (mm) Log Xi (Log Xi (𝐿𝑜𝑔

- 𝑋) ̅)²
1 83.00 1.9191 0.0095
2 125.00 2.0969 0.0065
3 100.30 2.0013 0.0002
4 141.40 2.1504 0.0180
5 80.00 1.9031 0.0129
6 101.60 2.0069 0.0001
7 131.20 2.1179 0.0103
8 80.00 1.9031 0.0129
9 96.20 1.9832 0.0011
10 121.00 2.0828 0.0044
∑ 1059.70 20.1647 0.0757

a. Nilai(𝐿𝑜𝑔 𝑋) ̅

(∑▒ 〖𝐿𝑜𝑔 𝑋𝑖〗 )/𝑛

(𝐿𝑜𝑔 𝑋) ̅= Log
20.1647
=
10
= 2.01647

b. Nilai S Log X

= 𝑋𝑖 −
((∑▒X〖𝐿𝑜𝑔
S Log 〗 )/(𝑛 −1))^0,5
(𝐿𝑜𝑔)²𝑋) ̅

(0,0757/(10−1))^0,5
=

= 0.0917

c. Nilai Cs atau G

(𝑛 ∗ ∑(𝐿𝑜𝑔 𝑋𝑖 - )³)/((𝑛−1)(𝑛−2)(𝑆
(𝐿𝑜𝑔 𝑋) ̅ 𝐿𝑜𝑔 𝑋)³)
Cs =
10 * 0,0004
=
9 * 8 * 0,0917³
= 0.0687

2. Hitung Nilai Faktor Frekuensi (KT)

(Berdasarkan Lampiran 3.6 a dan 3.6 b)

Periode Ulang; T (tahun) KT
 5 0.8379
10 1.2889
25 1.7744

3. Hitung Nilai Hujan Rencana (X)

Log X = (𝐿𝑜𝑔 𝑋) ̅+ KT * S Log X

Periode Ulang; T (tahun) Log X X (mm)

5 2.093 123.970
10 2.135 136.357
25 2.179 151.079
(Log Xi (𝐿𝑜𝑔
- 𝑋) ̅)³
-0.0009
0.0005
0.0000
0.0024
-0.0015
0.0000
0.0010
-0.0015
0.0000
0.0003
0.0004