OLEH
UBAIDILLAH
KORELASI DAN REGRESI
•Analisis Korelasi : mengukur kekuatan/ keeratan
hubungan linier antara peubah bebas (X) dan peubah tak
bebas (Y)
1. Linier Y = a + bX
2. Kwadratik Y = a + bX + cX2
3. Eksponensiil Y = abx
4. Geometrik Y = axb
5. Hiperbola Y = 1/a + bx
6. Logistik Y = 1/abx + c
7. Linier berganda Y = a + b1X1 + b2X2
Regresi linier
Sampel Ŷi = a + bXi + ei, dengan metode kwadrat
terkecil diperoleh :
2. a = (∑Y - b∑X)/n
Untuk Pers Ŷ = b0 + b1 X + b2 X2
1.Tak dikoreksi :
∑Y =30 ; ∑X =10 ; ∑X2 =30 ; ∑X3= 100;
∑X4=354; ∑XY=74 ; ∑X2Y=224; ∑Y2= 214
2. Dikorksi :
2 3 4
∑x 2= 10 ; ∑x 2=40 ;∑x =174 ; ∑xy=14
; ∑x y=44; ∑y = 34
Y = bo + b1X + b2X2 DATA-I
.
Xo X X2 X’Y SOLUSI
(β0 ) (β1) (β2)
1.Xo 5 10 30 30 1 0 0
2.X 30 100 74 0 1 0
3.X2 354 224 0 0 1
4 5 10 30 30 1 0 0
5 1,0 2 6 6 0,2 0 0
6. 10 40 14 -2 0 0
7. 1,0 4 1,4 -0,2 0,1 0
8. 14 - 12 2 -4 1
9. 1,0 -0,8571 0,1429 -0,2857 0,0714
1. utk β0 a-t(1+α)/2. Sa
<β0<a+t(1+α)/2.Sa ; db= n-2
DATA-III .
ΣY²= 40415,0
(X’X) ( βii) (X’Y)
X0 X1 X2 X3
X0 20 58,4 72,7 244,60 β0 895,0
X1 233,84 222,18 686,92 β1 2554,8
X2 301,65 913,81 β2 3233,9
X3 3242,7 β3 10870,9
1,0187 -0,0604 -0,0478 -0,0506
0,0179 -0,0064 0,0026
0,0309 -0,0037
0,0046
METODE DOOLITTLE
Xi X1 X2 X3 SOLUSI
1 X0 12 725 43 1 0 0
2 X1 44475 2540 0 1 0
3 X2 195 0 0 1
4 12 725 43 1 0 0
5 (1,0 ) 60,42 3,58 0,08 0 0
KUADRAT TENGAH :
Change Statistics
Sum of
Model Squares df Mean Square F Sig.
1 Regression 544.596 2 272.298 13.344 .002a
Total 728.250 11
Standardize
Unstandardized d Collinearity
Coefficients Coefficients Correlations Statistics
Zero- Toleranc
Model B Std. Error Beta t Sig. order Partial Part e VIF
1 (Constant) 27.547 12.498 2.204 .055
VAR00002 .922 .186 .886 4.960 .001 .862 .856 .830 .878 1.139
VAR00003 .284 .754 .067 .377 .715 -.242 .125 .063 .878 1.139
Variance Proportions
2 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
4 1 1 1 1 4 4 16
7 2 4 8 18 14 28 49
9 3 9 27 81 27 81 81
8 4 10 64 256 32 128 64
∑Y=30 ∑X=10 ∑X2=30 ∑X3= 100 ∑X4= 354 ∑XY= 77 ∑X2Y=241 ∑Y2= 214
Xo n =5 ∑X = 10 ∑X2 = 30 ∑Y = 30
X ∑X = 10 ∑X2 = 30 ∑X3 = 100 ∑XY = 77
X2 ∑ X2 = 30 ∑ X3 = 100 ∑X3 = 354 ∑X2Y = 241
T-HITUNG :
N 16 16 16 16 16
N 16 16 16 16 16
N 16 16 16 16 16
N 16 16 16 16 16
N 16 16 16 16 16
Descriptive Statistics
N VAR00001 16 16 16 16 16
VAR00002 16 16 16 16 16
VAR00003 16 16 16 16 16
VAR00004 16 16 16 16 16
VAR00005 16 16 16 16 16
Model Summaryb
Change Statistics
Std. Error
of the R Square F Sig. F Durbin-
Model R Adjusted Estimate Change Change df1 df2 Change Watson
1 .980a .961 .946 17.91529 .961 67.198 4 11 .000 2.012
Total 89802.000 15
Standardize
Unstandardized d 95.0% Confidence Collinearity
Coefficients Coefficients Interval for B Correlations Statistics
VAR00002 6.549 3.412 .423 1.920 .081 -.960 14.059 .817 .501 .115 .073 13.617
VAR00003 2.417 .457 .384 5.293 .000 1.412 3.422 .625 .847 .316 .679 1.472
VAR00004 -8.865 6.618 -.307 -1.340 .207 -23.430 5.700 -.866 -.375 -.080 .068 14.701
VAR00005 -6.120 1.465 -.258 -4.178 .002 -9.344 -2.896 -.423 -.783 -.250 .935 1.069
Variance Proportions
Condition
Model Dimension Eigenvalue Index (Constant) VAR00002 VAR00003 VAR00004 VAR00005
1 1 4.669 1.000 .00 .00 .00 .00 .00