RISIKO DAN TINGKAT

PENGEMBALIAN
 01 PUTRI OKTAVIANI (22.05.52.3001)

KELOMPOK 2
02 HELZA RESTU N. (22.05.52.3002)

03 KARIANI YOGI SAFITRI (22.05.52.3005)

04 NATASYA DHIYA S. (22.05.52.3024)

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DEFINISI RISIKO
Menurut Kamus Webster

AFHCPODN
• Suatu halangan, Gangguan, eskposur terhadap
kerugian atau kecelakaan.
• Jadi Risiko diartikan sebagai peluang akan
terjadinya suatu peristiwa yang tidak diinginkan.
• Individu dan perusahaan menginvestasikan
dana hari ini dengan harapan menerima dana
tambahan di masa yang akan datang
• Saham menawarkan peluang pengembalian
lebih tinggi tetapi lebih beresiko
• Obligasi relatif lebih rendah pengembalian
tetapi risikonya juga kecil
2 Cara Analisi Risiko

Secara berdiri Berdasarkan

sendiri portofolio
dimana aset dapat Dimana aset
dipertimbangkan tersebut dimiliki
dengan sendirinya sebagai salah satu
dari sejumlah aset
dalam portofolio
Risiko Berdiri Sendiri
Stand-Alone Risk
Merupakan risiko yang akan dihadapi oleh
investor jika ia hanya memiliki satu aset
tersebut.

Sudah pasti, sebagian besar aset akan

dimiliki dalam bentuk portofolio, tetapi kita
perlu memahami risiko berdiri sendiri agar
dapat memahami risiko dalam konteks
portofolio.

Risiko ini diukur dari variabilitas tingkat

pengembalian yang diharapkan dari proyek
tersebut.
Ukuran Statistik dari Risiko yang Berdiri Sendiri

Distribusi Probabilitas

Suatu peristiwa didefinisikan sebagai peluang terjadinya

peristiwa tersebut.

Jika seluruh kemungkinan peristiwa atau hasilnya disusun

dalam suatu daftar dan jika pribabilitas diberikan untuk
setiap peristiwa, makan daftar tersebut disebut sebagai
Distribusi Probabilitas.

Distribusi probabilitas merupakan daftar seluruh hasil atau

peristiwa yang mungkin terjadi, dimana setiap hasil akan
diberikan probabilitasnya (peluang terjadi)
Ukuran Statistik dari Risiko yang Berdiri Sendiri

Tingkat Pengembalian
yang Diharapkan

Tingkat pengembalian yang diharapkan

(Expected Rate of Return) akan
direalisasi dari suatu investasi, rata-rata
tertimbang dari distribusi pribabilitas
hasil-hasil yang mungkin terjadi
Ukuran Statistik dari Risiko yang Berdiri Sendiri

Standar Deviasi
• Merupakan ukuran statistik dari variabilitas
sekumpulan observasi.

• Agar lebih bermanfaat, pengukuran risiko yang kita

lakukan sebaiknya memiliki nilai yang pasti. Kita
perlu menguantifikasikan kerapatan distribusi
probabilitas. Salah satu ukuran tersebut adalah
standar deviasi (Standart Deviation

• Semakin kecil standar deviasi maka akan semakin

rendah risiko investasi

• Berguna untuk mengukur risiko untuk tujuan

komparatif
Ukuran Statistik dari Risiko yang Berdiri Sendiri

Koefisien Variasi
• Koefisien variasi menunjukan risiko perunit pengembalian, dan nilai ini
memberikan ukuran risiko yang lebih bermakna ketika dua alternatif memiliki
ekspektasi pengembalian yang tidak sama.

• Koefisien variasi memiliki ukuran risiko perunit pengembalian yang

berstandarisasi yang dihitung dari standar deviasi dibagi dengan tingkat
pengmbalian yang diharapkan.

• rumus
Ukuran Statistik dari Risiko yang Berdiri Sendiri

Penghindaran Risiko
( Risk Aversion)

• Hal ini merupakan suatu fakta yang

terdokumentasi dengan baik.
• Penghindaran risiko terjadi saat
investor yang tidak menyukai risiko
akan menghindari risiko dan
meminta tingkat pengembalian yang
lebih tinggi sebagai suatu
rangsangan untuk membeli efek
yang lebih beresiko.
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2019 2020 2021 2022 2023

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