LAPORAN AKHIR PRAKTIKUM EKONOMETRIKA

Disusun Oleh :
Sindi Anggeriyanti E1D017048
Cherysh Abdullah E1D017060
Ari Kurniawan E1D017091
Jihan Ifani Salsabila E1D017093
Tiara Wulandari E1D017118

Co-Ass
Evi Susnia Hartika
Diansana Putri

Shift : Senin, Pukul 13.00 – 15.00

LABORATORIUM SOSIAL EKONOMI PERTANIAN

PROGRAM STUDI AGRIBISNIS
FAKULTAS PERTANIAN
UNIVERSITAS BENGKULU
BENGKULU
2019
 BAB I
PENDAHULUAN

1.1 Latar Belakang

Jagung (Zea mays. L) merupakan salah satu komoditas strategis dalam
perekonomian Indonesia karena merupakan bahan makanan penghasil
karbohidrat kedua setelah padi. Tanaman jagung banyak dibudidayakan di
Indonesia dan perlu dikembangkan mengingat permintaannya yang terus
meningkat. Dalam perekonomian nasional, sumbangan jagung terhadap
Produk Domestik Bruto (PDB) terus meningkat setiap tahun, sekalipun pada
saat krisis ekonomi. Pada tahun 2000, kontribusi jagung dalam
perekonomian nasional mencapai Rp 9,4 trilyun dan pada tahun 2003
meningkat menjadi Rp18,2 trilyun (Siregar, 2009). Kegiatan usahatani pada
dasarnya selalu mengharapkan produksi yang tinggi. Namun kenyataannya
banyak faktor yang menjadi perhatian petani di dalam berusahatani yang
sangat mempengaruhi besarnya pendapatan yang akan diterima petani.
Beberapa faktor produksi jagung yaitu luas lahan, benih, pupuk, tenaga
kerja, dan pestisida.
Penggunaan faktor produksi yang belum tepat sesuai dengan anjuran
menyebabkan produksi dan kualitas jagung yang dihasilkan beragam dan
juga mempengaruhi pandapatan yang akan diterima petani. Hal ini
disebabkan terbatasnya faktor produksi yang dimiliki oleh petani. Oleh
karena itu petani harus bisa mengkombinasikan sejumlah faktor-faktor
produksi yang ada, seperti pendidikan, pengalaman, jumlah tanggungan
keluarga dan modal.
1.2 Rumusan Masalah
Berdasarkan latar belakang yang dikemukakan, maka yang menjadi
permasalahan dalam hal ini adalah :
1. Berapa besar nilai koefisien determinasi (R 2) dari produksi jagung di
Kecamatan Kabawetan Kabupaten Kepahiang ?
2. Berapa besar nilai F-Hitung pada setiap level signifikansi dari produksi
jagung di Kecamatan Kabawetan Kabupaten Kepahiang ?
3. Berapa besar nilai T-Hitung pada setiap level taraf kepercayaan masing-
masing variabel bebas dari produksi jagung di Kecamatan Kabawetan
Kabupaten Kepahiang ?
1.3 Tujuan
Berdasarkan rumusan masalah yang dikemukakan, maka yang
menjadi tujuan dalam praktikum ini adalah :
1. Untuk Mengetahui Berapa besar nilai koefisien determinasi (R 2) dari
produksi jagung di Kecamatan Kabawetan Kabupaten Kepahiang.
2. Untuk Mengetahui Berapa besar nilai F-Hitung pada setiap level
signifikansi dari produksi jagung di Kecamatan Kabawetan Kabupaten
Kepahiang.
3. Untuk Mengetahui Berapa besar nilai T-Hitung pada setiap level taraf
kepercayaan masing-masing variabel bebas dari produksi jagung di
Kecamatan Kabawetan Kabupaten Kepahiang.
1.4 Manfaat
 BAB II
METODOLOGI

2.1 Jenis Dan Sumber Data

Data yang digunakan adalah data primer dan data sekunder. Data
primer diperoleh melalui wawancara dengan petani jagung dengan
menggunakan daftar pertanyaan dan kuesioner yang ditentukan secara
sengaja di Desa Sumber Makmur Kecamatan Lubuk Pinang Kabupaten
Mukomuko. Sampel diambil sebanyak 60 responden dari populasi sebanyak
145 orang yang ditetapkan secara sengaja dengan 40 persen total populasi
145 x 40 persen .Dengan pertimbangan bahwa penduduk Desa tersebut
merupakan sentra produksi jagung. Sementara data sekunder diperoleh dari
instansi terkait dan literatur-literatur pustaka yang berhubungan dengan
penelitian ini.

2.2 Spesifikasi Model

Untuk mengetahui faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi produksi jagung
dalam penelitian ini menggunakan analisis fungsi produksi Cobb Douglas,
dengan rumus persamaan :
Y = aX1bi . X2b2. X3b3. X4b4. X5b5 eu
Dimana;
Y = Produksi (Kg/UT)
X1 = Luas Lahan (Ha)
X2 = Jumlah Benih (Kg/UT)
X3 = Jumlah Tenaga Kerja (HKSP/UT)
X4 = Jumlah Pupuk Urea (Kg/UT)
X5 = Jumlah Pestisida Gramoxon (Liter/UT)
a = Intercept
bi = Koefisien regresi (i:1,2,3,4,5)
u = Kesalahan Pengguna
e = Logaritma
 BAB III
HASIL DAN PEMBAHASAN

3.1 Hasil
Dari semua hasil estimasi Sazham dengan berbagai model
ekonometrika yang dipelajari, didapatkan hasil R-SQUARE (R 2) tertingi
pada model ekonometrika Log Inverse Berganda. Presentasi hasil akan
dijelaskan dalam bentuk tabel sebagai berikut :

Koefisein T-hitung
Nama Variabel
Regresi
5.4563 66.74
Konstanta
( 0.8175E-01 )
-0.70173 -0.6793
Luas Lahan
( 1.033)
1.1212 3.700
Jumlah Benih
( 0.3030)
2.4927 0.6559
Jumlah Tenaga Kerja
( 3.800 )
-6.7790 -0.4729
Jumlah Pupuk Urea
( 14.33)
-0.37344 -1.971
Jumlah Pestisida Gramaxon
(0.1895)
-
R2 0.7009
-
Fhitung 25.311
Keterangan : angka dalam kurung merupakan standar error
Menggunakan tingkat kepercayaan 95% (α = 0,05)

3.2 Pembahasan
Hasil estimasi model Log Inverse Berganda didapatkan nilai R 2
sebesar 0.7009 artinya variasi yang terjadi pada Variabel Produksi dan
Pendapatan, dapat dijelaskan oleh variable-variabel Luas Lahan , Jumlah
Benih, Jumlah Tenaga Kerja, Jumlah Pupuk Urea, dan Jumlah Pestisida
Gramaxon sebesar 70,09% dan sisanya sebesar 29,01% dijelaskan oleh
variabel lain yang tidak di masukkan dalam model.
Nilai Fhitung yang didapatkan sebesar 25,331 lebih besar dari nilai Ftable
2,40 pada setiap level signifikansi. Artinya, variabel bebas yang ada dalam
model secara bersama-sama berpengaruh nyata terhadap Produksi. Hasil ini
juga mengindikasikan bahwa model yang didesain dapat digunakan untuk
menerangkan analisis produksi dan pendapatan usahatani jagung di Desa
Sumber Makmur Kecamatan Lubuk Pinang Kabupaten Mukomuko.
Variabel Luas Lahan, Jumlah Tenaga Kerja, Jumlah Pupuk Urea, dan
Jumlah Pestisida Gramaxon memiliki thitung berturut-turut sebesar -0,679,
0,6559, -0,4729, -1,971 lebih kecil dari nilai ttabel sebesar 2,009. Hasil ini
menunjukkan variabel tidak mempengaruhi jumlah produksi dan pendapatan
usahatani jagung di Desa Sumber Makmur Kecamatan Lubuk Pinang
Kabupaten Mukomuko. Sedangkan naik turunnya variabel Jumlah Benih
berpengaruh terhadap produksi usahatani jagung di Desa Sumber Makmur,
karena memiliki thitung 3,700 lebih besar dan dari ttabel 2,009.
 BAB IV
KESIMPULAN

Berdasarkan hasil estimasi yang telah diuraikan dan dibahas di atas,

maka dapat disimpulkan sebagai berikut :

1. Dari hasil estimasi yang dilakukan diperoleh bahwa nilai R-Square (R 2)

sebesar 0.7009 atau 70.09% artinya produksi usahatani jagung di Desa
Sumber Makmur dapat dijelaskan oleh variabel Luas Lahan, Jumlah
Benih, Jumlah Tenaga Kerja, Jumlah Pupuk Urea, dan Jumlah Pestisida
Gramaxon dan sisanya sebesar 29,1% dipengaruhi oleh faktor-faktor
lain.
2. Terdapat hubungan yang signifikan antara Luas Lahan, Benih, Jumlah
Tenaga Kerja, Jumlah Pupuk Urea, dan Jumlah Pestisida Gramaxon
terhadap produksi usahatani jagung di Desa Sumber Makmur ialah.
3. Terdapat pengaruh yang nyata antara benih dan produksi dan
pendapatan usahatani jagung di Desa Sumber Makmur, sehingga
pertambahan benih sebesar satu satuan akan meningkatkan produksi
dan pendapatan usahatani Jagung.
 DAFTAR PUSTAKA

Fitria Setriani. 2013. Analisis Produksi dan Pendapatan Usahatani Jagung

(Zea Mays. L) di Desa Sumber Makmur Kecamatan Lubuk Pinang
Kabupaten Mukomuko. Laboratorium Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian
Universitas Bengkulu. Bengkulu.
Siregar. 2009. Kontribusi Jagung Dalam Perekonomian Nasional. e-USU
Repository. Fakultas Pertanian. Universitas Sumatera Utara.
Sukiyono Ketut. 2012. Petunjuk Praktikum Ekonometrika. Laboratorium
Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian Universitas Bengkulu. Bengkulu.
L
A
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P
I
R
A
N
Hasil Linier Berganda

|_file 33 D:\DOC MATA KULIAH\DOC SHAZAM\Data Analisis Produksi Usahatani

Jagung Hibrida Desa Sumber Makmur.dif
...NOTE..UNIT 33 IS NOW ASSIGNED TO: D:\DOC MATA KULIAH\DOC SHAZAM\Data
Analisis Produk
si Usahatani Jagung Hibrida Desa Sumber Makmur.dif

|_sample 1 60

|_read (33) n x1t x2t x3t x4t x5t yt/dif

...NOTE..DIF FILE HAS 7 COLUMNS AND 60 ROWS
...NOTE.. 7 VARIABLES AND 60 OBSERVATIONS STARTING AT OBS 1

|_ols yt x1t x2t x3t x4t x5t/pcor pcov

REQUIRED MEMORY IS PAR= 19 CURRENT PAR= 78

OLS ESTIMATION
60 OBSERVATIONS DEPENDENT VARIABLE= YT
...NOTE..SAMPLE RANGE SET TO: 1, 60

R-SQUARE = 0.6323 R-SQUARE ADJUSTED = 0.5983

VARIANCE OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA**2 = 527.65
STANDARD ERROR OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA = 22.971
SUM OF SQUARED ERRORS-SSE= 28493.
MEAN OF DEPENDENT VARIABLE = 120.32
LOG OF THE LIKELIHOOD FUNCTION = -270.029

MODEL SELECTION TESTS - SEE JUDGE ET AL. (1985,P.242)

AKAIKE (1969) FINAL PREDICTION ERROR - FPE = 580.42
(FPE IS ALSO KNOWN AS AMEMIYA PREDICTION CRITERION - PC)
AKAIKE (1973) INFORMATION CRITERION - LOG AIC = 6.3631
SCHWARZ (1978) CRITERION - LOG SC = 6.5725
MODEL SELECTION TESTS - SEE RAMANATHAN (1998,P.165)
CRAVEN-WAHBA (1979)
GENERALIZED CROSS VALIDATION - GCV = 586.28
HANNAN AND QUINN (1979) CRITERION = 629.54
RICE (1984) CRITERION = 593.61
SHIBATA (1981) CRITERION = 569.86
SCHWARZ (1978) CRITERION - SC = 715.16
AKAIKE (1974) INFORMATION CRITERION - AIC = 580.03

ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE - FROM MEAN

SS DF MS F
REGRESSION 48997. 5. 9799.4 18.572
ERROR 28493. 54. 527.65 P-VALUE
TOTAL 77490. 59. 1313.4 0.000

ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE - FROM ZERO

SS DF MS F
REGRESSION 0.91761E+06 6. 0.15294E+06 289.842
ERROR 28493. 54. 527.65 P-VALUE
TOTAL 0.94610E+06 60. 15768. 0.000

VARIABLE ESTIMATED STANDARD T-RATIO PARTIAL STANDARDIZED

ELASTICITY
NAME COEFFICIENT ERROR 54 DF P-VALUE CORR. COEFFICIENT AT
MEANS
X1T 0.62448 4.464 0.1399 0.889 0.019 0.0380
0.0324
X2T 84.015 30.10 2.792 0.007 0.355 1.0805
0.9687
X3T -0.98040 1.321 -0.7422 0.461-0.100 -0.1683
-0.1805
X4T 0.33379E-02 0.5026E-01 0.6642E-01 0.947 0.009 0.0107
0.0077
X5T -9.2171 5.555 -1.659 0.103-0.220 -0.2394
-0.2011
CONSTANT 44.844 11.53 3.891 0.000 0.468 0.0000
0.3727
VARIANCE-COVARIANCE MATRIX OF COEFFICIENTS
X1T 19.929
X2T -91.890 905.77
X3T 1.4824 -25.680 1.7446
X4T -0.36893E-01 -0.43008 -0.33220E-02 0.25259E-02
X5T -4.9147 -27.082 -1.1248 0.61632E-01 30.855

CONSTANT -6.7682 76.947 -8.4080 0.38109E-01 -4.8944

132.85
X1T X2T X3T X4T X5T
CONSTANT

CORRELATION MATRIX OF COEFFICIENTS

X1T 1.0000
X2T -0.68394 1.0000
X3T 0.25140 -0.64599 1.0000
X4T -0.16444 -0.28434 -0.50043E-01 1.0000
X5T -0.19820 -0.16200 -0.15330 0.22077 1.0000

CONSTANT -0.13154 0.22182 -0.55227 0.65786E-01 -0.76445E-01

1.0000
X1T X2T X3T X4T X5T
CONSTANT

DURBIN-WATSON = 0.9851 VON NEUMANN RATIO = 1.0018 RHO = 0.49779

RESIDUAL SUM = -0.10907E-11 RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 527.65
SUM OF ABSOLUTE ERRORS= 1027.6
R-SQUARE BETWEEN OBSERVED AND PREDICTED = 0.6323
RUNS TEST: 24 RUNS, 30 POS, 0 ZERO, 30 NEG NORMAL STATISTIC =
-1.8229
COEFFICIENT OF SKEWNESS = 0.2048 WITH STANDARD DEVIATION OF 0.3087
COEFFICIENT OF EXCESS KURTOSIS = -0.0651 WITH STANDARD DEVIATION OF 0.6085

JARQUE-BERA NORMALITY TEST- CHI-SQUARE(2 DF)= 0.4612 P-VALUE= 0.794

GOODNESS OF FIT TEST FOR NORMALITY OF RESIDUALS - 10 GROUPS

OBSERVED 0.0 1.0 4.0 11.0 14.0 16.0 6.0 5.0 3.0 0.0
EXPECTED 0.5 1.7 4.8 9.6 13.5 13.5 9.6 4.8 1.7 0.5
CHI-SQUARE = 4.4588 WITH 2 DEGREES OF FREEDOM, P-VALUE= 0.108

|_stop
Hasil Reciprocal Berganda

|_file 33 D:\DOC MATA KULIAH\DOC SHAZAM\Data Analisis Produksi Usahatani

Jagung Hibrida Desa Sumber Makmur.dif
...NOTE..UNIT 33 IS NOW ASSIGNED TO: D:\DOC MATA KULIAH\DOC SHAZAM\Data
Analisis Produk
si Usahatani Jagung Hibrida Desa Sumber Makmur.dif

|_sample 1 60

|_read (33) n x1t x2t x3t x4t x5t yt/dif

...NOTE..DIF FILE HAS 7 COLUMNS AND 60 ROWS
...NOTE.. 7 VARIABLES AND 60 OBSERVATIONS STARTING AT OBS 1

|_genr GA=(1/x1t)

|_genr GB=(1/x2t)

|_genr GC=(1/x3t)

|_genr GD=(1/X4t)

|_genr GE=(1/X5t)

|_ols yt GA GB GC GD GE/pcor pcov

REQUIRED MEMORY IS PAR= 21 CURRENT PAR= 78

OLS ESTIMATION
60 OBSERVATIONS DEPENDENT VARIABLE= YT
...NOTE..SAMPLE RANGE SET TO: 1, 60

R-SQUARE = 0.6385 R-SQUARE ADJUSTED = 0.6051

VARIANCE OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA**2 = 518.71
STANDARD ERROR OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA = 22.775
SUM OF SQUARED ERRORS-SSE= 28010.
MEAN OF DEPENDENT VARIABLE = 120.32
LOG OF THE LIKELIHOOD FUNCTION = -269.516

MODEL SELECTION TESTS - SEE JUDGE ET AL. (1985,P.242)

AKAIKE (1969) FINAL PREDICTION ERROR - FPE = 570.58
(FPE IS ALSO KNOWN AS AMEMIYA PREDICTION CRITERION - PC)
AKAIKE (1973) INFORMATION CRITERION - LOG AIC = 6.3460
SCHWARZ (1978) CRITERION - LOG SC = 6.5554
MODEL SELECTION TESTS - SEE RAMANATHAN (1998,P.165)
CRAVEN-WAHBA (1979)
GENERALIZED CROSS VALIDATION - GCV = 576.34
HANNAN AND QUINN (1979) CRITERION = 618.88
RICE (1984) CRITERION = 583.55
SHIBATA (1981) CRITERION = 560.21
SCHWARZ (1978) CRITERION - SC = 703.04
AKAIKE (1974) INFORMATION CRITERION - AIC = 570.20

ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE - FROM MEAN

SS DF MS F
REGRESSION 49480. 5. 9895.9 19.078
ERROR 28010. 54. 518.71 P-VALUE
TOTAL 77490. 59. 1313.4 0.000

ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE - FROM ZERO

SS DF MS F
REGRESSION 0.91809E+06 6. 0.15302E+06 294.993
ERROR 28010. 54. 518.71 P-VALUE
TOTAL 0.94610E+06 60. 15768. 0.000

VARIABLE ESTIMATED STANDARD T-RATIO PARTIAL STANDARDIZED

ELASTICITY
 NAME COEFFICIENT ERROR 54 DF P-VALUE CORR. COEFFICIENT AT
MEANS
GA -4.4770 130.6 -0.3427E-01 0.973-0.005 -0.0082
-0.0068
GB -113.59 38.31 -2.965 0.004-0.374 -0.9269
-0.7698
GC -74.381 480.5 -0.1548 0.878-0.021 -0.0318
-0.0304
GD 150.24 1812. 0.8290E-01 0.934 0.011 0.0098
0.0056
GE 41.979 23.96 1.752 0.085 0.232 0.2285
0.1549
CONSTANT 198.11 10.34 19.16 0.000 0.934 0.0000
1.6465

VARIANCE-COVARIANCE MATRIX OF COEFFICIENTS

GA 17064.
GB -3609.6 1467.7
GC 18726. -12814. 0.23090E+06
GD -69890. -189.32 -0.13463E+06 0.32849E+07
GE -856.63 -20.326 -2598.1 6155.0 574.21

CONSTANT -390.31 100.56 -2567.7 2076.7 17.798

106.85
GA GB GC GD GE
CONSTANT

CORRELATION MATRIX OF COEFFICIENTS

GA 1.0000
GB -0.72127 1.0000
GC 0.29834 -0.69607 1.0000
GD -0.29520 -0.27266E-02 -0.15459 1.0000
GE -0.27366 -0.22141E-01 -0.22564 0.14172 1.0000

CONSTANT -0.28906 0.25394 -0.51694 0.11085 0.71854E-01

1.0000
GA GB GC GD GE
CONSTANT

DURBIN-WATSON = 1.1409 VON NEUMANN RATIO = 1.1602 RHO = 0.42931

RESIDUAL SUM = -0.58016E-11 RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 518.71
SUM OF ABSOLUTE ERRORS= 989.45
R-SQUARE BETWEEN OBSERVED AND PREDICTED = 0.6385
RUNS TEST: 20 RUNS, 31 POS, 0 ZERO, 29 NEG NORMAL STATISTIC =
-2.8591
COEFFICIENT OF SKEWNESS = 0.4089 WITH STANDARD DEVIATION OF 0.3087
COEFFICIENT OF EXCESS KURTOSIS = 0.6425 WITH STANDARD DEVIATION OF 0.6085

JARQUE-BERA NORMALITY TEST- CHI-SQUARE(2 DF)= 2.1934 P-VALUE= 0.334

GOODNESS OF FIT TEST FOR NORMALITY OF RESIDUALS - 10 GROUPS

OBSERVED 0.0 1.0 6.0 8.0 14.0 20.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 2.0
EXPECTED 0.5 1.7 4.8 9.6 13.5 13.5 9.6 4.8 1.7 0.5
CHI-SQUARE = 12.1318 WITH 2 DEGREES OF FREEDOM, P-VALUE= 0.002

|_stop
Hasil Double Log Berganda

|_file 33 D:\DOC MATA KULIAH\DOC SHAZAM\Data Analisis Produksi Usahatani

Jagung Hibrida Desa Sumber Makmur.dif
...NOTE..UNIT 33 IS NOW ASSIGNED TO: D:\DOC MATA KULIAH\DOC SHAZAM\Data
Analisis Produk
si Usahatani Jagung Hibrida Desa Sumber Makmur.dif

|_sample 1 60

|_read (33) n x1t x2t x3t x4t x5t yt/dif

...NOTE..DIF FILE HAS 7 COLUMNS AND 60 ROWS
...NOTE.. 7 VARIABLES AND 60 OBSERVATIONS STARTING AT OBS 1

|_genr ly=log(yt)

|_genr lx1=log(x1t)

|_genr lx2=log(x2t)

|_genr lx3=log(x3t)

|_genr lx4=log(x4t)

|_genr lx5=log(x5t)

|_ols ly lx1 lx2 lx3 lx4 lx5/pcor pcov

REQUIRED MEMORY IS PAR= 22 CURRENT PAR= 78

OLS ESTIMATION
60 OBSERVATIONS DEPENDENT VARIABLE= LY
...NOTE..SAMPLE RANGE SET TO: 1, 60

R-SQUARE = 0.6788 R-SQUARE ADJUSTED = 0.6491

VARIANCE OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA**2 = 0.34843E-01
STANDARD ERROR OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA = 0.18666
SUM OF SQUARED ERRORS-SSE= 1.8815
MEAN OF DEPENDENT VARIABLE = 4.7433
LOG OF THE LIKELIHOOD FUNCTION = 18.7315

MODEL SELECTION TESTS - SEE JUDGE ET AL. (1985,P.242)

AKAIKE (1969) FINAL PREDICTION ERROR - FPE = 0.38327E-01
(FPE IS ALSO KNOWN AS AMEMIYA PREDICTION CRITERION - PC)
AKAIKE (1973) INFORMATION CRITERION - LOG AIC = -3.2623
SCHWARZ (1978) CRITERION - LOG SC = -3.0528
MODEL SELECTION TESTS - SEE RAMANATHAN (1998,P.165)
CRAVEN-WAHBA (1979)
GENERALIZED CROSS VALIDATION - GCV = 0.38715E-01
HANNAN AND QUINN (1979) CRITERION = 0.41572E-01
RICE (1984) CRITERION = 0.39198E-01
SHIBATA (1981) CRITERION = 0.37631E-01
SCHWARZ (1978) CRITERION - SC = 0.47225E-01
AKAIKE (1974) INFORMATION CRITERION - AIC = 0.38302E-01

ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE - FROM MEAN

SS DF MS F
REGRESSION 3.9764 5. 0.79528 22.825
ERROR 1.8815 54. 0.34843E-01 P-VALUE
TOTAL 5.8579 59. 0.99287E-01 0.000

ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE - FROM ZERO

SS DF MS F
REGRESSION 1353.9 6. 225.65 6476.180
ERROR 1.8815 54. 0.34843E-01 P-VALUE
TOTAL 1355.8 60. 22.596 0.000

VARIABLE ESTIMATED STANDARD T-RATIO PARTIAL STANDARDIZED

ELASTICITY
NAME COEFFICIENT ERROR 54 DF P-VALUE CORR. COEFFICIENT AT
MEANS
LX1 -0.12994 0.2157 -0.6023 0.549-0.082 -0.1501
-0.0485
LX2 1.0399 0.3009 3.456 0.001 0.426 1.1771
0.0586
LX3 0.34720E-01 0.2262 0.1535 0.879 0.021 0.0327
0.0224
LX4 -0.59560E-01 0.8975E-01 -0.6637 0.510-0.090 -0.0890
-0.0694
LX5 -0.18926 0.1049 -1.805 0.077-0.238 -0.2378
-0.0357
CONSTANT 5.0873 0.8464 6.010 0.000 0.633 0.0000
1.0725

VARIANCE-COVARIANCE MATRIX OF COEFFICIENTS

LX1 0.46544E-01
LX2 -0.45284E-01 0.90533E-01
LX3 0.12791E-01 -0.45624E-01 0.51158E-01
LX4 -0.45536E-02 -0.43355E-02 -0.18507E-02 0.80544E-02
LX5 -0.52032E-02 -0.29212E-02 -0.47489E-02 0.18555E-02 0.10999E-01

CONSTANT -0.79506E-01 0.22191 -0.15231 -0.31298E-01 0.44144E-02

0.71642
LX1 LX2 LX3 LX4 LX5
CONSTANT

CORRELATION MATRIX OF COEFFICIENTS

LX1 1.0000
LX2 -0.69761 1.0000
LX3 0.26213 -0.67040 1.0000
LX4 -0.23518 -0.16055 -0.91173E-01 1.0000
LX5 -0.22997 -0.92575E-01 -0.20020 0.19714 1.0000

CONSTANT -0.43539 0.87136 -0.79560 -0.41202 0.49730E-01

1.0000
LX1 LX2 LX3 LX4 LX5
CONSTANT

DURBIN-WATSON = 0.9441 VON NEUMANN RATIO = 0.9601 RHO = 0.51688

RESIDUAL SUM = 0.18180E-13 RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.34843E-01
SUM OF ABSOLUTE ERRORS= 8.3048
R-SQUARE BETWEEN OBSERVED AND PREDICTED = 0.6788
RUNS TEST: 16 RUNS, 29 POS, 0 ZERO, 31 NEG NORMAL STATISTIC =
-3.9020
COEFFICIENT OF SKEWNESS = -0.1413 WITH STANDARD DEVIATION OF 0.3087
COEFFICIENT OF EXCESS KURTOSIS = -0.0094 WITH STANDARD DEVIATION OF 0.6085

JARQUE-BERA NORMALITY TEST- CHI-SQUARE(2 DF)= 0.2183 P-VALUE= 0.897

GOODNESS OF FIT TEST FOR NORMALITY OF RESIDUALS - 10 GROUPS

OBSERVED 1.0 0.0 5.0 9.0 16.0 12.0 11.0 5.0 1.0 0.0
EXPECTED 0.5 1.7 4.8 9.6 13.5 13.5 9.6 4.8 1.7 0.5
CHI-SQUARE = 3.8412 WITH 2 DEGREES OF FREEDOM, P-VALUE= 0.147

|_stop
Hasil Log-Linear Berganda

|_file 33 D:\DOC MATA KULIAH\DOC SHAZAM\Data Analisis Produksi Usahatani

Jagung Hibrida Desa Sumber Makmur.dif
...NOTE..UNIT 33 IS NOW ASSIGNED TO: D:\DOC MATA KULIAH\DOC SHAZAM\Data
Analisis Produk
si Usahatani Jagung Hibrida Desa Sumber Makmur.dif

|_sample 1 60

|_read (33) n x1t x2t x3t x4t x5t yt/dif

...NOTE..DIF FILE HAS 7 COLUMNS AND 60 ROWS
...NOTE.. 7 VARIABLES AND 60 OBSERVATIONS STARTING AT OBS 1

|_genr ly=log(yt)

|_ols ly x1t x2t x3t x4t x5t/pcor pcov

REQUIRED MEMORY IS PAR= 19 CURRENT PAR= 78

OLS ESTIMATION
60 OBSERVATIONS DEPENDENT VARIABLE= LY
...NOTE..SAMPLE RANGE SET TO: 1, 60

R-SQUARE = 0.6389 R-SQUARE ADJUSTED = 0.6055

VARIANCE OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA**2 = 0.39172E-01
STANDARD ERROR OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA = 0.19792
SUM OF SQUARED ERRORS-SSE= 2.1153
MEAN OF DEPENDENT VARIABLE = 4.7433
LOG OF THE LIKELIHOOD FUNCTION = 15.2183

MODEL SELECTION TESTS - SEE JUDGE ET AL. (1985,P.242)

AKAIKE (1969) FINAL PREDICTION ERROR - FPE = 0.43089E-01
(FPE IS ALSO KNOWN AS AMEMIYA PREDICTION CRITERION - PC)
AKAIKE (1973) INFORMATION CRITERION - LOG AIC = -3.1452
SCHWARZ (1978) CRITERION - LOG SC = -2.9357
MODEL SELECTION TESTS - SEE RAMANATHAN (1998,P.165)
CRAVEN-WAHBA (1979)
GENERALIZED CROSS VALIDATION - GCV = 0.43524E-01
HANNAN AND QUINN (1979) CRITERION = 0.46736E-01
RICE (1984) CRITERION = 0.44068E-01
SHIBATA (1981) CRITERION = 0.42306E-01
SCHWARZ (1978) CRITERION - SC = 0.53092E-01
AKAIKE (1974) INFORMATION CRITERION - AIC = 0.43060E-01

ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE - FROM MEAN

SS DF MS F
REGRESSION 3.7427 5. 0.74853 19.109
ERROR 2.1153 54. 0.39172E-01 P-VALUE
TOTAL 5.8579 59. 0.99287E-01 0.000

ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE - FROM ZERO

SS DF MS F
REGRESSION 1353.7 6. 225.61 5759.509
ERROR 2.1153 54. 0.39172E-01 P-VALUE
TOTAL 1355.8 60. 22.596 0.000

VARIABLE ESTIMATED STANDARD T-RATIO PARTIAL STANDARDIZED

ELASTICITY
 NAME COEFFICIENT ERROR 54 DF P-VALUE CORR. COEFFICIENT AT
MEANS
X1T -0.13150E-01 0.3846E-01 -0.3419 0.734-0.046 -0.0921
-0.0173
X2T 0.78632 0.2593 3.032 0.004 0.381 1.1631
0.2300
X3T -0.27043E-02 0.1138E-01 -0.2376 0.813-0.032 -0.0534
-0.0126
X4T -0.19335E-03 0.4330E-03 -0.4465 0.657-0.061 -0.0715
-0.0113
X5T -0.74852E-01 0.4786E-01 -1.564 0.124-0.208 -0.2236
-0.0414
CONSTANT 4.0446 0.9931E-01 40.73 0.000 0.984 0.0000
0.8527

VARIANCE-COVARIANCE MATRIX OF COEFFICIENTS

X1T 0.14795E-02
X2T -0.68218E-02 0.67243E-01
X3T 0.11005E-03 -0.19064E-02 0.12952E-03
X4T -0.27389E-05 -0.31929E-04 -0.24662E-06 0.18752E-06
X5T -0.36486E-03 -0.20105E-02 -0.83501E-04 0.45754E-05 0.22906E-02

CONSTANT -0.50246E-03 0.57124E-02 -0.62420E-03 0.28292E-05 -0.36335E-03

0.98629E-02
X1T X2T X3T X4T X5T
CONSTANT

CORRELATION MATRIX OF COEFFICIENTS

X1T 1.0000
X2T -0.68394 1.0000
X3T 0.25140 -0.64599 1.0000
X4T -0.16444 -0.28434 -0.50043E-01 1.0000
X5T -0.19820 -0.16200 -0.15330 0.22077 1.0000

CONSTANT -0.13154 0.22182 -0.55227 0.65786E-01 -0.76445E-01

1.0000
X1T X2T X3T X4T X5T
CONSTANT

DURBIN-WATSON = 0.9587 VON NEUMANN RATIO = 0.9750 RHO = 0.49818

RESIDUAL SUM = -0.29088E-13 RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.39172E-01
SUM OF ABSOLUTE ERRORS= 8.9563
R-SQUARE BETWEEN OBSERVED AND PREDICTED = 0.6389
RUNS TEST: 24 RUNS, 31 POS, 0 ZERO, 29 NEG NORMAL STATISTIC =
-1.8163
COEFFICIENT OF SKEWNESS = -0.2328 WITH STANDARD DEVIATION OF 0.3087
COEFFICIENT OF EXCESS KURTOSIS = -0.2188 WITH STANDARD DEVIATION OF 0.6085

JARQUE-BERA NORMALITY TEST- CHI-SQUARE(2 DF)= 0.7389 P-VALUE= 0.691

GOODNESS OF FIT TEST FOR NORMALITY OF RESIDUALS - 10 GROUPS

OBSERVED 0.0 2.0 6.0 8.0 13.0 13.0 13.0 4.0 1.0 0.0
EXPECTED 0.5 1.7 4.8 9.6 13.5 13.5 9.6 4.8 1.7 0.5
CHI-SQUARE = 3.3034 WITH 2 DEGREES OF FREEDOM, P-VALUE= 0.192

|_stop
Hasil Linear-Log Berganda

|_file 33 D:\DOC MATA KULIAH\DOC SHAZAM\Data Analisis Produksi Usahatani

Jagung Hibrida Desa Sumber Makmur.dif
...NOTE..UNIT 33 IS NOW ASSIGNED TO: D:\DOC MATA KULIAH\DOC SHAZAM\Data
Analisis Produk
si Usahatani Jagung Hibrida Desa Sumber Makmur.dif

|_sample 1 60

|_read (33) n x1t x2t x3t x4t x5t yt/dif

...NOTE..DIF FILE HAS 7 COLUMNS AND 60 ROWS
...NOTE.. 7 VARIABLES AND 60 OBSERVATIONS STARTING AT OBS 1

|_genr lx1=log(x1t)

|_genr lx2=log(x2t)

|_genr lx3=log(x3t)

|_genr lx4=log(x4t)

|_genr lx5=log(x5t)

|_ols yt lx1 lx2 lx3 lx4 lx5/pcor pcov

REQUIRED MEMORY IS PAR= 21 CURRENT PAR= 78

OLS ESTIMATION
60 OBSERVATIONS DEPENDENT VARIABLE= YT
...NOTE..SAMPLE RANGE SET TO: 1, 60

R-SQUARE = 0.6430 R-SQUARE ADJUSTED = 0.6100

VARIANCE OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA**2 = 512.26
STANDARD ERROR OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA = 22.633
SUM OF SQUARED ERRORS-SSE= 27662.
MEAN OF DEPENDENT VARIABLE = 120.32
LOG OF THE LIKELIHOOD FUNCTION = -269.140

MODEL SELECTION TESTS - SEE JUDGE ET AL. (1985,P.242)

AKAIKE (1969) FINAL PREDICTION ERROR - FPE = 563.48
(FPE IS ALSO KNOWN AS AMEMIYA PREDICTION CRITERION - PC)
AKAIKE (1973) INFORMATION CRITERION - LOG AIC = 6.3335
SCHWARZ (1978) CRITERION - LOG SC = 6.5429
MODEL SELECTION TESTS - SEE RAMANATHAN (1998,P.165)
CRAVEN-WAHBA (1979)
GENERALIZED CROSS VALIDATION - GCV = 569.18
HANNAN AND QUINN (1979) CRITERION = 611.18
RICE (1984) CRITERION = 576.29
SHIBATA (1981) CRITERION = 553.24
SCHWARZ (1978) CRITERION - SC = 694.30
AKAIKE (1974) INFORMATION CRITERION - AIC = 563.11

ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE - FROM MEAN

SS DF MS F
REGRESSION 49828. 5. 9965.6 19.454
ERROR 27662. 54. 512.26 P-VALUE
TOTAL 77490. 59. 1313.4 0.000

ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE - FROM ZERO

SS DF MS F
REGRESSION 0.91844E+06 6. 0.15307E+06 298.821
ERROR 27662. 54. 512.26 P-VALUE
TOTAL 0.94610E+06 60. 15768. 0.000

VARIABLE ESTIMATED STANDARD T-RATIO PARTIAL STANDARDIZED

ELASTICITY
NAME COEFFICIENT ERROR 54 DF P-VALUE CORR. COEFFICIENT AT
MEANS
LX1 0.69373 26.16 0.2652E-01 0.979 0.004 0.0070
0.0102
LX2 107.68 36.48 2.952 0.005 0.373 1.0598
0.2392
LX3 -9.3691 27.42 -0.3416 0.734-0.046 -0.0768
-0.2380
LX4 -1.8670 10.88 -0.1716 0.864-0.023 -0.0243
-0.0858
LX5 -21.897 12.72 -1.722 0.091-0.228 -0.2392
-0.1627
CONSTANT 148.83 102.6 1.450 0.153 0.194 0.0000
1.2370

VARIANCE-COVARIANCE MATRIX OF COEFFICIENTS

LX1 684.28
LX2 -665.76 1331.0
LX3 188.05 -670.76 752.12
LX4 -66.946 -63.741 -27.209 118.41
LX5 -76.497 -42.948 -69.817 27.280 161.70

CONSTANT -1168.9 3262.6 -2239.3 -460.14 64.900

10533.
LX1 LX2 LX3 LX4 LX5
CONSTANT

CORRELATION MATRIX OF COEFFICIENTS

LX1 1.0000
LX2 -0.69761 1.0000
LX3 0.26213 -0.67040 1.0000
LX4 -0.23518 -0.16055 -0.91173E-01 1.0000
LX5 -0.22997 -0.92575E-01 -0.20020 0.19714 1.0000

CONSTANT -0.43539 0.87136 -0.79560 -0.41202 0.49730E-01

1.0000
LX1 LX2 LX3 LX4 LX5
CONSTANT

DURBIN-WATSON = 1.0053 VON NEUMANN RATIO = 1.0223 RHO = 0.49356

RESIDUAL SUM = -0.25224E-11 RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 512.26
SUM OF ABSOLUTE ERRORS= 982.67
R-SQUARE BETWEEN OBSERVED AND PREDICTED = 0.6430
RUNS TEST: 18 RUNS, 29 POS, 0 ZERO, 31 NEG NORMAL STATISTIC =
-3.3805
COEFFICIENT OF SKEWNESS = 0.2988 WITH STANDARD DEVIATION OF 0.3087
COEFFICIENT OF EXCESS KURTOSIS = 0.3602 WITH STANDARD DEVIATION OF 0.6085

JARQUE-BERA NORMALITY TEST- CHI-SQUARE(2 DF)= 0.9836 P-VALUE= 0.612

GOODNESS OF FIT TEST FOR NORMALITY OF RESIDUALS - 10 GROUPS

OBSERVED 0.0 1.0 6.0 9.0 15.0 17.0 5.0 4.0 3.0 0.0
EXPECTED 0.5 1.7 4.8 9.6 13.5 13.5 9.6 4.8 1.7 0.5
CHI-SQUARE = 6.0127 WITH 2 DEGREES OF FREEDOM, P-VALUE= 0.049
|_stop

Hasil Log Inverse Berganda

|_file 33 D:\DOC MATA KULIAH\DOC SHAZAM\Data Analisis Produksi Usahatani

Jagung Hibrida Desa Sumber Makmur.dif
...NOTE..UNIT 33 IS NOW ASSIGNED TO: D:\DOC MATA KULIAH\DOC SHAZAM\Data
Analisis Produk
si Usahatani Jagung Hibrida Desa Sumber Makmur.dif

|_sample 1 60

|_read (33) n x1t x2t x3t x4t x5t yt/dif

...NOTE..DIF FILE HAS 7 COLUMNS AND 60 ROWS
...NOTE.. 7 VARIABLES AND 60 OBSERVATIONS STARTING AT OBS 1

|_genr ly=log(yt)

|_genr GA=(-1/x1t)

|_genr GB=(-1/x2t)

|_genr GC=(-1/x3t)

|_genr GD=(-1/x4t)

|_genr GE=(-1/x5t)

|_ols ly GA GB GC GD GE/pcor pcov

REQUIRED MEMORY IS PAR= 22 CURRENT PAR= 78

OLS ESTIMATION
60 OBSERVATIONS DEPENDENT VARIABLE= LY
...NOTE..SAMPLE RANGE SET TO: 1, 60

R-SQUARE = 0.7009 R-SQUARE ADJUSTED = 0.6732

VARIANCE OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA**2 = 0.32444E-01
STANDARD ERROR OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA = 0.18012
SUM OF SQUARED ERRORS-SSE= 1.7520
MEAN OF DEPENDENT VARIABLE = 4.7433
LOG OF THE LIKELIHOOD FUNCTION = 20.8719

MODEL SELECTION TESTS - SEE JUDGE ET AL. (1985,P.242)

AKAIKE (1969) FINAL PREDICTION ERROR - FPE = 0.35688E-01
(FPE IS ALSO KNOWN AS AMEMIYA PREDICTION CRITERION - PC)
AKAIKE (1973) INFORMATION CRITERION - LOG AIC = -3.3336
SCHWARZ (1978) CRITERION - LOG SC = -3.1242
MODEL SELECTION TESTS - SEE RAMANATHAN (1998,P.165)
CRAVEN-WAHBA (1979)
GENERALIZED CROSS VALIDATION - GCV = 0.36049E-01
HANNAN AND QUINN (1979) CRITERION = 0.38709E-01
RICE (1984) CRITERION = 0.36499E-01
SHIBATA (1981) CRITERION = 0.35039E-01
 SCHWARZ (1978) CRITERION - SC = 0.43973E-01
AKAIKE (1974) INFORMATION CRITERION - AIC = 0.35664E-01

ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE - FROM MEAN

SS DF MS F
REGRESSION 4.1060 5. 0.82120 25.311
ERROR 1.7520 54. 0.32444E-01 P-VALUE
TOTAL 5.8579 59. 0.99287E-01 0.000

ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE - FROM ZERO

SS DF MS F
REGRESSION 1354.0 6. 225.67 6955.787
ERROR 1.7520 54. 0.32444E-01 P-VALUE
TOTAL 1355.8 60. 22.596 0.000

VARIABLE ESTIMATED STANDARD T-RATIO PARTIAL STANDARDIZED

ELASTICITY
NAME COEFFICIENT ERROR 54 DF P-VALUE CORR. COEFFICIENT AT
MEANS
GA -0.70173 1.033 -0.6793 0.500-0.092 -0.1473
0.0269
GB 1.1212 0.3030 3.700 0.001 0.450 1.0521
-0.1927
GC 2.4927 3.800 0.6559 0.515 0.089 0.1227
-0.0259
GD -6.7790 14.33 -0.4729 0.638-0.064 -0.0508
0.0064
GE -0.37344 0.1895 -1.971 0.054-0.259 -0.2338
0.0350
CONSTANT 5.4563 0.8175E-01 66.74 0.000 0.994 0.0000
1.1503

VARIANCE-COVARIANCE MATRIX OF COEFFICIENTS

GA 1.0673
GB -0.22577 0.91800E-01
GC 1.1713 -0.80147 14.442
GD -4.3714 -0.11841E-01 -8.4207 205.46
GE -0.53579E-01 -0.12713E-02 -0.16250 0.38498 0.35915E-01

CONSTANT 0.24413E-01 -0.62899E-02 0.16060 -0.12989 -0.11132E-02

0.66832E-02
GA GB GC GD GE
CONSTANT

CORRELATION MATRIX OF COEFFICIENTS

GA 1.0000
GB -0.72127 1.0000
GC 0.29834 -0.69607 1.0000
GD -0.29520 -0.27266E-02 -0.15459 1.0000
GE -0.27366 -0.22141E-01 -0.22564 0.14172 1.0000

CONSTANT 0.28906 -0.25394 0.51694 -0.11085 -0.71854E-01

1.0000
GA GB GC GD GE
CONSTANT

DURBIN-WATSON = 1.0809 VON NEUMANN RATIO = 1.0993 RHO = 0.45819

RESIDUAL SUM = -0.56552E-13 RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.32444E-01
SUM OF ABSOLUTE ERRORS= 8.0674
R-SQUARE BETWEEN OBSERVED AND PREDICTED = 0.7009
RUNS TEST: 18 RUNS, 30 POS, 0 ZERO, 30 NEG NORMAL STATISTIC =
-3.3854
COEFFICIENT OF SKEWNESS = -0.0655 WITH STANDARD DEVIATION OF 0.3087
COEFFICIENT OF EXCESS KURTOSIS = 0.1417 WITH STANDARD DEVIATION OF 0.6085

JARQUE-BERA NORMALITY TEST- CHI-SQUARE(2 DF)= 0.0433 P-VALUE= 0.979

 GOODNESS OF FIT TEST FOR NORMALITY OF RESIDUALS - 10 GROUPS
OBSERVED 1.0 0.0 7.0 8.0 14.0 15.0 7.0 6.0 2.0 0.0
EXPECTED 0.5 1.7 4.8 9.6 13.5 13.5 9.6 4.8 1.7 0.5
CHI-SQUARE = 5.2449 WITH 2 DEGREES OF FREEDOM, P-VALUE= 0.073

|_stop

Hasil Model Tanpa Konstanta Berganda

|_file 33 D:\DOC MATA KULIAH\DOC SHAZAM\Data Analisis Produksi Usahatani

Jagung Hibrida Desa Sumber Makmur.dif
...NOTE..UNIT 33 IS NOW ASSIGNED TO: D:\DOC MATA KULIAH\DOC SHAZAM\Data
Analisis Produk
si Usahatani Jagung Hibrida Desa Sumber Makmur.dif

|_sample 1 60

|_read (33) n x1t x2t x3t x4t x5t yt/dif

...NOTE..DIF FILE HAS 7 COLUMNS AND 60 ROWS
...NOTE.. 7 VARIABLES AND 60 OBSERVATIONS STARTING AT OBS 1

|_ols yt x1t x2t x3t x4t x5t/nocons pcor pcov

REQUIRED MEMORY IS PAR= 18 CURRENT PAR= 78

OLS ESTIMATION
60 OBSERVATIONS DEPENDENT VARIABLE= YT
...NOTE..SAMPLE RANGE SET TO: 1, 60

R-SQUARE = 0.5292 R-SQUARE ADJUSTED = 0.4950

VARIANCE OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA**2 = 663.28
STANDARD ERROR OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA = 25.754
SUM OF SQUARED ERRORS-SSE= 36480.
MEAN OF DEPENDENT VARIABLE = 120.32
LOG OF THE LIKELIHOOD FUNCTION = -277.442
RAW MOMENT R-SQUARE = 0.9614

MODEL SELECTION TESTS - SEE JUDGE ET AL. (1985,P.242)

AKAIKE (1969) FINAL PREDICTION ERROR - FPE = 718.55
(FPE IS ALSO KNOWN AS AMEMIYA PREDICTION CRITERION - PC)
AKAIKE (1973) INFORMATION CRITERION - LOG AIC = 6.5768
SCHWARZ (1978) CRITERION - LOG SC = 6.7514
MODEL SELECTION TESTS - SEE RAMANATHAN (1998,P.165)
CRAVEN-WAHBA (1979)
GENERALIZED CROSS VALIDATION - GCV = 723.57
HANNAN AND QUINN (1979) CRITERION = 769.02
RICE (1984) CRITERION = 729.60
SHIBATA (1981) CRITERION = 709.34
SCHWARZ (1978) CRITERION - SC = 855.23
AKAIKE (1974) INFORMATION CRITERION - AIC = 718.27

ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE - FROM ZERO

SS DF MS F
REGRESSION 0.90962E+06 5. 0.18192E+06 274.282
ERROR 36480. 55. 663.28 P-VALUE
TOTAL 0.94610E+06 60. 15768. 0.000

VARIABLE ESTIMATED STANDARD T-RATIO PARTIAL STANDARDIZED

ELASTICITY
NAME COEFFICIENT ERROR 55 DF P-VALUE CORR. COEFFICIENT AT
MEANS
X1T 2.9091 4.962 0.5863 0.560 0.079 0.1771
0.1511
X2T 58.042 32.90 1.764 0.083 0.231 0.7464
0.6692
X3T 1.8577 1.235 1.505 0.138 0.199 0.3189
0.3420
X4T -0.95256E-02 0.5623E-01 -0.1694 0.866-0.023 -0.0306
-0.0220
X5T -7.5651 6.210 -1.218 0.228-0.162 -0.1965
-0.1650

VARIANCE-COVARIANCE MATRIX OF COEFFICIENTS

X1T 24.618
X2T -110.58 1082.6
X3T 1.3250 -26.159 1.5242
X4T -0.43936E-01 -0.56837 -0.11442E-02 0.31614E-02
X5T -6.4914 -30.479 -1.8032 0.79238E-01 38.559

X1T X2T X3T X4T X5T

CORRELATION MATRIX OF COEFFICIENTS

X1T 1.0000
X2T -0.67738 1.0000
X3T 0.21630 -0.64398 1.0000
X4T -0.15749 -0.30723 -0.16483E-01 1.0000
X5T -0.21069 -0.14918 -0.23522 0.22695 1.0000

X1T X2T X3T X4T X5T

DURBIN-WATSON = 1.0862 VON NEUMANN RATIO = 1.1046 RHO = 0.45622

RESIDUAL SUM = 178.11 RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 663.28
SUM OF ABSOLUTE ERRORS= 1173.3
R-SQUARE BETWEEN OBSERVED AND PREDICTED = 0.6037
RUNS TEST: 23 RUNS, 36 POS, 0 ZERO, 24 NEG NORMAL STATISTIC =
-1.8459
COEFFICIENT OF SKEWNESS = -0.2072 WITH STANDARD DEVIATION OF 0.3087
COEFFICIENT OF EXCESS KURTOSIS = -0.1338 WITH STANDARD DEVIATION OF 0.6085

GOODNESS OF FIT TEST FOR NORMALITY OF RESIDUALS - 10 GROUPS

OBSERVED 0.0 2.0 5.0 5.0 12.0 16.0 14.0 4.0 2.0 0.0
EXPECTED 0.5 1.7 4.8 9.6 13.5 13.5 9.6 4.8 1.7 0.5
CHI-SQUARE = 6.1157 WITH 3 DEGREES OF FREEDOM, P-VALUE= 0.106

|_stop
Hasil Coub-Douglas

|_file 33 D:\DOC MATA KULIAH\DOC SHAZAM\Data Analisis Produksi Usahatani

Jagung Hibrida Desa Sumber Makmur.dif
...NOTE..UNIT 33 IS NOW ASSIGNED TO: D:\DOC MATA KULIAH\DOC SHAZAM\Data
Analisis Produk
si Usahatani Jagung Hibrida Desa Sumber Makmur.dif

|_sample 1 60

|_read (33)n a b c d e q/dif

...NOTE..DIF FILE HAS 7 COLUMNS AND 60 ROWS
...NOTE.. 7 VARIABLES AND 60 OBSERVATIONS STARTING AT OBS 1

|_genr lq=log(q)

|_genr la=log(a)

|_genr lb=log(b)

|_genr lc=log(c)

|_genr ld=log(d)

|_genr le=log(e)

|_stat q a b c d e lq la lb lc ld le
NAME N MEAN ST. DEV VARIANCE MINIMUM MAXIMUM
Q 60 120.32 36.241 1313.4 53.400 208.20
A 60 6.2500 2.2065 4.8686 3.0000 10.000
B 60 1.3873 0.46607 0.21722 0.74000 2.0000
C 60 22.150 6.2214 38.706 10.000 34.000
D 60 277.50 116.60 13595. 100.00 500.00
E 60 2.6250 0.94126 0.88597 1.0000 4.0000
LQ 60 4.7433 0.31510 0.99287E-01 3.9778 5.3385
LA 60 1.7689 0.36402 0.13251 1.0986 2.3026
LB 60 0.26731 0.35667 0.12721 -0.30111 0.69315
LC 60 3.0563 0.29705 0.88239E-01 2.3026 3.5264
LD 60 5.5262 0.47096 0.22181 4.6052 6.2146
LE 60 0.89378 0.39589 0.15673 0.00000E+00 1.3863

|_ols lq la lb lc ld le/anova rstat pcor

REQUIRED MEMORY IS PAR= 21 CURRENT PAR= 78
OLS ESTIMATION
60 OBSERVATIONS DEPENDENT VARIABLE= LQ
...NOTE..SAMPLE RANGE SET TO: 1, 60

R-SQUARE = 0.6788 R-SQUARE ADJUSTED = 0.6491

VARIANCE OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA**2 = 0.34843E-01
STANDARD ERROR OF THE ESTIMATE-SIGMA = 0.18666
SUM OF SQUARED ERRORS-SSE= 1.8815
MEAN OF DEPENDENT VARIABLE = 4.7433
LOG OF THE LIKELIHOOD FUNCTION = 18.7315

MODEL SELECTION TESTS - SEE JUDGE ET AL. (1985,P.242)

AKAIKE (1969) FINAL PREDICTION ERROR - FPE = 0.38327E-01
(FPE IS ALSO KNOWN AS AMEMIYA PREDICTION CRITERION - PC)
AKAIKE (1973) INFORMATION CRITERION - LOG AIC = -3.2623
SCHWARZ (1978) CRITERION - LOG SC = -3.0528
MODEL SELECTION TESTS - SEE RAMANATHAN (1998,P.165)
CRAVEN-WAHBA (1979)
GENERALIZED CROSS VALIDATION - GCV = 0.38715E-01
HANNAN AND QUINN (1979) CRITERION = 0.41572E-01
RICE (1984) CRITERION = 0.39198E-01
SHIBATA (1981) CRITERION = 0.37631E-01
SCHWARZ (1978) CRITERION - SC = 0.47225E-01
AKAIKE (1974) INFORMATION CRITERION - AIC = 0.38302E-01

ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE - FROM MEAN

SS DF MS F
REGRESSION 3.9764 5. 0.79528 22.825
ERROR 1.8815 54. 0.34843E-01 P-VALUE
TOTAL 5.8579 59. 0.99287E-01 0.000

ANALYSIS OF VARIANCE - FROM ZERO

SS DF MS F
REGRESSION 1353.9 6. 225.65 6476.180
ERROR 1.8815 54. 0.34843E-01 P-VALUE
TOTAL 1355.8 60. 22.596 0.000

VARIABLE ESTIMATED STANDARD T-RATIO PARTIAL STANDARDIZED

ELASTICITY
NAME COEFFICIENT ERROR 54 DF P-VALUE CORR. COEFFICIENT AT
MEANS
LA -0.12994 0.2157 -0.6023 0.549-0.082 -0.1501
-0.0485
LB 1.0399 0.3009 3.456 0.001 0.426 1.1771
0.0586
LC 0.34720E-01 0.2262 0.1535 0.879 0.021 0.0327
0.0224
LD -0.59560E-01 0.8975E-01 -0.6637 0.510-0.090 -0.0890
-0.0694
LE -0.18926 0.1049 -1.805 0.077-0.238 -0.2378
-0.0357
CONSTANT 5.0873 0.8464 6.010 0.000 0.633 0.0000
1.0725

CORRELATION MATRIX OF COEFFICIENTS

LA 1.0000
LB -0.69761 1.0000
LC 0.26213 -0.67040 1.0000
LD -0.23518 -0.16055 -0.91173E-01 1.0000
LE -0.22997 -0.92575E-01 -0.20020 0.19714 1.0000

CONSTANT -0.43539 0.87136 -0.79560 -0.41202 0.49730E-01

1.0000
LA LB LC LD LE
CONSTANT

DURBIN-WATSON = 0.9441 VON NEUMANN RATIO = 0.9601 RHO = 0.51688

RESIDUAL SUM = 0.18180E-13 RESIDUAL VARIANCE = 0.34843E-01
SUM OF ABSOLUTE ERRORS= 8.3048
R-SQUARE BETWEEN OBSERVED AND PREDICTED = 0.6788
 RUNS TEST: 16 RUNS, 29 POS, 0 ZERO, 31 NEG NORMAL STATISTIC =
-3.9020
COEFFICIENT OF SKEWNESS = -0.1413 WITH STANDARD DEVIATION OF 0.3087
COEFFICIENT OF EXCESS KURTOSIS = -0.0094 WITH STANDARD DEVIATION OF 0.6085

JARQUE-BERA NORMALITY TEST- CHI-SQUARE(2 DF)= 0.2183 P-VALUE= 0.897

GOODNESS OF FIT TEST FOR NORMALITY OF RESIDUALS - 10 GROUPS

OBSERVED 1.0 0.0 5.0 9.0 16.0 12.0 11.0 5.0 1.0 0.0
EXPECTED 0.5 1.7 4.8 9.6 13.5 13.5 9.6 4.8 1.7 0.5
CHI-SQUARE = 3.8412 WITH 2 DEGREES OF FREEDOM, P-VALUE= 0.147

|_test

|_test la-lb=0

|_end
TEST VALUE = -1.1698 STD. ERROR OF TEST VALUE 0.47712
T STATISTIC = -2.4518573 WITH 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.01748
F STATISTIC = 6.0116044 WITH 1 AND 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.01748
WALD CHI-SQUARE STATISTIC = 6.0116044 WITH 1 D.F. P-VALUE=
0.01421
UPPER BOUND ON P-VALUE BY CHEBYCHEV INEQUALITY = 0.16634

|_test

|_test la-lc=0

|_end
TEST VALUE = -0.16466 STD. ERROR OF TEST VALUE 0.26855
T STATISTIC = -0.61314584 WITH 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.54235
F STATISTIC = 0.37594782 WITH 1 AND 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.54235
WALD CHI-SQUARE STATISTIC = 0.37594782 WITH 1 D.F. P-VALUE=
0.53978
UPPER BOUND ON P-VALUE BY CHEBYCHEV INEQUALITY = 1.00000

|_test

|_test la-ld=0

|_end
TEST VALUE = -0.70381E-01 STD. ERROR OF TEST VALUE 0.25240
T STATISTIC = -0.27884797 WITH 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.78143
F STATISTIC = 0.77756193E-01 WITH 1 AND 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.78143
WALD CHI-SQUARE STATISTIC = 0.77756193E-01 WITH 1 D.F. P-VALUE=
0.78036
UPPER BOUND ON P-VALUE BY CHEBYCHEV INEQUALITY = 1.00000

|_test

|_test la-le=0

|_end
TEST VALUE = 0.59314E-01 STD. ERROR OF TEST VALUE 0.26067
T STATISTIC = 0.22754515 WITH 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.82086
F STATISTIC = 0.51776794E-01 WITH 1 AND 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.82086
WALD CHI-SQUARE STATISTIC = 0.51776794E-01 WITH 1 D.F. P-VALUE=
0.82000
UPPER BOUND ON P-VALUE BY CHEBYCHEV INEQUALITY = 1.00000

|_test

|_test lb-lc=0

|_end
TEST VALUE = 1.0052 STD. ERROR OF TEST VALUE 0.48264
T STATISTIC = 2.0826624 WITH 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.04203
F STATISTIC = 4.3374828 WITH 1 AND 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.04203
WALD CHI-SQUARE STATISTIC = 4.3374828 WITH 1 D.F. P-VALUE=
0.03728
UPPER BOUND ON P-VALUE BY CHEBYCHEV INEQUALITY = 0.23055

|_test
|_test lb-ld=0

|_end
TEST VALUE = 1.0995 STD. ERROR OF TEST VALUE 0.32750
T STATISTIC = 3.3570763 WITH 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.00145
F STATISTIC = 11.269961 WITH 1 AND 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.00145
WALD CHI-SQUARE STATISTIC = 11.269961 WITH 1 D.F. P-VALUE=
0.00079
UPPER BOUND ON P-VALUE BY CHEBYCHEV INEQUALITY = 0.08873

|_test

|_test lb-le=0

|_end
TEST VALUE = 1.2291 STD. ERROR OF TEST VALUE 0.32768
T STATISTIC = 3.7510644 WITH 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.00043
F STATISTIC = 14.070484 WITH 1 AND 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.00043
WALD CHI-SQUARE STATISTIC = 14.070484 WITH 1 D.F. P-VALUE=
0.00018
UPPER BOUND ON P-VALUE BY CHEBYCHEV INEQUALITY = 0.07107

|_test

|_test lc-ld=0

|_end
TEST VALUE = 0.94280E-01 STD. ERROR OF TEST VALUE 0.25083
T STATISTIC = 0.37587830 WITH 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.70848
F STATISTIC = 0.14128450 WITH 1 AND 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.70848
WALD CHI-SQUARE STATISTIC = 0.14128450 WITH 1 D.F. P-VALUE=
0.70701
UPPER BOUND ON P-VALUE BY CHEBYCHEV INEQUALITY = 1.00000

|_test

|_test lc-le=0

|_end
TEST VALUE = 0.22398 STD. ERROR OF TEST VALUE 0.26768
T STATISTIC = 0.83671580 WITH 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.40644
F STATISTIC = 0.70009333 WITH 1 AND 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.40644
WALD CHI-SQUARE STATISTIC = 0.70009333 WITH 1 D.F. P-VALUE=
0.40275
UPPER BOUND ON P-VALUE BY CHEBYCHEV INEQUALITY = 1.00000

|_test

|_test ld-le=0

|_end
TEST VALUE = 0.12970 STD. ERROR OF TEST VALUE 0.12386
T STATISTIC = 1.0470837 WITH 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.29973
F STATISTIC = 1.0963842 WITH 1 AND 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.29973
WALD CHI-SQUARE STATISTIC = 1.0963842 WITH 1 D.F. P-VALUE=
0.29506
UPPER BOUND ON P-VALUE BY CHEBYCHEV INEQUALITY = 0.91209

|_test

|_test la+lb+lc+ld+le=1

|_end
TEST VALUE = -0.30414 STD. ERROR OF TEST VALUE 0.86820E-01
 T STATISTIC = -3.5031406 WITH 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.00093
F STATISTIC = 12.271994 WITH 1 AND 54 D.F. P-VALUE= 0.00093
WALD CHI-SQUARE STATISTIC = 12.271994 WITH 1 D.F. P-VALUE=
0.00046
UPPER BOUND ON P-VALUE BY CHEBYCHEV INEQUALITY = 0.08149

|_stop