CONTOH 1

i xi yi xiyi xi2 yreg e e2

0 1 0.5 0.5 1 0.911 -0.411 0.169
1 2 2.5 5 4 1.750 0.750 0.563
2 3 2 6 9 2.589 -0.589 0.347
3 4 4 16 16 3.429 0.571 0.327
4 5 3.5 17.5 25 4.268 -0.768 0.590
5 6 6 36 36 5.107 0.893 0.797
6 7 5.5 38.5 49 5.946 -0.446 0.199
sum 28 24 119.5 140
n 7 yrerata 3.429 xrerata 4
a1 = 0.839 0.839286 r2 = 0.868318 koef determinasi
a0 = 0.071 0.071429 r= 0.931836 koef relasi bisa bertanda + atau -
yreg = a0 + a1 x r= 0.931836 cara membedakannya adalah nilai dari y nya ap

7.000

6.000

5.000

4.000
Y

3.000

2.000

1.000

0.000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
X

CONTOH 2
i xi yi xiyi xi2 yreg e e2
0 1 5.5 5.5 1 5.946 -0.446 0.199
1 2 6 12 4 5.107 0.893 0.797
2 3 3.5 10.5 9 4.268 -0.768 0.590
3 4 4 16 16 3.429 0.571 0.327
4 5 2 10 25 2.589 -0.589 0.347
5 6 2.5 15 36 1.750 0.750 0.563
6 7 0.5 3.5 49 0.911 -0.411 0.169
sum 28 24 72.5 140
n 7 yrerata 3.429 xrerata 4
a1 = -0.839 -0.839286 r2 = 0.868318 koef determinasi
a0 = 6.786 6.785714 r= -0.931836 koef relasi
yreg = a0 + a1 x r= -0.931836 angkanya sama beda tanda
-0.931836
7.000

6.000

5.000

4.000
Y

3.000

2.000

1.000

0.000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
X

CONTOH 3 cari St=Sr

i xi yi xiyi xi2 yreg e e2
0 1 10 10 1 6.143 3.857 14.878
1 2 1 2 4 6.143 -5.143 26.449
2 3 10 30 9 6.143 3.857 14.878
3 4 1 4 16 6.143 -5.143 26.449
4 5 10 50 25 6.143 3.857 14.878
5 6 1 6 36 6.143 -5.143 26.449
6 7 10 70 49 6.143 3.857 14.878
sum 28 43 172 140
n 7 yrerata 6.143 xrerata 4
a1 = 0.000 0 r2 = 0 koef determinasi
a0 = 6.143 6.142857 r= 0 koef relasi
yreg = a0 + a1 x r= 0 angkanya sama beda tanda
0
12.000

10.000

8.000

6.000
Y

4.000

2.000

0.000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
X
2.000

0.000
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
X
 Kesalahan Kesalahan CONTOH REGRESI POLINOMIAL orde
Standar Simpangan Baku x 0
Sr St y 2.1
(yi-yreg)2 (yi-ymean)2 y2 Cari persamaan kurva polinomial ord
0.1687 8.5765 0.25 No xi
0.5625 0.8622 6.25 1 0
0.3473 2.0408 4 2 1
0.3265 0.3265 16 3 2
0.5896 0.0051 12.25 4 3
0.7972 6.6122 36 5 4
0.1993 4.2908 30.25 6 5
2.9911 22.7143 105 15
n 6
∑xi 15
i bisa bertanda + atau - ∑xi2 55
bedakannya adalah nilai dari y nya apakah bertambah (+) atau mengecil (-)
METODE GAUSS JORDAN 3X
langkah aij
1
1 2
3
1
2 2
3
1
3 2
3
1
4 2
3

y=

Regresi
70
Sr St
60
(yi-yreg)2 (yi-ymean)2 y2 f(x) = 1.86071428571429 x² + 2.35928571428572 x + 2.47857142
R² = 0.998509357298405
0.1993 4.2908 30.25 50
0.7972 6.6122 36
40
0.5896 0.0051 12.25
0.3265 0.3265 16 30
0.3473 2.0408 4
20
0.5625 0.8622 6.25
0.1687 8.5765 0.25 10
2.9911 22.7143 105
0
0 1 2 3 4
sama beda tanda

Sr St
(yi-yreg)2 (yi-ymean)2 y2
14.8776 14.8776 100
26.4490 26.4490 1
14.8776 14.8776 100
26.4490 26.4490 1
14.8776 14.8776 100
26.4490 26.4490 1
14.8776 14.8776 100
138.8571 138.8571 403

sama beda tanda

REGRESI POLINOMIAL orde 2
1 2 3 4 5
7.7 13.6 27.2 40.9 61.1
maan kurva polinomial orde 2
yi xi2 xi3 xi4 xiyi xi2yi
2.1 0 0 0 0 0
7.7 1 1 1 7.7 7.7
13.6 4 8 16 27.2 54.4
27.2 9 27 81 81.6 244.8 n ∑xi ∑xi2
40.9 16 64 256 163.6 654.4 ∑xi ∑xi2 ∑xi3
61.1 25 125 625 305.5 1527.5 ∑xi2 ∑xi3 ∑xi4
152.6 55 225 979 585.6 2488.8
∑xi 15 ∑xi2 55 ∑yi 152.6 6 15 55
∑xi2 55 ∑xi3 225 ∑xiyi 585.6 15 55 225
∑xi3 225 ∑xi4 979 ∑xi2yi 2488.8 55 225 979

GAUSS JORDAN 3X METODE INVERS MATRIKS

1 2 3 bi 0.821429 -0.589286 0.089286
6 15 55 152.6 -0.589286 0.726786 -0.133929
15 55 225 585.6 0.089286 -0.133929 0.026786
55 225 979 2489
1 2.500 9.167 25.433 2.478571 a0
0 17.500 87.500 204.100 = 2.359286 a1
0 87.500 474.833 1089.967 1.860714 a2
1 0 -3.3333 -3.7238
0 1 5.0000 11.6629 y= 1.8607 x2 +
0 0 37.3333 69.467
1 0 0 2.4786 a0 152.6
0 1 0 2.3593 a1 585.6
0 0 1 1.8607 a2 2488.8

1.8607 x2 + 2.3593 x + 2.4786

Regresi yi regresi (yi-y)^2 (yi-yi regresi)^2

2.478571 544.4 0.143316
6.698571 314.5 1.002859
.35928571428572 x + 2.47857142857142 14.64 140.0 1.0816
26.30286 3.1 0.804865
41.68714 239.2 0.619594
60.79286 1272.1 0.094337
jumlah 2513.393 3.746571
Dt2 D2
r2 0.998509
r 0.999254

3 4 5 6
 CONTOH Regresi Linear Ganda
x1 0 2 2.5 1 4
x2 0 1 2 3 6
y 5 10 9 0 3
Cari persamaan kurva yang mewakili data
No y x1 x2 x1^2 x2^2
1 5 0 0 0 0
2 10 2 1 4 1
∑yi 3 9 2.5 2 6.25 4
∑xiyi 4 0 1 3 1 9
∑xi2yi 5 3 4 6 16 36
6 27 7 2 49 4
152.6 54 16.5 14 76.25 54
585.6 n 6 ∑x1i 16.5 ∑x2i 14
2488.8 ∑x1i 16.5 ∑x1i^2 76.25 ∑x1i x2i 48
∑x2i 14 ∑x1i x2i 48 ∑x2i^2 54
METODE GAUSS JORDAN 3X
152.6 langkah aij 1 2 3 bi
X 585.6 1 6 16.5 14 54
2488.8 1 2 16.5 76.25 48 243.5
3 14 48 54 100
152.6 1 1 2.750 2.333 9.000
585.6 2 2 0 30.875 9.500 95.000
2488.8 3 0 9.500 21.333 -26.000
1 1 0 1.4872 0.5385
2.3593 x + 2.4786 3 2 0 1 0.3077 3.0769
3 0 0 18.4103 -55.231
1 1 0 0 5.0000
4 2 0 1 0 4.0000
3 0 0 1 -3.0000

y= -3.0000 x2 + 4.0000 x +
30

25

20

f(x) = 0.349554278745656 x² − 1.08175056475324 x + 7.95532895152934

15 R² = 0.131070899883578

10

0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
 7
2
27

x1x2 x1y x2y

0 0 0
2 20 10
5 22.5 18
3 0 0 n ∑x1i ∑x2i ∑yi
24 12 18 ∑x1i ∑x1i^2 ∑x1i x2i ∑x1iyi
14 189 54 ∑x2i ∑x1i x2i ∑x2i^2 ∑x2iyi
48 243.5 100
∑yi 54 6 16.5 14 54
∑x1iyi 243.5 16.5 76.25 48 243.5
∑x2iyi 100 14 48 54 100
METODE INVERS MATRIKS
0.53174 -0.064213 -0.08078 54
-0.064213 0.037531 -0.016713 X 243.5
-0.08078 -0.016713 0.054318 100

5 a0 54
= 4 a1 243.5
-3 a2 100

y= -3.0000 x2 + 4.0000 x1 + 5.0000

a0 54
a1 243.5
a2 100

5.0000

x + 7.95532895152934

5 6 7 8
 Langkah hitungan metode newton
i xi f(xi) ke 1 ke 2 ke 3
0 1 1.5 0.533333 0.591667
1 4 3.1 2.9
2 5 6
3 6 2.1
3 titik
kurva interpolasi kuadratik f2(x) = b0 + b1*(x-x0) + b2*(x-x0)*(x-x1)
b0 = 1.5
b1 = 0.5333333
b2 = 0.5916667

Langkah hitungan metode newton

i xi f(xi) ke 1 ke 2 ke 3
0 1 1.5
1 4 3.1 2.9 -3.4
2 5 6 -3.9
3 6 2.1
3 titik
kurva interpolasi kuadratik f2(x) = b0 + b1*(x-x1) + b2*(x-x1)*(x-x2)
b0 = 3.1
b1 = 2.9
b2 = -3.4

x y=f2(x) x y=f2(x)
1 1.5 4 3.1
1.2 1.2753333 4.2 4.224
1.4 1.098 4.4 5.076
1.6 0.968 4.6 5.656
1.8 0.8853333 4.8 5.964
2 0.85 5 6
2.2 0.862 5.2 5.764
2.4 0.9213333 5.4 5.256
2.6 1.028 5.6 4.476
2.8 1.182 5.8 3.424
3 1.3833333 6 2.1
3.2 1.632
3.4 1.928 7
3.6 2.2713333 6
3.8 2.662 5
4 3.1
4
4.2 3.5853333
4.4 4.118 3
4.6 4.698 2
4.8 5.3253333 1
5 6
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
2

0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
 Langkah hitungan metode newton
i xi f(xi) ke 1 ke 2 ke 3
0 1 1.5 0.533333 0.591667 -0.7983
1 4 3.1 2.9 -3.4
2 5 6 -3.9
3 6 2.1
4 titik
kurva interpolasi kubik f3(x) = b0 + b1*(x-x0) + b2*(x-x0)*(x-x1) + b3*(x-x0)*(x-x1)*(x-x2)
b0 = 1.5
b1 = 0.533333333
b2 = 0.591666667
b3 = -0.7983

x y=f3(x)
1 1.5
1.2 -0.42352 NEWTON
1.4 -1.89096 8
1.6 -2.94064
6
1.8 -3.61088
2 -3.94 4
2.2 -3.96632
2.4 -3.72816 2

2.6 -3.26384 0
2.8 -2.61168 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
3 -1.81 -2
3.2 -0.89712
-4
3.4 0.08864
3.6 1.10896 -6
3.8 2.12552
4 3.1
4.2 3.99408
4.4 4.76944
4.6 5.38776
4.8 5.81072
5 6
5.2 5.91728
5.4 5.52424
5.6 4.78256
5.8 3.65392
6 2.1
METODE LAGRANGE

i xi f(xi)
0 1 1.5
1 4 3.1
2 5 6
3 6 2.1

i=0 i=1 i=2

orde n = 2 k= 1,2 k= 0,2 k= 0,1
x L0 L1 L2 f2(x)
1 1 0 0 1.5
1.2 0.88666666667 0.253333 -0.14 1.275333
1.4 0.78 0.48 -0.26 1.098
1.6 0.68 0.68 -0.36 0.968
1.8 0.58666666667 0.853333 -0.44 0.885333
2 0.5 1 -0.5 0.85
2.2 0.42 1.12 -0.54 0.862
2.4 0.34666666667 1.213333 -0.56 0.921333
2.6 0.28 1.28 -0.56 1.028
2.8 0.22 1.32 -0.54 1.182
3 0.16666666667 1.333333 -0.5 1.383333
3.2 0.12 1.32 -0.44 1.632
3.4 0.08 1.28 -0.36 1.928 i=1 i=2
3.6 0.04666666667 1.213333 -0.26 2.271333 k= 2,3 k= 1,3
3.8 0.02 1.12 -0.14 2.662 L0 L1
4 0 1 0 3.1 1 0
4.2 -0.0133333333 0.853333 0.16 3.585333 0.72 0.36
4.4 -0.02 0.68 0.34 4.118 0.48 0.64
4.6 -0.02 0.48 0.54 4.698 0.28 0.84
4.8 -0.0133333333 0.253333 0.76 5.325333 0.12 0.96
5 0 0 1 6 0 1
5.2 -0.08 0.96
5.4 -0.12 0.84
5.6 -0.12 0.64
5.8 -0.08 0.36
6 0 0

LAGRANGE
7

0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
4

0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
 i=0 i=1 i=2 i=3
orde n = 3 k= 1,2,3 k= 0,2,3 k= 0,1,3 k= 0,1,2
x L0 L1 L2 L3 f3(x)
1 1 0 0 0 1.5
1.2 0.8512 0.608 -0.672 0.2128 -0.42352
1.4 0.7176 1.104 -1.196 0.3744 -1.89096
1.6 0.5984 1.496 -1.584 0.4896 -2.94064
1.8 0.4928 1.792 -1.848 0.5632 -3.61088
2 0.4 2 -2 0.6 -3.94
2.2 0.3192 2.128 -2.052 0.6048 -3.96632
2.4 0.2496 2.184 -2.016 0.5824 -3.72816
2.6 0.1904 2.176 -1.904 0.5376 -3.26384
2.8 0.1408 2.112 -1.728 0.4752 -2.61168
3 0.1 2 -1.5 0.4 -1.81
3.2 0.0672 1.848 -1.232 0.3168 -0.89712
i=3 3.4 0.0416 1.664 -0.936 0.2304 0.08864
k= 1,2 3.6 0.0224 1.456 -0.624 0.1456 1.10896
L2 f2(x) 3.8 0.0088 1.232 -0.308 0.0672 2.12552
0 3.1 4 0 1 0 0 3.1
-0.08 4.224 4.2 -0.0048 0.768 0.288 -0.0512 3.99408
-0.12 5.076 4.4 -0.0064 0.544 0.544 -0.0816 4.76944
-0.12 5.656 4.6 -0.0056 0.336 0.756 -0.0864 5.38776
-0.08 5.964 4.8 -0.0032 0.152 0.912 -0.0608 5.81072
0 6 5 0 0 1 0 6
0.12 5.764 5.2 0.0032 -0.112 1.008 0.1008 5.91728
0.28 5.256 5.4 0.0056 -0.176 0.924 0.2464 5.52424
0.48 4.476 5.6 0.0064 -0.184 0.736 0.4416 4.78256
0.72 3.424 5.8 0.0048 -0.128 0.432 0.6912 3.65392
1 2.1 6 0 0 0 1 2.1

LAGRANGE
8

0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
-2

-4

6 7 -6
 2

0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
-2

-4

6 7 -6
5 6 7
5 6 7
Example 11.1 in Statistical Method in Hydrology, Haan
ri
Month j Sauk River Arroyo Sec
October 1 0.61 0
Nov 2 0.58 0
Dec 3 0.5 0
Jan 4 0.31 0.45
Feb 5 0.38 0.21
Marc 6 0.37 0.7
Apr 7 0.44 0.6
May 8 0.34 0.75
June 9 0.17 0.98
July 10 0.65 0.97
August 11 0.93 0.96
Sept 12 0.51 0

n= 30

Soal 1 Soal 2
Uji Hipotesis Sauk River Confidence limits =
r8 = 0.34 Distribusi Normal
H0 = ρ8 = 0.5 Statistik Uji =
Ha = ρ8 ≠ 0.5 Batas Bawah, L =
tingkat keyakinan 95% Batas Atas, U =
1-alfa = 0.95 maka
W8 = 0.3541 prob (-0,0231< ρ8 <0,6239)
w= 0.5493
z= -1.0144
Rentang Z, 1-alfa/2 0.975
Z 0,025 atau -0,975 -1.96 liat di tabel
Z 0,975 1.96 distribusi normal z
nilai z ada di rentang Z keyakinan 95%
maka H0 diterima artinya row 8 = 0,5
 Wi wi (ni-3)*Wi
Sauk River Arroyo Sec Sauk River Arroyo Sec Sauk River
0.7089 0.0000 0.7089 19.1409
0.6625 0.0000 0.6625 17.8865
0.5493 0.0000 0.5493 14.8313
0.3205 0.4847 0.3205 8.6547
0.4001 0.2132 0.4001 10.8016
0.3884 0.8673 0.3884 10.4874
0.4722 0.6931 0.4722 12.7502
0.3541 0.9730 0.5493 0.3541 9.5605
0.1717 2.2976 0.1717 4.6350
0.7753 2.0923 0.7753 20.9331
1.6584 1.9459 1.6584 44.7765
0.5627 0.0000 0.5627 15.1937
7.0241 7.0241 189.6514

Soal 3 Soal 4
0.95 Uji Hipotesis Arroyo Seco Sauk River H0 = ρ1 = ρ2 = ρ3 = …. = ρ12
r5= 0.21 Arroyo Seco H0 = ρ1 = ρ2 = ρ3 = …. = ρ12
z H0 = ρ5 = 0 k=
-0.0231 Ha = ρ5 ≠ 0 1-alfa =
0.6239 Jumlah ni-3
Statistik Uji = T Statistik Uji Chi Kuadrat
1< ρ8 <0,6239) T= 1.1366 W rerata Sauk =
degrees of freedom 28 W rerata Arroyo =
t 0,025;28 = -2.0484 Chi Kuadrat =
t 0,975;28 = 2.0484 Chi Kuadrat Sauk =
T ada di rentang statistik uji t Chi Kuadrat Arroyo =
maka H0 diterima degree of freedom, k-1 =
kenapa bisa r 5 = 0 masuk(DITERIMA) Chi Kuadrat, 0,95;11 =
karena ukuran sample kecil hanya 30 Nilai Chi Kuadrat Sauk dan Arroyo lebih dari
statistik uji maka H0 ditolak
tidak bisa menerima pernyataan koefisien re
sama tiap bulan
 (ni-3)*Wi (Wi-W rerata) *(ni-3) m ρ*
Arroyo Seco Sauk River Arroyo Seco Sauk RiverArroyo Seco
0.0000 0.4123 17.1615 0.931034 0.050833 0
0.0000 0.1606 17.1615 0.931034 0.048333 0
0.0000 0.0351 17.1615 0.931034 0.041667 0
13.0869 1.8932 2.6376 0.931034 0.025833 0.0375
5.7556 0.9269 9.2111 0.931034 0.031667 0.0175
23.4171 1.0470 0.1325 0.931034 0.030833 0.058333
18.7150 0.3455 0.2926 0.931034 0.036667 0.05
26.2698 1.4439 0.8335 0.931034 0.028333 0.0625
62.0341 4.6205 60.7748 0.931034 0.014167 0.081667
56.4920 0.9742 45.2826 0.931034 0.054167 0.080833
52.5396 31.0886 35.6241 0.931034 0.0775 0.08
0.0000 0.0138 17.1615 0.931034 0.0425 0
258.3101 42.9615 223.4351 11.1724 0.4825 0.4683
0.034483

Soal 5
= ρ2 = ρ3 = …. = ρ12 Jumlah ni-3 324
ρ1 = ρ2 = ρ3 = …. = ρ12 r rerata Sauk = 0.5205
12 r rerata Arroyo = 0.657943
0.95
324

0.5853
0.7973

42.9615 H0 ditolak
223.4351 H0 ditolak
11
19.6751
auk dan Arroyo lebih dari Chi Kuadrat

ma pernyataan koefisien relasinya

Example 11.2.
Water YearOct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May
1953 2 5 19 240 86 416 147 354
1954 0 2 4 54 22 40 139 35
1955 2 4 30 73 463 579 59 197
1956 4 6 13 59 637 469 192 28
1957 7 10 172 308 325 103 392 68
1958 3 106 432 200 221 117 235 236
1959 6 9 17 270 195 112 102 24
1960 3 36 269 219 313 291 68 19
1961 12 52 79 204 295 532 476 414
1962 2 6 76 346 401 508 330 79
1963 39 141 124 150 146 548 52 25
1964 1 4 3 87 173 788 45 21
1965 15 7 347 276 230 449 146 31
1966 4 2 2 48 281 79 202 332
1967 7 119 357 97 161 466 50 476
1968 9 38 271 135 98 425 238 199
1969 14 22 112 278 216 73 237 74
1970 7 25 91 130 389 291 568 206
Jun Jul Aug Sep Total Water YearOct Nov Dec
31 18 7 1 1326 1953 1 1 5
8 7 6 14 331 1954 0 1 1
55 24 28 3 1517 1955 1 1 8
32 64 38 8 1550 1956 1 2 3
24 6 5 2 1422 1957 2 3 44
19 369 170 12 2120 1958 1 27 110
24 5 4 2 770 1959 2 2 4
364 138 14 30 1764 1960 1 9 68
159 48 18 4 2293 1961 3 13 20
96 30 8 7 1889 1962 1 2 19
14 29 11 3 1282 1963 10 36 31
11 8 2 16 1159 1964 0 1 1
8 5 1 2 1517 1965 4 2 88
25 14 41 11 1041 1966 1 1 1
33 14 15 7 1802 1967 2 30 91
91 29 75 16 1624 1968 2 10 69
40 27 66 17 1176 1969 4 6 28
38 14 6 27 1792 1970 2 6 23
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Total
61 22 106 37 90 8 5 2 0 338
14 6 10 35 9 2 2 2 4 86
19 118 147 15 50 14 6 7 1 387
15 162 119 49 7 8 16 10 2 394
78 83 26 100 17 6 2 1 1 363
51 56 30 60 60 5 94 43 3 540
69 50 28 26 6 6 1 1 1 196
56 80 74 17 5 92 35 4 8 449
52 75 135 121 105 40 12 5 1 582
88 102 129 84 20 24 8 2 2 481
38 37 139 13 6 4 7 3 1 325
22 44 200 11 5 3 2 1 4 294
70 58 114 37 8 2 1 0 1 385
12 71 20 51 84 6 4 10 3 264
25 41 118 13 121 8 4 4 2 459
34 25 108 60 51 23 7 19 4 412
71 55 19 60 19 10 7 17 4 300
33 99 74 144 52 10 4 2 7 456
 k= 1
Xi Xi+k Xi*Xi+k (Xi)^2 (Xi+k)^2
338 86 29068 114244 7396
86 387 33282 7396 149769
387 394 152478 149769 155236
394 363 143022 155236 131769
363 540 196020 131769 291600
540 196 105840 291600 38416
196 449 88004 38416 201601
449 582 261318 201601 338724
582 481 279942 338724 231361
481 325 156325 231361 105625
325 294 95550 105625 86436
294 385 113190 86436 148225
385 264 101640 148225 69696
264 459 121176 69696 210681
459 412 189108 210681 169744
412 300 123600 169744 90000
300 456 136800 90000 207936

6255 6373 2326363 2540523 2634215

n= 18
n-k = 17
r(k=1) = -0.0765379104
1070886 1431201
357517 639808
295187 384267
744412 975470
736131 1055609
539645 949493
771530 1285048
303815 630787
378891 856188
429815 948601
940227 1243398
348653 681589
426989 633862
499532 996693
272618 566710
807457 1483088
496158 1049411
112737 492737
411824 856469
473785 1146517
494030 1120905
 Sus.Sed.Load Ann.Disch. Autokorelasi Angkutan Sedimen Su
Year
Tons m3/s-hari i Qsi Qsi+1
1952 1070890 40530 1 1070890 357520
1953 357520 18120 2 357520 295190
1954 295190 10880 3 295190 744410
1955 744410 27620 4 744410 736130
1956 736130 29890 5 736130 539650
1957 539650 26890 6 539650 771530
1958 771530 36390 7 771530 303820
1959 303820 17860 8 303820 378890
1960 378890 24240 9 378890 429820
1961 429820 26860 10 429820 940230
1962 940230 35210 11 940230 348650
1963 348650 19300 12 348650 426990
1964 426990 17950 13 426990 499530
1965 499530 28220 14 499530 272620
1966 272620 16050 15 272620 807460
1967 807460 42000 16 807460 496160
1968 496160 29720 17 496160 112740
1969 112740 13950 18 112740 411820
1970 411820 24250 19 411820 473790
1971 473790 32470 20 473790 494030
1972 494030 31740 21 n berkurang 1
n-1 ΣQsi ΣQsi+1
20 10417840 9840980

n= 21
n-1 = 20
r(1)S = -0.1641725
okorelasi Angkutan Sedimen Suspensi Autokorelasi
(Qsi Qsi+1) Qsi^2 Qsi+1^2 i Qwi
382864592800 1146805392100 127820550400 1 40530
105536328800 127820550400 87137136100 2 18120
219742387900 87137136100 554146248100 3 10880
547982533300 554146248100 541887376900 4 27620
397252554500 541887376900 291222122500 5 29890
416356164500 291222122500 595258540900 6 26890
234406244600 595258540900 92306592400 7 36390
115114359800 92306592400 143557632100 8 17860
162854499800 143557632100 184745232400 9 24240
404129658600 184745232400 884032452900 10 26860
327811189500 884032452900 121556822500 11 35210
148870063500 121556822500 182320460100 12 19300
213294314700 182320460100 249530220900 13 17950
136181868600 249530220900 74321664400 14 28220
220129745200 74321664400 651991651600 15 16050
400629353600 651991651600 246174745600 16 42000
55937078400 246174745600 12710307600 17 29720
46428586800 12710307600 169595712400 18 13950
195116197800 169595712400 224476964100 19 24250
234066473700 224476964100 244065640900 20 32470

Σ(Qsi Qsi+1) ΣQsi2 ΣQsi+12 n-1 Σxi

4964704196400 6581597826000 5678858074800 20 518400
n=
n-k =
r(k=1) =
-0.1641725268254 -0.1641725268254 r(1)Q =

r Uji Hipotesis
-0.1641725 Ho : r(1)Qs = (1)
r(1)Q q = -0.15
Ha : r(1)Q s
≠ r(
(1)1)Q q ≠ -0.15

Berdistribusi Chi Kuadrat

Statistik uji χ² = 0.001660

Batas penerimaan 1- a= = 0.95

a = 0.05
1-/2a/2 = = 0.975
k= (jmlh)
Nilai Chi-Square Kritik
χ21-α, k = 5.99146454711
Ho diterima
 Autokorelasi Debit Tahunan
Qwi+1 (Qwi Qwi+1) Qwi^2 Qwi+1^2 i
18120 734403600 1642680900 328334400 1
10880 197145600 328334400 118374400 2
27620 300505600 118374400 762864400 3
29890 825561800 762864400 893412100 4
26890 803742100 893412100 723072100 5
36390 978527100 723072100 1324232100 6
17860 649925400 1324232100 318979600 7
24240 432926400 318979600 587577600 8
26860 651086400 587577600 721459600 9
35210 945740600 721459600 1239744100 10
19300 679553000 1239744100 372490000 11
17950 346435000 372490000 322202500 12
28220 506549000 322202500 796368400 13
16050 452931000 796368400 257602500 14
42000 674100000 257602500 1764000000 15
29720 1248240000 1764000000 883278400 16
13950 414594000 883278400 194602500 17
24250 338287500 194602500 588062500 18
32470 787397500 588062500 1054300900 19
31740 1030597800 1054300900 1007427600 20
21
Σxi+1 Σ(xi xi+1) Σxi2 Σxi+12 jumlah
509610 12998249400 14893639000 14258385700 average
21 n
20 21

-0.1548139 -0.1548139483441 -0.1548139483441

 Korelasi Angkutan Sedimen dengan Debit Tahunan
x y (x-x)̅ (y-y)̅ (x-x)̅ 2 (y-y)̅ 2
1070890 40530 7901376535 303906488237 205430794
357520 18120 1309247163 26274094337 65240237
295190 10880 3437516963 50365618808 234614865
744410 27620 319854220 50533755437 2024522
736130 29890 799566878 46879673151 13637194
539650 26890 13882878 401487094 480051
771530 36390 2567755449 63462246865 103894337
303820 17860 1799095878 46566557194 69507951
378890 24240 275414735 19802922522 3830408
429820 26860 -59519837 8062757194 439380
940230 35210 3790962220 176918780865 81231594
348650 19300 1179155249 29228298522 47570580
426990 17950 763873935 8578993665 68015365
499530 28220 -40624751 403321151 4091951
272620 16050 2506271806 61005471480 102964508
807460 42000 4548807278 82855977651 249730294
496160 29720 -82621065 550036508 12410522
112740 13950 4983030006 165545521880 149992508
411820 24250 209888092 11619300051 3791365
473790 32470 -287440237 2099734237 39348737
494030 31740 -141802122 654482580 30723265
10911870 550140 35793691271 1155715519429 1488970429
519613 26197 1704461489 55034072354 70903354
Σx Σy Σ(x-x)̅ (y-y̅) Σ(x-x)̅ 2 Σ(y-y̅)2
10911870 550140 35793691271 1155715519429 1488970429

r= 0.86285531575 0.86285531574571 0.862855315745705

Uji Hipotesis
Ho : r = 0.50
Ha : r ≠ 0.50

Berdistribusi z
W= 1.3044146238
w= 0.54930614433
z= 3.20365395819
1-a = 0.95
1-/2a/2 = = 0.975
z 1-/2a/2 = 1.95996398454

Ho ditolak
l= 0.68710281307
u= 0.94321159243
C. Haan, p 321
Appendix C
Green River at Munfordville, Kentucky, 33085
Sus. sed. load Annual disc. Sus. sed. load Annual disch.
Year
[tons] [cfs-days] [tons] [m3/s-hari]

1952 1,070,886 1,431,201 1,070,890 40,530

1953 357,517 639,808 357,520 18,120
1954 295,187 384,267 295,190 10,880
1955 744,412 975,470 744,410 27,620
1956 736,131 1,055,609 736,130 29,890
1957 539,645 949,493 539,650 26,890
1958 771,530 1,285,048 771,530 36,390
1959 303,815 630,787 303,820 17,860
1960 378,891 856,188 378,890 24,240
1961 429,815 948,601 429,820 26,860
1962 940,227 1,243,398 940,230 35,210
1963 348,653 681,589 348,650 19,300
1964 426,989 633,862 426,990 17,950
1965 499,532 996,693 499,530 28,220
1966 272,618 566,710 272,620 16,050
1967 807,457 1,483,088 807,460 42,000
1968 496,158 1,049,411 496,160 29,720
1969 112,737 492,737 112,740 13,950
1970 411,824 856,469 411,820 24,250
1971 473,785 1,146,517 473,790 32,470
1972 494,030 1,120,905 494,030 31,740
r(k=1)

Qsi Qsi+1 Qsi * Qsi+1 Qsi^2

1,070,890 357,520 382864592800 1,146,805,392,100

357,520 295,190 105536328800 127,820,550,400
295,190 744,410 219742387900 87,137,136,100
744,410 736,130 547982533300 554,146,248,100
736,130 539,650 397252554500 541,887,376,900
539,650 771,530 416356164500 291,222,122,500
771,530 303,820 234406244600 595,258,540,900
303,820 378,890 115114359800 92,306,592,400
378,890 429,820 162854499800 143,557,632,100
429,820 940,230 404129658600 184,745,232,400
940,230 348,650 327811189500 884,032,452,900
348,650 426,990 148870063500 121,556,822,500
426,990 499,530 213294314700 182,320,460,100
499,530 272,620 136181868600 249,530,220,900
272,620 807,460 220129745200 74,321,664,400
807,460 496,160 400629353600 651,991,651,600
496,160 112,740 55937078400 246,174,745,600
112,740 411,820 46428586800 12,710,307,600
411,820 473,790 195116197800 169,595,712,400
473,790 494,030 234066473700 224,476,964,100

10,417,840 9,840,980 4,964,704,196,400 6,581,597,826,000

n= 21
n-k = 20
r(k=1) = - 0.1641725
rQs = - 0.1641725

UJI HIPOTESIS ro* = - 0.1641725

H0: ro(1)Qs = ro(1)Qw =ro*
H0: ro(1)Qs tidak sma dengan ro(1)Qw tidak sama dengan ro*
Statistik Uji: Chi Kuadrat = 0.001659894930739
batas penerimaan: 1-alfa = 0.95
k, jumlah variabel: Qs dan k= 2
Chi Kuadrat (1-alfa;k) = 5.99146
Chi Kuadrat < Chi Kuadrat tabel
0.001659894930739 < 5,99146 maka H0 diterima
 r(k=1)

Qsi+1^2 Qwi Qwi+1 Qwi * Qwi+1

127,820,550,400 40,530 18,120 734403600

87,137,136,100 18,120 10,880 197145600
554,146,248,100 10,880 27,620 300505600
541,887,376,900 27,620 29,890 825561800
291,222,122,500 29,890 26,890 803742100
595,258,540,900 26,890 36,390 978527100
92,306,592,400 36,390 17,860 649925400
143,557,632,100 17,860 24,240 432926400
184,745,232,400 24,240 26,860 651086400
884,032,452,900 26,860 35,210 945740600
121,556,822,500 35,210 19,300 679553000
182,320,460,100 19,300 17,950 346435000
249,530,220,900 17,950 28,220 506549000
74,321,664,400 28,220 16,050 452931000
651,991,651,600 16,050 42,000 674100000
246,174,745,600 42,000 29,720 1248240000
12,710,307,600 29,720 13,950 414594000
169,595,712,400 13,950 24,250 338287500
224,476,964,100 24,250 32,470 787397500
244,065,640,900 32,470 31,740 1030597800

5,678,858,074,800 518,400 509,610 12,998,249,400

n= 21
n-k = 20
r(k=1) = - 0.1548139
rQw = - 0.1548139
Qwi^2 Qwi+1^2 Qwi Qsi

1,642,680,900 328,334,400 40,530 1,070,890

328,334,400 118,374,400 18,120 357,520
118,374,400 762,864,400 10,880 295,190
762,864,400 893,412,100 27,620 744,410
893,412,100 723,072,100 29,890 736,130
723,072,100 1,324,232,100 26,890 539,650
1,324,232,100 318,979,600 36,390 771,530
318,979,600 587,577,600 17,860 303,820
587,577,600 721,459,600 24,240 378,890
721,459,600 1,239,744,100 26,860 429,820
1,239,744,100 372,490,000 35,210 940,230
372,490,000 322,202,500 19,300 348,650
322,202,500 796,368,400 17,950 426,990
796,368,400 257,602,500 28,220 499,530
257,602,500 1,764,000,000 16,050 272,620
1,764,000,000 883,278,400 42,000 807,460
883,278,400 194,602,500 29,720 496,160
194,602,500 588,062,500 13,950 112,740
588,062,500 1,054,300,900 24,250 411,820
1,054,300,900 1,007,427,600 32,470 473,790
31,740 494,030
14,893,639,000 14,258,385,700 550,140 10,911,870

n= 21
rQw,Qs = 0.862855
Uji Hipotesis:
H0: roQwQs = 0.5
0.5
Statistik uji
W=
w =
Z=
Batas Penerimaan:
1-alfa = 0.95
1-alfa/2 = 0.975
Z1-alfa/2 = 1.96
1,000,000

900,000

800,000

700,000

600,000

500,000

400,000

300,000

200,000

100,000

-
- 200,000 400,000 600,000 800,00
Qwi*Qsi Qwi^2 Qsi^2

43403171700 1,642,680,900 1,146,805,392,100

6478262400 328,334,400 127,820,550,400
3211667200 118,374,400 87,137,136,100
20560604200 762,864,400 554,146,248,100
22002925700 893,412,100 541,887,376,900
14511188500 723,072,100 291,222,122,500
28075976700 1,324,232,100 595,258,540,900
5426225200 318,979,600 92,306,592,400
9184293600 587,577,600 143,557,632,100
11544965200 721,459,600 184,745,232,400
33105498300 1,239,744,100 884,032,452,900
6728945000 372,490,000 121,556,822,500
7664470500 322,202,500 182,320,460,100
14096736600 796,368,400 249,530,220,900
4375551000 257,602,500 74,321,664,400
33913320000 1,764,000,000 651,991,651,600
14745875200 883,278,400 246,174,745,600
1572723000 194,602,500 12,710,307,600
9986635000 588,062,500 169,595,712,400
15383961300 1,054,300,900 224,476,964,100
15680512200 1,007,427,600 244,065,640,900
321,653,508,500 15,901,066,600 6,825,663,466,900

0.025
H0 diterima
400,000 600,000 800,000 1,000,000 1,200,000
SOAL 1, Hitung Koefisien korelasi serial r(1)
1 foot = 0.3048 m r(k), k = 1
year cfs m3/s Qi Qi+1 Qi*Qi+1 Qi^2 Qi+1^2
1 581.2 16.5 16.5 15.7 258.1 270.9 246.0
2 553.9 15.7 15.7 14.4 225.5 246.0 206.8
3 507.8 14.4 14.4 15.0 216.1 206.8 225.9
4 530.8 15.0 15.0 16.8 252.5 225.9 282.2
5 593.2 16.8 16.8 12.3 206.8 282.2 151.6
6 434.8 12.3 12.3 14.4 177.0 151.6 206.8
7 507.8 14.4 14.4 11.4 164.5 206.8 130.8
8 403.9 11.4 11.4 12.7 145.0 130.8 160.8
9 447.8 12.7 12.7 15.8 200.4 160.8 249.8
10 558.1 15.8 15.8 16.1 255.1 249.8 260.6
11 570.1 16.1 16.1 3.3 53.0 260.6 10.8
12 115.9 3.3 3.3 14.6 47.9 10.8 212.8
13 515.1 14.6 14.6 20.0 292.1 212.8 401.0
14 707.2 20.0 20.0 13.4 268.8 401.0 180.2
15 474.1 13.4 13.4 12.5 168.1 180.2 156.8
16 442.2 12.5 12.5 17.9 223.7 156.8 319.3
17 631 17.9 17.9 15.9 283.3 319.3 251.4
18 559.9 15.9 15.9 10.9 173.3 251.4 119.4
19 385.9 10.9 10.9 12.1 132.1 119.4 146.2
20 427 12.1 12.1 9.3 112.7 146.2 86.8
21 329.1 9.3 9.3 17.7 164.9 86.8 313.2
22 625 17.7 17.7 6.1 107.8 313.2 37.1
23 215.1 6.1 6.1 16.4 99.8 37.1 268.6
24 578.8 16.4 16.4 14.6 239.1 268.6 212.8
25 515.1 14.6 14.6 14.7 214.3 212.8 215.8
26 518.8 14.7 14.7 15.7 230.0 215.8 245.2
27 553 15.7 15.7 12.4 193.8 245.2 153.2
28 437.1 12.4 12.4 17.1 211.6 153.2 292.3
29 603.8 17.1 17.1 11.4 194.2 292.3 129.0
30 401.1 11.4 11.4 10.0 113.6 129.0 100.0
31 353.1 10.0 10.0 11.4 113.6 100.0 129.0
32 401.1 11.4 11.4 10.4 117.7 129.0 107.4
33 366 10.4 10.4 5.5 56.9 107.4 30.1
34 193.9 5.5 5.5 17.5 96.0 30.1 305.5
35 617.2 17.5 17.5 14.6 255.4 305.5 213.6
36 516.1 14.6 14.6 11.8 171.7 213.6 138.1
37 415 11.8 11.8 10.3 121.5 138.1 106.9
38 365.1 10.3 10.3 14.8 152.6 106.9 217.7
39 521.1 14.8 14.8 14.3 210.6 217.7 203.8
40 504.1 14.3 14.3 14.5 207.3 203.8 210.9
41 512.8 14.5 14.5 13.5 196.1 210.9 182.3
42 476.8 13.5 13.5 14.5 196.1 182.3 210.9
43 512.8 14.5 14.5 3.7 53.9 210.9 13.8
44 131.1 3.7 3.7 4.6 16.9 13.8 20.8
45 161.1 4.6
 583.6 571.7 7591.5 8313.8 8063.7

jumlah data, n = 45
n-k (dengan k =1) = 44
r(k=1) = 0.0128205 0.0128205
koefisien serial r(1) = 0.0128205

SOAL 2, Uji Hipotesis

Uji Hipotesis pada koefisien serial r(1)
nilai r(1) = 0.0128205
H0 = ρ1 = 0
Ha = ρ5 ≠ 0
jumlah data,n = 45
Statistik Uji = T
T= 0.0840764
degrees of freedom = 43
tingkat keyakinan 1-
t 0,050;43 = -1.68107 lihat pada tabel dengan
t 0,950;43 = 1.68107 degree of freedom 43
T ada di rentang statistik uji t
maka H0 diterima
kenapa bisa ρ1 = 0 masuk(DITERIMA)
karena bisa jadi ukuran sample kecil hanya 30
SOAL 1, Hitung Koefisien korelasi serial r(2)
1 foot = 0.3048 m r(k), k = 2
year cfs m3/s Qi Qi+2 Qi*Qi+2 Qi^2
1 581.2 16.5 16.5 14.4 236.7 270.9
2 553.9 15.7 15.7 15.0 235.8 246.0
3 507.8 14.4 14.4 16.8 241.5 206.8
4 530.8 15.0 15.0 12.3 185.1 225.9
5 593.2 16.8 16.8 14.4 241.5 282.2
6 434.8 12.3 12.3 11.4 140.8 151.6
7 507.8 14.4 14.4 12.7 182.3 206.8
8 403.9 11.4 11.4 15.8 180.7 130.8
9 447.8 12.7 12.7 16.1 204.7 160.8
10 558.1 15.8 15.8 3.3 51.9 249.8
11 570.1 16.1 16.1 14.6 235.5 260.6
12 115.9 3.3 3.3 20.0 65.7 10.8
13 515.1 14.6 14.6 13.4 195.8 212.8
14 707.2 20.0 20.0 12.5 250.8 401.0
15 474.1 13.4 13.4 17.9 239.9 180.2
16 442.2 12.5 12.5 15.9 198.5 156.8
17 631 17.9 17.9 10.9 195.3 319.3
18 559.9 15.9 15.9 12.1 191.7 251.4
19 385.9 10.9 10.9 9.3 101.8 119.4
20 427 12.1 12.1 17.7 214.0 146.2
21 329.1 9.3 9.3 6.1 56.8 86.8
22 625 17.7 17.7 16.4 290.1 313.2
23 215.1 6.1 6.1 14.6 88.8 37.1
24 578.8 16.4 16.4 14.7 240.8 268.6
25 515.1 14.6 14.6 15.7 228.4 212.8
26 518.8 14.7 14.7 12.4 181.8 215.8
27 553 15.7 15.7 17.1 267.7 245.2
28 437.1 12.4 12.4 11.4 140.6 153.2
29 603.8 17.1 17.1 10.0 171.0 292.3
30 401.1 11.4 11.4 11.4 129.0 129.0
31 353.1 10.0 10.0 10.4 103.6 100.0
32 401.1 11.4 11.4 5.5 62.4 129.0
33 366 10.4 10.4 17.5 181.1 107.4
34 193.9 5.5 5.5 14.6 80.2 30.1
35 617.2 17.5 17.5 11.8 205.4 305.5
36 516.1 14.6 14.6 10.3 151.1 213.6
37 415 11.8 11.8 14.8 173.4 138.1
38 365.1 10.3 10.3 14.3 147.6 106.9
39 521.1 14.8 14.8 14.5 214.3 217.7
40 504.1 14.3 14.3 13.5 192.7 203.8
41 512.8 14.5 14.5 14.5 210.9 210.9
42 476.8 13.5 13.5 3.7 50.1 182.3
43 512.8 14.5 14.5 4.6 66.2 210.9
44 131.1 3.7
45 161.1 4.6
 579.9 556.1 7423.9 8300.0

jumlah data, n = 45
n-k (dengan k =2) = 43
r(k=2) = - 0.1373 - 0.1373464
koefisien serial r(1) = - 0.1373
Qi+2^2
206.8
225.9
282.2
151.6
206.8
130.8
160.8
249.8
260.6
10.8
212.8
401.0
180.2
156.8
319.3
251.4
119.4
146.2
86.8
313.2
37.1
268.6
212.8
215.8
245.2
153.2
292.3
129.0
100.0
129.0
107.4
30.1
305.5
213.6
138.1
106.9
217.7
203.8
210.9
182.3
210.9
13.8
20.8
7817.7