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Data kelistrikan: (data eksisting tahun 2023, data histori dari tahun 2018)

TAHUN 2018
Sektor Rumah Tangga Sektor Industri
No. Kecamatan Jumlah Beban Rasio Jumlah
Harga Listrik Beban (kWh)
Pelanggan (kWh) Eletrifikasi Pelanggan
1 TAMPAN 45,283 78,003.79 112,692,069.33 9 12,625,612.76
2 MARPOYAN 32,437 55,874.48 80,721,866.36 7 9,043,786.60
3 PAYUNG SEKAKI 23,640 40,721.40 58,830,203.75 5 6,591,123.72
4 RUMBAI 17,040 29,352.08 42,404,952.11 4 4,750,897.80
5 SUKAJADI 10,442 20,441.96 29,532,495.90 2 3,308,714.26

TAHUN 2019
Sektor Rumah Tangga Sektor Industri
No. Kecamatan Jumlah Beban Rasio Jumlah
Harga Listrik Beban (kWh)
Pelanggan (kWh) Eletrifikasi Pelanggan
1 TAMPAN 48,715 82,379.00 119,012,938.61 9 14,563,206.80
2 MARPOYAN 34,895 59,008.47 85,249,535.15 7 10,431,694.44
3 PAYUNG SEKAKI 25,431 43,005.45 62,129,974.79 5 7,602,632.81
4 RUMBAI 18,331 21,588.54 43,188,966.02 4 5,479,995.98
5 SUKAJADI 12,766 21,998.43 31,783,435.00 2 3,816,487.24

TAHUN 2020
Sektor Rumah Tangga Sektor Industri
No. Kecamatan Jumlah Beban Rasio Jumlah
Harga Listrik Beban (kWh)
Pelanggan (kWh) Eletrifikasi Pelanggan
1 TAMPAN 51,974 87,629.25 126,597,981.73 13 20,313,485.88
2 MARPOYAN 37,230 62,769.25 90,682,737.69 9 14,550,646.75
3 PAYUNG SEKAKI 27,133 87,629.25 66,089,700.05 7 10,604,530.74
4 RUMBAI 19,557 32,974.05 47,637,614.47 5 7,643,771.22
5 SUKAJADI 13,621 22,964.44 33,176,730.17 3 5,323,426.41

TAHUN 2021
Sektor Rumah Tangga Sektor Industri
No. Kecamatan Jumlah Beban Rasio Jumlah
Harga Listrik Beban (kWh)
Pelanggan (kWh) Eletrifikasi Pelanggan
1 TAMPAN 53,596 95,192.12 137,524,055.76 13 24,657,446.71
2 MARPOYAN 38,391 68,186.57 98,509,136.60 9 17,662,246.60
3 PAYUNG SEKAKI 27,996 49,694.46 71,793,589.99 7 12,872,268.85
4 RUMBAI 20,168 35,819.89 51,748,992.03 5 9,278,362.29
5 SUKAJADI 14,046 24,946.40 36,040,057.10 4 6,461,820.68
TAHUN 2022
Sektor Rumah Tangga Sektor Industri
No. Kecamatan Jumlah Beban Rasio Jumlah
Harga Listrik Beban (kWh)
Pelanggan (kWh) Eletrifikasi Pelanggan
1 TAMPAN 55,096 101,192.41 146,192,676.48 16 28,345,125.69
2 MARPOYAN 38,763 72,484.61 104,718,510.93 11 20,303,748.62
3 PAYUNG SEKAKI 28,763 52,826.88 76,318,990.28 8 14,797,399.05
4 RUMBAI 20,732 38,077.74 55,010,911.43 6 10,666,000.76
5 SUKAJADI 14,439 26,518.85 38,311,787.55 4 7,428,227.32
Sektor Industri Sektor Bisnis Sek
Rasio Jumlah Beban Rasio Jumlah
Harga Listrik Harga Listrik
Eletrifikasi Pelanggan (kWh) Eletrifikasi Pelanggan
12,584,453,266.61 3,956 34,470.42 38,425,559.30 1,172
9,014,303,853.55 2,834 24,691.33 27,524,411.27 839
6,569,636,658.04 2,065 17,995.07 20,059,827.60 612
4,735,409,876.05 1,489 12,970.89 14,459,171.90 441
3,297,927,855.13 1,037 9,033.45 10,069,942.62 307

Sektor Industri Sektor Bisnis Sek


Rasio Jumlah Beban Rasio Jumlah
Harga Listrik Harga Listrik
Eletrifikasi Pelanggan (kWh) Eletrifikasi Pelanggan
14,515,730,748.12 4,181 33,751.64 37,624,301.04 1,319
10,397,687,118.21 2,995 24,176.46 27,950,466.15 945
7,577,848,224.37 2,183 12,700.42 19,641,535.64 688
5,462,131,193.67 1,573 12,700.42 14,157,666.04 496
3,804,045,496.26 1,096 8,845.08 9,859,961.95 346

Sektor Industri Sektor Bisnis Sek


Rasio Jumlah Beban Rasio Jumlah
Harga Listrik Harga Listrik
Eletrifikasi Pelanggan (kWh) Eletrifikasi Pelanggan
20,247,263,919.06 4,491 33,439.12 37,624,301.04 1,319
14,503,211,645.57 3,217 23,952.60 28,950,466.15 945
10,569,959,969.62 2,344 17,456.69 19,641,535.64 688
7,618,852,523.35 1,690 12,582.82 14,157,666.04 496
5,306,072,044.14 1,177 8,845.08 9,859,961.95 346

Sektor Industri Sektor Bisnis Sek


Rasio Jumlah Beban Rasio Jumlah
Harga Listrik Harga Listrik
Eletrifikasi Pelanggan (kWh) Eletrifikasi Pelanggan
24,577,063,434.06 4,719 35,876.74 39,993,238.51 1,531
17,604,667,674.39 3,380 25,698.68 29,647,347.36 1,097
12,830,305,255.43 2,464 18,729.23 20,878,224.92 799
9,248,114,832.19 1,776 13,500.08 15,049,074.65 576
6,440,755,142.81 1,237 9,401.99 10,480,774.37 401
Sektor Industri Sektor Bisnis Sek
Rasio Jumlah Beban Rasio Jumlah
Harga Listrik Harga Listrik
Eletrifikasi Pelanggan (kWh) Eletrifikasi Pelanggan
28,252,720,576.28 4,938 38,689.38 43,128,596.93 1,594
20,237,558,403.89 3,537 27,713.39 30,893,219.53 1,142
14,749,159,526.84 2,578 20,197.55 22,515,019.56 832
10,631,229,597.97 1,858 14,558.44 16,228,880.15 600
7,404,011,298.51 1,294 10,139.08 11,302,437.87 418
Sektor Sosial
Rasio
Beban (kWh) Harga Listrik
Eletrifikasi
14,531,955.29 15,051,908,645.67
10,409,308.83 10,781,753,901.69
7,586,318.14 7,857,756,607.86
5,468,236.33 5,663,889,828.51
3,808,297.36 3,944,558,237.35

Sektor Sosial
Rasio
Beban (kWh) Harga Listrik
Eletrifikasi
14,531,955.29 15,651,904,586.67
10,409,308.83 10,781,753,901.69
7,586,318.14 7,857,756,607.86
5,468,236.33 5,663,889,828.51
3,808,297.36 3,944,558,237.35

Sektor Sosial
Rasio
Beban (kWh) Harga Listrik
Eletrifikasi
14,531,955.29 16,549,086,425.67
10,409,308.83 10,781,753,901.69
7,586,318.14 7,857,756,607.86
5,468,236.33 5,663,889,828.51
3,808,297.36 3,944,558,237.35

Sektor Sosial
Rasio
Beban (kWh) Harga Listrik
Eletrifikasi
14,531,955.29 17,129,086,415.67
10,409,308.83 10,781,753,901.69
7,586,318.14 7,857,756,607.86
5,468,236.33 5,663,889,828.51
3,808,297.36 3,944,558,237.35
Sektor Sosial
Rasio
Beban (kWh) Harga Listrik
Eletrifikasi
17,438,346.34 18,062,290,374.81
12,491,170.60 12,938,104,682.03
9,103,581.77 9,429,307,929.44
6,561,883.60 6,796,667,794.22
4,569,956.83 4,733,469,884.82
KEC.TAMPAN
Jumlah Pelanggan Beban (kW) Harga Listrik (Rp/kWh)
Tahun
(x2) (Y) (x3)
2018 45,283 78,003.79 112,692,069.33
2019 48,715 82,379.00 119,012,938.61
2020 51,974 87,629.25 126,597,981.73
2021 53,596 95,192.12 137,524,055.76
2022 55,096 101,192.41 146,192,676.48

1 1 1
x' = 10.7206969025541 10.7937393959972 10.858506568648
18.5401696067913 18.5947427729805 18.6565271254462

5 54.1790191351779 93.3311849275177
x'.x = 54.1790191351779 587.098179213086 1011.3504883853
93.3311849275177 1011.3504883853 1742.18646364061

11684.9053480631 1459.16922620218 -1473.03266614428


(x'.x)^-1 = 1459.1692261396 553.660733294473 -399.573214710795
-1473.03266610795 -399.573214714147 310.867671925247

56.9529001258503
(x'.Y) = 617.162530701507
1063.14077839684

-7.2756556519 b1 =
b = [X'.X]^-1.X'.Y = -0.0000010495 b2 =
1.0000005392 b3 =

Persamaan Model Regresi Linear Berganda :


Y = -7,27565565053373 - 0,0000010495(x2) + 1,000000539(x3)

PRAKIRAAN BEBAN
TAHUN x2 x3 y
2018 46031.7000 109000000.0000 11.2312
2019 48482.4000 118000000.0000 11.3105
2020 50933.1000 127000000.0000 11.3840
2021 53383.8000 136000000.0000 11.4525
2022 55834.5000 145000000.0000 11.5166
2023 58285.2000 154000000.0000 11.5768
2024 60735.9000 163000000.0000 11.6336
2025 63186.6000 172000000.0000 11.6873
2026 65637.3000 181000000.0000 11.7384
2027 68088.0000 190000000.0000 11.7869
KEC.MARPOYAN
Jumlah Pelanggan Beban (kW) Harga Listrik (Rp/kWh)
Tahun
(x2) (Y) (x3)
2018 32,437 55,874.48 80,721,866.36
2019 34,895 59,008.47 85,249,535.15
2020 37,230 62,769.25 90,682,737.69
2021 38,391 68,186.57 98,509,136.60
2022 38,763 72,484.61 104,718,510.93

1 1 1
x' = 10.3870473182537 10.4600899476176 10.5248570053512
18.2065200551497 18.2610932213271 18.3228775738184

5 52.4927959555006 91.6629371694232
x'.x = 52.4927959555006 551.121026932765 962.358436775623
91.6629371694232 962.358436775623 1680.46325775085

8767.29153535672 694.162874927545 -875.752079402236


(x'.x)^-1 = 694.162874914101 399.636315800639 -266.725491363123
-875.752079394537 -266.725491363856 200.51645472907

55.2846523262143
(x'.Y) = 580.438860088138
1013.55517018233

-7.2756628565 b1 =
b = [X'.X]^-1.X'.Y = 0.0000000219 b2 =
1.0000003086 b3 =

Persamaan Model Regresi Linear Berganda :


y = -7,2756628573+0,0000000219(x2)+1,0000003086(x3)

PRAKIRAAN BEBAN
TAHUN x2 x3 y
2018 33112.9000 76000000.0000 10.8706
2019 34727.8000 82000000.0000 10.9466
2020 36342.7000 88000000.0000 11.0172
2021 37957.6000 94000000.0000 11.0831
2022 39572.5000 100000000.0000 11.1450
2023 41187.4000 106000000.0000 11.2033
2024 42802.3000 112000000.0000 11.2584
2025 44417.2000 118000000.0000 11.3105
2026 46032.1000 124000000.0000 11.3601
2027 47647.0000 130000000.0000 11.4074
KEC.PAYUNG SEKAKI
Jumlah Pelanggan Beban (kW) Harga Listrik (Rp/kWh)
Tahun
(x2) (Y) (x3)
2018 23,640 40,721.40 58,830,203.75
2019 25,431 43,005.45 62,129,974.79
2020 27,133 47,629.25 66,089,700.05
2021 27,996 49,694.46 71,793,589.99
2022 28,763 52,826.88 76,318,990.28

1 1 1
x' = 10.0706933564586 10.1437359778331 10.2085030297913
17.8901659502037 17.9447391162777 18.0065234689282

5 50.9295982137791 90.0811666444703
x'.x = 50.9295982137791 518.789815201707 917.591645920474
90.0811666444703 917.591645920474 1622.96776445147

11746.7531453728 1568.10683233206 -1538.5659601948


(x'.x)^-1 = 1568.10683230439 553.330551498726 -399.877556769766
-1538.56596017916 -399.877556771301 311.479459549031

53.7432176780152
(x'.Y) = 547.45712868158
968.294405520289

-5.2365844244 b1 =
b = [X'.X]^-1.X'.Y = 0.6606529195 b2 =
0.5137516949 b3 =

Persamaan Model Regresi Linear Berganda :


y =-5,2365844233+0,6606529197(x2)+0,5137516948(x3)

PRAKIRAAN BEBAN
TAHUN x2 x3 y
2018 24030.1000 54000000.0000 10.5746
2019 25311.2000 58000000.0000 10.6456
2020 26592.3000 62000000.0000 10.7125
2021 27873.4000 66000000.0000 10.7757
2022 29154.5000 70000000.0000 10.8356
2023 30435.6000 74000000.0000 10.8925
2024 31716.7000 78000000.0000 10.9468
2025 32997.8000 82000000.0000 10.9987
2026 34278.9000 86000000.0000 11.0483
2027 35560.0000 90000000.0000 11.0959
KEC.RUMBAI
Jumlah Pelanggan Beban (kW) Harga Listrik (Rp/kWh)
Tahun
(x2) (Y) (x3)
2018 17,040 29,352.08 42,404,952.11
2019 18,331 21,588.54 43,188,966.02
2020 19,557 32,974.05 47,637,614.47
2021 20,168 35,819.89 51,748,992.03
2022 20,732 38,077.74 55,010,911.43

1 1 1
x' = 9.74330295518735 9.81634562157015 9.88111258961967
17.5627757084293 17.5810956043864 17.6791332271002

5 49.2920499387264 88.4079621653113
x'.x = 49.2920499387264 485.966193790269 871.59553976959
88.4079621653113 871.59553976959 1563.24423772799

7466.74095464589 696.20282280233 -810.447015488358


(x'.x)^-1 = 696.20282279855 373.415243675645 -247.572915573008
-810.44701548625 -247.572915573222 183.870447833044

51.7041564994627
(x'.Y) = 509.768068234918
914.29521901401

-24.3205855792 b1 =
b = [X'.X]^-1.X'.Y = -2.9859424119 b2 =
3.6251294457 b3 =

Persamaan Model Regresi Linear Berganda :


y =-24,3205855802-2,9859424122(x2)+3,6251294459(x3)

PRAKIRAAN BEBAN
TAHUN x2 x3 y
2018 17321.1900 43000000.0000 10.2554
2019 18243.3800 46000000.0000 10.3450
2020 19165.5700 49000000.0000 10.4268
2021 20087.7600 52000000.0000 10.5019
2022 21009.9500 55000000.0000 10.5712
2023 21932.1400 58000000.0000 10.6355
2024 22854.3300 61000000.0000 10.6953
2025 23776.5200 64000000.0000 10.7512
2026 24698.7100 67000000.0000 10.8037
2027 25620.9000 70000000.0000 10.8530
KEC.SUKAJADI
Jumlah Pelanggan Beban (kW) Harga Listrik (Rp/kWh)
Tahun
(x2) (Y) (x3)
2018 10,442 20,441.96 29,532,495.90
2019 12,766 21,998.43 31,783,435.00
2020 13,621 22,964.44 33,176,730.17
2021 14,046 24,946.40 36,040,057.10
2022 14,439 26,518.85 38,311,787.55

1 1 1
x' = 9.25358758327938 9.45457199855402 9.51933863159664
17.2010017709747 17.274455800079 17.3173592896486

5 47.3552391724397 86.6542266114853
x'.x = 47.3552391724397 448.571240894326 820.754221032187
86.6542266114853 820.754221032187 1501.83303101739

15314.7624404793 794.85913176691 -1318.03791876989


(x'.x)^-1 = 794.859131765481 77.3431256909283 -88.1307025969484
-1318.03791876911 -88.1307025970308 124.213676754879

50.2758693898702
(x'.Y) = 476.213060808933
871.365352998445

-7.2801091800 b1 =
b = [X'.X]^-1.X'.Y = -0.0002685969 b2 =
1.0004028442 b3 =

Persamaan Model Regresi Linear Berganda :


y =-7,2801091799-0,0002685969(x2)+1,0004028441(x3)

PRAKIRAAN BEBAN
TAHUN x2 x3 y
2018 11208.2900 32000000.0000 10.0056
2019 12135.5800 34000000.0000 10.0662
2020 13062.8700 36000000.0000 10.1234
2021 13990.1600 38000000.0000 10.1775
2022 14917.4500 40000000.0000 10.2288
2023 15844.7400 42000000.0000 10.2775
2024 16772.0300 44000000.0000 10.3241
2025 17699.3200 46000000.0000 10.3685
2026 18626.6100 48000000.0000 10.4111
2027 19553.9000 50000000.0000 10.4519
ln
Y x1 x2 x3
11.2645126942349 1 10.7206969025541 18.5401696067913
11.3190858290477 1 10.7937393959972 18.5947427729805
11.3808701253005 1 10.858506568648 18.6565271254462
11.4636524442443 1 10.8892362477253 18.7393094107506
11.5247790330229 1 10.9168400202534 18.8004360115492

1 1
10.8892362477253 10.9168400202534
18.7393094107506 18.8004360115492

-7.27565565053374
-1.049542E-06
1.00000053911936

kWH
75448.1916427929
81677.857889015
87907.5239493603
94137.189832045
100366.855544822
106596.521094968
112826.186489288
119055.851734141
125285.516835462
131515.181798792
ln
Y x1 x2 x3
10.9308630253849 1 10.3870473182537 18.2065200551497
10.9854362719062 1 10.4600899476176 18.2610932213271
11.0472205828572 1 10.5248570053512 18.3228775738184
11.130002903619 1 10.5555866713579 18.405659859201
11.191129542447 1 10.5652150129203 18.466786459927

1 1
10.5555866713579 10.5652150129203
18.405659859201 18.466786459927

-7.27566285734065
2.194429E-08
1.00000030864612

kWH
52606.0740770895
56759.1865785889
60912.2991797257
65065.4118737676
69218.5246548349
73371.637517748
77524.7504579104
81677.8634712133
85830.9765539634
89984.0897028228
ln
Y x1 x2 x3
10.6145090317729 1 10.0706933564586 17.8901659502037
10.6690821308304 1 10.1437359778331 17.9447391162777
10.7712023472926 1 10.2085030297913 18.0065234689282
10.8136487370587 1 10.2398294235173 18.0893057541278
10.8747754310606 1 10.2668364261789 18.1504323549329

1 1
10.2398294235173 10.2668364261789
18.0893057541278 18.1504323549329

-5.23658442334272
6.606529E-01
0.513751694816165

kWH
39126.3777066568
42006.4504484459
44912.0235816613
47842.2887221332
50796.4642302344
53773.8008917704
56773.5844249592
59795.1360720936
62837.8120488746
65901.0023315524
ln
Y x1 x2 x3
10.2871186915697 1 9.74330295518735 17.5627757084293
9.9799178973223 1 9.81634562157015 17.5810956043864
10.4034761674662 1 9.88111258961967 17.6791332271002
10.4862586046999 1 9.91184255211886 17.7619155122389
10.5473851384046 1 9.93944622023038 17.8230421131565

1 1
9.91184255211886 9.93944622023038
17.7619155122389 17.8230421131565

-24.3205855801934
-2.985942E+00
3.62512944589253

kWH
28435.8464397773
31101.2530747987
33751.7927396455
36383.8888387071
38994.9534390375
41583.1519775074
44147.2257330387
46686.3570726615
49200.0665846269
51688.1341417946
ln
Y x1 x2 x3
9.92534493013141 1 9.25358758327938 17.2010017709747
9.99872636615758 1 9.45457199855402 17.274455800079
10.041702211529 1 9.51933863159664 17.3173592896486
10.1244848021919 1 9.5500687302463 17.4001415750539
10.1856110798603 1 9.57767222876339 17.4612681757292

1 1
9.5500687302463 9.57767222876339
17.4001415750539 17.4612681757292

-7.28010917990468
-2.685969E-04
1.00040284414717

kWH
22150.0364639479
23534.4860420479
24918.9485240892
26303.4229374537
27687.9084586742
29072.4043803126
30456.9100870676
31841.4250381109
33225.9487537438
34610.4808051254
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PE
Chart Title TAHUN
60,000 2018
f(x) = 2450.743 x + 43580.867
2019
50,000 R² = 0.963301096604671 2020
2021
40,000
2022
2023
30,000
2024
20,000 2025
2026
10,000 2027

0
78,003.79 82,379.00 87,629.25 95,192.12 101,192.41

Chart Title TRENDLINE HARGA L


TAHUN
160,000,000.00
2018
140,000,000.00 f(x) = 8551233.145 x + 102750244.947 2019
R² = 0.990927272331999 2020
120,000,000.00
2021
100,000,000.00
2022
80,000,000.00 2023
60,000,000.00 2024
2025
40,000,000.00
2026
20,000,000.00 2027
0.00
78,003.79 82,379.00 87,629.25 95,192.12 101,192.41
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PE
Chart Title TAHUN
40,000 2018
f(x) = 1614.863 x + 31498.415 2019
38,000 R² = 0.924972031731739
2020
2021
36,000
2022
34,000
2023
2024
32,000 2025
2026
30,000 2027

28,000
55,874.48 59,008.47 62,769.25 68,186.57 72,484.61

TRENDLINE HARGA L
Chart Title TAHUN
2018
120,000,000.00
2019
2020
100,000,000.00 f(x) = 6125289.059 x + 73600490.169
R² = 0.99092727231689 2021
80,000,000.00
2022
2023
60,000,000.00 2024
2025
40,000,000.00 2026
2027
20,000,000.00

0.00
55,874.48 59,008.47 62,769.25 68,186.57 72,484.61
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PE
Chart Title TAHUN
35,000 2018
2019
30,000
2020
f(x) = 1281.065 x + 22749.459
25,000 R² = 0.96317251038679 2021
2022
20,000 2023
15,000
2024
2025
10,000 2026
2027
5,000

0
40,721.40 43,005.45 47,629.25 49,694.46 52,826.88

TRENDLINE HARGA L
Chart Title TAHUN
90,000,000.00 2018
80,000,000.00 2019
f(x) = 4464118.826 x + 53640135.294 2020
70,000,000.00
R² = 0.990927272359071 2021
60,000,000.00
2022
50,000,000.00 2023
40,000,000.00 2024
30,000,000.00 2025
2026
20,000,000.00
2027
10,000,000.00
0.00
40,721.40 43,005.45 47,629.25 49,694.46 52,826.88
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PE
Chart Title
TAHUN
25,000 2018
2019
20,000 f(x) = 922.192 x + 16399.064 2020
R² = 0.963301247051334 2021
15,000 2022
2023
2024
10,000
2025
2026
5,000 2027

0
29,352.08 21,588.54 32,974.05 35,819.89 38,077.74

TRENDLINE HARGA L
Chart Title TAHUN
60,000,000.00 2018
2019
f(x) = 3377194.465 x + 37866703.817 2020
50,000,000.00 R² = 0.968288296595903
2021
40,000,000.00 2022
2023
30,000,000.00 2024
2025
20,000,000.00 2026
2027
10,000,000.00

0.00
29,352.08 21,588.54 32,974.05 35,819.89 38,077.74
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PE
Chart Title TAHUN
16,000
2018
2019
14,000 f(x) = 927.288 x + 10280.814
R² = 0.849071065609365 2020
12,000 2021
2022
10,000
2023
8,000 2024
6,000 2025
2026
4,000
2027
2,000

0
20,441.96 21,998.43 22,964.44 24,946.40 26,518.85

TRENDLINE HARGA L
Chart Title TAHUN
45,000,000.00 2018
2019
40,000,000.00
2020
35,000,000.00 f(x) = 2181520.54 x + 27224339.524
R² = 0.990725273216482 2021
30,000,000.00 2022
25,000,000.00 2023
20,000,000.00
2024
2025
15,000,000.00
2026
10,000,000.00 2027
5,000,000.00
0.00
20,441.96 21,998.43 22,964.44 24,946.40 26,518.85
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PELANGGAN
N JUMLAH PELANGGAN
1 46031.7 1.65237
2 48482.4 -0.477185
3 50933.1 -2.003486
4 53383.8 -0.396576
5 55834.5 1.339615
6 58285.2
7 60735.9
8 63186.6
9 65637.3
10 68088

TRENDLINE HARGA LISTRIK


N HARGA LISTRIK
1 109000000 -3.276246
2 118000000 -0.851116
3 127000000 0.317555
4 136000000 -1.10821
5 145000000 -0.815825
6 154000000
7 163000000
8 172000000
9 181000000
10 190000000
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PELANGGAN
N JUMLAH PELANGGAN
1 33112.9 2.084518
2 34727.8 -0.478268
3 36342.7 -2.382008
4 37957.6 -1.129735
5 39572.5 2.08899
6 41187.4
7 42802.3
8 44417.2
9 46032.1
10 47647

TRENDLINE HARGA LISTRIK


N HARGA LISTRIK
1 76000000 -5.849551
2 82000000 -3.811792
3 88000000 -2.958377
4 94000000 -4.577379
5 100000000 -4.5059
6 106000000
7 112000000
8 118000000
9 124000000
10 130000000
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PELANGGAN
N JUMLAH PELANGGAN
1 24030.1 1.650384
2 25311.2 -0.472253
3 26592.3 -1.992487
4 27873.4 -0.439164
5 29154.5 1.362005
6 30435.6
7 31716.7
8 32997.8
9 34278.9
10 35560

TRENDLINE HARGA LISTRIK


N HARGA LISTRIK
1 54000000 -8.210415
2 58000000 -6.647314
3 62000000 -6.188105
4 66000000 -8.069787
5 70000000 -8.279709
6 74000000
7 78000000
8 82000000
9 86000000
10 90000000
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PELANGGAN
N JUMLAH PELANGGAN
1 17321.19 1.65179
2 18243.38 -0.477662
3 19165.57 -2.003838
4 20087.76 -0.39687
5 21009.95 1.33941
6 21932.14
7 22854.33
8 23776.52
9 24698.71
10 25620.9

TRENDLINE HARGA LISTRIK


N HARGA LISTRIK
1 43000000 1.403251
2 46000000 6.508686
3 49000000 2.859895
4 52000000 0.485049
5 55000000 -0.019835
6 58000000
7 61000000
8 64000000
9 67000000
10 70000000
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PELANGGAN
N JUMLAH PELANGGAN
1 11208.29 7.33895
2 12135.58 -4.941252
3 13062.87 -4.094754
4 13990.16 -0.39514
5 14917.45 3.315241
6 15844.74
7 16772.03
8 17699.32
9 18626.61
10 19553.9

TRENDLINE HARGA LISTRIK


N HARGA LISTRIK
1 32000000 8.355217
2 34000000 6.973963
3 36000000 8.509789
4 38000000 5.438235
5 40000000 4.406509
6 42000000
7 44000000
8 46000000
9 48000000
10 50000000
KEC.TAMPAN
Jumlah Pelanggan Beban (kW) Harga Listrik (Rp/kWh)
Tahun
(x2) (Y) (x3)
2018 9 12,625,612.76 12,584,453,266.610
2019 9 14,563,206.80 14,515,730,748.120
2020 13 20,313,485.88 20,247,263,919.060
2021 13 24,657,446.71 24,577,063,434.060
2022 16 28,345,125.69 28,252,720,576.280

1 1 1
x' = 2.23857976301813 2.23857976301813 2.52572864430826
23.255728021333 23.3984987774975 23.7312855062619

5 12.3170296722394 118.375047362798
x'.x = 12.3170296722394 30.5388065488244 291.902425017187
118.375047362798 291.902425017187 2802.99999300255

17443.7965741296 1300.99406771541 -872.163244756196


(x'.x)^-1 = 1300.99406771582 104.158604411916 -65.7900050157638
-872.163244756239 -65.7900050157462 43.6844908019195

83.8525975942572
(x'.Y) = 206.859617385825
1985.68066771662

-6.9044899698 b1 =
b = [X'.X]^-1.X'.Y = 0.0000000000 b2 =
1.0000000007 b3 =

Persamaan Model Regresi Linear Berganda :


Y =-6,9044899687-0,0000000002(x2)+1,0000000006(x3)

PRAKIRAAN BEBAN
TAHUN x2 x3 y
2018 8.7540 12000000000.0000 16.3037
2019 10.3660 16000000000.0000 16.5914
2020 11.9780 20000000000.0000 16.8145
2021 13.5900 24000000000.0000 16.9968
2022 15.2020 28000000000.0000 17.1510
2023 16.8140 32000000000.0000 17.2845
2024 18.4260 36000000000.0000 17.4023
2025 20.0380 40000000000.0000 17.5077
2026 21.6500 44000000000.0000 17.6030
2027 23.2620 48000000000.0000 17.6900
KEC.MARPOYAN
Jumlah Pelanggan Beban (kW) Harga Listrik (Rp/kWh)
Tahun
(x2) (Y) (x3)
2018 7 9,043,786.60 9,014,303,853.55
2019 7 10,431,694.44 10,397,687,118.21
2020 9 14,550,646.75 14,503,211,645.57
2021 9 17,662,246.60 17,604,667,674.39
2022 11 20,303,748.62 20,237,558,403.89

1 1 1
x' = 1.90508815453506 1.90508815453506 2.19165353228676
22.922078469716 23.0648492258811 23.397635954645

5 10.6140749410169 116.706799604713
x'.x = 10.6140749410169 22.7221869251802 248.034715924374
116.706799604713 248.034715924374 2724.56504016856

11658.7367921065 861.93393552364 -577.869632059232


(x'.x)^-1 = 861.933935523463 70.7658798692402 -43.3632320221045
-577.869632059216 -43.3632320221121 28.7010591157382

82.1843498363288
(x'.Y) = 174.749942126466
1918.76411477192

-6.9044899563 b1 =
b = [X'.X]^-1.X'.Y = -0.0000000007 b2 =
1.0000000002 b3 =

Persamaan Model Regresi Linear Berganda :


y = -6,9044899556-0,0000000007(x2)+1,0000000002(x3)

PRAKIRAAN BEBAN
TAHUN x2 x3 y
2018 6.2720 8000000000.0000 15.8982
2019 7.3940 11000000000.0000 16.2167
2020 8.5160 14000000000.0000 16.4578
2021 9.6380 17000000000.0000 16.6520
2022 10.7600 20000000000.0000 16.8145
2023 11.8820 23000000000.0000 16.9543
2024 13.0040 26000000000.0000 17.0769
2025 14.1260 29000000000.0000 17.1861
2026 15.2480 32000000000.0000 17.2845
2027 16.3700 35000000000.0000 17.3741
KEC.PAYUNG SEKAKI
Jumlah Pelanggan Beban (kW) Harga Listrik (Rp/kWh)
Tahun
(x2) (Y) (x3)
2018 5 6,591,123.72 6,569,636,658.04
2019 5 7,602,632.81 7,577,848,224.37
2020 7 10,604,530.74 10,569,959,969.62
2021 7 12,872,268.85 12,830,305,255.43
2022 8 14,797,399.05 14,749,159,526.84

1 1 1
x' = 1.58719230348678 1.58719230348678 1.87640694328834
22.6057243647234 22.7484951208875 23.081281849652

5 9.09594586829323 115.125029079749
x'.x = 9.09594586829323 16.7526542224923 209.73960355321
115.125029079749 209.73960355321 2651.22408949622

26542.3606185012 1931.98775100288 -1305.39866348029


(x'.x)^-1 = 1931.98775100285 146.875044939435 -95.5127334262774
-1305.39866348029 -95.5127334262788 64.2412169577517

80.6025793118892
(x'.Y) = 146.936736687337
1856.34448281044

-6.9044899879 b1 =
b = [X'.X]^-1.X'.Y = -0.0000000026 b2 =
1.0000000017 b3 =

Persamaan Model Regresi Linear Berganda :


y =-6,9044899871-0,0000000025(x2)+1,0000000016(x3)

PRAKIRAAN BEBAN
TAHUN x2 x3 y
2018 4.5640 6000000000.0000 15.6105
2019 5.4290 8000000000.0000 15.8982
2020 6.2940 10000000000.0000 16.1214
2021 7.1590 12000000000.0000 16.3037
2022 8.0240 14000000000.0000 16.4578
2023 8.8890 16000000000.0000 16.5914
2024 9.7540 18000000000.0000 16.7091
2025 10.6190 20000000000.0000 16.8145
2026 11.4840 22000000000.0000 16.9098
2027 12.3490 24000000000.0000 16.9968
KEC.RUMBAI
Jumlah Pelanggan Beban (kW) Harga Listrik (Rp/kWh)
Tahun
(x2) (Y) (x3)
2018 4 4,750,897.80 4,735,409,876.05
2019 4 5,479,995.98 5,462,131,193.67
2020 5 7,643,771.22 7,618,852,523.35
2021 5 9,278,362.29 9,248,114,832.19
2022 6 10,666,000.76 10,631,229,597.97

1 1 1
x' = 1.26129787094521 1.26129787094521 1.54756250871601
22.2783341228898 22.4211048790559 22.7538916078187

5 7.45115292495106 113.488077870584
x'.x = 7.45115292495106 11.3053981115364 169.425292235924
113.488077870584 169.425292235924 2576.37838912556

24286.4727718416 1770.11972902357 -1186.21091467555


(x'.x)^-1 = 1770.11972902374 135.119573084065 -86.8584210102056
-1186.21091467556 -86.8584210101984 57.9642379585115

78.9656281017771
(x'.Y) = 117.978881721788
1792.80109559663

-6.9044899627 b1 =
b = [X'.X]^-1.X'.Y = 0.0000000000 b2 =
1.0000000004 b3 =

Persamaan Model Regresi Linear Berganda :


y =-6,9044899615+0,0000000002(x2)+1,0000000003(x3)

PRAKIRAAN BEBAN
TAHUN x2 x3 y
2018 3.2940 5000000000.0000 15.4282
2019 3.9110 7000000000.0000 15.7647
2020 4.5280 9000000000.0000 16.0160
2021 5.1450 11000000000.0000 16.2167
2022 5.7620 13000000000.0000 16.3837
2023 6.3790 15000000000.0000 16.5268
2024 6.9960 17000000000.0000 16.6520
2025 7.6130 19000000000.0000 16.7632
2026 8.2300 21000000000.0000 16.8633
2027 8.8470 23000000000.0000 16.9543
KEC.SUKAJADI
Jumlah Pelanggan Beban (kW) Harga Listrik (Rp/kWh)
Tahun
(x2) (Y) (x3)
2018 2 3,308,714.26 3,297,927,855.13
2019 2 3,816,487.24 3,804,045,496.26
2020 3 5,323,426.41 5,306,072,044.14
2021 4 6,461,820.68 6,440,755,142.81
2022 4 7,428,227.32 7,404,011,298.51

1 1 1
x' = 0.900161349944271 0.900161349944271 1.18784342239605
21.916560185505 22.0593309416684 22.3921176704326

5 5.7830054534592 111.679208183652
x'.x = 5.7830054534592 6.93736389633578 129.504038905662
111.679208183652 129.504038905662 2494.91873347913

26272.3360599783 1702.01448626753 -1264.36640850497


(x'.x)^-1 = 1702.01448626754 114.909710848344 -82.1513338520617
-1264.36640850497 -82.1513338520612 60.8610480387989

77.1567584128381
(x'.Y) = 89.5753358480329
1723.83076248709

-6.9044899194 b1 =
b = [X'.X]^-1.X'.Y = 0.0000000051 b2 =
0.9999999982 b3 =

Persamaan Model Regresi Linear Berganda :


y =-6,9044899191+0,0000000051(x2)+0,9999999982(x3)

PRAKIRAAN BEBAN
TAHUN x2 x3 y
2018 2.2980 3000000000.0000 14.9174
2019 2.7780 4000000000.0000 15.2051
2020 3.2580 5000000000.0000 15.4282
2021 3.7380 6000000000.0000 15.6105
2022 4.2180 7000000000.0000 15.7647
2023 4.6980 8000000000.0000 15.8982
2024 5.1780 9000000000.0000 16.0160
2025 5.6580 10000000000.0000 16.1214
2026 6.1380 11000000000.0000 16.2167
2027 6.6180 12000000000.0000 16.3037
ln
Y x1 x2 x3
16.3512380673934 1 2.23857976301813 23.255728021333
16.4940088237347 1 2.23857976301813 23.3984987774975
16.8267955525072 1 2.52572864430826 23.7312855062619
17.0205895105994 1 2.56494935746154 23.9250794642182
17.1599656400225 1 2.74919214443339 24.0644555934871

1 1
2.56494935746154 2.74919214443339
23.9250794642182 24.0644555934871

-6.90448996867053
-2.473826E-10
1.00000000064028

kWH
12039247.9290026
16052330.5742316
20065413.2198959
24078495.865901
28091578.5121864
32104661.1587096
36117743.8054391
40130826.4523519
44143909.0994285
48156991.7466535
ln
Y x1 x2 x3
16.0175885163475 1 1.90508815453506 22.922078469716
16.1603592720754 1 1.90508815453506 23.0648492258811
16.4931460007657 1 2.19165353228676 23.397635954645
16.6869399590921 1 2.19722457733622 23.591429912601
16.826316088048 1 2.41502052232383 23.7308060418702

1 1
2.19722457733622 2.41502052232383
23.591429912601 23.7308060418702

-6.90448995563202
-6.548362E-10
1.0000000001528

kWH
8026165.30915137
11035977.2995147
14045789.2895798
17055601.2793887
20065413.2689745
23075225.2583635
26085037.247577
29094849.2366318
32104661.2255427
35114473.2143214
ln
Y x1 x2 x3
15.7012344109101 1 1.58719230348678 22.6057243647234
15.8440051676346 1 1.58719230348678 22.7484951208875
16.1767918960627 1 1.87640694328834 23.081281849652
16.3705858538564 1 1.94591014905531 23.2750758076082
16.5099619834254 1 2.09924416897602 23.4144519368776

1 1
1.94591014905531 2.09924416897602
23.2750758076082 23.4144519368776

-6.90448998706415
-2.502929E-09
1.00000000164437

kWH
6019623.96653313
8026165.28892278
10032706.6110273
12039247.932869
14045789.2544726
16052330.5758613
18058871.8970546
20065413.21807
22071954.5389217
24078495.8596225
ln
Y x1 x2 x3
15.3738441686769 1 1.26129787094521 22.2783341228898
15.5166149253473 1 1.26129787094521 22.4211048790559
15.8494016545381 1 1.54756250871601 22.7538916078187
16.0431956118177 1 1.6094379124341 22.9476855657749
16.1825717413971 1 1.77155676191054 23.0870616950444

1 1
1.6094379124341 1.77155676191054
22.9476855657749 23.0870616950444

-6.90448996145278
1.746230E-10
1.00000000030559

kWH
5016353.30699781
7022894.630747
9029435.95476289
11035977.2789899
13042518.6033916
15049059.9279426
17055601.2526236
19062142.57742
21068683.9023198
23075225.2273137
ln
Y x1 x2 x3
15.0120702308029 1 0.900161349944271 21.916560185505
15.1548409868376 1 0.900161349944271 22.0593309416684
15.487627716029 1 1.18784342239605 22.3921176704326
15.6814216750589 1 1.38629436111989 22.5859116283888
15.8207978041098 1 1.40854497005471 22.7252877576573

1 1
1.38629436111989 1.40854497005471
22.5859116283888 22.7252877576573

-6.90448991907761
5.064066E-09
0.999999998166459

kWH
3009811.98548022
4013082.64911124
5016353.31345174
6019623.97838591
7022894.64382862
8026165.30971522
9029435.97599514
10032706.6426279
11035977.3095805
12039247.9768253
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PE
Chart Title TAHUN
18 2018
2019
16
2020
14 f(x) = 1.612 x + 7.142
R² = 0.922998670137192 2021
12 2022
10 2023
2024
8
2025
6
2026
4 2027
2
0
12,625,612.76 14,563,206.80 20,313,485.88 24,657,446.71 28,345,125.69

TRENDLINE HARGA L
Chart Title TAHUN
30,000,000,000.000 2018
f(x) = 4139786730.528 x + 7616086197.242
2019
25,000,000,000.000 R² = 0.983919073392749 2020
2021
20,000,000,000.000 2022
2023
15,000,000,000.000
2024
2025
10,000,000,000.000
2026
5,000,000,000.000 2027

0.000
12,625,612.76 14,563,206.80 20,313,485.88 24,657,446.71 28,345,125.69
Chart Title TRENDLINE JUMLAH PE
12 TAHUN
2018
10 f(x) = 1.122 x + 5.15 2019
R² = 0.897656323534026
2020
8
2021
6
2022
2023
4 2024
2025
2 2026
2027
0
9,043,786.60 10,431,694.44 14,550,646.75 17,662,246.60 20,303,748.62

TRENDLINE HARGA L
Chart Title TAHUN
25,000,000,000.00 2018
2019
20,000,000,000.00 2020
f(x) = 2965348965.686 x + 5455438842.064
R² = 0.983919073392885 2021
15,000,000,000.00 2022
2023
10,000,000,000.00 2024
2025
5,000,000,000.00 2026
2027
0.00
9,043,786.60 10,431,694.44 14,550,646.75 17,662,246.60 20,303,748.62
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PE
Chart Title TAHUN
9 2018
2019
8
f(x) = 0.865 x + 3.699 2020
7 R² = 0.937799240961983
2021
6 2022
5 2023
4 2024
2025
3
2026
2 2027
1
0
6,591,123.72 7,602,632.81 10,604,530.74 12,872,268.85 14,797,399.05

TRENDLINE HARGA L
Chart Title TAHUN
16,000,000,000.00 2018
14,000,000,000.00 f(x) = 2161150276.866 x + 3975931096.262
2019
R² = 0.98391907339272 2020
12,000,000,000.00 2021
10,000,000,000.00 2022
2023
8,000,000,000.00
2024
6,000,000,000.00 2025
4,000,000,000.00 2026
2027
2,000,000,000.00

0.00
6,591,123.72 7,602,632.81 10,604,530.74 12,872,268.85 14,797,399.05
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PE
Chart Title TAHUN
7 2018
2019
6 2020
f(x) = 0.617 x + 2.677 2021
5 R² = 0.934830119736364
2022
4 2023
2024
3
2025
2 2026
2027
1

0
4,750,897.80 5,479,995.98 7,643,771.22 9,278,362.29 10,666,000.76

TRENDLINE HARGA L
Chart Title TAHUN
12,000,000,000.00 2018
2019
10,000,000,000.00 f(x) = 1557762308.236 x + 2865860679.938 2020
R² = 0.983919073393119
2021
8,000,000,000.00 2022
2023
6,000,000,000.00
2024
2025
4,000,000,000.00
2026
2,000,000,000.00 2027

0.00
4,750,897.80 5,479,995.98 7,643,771.22 9,278,362.29 10,666,000.76
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PE
Chart Title TAHUN
5 2018
2019
2020
4 f(x) = 0.48 x + 1.818
R² = 0.915419090302279 2021
2022
3
2023
2024
2 2025
2026
1 2027

0
3,308,714.26 3,816,487.24 5,323,426.41 6,461,820.68 7,428,227.32

TRENDLINE HARGA L
Chart Title TAHUN
8,000,000,000.00 2018
2019
7,000,000,000.00 f(x) = 1084887653.331 x + 1995899407.377
R² = 0.983919073392607 2020
6,000,000,000.00 2021
5,000,000,000.00 2022
2023
4,000,000,000.00
2024
3,000,000,000.00 2025
2,000,000,000.00
2026
2027
1,000,000,000.00

0.00
3,308,714.26 3,816,487.24 5,323,426.41 6,461,820.68 7,428,227.32
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PELANGGAN
N JUMLAH PELANGGAN
1 8.754 -6.673774
2 10.366 10.51173
3 11.978 -4.176
4 13.59 4.538462
5 15.202 -2.738324
6 16.814
7 18.426
8 20.038
9 21.65
10 23.262

TRENDLINE HARGA LISTRIK


N HARGA LISTRIK
1 12000000000 -4.644248
2 16000000000 10.22525
3 20000000000 -1.221221
4 24000000000 -2.347976
5 28000000000 -0.8945
6 32000000000
7 36000000000
8 40000000000
9 44000000000
10 48000000000
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PELANGGAN
N JUMLAH PELANGGAN
1 6.272 -6.666667
2 7.394 10.02976
3 8.516 -4.849162
4 9.638 7.088889
5 10.76 -3.842717
6 11.882
7 13.004
8 14.126
9 15.248
10 16.37

TRENDLINE HARGA LISTRIK


N HARGA LISTRIK
1 8000000000 -11.25216
2 11000000000 5.792758
3 14000000000 -3.469657
4 17000000000 -3.434701
5 20000000000 -1.173849
6 23000000000
7 26000000000
8 29000000000
9 32000000000
10 35000000000
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PELANGGAN
N JUMLAH PELANGGAN
1 4.564 -6.666667
2 5.429 11.02249
3 6.294 -3.614089
4 7.159 2.271429
5 8.024 -1.666667
6 8.889
7 9.754
8 10.619
9 11.484
10 12.349

TRENDLINE HARGA LISTRIK


N HARGA LISTRIK
1 6000000000 -8.670748
2 8000000000 5.570866
3 10000000000 -5.392262
4 12000000000 -6.471438
5 14000000000 -5.079337
6 16000000000
7 18000000000
8 20000000000
9 22000000000
10 24000000000
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PELANGGAN
N JUMLAH PELANGGAN
1 3.294 -6.68555
2 3.911 10.7932
3 4.528 -3.659574
4 5.145 2.9
5 5.762 -2.006803
6 6.379
7 6.996
8 7.613
9 8.23
10 8.847

TRENDLINE HARGA LISTRIK


N HARGA LISTRIK
1 5000000000 5.587481
2 7000000000 28.15511
3 9000000000 18.12802
4 11000000000 18.94316
5 13000000000 22.28125
6 15000000000
7 17000000000
8 19000000000
9 21000000000
10 23000000000
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PELANGGAN
N JUMLAH PELANGGAN
1 2.298 -6.58537
2 2.778 12.92683
3 3.258 -0.670732
4 3.738 -6.55
5 4.218 3.129584
6 4.698
7 5.178
8 5.658
9 6.138
10 6.618

TRENDLINE HARGA LISTRIK


N HARGA LISTRIK
1 3000000000 -9.033789
2 4000000000 5.151213
3 5000000000 -5.768336
4 6000000000 -6.843222
5 7000000000 -5.456654
6 8000000000
7 9000000000
8 10000000000
9 11000000000
10 12000000000
KEC.TAMPAN
Jumlah Pelanggan Beban (kW) Harga Listrik (Rp/kWh)
Tahun
(x2) (Y) (x3)
2018 3,956 34,470.42 38,425,559.30
2019 4,181 33,751.64 37,624,301.04
2020 4,491 33,439.12 37,624,301.04
2021 4,719 35,876.74 39,993,238.51
2022 4,938 38,689.38 43,128,596.93

1 1 1
x' = 8.28309991001577 8.33841335531855 8.40979504564391
17.4642334029109 17.4431607038508 17.4431607038508

5 41.9953192801326 87.4344726080623
x'.x = 41.9953192801326 352.753394921416 734.383374043154
87.4344726080623 734.383374043154 1528.97065134514

34185.6001457834 906.095039552018 -2390.11850794624


(x'.x)^-1 = 906.095039556525 73.9044257402636 -87.3124172336565
-2390.1185079484 -87.3124172333987 178.617253729951

52.343287759102
(x'.Y) = 439.650171897121
915.335210090259

-8.0810690749 b1 =
b = [X'.X]^-1.X'.Y = -0.0428987903 b2 =
1.0813833344 b3 =

Persamaan Model Regresi Linear Berganda :


Y =-8,0810690760-0,0428987903(x2)+1,0813833344(x3)

PRAKIRAAN BEBAN
TAHUN x2 x3 y
2018 3957.1100 41000000.0000 10.5192
2019 4207.1200 42000000.0000 10.5427
2020 4457.1300 43000000.0000 10.5656
2021 4707.1400 44000000.0000 10.5882
2022 4957.1500 45000000.0000 10.6102
2023 5207.1600 46000000.0000 10.6319
2024 5457.1700 47000000.0000 10.6531
2025 5707.1800 48000000.0000 10.6740
2026 5957.1900 49000000.0000 10.6945
2027 6207.2000 50000000.0000 10.7145
KEC.MARPOYAN
Jumlah Pelanggan Beban (kW) Harga Listrik (Rp/kWh)
Tahun
(x2) (Y) (x3)
2018 2,834 24,691.33 27,524,411.27
2019 2,995 24,176.46 27,950,466.15
2020 3,217 24,995.60 28,950,466.15
2021 3,380 25,698.68 29,647,347.36
2022 3,537 27,713.39 30,893,219.53

1 1 1
x' = 7.94945147738874 8.00476294760249 8.07614546425767
17.1305838514251 17.1459444354227 17.1810968637535

5 40.3270733209746 85.9085556500174
x'.x = 40.3270733209746 325.286595277552 692.904406916822
85.9085556500174 692.904406916822 1476.06455649315

588559.845696405 22543.4595852002 -44837.3267009063


(x'.x)^-1 = 22543.4595850685 917.157647588255 -1742.59223070172
-44837.3267008445 -1742.59223070938 3427.60131319402

50.7176631252543
(x'.Y) = 409.074996964533
871.425338257499

-36.9424315561 b1 =
b = [X'.X]^-1.X'.Y = -1.1732676846 b2 =
3.2912236818 b3 =

Persamaan Model Regresi Linear Berganda :


y =-36,9424314722-1,1732676816(x2)+3,2912236759(x3)

PRAKIRAAN BEBAN
TAHUN x2 x3 y
2018 2834.4900 30843450.0000 10.4858
2019 3013.5800 31686900.0000 10.5027
2020 3192.6700 32530350.0000 10.5215
2021 3371.7600 33373800.0000 10.5417
2022 3550.8500 34217250.0000 10.5631
2023 3729.9400 35060700.0000 10.5855
2024 3909.0300 35904150.0000 10.6087
2025 4088.1200 36747600.0000 10.6326
2026 4267.2100 37591050.0000 10.6570
2027 4446.3000 38434500.0000 10.6818
KEC.PAYUNG SEKAKI
Jumlah Pelanggan Beban (kW) Harga Listrik (Rp/kWh)
Tahun
(x2) (Y) (x3)
2018 2,065 17,995.07 20,059,827.60
2019 2,183 12,700.42 19,641,535.64
2020 2,344 17,456.69 19,641,535.64
2021 2,464 18,729.23 20,878,224.92
2022 2,578 20,197.55 22,515,019.56

1 1 1
x' = 7.6330985577584 7.68840954698032 7.7597933155333
16.8142297462438 16.7931570472433 16.7931570472433

5 38.745304427787 84.184454325157
x'.x = 38.745304427787 300.271749230293 652.366117523177
84.184454325157 652.366117523177 1417.41772130007

32289.4174072565 897.396636246 -2330.78653859576


(x'.x)^-1 = 897.396636252482 73.9062032271633 -87.3142385173622
-2330.78653859875 -87.3142385169773 178.619076001077

48.7658789614685
(x'.Y) = 377.925177366828
821.093758148422

-23.6744770790 b1 =
b = [X'.X]^-1.X'.Y = 0.1744629633 b2 =
1.9050862183 b3 =

Persamaan Model Regresi Linear Berganda :


y =-23,6744770773+0,1744629634(x2)+1,9050862182(x3)

PRAKIRAAN BEBAN
TAHUN x2 x3 y
2018 2065.7200 20614707.0000 9.7418
2019 2196.2400 21229414.0000 9.8084
2020 2326.7600 21844121.0000 9.8729
2021 2457.2800 22458828.0000 9.9353
2022 2587.8000 23073535.0000 9.9958
2023 2718.3200 23688242.0000 10.0544
2024 2848.8400 24302949.0000 10.1114
2025 2979.3600 24917656.0000 10.1668
2026 3109.8800 25532363.0000 10.2207
2027 3240.4000 26147070.0000 10.2732
KEC.RUMBAI
Jumlah Pelanggan Beban (kW) Harga Listrik (Rp/kWh)
Tahun
(x2) (Y) (x3)
2018 1,489 12,970.89 14,459,171.90
2019 1,573 12,700.42 14,157,666.04
2020 1,690 12,582.82 14,157,666.04
2021 1,776 13,500.08 15,049,074.65
2022 1,858 14,558.44 16,228,880.15

1 1 1
x' = 7.30570555466827 7.36101958422357 7.43240096424899
16.4868395047286 16.4657668049607 16.4657668049607

5 37.1083484086502 82.5475031152115
x'.x = 37.1083484086502 275.437930718457 612.655956376794
82.5475031152115 612.655956376794 1362.83130540636

31358.490333925 892.959787473115 -2300.82930931309


(x'.x)^-1 = 892.959787471248 73.9033283852296 -87.3100835718205
-2300.82930931225 -87.3100835719336 178.613271036904

47.4563179715775
(x'.Y) = 352.220671673338
783.493769235878

-8.0434056444 b1 =
b = [X'.X]^-1.X'.Y = -0.0428971765 b2 =
1.0813796444 b3 =

Persamaan Model Regresi Linear Berganda :


y =-8,0434056430-0,0428971765(x2)+1,0813796443(x3)

PRAKIRAAN BEBAN
TAHUN x2 x3 y
2018 1488.9770 10443083.0000 9.1199
2019 1583.0540 10886166.0000 9.1622
2020 1677.1310 11329249.0000 9.2028
2021 1771.2080 11772332.0000 9.2420
2022 1865.2850 12215415.0000 9.2797
2023 1959.3620 12658498.0000 9.3161
2024 2053.4390 13101581.0000 9.3513
2025 2147.5160 13544664.0000 9.3854
2026 2241.5930 13987747.0000 9.4183
2027 2335.6700 14430830.0000 9.4503
KEC.SUKAJADI
Jumlah Pelanggan Beban (kW) Harga Listrik (Rp/kWh)
Tahun
(x2) (Y) (x3)
2018 1,037 9,033.45 10,069,942.62
2019 1,096 8,845.08 9,859,961.95
2020 1,177 8,845.08 9,859,961.95
2021 1,237 9,401.99 10,480,774.37
2022 1,294 10,139.08 11,302,437.87

1 1 1
x' = 6.94393290510073 6.99924909481555 7.07063064494889
16.1250655665653 16.103992867545 16.103992867545

5 35.2994836822735 80.7386334271718
x'.x = 35.2994836822735 249.242735059604 570.022069500507
80.7386334271718 570.022069500507 1303.75863683269

30349.419954469 888.090147288476 -2267.75232206647


(x'.x)^-1 = 888.090147288137 73.9042808053485 -87.3093015271039
-2267.75232206632 -87.3093015271248 178.610093616545

45.6567521268934
(x'.Y) = 322.347610125977
737.266005951609

-7.0163663850 b1 =
b = [X'.X]^-1.X'.Y = -0.0000025587 b2 =
1.0000005071 b3 =

Persamaan Model Regresi Linear Berganda :


y =-7,0163663854-0,0000025587(x2)+1,0000005072(x3)

PRAKIRAAN BEBAN
TAHUN x2 x3 y
2018 1037.0080 9308580.0000 9.0301
2019 1102.5260 9617160.0000 9.0627
2020 1168.0440 9925740.0000 9.0943
2021 1233.5620 10234320.0000 9.1249
2022 1299.0800 10542900.0000 9.1546
2023 1364.5980 10851480.0000 9.1834
2024 1430.1160 11160060.0000 9.2115
2025 1495.6340 11468640.0000 9.2388
2026 1561.1520 11777220.0000 9.2653
2027 1626.6700 12085800.0000 9.2912
ln
Y x1 x2 x3
10.447856843945 1 8.28309991001577 17.4642334029109
10.4267842877127 1 8.33841335531855 17.4431607038508
10.4174817510629 1 8.40979504564391 17.4431607038508
10.4878444536279 1 8.45934795353135 17.5042209605398
10.5633204227535 1 8.504663015623 17.5796968369101

1 1
8.45934795353135 8.504663015623
17.5042209605398 17.5796968369101

-8.08106907596812
-4.289879E-02
1.08138333444367

kWH
37021.2189180613
37898.8874194975
38779.4643313172
39662.6563162477
40548.2181329278
41435.9426721562
42325.6534224562
43217.1986924249
44110.4471238763
45005.2841671336
ln
Y x1 x2 x3
10.1142074488511 1 7.94945147738874 17.1305838514251
10.0931347114659 1 8.00476294760249 17.1459444354227
10.1264550883605 1 8.07614546425767 17.1810968637535
10.1541949076965 1 8.12569903349923 17.204883214313
10.2296709688802 1 8.17101439822649 17.246047285103

1 1
8.12569903349923 8.17101439822649
17.204883214313 17.246047285103

-36.9424314722419
-1.173268E+00
3.29122367594391

kWH
35804.6161340869
36415.2733886209
37103.7440221968
37861.3847732916
38681.3433736775
39558.1207458185
40487.2554145144
41465.0921434923
42488.6097180367
43555.2909736956
ln
Y x1 x2 x3
9.797853110475 1 7.6330985577584 16.8142297462438
9.449390342766 1 7.68840954698032 16.7931570472433
9.76747823524765 1 7.7597933155333 16.7931570472433
9.83784068407519 1 7.80934244124105 16.8542173039549
9.91331658890471 1 7.85466056627389 16.9296931804716

1 1
7.80934244124105 7.85466056627389
16.8542173039549 16.9296931804716

-23.6744770773221
1.744630E-01
1.90508621817571

kWH
17013.7697264619
18186.6714489467
19397.4146425685
20646.2050531636
21933.2259344749
23258.6424371551
24622.6049383618
26025.2516046616
27466.7103911731
28947.100620115
ln
Y x1 x2 x3
9.47046289484831 1 7.30570555466827 16.4868395047286
9.449390342766 1 7.36101958422357 16.4657668049607
9.44008767047495 1 7.43240096424899 16.4657668049607
9.51045089033489 1 7.48195562193084 16.526827062219
9.58592617315333 1 7.5272666835785 16.6023029383425

1 1
7.48195562193084 7.5272666835785
16.526827062219 16.6023029383425

-8.04340564296581
-4.289718E-02
1.0813796443108

kWH
9134.9020005752
9529.65796975031
9925.17092307067
10321.3973425339
10718.299200439
11115.842933987
11513.9986613168
11912.7395725311
12312.041449802
12711.8822842173
ln
Y x1 x2 x3
9.10868963324544 1 6.94393290510073 16.1250655665653
9.08761665121098 1 6.99924909481555 16.103992867545
9.08761665121098 1 7.07063064494889 16.103992867545
9.14867664798002 1 7.12017756234753 16.1650531243946
9.22415254324594 1 7.16549347506085 16.2405290011219

1 1
7.12017756234753 7.16549347506085
16.1650531243946 16.2405290011219

-7.01636638538912
-2.558678E-06
1.00000050716335

kWH
8350.45325957086
8627.27008946701
8904.08691768012
9180.90374251143
9457.72056262859
9734.53737698311
10011.3541847484
10288.1709852732
10564.9877780457
10841.8045626659
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PE
Chart Title TAHUN
6,000 2018
2019
5,000 2020
f(x) = 250.013 x + 3707.051 2021
R² = 0.996313723694974
4,000 2022
2023
3,000 2024
2025
2,000 2026
2027
1,000

0
34,470.42 33,751.64 33,439.12 35,876.74 38,689.38

TRENDLINE HARGA L
Chart Title TAHUN
2018
44,000,000.00
2019
43,000,000.00
2020
42,000,000.00 2021
f(x) = 1177501.273 x + 35826695.545
41,000,000.00
R² = 0.644834281870659 2022
40,000,000.00 2023
39,000,000.00 2024
38,000,000.00 2025
2026
37,000,000.00
2027
36,000,000.00
35,000,000.00
34,000,000.00
34,470.42 33,751.64 33,439.12 35,876.74 38,689.38
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PE
Chart Title TAHUN
4,000 2018
3,500
2019
f(x) = 179.086 x + 2655.378 2020
R² = 0.996313647177443
3,000 2021
2,500 2022
2023
2,000
2024
1,500 2025
2026
1,000
2027
500

0
24,691.33 24,176.46 24,995.60 25,698.68 27,713.39

TRENDLINE HARGA L
Chart Title TAHUN
32,000,000.00
2018
2019
31,000,000.00 2020
f(x) = 843449.773 x + 26462832.773 2021
30,000,000.00 R² = 0.976612052009067 2022
29,000,000.00 2023
2024
28,000,000.00 2025
2026
27,000,000.00
2027
26,000,000.00

25,000,000.00
1 2 3 4 5
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PE
Chart Title TAHUN
3,000 2018
2019
2,500 f(x) = 130.517 x + 1935.247 2020
R² = 0.996313417167026 2021
2,000 2022
2023
1,500 2024
2025
1,000 2026
2027
500

0
17,995.07 12,700.42 17,456.69 18,729.23 20,197.55

TRENDLINE HARGA L
Chart Title TAHUN
2018
23,000,000.00
2019
22,500,000.00 2020
22,000,000.00 2021
21,500,000.00 f(x) = 614707.32 x + 18703106.712 2022
R² = 0.644834282257328
21,000,000.00 2023
20,500,000.00 2024
2025
20,000,000.00
2026
19,500,000.00
2027
19,000,000.00
18,500,000.00
18,000,000.00
17,995.07 12,700.42 17,456.69 18,729.23 20,197.55
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PE
Chart Title TAHUN
2,000 2018
1,800 2019
f(x) = 94.077 x + 1394.929
1,600 R² = 0.996312792991054 2020
1,400
2021
2022
1,200
2023
1,000
2024
800
2025
600 2026
400 2027
200
0
12,970.89 12,700.42 12,582.82 13,500.08 14,558.44

TRENDLINE HARGA L
Chart Title TAHUN
16,500,000.00 2018
2019
16,000,000.00 2020
15,500,000.00 f(x) = 443082.511 x + 13481244.223 2021
R² = 0.64483427896576 2022
15,000,000.00 2023
2024
14,500,000.00
2025
14,000,000.00 2026
2027
13,500,000.00

13,000,000.00
12,970.89 12,700.42 12,582.82 13,500.08 14,558.44
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PE
Chart Title TAHUN
1,400 2018
f(x) = 65.518 x + 971.488
2019
1,200
R² = 0.996313081495206 2020
1,000 2021
2022
800
2023
600 2024
2025
400 2026
200 2027

0
9,033.45 8,845.08 8,845.08 9,401.99 10,139.08

TRENDLINE HARGA L
Chart Title TAHUN
11,500,000.00 2018
2019
11,000,000.00
2020
f(x) = 308580.292 x + 9388874.876 2021
R² = 0.644834282421862 2022
10,500,000.00
2023
2024
10,000,000.00 2025
2026
9,500,000.00 2027

9,000,000.00
9,033.45 8,845.08 8,845.08 9,401.99 10,139.08
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PELANGGAN
N JUMLAH PELANGGAN
1 3957.11 0.016934
2 4207.12 0.613902
3 4457.13 -0.750639
4 4707.14 -0.250902
5 4957.15 0.393095
6 5207.16
7 5457.17
8 5707.18
9 5957.19
10 6207.2

TRENDLINE HARGA LISTRIK


N HARGA LISTRIK
1 41000000 6.699813
2 42000000 11.62998
3 43000000 14.28784
4 44000000 10.0186
5 45000000 4.339123
6 46000000
7 47000000
8 48000000
9 49000000
10 50000000
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PELANGGAN
N JUMLAH PELANGGAN
1 2834.49 0.016584
2 3013.58 0.613984
3 3192.67 -0.750433
4 3371.76 -0.250575
5 3550.85 0.393562
6 3729.94
7 3909.03
8 4088.12
9 4267.21
10 4446.3

TRENDLINE HARGA LISTRIK


N HARGA LISTRIK
1 30843450 12.05853
2 31686900 13.36806
3 32530350 12.36555
4 33373800 12.56926
5 34217250 10.75974
6 35060700
7 35904150
8 36747600
9 37591050
10 38434500
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PELANGGAN
N JUMLAH PELANGGAN
1 2065.72 0.013556
2 2196.24 0.611114
3 2326.76 -0.753278
4 2457.28 -0.252891
5 2587.8 0.391043
6 2718.32
7 2848.84
8 2979.36
9 3109.88
10 3240.4

TRENDLINE HARGA LISTRIK


N HARGA LISTRIK
1 20614707 2.766122
2 21229414 8.084288
3 21844121 11.21392
4 22458828 7.570582
5 23073535 2.480635
6 23688242
7 24302949
8 24917656
9 25532363
10 26147070
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PELANGGAN
N JUMLAH PELANGGAN
1 1488.977 0.01390
2 1583.054 0.611018
3 1677.131 -0.753258
4 1771.208 -0.253532
5 1865.285 0.391008
6 1959.362
7 2053.439
8 2147.516
9 2241.593
10 2335.67

TRENDLINE HARGA LISTRIK


N HARGA LISTRIK
1 10443083 -27.77537
2 10886166 -23.10762
3 11329249 -19.97799
4 11772332 -21.77372
5 12215415 -24.73039
6 12658498
7 13101581
8 13544664
9 13987747
10 14430830
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PELANGGAN
N JUMLAH PELANGGAN
1 1037.008 0.01620
2 1102.526 0.61288
3 1168.044 -0.751642
4 1233.562 -0.25132
5 1299.08 0.392581
6 1364.598
7 1430.116
8 1495.634
9 1561.152
10 1626.67

TRENDLINE HARGA LISTRIK


N HARGA LISTRIK
1 9308580 -7.560744
2 9617160 -2.462504
3 9925740 0.667123
4 10234320 -2.35149
5 10542900 -6.720124
6 10851480
7 11160060
8 11468640
9 11777220
10 12085800
KEC.TAMPAN
Jumlah Pelanggan Beban (kW) Harga Listrik (Rp/kWh)
Tahun
(x2) (Y) (x3)
2018 1,172 14,531,955.29 15,051,908,645.67
2019 1,319 14,531,955.29 15,651,904,586.67
2020 1,428 14,976,211.29 16,549,086,425.67
2021 1,531 15,681,955.29 17,129,086,415.67
2022 1,594 17,438,346.34 18,062,290,374.81

1 1 1
x' = 7.06640724139078 7.18448509381972 7.26431721653589
23.4347706404106 23.4738584453566 23.52959673638

5 36.2229901430057 117.619361834794
x'.x = 36.2229901430057 262.481447339965 852.139633207245
117.619361834794 852.139633207245 2766.88363264528

404689.287063366 11824.9435760227 -20845.0395552769


(x'.x)^-1 = 11824.9435759629 369.864809841022 -616.584940690243
-20845.0395552585 -616.584940692786 1076.01117733572

82.7478981942187
(x'.Y) = 599.506227779637
1946.5712236017

-38.9099624557 b1 =
b = [X'.X]^-1.X'.Y = -1.0183414079 b2 =
2.6712020570 b3 =

Persamaan Model Regresi Linear Berganda :


Y =-38,9099624529-1,0183414079(x2)+2,6712020568(x3)

PRAKIRAAN BEBAN
TAHUN x2 x3 y
2018 1197.6300 15859999990.0000 16.6106
2019 1303.2600 21719999980.0000 17.3645
2020 1408.8900 27579999970.0000 17.9231
2021 1514.5200 33439999960.0000 18.3642
2022 1620.1500 39299999950.0000 18.7268
2023 1725.7800 45159999940.0000 19.0338
2024 1831.4100 51019999930.0000 19.2992
2025 1937.0400 56879999920.0000 19.5325
2026 2042.6700 62739999910.0000 19.7404
2027 2148.3000 68599999900.0000 19.9275
KEC.MARPOYAN
Jumlah Pelanggan Beban (kW) Harga Listrik (Rp/kWh)
Tahun
(x2) (Y) (x3)
2018 839 9,897,308.83 10,454,175,901.69
2019 945 10,409,308.83 11,421,753,901.69
2020 945 10,987,308.83 11,632,291,122.21
2021 1,097 11,409,308.83 12,781,753,901.69
2022 1,142 12,491,170.60 12,938,104,682.03

1 1 1
x' = 6.73275882797325 6.8508356601578 6.8508356601578
23.0702673433525 23.1587856109659 23.1770507851247

5 34.4749117117952 115.960830899514
x'.x = 34.4749117117952 237.766301716298 799.591383880623
115.960830899514 799.591383880623 2689.41365374908

731649.689334595 27607.3433156867 -39754.8735578939


(x'.x)^-1 = 27607.3433155524 1067.18638844592 -1507.64591580895
-39754.873557854 -1507.64591581474 2162.37091166516

81.0687086532147
(x'.Y) = 559.00925074795
1880.1881936397

11.8997334279 b1 =
b = [X'.X]^-1.X'.Y = 0.6842582474 b2 =
-0.0174170977 b3 =

Persamaan Model Regresi Linear Berganda :


y =11,8997334242+0,6842582477(x2)-0,0174170979(x3)

PRAKIRAAN BEBAN
TAHUN x2 x3 y
2018 842.1440 10600000000.0000 16.1068
2019 917.8080 11200000000.0000 16.1647
2020 993.4720 11800000000.0000 16.2180
2021 1069.1360 12400000000.0000 16.2674
2022 1144.8000 13000000000.0000 16.3133
2023 1220.4640 13600000000.0000 16.3563
2024 1296.1280 14200000000.0000 16.3968
2025 1371.7920 14800000000.0000 16.4349
2026 1447.4560 15400000000.0000 16.4709
2027 1523.1200 16000000000.0000 16.5051
KEC.PAYUNG SEKAKI
Jumlah Pelanggan Beban (kW) Harga Listrik (Rp/kWh)
Tahun
(x2) (Y) (x3)
2018 612 5,834,318.14 7,754,356,607.86
2019 688 6,375,818.14 7,857,756,607.86
2020 745 6,987,318.14 7,957,756,607.86
2021 799 7,586,318.14 8,957,756,607.86
2022 832 9,103,581.77 9,429,307,929.44

1 1 1
x' = 6.4164054317168 6.53448626909029 6.61338421837956
22.7715206653182 22.7847669838005 22.7974129638969

5 32.9720549190843 114.236574807607
x'.x = 32.9720549190843 217.491689382891 753.360851754826
114.236574807607 753.360851754826 2610.03018593499

48218.7930573396 1485.04023317585 -2539.09742917736


(x'.x)^-1 = 1485.04023317765 70.0604632053065 -85.2199798772487
-2539.09742917788 -85.2199798771699 135.730303790325

78.8729337393453
(x'.Y) = 520.199746560885
1802.09147651478

-10.6124275619 b1 =
b = [X'.X]^-1.X'.Y = 0.7157494701 b2 =
0.9483419902 b3 =

Persamaan Model Regresi Linear Berganda :


y =-10,6124275625+0,7157494701(x2)+0,9483419902(x3)

PRAKIRAAN BEBAN
TAHUN x2 x3 y
2018 625.0640 7400000000.0000 15.5463
2019 680.2080 7800000000.0000 15.6567
2020 735.3520 8200000000.0000 15.7600
2021 790.4960 8600000000.0000 15.8569
2022 845.6400 9000000000.0000 15.9483
2023 900.7840 9400000000.0000 16.0347
2024 955.9280 9800000000.0000 16.1168
2025 1011.0720 10200000000.0000 16.1948
2026 1066.2160 10600000000.0000 16.2693
2027 1121.3600 11000000000.0000 16.3405
KEC.RUMBAI
Jumlah Pelanggan Beban (kW) Harga Listrik (Rp/kWh)
Tahun
(x2) (Y) (x3)
2018 441 4,968,236.33 5,663,889,828.51
2019 496 5,643,575.33 5,885,439,828.51
2020 526 5,916,826.33 6,063,889,828.51
2021 576 6,268,236.33 6,663,889,828.51
2022 600 6,561,883.60 6,796,667,794.22

1 1 1
x' = 6.08902219945279 6.20709998293187 6.26579538719135
22.4573767419675 22.4957473120809 22.5256173169997

5 31.3149033297609 112.738408879149
x'.x = 31.3149033297609 196.184596545282 706.11606962726
112.738408879149 706.11606962726 2542.01479886197

237985.666451709 7886.48059221313 -12745.3609102824


(x'.x)^-1 = 7886.48059221112 285.731143631422 -429.135434703866
-12745.3609102818 -429.135434703955 684.461843764857

77.9057084283194
(x'.Y) = 487.97419534374
1756.62504947508

20.7221827600 b1 =
b = [X'.X]^-1.X'.Y = 1.2282224002 b2 =
-0.5691660166 b3 =

Persamaan Model Regresi Linear Berganda :


y =20,7221827656+1,2282224006(x2)-0,5691660170(x3)

PRAKIRAAN BEBAN
TAHUN x2 x3 y
2018 448.4060 5300000000.0000 15.4772
2019 488.1520 5600000000.0000 15.5501
2020 527.8980 5900000000.0000 15.6166
2021 567.6440 6200000000.0000 15.6775
2022 607.3900 6500000000.0000 15.7337
2023 647.1360 6800000000.0000 15.7859
2024 686.8820 7100000000.0000 15.8345
2025 726.6280 7400000000.0000 15.8801
2026 766.3740 7700000000.0000 15.9229
2027 806.1200 8000000000.0000 15.9632
KEC.SUKAJADI
Jumlah Pelanggan Beban (kW) Harga Listrik (Rp/kWh)
Tahun
(x2) (Y) (x3)
2018 307 3,705,897.36 2,944,558,237.35
2019 346 3,809,097.36 3,344,558,237.35
2020 386 3,908,367.36 3,944,558,237.35
2021 401 4,208,297.36 4,215,258,237.35
2022 418 4,569,956.83 4,733,469,884.82

1 1 1
x' = 5.72723855069254 5.84531097169647 5.95482649601008
21.8032246385028 21.930600455243 22.0956028045811

5 29.5568008847743 110.269328952501
x'.x = 29.5568008847743 174.783211930333 651.934473881458
110.269328952501 651.934473881458 2432.00662904563

49518.9653733877 5402.70210448989 -3693.50590121516


(x'.x)^-1 = 5402.70210450152 633.37613724586 -414.748900085819
-3693.50590121828 -414.748900085291 278.64665954689

76.0445520979763
(x'.Y) = 449.563683962967
1677.13588278441

-5.0765804946 b1 =
b = [X'.X]^-1.X'.Y = -1.2914291967 b2 =
1.2659727915 b3 =

Persamaan Model Regresi Linear Berganda :


y =-5,0765804946-1,2914291965(x2)+1,2659727915(x3)

PRAKIRAAN BEBAN
TAHUN x2 x3 y
2018 316.1010 3400000000.0000 15.2742
2019 343.7820 3800000000.0000 15.3066
2020 371.4630 4200000000.0000 15.3333
2021 399.1440 4600000000.0000 15.3557
2022 426.8250 5000000000.0000 15.3746
2023 454.5060 5400000000.0000 15.3909
2024 482.1870 5800000000.0000 15.4050
2025 509.8680 6200000000.0000 15.4174
2026 537.5490 6600000000.0000 15.4282
2027 565.2300 7000000000.0000 15.4379
ln
Y x1 x2 x3
16.4918605956601 1 7.06640724139078 23.4347706404106
16.4918605956601 1 7.18448509381972 23.4738584453566
16.5219735861737 1 7.26431721653589 23.52959673638
16.5680212647295 1 7.33388538753389 23.5640438154417
16.6741821519953 1 7.37389520372539 23.6170921972049

1 1
7.33388538753389 7.37389520372539
23.5640438154417 23.6170921972049

-38.9099624529481
-1.018341E+00
2.6712020568084

kWH
16364600.9410425
34777159.5405047
60802712.6270957
94504825.3112322
135818271.34124
184613022.846286
240728038.275836
303989684.637218
374221920.2238
451251895.605459
ln
Y x1 x2 x3
16.1077734427974 1 6.73275882797325 23.0702673433525
16.1582110435742 1 6.8508356601578 23.1587856109659
16.2122514219619 1 6.8508356601578 23.1770507851247
16.2499401441928 1 7.0002341817744 23.2712845144834
16.3405326006884 1 7.04024738173198 23.2834426455874

1 1
7.0002341817744 7.04024738173198
23.2712845144834 23.2834426455874

11.8997334241867
6.842582E-01
-0.017417097929865

kWH
9887729.39471598
10477260.2031478
11050808.8740145
11609973.5284289
12156092.3625862
12690300.1146104
13213569.5512902
13726742.5870586
14230554.0520185
14725650.1366897
ln
Y x1 x2 x3
15.5792679599765 1 6.4164054317168 22.7715206653182
15.6680229764607 1 6.53448626909029 22.7847669838005
15.7596073696309 1 6.61338421837956 22.7974129638969
15.8418569381317 1 6.68388646472833 22.9157856539962
16.0241784951454 1 6.72389253516935 22.9670885405953

1 1
6.68388646472833 6.72389253516935
22.9157856539962 22.9670885405953

-10.6124275624752
7.157495E-01
0.948341990209883

kWH
5645073.36775108
6304226.00151449
6989718.82057535
7701112.37877723
8437988.03869896
9199947.76336707
9986613.36478724
10797625.4876639
11632642.4851501
12491339.2747871
ln
Y x1 x2 x3
15.4185754719149 1 6.08902219945279 22.4573767419675
15.5460283463883 1 6.20709998293187 22.4957473120809
15.5933107702056 1 6.26579538719135 22.5256173169997
15.6510055859591 1 6.35648953221812 22.6199692093379
15.6967882538515 1 6.39649622796679 22.6396982987626

1 1
6.35648953221812 6.39649622796679
22.6199692093379 22.6396982987626

20.7221827656031
1.228222E+00
-0.56916601699777

kWH
5267984.57059092
5666773.33530741
6056052.38419717
6436517.47890297
6808792.84930505
7173438.97574861
7530959.95351382
7881810.17789555
8226400.28002194
8565102.33414209
ln
Y x1 x2 x3
15.1254359898152 1 5.72723855069254 21.8032246385028
15.1529028056486 1 5.84531097169647 21.930600455243
15.178630289774 1 5.95482649601008 22.0956028045811
15.2525686963022 1 5.99470927727287 22.1619766927987
15.3350143164363 1 6.0347155891023 22.277924361375

1 1
5.99470927727287 6.0347155891023
22.1619766927987 22.277924361375

-5.07658049464226
-1.291429E+00
1.26597279147245

kWH
4300450.58423442
4442059.75499146
4562226.91809124
4665335.64083863
4754663.50034127
4832707.86720784
4901403.56164759
4962271.84868014
5016524.67162319
5065139.00494751
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PE
Chart Title TAHUN
1,800 2018
2019
1,600
f(x) = 105.631 x + 1091.967 2020
1,400 R² = 0.980162045697214
2021
1,200 2022
1,000 2023
2024
800
2025
600
2026
400 2027
200
0
14,531,955.29 14,531,955.29 14,976,211.29 15,681,955.29 17,438,346.34

TRENDLINE HARGA L
Chart Title TAHUN
20,000,000,000.00
2018
2019
18,000,000,000.00
f(x) = 749794528.728 x + 14239471703.514 2020
16,000,000,000.00 R² = 0.994233743342055 2021
14,000,000,000.00 2022
12,000,000,000.00 2023
10,000,000,000.00 2024
8,000,000,000.00 2025
6,000,000,000.00 2026
4,000,000,000.00 2027
2,000,000,000.00
0.00
14,531,955.29 14,531,955.29 14,976,211.29 15,681,955.29 17,438,346.34
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PE
Chart Title TAHUN
1,200 2018
f(x) = 75.664 x + 766.48 2019
1,000 R² = 0.936368490748698 2020
2021
800 2022
2023
600
2024
400
2025
2026
200 2027

0
9,897,308.83 10,409,308.83 10,987,308.83 11,409,308.83 12,491,170.60

TRENDLINE HARGA L
Chart Title TAHUN
2018
14,000,000,000.00
2019
f(x) = 632785756.068 x + 9947258633.658
12,000,000,000.00
R² = 0.946355182385947 2020
2021
10,000,000,000.00
2022
8,000,000,000.00 2023
2024
6,000,000,000.00
2025
4,000,000,000.00 2026
2027
2,000,000,000.00

0.00
9,897,308.83 10,409,308.83 10,987,308.83 11,409,308.83 12,491,170.60
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PE
Chart Title TAHUN
900 2018
800 f(x) = 55.144 x + 569.918 2019
R² = 0.98059457826388 2020
700
2021
600 2022
500 2023
400
2024
2025
300
2026
200 2027
100
0
5,834,318.14 6,375,818.14 6,987,318.14 7,586,318.14 9,103,581.77

TRENDLINE HARGA L
Chart Title TAHUN
10,000,000,000.00
2018
2019
9,000,000,000.00 f(x) = 444990264.316 x + 7056416079.228
R² = 0.869767281226283
2020
8,000,000,000.00
2021
7,000,000,000.00 2022
6,000,000,000.00 2023
5,000,000,000.00 2024
4,000,000,000.00 2025
3,000,000,000.00 2026
2027
2,000,000,000.00
1,000,000,000.00
0.00
5,834,318.14 6,375,818.14 6,987,318.14 7,586,318.14 9,103,581.77
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PE
Chart Title TAHUN
700 2018
2019
600
f(x) = 39.746 x + 408.656
2020
R² = 0.984084532947393 2021
500
2022
400 2023
2024
300 2025
200
2026
2027
100

0
4,968,236.33 5,643,575.33 5,916,826.33 6,268,236.33 6,561,883.60

TRENDLINE HARGA L
TAHUN
Chart Title
2018
8,000,000,000.00 2019
7,000,000,000.00 2020
f(x) = 304400593.142 x + 5301553642.226 2021
6,000,000,000.00 R² = 0.950350447315899
2022
5,000,000,000.00 2023
2024
4,000,000,000.00
2025
3,000,000,000.00 2026
2,000,000,000.00 2027

1,000,000,000.00

0.00
4,968,236.33 5,643,575.33 5,916,826.33 6,268,236.33 6,561,883.60
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PE
Chart Title TAHUN
450 2018
f(x) = 27.681 x + 288.421 2019
400
R² = 0.95364947926509 2020
350
2021
300 2022
250 2023
2024
200
2025
150
2026
100 2027
50
0
3,705,897.36 3,809,097.36 3,908,367.36 4,208,297.36 4,569,956.83

TRENDLINE HARGA L
Chart Title TAHUN
5,000,000,000.00 2018
4,500,000,000.00 f(x) = 444852329.494 x + 2501923578.362
2019
4,000,000,000.00
R² = 0.990827309496424 2020
2021
3,500,000,000.00
2022
3,000,000,000.00
2023
2,500,000,000.00
2024
2,000,000,000.00 2025
1,500,000,000.00 2026
1,000,000,000.00 2027
500,000,000.00
0.00
3,705,897.36 3,809,097.36 3,908,367.36 4,208,297.36 4,569,956.83
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PELANGGAN
N JUMLAH PELANGGAN
1 1197.63 2.192964
2 1303.26 -1.179093
3 1408.89 -1.366554
4 1514.52 -1.097093
5 1620.15 1.651368
6 1725.78
7 1831.41
8 1937.04
9 2042.67
10 2148.3

TRENDLINE HARGA LISTRIK


N HARGA LISTRIK
1 15859999990 5.368697
2 21719999980 38.76905
3 27579999970 66.65573
4 33439999960 95.22349
5 39299999950 117.5804
6 45159999940
7 51019999930
8 56879999920
9 62739999910
10 68599999900
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PELANGGAN
N JUMLAH PELANGGAN
1 842.144 0.319729
2 917.808 -2.843533
3 993.472 5.166037
4 1069.136 -2.530245
5 1144.8 0.27416
6 1220.464
7 1296.128
8 1371.792
9 1447.456
10 1523.12

TRENDLINE HARGA LISTRIK


N HARGA LISTRIK
1 10600000000 1.394889
2 11200000000 -1.941505
3 11800000000 1.441753
4 12400000000 -2.98671
5 13000000000 0.478396
6 13600000000
7 14200000000
8 14800000000
9 15400000000
10 16000000000
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PELANGGAN
N JUMLAH PELANGGAN
1 625.064 2.168029
2 680.208 -1.201487
3 735.352 -1.295034
4 790.496 -1.116309
5 845.64 1.633315
6 900.784
7 955.928
8 1011.072
9 1066.216
10 1121.36

TRENDLINE HARGA LISTRIK


N HARGA LISTRIK
1 7400000000 -4.569774
2 7800000000 -0.735027
3 8200000000 3.044117
4 8600000000 -3.993819
5 9000000000 -4.55291
6 9400000000
7 9800000000
8 10200000000
9 10600000000
10 11000000000
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PELANGGAN
N JUMLAH PELANGGAN
1 448.406 1.68167
2 488.152 -1.633821
3 527.898 0.311253
4 567.644 -1.48832
5 607.39 1.275553
6 647.136
7 686.882
8 726.628
9 766.374
10 806.12

TRENDLINE HARGA LISTRIK


N HARGA LISTRIK
1 5300000000 -6.424734
2 5600000000 -4.849932
3 5900000000 -2.702718
4 6200000000 -6.961247
5 6500000000 -4.364901
6 6800000000
7 7100000000
8 7400000000
9 7700000000
10 8000000000
TRENDLINE JUMLAH PELANGGAN
N JUMLAH PELANGGAN
1 316.101 2.92426
2 343.782 -0.52892
3 371.463 -3.668733
4 399.144 -0.537254
5 426.825 2.189475
6 454.506
7 482.187
8 509.868
9 537.549
10 565.23

TRENDLINE HARGA LISTRIK


N HARGA LISTRIK
1 3400000000 15.46724
2 3800000000 13.6174
3 4200000000 6.475802
4 4600000000 9.127359
5 5000000000 5.630755
6 5400000000
7 5800000000
8 6200000000
9 6600000000
10 7000000000
KECAMATAN TAMPAN

PRAKIRAAN BEBAN (kWH)


TAHUN
RT INDUSTRI BISNIS SOSIAL
2018 75448.1916427929 12039247.9290026 37021.2189180613 16364600.9410425
2019 81677.857889015 16052330.5742316 37898.8874194975 34777159.5405047
2020 87907.5239493603 20065413.2198959 38779.4643313172 60802712.6270957
2021 94137.189832045 24078495.865901 39662.6563162477 94504825.3112322
2022 100366.855544822 28091578.5121864 40548.2181329278 135818271.34124
2023 106596.521094968 32104661.1587096 41435.9426721562 184613022.846286
2024 112826.186489288 36117743.8054391 42325.6534224562 240728038.275836
2025 119055.851734141 40130826.4523519 43217.1986924249 303989684.637218
2026 125285.516835462 44143909.0994285 44110.4471238763 374221920.2238
2027 131515.181798792 48156991.7466535 45005.2841671336 451251895.605459

KECAMATAN MARPOYAN

PRAKIRAAN BEBAN (kWH)


TAHUN
RT INDUSTRI BISNIS SOSIAL
2018 52606.0740770895 8026165.30915137 35804.6161340869 9887729.39471598
2019 56759.1865785889 11035977.2995147 36415.2733886209 10477260.2031478
2020 60912.2991797257 14045789.2895798 37103.7440221968 11050808.8740145
2021 65065.4118737676 17055601.2793887 37861.3847732916 11609973.5284289
2022 69218.5246548349 20065413.2689745 38681.3433736775 12156092.3625862
2023 73371.637517748 23075225.2583635 39558.1207458185 12690300.1146104
2024 77524.7504579104 26085037.247577 40487.2554145144 13213569.5512902
2025 81677.8634712133 29094849.2366318 41465.0921434923 13726742.5870586
2026 85830.9765539634 32104661.2255427 42488.6097180367 14230554.0520185
2027 89984.0897028228 35114473.2143214 43555.2909736956 14725650.1366897

KECAMATAN PAYUNG SEKAKI

PRAKIRAAN BEBAN (kWH)


TAHUN
RT INDUSTRI BISNIS SOSIAL
2018 39126.3777066568 6019623.96653313 17013.7697264619 5645073.36775108
2019 42006.4504484459 8026165.28892278 18186.6714489467 6304226.00151449
2020 44912.0235816613 10032706.6110273 19397.4146425685 6989718.82057535
2021 47842.2887221332 12039247.932869 20646.2050531636 7701112.37877723
2022 50796.4642302344 14045789.2544726 21933.2259344749 8437988.03869896
2023 53773.8008917704 16052330.5758613 23258.6424371551 9199947.76336707
2024 56773.5844249592 18058871.8970546 24622.6049383618 9986613.36478724
2025 59795.1360720936 20065413.21807 26025.2516046616 10797625.4876639
2026 62837.8120488746 22071954.5389217 27466.7103911731 11632642.4851501
2027 65901.0023315524 24078495.8596225 28947.100620115 12491339.2747871

KECAMATAN RUMBAI
PRAKIRAAN BEBAN (kWH)
TAHUN
RT INDUSTRI BISNIS SOSIAL
2018 28435.8464397773 5016353.30699781 9134.9020005752 5267984.57059092
2019 31101.2530747987 7022894.630747 9529.65796975031 5666773.33530741
2020 33751.7927396455 9029435.95476289 9925.17092307067 6056052.38419717
2021 36383.8888387071 11035977.2789899 10321.3973425339 6436517.47890297
2022 38994.9534390375 13042518.6033916 10718.299200439 6808792.84930505
2023 41583.1519775074 15049059.9279426 11115.842933987 7173438.97574861
2024 44147.2257330387 17055601.2526236 11513.9986613168 7530959.95351382
2025 46686.3570726615 19062142.57742 11912.7395725311 7881810.17789555
2026 49200.0665846269 21068683.9023198 12312.041449802 8226400.28002194
2027 51688.1341417946 23075225.2273137 12711.8822842173 8565102.33414209

KECAMATAN SUKAJADI

PRAKIRAAN BEBAN (kWH)


TAHUN
RT INDUSTRI BISNIS SOSIAL
2018 22150.0364639479 3009811.98548022 8350.45325957086 4300450.58423442
2019 23534.4860420479 4013082.64911124 8627.27008946701 4442059.75499146
2020 24918.9485240892 5016353.31345174 8904.08691768012 4562226.91809124
2021 26303.4229374537 6019623.97838591 9180.90374251143 4665335.64083863
2022 27687.9084586742 7022894.64382862 9457.72056262859 4754663.50034127
2023 29072.4043803126 8026165.30971522 9734.53737698311 4832707.86720784
2024 30456.9100870676 9029435.97599514 10011.3541847484 4901403.56164759
2025 31841.4250381109 10032706.6426279 10288.1709852732 4962271.84868014
2026 33225.9487537438 11035977.3095805 10564.9877780457 5016524.67162319
2027 34610.4808051254 12039247.9768253 10841.8045626659 5065139.00494751
TOTAL
28516318.2806059
50949066.8600448
80994812.8352723
118717121.023282
164050764.927104
216865716.468763
277000933.921187
344282784.139997
418535225.287188
499585407.818079

TOTAL
18002305.3940785
21606411.9626297
25194614.2067963
28768501.6044647
32329405.4995892
35878455.1312374
39416618.8047396
42944734.779305
46463534.8638332
49973662.7316876

TOTAL
11720837.4817173
14390584.4123347
17086734.8698269
19808848.8054215
22556506.9833363
25329310.7825573
28126881.4512052
30948859.0934106
33794901.5465118
36664683.2373613
TOTAL
10321908.6260291
12730298.877099
15129165.3026228
17519200.0440741
19901024.7053361
22275197.8986027
24642222.4305318
27002551.8519607
29356596.2903762
31704727.5778818

TOTAL
7340763.05943816
8487304.16023421
9612403.26698475
10720443.9459045
11814703.7731912
12897680.1186804
13971307.8019146
15037108.0873314
16096292.9177355
17149839.2671406

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