FORECASTING
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Time
Series
VAR Forecasting
Command:
varsoc (post-estimation)
varsoc varname1 varname2 (pre-estimation)
Membentuk Command:
Var varname1 varname2, lags (1/lag optimum)
Persamaan VAR
Uji Kausalitas
Command:
vargranger
2 Tipe kausalitas:
● Unidirectional
causality (searah)
● Bi-directional
Menggunakan Grafik
Command:
tsline varname1 varname2
Uji Kointegrasi
Command:
Uji Kointegrasi Johansen vecrank varname1 varname2
Forecasting VAR
● Command:
fcast compute fc_, step(5)
fcast graph fc_D_income
akan
n g d iperkir
u ya
el bar
Variab LB”
1. wah “
l b a t as ba
e
Variab
2. "UB"
b a t a s atas
el
Variab r “SE”
3.
t a n d ar erro
el s
Variab
4.
Terima Kasih
bit.ly/ts_lab9