Kuliah - 6 - Inventory Planning PDF
Kuliah - 6 - Inventory Planning PDF
Ketidakpastian Ketidakpastian
Probabilistik
DL r
ss
ss = z.s. t
D −N ~
η=
N = ∫ ( x − r ) f ( x) dx
L
D L
N r
η = 1− N= S
2π
L
⎡ (− ) 2 ⎤
⎢⎣ 2 ⎥⎦ 2π z
~
⎡ (− ) 2 ⎤
exp ⎢ zα ⎥ − S L zα ∫ exp ⎢ zα ⎥ dz
⎢⎣ 2 ⎥⎦
D
α
L
Senator Nur Bahagia@ Senator Nur Bahagia@
[
N = S L f ( zα ) − zα ∈ ( zα ) ] 2.000 unit. Jika lead time untuk
mendapatkan barang sebesar 3 bulan.
Berapa cadangan pengaman dan
tingkat pelayanannya jika dikehendaki
kemungkinan terjadinya kekurangan
inventori tidak boleh lebih dari 5%.
1. Tingkat Pelayanan
1. Model Sederhana
2. Ongkos Inventori
2. Model Q
3. Tingkat Pengembalian Investasi
3. Model P
Model Sederhana
=
Q*
Model Deterministik
+ r*
Safety Stock ss
Dimana:
∂Ot/∂Qo = 0
Ob = Dp
Op = AD/Q0 2
Os = (ss + Qo/2)
-AD/Qo + h/2 =0
Ok = π.N 1/2
Q*o = {2AD/h}
Ot = Dp +AD/Q 0 + h(SS+Q0/2) + π.N
Solusi Solusi
b. Cadangan pengaman (ss) :
untuk α = 5% zα = 1,65 3. Total ongkos inventori (OT) :
ss = 1,65 (2.000) √1/4
OT = Dp + A D/Qo + h(1/2 Qo+ ss) + π.N
ss = 1.650 unit
OT = (10.000x25.000)+ [(1.000.000x10.000)/2.000]+
(0,25x25.000)(2.000/2 +1.650) + (10.000 x 68)
c. Saat titik pemesanan kembali (r*) : OT = Rp 268,93 juta / tahun
r* = D.L + ss
Tingkat Pelayanan
Berapa besarnya ukuran pemesanan (Qo) Ongkos Inventori
Berapa besarnya reorder point (r)
Berapa besarnya safety stock (ss) ?
Syarat Ot minimal:
Ot = Ob + Op + Os +Ok
Dimana: ∂Ot/∂Qo = 0
Ob = Dp
2
Op = AD/Qo -AD/Qo + h/2 =0
Os = (ss + m)
1/2
Ok = Cu N Qo* = {2AD/h}
Solusi MODEL P
Cadangan Pengaman (SS) 1.Pesanan dilakukan menurut suatu
interval pemesanan yang tetap (T).
Tingkat Pelayanan
Dimana
Ongkos Inventori
Ob = Dp
Op = A/T
Os = (ss + m)
Ok = Cu N
∂Ot/∂Qo = 0 ss = zα s√ (L+T)
2
-A/T + hD/2 =0
Persediaan Maximum (R)
1/2
T* = {2A/hD} R* = D(L +T) + SS
Senator Nur Bahagia@ Senator Nur Bahagia@
Tabel Normal
A table entry is the proportion of the area under the curve from
Tabel A
a z of 0 to a positive value of z. To find the area from a z of 0 to a
Deviasi Normal Standar Prob. Kekurangan Ordinat Ekspektasi Parsial
negative z, subtract the tabled value from 1.
Zα α f(z) ∈(z)
z .00 .01 .02 .03 .04 .05 .06 .07 .08 .09
.0 .5000 .5040 .5080 .5120 .5160 .5199 .5239 .5279 .5319 .5359 .00 .5000 .3989 .3989
.1 .5398 .5438 .5478 .5517 .5557 .5596 .5636 .5675 .5714 .5753 .05 .4801 .3984 .3744
.2 .5793 .5832 .5871 .5910 .5948 .5987 .6026 .6064 .6103 .6141 .10 .4602 .3969 .3509
.3 .6179 .6217 .6255 .6293 .6331 .6368 .6406 .6443 .6480 .6517 .15 .4404 .3945 .3284
.4 .6554 .6591 .6628 .6664 .6700 .6736 .6772 .6808 .6844 .6879 .20 .4207 .3910 .3069
.5 .6915 .6950 .6985 .7019 .7054 .7088 .7123 .7157 .7190 .7224 .25 .4013 .3867 .2863
.6 .7257 .7291 .7324 .7357 .7389 .7422 .7454 .7486 .7517 .7549 .30 .3821 .3814 .2668
.7 .7580 .7611 .7642 .7673 .7704 .7734 .7764 .7794 .7823 .7852 .35 .3632 .3752 .2481
.8 .7881 .7910 .7939 .7967 .7995 .8023 .8051 .8078 .8106 .8133 .40 .3446 .3683 .2304
.9 .8159 .8186 .8212 .8238 .8264 .8289 .8315 .8340 .8365 .8389 .45 .3264 .3605 .2137
1.0 .8413 .8438 .8461 .8485 .8508 .8531 .8554 .8577 .8599 .8621 .50 .3086 .3521 .1978
1.1 .8643 .8665 .8686 .8708 .8729 .8749 .8770 .8790 .8810 .8830 .55 .2912 .3429 .1828
1.2 .8849 .8869 .8888 .8907 .8925 .8944 .8962 .8980 .8997 .9015 .60 .2743 .3332 .1687
1.3 .9032 .9049 .9066 .9082 .9099 .9115 .9131 .9147 .9162 .9177 .65 .2579 .3229 .1554
1.4 .9192 .9207 .9222 .9236 .9251 .9265 .9279 .9292 .9306 .9319 .70 .2420 .3123 .1429
1.5 .9332 .9345 .9357 .9370 .9382 .9394 .9406 .9418 .9429 .9441 .75 .2267 .3011 .1312
1.6 .9452 .9463 .9474 .9484 .9495 .9505 .9515 .9525 .9535 .9545 .80 .2119 .2897 .1202
1.7 .9554 .9564 .9573 .9582 .9591 .9599 .9608 .9616 .9625 .9633 .85 .1977 .2780 .1100
1.8 .9641 .9649 .9656 .9664 .9671 .9678 .9686 .9693 .9699 .9706 .90 .1841 .2661 .1004
1.9 .9713 .9719 .9726 .9732 .9738 .9744 .9750 .9756 .9761 .9767 .95 .1711 .2541 .0916
2.0 .9772 .9778 .9783 .9788 .9793 .9798 .9803 .9808 .9812 .9817
1.00 .1587 .2420 .0833
2.1 .9821 .9826 .9830 .9834 .9838 .9842 .9846 .9850 .9854 .9857
1.05 .1469 .2300 .0757
2.2 .9861 .9864 .9868 .9871 .9875 .9878 .9881 .9884 .9887 .9890
1.10 .1357 .2179 .0686
2.3 .9893 .9896 .9898 .9901 .9904 .9906 .9909 .9911 .9913 .9916
1.15 .1251 .2059 .0621
2.4 .9918 .9920 .9922 .9925 .9927 .9929 .9931 .9932 .9934 .9936
1.20 .1151 .1942 .0561
2.5 .9938 .9940 .9941 .9943 .9945 .9946 .9948 .9949 .9951 .9952
1.25 .1057 .1826 .0506
2.6 .9953 .9955 .9956 .9957 .9959 .9960 .9961 .9962 .9963 .9964
1.30 .0968 .1714 .0455
2.7 .9965 .9966 .9967 .9968 .9969 .9970 .9971 .9972 .9973 .9974
1.35 .0886 .1604 .0409
2.8 .9974 .9975 .9976 .9977 .9977 .9978 .9979 .9979 .9980 .9981
1.40 .0808 .1497 .0367
2.9 .9981 .9982 .9982 .9983 .9984 .9984 .9985 .9985 .9986 .9986
1.45 .0736 .1394 .0328
3.0 .9987 .9987 .9987 .9988 .9988 .9989 .9989 .9989 .9990 .9990
1.50 .0669 .1295 .0293
1.55 .0606 .1200 .0261
3.1 .9990 .9991 .9991 .9991 .9992 .9992 .9992 .9992 .9993 .9993
1.60 .0548 .1109 .0232
3.2 .9993 .9993 .9994 .9994 .9994 .9994 .9994 .9995 .9995 .9995 1.65 .0495 .1023 .0206
3.3 .9995 .9995 .9995 .9996 .9996 .9996 .9996 .9996 .9996 .9997
3.4 .9997 .9997 .9997 .9997 .9997 .9997 .9997 .9997 .9997 .9998
Tabel A (Lanjutan)
Deviasi Normal Standar Prob. Kekurangan Ordinat Ekspektasi Parsial
Zα α f(z) ∈(z)
1.70 .0446 .0940 .0183
1.75 .0401 .0863 .0162
1.80 .0360 .0790 .0143
1.85 .0322 .0721 .0126
1.90 .0288 .0656 .0111
1.95 .0256 .0596 .0097
2.00 .0228 .0540 .0085
2.05 .0202 .0488 .0074
2.10 .0179 .0440 .0065
2.15 .0158 .0396 .0056
2.20 .0140 .0355 .0049
2.25 .0122 .0317 .0042
2.30 .0107 .0283 .0037
2.35 .0094 .0252 .0032
2.40 .0082 .0224 .0027
2.45 .0071 .0198 .0023
2.50 .0062 .0175 .0020
2.55 .0054 .0154 .0017
2.60 .0047 .0136 .0015
2.65 .0040 .0119 .0012
2.70 .0035 .0104 .0011
2.75 .0030 .0091 .0009
2.80 .0026 .0079 .0008
2.85 .0022 .0069 .0006
2.90 .0019 .0059 .0005
2.95 .0016 .0051 .00045
3.00 .0015 .0044 .00038
3.10 .0010 .0033 .00027
3.20 .0007 .0024 .00018
3.30 .0005 .0017 .00013
3.40 .0004 .0012 .00009
3.50 .0003 .009 .00006
3.60 .0002 .006 .00004
3.80 .0001 .003 .00002
4.00 .00003 .0001 .00001