Muhammad Rayhan Akbar - Salmon Skin Chips PDF
Muhammad Rayhan Akbar - Salmon Skin Chips PDF
PROPOSAL
Direktur
Utama
Direktur
SDM
DEP PRODUKSI
Supervisor Produksi 3 10,000,000 30,000,000 390,000,000
Sekretaris 2 3,500,000 7,000,000 91,000,000
Staf Admin Pabrik 5 4,500,000 22,500,000 292,500,000
Buruh Pabrik 10 5,000,000 50,000,000 650,000,000
Staf Maintenance 2 4,500,000 9,000,000 117,000,000
Staf Pembelian 2 4,000,000 8,000,000 104,000,000
Jumlah 24 126,500,000 1,644,500,000
DEP Marketing
Sales 20 4,000,000 80,000,000 1,040,000,000
Social Media 2 5,000,000 10,000,000 130,000,000
Jumlah 22 90,000,000 1,170,000,000
L 7
1 14
13
13
13 N 7 F 10
10 1 11 3 14
10
6
2 B 6
13 4 10
2
0 A 2 C 8 D 10
0 2 2 6 8 2 14
12 G 10
12 2 14
8
8
I 11 H 12
3 11 1 14
M 3
1 14
13
11
11 J 13 O 14
2 13 1 14
Jalur Kritis C
Jalur Kritis I
Jalur Kritis J
Jalur Kritis O
Tabel 4. Jalur Kritis Pembangunan
3.4 Produksi
Berikut adalah tabel yang menjelaskan mengenai Target penjualan produk dari
Mr. Sal’s chips:
2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Persedian Awal 0 12,500 14,583 17,708 18,750
Produksi 900,000 1,050,000 1,275,000 1,350,000 1,425,000
Persedian Akhir 12,500 14,583 17,708 18,750 19,792
Penjualan 887,500 1,047,917 1,271,875 1,348,958 1,423,958
• Biaya Gaji
• Biaya Konsultan
Merupakan biaya untuk menyewa notaris sebagai konsultan hukum
untuk m e m p e l a j ar i h u k u m y a n g b e r l a k u d i Br e b e s , d a n
j u g a mendapatkan hak legal dari usaha dan pendaftaran merek
dagang “Mr. Sal’s Chips”. Kemudian, biaya konsultan juga termasuk
pengurusan dokumen penting dalam membangun usaha (seperti IMB,
SIUP, dan Izin Pendirian PT).
• Biaya lain-lain
Biaya IMB adalah biaya yang dikeluarkan untuk mendapatkan hak
untuk mendirikan bangunan yang diajukan kepada pemerintah
daerah. Biaya ini mencakup hak pendirian gedung kantor dan pabrik
FINANCING
Pinjaman 60.0% 785,049,440 1,035,665,133 1,381,762,357 1,622,035,226 1,890,754,639
Modal Sendiri 40.0% 523,366,293 690,443,422 921,174,905 1,081,356,817 1,260,503,093
Total 100.0% 1,308,415,733 1,726,108,555 2,302,937,262 2,703,392,043 3,151,257,732
Ke = Kd + Spread
Kd Spread Jumlah
Ke = 15.0% 8.0% 23.0%
4.6 NPV, IRR, Payback Period, Profitability Index, dan B/C Ratio
Dalam melakukan penilaian kelayakan beroperasi-nya sebuah
bisnis, penting untuk melaksanakan beberapa analisis keuangan,
seperti:
NPV 18,189,898,546
IRR 57.85%
Payback Period 2.22
PI 4.93
BC Ratio 4.93
PENGELUARAN
Pembayaran Tunai 7,192,281,250 9,010,644,271 11,893,077,109 13,675,003,690 15,712,911,778
Utang Usaha 1,027,468,750 1,287,234,896 1,699,011,016 1,953,571,956
Upah Langsung 1,501,500,000 1,651,650,000 1,816,815,000 1,998,496,500 2,198,346,150
Biaya FOH
Biaya Upah Tak Langsung 1,208,350,000 1,329,185,000 1,462,103,500 1,608,313,850 1,769,145,235
Biaya Bahan Bakar 89,100,000 114,345,000 152,732,250 177,888,150 206,547,908
Biaya Maintenance 99,000,000 127,050,000 169,702,500 197,653,500 229,497,675
Biaya Listrik 44,550,000 57,172,500 76,366,125 88,944,075 103,273,954
Biaya Water Supply 148,500,000 190,575,000 254,553,750 296,480,250 344,246,513
Biaya Administrasi 132,000,000 145,200,000 159,720,000 175,692,000 193,261,200
Biaya Asuransi 9,050,250 9,050,250 9,050,250 9,050,250 9,050,250
Gaji Staf Operasional 3,689,400,000 4,058,340,000 4,464,174,000 4,910,591,400 5,401,650,540
Biaya Maintenance 19,800,000 21,780,000 23,958,000 26,353,800 28,989,180
Biaya Listrik 66,000,000 72,600,000 79,860,000 87,846,000 96,630,600
Biaya Water Supply 33,000,000 36,300,000 39,930,000 43,923,000 48,315,300
Biaya Administrasi 735,000,000 132,000,000 145,200,000 159,720,000 175,692,000 193,261,200
Biaya Asuransi 3,016,750 3,016,750 3,016,750 3,016,750 3,016,750
Biaya Marketing 4,881,250,000 4,754,921,875 6,348,246,094 6,171,905,924 11,466,495,677
Biaya Bunga 1,048,966,885 948,446,392 841,531,202 694,917,892 525,173,428
Cicilan 920,752,312 1,058,865,159 1,217,694,933 1,400,349,173 1,610,401,549
Pajak 698,698,781 2,024,970,136 3,513,444,048 4,825,410,364
Biaya provisi 56,001,000 7,850,494 10,356,651 13,817,624 16,220,352 18,907,546
Investasi Fixed Assets 9,333,500,000
Harta Lain-lain 600,000,000
Jumlah Pembayaran 10,724,501,000 21,226,367,941 25,470,866,379 32,498,274,117 36,970,793,621 46,938,104,752
Selisih penerimaan dan pengeluaran(10,724,501,000) 1,146,027,892 5,620,843,690 8,938,186,386 11,816,653,211 9,731,271,051
Kas Awal 0 0 2,454,443,625 8,492,980,137 18,007,995,230 30,225,103,223
Kas sebelum Financing (10,724,501,000) 1,146,027,892 8,075,287,316 17,431,166,523 29,824,648,441 39,956,374,274
FINANCING
Investasi
- Pinjaman 5,600,100,000 0 0 0 0 0
- Modal Sendiri 5,124,401,000 0 0 0 0 0
Modal Kerja
Pinjaman 785,049,440 250,615,693 346,097,224 240,272,869 268,719,413
Modal Sendiri 523,366,293 167,077,129 230,731,483 160,181,913 179,146,275
Total Financing 10,724,501,000 1,308,415,733 417,692,821 576,828,707 400,454,781 447,865,689
Kas Akhir 0 2,454,443,625 8,492,980,137 18,007,995,230 30,225,103,223 40,404,239,963
NONCURRENT ASSET
Tanah 3,300,000,000 3,300,000,000 3,300,000,000 3,300,000,000 3,300,000,000 3,300,000,000
Bangunan 1,870,000,000 1,870,000,000 1,870,000,000 1,870,000,000 1,870,000,000 1,870,000,000
Mesin dan peralatan 2,750,000,000 2,750,000,000 2,750,000,000 2,750,000,000 2,750,000,000 2,750,000,000
Kendaraan 1,210,000,000 1,210,000,000 1,210,000,000 1,210,000,000 1,210,000,000 1,210,000,000
Furniture 110,000,000 110,000,000 110,000,000 110,000,000 110,000,000 110,000,000
Peralatan Kantor 93,500,000 93,500,000 93,500,000 93,500,000 93,500,000 93,500,000
Akumulasi Biaya Penyusutan (926,200,000) (1,852,400,000) (2,778,600,000) (3,704,800,000) (4,631,000,000)
Harta Tetap (Net) 9,333,500,000 8,407,300,000 7,481,100,000 6,554,900,000 5,628,700,000 4,702,500,000
EQUITY
Modal Sendiri 5,124,401,000 5,647,767,293 5,814,844,422 6,045,575,905 6,205,757,817 6,384,904,093
Sisa Laba (Rugi) (1,398,964,125) 231,333,031 4,956,263,347 13,154,299,461 24,413,590,310
Laba (Rugi) Tahun Berjalan (1,398,964,125) 1,630,297,156 4,724,930,316 8,198,036,113 11,259,290,849 10,898,124,057
Total Ekuitas 3,725,436,875 5,879,100,325 10,771,107,769 19,199,875,365 30,619,348,127 41,696,618,460
TOTAL L&E 9,933,500,000 13,677,628,109 19,347,423,587 28,804,843,508 40,630,767,222 50,502,699,377
4.11 Skenario
Skenario 4 Skenario 5
Skenario 1
Keterangan Asumsi Skenario 2 Skenario 3 (Monte Carlo (Monte Carlo
(Dasar)
Uniform Dist.) Normal Dist.)
Asumsi Mark-up 10.000% 10% 15% 5% 6% 5%
Kapasitas Produksi (Kg/Tahun)
1,500,000.00 1,500,000.00 1,500,000.00 1,500,000.00 1,498,372.78 2,196,291.81
Harga kulit salmon (Rp/Kg)
25,000.00 25,000.00 27,500.00 30,000.00 17,133.59 (8,743.89)
Asumsi Kenaikan Gaji 10.000% 10% 15% 5% 7% 17%
tingkat bunga 15.000% 15% 20% 20% 11% 27%
• Skenario 1
Asumsi dasar yang dipakai perusahaan.
• Skenario 2
Skenario di mana kelima asumsi lebih tinggi daripada asumsi
dasar.
• Sekenario 3
Skenario di mana asumsi mark up aset tetap, harga kulit salmon dan
kenaikan gaji lebih rendah, namun harga kulit dan margin penjualan
lebih tinggi dari asumsi dasar.
• Skenario 4
Skenario yang mengandung simulasi Monte Carlo dengan
distribusi seragam.
• Skenario 5
Skenario yang mengandung simulasi Monte Carlo dengan
distribusi normal.
Kemudian, berikut adalah keluaran dari masing-masing skenario:
• Pengaruh Mark-up aset tetap terhadap NPV, IRR, dan laba bersih
Laba Bersih
Asumsi Mark-up NPV IRR
1 2 3 4 5
10% 18,189.8985 57.85% 1,630.2972 4,724.9303 8,198.0361 11,259.2908 10,898.1241
5% 18,454.2425 59.88% 1,689.4439 4,780.0541 8,248.1071 11,303.5501 10,935.6998
6% 18,401.4803 59.46% 1,677.6146 4,769.0294 8,238.0929 11,294.6983 10,928.1847
7% 18,348.6635 59.05% 1,665.7852 4,758.0046 8,228.0787 11,285.8464 10,920.6695
8% 18,295.7933 58.65% 1,653.9559 4,746.9798 8,218.0645 11,276.9946 10,913.1544
9% 18,242.8712 58.25% 1,642.1265 4,735.9551 8,208.0503 11,268.1427 10,905.6392
10% 18,189.8985 57.85% 1,630.2972 4,724.9303 8,198.0361 11,259.2908 10,898.1241
11% 18,136.8765 57.46% 1,618.4678 4,713.9056 8,188.0219 11,250.4390 10,890.6089
12% 18,083.8064 57.08% 1,606.6384 4,702.8808 8,178.0077 11,241.5871 10,883.0937
13% 18,030.6893 56.70% 1,594.8091 4,691.8560 8,167.9935 11,232.7353 10,875.5786
14% 17,977.5265 56.33% 1,582.9797 4,680.8313 8,157.9793 11,223.8834 10,868.0634
15% 17,924.3190 55.96% 1,571.1504 4,669.8065 8,147.9651 11,215.0316 10,860.5483
Tabel 34. Sensitivitas NPV, IRR, dan Laba Bersih Akibat Perubahan Mark Up
Aset Tetap
Tabel 35. Sensitivitas NPV, IRR, dan Laba Bersih Akibat Perubahan Kapasitas Produksi
• Pengaruh harga kulit salmon terhadap NPV, IRR, dan laba bersih
Harga kulit salmon NPV Laba Bersih (dalam Juta)
IRR
(Rp/Kg) (dalam Juta) 1 2 3 4 5
25,000.00 18,189.90 57.85% 1,630.30 4,724.93 8,198.04 11,259.29 10,898.12
22,500.00 19,929.09 61.42% 1,967.83 5,163.44 8,783.49 11,942.34 11,691.26
23,000.00 19,581.25 60.71% 1,900.33 5,075.74 8,666.40 11,805.73 11,532.63
23,500.00 19,233.41 60.00% 1,832.82 4,988.04 8,549.31 11,669.12 11,374.00
24,000.00 18,885.58 59.29% 1,765.31 4,900.34 8,432.22 11,532.51 11,215.38
24,500.00 18,189.90 57.85% 1,630.30 4,724.93 8,198.04 11,259.29 10,898.12
25,000.00 18,189.90 57.85% 1,630.30 4,724.93 8,198.04 11,259.29 10,898.12
25,500.00 17,842.06 57.13% 1,562.79 4,637.23 8,080.95 11,122.68 10,739.50
26,000.00 17,494.22 56.41% 1,495.28 4,549.53 7,963.85 10,986.07 10,580.87
26,500.00 17,146.38 55.69% 1,427.77 4,461.82 7,846.76 10,849.46 10,422.24
27,000.00 16,798.54 54.96% 1,360.27 4,374.12 7,729.67 10,712.85 10,263.62
27,500.00 16,450.71 54.23% 1,292.76 4,286.42 7,612.58 10,576.24 10,104.99
Tabel 36. Sensitivitas NPV, IRR, dan Laba Bersih Akibat Perubahan Harga Kulit
salmon
Tabel 37. Sensitivitas NPV, IRR, dan Laba Bersih Akibat Perubahan Kenaikan
Gaji
• Pengaruh tingkat bunga penjualan terhadap NPV, IRR, dan laba bersih
NPV Laba Bersih (dalam Juta)
tingkat bunga IRR
(dalam Juta) 1 2 3 4 5
15% 18,189.90 57.85% 1,630.30 4,724.93 8,198.04 11,259.29 10,898.12
10% 22,204.70 57.85% 1,861.77 4,928.58 8,366.24 11,382.96 10,966.40
11% 21,340.81 57.85% 1,816.61 4,889.31 8,334.21 11,359.71 10,953.74
12% 20,508.79 57.85% 1,770.88 4,849.31 8,301.37 11,335.72 10,940.58
13% 19,707.19 57.85% 1,724.59 4,808.58 8,267.73 11,310.99 10,926.93
14% 18,934.66 57.85% 1,677.73 4,767.12 8,233.28 11,285.51 10,912.78
15% 18,189.90 57.85% 1,630.30 4,724.93 8,198.04 11,259.29 10,898.12
16% 17,471.67 57.85% 1,582.30 4,682.02 8,161.99 11,232.32 10,882.96
17% 16,778.82 57.85% 1,533.74 4,638.39 8,125.15 11,204.60 10,867.28
18% 16,110.24 57.85% 1,484.61 4,594.04 8,087.51 11,176.13 10,851.09
19% 15,464.88 57.85% 1,434.91 4,548.98 8,049.08 11,146.90 10,834.37
20% 14,841.75 57.85% 1,384.64 4,503.20 8,009.86 11,116.92 10,817.13
Tabel 38. Sensitivitas NPV, IRR, dan Laba Bersih Akibat Perubahan tingkat
bunga perbankan
4.13 Simulasi
Monte Carlo digunakan untuk menghasilkan asumsi pada
skenario 4 dan 5 Untuk distribusi seragam (uniform), hal yang
dipertimbangkan adalah batas atas asumsi, batas bawah asumsi, dan
kelipatan. Kemudian, untuk distribusi normal, hal yang dipertimbangkan
adalah rerata dari batas bawah asumsi, rerata
dari batas atas asumsi, serta standar deviasi. Berikut adalah tampilan
data yang dibutuhkan untuk simulasi monte carlo serta proses simulasi
Monte Carlo:
Terendah Tertinggi
Asumsi Dasar Simulasi Uniform Simulasi Normal Rata-rata Standar Deviasi
50% 50%
Asumsi Mark-up 10.000% 5.000% 15.000% 7.673% 2.273% 10.000% 7.071%
Kapasitas Produksi (Kg/Tahun) 1,500,000.00 750,000.00 2,250,000.00 927,405.79 2,292,210.97 1,500,000.00 1,060,660.17
Harga kulit salmon (Rp/Kg) 25,000.00 12,500.00 37,500.00 36,441.54 (2,079.36) 25,000.00 17,677.67
Asumsi Kenaikan Gaji 10.000% 5.000% 15.000% 12.594% -0.126% 10.000% 7.071%
tingkat bunga 15.000% 7.500% 22.500% 13.547% 8.187% 15.000% 10.607%
tabel 40. Data simulasi monte carlo