Dampak Inflasi terhadap Kesejahteraan Petani Tanaman Pangan di Provinsi Sumatera Barat

SANIA RESTIKA, Arini Wahyu Utami, S.P., M.Sc., Ph.D.; Dr. Jamhari, S.P., M.P.
Universitas Gadjah Mada, 2021 | Diunduh dari http://etd.repository.ugm.ac.id/

DAFTAR ISI

HALAMAN PENGAJUAN ....................................................................................... ii

HALAMAN PENGESAHAN.................................................................................... iii
HALAMAN PERNYATAAN ................................................................................... iv
KATA PENGANTAR................................................................................................ v
DAFTAR ISI ........................................................................................................... vii
DAFTAR TABEL..................................................................................................... ix
DAFTAR GAMBAR ................................................................................................. x
INTISARI................................................................................................................. xi
ABSTRACT .............................................................................................................. xii
I. PENDAHULUAN ................................................................................................. 1
1.1. Latar Belakang................................................................................................ 1
1.2. Perumusan Masalah ........................................................................................ 3
1.3. Tujuan ............................................................................................................ 4
1.4. Kegunaan ....................................................................................................... 4
II. TINJAUAN PUSTAKA DAN LANDASAN TEORI .............................................. 5
2.1. Tinjauan Pustaka............................................................................................. 5
2.2. Landasan Teori ............................................................................................... 8
2.2.1. Inflasi ...................................................................................................... 8
2.2.2. Kesejahteraan Petani .............................................................................. 12
2.2.3. Nilai Tukar Petani (NTP)........................................................................ 13
2.2.4. Indeks Harga yang Diterima Petani (IT) .................................................. 15
2.2.5. Indeks Harga yang Dibayar Petani (IB) ................................................... 16
2.3. Kerangka Pemikiran...................................................................................... 18
2.4. Hipotesis ...................................................................................................... 19
III. METODE PENELITIAN.................................................................................... 21
3.1. Metode Dasar ............................................................................................... 21
3.2. Metode Penentuan Daerah Penelitian ............................................................. 21
3.3. Jenis dan Sumber Data .................................................................................. 21
3.4. Metode Pengumpulan Data............................................................................ 21
3.5. Asumsi dan Pembatasan Masalah .................................................................. 22
3.6. Variabel Penelitian ........................................................................................ 22
3.7. Metode Analisis Data .................................................................................... 23
3.7.1. Uji Stasioneritas/Uji Akar Unit ............................................................... 23
3.7.2. Uji Kointegrasi....................................................................................... 24
3.7.3. Hubungan Dinamis Jangka Pendek dan Jangka Panjang........................... 25
3.7.4. Uji Diagnostik........................................................................................ 27
IV. GAMBARAN UMUM ....................................................................................... 30
4.1. Perkembangan Inflasi di Provinsi Sumatera Barat .......................................... 30
4.2. Perkembangan Indeks Harga yang Diterima Petani (IT) di Provinsi Sumatera
Barat............................................................................................................. 32
4.3. Perkembangan Indeks Harga yang Dibayar Petani (IB) di Provinsi Sumatera
Barat.....................................................................................................................33
 Dampak Inflasi terhadap Kesejahteraan Petani Tanaman Pangan di Provinsi Sumatera Barat
SANIA RESTIKA, Arini Wahyu Utami, S.P., M.Sc., Ph.D.; Dr. Jamhari, S.P., M.P.
Universitas Gadjah Mada, 2021 | Diunduh dari http://etd.repository.ugm.ac.id/

4.4. Perkembangan Nilai Tukar Petani Tanaman Pangan (NTPP) di Provinsi Sumatera
Barat............................................................................................................. 34
V. HASIL DAN PEMBAHASAN ............................................................................ 36
5.1. Pengaruh Inflasi terhadap Indeks Harga yang Diterima Petani Tanaman Pangan
(IT) di Provinsi Sumatera Barat dalam Jangka Panjang dan Jangka Pendek ..... 36
5.1.1. Uji Stasioneritas..................................................................................... 36
5.1.2. Uji Kointegrasi....................................................................................... 37
5.1.3. Analisis Hubungan Jangka Panjang (Long Run)....................................... 37
5.1.4. Analisis Hubungan Jangka Pendek (Short Run) ....................................... 38
5.1.5. Uji Diagnostik........................................................................................ 40
5.2. Pengaruh Inflasi terhadap Indeks Harga yang Dibayar Petani Tanaman Pangan
(IB) di Provinsi Sumatera Barat dalam Jangka Panjang dan Jangka Pendek ..... 41
5.2.1. Uji Stasioneritas..................................................................................... 41
5.2.2. Uji Kointegrasi....................................................................................... 42
5.2.3. Analisis Hubungan Jangka Panjang (Long Run)....................................... 43
5.2.4. Analisis Hubungan Jangka Pendek (Short Run) ....................................... 43
5.2.5. Uji Diagnostik........................................................................................ 44
5.3. Pengaruh Inflasi terhadap Nilai Tukar Petani Tanaman Pangan (NTPP) di Provinsi
Sumatera Barat dalam Jangka Panjang dan Jangka Pendek ............................. 46
5.3.1. Uji Stasioneritas..................................................................................... 46
5.3.2. Uji Kointegrasi....................................................................................... 47
5.3.3. Analisis Hubungan Jangka Panjang (Long Run)....................................... 47
5.3.4. Analisis Hubungan Jangka Pendek (Short Run) ....................................... 48
5.3.5. Uji Diagnostik........................................................................................ 50
VI. PENUTUP ......................................................................................................... 52
6.1. Kesimpulan................................................................................................... 52
6.2. Saran ............................................................................................................ 53
DAFTAR PUSTAKA .............................................................................................. 54
LAMPIRAN ............................................................................................................ 58