NIM : C.511.20.0029
POWER
66000
64000
62000
f(x) = 8.62779975960978E-47 x^15.3850081134253
R² = 0.69549042997027
60000
58000
56000
54000
2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022
EKSPONENSIAL
66000
64000
62000
f(x) = 0.0123625738875722 exp( 0.00763347678149297 x )
R² = 0.695857089469738
60000
58000
56000
54000
2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022
LINEAR
66000
64000
62000
f(x) = 462.327272727273 x − 872390.781818182
R² = 0.679526424604551
60000
58000
56000
54000
2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022
MOVING AVARAGE
POLINOMINAL
66000
66000
64000
64000
62000
62000 f(x) = 66.1445221435289 x² − 266232.38600998 x + 267955218.761927
R² = 0.788016420418115
60000
60000
58000
58000
56000
56000
54000
54000 LOGARITMIC
2010
2010 2012
2012 2014
2014 2016 2018 2020
2020 2022
2022
66000
64000
62000
f(x) = 931792.236201981 ln(x) − 7030224.43221747
R² = 0.679150334808608
60000
58000
56000
54000
2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022
MODEL RUMUS PERHITUNGAN R2
Linear y= 462,33x - 872391 0,6795
Jumlah
Eksponensial y = 0,0124e0,0076x 0,6959
Tahun
Penduduk
Logaritmic y = 931792ln(x) - 7E+06 0,6792
2011 57814
Polinominal y = 66,145x2 - 266232x + 0,788
2012 58154 3E+08
2013 Power 58479 y = 9E-47x15,385 0,6955
2014 58754
Moving Average
2015 59081 Metode terpilih polinominal
2016 59354
2017 59619
2018 59866 HASIL PERHITUNGAN PROYEKSI PENDUDUK 10
2019 60102
2020 60329
2021 64719
2022 32111670
2023 32112995
2024 32114452
2025 32116041
2026 32117762
2027 32119616
2028 32121602
2029 32123720 TAHUN KEDEPAN
2030 32125971
2031 32128353
2032 32130868
2033 32133516
B. Hitung sampel penelitian berdasarkan jumlah penduduk terakhir menggunakan
rumus slovin.
N = 32133516 32133516
n=
1+ (32133516) x (0.05)^2
e = 5%
32133516
n=
RUMUS SLOVIN 1+ (32133516) x (0.0025)
N
n=
1+Ne^2 32133516
n=
80.334,79
n= 399,9950208
n= 400