EVALUASI PROYEK
OLEH:
0 300 0
1 100 0
2 141 110
3 141 195
4 172 350
5 172 375
6 197 400
7 198 480
8 233 510
9 234 595
10 265 630
a. Hitunglah NPV, Gross B/C rasio dan Net B/C rasio pada discount factor 15%. Apa
kesimpulan saudara. Hitunglah Pay Back Period (PBP) proyek tersebut!
b. Carilah nilai IRR, apakah proyek tersebut layak jika SOCC 12%?
1. Anggaplah saudara sebagai tenaga penilai proyek diminta untuk memberikan anjuran
tentang tiga investasi yang dipertimbangkan sebagai tujuan alternatif untuk sisa
anggaran pembangunan yang belum ditujukan sebesar Rp 5,50 milyar. Berikut uraian
masing-masing proyek:
Proyek A, pabrik yang direncanakan akan menghasilkan/menjual jumlah barang yang
semakin meningkat sampai pabrik harus diperbaharui sama sekali dalam waktu 5 tahun
terhitung sejak mulainya proyek.
Proyek B, waduk serbaguna yang direncanakan akan menghasilkan nilai maksimumnya
selama tahun pertama setelah dibangun, kemudian karena pengendapan yang semakin
besar maka nilai produksinya akan semakin menurun sampai tidak dapat digunakan lagi
dalam waktu 5 tahun.
Proyek C, program pembinaan tanaman yang biaya utamanya terdiri dari pembelian
maupun distribusi pupuk serta penyuluhan terhadap petani. Harga tanaman tersebut di
pasar dunia sekarang sangat menguntungkan, namun diperkirakan akan menurun
diakibatkan semakin meningkatnya persaingan dari Negara produsen lainnya, sampai
dalam waktu 5 tahun produksi tidak akan menguntungkan lagi. Berikut biaya dan benefit
masing-masing proyek selama 5 tahun (dalam jutaan rupiah):
Proyek A Proyek B Proyek C
Tahun
Biaya Benefit Biaya Benefit Biaya Benefit
1 5600 0 5540 0 7540 2000
2 1000 1000 1000 5000 4000 8000
3 1000 2000 1000 3000 3000 5000
4 1000 4000 1000 2000 1000 2000
5 1000 6000 1000 1500 1000 1500
Hitunglah NPV, IRR dan Net BC rasio masing-masing proyek dengan discount factor 12%
dan SOCC 6%. Nyatakanlah urutan ketiga proyek menurut masing-masing kriteria
tersebut. Proyek yang manakah yang saudara anjurkan supaya dipilih.
PENYELESAIAN
1. Proyek penggemukan sapi
a) NPV, Net B/C dan Gross B/C saat df 15% dan hitung PBP!
Biaya
Biaya Benefit Net Total
Investasi Total Net Benefit
Tahun I = 15% Operasional (Juta Df 15% Benefit Df Cost Df
(Juta Cost Benefit Df 15%
(Juta Rupiah) Rupiah) 15% 15%
Rupiah)
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b) Carilah nilai IRR, apakah proyek tersebut layak jika SOCC 12%!
Biaya Investasi Biaya Operasional Benefit (juta Total Cost Net Benefit df
Tahun i=12% df 12% NB df 12% TC df 12% B df 12% NB 26%
(juta rupiah) (juta rupiah) rupiah) (TC) (NB) 26%
0 0,12 300 0 1,0000 300 -300 -300 300 0,00 1 -300
1 0,12 100 0 0,8929 100 -100 -89,286 89,286 0,00 0,7937 -79,365
2 0,12 141 110 0,7972 141 -31 -24,713 112,404 87,691 0,6299 -19,526
3 0,12 141 195 0,7118 141 54 38,436 100,361 138,797 0,4999 26,995
4 0,12 172 350 0,6355 172 178 113,122 109,309 222,431 0,3968 70,622
5 0,12 172 375 0,5674 172 203 115,188 97,597 212,785 0,3149 63,921
6 0,12 197 400 0,5066 197 203 102,846 99,806 202,652 0,2499 50,731
7 0,12 198 480 0,4523 198 282 127,562 89,565 217,128 0,1983 55,931
8 0,12 233 510 0,4039 233 277 111,876 94,105 205,980 0,1574 43,603
9 0,12 234 595 0,3606 234 361 130,180 84,383 214,563 0,1249 45,100
10 0,12 265 630 0,3220 265 365 117,520 85,323 202,843 0,0992 36,190
Jumlah 400 1753 3645 2153 1492 442,732 1262,140 1704,871 -5,799
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2.
3. Terdapat tiga proyek sebagai berikut:
Proyek A:
Tahun i= 12% Total Cost Benefit Net Benefit df 12% Net Benefit Total Cost df Benefit df
df 12% 12% 12%
1 0,12 5600 0 -5600 0,8929 -5000 5000 0
2 0,12 1000 1000 0 0,7972 0 797,19 797,19
3 0,12 1000 2000 1000 0,7118 711,78 711,78 1423,56
4 0,12 1000 4000 3000 0,6355 1906,55 635,52 2542,07
5 0,12 1000 6000 5000 0,5674 2837,13 567,43 3404,56
Jumlah 9600 13000 3400 455,47 7711,92 8167,39
NPV = 455.47
Net B/C = 1.09
Gross B/C = 1.06
NPV = 585.14
Net B/C = 1.12
Gross B/C = 1.08
NPV = 585.14
Net B/C = 1.12
Gross B/C = 1.04
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