Komponen Biaya Investasi 5

Rupiah

No. Komponen Kondisi Pesimis (Cost - Kondisi Optimis (Cost

Kondisi Dasar
25%, Benefit +25%) +25%, Benefit -25%)

a Biaya Konstruksi 4.480.411.065,21 5.600.513.831,52 3.584.328.852,17

b Administrasi Proyek (1.5%) 67.206.165,98 84.007.707,47 53.764.932,78
c Biaya Penyusunan DED (2,32%) 103.945.536,71 129.931.920,89 83.156.429,37
a Biaya Supervisi (2%) 89.608.221,30 112.010.276,63 71.686.577,04
b Biaya O & M (rutin) (1.5% x a x 8 ) 1.336.966.333,00 2.728.289.004,09 1.069.573.066,65
c Biaya O & M berkala (3,5% x a x 2) 845.664.870,00 1.057.081.087,45 676.531.895,97
 Jumlah 6.923.802.192,21 9.711.833.828,05 5.539.041.753,98
Skedul Implementasi Proyek & Distribusi Biaya 5
Year Adm proyek DED Supervisi Konstruksi O&M Cost Ket

2023 67.206.166 103.945.537 - - - 171.151.703 Tahap DED

2024 17.921.644 896.082.213 - 914.003.857 Tahap Konstruksi
2025 35.843.289 1.792.164.426 - 1.828.007.715 Tahap Konstruksi
2026 35.843.289 1.792.164.426 - 1.828.007.715 Tahap Konstruksi
2027 67.206.166 67.206.166 Open Traffic/ Pem Rutin
2028 68.785.511 68.785.511 Open Traffic/ Pem Rutin
2029 70.401.970 70.401.970 Open Traffic/ Pem Rutin
2030 72.056.417 72.056.417 Open Traffic/ Pem Rutin
2031 176.126.677 176.126.677 Open Traffic/ Pem Berkala
2032 75.482.861 75.482.861 Open Traffic/ Pem Rutin
2033 77.256.709 77.256.709 Open Traffic/ Pem Rutin
2034 79.072.241 79.072.241 Open Traffic/ Pem Rutin
2035 80.930.439 80.930.439 Open Traffic/ Pem Rutin
2036 197.817.348 197.817.348 Open Traffic/ Pem Berkala
2037 84.778.863 84.778.863 Open Traffic/ Pem Rutin
2038 86.771.167 86.771.167 Open Traffic/ Pem Rutin
2039 88.810.289 88.810.289 Open Traffic/ Pem Rutin
2040 90.897.331 90.897.331 Open Traffic/ Pem Rutin
2041 222.179.308 222.179.308 Open Traffic/ Pem Berkala
2042 95.219.704 95.219.704 Open Traffic/ Pem Rutin
2043 97.457.367 97.457.367 Open Traffic/ Pem Rutin
2044 99.747.615 99.747.615 Open Traffic/ Pem Rutin
2045 102.091.684 102.091.684 Open Traffic/ Pem Rutin
2046 249.541.537 249.541.537 Open Traffic/ Pem Berkala
 Analisis Investasi Kondisi Dasar 5
Biaya Manfaat NPV1 NPV2
Biaya konstruksi,
Year Saving Nilai PV
Admistrasi, DED, O&M Cost Saving BOK Manfaat Lainnya Benefit PV (Manfaat) NPV PV (Biaya) PV (Manfaat) NPV
Waktu (Biaya)
dan Supervisi
2023 171.151.703 - 171.151.703 - - - - 155.592.457 - (155.592.457) 152.814.020 - (152.814.020)
2024 914.003.857 - 914.003.857 - - - - 755.375.089 - (755.375.089) 728.638.279 - (728.638.279)
2025 1.828.007.715 - 1.828.007.715 - - - - 1.373.409.252 - (1.373.409.252) 1.301.139.784 - (1.301.139.784)
2026 1.828.007.715 - 1.828.007.715 - - - - 1.248.553.866 - (1.248.553.866) 1.161.731.950 - (1.161.731.950)
2027 - 67.206.166 67.206.166 409.914.029 302.634.899 476.925.639 1.189.474.567 41.729.741 738.570.122 696.840.380 38.134.583 674.939.813 636.805.230
2028 - 68.785.511 68.785.511 438.608.011 323.819.342 510.310.433 1.272.737.786 38.827.628 718.427.300 679.599.673 34.848.880 644.808.572 609.959.691
2029 - 70.401.970 70.401.970 469.310.572 346.486.696 546.032.164 1.361.829.431 36.127.343 698.833.828 662.706.486 31.846.276 616.022.475 584.176.199
2030 - 72.056.417 72.056.417 502.162.312 370.740.765 584.254.415 1.457.157.492 33.614.850 679.774.724 646.159.874 29.102.378 588.521.471 559.419.093
2031 - 176.126.677 176.126.677 537.313.674 396.692.618 625.152.224 1.559.158.516 74.694.904 661.235.413 586.540.509 63.513.045 562.248.191 498.735.146
2032 - 75.482.861 75.482.861 574.925.631 424.461.102 668.912.880 1.668.299.612 29.101.911 643.201.720 614.099.810 24.303.461 537.147.826 512.844.365
2033 - 77.256.709 77.256.709 615.170.425 454.173.379 715.736.781 1.785.080.585 27.078.005 625.659.855 598.581.850 22.209.458 513.168.012 490.958.554
2034 - 79.072.241 79.072.241 658.232.355 485.965.515 765.838.356 1.910.036.226 25.194.853 608.596.405 583.401.552 20.295.875 490.258.726 469.962.851
2035 - 80.930.439 80.930.439 704.308.619 519.983.101 819.447.041 2.043.738.762 23.442.665 591.998.321 568.555.655 18.547.168 468.372.176 449.825.008
2036 - 197.817.348 197.817.348 753.610.223 556.381.918 876.808.334 2.186.800.475 52.091.490 575.852.912 523.761.422 40.477.349 447.462.703 406.985.355
2037 - 84.778.863 84.778.863 806.362.938 595.328.653 938.184.917 2.339.876.508 20.295.386 560.147.833 539.852.447 15.488.781 427.486.690 411.997.909
2038 - 86.771.167 86.771.167 862.808.344 637.001.658 1.003.857.861 2.503.667.864 18.883.934 544.871.074 525.987.140 14.154.257 408.402.463 394.248.206
2039 - 88.810.289 88.810.289 923.204.928 681.591.774 1.074.127.912 2.678.924.614 17.570.642 530.010.953 512.440.311 12.934.716 390.170.210 377.235.494
2040 - 90.897.331 90.897.331 987.829.273 729.303.199 1.149.316.866 2.866.449.338 16.348.684 515.556.109 499.207.425 11.820.252 372.751.897 360.931.645
2041 - 222.179.308 222.179.308 1.056.977.322 780.354.423 1.229.769.046 3.067.100.791 36.328.092 501.495.488 465.167.396 25.796.523 356.111.187 330.314.664
2042 - 95.219.704 95.219.704 1.130.965.735 834.979.232 1.315.852.879 3.281.797.847 14.153.802 487.818.338 473.664.536 9.871.119 340.213.366 330.342.248
2043 - 97.457.367 97.457.367 1.210.133.336 893.427.778 1.407.962.581 3.511.523.696 13.169.470 474.514.202 461.344.732 9.020.616 325.025.270 316.004.654
2044 - 99.747.615 99.747.615 1.294.842.670 955.967.723 1.506.519.962 3.757.330.354 12.253.593 461.572.905 449.319.313 8.243.393 310.515.213 302.271.820
2045 - 102.091.684 102.091.684 1.385.481.657 1.022.885.463 1.611.976.359 4.020.343.479 11.401.411 448.984.553 437.583.142 7.533.137 296.652.927 289.119.790
2046 - 249.541.537 249.541.537 1.482.465.373 1.094.487.446 1.724.814.704 4.301.767.523 25.334.854 436.739.520 411.404.666 16.440.321 283.409.492 266.969.171
4.741.170.989 2.182.631.203 6.923.802.192 16.804.627.427 12.406.666.685 19.551.801.355 48.763.095.467 4.100.573.922 11.503.861.576 7.403.287.655 3.798.905.623 9.053.688.680 5.254.783.058

EIRR 16,89%
BCR Discount Rate 10% 2,81
BCR Discount Rate 12% 2,38
 Analisis Investasi Kondisi Optimis 5
Biaya Manfaat NPV1 NPV2
Year Biaya konstruksi,
Saving Nilai PV
Admistrasi, DED, O&M Cost Saving BOK Manfaat Lainnya Benefit PV (Manfaat) NPV PV (Biaya) PV (Manfaat) NPV
Waktu (Biaya)
dan Supervisi
2023 171.151.703 - 171.151.703 - - - - 155.592.457 - (155.592.457) 152.814.020 - (152.814.020)
2024 734.787.415 - 734.787.415 - - - - 607.262.326 - (607.262.326) 585.768.028 - (585.768.028)
2025 1.469.574.829 - 1.469.574.829 - - - - 1.104.113.320 - (1.104.113.320) 1.046.014.336 - (1.046.014.336)
2026 1.469.574.829 - 1.469.574.829 - - - - 1.003.739.382 - (1.003.739.382) 933.941.372 - (933.941.372)
2027 - 53.764.933 53.764.933 502.627.761 369.897.333 307.147.125 1.179.672.219 33.383.793 732.483.635 699.099.842 30.507.667 669.377.698 638.870.031
2028 - 55.028.409 55.028.409 537.811.704 395.790.147 328.647.424 1.262.249.275 31.062.102 712.506.809 681.444.707 27.879.104 639.494.765 611.615.661
2029 - 56.321.576 56.321.576 575.458.524 423.495.457 351.652.743 1.350.606.724 28.901.874 693.074.805 664.172.931 25.477.021 610.945.892 585.468.871
2030 - 57.645.133 57.645.133 615.740.620 453.140.139 376.268.435 1.445.149.195 26.891.880 674.172.765 647.280.885 23.281.903 583.671.522 560.389.619
2031 - 140.901.341 140.901.341 658.842.464 484.859.949 402.607.226 1.546.309.638 59.755.923 655.786.235 596.030.312 50.810.436 557.614.757 506.804.321
2032 - 60.386.289 60.386.289 704.961.436 518.800.145 430.789.732 1.654.551.313 23.281.529 637.901.156 614.619.627 19.442.769 532.721.241 513.278.472
2033 - 61.805.367 61.805.367 754.308.737 555.116.155 460.945.013 1.770.369.905 21.662.404 620.503.852 598.841.447 17.767.566 508.939.043 491.171.477
2034 - 63.257.793 63.257.793 807.110.349 593.974.286 493.211.164 1.894.295.798 20.155.882 603.581.019 583.425.137 16.236.700 486.218.550 469.981.850
2035 - 64.744.351 64.744.351 863.608.073 635.552.486 527.735.945 2.026.896.504 18.754.132 587.119.719 568.365.586 14.837.734 464.512.365 449.674.631
2036 - 158.253.878 158.253.878 924.060.638 680.041.160 564.677.462 2.168.779.259 41.673.192 571.107.363 529.434.170 32.381.879 443.775.206 411.393.327
2037 - 67.823.091 67.823.091 988.744.883 727.644.041 604.204.884 2.320.593.808 16.236.309 555.531.707 539.295.399 12.391.025 423.963.813 411.572.787
2038 - 69.416.933 69.416.933 1.057.957.024 778.579.124 646.499.226 2.483.035.374 15.107.147 540.380.843 525.273.695 11.323.406 405.036.857 393.713.451
2039 - 71.048.231 71.048.231 1.132.014.016 833.079.663 691.754.171 2.656.847.850 14.056.514 525.643.183 511.586.669 10.347.773 386.954.854 376.607.081
2040 - 72.717.865 72.717.865 1.211.254.997 891.395.239 740.176.964 2.842.827.200 13.078.947 511.307.460 498.228.513 9.456.201 369.680.084 360.223.883
2041 - 177.743.447 177.743.447 1.296.042.847 953.792.906 791.989.351 3.041.825.104 29.062.474 497.362.711 468.300.237 20.637.219 353.176.509 332.539.290
2042 - 76.175.763 76.175.763 1.386.765.846 1.020.558.409 847.428.606 3.254.752.861 11.323.042 483.798.274 472.475.232 7.896.895 337.409.700 329.512.805
2043 - 77.965.893 77.965.893 1.483.839.456 1.091.997.498 906.748.608 3.482.585.561 10.535.576 470.603.775 460.068.200 7.216.493 322.346.767 315.130.274
2044 - 79.798.092 79.798.092 1.587.708.218 1.168.437.323 970.221.010 3.726.366.551 9.802.874 457.769.127 447.966.253 6.594.715 307.956.287 301.361.572
2045 - 81.673.347 81.673.347 1.698.847.793 1.250.227.935 1.038.136.481 3.987.212.209 9.121.129 445.284.514 436.163.385 6.026.509 294.208.238 288.181.729
2046 - 199.633.229 199.633.229 1.817.767.138 1.337.743.891 1.110.806.035 4.266.317.064 20.267.883 433.140.391 412.872.508 13.152.257 281.073.942 267.921.685
3.845.088.776 1.746.104.963 5.591.193.739 20.605.472.525 15.164.123.284 12.591.647.604 48.361.243.414 3.324.822.093 11.409.059.342 8.084.237.250 3.082.203.028 8.979.078.089 5.896.875.061

EIRR 17,39%
BCR Discount Rate 10% 3,43
BCR Discount Rate 12% 2,91
 Analisis Investasi Kondisi Pesimis 5
Biaya Manfaat NPV1 NPV2
Year Biaya konstruksi,
Saving Nilai PV
Admistrasi, DED, O&M Cost Saving BOK Manfaat Lainnya Benefit PV (Manfaat) NPV PV (Biaya) PV (Manfaat) NPV
Waktu (Biaya)
dan Supervisi
2023 171.151.703 - 171.151.703 - - - - 155.592.457 - (155.592.457) 152.814.020 - (152.814.020)
2024 1.138.024.411 - 1.138.024.411 - - - - 940.516.042 - (940.516.042) 907.226.093 - (907.226.093)
2025 2.276.048.821 - 2.276.048.821 - - - - 1.710.029.167 - (1.710.029.167) 1.620.046.594 - (1.620.046.594)
2026 2.276.048.821 - 2.276.048.821 - - - - 1.554.571.970 - (1.554.571.970) 1.446.470.173 - (1.446.470.173)
2027 - 84.007.707 84.007.707 321.681.767 236.734.293 196.574.160 754.990.220 52.162.177 468.789.527 416.627.350 47.668.229 428.401.727 380.733.498
2028 - 85.981.889 85.981.889 344.199.491 253.305.694 210.334.351 807.839.536 48.534.535 456.004.358 407.469.823 43.561.101 409.276.650 365.715.549
2029 - 88.002.463 88.002.463 368.293.455 271.037.092 225.057.756 864.388.303 45.159.178 443.567.875 398.408.697 39.807.845 391.005.371 351.197.526
2030 - 90.070.521 90.070.521 394.073.997 290.009.689 240.811.799 924.895.485 42.018.563 431.470.569 389.452.007 36.377.973 373.549.774 337.171.801
2031 - 220.158.346 220.158.346 421.659.177 310.310.367 257.668.625 989.638.169 93.368.630 419.703.190 326.334.560 79.391.307 356.873.445 277.482.138
2032 - 94.353.577 94.353.577 451.175.319 332.032.093 275.705.428 1.058.912.840 36.377.388 408.256.740 371.879.351 30.379.327 340.941.594 310.562.268
2033 - 96.570.886 96.570.886 482.757.592 355.274.339 295.004.808 1.133.036.739 33.847.506 397.122.465 363.274.959 27.761.822 325.720.988 297.959.166
2034 - 98.840.302 98.840.302 516.550.623 380.143.543 315.655.145 1.212.349.311 31.493.566 386.291.852 354.798.286 25.369.844 311.179.872 285.810.028
2035 - 101.163.049 101.163.049 552.709.167 406.753.591 337.751.005 1.297.213.763 29.303.332 375.756.620 346.453.288 23.183.960 297.287.913 274.103.954
2036 - 247.271.685 247.271.685 591.398.808 435.226.342 361.393.575 1.388.018.726 65.114.363 365.508.712 300.394.349 50.596.686 284.016.132 233.419.446
2037 - 105.973.579 105.973.579 632.796.725 465.692.186 386.691.126 1.485.180.037 25.369.232 355.540.293 330.171.060 19.360.977 271.336.840 251.975.863
2038 - 108.463.958 108.463.958 677.092.496 498.290.639 413.759.504 1.589.142.639 23.604.918 345.843.739 322.238.822 17.692.821 259.223.588 241.530.767
2039 - 111.012.861 111.012.861 724.488.970 533.170.984 442.722.670 1.700.382.624 21.963.303 336.411.637 314.448.334 16.168.395 247.651.107 231.482.712
2040 - 113.621.664 113.621.664 775.203.198 570.492.953 473.713.257 1.819.409.408 20.435.855 327.236.774 306.800.920 14.775.315 236.595.254 221.819.939
2041 - 277.724.135 277.724.135 829.467.422 610.427.460 506.873.185 1.946.768.066 45.410.115 318.312.135 272.902.020 32.245.654 226.032.966 193.787.311
2042 - 119.024.629 119.024.629 887.530.142 653.157.382 542.354.308 2.083.041.831 17.692.253 309.630.895 291.938.642 12.338.898 215.942.208 203.603.310
2043 - 121.821.708 121.821.708 949.657.252 698.878.399 580.319.109 2.228.854.759 16.461.837 301.186.416 284.724.579 11.275.770 206.301.931 195.026.161
2044 - 124.684.518 124.684.518 1.016.133.259 747.799.887 620.941.447 2.384.874.592 15.316.991 292.972.241 277.655.250 10.304.242 197.092.023 186.787.782
2045 - 127.614.605 127.614.605 1.087.262.587 800.145.879 664.407.348 2.551.815.814 14.251.764 284.982.089 270.730.325 9.416.421 188.293.272 178.876.852
2046 - 311.926.921 311.926.921 1.163.370.969 856.156.090 710.915.862 2.730.442.921 31.668.567 277.209.850 245.541.283 20.550.402 179.887.323 159.336.921
5.861.273.756 2.728.289.004 8.589.562.760 13.187.502.416 9.705.038.902 8.058.654.467 30.951.195.785 5.070.263.709 7.301.797.979 2.231.534.270 4.694.783.866 5.746.609.977 1.051.826.111

EIRR 13,78%
BCR Discount Rate 10% 1,44
BCR Discount Rate 12% 1,22
Uji Sensitifitas Investasi 5

Uji NPV EIRR BCR (10%) BCR (12%)

Kondisi dasar 5.254.783.057,77 16,89% 2,81 2,38

Uji 1: Biaya Invetasi turun 25%, manfaat naik 25% (Kondisi Optimis) 5.896.875.061,35 17,39% 3,43 2,91

Uji 2: Biaya Invetasi naik 25%, manfaat turun 25% (Kondisi Pesimis) 1.051.826.110,77 13,78% 1,44 1,22
Skema Pembayaran Fasiltasi dana PEN (SMI) 5

Tahun Bunga dan Biaya Jasa

No Pembayaran Hutang Pokok Jumlah Pembayaran Sisa Pinjaman
Anggaran Bank (5,66%/thn)
1 2022 0,00
2 2023 500.000.000.000,00 128.200.000.000,00 628.200.000.000,00 1.669.800.000.000,00
3 2024 500.000.000.000,00 84.900.000.000,00 584.900.000.000,00 1.084.900.000.000,00
4 2025 500.000.000.000,00 56.600.000.000,00 556.600.000.000,00 528.300.000.000,00
5 2026 500.000.000.000,00 28.300.000.000,00 528.300.000.000,00 0,00
Jumlah 2.000.000.000.000,00 298.000.000.000,00 2.298.000.000.000,00
Bunga PT SMI Suku Bunga Bank Indonesia+0.75%
Analisis Kemampuan Pembiayaan Daerah (DSCR) 5

No. Komponen 2018 2019 2020 2022 2026

A Komponen Pendapatan dan Belanja
1 PAD 1.016.628,66 1.090.854,79 1.041.466,60 1.102.852,99 1.461.896,11
2 DAU 1.586.163,98 1.637.588,97 1.662.156,64 1.542.542,29 2.044.729,99
3 DBH 196.347,60 149.613,95 122.615,15 181.436,49 240.504,68
6 Belanja Wajib: (1.213.130,40) (1.206.557,00) (1.213.130,40) (1.106.936,48) (1.467.309,02)
- Belanja Pegawai
- Belanja DPRD
Jumlah 1.586.009,84 1.671.500,71 1.613.108,00 1.719.895,29 2.279.821,76
B Komponen Pinjaman
Angsuran Pokok 500.000,00 500.000,00
1
Pinjaman
2 Bunga Pinjaman 128.200,00 28.300,00
3 Administrasi (0.75%) 15.000,00 15.000,00
Jumlah 643.200,00 543.300,00
DSCR (> 2.5) #DIV/0! 2,67 4,20
*PP No. 30 Tahun 2011
*Data berdasarkan Publikasi BPS 2021