23-May-19 ILM
27-May-19 ILM
Perubahan
Perubahan scoop jangkauan Serpo dari 2000 homepass menjadi 10.000 homepass berdasar best practice MyRep dan Biznet
Perubahan harga Serpo menjadi Rp.350.000.000 per tahun (termasuk 2 field engineer, 1 helper, 1 homebase, set tools dan mo
Perubahan harga Per Visit Gangguan dari Rp.300.000 per Visit menjadi Rp.200.000,00 berdasar best practice beberapa service
Valuasi RoW tetap di 10%
Price Per Subs Rp.130.000
Item Detail Harga Satuan
ROK Layanan
Resiko + Overhead
Keuntungan
WACC-1 15.50%
WACC-2 8.31%
WACC-3 10.82%
J. ASUMSI GANGGUAN
a. Asumsi Jumlah Gangguan Keseluruhan Bobot
- Gangguan Fisik 50%
- IKR (Drop Wire, Accessories) 62%
- Feeder 38%
- Gangguan Non Fisik 50%
Tahun ke -
b. Persentase Jumlah Deaktivasi
c. Penanganan gangguan segmen Feeder - Distribusi menggunakan metode Serpo
- Asumsi Kemampuan Serpo (dalam Homepass) 2000
- Jumlah Serpo 250
100,000
90,000
80,000
70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
135,000
130,000
125,000
120,000
115,000
110,000
105,000
100,000
95,000
90,000
85,000
80,000
75,000
Market B2B
Jenis Kuantitas per Cluster Th
1. Gerai ATM 4
2. Alfamart 2
3. Indomaret 2
4. SOHO (Perkantoran, Resto/Kafe) 10
5. Sekolah, Rumah Sakit 1
19
25
Biaya untuk accesories dan jasa
Sheet 'Ref Rupiah Mitra to ICON+'!A1
Sheet 'Ref Rupiah Mitra to ICON+'!A1
Pendanaan internal
0 1 2 3
3 12 12 12
0 12 12 12
0 2% 2.00% 2.00%
0 1 2 3
500,000 - - -
500,000 500,000 500,000 500,000
Sensitivity :
Parameter yang diuji sensitivity : Jumlah Homepass yang dibangun
Tingkat Sensitivity : 10,000
Diskon 0%
Layanan BW (Mbps) HJT OTC
VPN 0.128 875,000 750,000
VPN 1 895,800 750,000
Inet Broadband 10 949,000 750,000
Inet Broadband 20 1,159,000 750,000
Inet Broadband 10 949,000 750,000
0 1 2 3
1 12 12 12
0 12 12 12
0 2% 2.00% 2.00%
0 1 2 3
- - - -
3,908 3,908 3,908 3,908
1,954 1,954 1,954 1,954
1,954 1,954 1,954 1,954
9,770 10,259 10,772 11,311
977 977 977 977
- - -
- - -
- - -
489 513 539
- - -
3,908 - - -
1,954 - - -
1,954 - - -
4,885 245 257 270
489 - - -
13,190 245 257 270
SUMMARY ANALYSIS :
NPV : 938,398
IRR : 44.72% per tahun
Payback : 3.00 ( tahun )
4 5 6 7
- - - -
500,000 500,000 500,000 500,000
4 5 6 7
2% 2% 2% 2%
Profit Index
2.39
100,000
90,000
80,000
70,000
60,000
50,000
40,000
Profit Index
2.39
135,000
130,000
125,000
120,000
115,000
110,000
105,000
100,000
95,000
90,000
85,000
80,000
75,000
36%
Pembayaran to Investor Monthly
315,000
322,488
341,640
417,240
341,640
4 5 6 7
12 12 12 12
12 12 12 12
2.00% 2.00% 2.00% 2.00%
4 5 6 7
- - - -
3,908 3,908 3,908 3,908
1,954 1,954 1,954 1,954
1,954 1,954 1,954 1,954
11,877 12,471 13,095 13,750
977 977 977 977
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
566 594 624 655
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
283 297 312 328
- - - -
283 297 312 328
SUMMARY ANALYSIS :
INVESTOR
NPV : -6,647
IRR : 15.30% per tahun
Payback : 4 ( tahun )
8 9 10
- - -
500,000 500,000 500,000
8 9 10
2% 2% 2%
8 9 10
12 12 12
12 12 12
2.00% 2.00% 2.00% Ada win back programee di tahun berikutnya
8 9 10
- - -
3,908 3,908 3,908
1,954 1,954 1,954
1,954 1,954 1,954
14,438 15,160 15,918
977 977 977
- - -
- - -
- - -
688 722 758
- - -
- - -
- - -
- - -
344 361 379
- - -
344 361 379
i tahun berikutnya
i tahun berikutnya
FINMOD 10 Thn 445682706.xlsx
ANALISIS FINANSIAL (FINANSIAL MODEL)
TAHUN
INVESTASI
PENDAPATAN (Income / Savings)
- Pendapatan
- Pendapatan Lain-lain (OTC)
-
BEBAN= Jumlah Biaya
- Total OPEX
- Depreciation
LABA/RUGI USAHA (EBIT) = pend.- beban
SUMMARY ANALYSIS :
1,000,000 NPV :
IRR :
15.50% Payback :
4.18% IRR :
10 BEP :
10 PROFIT :
1,444,536 PROFIT INDEX:
0.00%
0 RESULT
144,454 per Tahun
14,000
0 1 2 3
836,401 17,114 20,529 24,387
131,942 386,354 443,920 515,846
56,050 369,107 423,228 491,255
75,892 17,247 20,691 24,591
- - -
- 18,734 226,594 233,360 249,397
18,734 82,140 88,907 104,943
- 144,454 144,454 144,454
113,207 159,760 210,560 266,450
- - - -
- - - -
113,207 159,760 210,560 266,450
25% 28,302 39,940 52,640 66,612
75,892 17,247 20,691 24,591
160,798 137,067 178,611 224,428
0 1 2 3
836,401 17,114 20,529 24,387
836,401 17,114 20,529 24,387
- - - -
160,798 281,521 323,065 368,882
160,798 137,067 178,611 224,428
144,454 144,454 144,454
- - - -
- - - -
-675,603 264,407 302,535 344,495
Disc.Factor
15.50% THN
0.00% 1
3,452,935 -400,000
2.39
-600,000
-675,603
-800,000
OK
Ali ran Kas bersi h
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
28,504 26,489 491,663 - - - -
595,820 667,499 645,312 651,142 655,847 660,785 665,969
566,876 639,558 643,848 649,666 654,359 659,284 664,455
28,944 27,941 1,464 1,476 1,488 1,501 1,514
- - - - - - -
- - - - - - -
328,602 387,366 385,669 390,073 393,551 397,210 401,062
82,150 96,842 96,417 97,518 98,388 99,303 100,265
28,944 27,941 1,464 1,476 1,488 1,501 1,514
275,395 318,466 290,716 294,031 296,652 299,408 302,311
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
28,504 26,489 491,663 - - - -
28,504 26,489 491,663 - - - -
- - - - - - -
419,849 462,920 435,169 438,484 441,105 443,862 446,764
275,395 318,466 290,716 294,031 296,652 299,408 302,311
144,454 144,454 144,454 144,454 144,454 144,454 144,454
- - - - - - -
- - - - - - -
391,345 436,431 (56,494) 438,484 441,105 443,862 446,764
AS BERSIH
6 7
-56,494 8 9 10 11
s bersi h
2 455,708 -10.71%
3 679,290 15.82%
4 1,259,149 30.05%
5 0 38.08%
6 1,087,724 37.43%
7 1,247,636 40.75%
8 1,386,915 42.72%
9 1,508,257 43.94%
10 1,614,001 44.72%
TAHUN
INVESTASI
PENDAPATAN (Income / Savings)
- Pendapatan
- Pendapatan Lain-lain (OTC)
-
BEBAN= Jumlah Biaya
- Total OPEX
- Depreciation
LABA/RUGI USAHA (EBIT) = pend.- beban
SUMMARY ANALYSIS :
1,000,000 NPV :
IRR :
15.50% Payback :
4.18% IRR :
10 BEP :
10 PROFIT :
1,444,536 PROFIT INDEX:
0.00%
0 RESULT
144,454 per Tahun
14,000
0 1 2 3
835,851 17,114 20,529 24,387
31,838 190,246 223,489 265,469
31,838 190,246 223,489 265,469
- - - -
- - -
- 8,554 180,645 182,419 187,643
8,554 36,191 37,965 43,190
- 144,454 144,454 144,454
23,284 9,602 41,071 77,826
- - - -
- - - -
23,284 9,602 41,071 77,826
25% 5,821 2,400 10,268 19,456
- - - -
17,463 7,201 30,803 58,369
0 1 2 3
835,851 17,114 20,529 24,387
835,851 17,114 20,529 24,387
- - - -
17,463 151,655 175,257 202,823
17,463 7,201 30,803 58,369
144,454 144,454 144,454
- - - -
- - - -
-818,388 134,541 154,727 178,436
Disc.Factor
15.50% THN
0.00% 1
1,783,824 -600,000
0.99
-800,000
-818,388
-1,000,000
ASK BOD
Ali ran Kas bersi h
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
28,504 26,489 491,663 - - - -
312,197 357,016 358,569 361,030 362,720 364,493 366,354
312,197 357,016 358,569 361,030 362,720 364,493 366,354
- - - - - - -
- - - - - - -
- - - - - - -
118,784 159,740 169,257 170,750 171,501 172,296 173,139
29,696 39,935 42,314 42,687 42,875 43,074 43,285 -
- - - - - - -
89,088 119,805 126,942 128,062 128,626 129,222 129,855
4 5 6 7 8 9 10
28,504 26,489 491,663 - - - -
28,504 26,489 491,663 - - - -
- - - - - - -
233,542 264,258 271,396 272,516 273,079 273,676 274,308
89,088 119,805 126,942 128,062 128,626 129,222 129,855
144,454 144,454 144,454 144,454 144,454 144,454 144,454
- - - - - - -
- - - - - - -
205,038 237,770 (220,267) 272,516 273,079 273,676 274,308
AS BERSIH
6 7 8 9 10 11
-220,267
s bersi h
- -
2 232,471 -47.53%
3 348,278 -22.66%
4 650,106 -6.95%
5 0 3.34%
6 486,389 -6.88%
7 585,773 4.58%
8 671,998 9.88%
9 746,815 13.13%
10 811,741 15.30%
TOTAL EXPENSE
PERCENTAGE
Fixed Share from Revenue
Nilai (Total 10 thn) ICON+ Partner
- -
485,236,977,841 363,927,733,380 12.36% 121,309,244,460 4.12%
141,527,451,870 106,145,588,903 3.60% 35,381,862,968 1.20%
40,436,414,820 40,436,414,820 1.37% - -
70,763,725,935 70,763,725,935 2.40% - -
- -
-
1,084,375,748,723 1,860,682,701,427
36.82% 63.18%
130,000 Rp47,866 Rp82,134
Jumlah Homepass 500,000
Takeup Ration Max 60%
Jumlah Home Connected 300,000
Harga Subscriber per bulan 130,000 Rp/bulan
Valuasi ROW 10%
Jangka waktu 10 tahun
Tahun 1 2 3
Total Revenue 42,900,000,000 211,068,000,000 261,690,000,000
Valuasi ROW 4,290,000,000 21,106,800,000 26,169,000,000
Total Valuasi ROW 357,582,868,200
4 5 6 7 8
326,040,000,000 397,799,688,000 466,429,654,080 466,462,939,925 467,812,800,000
32,604,000,000 39,779,968,800 46,642,965,408 46,646,293,992 46,781,280,000
9 10
467,812,800,000 467,812,800,000
46,781,280,000 46,781,280,000
REVENUE
130,000
Harga per subscriber per bulan
OTC Aktivasi per HP 600,000
ICON+ B2C 37% 20,637,540,372 135,905,891,078 155,833,483,632 180,881,093,478 208,724,764,979 235,486,377,962 237,065,951,914 239,208,129,279 240,936,193,953 242,749,624,868 244,653,491,766
REVENUE ICON ICON+ B2B 13,149,540,700 158,039,104,632 161,538,496,512 165,215,354,472 169,076,354,352 173,128,311,072 177,384,993,552 181,853,077,632 186,546,332,232 191,471,433,192 196,642,149,432
TOTAL 33,787,081,072 293,944,995,710 317,371,980,144 346,096,447,950 377,801,119,331 408,614,689,034 414,450,945,466 421,061,206,911 427,482,526,185 434,221,058,060 441,295,641,198
INVESTOR B2C 63% 27,104,143,854 133,352,387,762 165,335,277,509 205,991,493,290 251,329,136,798 294,689,427,551 294,710,457,489 295,563,296,688 295,563,296,688 295,563,296,688 295,563,296,688
REVENUE
INVESTOR INVESTOR B2B 4,733,834,652 56,894,077,668 58,153,858,744 59,477,527,610 60,867,487,567 62,326,191,986 63,858,597,679 65,467,107,948 67,156,679,604 68,929,715,949 70,791,173,796
TOTAL 31,837,978,506 190,246,465,429 223,489,136,254 265,469,020,900 312,196,624,364 357,015,619,537 358,569,055,168 361,030,404,636 362,719,976,292 364,493,012,637 366,354,470,484
Tahun 0
Jumlah Pelanggan (Non Akum) 110,000
Jumah Pelanggan (Akum) 110,000
CAPEX 0
Homepass Built 500,000
Total OLT&SYSTEM 977
Material Stok Gangguan ONT 2,557,500,000
Material Stok Gangguan Feeder (kabel, assesoris,dll) 2,999,910,250
Pembangunan Homepass 757,293,259,077
Material ONT 600,000 66,000,000,000
Reinvest OLT
System (CRM, Helpdesk, dll), Infra Pendukung dan Perijinan 7,550,000,000
Catatan :
- Command Center BLNP yang dimaksud adalah perangkat kerja yang masa manfaatnya bisa mencapai 5 tahun (maksimal)
- Sistem CRM tidak akan memunculkan biaya lisensi di OPEX karena menggunakan skema Community Open Source
1 2 3 4 5 6
27,500 33,000 39,215 46,137 44,148 -
137,500 170,500 209,715 255,852 300,000 300,000
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - - 1,445,086,169,327
Tahun 0
Jumlah Pelanggan (Non Akum) -
Jumah Pelanggan (Akum) -
CAPEX 0
Homepass Built 500,000
Total OLT&SYSTEM 977
Material Stok Gangguan ONT -
Material Stok Gangguan Feeder (kabel, assesoris,dll) -
Pembangunan Homepass -
Material ONT -
Reinvest OLT -
System (CRM, Helpdesk, dll), Infra Pendukung dan Perijinan 550,000,000
Catatan :
- Command Center BLNP yang dimaksud adalah perangkat kerja yang masa manfaatnya bisa mencapai 5 tahun (maksimal)
- Sistem CRM tidak akan memunculkan biaya lisensi di OPEX karena menggunakan skema Community Open Source
1 2 3 4 5 6
110,000 27,500 33,000 39,215 46,137 44,148
110,000 137,500 170,500 209,715 255,852 300,000
- - - - - -
-
- - - - -
- - - - - -
- - - - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - - 550,000,000
Tahun 0
Jumlah Pelanggan (Non Akum) -
Jumah Pelanggan (Akum) -
CAPEX
Homepass Built 500,000
Total OLT&SYSTEM 977
Material Stok Gangguan ONT 2,557,500,000
Material Stok Gangguan Feeder (kabel, assesoris,dll) 2,999,910,250
Pembangunan Homepass 757,293,259,077
Material ONT 66,000,000,000
Reinvest OLT -
Infra Pendukung dan Perijinan 7,000,000,000
Catatan :
- Command Center BLNP yang dimaksud adalah perangkat kerja yang masa manfaatnya bisa mencapai 5 tahun (maksimal)
- Sistem CRM tidak akan memunculkan biaya lisensi di OPEX karena menggunakan skema Community Open Source
1 2 3 4 5 6
110,000 27,500 33,000 39,215 46,137 44,148
110,000 137,500 170,500 209,715 255,852 300,000
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - - 1,444,536,169,327
Tahun
OPEX
1 Jasa Rupiah Gangguan IKR
2 Serpo untuk Gangguan Feeder-Distribusi
3 Homebase Feeder - Distribusi
4 Biaya Lastmile (Jasa + Accessories)
5 Biaya Lastmile (Material Dropwire)
6 Personil Koordinator
% Vertical
7 Overhead
Beban Kepegawaian 1 12.00%
Beban Administrasi Umum 0.5 7.00%
Beban Pemasaran 0.1 10.00%
8 Beban BHP USO 1 1.75%
OPEX
1 Jasa Rupiah Gangguan IKR
2 Serpo untuk Gangguan Feeder-Distribusi
3 Homebase Feeder - Distribusi
4 Biaya Lastmile (Jasa + Accessories)
5 Biaya Lastmile (Material Dropwire)
6 Personil Koordinator
% Vertical
7 Overhead
Beban Kepegawaian 0.75 12.00%
Beban Administrasi Umum 0.75 8.00%
Beban Pemasaran 0.1 10.00%
8 Beban BHP USO 1 1.75%
467,812,800,000 467,812,800,000
1,897,200,000 1,897,200,000
- -
- -
99,760,000 104,690,000
- -
7,396,087,386 7,705,243,839
92,429,819,386.36 92,743,905,839.11
Tahun
OPEX
1 Jasa Rupiah Gangguan IKR
2 Serpo untuk Gangguan Feeder-Distribusi
3 Homebase Feeder - Distribusi
4 Biaya Lastmile (Jasa + Accessories)
5 Biaya Lastmile (Material Dropwire)
6 Personil Koordinator
% Vertical
7 Overhead
Beban Kepegawaian 0.25 12.00%
Beban Administrasi Umum 0.25 8.00%
Beban Pemasaran 0 10.00%
8 Beban BHP USO 0 1.75%
0 - - -
4,375,000,000 17,500,000,000 18,231,500,000
- - -
0 - - -
2,034,475,000 8,137,900,000 6,648,900,000
0 - - -
Sub Total
- - - - -
18,993,576,700 19,787,508,206 20,614,626,049 21,476,317,418 22,374,027,486
- - - - -
- - - - -
7,894,300,000 9,281,360,000 8,886,140,000 59,400,000 62,400,000
- - - - -
- - -
23,309,261,835 24,283,588,980 25,298,642,999
- - -
- - -
65,500,000 68,800,000 72,200,000
- - -
10,250,000
16,950,000
21,000,000
2,587,435
2,840,770
900,000
2,090,000
3,380,000
59,998,205
Kemampuan Serpo 2000 Homepass
Sub Total Per
No BOQ Qty Satuan Harga Satuan Masa Kontrak Total
Bulan
SDM Support
1 Personil asisten homebase 1 Orang 1,700,000 1,700,000 12 20,400,000
2 Tim Gangguan 2 Orang 4,100,000 8,200,000 13 106,600,000
Tools
1 Peralatan K3 untuk semua tim member (Helmet, Gloves, Vest 2 250,000 500,000 12 6,000,000
berlogo ICON+, Safety Belt) Unit
2 Crimping Tools 1 Unit 220,000 220,000 12 2,640,000
3 LAN Tester 1 Unit 15,000 15,000 12 180,000
4 Kunci berbagai Type & ukuran (Pas, Ring, sock) 1 Unit 245,000 245,000 12 2,940,000
5 Obeng berbagai Type & ukuran (minus & plus) 1 Unit 145,000 145,000 12 1,740,000
6 Laptop 1 Unit 200,000 200,000 12 2,400,000
7 Tangga teleskopik 10 m 1 Unit 400,000 400,000 12 4,800,000
8 GPS (Global Positioning System) (tingkat akurasi 1-2 mtr) 1 Unit 500,000 500,000 12 6,000,000
227,320,656
Parameter
Kapasitas Sambungan Pelanggan 512 Home Pass (HP)
Panjang Kabel ODN berdasarkan perhitungan On Desk
Per 16 Home Pass
Penarikan ODP =160m (jarak udara)
Penarikan Feeder = 26 m (jarak udara)
Kurs Rp 14,500
DISKON
HARGA SATUAN TOTAL 10%
M
Rp 11,300 Rp 80,709,120 E 72,638,208
P
Rp 20,000 Rp 142,848,000 A 128,563,200
S
Rp 319,000,000 Rp 319,000,000 S 287,100,000
S
Rp 300,000 Rp 92,160,000 T 82,944,000
M
Rp 190,000 Rp 58,368,000 I 52,531,200
L
Rp 600,000 Rp 184,320,000 E 165,888,000
TOTAL
Harga Satuan Total
Rp 8,568,694,298
9,515 Rp 989,560,000
23,463 Rp 1,525,095,000
35,200 Rp -
94,089 Rp 212,828,187
65,262 Rp 147,622,418
1,317,982 Rp 1,370,700,760
9,900,000 Rp 128,700,000
155,588 Rp 163,834,585
7,150,000 Rp 185,900,000
97,926 Rp 6,365,216
19,863 Rp 335,679,630
2,410,294 Rp 156,669,084
904,329 Rp 58,781,375
3,358 Rp 624,203,427
73,049 Rp 617,265,148
80,408 Rp 543,558,070
117,380 Rp 396,744,061
3,388,228 Rp 176,187,850
38,747 Rp 124,921,058
34,827 Rp 57,951,417
9,570 Rp 42,423,810
9,570 Rp 124,410
546,186 Rp 575,133,332
9,880,420 Rp 128,445,460
`
- Rp -
Rp 8,568,694,298 Rp 1,338,858
226,820,100 Rp 2,948,661,300 Rp 443,008
Rp 1,781,866
1,514,587
Rp 1,016,278,445
3,300 Rp 214,500,000
45,000 Rp 14,040,000
43,500 Rp 13,572,000
10,000 Rp 260,000
9,880,420 Rp 128,445,460
10,000 Rp 8,710,000
8,650 Rp 562,250,000
85,535 Rp 74,500,985
59,329 `
Rp 1,016,278,445
Rp 12,533,634,043
Per HP untuk 6400 HP Rp 1,958,380
Perjanjian ICON+ dan EMR
Dokumen Kontrak Open Access ICON+ dan EMR halam
Visit Gangguan 100,000
Dismantle AP & STB 50,000
pen Access ICON+ dan EMR halaman 24
Diskon 25%
300,000
MITRA 1 2 3 4 5
MNC 10% 20% 30%
EMR 10% 15% 17%
Asumsi Jumlah Handle Operasional Command Center 10,000
Asumsi Taman Yasmin 2,000
Command Center
Komponen
I. BIAYA JASA
Gaji 2018 4,000,000
Total + PPh21 3,973,684
BPJS Ketenagakerjaan
JHT 5.7% 228,000
JKK 0.54% 21,600
JK 0.3% 12,000
JP 3% 120,000
BPJS Kesehatan 5% 200,000
Uang makan 264,000
THR 350,877
Seragam 50,000
DPLK 350,877
Uang Pulsa
Harga Per Orang 5,571,039
Management Fee 9% 501,393
a. Biaya Jasa 6,072,432
b. Jumlah Orang 3
Total Biaya Jasa per Bulan 18,217,296
2018
URAIAN (UN AUDITED)
2018
Analisa Vertikal 2017 Analisa Vertikal KETERANGAN (UN 2017
AUDITED)