PENANGANAN LOKASI
RAWAN KECELAKAAN (1): Kuliah 4
IDENTIFIKASI LOKASI RAWAN
KECELAKAAN
SI-6 1 4 5
A nal i si s Da mpak L al u L i ntas
da n Kese l ama tan Tr ansportasi
Se m 1 Ta hun 2 0 1 6 -2 0 1 7
ACCIDENT REDUCTION
Penentuan fokus
Penentuan elemen jaringan jalan yang
akan disaring dan populasi referensi
Pemilihan kriteria (performance
measures)
Pemilihan metoda
penyaringan/identifi kasi
Analisis dan evaluasi
PENENTUAN FOKUS
R 1
Rc R P
Q 2Q
A = false negatives
B = correct positives
A B C C = false positives
D = correct negatives
D
EFISIENSI PEMILIHAN LOKASI RAWAN
KECELAKAAN
Due to fl uctuation of the annual accident
counts about the underlying true accident
rate (UTAR), there is uncertainty regarding
the UTAR
The observed accident rate over a period may
be considerably greater or less than the UTAR
In the identifi cation of hazardous locations,
one wants to identify the sites with the high
UTARs, but is forced to make the decision
(whether the site is unusually hazardous) on
the basis of the observed accident rate.
EFISIENSI PEMILIHAN LOKASI RAWAN
KECELAKAAN
If:
= underlying true accident rate
= observed accident rate
c = threshold of underlying true accident
c
rate
= threshold of observed accident rate