Asep Sofyan
Teknik Lingkungan ITB
Email: asepsofyan@yahoo.com
Masalah dinamik
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
Identifikasi masalah
Membangun hipotesis dinamik yang
menjelaskan hubungan sebab akibat dari
masalah termaksud
Membuat struktur dasar grafik sebab akibat
Melengkapi grafik sebab akibat dengan
informasi
Mengubah grafik sebab akibat yang telah
dilengkapi menjadi grafik alir Sistem Dinamik
Menyalin grafik alir Sistem Dinamik kedalam
program DYNAMO, Stella, Vensim, Powersim,
atau persamaan matematika
Gaji VS Kinerja
Gaji Kinerja
Kinerja Gaji
Lelah VS Tidur
Lelah tidur
Tidur lelah ?
+
+
+
-
+
-
+
-
+
+
quality of work
Work To Do
required
workforce
hiring delay
+
actual workforce
fatigue
+
overtime hours
required
work done
+
productivity
Level
Rate
Flow arc
Auxiliary
Cause-and-effect arc
Source/Sink
Constant
Births
Population
Children
maturing
Births
children
Adults
births
Rabbit
Population
birth rate
average lifetime = 8
Units: Year
birth rate = 0.125
Units: fraction/Year
births = Population * birth rate
Units: rabbit/Year
deaths = Population / average lifetime
Units: rabbit/Year
Population = INTEG(births - deaths,1000)
Units: rabbit
deaths
average lifetime
Causal Graph
Flow Graph
R
L
Equations
dL/dt = k1*R(t)
R(t) = k2*L(t)
dL/dt = k1*k2*L(t)
Block Model
L
L
k1*k2
Flow Graph
R1
Equations
R2
dL/dt = R1 R2
R2 = k2*L
R1 = k1
dL/dt = k1 - k2*L
Block Model
L1
L1
k2
k1
Flow Graph
Equations
R2
R1
dL1/dt = R1 R2
R3
dL2/dt = R2 R3
L2
L1
R1 = k 1
R2 = K 2 * L 1
R3 = K 3 * L 2
dL1/dt = k1 k2*L1
Block Model
L1
L1
k2
k1
L2
L2
k3
Problem statement
Causal Graph
Flow Graph
Equations
Construction (C)
Demolition (D)
Industrial
dBl/dt = Cr Dr
Cr = f1(CF, Bl)
Buildings (B)
Dr = f2(AL,Bl)
Average lifetime
for buildings
(AL)
Construction
fraction
(CF)
Land available for
industrial buildings
(LA)
Fraction of
land occupied
(FLO)
Average area
per building
(AA)
CF = f3(FLO)
FLO = f4(LA,AA,Bl)