Background: Based on data from the World Health Organization (WHO), post-partum
hemorrhage is a 25% cause of maternal death. About 15-20% of post-partum hemorrhage is
due to retained placenta (RP). Favilli et al. conducted a study between 2007-2017 reporting
that a nomogram as a new scoring system has a high predictive value to predict RP. This
study aimed to assess the nomogram as a new method to predict RP after vaginal delivery.
Method: This was an analytical observational study using case-control design. This study
consisted of 36 post-partum women with RP as a case group and 69 post-partum women
without RP as a control group in Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology Dr. Mohammad
Hoesin General Hospital, Palembang between April 2019 and February 2021. The study
criteria were limited to vaginal delivery, singleton pregnancy, vertex presentation with no
major fetal anomaly and no histological diagnosis of placenta accreta. A nomogram was
used to predict the risk of RP.
Results: All case group subjects were the referral case from midwives and traditional birth
attendants. The RP had a significant association with previous estro-progestins therapy (OR
3,308, 95% CI 1,418-7,715, p=0,009) and birth weight (OR 7,333, 95% CI 1,843-29,185,
p=0,003). The risk of RP was higher in maternal age >35 years but not statistically
significant association (OR 2,685, 95% CI 1,068-6,750, p=0,058). The nomogram in this
study had a sensitivity of 44.44%, a specificity of 50.72%, and an accuracy of 48.75%.
Conclusion: The nomogram cannot be used to predict RP after vaginal delivery in Dr.
Mohammad Hoesin General Hospital, Palembang.
Keywords: nomogram, retained placenta, vaginal delivery