Disusun Oleh:
Nama : Muchamad Munir
No Reg : 15.612.081
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LEMBAR PERSETUJUAN KERJA PRAKTEK
Di susun oleh :
Nama : Muchamad Munir
No. Reg : 15612081
Menyetujui, Menyetujui,
(Pembimbing dierusahaan) DosenPembimbing
(...................................) (...................................)
Mengetahui,
Ketua Program Studi
(...................................)
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LEMBAR PENGESAHAN
Penguji I,
(.................................)
Mengetahui, Mengetahui,
Dekan Fakultas Teknik Ketua Program Studi
(.................................) (................................)
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PRAKATA
Wassalamu’alaikum Wr.Wb.
Gresik,…............2018
Penulis
Muchamad Munir
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DAFTAR ISI
Lembar Judul ...................................................................... i
Lembar Pengesahan ........................................................... iii
Prakata ................................................................................ iv
Daftar Isi............................................................................. vi
Daftar Gambar .................................................................... vii
Daftar Tabel ....................................................................... ix
BAB I PENDAHULUAN
1.1 Tujuan Praktek Kerja Lapangan ................................... 1
1.2 Sistematika Penulisan................................................... 1
BAB V PEMBAHASAN
5.1 Pengumpulan Data ....................................................... 45
5.1.1 Data Permintaan Produk Coil Stainless
Series 300 Grade 304.................................................. 45
5.2 Pengolahan Data........................................................... 46
5.2.1 Single Exponential Smoothing α = 0.1 ............... 46
5.2.2 Single Exponential Smoothing α = 0.5 ............... 54
5.2.3 Single Exponential Smoothing α = 0.9 ............... 60
5.2.4 Moving Average 3 Bulanan ................................ 66
5.2.5 Moving Average 4 Bulanan ................................ 71
5.3 Perbandingan Hasil Peramalan..................................... 76
BAB VI PENUTUP
6.1 Kesimpulan .................................................................. 78
6.2 Saran............................................................................. 80
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DAFTAR GAMBAR
Gambar 2.1 Struktur Organisasi ........................................ 8
Gambar 2.2 Hot Rollead Aneallead Pickled ...................... 7
Gambar 2.3 Operation Process Chart................................ 9
Gambar 3.1 Grafik Data Permintaan .................................. 21
Gambar 3.2 Flowchart Langkah-langkah Penelitian .......... 24
Gambar 4.1 Model Metode Peramalan .............................. 32
Gambar 4.2 Grafik Moving Average .................................. 35
Gambar 4.3 Grafik SingleExponential Smoothing ............. 37
Gambar 4.4 Grafik Single Exponential Smoothing
With Trend Adjustment ................................. 38
Gambar 4.5 Grafik Winter’s Multiplicative Model ............ 39
Gambar 5.1 Diagram Permintaan Data Aktual dan
Peramalan Single Exponential
Smoothing α = 0.1 .......................................... 49
Gambar 5.2 Diagram Tracking Signal Single
Expoential Smoothing α = 0.1....................... 53
Gambar 5.3 Diagram Permintaan Data Aktual dan
Peramalan Single Exponential
Smoothing α = 0.5 ......................................... 56
Gambar 5.4 Diagram Tracking Signal Single
Expoential Smoothing α = 0.5....................... 59
Gambar 5.5 Diagram Permintaan Data Aktual dan
Peramalan Single Exponential
Smoothing α = 0.9 ......................................... 62
Gambar 5.6 Diagram Tracking Signal Single
Expoential Smoothing α = 0.9....................... 65
Gambar 5.7 Diagram Permintaan Data Aktual dan
Peramalan Moving Average 3 Bulanan......... 67
Gambar 5.8 Diagram Tracking Signal Moving
Average 3 Bulanan........................................ 70
Gambar 5.9 Diagram Permintaan Data Aktual dan
Peramalan Moving Average 4 Bulanan......... 72
Gambar 5.10 Diagram Tracking Signal Moving
Average 4 Bulanan ..................................... 75
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DAFTAR TABEL
Tabel 2.1 Penggolongan Produk Stainless ..................... 15
Tabel 5.1 Data Permintaan ............................................. 45
Tabel 5.2 Perhitungan Peramalan dengan Metode Single
Exponential Smoothing α = 0.1....................... 47
Tabel 5.3 Perhitungan Tracking Signal dengan Metode
Single Exponential Smoothing α = 0.1 ........... 50
Tabel 5.4 Perhitungan Peramalan dengan Metode Single
Exponential Smoothing α = 0.5....................... 54
Tabel 5.5 Perhitungan Tracking Signal dengan Metode
Single Exponential Smoothing α = 0.5 ............ 57
Tabel 5.6 Perhitungan Peramalan dengan Metode Single
Exponential Smoothing α = 0.9....................... 60
Tabel 5.7 Perhitungan Tracking Signal dengan Metode
Single Exponential Smoothing α = 0.9 ............ 63
Tabel 5.8 Perhitungan Peramalan dengan Metode Moving
Average 3 Bulanan .......................................... 66
Tabel 5.9 Perhitungan Tracking Signal dengan Metode
Moving Average 3 Bulanan............................. 68
Tabel 5.10 Perhitungan Peramalan dengan Metode Moving
Average 4 Bulanan ....................................... 64
Tabel 5.11 Perhitungan Tracking Signal dengan Metode
Moving Average 4 Bulanan .......................... 66
Tabel 5.12 Perbandingan Hasi Peramalan Permintaan .. 68
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