Faktor Penentu Ex. Rate
Faktor Penentu Ex. Rate
• real nominal
interest ≈ interest – inflation rate
rate rate
Ekspektasi
Signal Dampak Rp
Memburuknya indikator ekonomi Melemah
BI berencana menaikkan
Tingkat Bunga Menguat
Kemungkinan penurunan suku
Bunga US Menguat
Faktor- Faktor yang mempengaruhi
Nilai Tukar
m
n ∑
[E (CFj , t )× E (ER j , t )]
j =1
Value = ∑
t =1 (1 + k ) t
E (CFj,t ) = expected cash flows in currency j to be received
by the U.S. parent at the end of period t
E (ERj,t ) = expected exchange rate at which currency j can
be converted to dollars at the end of period t
k = weighted average cost of capital of the parent