Wholesaler
Aggregate
Planning
Retailer
Factory
End consumer
Aggregate Planning Strategies(1)
1) Capacity options
2) Demand options
3) Mixed strategies
Capacity options:
• Mengubah-ubah tingkat inventory (level production)
• Mengubah-ubah ukuran tenaga kerja: hiring/lay off (chase
strategy)
• Mengubah-ubah production rate: over time/under time
• Menggunakan part time workers
Aggregate Planning Strategies(2)
Demand options
• Mempengaruhi demand: advertensi, promosi, personal selling,
discount, diskriminasi harga
• Backordering
Pure strategy
• Bila yang diubah-ubah hanya satu variabel
Mixed strategy
• Melibatkan pengubahan beberapa variabel, misalnya bila pure
strategy tidak feasible
Controllable (decision) variable
• Inventory
• Production rate
• Manpower
• Subcontract
Methods
• Simulation
Relevant cost
• Hiring/layoff cost
• Backorder cost
1 220
2 170 600
3 400
400
4 600
5 380 200
6 200
0
7 130 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
8 300
Total 2400
Alternatif penyusunan
Perencanaan Aggregat
1. Level strategy
• Production rate = average demand
2. Chase strategy
• Production rate = demand
3. Subcontract strategy
• Production rate dipilih konstant
• Kekurangannya dipenuhi dengan subkontrak
4. Mixed strategy
Alternatif 1 : Level Strategy
k k k k k
Min Z r Pt h At f Rt v Ot c I t
t 1 t 1 t 1 t 1 t 1
Supply capacity
Perioda Demand
RT OT Subcontract
1 700 250 500 500
2 800 250 500 800
3 900 250 500 1700
4 500 250 500 900
Aggregat Planning
Periode 0 1 2 3 4
A. Production Planning
Demand (unit) 500 800 1.700 900
Produksi (unit)
a. Regular 450 800 900 500
b. Overtime - 250 250 250
Subkontrak (unit) - - 250 300
Inventory (unit) 100 50 250 - 150
Backorder (unit) - - -
Stockout (unit) - - - -
B. Financial Planning
Penjualan (US$) 150.000 240.000 510.000 270.000
Biaya (US$)
1. Produksi
a. Regular 45.000 80.000 90.000 50.000
b. Overtime - - 31.250 37.500
2. Subkontrak - - 37.500 45.000
3. Inventory 1.000 5.000 - 3.000
4. Backorder - - - -
5. Stockout - - - -
Total Biaya (US$ 46.000 85.000 158.750 135.500
Proyeksi laba/rugi 104.000 155.000 351.250 134.500
Management Coefficient Model(1)
• Work-force
Wt = jumlah tenaga kerja pada periode t
Ft = jumlah demand hasil ramalan pada periode t
I* = tingkat inventory yang diinginkan
It-1= tingkat inventory pada periode t-1
f = fungsi
Contoh : Wt 0 1Wt 1 2 ( I * I t 1 ) 3 Ft
• Production level
Pt = tingkat produksi pada periode t
Pt = g(Wt, I*, It-1, Ft, Ft+1, Ft+2,)
2
Pt 0 1Wt 2 ( I * I t 1 ) {[1 /(i 1)]Ft 1}
i 0
Contoh : koefisien manajemen
Contoh data empirik
(Bedworth, page 128)
2
1
t Ft It-1 Wt Pt Pr,t Po,t I*-It-1 1 i F
i 0
t i
1 200 30 27 209 200 9 20 385
2 210 48 25 230 200 30 2 430
3 240 60 28 250 224 26 -10 473
4 300 27 28 270 224 46 23 491
5 250 50 28 270 224 46 0 403
6 200 49 25 200 200 0 1 330
7 160 65 22 175 175 0 -15 268
8 150 72 20 160 160 0 -22 240
9 100 95 18 120 120 0 -45 213
10 120 97 18 120 120 0 -47 266
11 160 55 18 120 120 0 -5 333
12 200 31 20 180 160 20 19 386
13 220 47 22 200 176 24 3 421
14 230 68 28 250 224 26 -18 476
15 260 77 30 270 240 30 -27 525
16 350 27 33 300 266 34 23 561
17 270 55 33 300 266 34 -5 451
18 230 65 30 240 240 0 -15 423
19 200 102 30 240 240 0 -52 390
20 280 100 22 176 176 0 -50 411
21 150 129 22 176 176 0 -79 301
22 170 134 22 176 176 0 -84 353
23 200 108 22 176 176 0 -58 411
24 250 70 22 176 176 0 -20 470
25 260
26 270
Management Coefficient Model(3)
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Okt Nov Dec
Demand 40 40 40 32 32 32 48 48 48 60 60 60