Estimasi 1
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Bab 8A
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Bab 8A
ESTIMASI 1
A. Pendahuluan
1. Hakikat Estimasi
• Satu rerata
• Satu porporsi
• Satu koefisien korelasi
• Satu koefisien regresi
• Perbandingan dua variansi
• Selisih dua rerata
• Selisih dua proporsi
• Selisih dua koefisien korelasi
• Selisih dua koefisien regresi
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Bab 8A
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3. Jenis Estimasi
Statistik sampel
Parameter populasi
Statistik sampel
Parameter populasi
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Bab 8A
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Kebolehjadian : L()
Parameter :
Kebolehjadian maksimum
dL( )
0
d
•
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Bab 8A
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3. Estimasi Interval
+
≤ ≤ +
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Bab 8A
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4. Sifat Estimasi
5. Interval Keyakinan
6,25 ≤ X ≤ 7,75
X2
0,66 2 1,84
Y
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2,15 ≤ X Y ≤ 3,85
0,45 ≤ X ≤ 0,55
0,035 ≤ X Y ≤ 0,065
1,24 ≤ B ≤ 1,76
0,25 ≤ B1 B2 ≤ 1,45
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Bab 8A
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B. Estimasi Interval
X = 6
X = 4
X = 8
dan seterusnya
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Bab 8A
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sampel rerata
4 5 4,5
4 5 6 7 8 4 6 5
X = 6 4 7 5,5
4 8 6
5 6 5,5
5 7 6
5 8 6,5
6 7 6,5
6 8 7
7 8 7,5
sampel rerata
3 4 3,5
3 4 5 6 7 3 5 4
X = 5 3 6 4,5
3 7 5
4 5 4,5
4 6 5
4 7 5,5
5 6 5,5
5 7 6
6 7 6,5
sampel rerata
5 6 5,5
5 6 7 8 9 5 7 6
X = 7 5 8 6,5
5 9 7
6 7 6,5
6 8 7
6 9 7,5
7 8 7,5
7 9 8
8 9 8,5
X=6
X 5 6 7
Probabilitas 0,1 0,2 0,1
2. Batas Estimasi
½ ½
dengan
– +
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Bab 8A
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nX = 49 X = 70 sX = 14
DPP : DP t-Student
Kekeliruan baku
sX 14
X 2,00
nX 49
X n X 1 48
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Bab 8A
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• Estimasi titik
X = 70
½ = 0,025
t(0,975)(48) = 2,011
X X
t ( 0 ,975)( 48 )
X
X bawah X X t ( 0, 025)( 48 )
70,00 ( 2,00)( 2,011)
65,978
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Bab 8A
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t(0,025)(48) = – 2,011
X X
t ( 0, 025 )( 48 )
X
X atas X X t ( 0,025 )( 48 )
70,00 ( 2,00)( 2,011)
74,022
• Batas estimasi
65,978 X 74,022
1 – = 0,95
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Bab 8A
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Batas estimasi
0,025 0,025
= 0,975
= 0,025
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Bab 8A
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• Interval keyakinan 1 –
• Estimasi titik X
• Batas bawah X – X t(½)(x)
• Batas atas X + X t(½)(x)
• Interval keyakinan 1 –
• Estimasi titik
• Batas bawah –
• Batas atas +
Langkah
• Langkah pertama
Rumusan estimasi
• Langkah kedua
Data sampel
nX = 49 X = 70 sX = 14
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• Langkah ketiga
DPP : DP t-Student
Kekeliruan baku
sX 14
X 2,00
nX 49
X n X 1 48
• Langkah keempat
• Langkah kelima
Bentangan estimasi
X t(0,975)(48) = (2,00)(2,011)
= 4,022
• Langkah keenam
Interval estimasi
1. Dasar
X – X X X + X
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Contoh 1
• Rumusan estimasi
• Sampel
nX = 36 X = 2,6
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DPP : DP normal
Simpangan baku : X = 0,3
Kekeliruan baku
X 0,3
X 0,05
nX 36
• Interval keyakinan
• Bentangan estimasi
X – X = X – z(½) X
= 2,6 – (2,576)(0,05)
= 2,4712
X + X = X + z(½) X
= 2,6 + (2,576)(0,05)
= 2,7288
• Interval estimasi
2,4712 X 2,7288
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Contoh 2
• Rumusan estimasi
• Sampel
nX =
X =
sX =
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DPP :
Kekeliruan baku dan derajat kebebasan
• Interval keyakinan
Interval keyakinan 1 – =
=
½ =
Nilai kritis
Ujung bawah
Ujung atas
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• Bentangan estimasi
X – X =
X + X =
• Interval estimasi
Contoh 3
Contoh 4
Sebelum 80 92 67 50 115 70 86 98 75 67
Sesudah 75 87 75 42 95 74 75 90 77 60
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Contoh 5
Contoh 6
Contoh 7
1. Dasar
pX – pX X pX + pX
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Contoh 8
• Rumusan Estimasi
• Sampel
p X (1 p X ) (0,60)(1 0,60)
pX 0,049
nX 100
• Interval keyakinan
z(0,05) = – 1,64
z(0,95) = 1,64
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• Bentangan estimasi
• Interval estimasi
0,52 X 0,68
Contoh 9
1 1 1 1
pX 0,05
2 n X 2 100
• Bentangan estimasi
• Inereval estimasi
0,518 X 0,682
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Contoh 10
• Rumusan estimasi
• Sampel
• Distribusi pensampelan
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DPP :
Kekeliruan baku
• Interval keyakinan
• Bentangan interval
• Interval estimasi
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Contoh 11
Contoh 12
Contoh 13
Contoh 14